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Investor Presentation January 2018 www.nblmidstream.com Forward - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Investor Presentation January 2018 www.nblmidstream.com Forward - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Investor Presentation January 2018 www.nblmidstream.com Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Measures This presentation contains certain forward -looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities law. Words such as
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Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Measures
This presentation contains certain “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the federal securities law. Words such as “anticipates”, “believes”, “expects”, “intends”, “will”, “should”, “may”, “estimate” and similar expressions may be used to identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are not statements of historical fact and reflect Noble Midstream Partners LP’s (“the Partnership” or “Noble Midstream”) current views about future events. No assurances can be given that the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation will occur as projected, and actual results may differ materially from those projected. Forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, estimates and assumptions that involve a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected. These risks include, without limitation, the ability of Noble Energy, Inc. (“NBL”) to meet its drilling and development plans, changes in general economic conditions, competitive conditions in the Partnership’s industry, actions taken by third-party operators, gatherers, processors and transporters, the demand for crude oil and natural gas gathering and processing services, the Partnership’s ability to successfully integrate acquired businesses, the Partnership’s ability to fully realize anticipated synergies and other benefits from acquisitions, the Partnership’s ability to successfully implement its business plan, the Partnership’s ability to complete internal growth projects on time and on budget, the price and availability of debt and equity financing, the availability and price of crude oil and natural gas to the consumer compared to the price of alternative and competing fuels, and other risks inherent in the Partnership’s business, including those described under “Risk Factors” and “Forward-Looking Statements” in the Partnership's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2016 and in the other reports the Partnership files with the Securities and Exchange Commission. These reports are also available from the Partnership’s office or website, www.nblmidstream.com. Forward-looking statements are based on the estimates and opinions of management at the time the statements are made. Noble Midstream does not assume any obligation to update forward-looking statements should circumstances or management's estimates or opinions change. This presentation also contains certain measures of financial performance that are not calculated in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States (“GAAP”) that management believes are good tools for internal use and the investment community in evaluating Noble Midstream’s overall financial performance. Please see the attached schedules for reconciliations of the non-GAAP financial measures used in this presentation to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures. We refer to certain results as “attributable to the Partnership,” or “net,” which excludes the non-controlling interests in the development companies (“DevCos”) retained NBL. We believe the results “attributable to the Partnership” provide the best representation of the ongoing operations from which our unitholders will benefit.
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Noble Midstream Partners LP Overview
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- Noble Midstream Partners LP (“NBLX”) is a midstream
MLP formed by sponsor, Noble Energy, Inc. (“NBL”), to support the development of its leading liquids shale plays
- NBLX provides a diverse set of midstream services
- Crude oil gathering, treating and transmission
- Natural gas gathering
- Produced water gathering and freshwater delivery
- NBLX’s development company (“DevCo”) structure
provides multiple avenues for organic and drop down growth
- NBLX holds significant dedications in two leading U.S. oil
shale basins Partnership Overview Premier E&P Sponsorship
Noble Midstream GP LLC
(NYSE: NBL) (NYSE: NBLX)
Noble Midstream Services, LLC DevCos
Public Unitholders
0-95% Non-Controlling Interests 100% 100% 54.5% LP Interest 1 45.5 % LP Interest / IDRs 1 Non-economic GP Interest 5-100% Controlling Interests
DJ Basin 300,000 net acres + 141,0002 acres on Saddle Butte System3 Delaware Basin 111,000 net acres
1. As of 12/31/2017 2. Reflects anticipated expansion of PDC Energy acreage dedication to Saddle Butte System 3. Acquisition anticipated to close 1Q18
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Exceeding 2017 Goals and Objectives
- Strong Execution: Consecutive Quarterly Records for Volumes & Key Financial Figures
- NBL activity acceleration and strong enhanced completion performance
- 2017 growth projects on schedule and within budget
- Active Business Development with 3 M&A Transactions Totaling $649 mm (Net)
- Additional 3rd party business and exposure further downstream through Advantage Pipeline and
Black Diamond JVs
- Executed first accretive drop-down
- Extended Best-in-Class Distribution Growth of 20% Beyond 2020
- High distribution coverage of 2.4x1 for Q3
- Strong Financial Position and Capital Discipline
- Low leverage ratio of 1.1x3 for Q3 annualized
- Differentiated capital markets access supports compelling financial and strategic investments
1. Figures are Non-GAAP; see reconciliation to GAAP measures in Appendix 2. Estimates include forecasted DPU growth of 4.7% quarterly, or 20% annual 3. Defined as 3Q Debt / 3Q EBITDA * 4 ($200 million / $46 million *4); EBITDA is a Non-GAAP measure, see reconciliation to GAAP measures in Appendix
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Gathering Business Drives Strong Momentum into 2018
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1. Figures are Non-GAAP; see reconciliation to GAAP measures in Appendix
63 74 95 110 - 120 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q (E)
Oil and Gas Gathering
MBoe/d
9 13 27 38 - 48 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q (E)
Produced Water Gathering
MBw/d
129 184 175 110 - 150 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q (E)
Fresh Water Delivery
MBw/d
2Q 3Q
2nd Delaware Basin CGF 2017 Growth Projects:
4Q
1st Delaware Basin CGF online & connected to Advantage DJ Basin third-party gathering system online DJ Basin third-party fresh water system online
$26 $34 $46 $45 - $52 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q (E)
Net EBITDA ($mm)1
1.8x 1.9x 2.4x 2.2x - 2.5x
$0.411 $0.446 $0.467 $0.488
0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.35 0.40 0.45 0.50 0.55 .8x 1.x 1.3x 1.5x 1.8x 2.x 2.3x 2.5x 2.8x 3.x 3.3x 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q (E)
Distribution Coverage1 & DPU
Contribution from June 2017 Dropdown
- 3Q17 Net Income of $44mm, or $42mm Attributable to the Partnership
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Transformational Business Development Extends Growth Runway
Advantage Pipeline JV Acquisition
Delaware Basin crude transmission added to portfolio
- Feb. ’17
Delaware Basin Gas Gathering Dedication
NBL’s legacy 47,000 Delaware Basin acres
- Apr. ’17
Clayton Williams Gathering Dedication
Oil, gas and produced water gathering on 64,000 Delaware Basin acres
- Apr. ’17
Inaugural Dropdown Transaction
Accretive transaction providing additional exposure to Permian Basin
- Jun. ’17
Delaware Basin Gas Compression Services Announced
Added complementary service to existing and planned CGFs
- Oct. ’17
SRC Acquires 30k Acres in DJ Basin from NBL
Expected to accelerate development of NBLX dedicated acreage
- Nov. ‘17
Black Diamond JV to Acquire Saddle Butte System
Strategic asset will add significant third-party customers and
- perational synergies
- Dec. ‘17
- Pro-Forma 2017 Average USO
Rig Exposure Increases to >15
- NBLX Third-Party Acreage Mix
from ~20% to ~45% of DJ Basin Dedicated Acres
- Commitment to 50% / 50% DJ
Basin / Delaware Basin EBITDA Mix by 2020
- Enhanced Operating Leverage
- Extended 20% DPU Growth
Horizon Beyond 2020
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Third Party M&A: NBLX Playbook
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Preservation of Organic Story Results
- December 2017 nominations of ~60 MBbl/d
- Greater than 100% above April 2017 volumes
(initial month following transaction close)
- Greater than 33% above acquisition case
- Anticipated closing in 1Q18
Maintains NBLX’s differentiated status on coverage, leverage and growth Enhancing Third- Party Customer Platform
- Core Delaware Basin asset positioned for third-
party success
- Blue chip midstream partner in Plains All American
- Core DJ Basin asset adjacent to substantially all
major operating areas
- Six third-party contracted customers with 141K
dedicated acres1
Attractive Transaction Metrics
- Acquired at near new build cost
- Immediately accretive to DCFPU
- Attractive entry multiple for high-growth asset in
premier oil basin; expected to compress to organic build-like multiples without incremental contribution from NBLX / PDC
- Expected to be accretive to DCFPU in Year One
Differentiated Value Creation
Post-close contract execution:
- NBL Rosetta acreage dedication
- Plains Transportation Agreement
- NBLX ownership promote of 4.4%
- ~300K existing dedicated acres to NBLX in SBP
catchment area
- Anticipated expansion of existing SBP dedication
(PDC)
- Capital avoidance opportunities
M&A Strategy Focused on acquiring assets that NBLX can bring more to than the competition
1. Reflects anticipated expansion of PDC Energy acreage dedication to Saddle Butte System
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Introducing Black Diamond JV
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Strategic DJ Basin Acquisition and Partnership
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- Noble Midstream has formed a joint venture with
Greenfield Midstream (backed by Encap Flatrock) to acquire Saddle Butte Pipeline (or “SBP”) for $625mm 1
- NBLX to fund 50% of transaction ($312.5mm) for 54.4% of
joint venture economics; NBLX will operate and control the asset
- NBLX expects to fund the transaction with proceeds from
a common unit issuance and borrowings under its revolving credit facility
- SBP provides crude gathering, oil storage, and terminal
blending solutions with access to all DJ Basin takeaway
- utlets
- PDC is key anchor customer
- PDC is expected to expand acreage dedication and
extend contract term upon transaction close
- Transaction is expected to be accretive to Distributable
Cash Flow Per Unit (“DCFPU”) in Year One and maintains NBLX’s conservative leverage profile
- 4.4% promote improves asset returns
- Enhances NBLX’s commercial opportunity set
- NBLX and Greenfield Midstream to jointly provide
commercial efforts to attract further producer dedications Transaction Overview
1. Subject to closing and post closing adjustments. Transaction expected to close in Q1 2018, subject to regulatory approvals and certain closing conditions 2. Simplified organizational structure. Does not include all intermediary entities and subsidiaries
Joint Venture Structure 2
Black Diamond Gathering, LLC (NewCo)
54.4% economic
- wnership
including promote 45.6% economic
- wnership
50% of purchase price
Saddle Butte System Acquired Entities
100% (Laramie River DevCo) 50% of purchase price
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Transaction Rationale
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- A premier oil gathering system located in the core of
the DJ Basin
- Complementary to existing infrastructure
- Connectivity to every downstream takeaway option
in DJ Basin 1
- Existing SBP pipeline network footprint provides NBLX
meaningful capital avoidance opportunities
- Significant operational synergies expected to be
realized in Year One
- Total dedicated acres of ~141K from
existing customers 2
- Significant undedicated acreage in
catchment area
- NBLX has significant existing dedicated /
ROFR acreage within and around the pipeline system
Strategic Asset Synergies Scale
- Combined Business Development effort from NBLX and
Greenfield
- Greenfield brings experienced team with focus on
commercial success of asset
- Expected to be accretive to DCFPU
in Year One
- NBLX received a 4.4% ownership promote
- Significant multiple compression through
time as asset matures
- NBLX retains conservative leverage profile
- Six existing customers, including two of the larger
acreage holders in the basin
- PDC anchors existing acreage dedication and is
expected to expand and extend dedication upon closing
Focused Partners Attractive Metrics Blue Chip Customers
1. Subject to completion of Tallgrass’s Platteville extension 2. Includes PDC’s amended contract terms expected to be effective upon closing of the acquisition
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Saddle Butte is an Integrated Crude Oil Gathering System
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- Large-scale integrated gathering system located in the
core of the DJ Basin with ~160 miles of pipeline in
- peration and delivery capacity of >300 MBbl/d
- Early mover advantage – long term contracts supported
by top-tier producers
- System was constructed in 2015
- Large acreage dedications and footprint provide a
high degree of visibility into expected volume growth
- Contracted under fixed fee, long-term agreements
- Strategic footprint and system design that provides
maximum flexibility
- Terminal blending solutions; opportunity for varying
crude gravities
- Two terminal sites with current storage tank capacity
- f 210 MBbl (~300 MBbl by Q1 2018 and permitted for
990 MBbl)
- Downstream connectivity with every major crude
- utlet
- Only DJ Basin midstream service provider with ability
to deliver simultaneously to all major long-haul crude
- utlets in the region – Grand Mesa, Saddlehorn,
White Cliffs and Pony Express (under construction)
- Current throughput of ~55 MBbl/d
Saddle Butte Pipeline Overview Saddle Butte System Map
NBLX Existing Oil Infrastructure SBP System SBP Storage and Terminals
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Strategic Expansion of NBLX’s Existing Asset Footprint
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Current NBLX System Pro Forma System
- SBP system provides NBLX flexibility to enhance economic benefit from existing dedications
- Existing SBP footprint provides NBLX >$70mm in capital savings opportunities
- SBP overlaps much of NBLX planned infrastructure
- Adds storage and terminal blending solution to NBLX portfolio
- Improves NBLX third-party acreage mix from ~20% to ~45% of DJ Basin dedicated acres
z
NBLX Existing Infrastructure NBLX Planned Infrastructure NBLX Dedicated / ROFR Acreage
z
NBLX Existing Infrastructure NBLX Planned Infrastructure NBLX Dedicated / ROFR Acreage SBP System SBP Dedicated Acreage Incremental PDC Dedication
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Driving Incremental Value
The acquisition further enhances a high-growth asset with a history of commercial success
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- 115K dedicated acres under long-term
contracts and fixed fee arrangements (before PDC amendment)
- Footprint covers 23 townships and over 500K
acres
- 6 contracted customers
- Average of 7 dedicated rigs on system in 2017
Contract Footprint Standalone Track Record of Success
- Close proximity to ~300K NBLX dedicated
acres
- Ability to strategically contribute
volumes/acreage through time Noble Midstream Assets In Our Hands: Incremental Value Drivers
1 1
- Current throughput of ~55 MBbl/d
- ~150%+ growth from Q1 2017
- $625mm valuation attractive and is based on
standalone asset forecast
- Conservative activity growth from existing
customers
- Conservative additional commercial success
- No PDC contract amendment or NBL uplift
Key Metrics
- Dedicated team to continue
commercialization momentum
- Impressive track record of value creation
with deep DJ Basin experience
- Expansion of PDC dedication footprint to
~96K acres (+24K acres versus standalone)
- Brings total SBP dedications to ~141K acres
across all six customers
- Extension of contract duration
Greenfield Midstream
2 2
PDC Energy Contract Amendment Expected to be Effective Upon Close
+
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Business Update
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Delaware Basin (Blanco River DevCo):
- Infrastructure Buildout Continues to Support NBL’s 5 Rigs in
the Southern Delaware Basin
- First Two CGFs Online
- Construction Underway On Three CGFs
- 90 MBbl/d of Crude Oil Capacity Planned to be Operational
by mid-2018
- Full Infrastructure Buildout Includes ~450 Miles of Gathering
Pipelines (Oil, Gas and Produced Water)
- Gas Compression Services Begins 1Q 2018
Advantage Crude Oil System (Trinity River DevCo):
- 3Q Average Throughput 36 MBbl/d; December Nominations
~ 60 MBbl/d
- 4Q Average Throughput Expected 50 – 60 MBbl/d
- Billy Miner I and Jesse James CGF Connections and Plains All
American, L.P’s Wolfbone Ranch Station Connection to Advantage Pipeline In-Service
- Throughput on Advantage from Jesse James CGF
Commenced in December
Near-Term Delaware Basin CGF Projects Daily Capacity Oil
(MBbl/d)
Gas
(MMcf/d)
PW
(MBw/d)
Est. Online #1 Billy Miner I 15 30 30 Online #2 Jesse James 15 30 30 Online #3 Coronado * 20 30 60 1H 2018 #4 Billy Miner II 20 30 60 1H 2018 #5 Collier * 20 30 60 1H 2018
Delaware Basin Projects Update
Jesse James CGF
* expandable to 30 MBbl/d and 60 MMcf/d with minimal equipment additions
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DJ Basin Projects Update
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Greeley Crescent (Laramie River DevCo):
- Fresh Water Delivery and Oil and Produced Water Gathering
Systems Online
- September Oil Gathering Averaged ~15 MBbl/d; First Full Month
- f Gathering Volumes
- Additional Well Connections Expected to Drive Growth in 4Q
- 2 Rigs and 1 Completion Crew Expected Through 4Q
Wells Ranch and East Pony (Colorado River DevCo):
- 3Q Oil and Gas Gathering of 85 MBoe/d, 15% Above 2Q
- 2 Completion Crews Expected Through 4Q
- Upstream Results Continue to Outperform NBLX Expectations
Mustang (Green River DevCo):
- Expanded Fresh Water System Online in December 2017
- Construction Underway on Backbone Gathering Infrastructure;
Startup Expected Late 1Q 2018
- 2 Rigs Expected Through 4Q
- Full Infrastructure Build Out Includes ~250 Miles of Pipelines
(Oil, Gas, PW and FW)
Greely Crescent Infrastructure Design
Legacy Third-Party Acreage Dedication Third-Party Acreage Recently Acquired from NBL NBL Acreage LARAMIE RIVER DEVCO GUNNISON RIVER DEVCO
Mustang Infrastructure Design
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Third Quarter 2017 Results
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- Oil and Gas Gathering Volume Growth of 29%
- Produced Water Gathering Volume Up >2x
- Fresh Water Delivery Volumes Decreased 5%
- Previously announced reduced completion
activity from both DJ Basin customers beginning in August
- Net Income of $44mm, or $42mm Attributable to
the Partnership
- Cash from Operations of $50mm
- EBITDA1 Attributable to the Partnership of
$46mm
- 36% growth above second quarter
- Distribution Coverage1 of 2.4x
- 3Q Annualized Leverage Ratio2 of 1.1x
- $161mm of liquidity at end of 3Q
- 4.7% Distribution per Unit Increase
- Capital Expenditures of $94mm
- $59 million attributable to the Partnership,
$4mm above the previous guidance range
3Q v 2Q (%) Gross Volumes & Wells Connected 1Q 2Q 3Q Record Oil Gathered (MBbl/d) 44 54 71
32% Gas Gathered (MMcf/d) 112 122 146
20% Oil and Gas Gathered (MBoe/d) 63 74 95
29% Produced Water Gathered (MBw/d) 9 13 27
113% Fresh Water Delivered (MBw/d)
per equivalent well average (NBL wells only)
129
217
184
227
175
203
(5%)
(11%)
Equivalent Wells Connected 31 48 147
Key Financial Metrics & Capital, excluding Acquisitions ($mm) Gross Net Income $35 $39 $44
12% EBITDA1 $37 $42 $48
15% Net EBITDA1 $26 $34 $46
36% Distributable Cash Flow (DCF)1 $24 $30 $41
34% Distribution Coverage1 1.8x 1.9x 2.4x
27% Gross Capital $76 $84 $94 12% Net Capital $59 $46 $59 29%
1. Figures are Non-GAAP; see reconciliation to GAAP measures in Appendix 2. Defined as 3Q Debt / 3Q EBITDA * 4 ($200 million / $46 million *4); EBITDA is a Non-GAAP measure, see reconciliation to GAAP measures in Appendix
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$31 $40 $46
Gathering EBITDA Normalized FW Actual FW
Conservative Planning for Fresh Water
Gathering EBITDA
3Q 2017 NBLX Net EBITDA and Distribution Coverage (1,2)
Normalized Freshwater Delivery EBITDA (3) Actual Freshwater Delivery EBITDA Implied Distribution Coverage of 3Q Distribution x
2.0x 2.4x
1. Figures are Non-GAAP; see reconciliation to GAAP measures in Appendix 2. G&A allocated to gathering and freshwater delivery based on proportionate share of EBITDA; coverage figures reflect full net maintenance capital totals 3. Assumes 1H 2016 average water volumes / equivalent well
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Fresh Water per Equivalent Well (Noble Energy Wells Only)
1.5x
114 260 50 100 150 200 250 300 East Pony federal Wells Ranch
3Q 2017 Average Fresh Water per Equivalent Well (MBw)
82 80 91 104 120 120 294 250 217 227 203 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 1Q '152Q '153Q '154Q '151Q '162Q '163Q '164Q '161Q '172Q '173Q '17 ~200% Higher than 1Q15 – 2Q16 Average 1Q ’15 – 2Q ‘16 Average = 100
- Incremental Fresh Water Demand from Enhanced
Completions Has Contributed to Incremental Coverage Since 3Q 2016
- 3Q ’17 Gathering Segment Provided 1.5x DCF1 Coverage
- Completion Mix (East Pony Federal and Third-Party)
Contributing to Lower Fresh Water per Equivalent Well
- Wells Ranch has averaged between 260 – 268 MBw per
equivalent well for the last three quarters
$ in millions Normalized Freshwater (120 MBw/equivalent well) Actual Freshwater Pre-IPO Freshwater
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Strategy
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Continuous focus on safety culture Customer service mentality for NBL and 3rd parties Execute on “back-yard”
- pportunities
Preserve prudent long-term leverage and coverage 20% distribution per unit growth rate through 2020+ Effectively manage and optimize dropdown inventory 50% Permian EBITDA contribution by 2020
Increase Permian Exposure Execute Dropdowns Distribution Growth Disciplined Financial Principals Increase 3rd Party Business Customer Service Safety
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Appendix
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2017 Capital
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Colorado River 8% Laramie River 26% Green River 13% Blanco River 48% Trinity River 5%
Gross Capital1 $385 - $405 MM
1. Excludes Acquisition Capital
DJ Basin Delaware Basin DevCo % Ownership Colorado River 100% Laramie River 100% Green River 25% Blanco River 40% Trinity River 100% Expected 2017 Capital Investment
- ~ 24 miles of
gathering lines
- Wells Ranch
produced water expansion
- Infrastructure build
- ut for DJ Basin 3rd
party, including oil pipeline connecting to White Cliffs and Grand Mesa
- Mustang backbone
infrastructure build
- ut for oil, gas, PW
& FW services
- Delaware Basin
central gathering facilities and infrastructure build
- ut
- Advantage pipeline
integration capital and CGF tie-in
Colorado River 12% Laramie River 44% Green River 6% Blanco River 29% Trinity River 9%
Net Capital1
(attributable to the Partnership)
$230 - $240 MM
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50%
NBLX Structure
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Green River San Juan River Gunnison River Colorado River Laramie River Trinity River Blanco River Controlling Interest Noble Midstream Services, LLC Public Unitholders (LP) White Cliffs Pipeline L.L.C. ROFR Assets:
- East Pony Gas Gathering
- East Pony Gas Processing
- Eagle Ford Shale Midstream
- Additional DJ Acreage
- Additional Delaware Basin
Services Noble Energy NYSE: NBL Noble Midstream Partners LP NYSE: NBLX Noble Midstream GP LLC 45.5% Limited Partner Interest 1 100% 100% 100% 100% 5% 25% 25% 40% 75% 95% 3.33% Non-Operating Membership Interest 54.5% Limited Partner Interest 1 100% Non-Economic General Partner Interest Advantage JV
1. As of 12/31/2017 2. Pro forma for Saddle Butte acquisition
60% 75% Black Diamond JV 2 Non-Controlling Interest 54.4%
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NBLX Asset Map: DJ Basin
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Black Diamond JV (54.4%) 1 Dedicated Acres: 141k2 Laramie River DevCo (100%)
- Oil Gathering
Area: East Pony Dedicated Acres: 44k Colorado River DevCo (100%)
- Oil Gathering
San Juan River DevCo (25%)
- FW Delivery
Area: Mustang Dedicated Acres: 75k Green River DevCo (100%)
- Oil Gathering
- Gas Gathering
- PW Gathering
- FW Delivery
Area: Wells Ranch Dedicated Acres: 78k Colorado River DevCo (100%)
- Oil Gathering
- Gas Gathering
- PW Gathering
- FW Delivery
Area: Greeley Crescent Dedicated Acres: 65k Laramie River DevCo (100%)
- Oil Gathering
- PW Gathering
- FW Delivery
Area: Bronco Dedicated Acres: 36k Gunnison River DevCo (5%)
- Oil Gathering
- PW Gathering
- FW Delivery
1. Acquisition anticipated to close 1Q18 2. Reflects anticipated expansion of PDC Energy acreage dedication to Saddle Butte System
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NBLX Asset Map: Delaware Basin
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Area: Delaware Basin Dedicated Acres: 111k Blanco River DevCo (40%)
- Oil Gathering
- Gas Gathering
- PW Gathering
Trinity River DevCo (100%)
- HP Gas Compression
Advantage JV (50%) NBL Dedicated Acres: 47k Trinity River DevCo (100%)
- Oil Transmission
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2017 Guidance Detail
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Actuals Guidance 3Q to 4Q Mid-Point % Change Gross Volumes & Wells Connected 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 2017 Oil Gathered (MBbl/d) 44 54 71 82 – 90 63 – 65 +21% Gas Gathered (MMcf/d) 112 122 146 165 – 180 137 – 140 +18% Oil and Gas Gathered (MBoe/d) 63 74 95 110 – 120 86 – 88 +20% Produced Water Gathered (MBw/d) 9 13 27 38 – 48 22 – 24 +60% Fresh Water Delivered (MBw/d)
per equivalent well average (NBL wells only)
129
217
184
227
175
203
110 – 150 150 – 160
- 26%
Equivalent Wells Connected 31 48 147 Key Financial Metrics & Capital, excluding acquisitions ($mm) Gross Net Income $35 $39 $44 $43 – $47 $160 – $164 +2% EBITDA1 $37 $42 $48 $48 – $55 $175 – $182 +7% Net EBITDA1 $26 $34 $46 $45 – $52 $151 – $158 +5% Distributable Cash Flow $24 $30 $41 $39 – $45 $134 – $140 +3% Distribution Coverage1,2 1.8x 1.9x 2.4x 2.2x – 2.5x 2.1x – 2.2x
- 3%
Gross Capital $76 $84 $94 $131 – $151 $385 – $405 +50% Net Capital $59 $46 $59 $66 – $76 $230 – $240 +20%
1. Figures are Non-GAAP; see reconciliation to GAAP measures in Appendix 2. Estimates include forecasted DPU growth of 4.7% quarterly, or 20% annual
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Significant Dropdown Inventory Supplements Organic Growth
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Current Status of Asset Acreage NBL Retained Interest
- Blanco River (Delaware Basin)
60% Operational 111,000
- Green River (DJ Basin – Mustang IDP)
75% In Progress 75,000
- Gunnison River (DJ Basin – Bronco IDP)
95% Undeveloped 36,000
- San Juan River (DJ Basin - East Pony Fresh Water)
75% Operational 44,000
Wholly Retained Assets
- Legacy CWEI Infrastructure Assets
Operational N/A
- East Pony Gas Gathering
- East Pony Gas Processing
Operational 44,000
- Eagle Ford Gathering
Operational 31,000
Other ROFR Services
- Delaware Basin Salt Water Disposal
- Delaware Basin Fresh Water Delivery
In Progress 111,000
- Crude Oil Gathering, Natural Gas Gathering and Water Services ROFR on all future acquired
- nshore acreage in U.S. (outside of Marcellus Shale)
Continue to Target One Dropdown per Year From Significant Inventory
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EBITDA Reconciliation
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Non-GAAP Financial Measures
This presentation includes EBITDA, Distributable Cash Flow, and Distribution Coverage, all of which are non-GAAP measures that management believes are good tools for internal use and the investment community in evaluating our overall financial performance. The following presents a reconciliation of each of these non-GAAP financial measures to their nearest comparable GAAP measure. We define EBITDA as net income before income taxes, net interest expense, depreciation and amortization. EBITDA is used as a supplemental financial measure by management and by external users of our financial statements, such as investors, industry analysts, lenders and ratings agencies, to assess:
- ur operating performance as compared to those of other companies in the midstream energy industry, without regard to financing methods, historical cost basis or capital structure;
- the ability of our assets to generate sufficient cash flow to make distributions to our partners;
- ur ability to incur and service debt and fund capital expenditures; and
- the viability of acquisitions and other capital expenditure projects and the returns on investment of various investment opportunities.
We define Distributable Cash Flow as EBITDA less estimated maintenance capital expenditures and cash interest expense. Distributable Cash Flow is used by management to evaluate our overall
- performance. Our partnership agreement requires us to distribute all available cash on a quarterly basis, and Distributable Cash Flow is one of the factors used by the board of directors of our
general partner to help determine the amount of available cash that is available to our unitholders for a given period. We calculate our Distribution Coverage ratio as Distributable Cash Flow for a given quarter divided by the aggregate amount of distributions declared in respect of such quarter. The Distribution Coverage ratio is used by management to illustrate our ability to make our distributions each quarter. We believe that the presentation of EBITDA and Distributable Cash Flow provide information useful to investors in assessing our financial condition and results of operations. The GAAP measures most directly comparable to EBITDA and Distributable Cash Flow are net income and net cash provided by operating activities. EBITDA and Distributable Cash Flow should not be considered alternatives to net income, net cash provided by (used in) operating activities or any other measure of financial performance or liquidity presented in accordance with GAAP. EBITDA and Distributable Cash Flow exclude some, but not all, items that affect net income or net cash, and these measures may vary from those of other companies. As a result, EBITDA and Distributable Cash Flow as presented in the following pages may not be comparable to similarly titled measures of other companies. EBITDA and Distributable Cash Flow should not be considered as alternatives to GAAP measures, such as net income, operating income, cash flow from operating activities, or any other GAAP measure of financial performance.
$ in millions
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q (E) FY (E) Net Income 35 $ 39 $ 44 $ $43 - $47 $160 - $164 Add: Depreciation and Amortization 2 2 4 4 - 6 12 - 14 Add: Interest Expense, Net of Amount Capitalized 1 1 - 2 2 - 3 Add: Income Tax Provision
- Add: Unit-Based Compensation
1 EBITDA 37 $ 42 $ 48 $ $48 - $55 $175 - $182 Less: EBITDA Attributable to Noncontrolling Interests 11 8 2 3 24 EBITDA Attributable to NBLX 26 $ 34 $ 46 $ $45 - $52 $151 - $158 Less: Maintenance Capital Expenditures & Cash Interest 3 4 5 6 - 7 17 - 18 DCF Attributable to NBLX 24 $ 30 $ 41 $ $39 - $45 $134 - $140 Distribution Coverage 1.8x 1.9x 2.4x 2.2x - 2.5x 2.1x - 2.2x 2017
www.nblmidstream.com
1001 Noble Energy Way Houston, TX 77070
Contact Information
Megan Repine Investor Relations megan.repine@nblmidstream.com 832.639.7380