Hypothesis Testing February 25, 2020 Data Science CSCI 1951A Brown - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Hypothesis Testing February 25, 2020 Data Science CSCI 1951A Brown - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Hypothesis Testing February 25, 2020 Data Science CSCI 1951A Brown University Instructor: Ellie Pavlick HTAs: Josh Levin, Diane Mutako, Sol Zitter 1 Announcements .? 2 Today Two quick preliminaries: LoLN and CLT Follow up


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SLIDE 1

Hypothesis Testing

February 25, 2020 Data Science CSCI 1951A Brown University Instructor: Ellie Pavlick HTAs: Josh Levin, Diane Mutako, Sol Zitter

1

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SLIDE 2

Announcements

  • ….?

2

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SLIDE 3

Today

  • Two quick preliminaries: LoLN and CLT
  • Follow up from last time
  • Common tests: chi-squared test, z-test/t-tests

3

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SLIDE 4

Law of Large Numbers

  • If you perform the same experiment

a large number times, the average will converge to the expected value

  • Assumes that errors are “random”

and uncorrelated, so will balance

  • ut over time

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_large_numbers

¯ Xn = 1 n(X1 + · · · + Xn) ¯ Xn → µ as n → ∞

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4

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SLIDE 5

Central Limit Theorem

  • Given
  • Not only does a
  • But the distribution approaches a normal distribution

n · · · ¯ Xn → µ as n → ∞

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X1 . . . Xn

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5

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SLIDE 6

Central Limit Theorem

0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

1.00

c d b d b a d c b c b d

6

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SLIDE 7

Central Limit Theorem

0.75 1.5 2.25 3 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

3.00 2.00

c d b d b a d c b c b d

7

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SLIDE 8

Central Limit Theorem

1.5 3 4.5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

1.00 1.00 6.00 2.00

c d b d b a d c b c b d

8

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SLIDE 9

Central Limit Theorem

10 20 30 40 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

10.00 20.00 40.00 20.00 10.00

c d b d b a d c b c b d

9

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SLIDE 10

Central Limit Theorem

10 20 30 40 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

10.00 20.00 40.00 20.00 10.00

c d b d b a d c b c b d

I.e. test statistics are

  • ften normally

distributed…

10

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SLIDE 11

Central Limit Theorem

10 20 30 40 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

10.00 20.00 40.00 20.00 10.00

c d b d b a d c b c b d

Can apply statistical methods designed for normal distributions even when underlying distribution is not normal

11

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SLIDE 12

Clicker Question!

12

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SLIDE 13

10 20 30 40 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90100

Clicker Question!

Every year, I compute the mean grade in my class. I never change the material or my methods for evaluating because, lazy. Over the 439 years that I have been teaching this class, this has resulted in the below distribution. Which of these is mostly like the typical distribution on any given year?

10 20 30 40 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

(a)

10 20 30 40 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90100

(b) (c) can’t say, could be either

13

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SLIDE 14

10 20 30 40 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90100

Clicker Question!

Every year, I compute the mean grade in my class. I never change the material or my methods for evaluating because, lazy. Over the 439 years that I have been teaching this class, this has resulted in the below distribution. Which of these is mostly like the typical distribution on any given year?

10 20 30 40 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

(a)

10 20 30 40 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90100

(b) (c) can’t say, could be either

14

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SLIDE 15

10 20 30 40 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90100

Clicker Question!

Every year, I compute the mean grade in my class. I never change the material or my methods for evaluating because, lazy. Over the 439 years that I have been teaching this class, this has resulted in the below distribution. Which of these is mostly like the typical distribution on any given year?

10 20 30 40 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

(a)

10 20 30 40 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90100

(b) (c) can’t say, could be either

Central Limit Theorem: repeated measures of mean will be normally distributed, doesn’ t assume the population over which you are taking the mean is normally distributed.

15

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SLIDE 16

Today

  • Two quick preliminaries: LoLN and CLT
  • Follow up from last time
  • Common tests: chi-squared test, z-test/t-tests

16

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SLIDE 17

Hypothesis Testing in General

  • Null hypothesis (H0) — the “nothing to see here”

assumption

  • Alternative hypothesis (Ha)—the thing you know will

lead to an explosive headline and are really hoping is true but you are a good scientist, so you will look to the data to confirm

17

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SLIDE 18

Hypothesis Testing in General

  • Null hypothesis (H0) — the “nothing to see here”

assumption

  • Alternative hypothesis (Ha)—the thing you know will

lead to an explosive headline and are really hoping is true but you are a good scientist, so you will look to the data to confirm

18

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SLIDE 19

Hypothesis Testing in General

  • Null hypothesis (H0) — the “nothing to see here”

assumption

  • Alternative hypothesis (Ha)—the thing you know will

lead to an explosive headline and are really hoping is true but you are a good scientist, so you will look to the data to confirm

19

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SLIDE 20

Hypothesis Testing in General

  • Null hypothesis (H0) — the “nothing to see here”

assumption

  • Alternative hypothesis (Ha)—the thing you know will

lead to an explosive headline and are really hoping is true but you are a good scientist, so you will look to the data to confirm Thing you can model

20

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SLIDE 21

Hypothesis Testing in General

  • Null hypothesis (H0) — the “nothing to see here”

assumption

  • Alternative hypothesis (Ha)—the thing you know will

lead to an explosive headline and are really hoping is true but you are a good scientist, so you will look to the data to confirm Thing you can model Matters for how you compute p-values…more soon

21

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SLIDE 22

Hypothesis Testing in General

  • Assume the null hypothesis is true—i.e., don’t

deviate from status quo without good reason :)

  • If there is enough evidence to suggest that H0 is

highly unlikely, then we can say we “reject the null hypothesis”

  • If there is not enough evidence, we “fail to reject it”
  • We don’t “accept” or “prove” H0 or Ha

22

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SLIDE 23
  • Determine an appropriate test statistic, given your

null hypothesis

  • Come up with a theoretical distribution of that test

statistic (often, this work has been done for you)

  • Compute the likelihood of your test statistic, given

that theoretical distribution

Hypothesis Testing in General

23

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SLIDE 24

Hypothesis Testing

“I swear literally like 80% of the answers are just (b)”

hΩ, F, Pi

<latexit sha1_base64="EiaYKOL1VTSk+93M8x0Av3/NtkA=">ACBXicbVA9SwNBEN2LXzF+nVpqsRgEixDuRNAyKIidEcwH5ELY20ySJbt7x+6eEI40Nv4VGwtFbP0Pdv4bN5cUmvhg4PHeDPzwpgzbTzv28ktLa+sruXCxubW9s7u5eXUeJolCjEY9UMyQaOJNQM8xwaMYKiAg5NMLh1cRvPIDSLJL3ZhRDW5C+ZD1GibFSxz0MOJF9Dji4FdAnJXxdwlUcqEzsuEWv7GXAi8SfkSKaodpxv4JuRBMB0lBOtG75XmzaKVGUQ7jQpBoiAkdkj60LJVEgG6n2RdjfGyVLu5FypY0OFN/T6REaD0Soe0UxAz0vDcR/NaieldtFMm48SApNFvYRjE+FJLjLFDR5YQqpi9FdMBUYQaG1zBhuDPv7xI6qdl3yv7d2fFyuUsjw6QEfoBPnoHFXQDaqiGqLoET2jV/TmPDkvzrvzMW3NObOZfQHzucPOdGXGg=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="EiaYKOL1VTSk+93M8x0Av3/NtkA=">ACBXicbVA9SwNBEN2LXzF+nVpqsRgEixDuRNAyKIidEcwH5ELY20ySJbt7x+6eEI40Nv4VGwtFbP0Pdv4bN5cUmvhg4PHeDPzwpgzbTzv28ktLa+sruXCxubW9s7u5eXUeJolCjEY9UMyQaOJNQM8xwaMYKiAg5NMLh1cRvPIDSLJL3ZhRDW5C+ZD1GibFSxz0MOJF9Dji4FdAnJXxdwlUcqEzsuEWv7GXAi8SfkSKaodpxv4JuRBMB0lBOtG75XmzaKVGUQ7jQpBoiAkdkj60LJVEgG6n2RdjfGyVLu5FypY0OFN/T6REaD0Soe0UxAz0vDcR/NaieldtFMm48SApNFvYRjE+FJLjLFDR5YQqpi9FdMBUYQaG1zBhuDPv7xI6qdl3yv7d2fFyuUsjw6QEfoBPnoHFXQDaqiGqLoET2jV/TmPDkvzrvzMW3NObOZfQHzucPOdGXGg=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="EiaYKOL1VTSk+93M8x0Av3/NtkA=">ACBXicbVA9SwNBEN2LXzF+nVpqsRgEixDuRNAyKIidEcwH5ELY20ySJbt7x+6eEI40Nv4VGwtFbP0Pdv4bN5cUmvhg4PHeDPzwpgzbTzv28ktLa+sruXCxubW9s7u5eXUeJolCjEY9UMyQaOJNQM8xwaMYKiAg5NMLh1cRvPIDSLJL3ZhRDW5C+ZD1GibFSxz0MOJF9Dji4FdAnJXxdwlUcqEzsuEWv7GXAi8SfkSKaodpxv4JuRBMB0lBOtG75XmzaKVGUQ7jQpBoiAkdkj60LJVEgG6n2RdjfGyVLu5FypY0OFN/T6REaD0Soe0UxAz0vDcR/NaieldtFMm48SApNFvYRjE+FJLjLFDR5YQqpi9FdMBUYQaG1zBhuDPv7xI6qdl3yv7d2fFyuUsjw6QEfoBPnoHFXQDaqiGqLoET2jV/TmPDkvzrvzMW3NObOZfQHzucPOdGXGg=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="EiaYKOL1VTSk+93M8x0Av3/NtkA=">ACBXicbVA9SwNBEN2LXzF+nVpqsRgEixDuRNAyKIidEcwH5ELY20ySJbt7x+6eEI40Nv4VGwtFbP0Pdv4bN5cUmvhg4PHeDPzwpgzbTzv28ktLa+sruXCxubW9s7u5eXUeJolCjEY9UMyQaOJNQM8xwaMYKiAg5NMLh1cRvPIDSLJL3ZhRDW5C+ZD1GibFSxz0MOJF9Dji4FdAnJXxdwlUcqEzsuEWv7GXAi8SfkSKaodpxv4JuRBMB0lBOtG75XmzaKVGUQ7jQpBoiAkdkj60LJVEgG6n2RdjfGyVLu5FypY0OFN/T6REaD0Soe0UxAz0vDcR/NaieldtFMm48SApNFvYRjE+FJLjLFDR5YQqpi9FdMBUYQaG1zBhuDPv7xI6qdl3yv7d2fFyuUsjw6QEfoBPnoHFXQDaqiGqLoET2jV/TmPDkvzrvzMW3NObOZfQHzucPOdGXGg=</latexit>

p(B) = 0.8 {b, not b}

cdf

0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

1.00 0.93 0.73 0.44 0.21 0.07 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

c d b d b a d c b c b d

4

24

slide-25
SLIDE 25

Hypothesis Testing

“I swear literally like 80% of the answers are just (b)”

hΩ, F, Pi

<latexit sha1_base64="EiaYKOL1VTSk+93M8x0Av3/NtkA=">ACBXicbVA9SwNBEN2LXzF+nVpqsRgEixDuRNAyKIidEcwH5ELY20ySJbt7x+6eEI40Nv4VGwtFbP0Pdv4bN5cUmvhg4PHeDPzwpgzbTzv28ktLa+sruXCxubW9s7u5eXUeJolCjEY9UMyQaOJNQM8xwaMYKiAg5NMLh1cRvPIDSLJL3ZhRDW5C+ZD1GibFSxz0MOJF9Dji4FdAnJXxdwlUcqEzsuEWv7GXAi8SfkSKaodpxv4JuRBMB0lBOtG75XmzaKVGUQ7jQpBoiAkdkj60LJVEgG6n2RdjfGyVLu5FypY0OFN/T6REaD0Soe0UxAz0vDcR/NaieldtFMm48SApNFvYRjE+FJLjLFDR5YQqpi9FdMBUYQaG1zBhuDPv7xI6qdl3yv7d2fFyuUsjw6QEfoBPnoHFXQDaqiGqLoET2jV/TmPDkvzrvzMW3NObOZfQHzucPOdGXGg=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="EiaYKOL1VTSk+93M8x0Av3/NtkA=">ACBXicbVA9SwNBEN2LXzF+nVpqsRgEixDuRNAyKIidEcwH5ELY20ySJbt7x+6eEI40Nv4VGwtFbP0Pdv4bN5cUmvhg4PHeDPzwpgzbTzv28ktLa+sruXCxubW9s7u5eXUeJolCjEY9UMyQaOJNQM8xwaMYKiAg5NMLh1cRvPIDSLJL3ZhRDW5C+ZD1GibFSxz0MOJF9Dji4FdAnJXxdwlUcqEzsuEWv7GXAi8SfkSKaodpxv4JuRBMB0lBOtG75XmzaKVGUQ7jQpBoiAkdkj60LJVEgG6n2RdjfGyVLu5FypY0OFN/T6REaD0Soe0UxAz0vDcR/NaieldtFMm48SApNFvYRjE+FJLjLFDR5YQqpi9FdMBUYQaG1zBhuDPv7xI6qdl3yv7d2fFyuUsjw6QEfoBPnoHFXQDaqiGqLoET2jV/TmPDkvzrvzMW3NObOZfQHzucPOdGXGg=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="EiaYKOL1VTSk+93M8x0Av3/NtkA=">ACBXicbVA9SwNBEN2LXzF+nVpqsRgEixDuRNAyKIidEcwH5ELY20ySJbt7x+6eEI40Nv4VGwtFbP0Pdv4bN5cUmvhg4PHeDPzwpgzbTzv28ktLa+sruXCxubW9s7u5eXUeJolCjEY9UMyQaOJNQM8xwaMYKiAg5NMLh1cRvPIDSLJL3ZhRDW5C+ZD1GibFSxz0MOJF9Dji4FdAnJXxdwlUcqEzsuEWv7GXAi8SfkSKaodpxv4JuRBMB0lBOtG75XmzaKVGUQ7jQpBoiAkdkj60LJVEgG6n2RdjfGyVLu5FypY0OFN/T6REaD0Soe0UxAz0vDcR/NaieldtFMm48SApNFvYRjE+FJLjLFDR5YQqpi9FdMBUYQaG1zBhuDPv7xI6qdl3yv7d2fFyuUsjw6QEfoBPnoHFXQDaqiGqLoET2jV/TmPDkvzrvzMW3NObOZfQHzucPOdGXGg=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="EiaYKOL1VTSk+93M8x0Av3/NtkA=">ACBXicbVA9SwNBEN2LXzF+nVpqsRgEixDuRNAyKIidEcwH5ELY20ySJbt7x+6eEI40Nv4VGwtFbP0Pdv4bN5cUmvhg4PHeDPzwpgzbTzv28ktLa+sruXCxubW9s7u5eXUeJolCjEY9UMyQaOJNQM8xwaMYKiAg5NMLh1cRvPIDSLJL3ZhRDW5C+ZD1GibFSxz0MOJF9Dji4FdAnJXxdwlUcqEzsuEWv7GXAi8SfkSKaodpxv4JuRBMB0lBOtG75XmzaKVGUQ7jQpBoiAkdkj60LJVEgG6n2RdjfGyVLu5FypY0OFN/T6REaD0Soe0UxAz0vDcR/NaieldtFMm48SApNFvYRjE+FJLjLFDR5YQqpi9FdMBUYQaG1zBhuDPv7xI6qdl3yv7d2fFyuUsjw6QEfoBPnoHFXQDaqiGqLoET2jV/TmPDkvzrvzMW3NObOZfQHzucPOdGXGg=</latexit>

p(B) = 0.8 {b, not b}

cdf

0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

1.00 0.93 0.73 0.44 0.21 0.07 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

c d b d b a d c b c b d

Hypothesis

4

25

slide-26
SLIDE 26

Hypothesis Testing

“I swear literally like 80% of the answers are just (b)”

hΩ, F, Pi

<latexit sha1_base64="EiaYKOL1VTSk+93M8x0Av3/NtkA=">ACBXicbVA9SwNBEN2LXzF+nVpqsRgEixDuRNAyKIidEcwH5ELY20ySJbt7x+6eEI40Nv4VGwtFbP0Pdv4bN5cUmvhg4PHeDPzwpgzbTzv28ktLa+sruXCxubW9s7u5eXUeJolCjEY9UMyQaOJNQM8xwaMYKiAg5NMLh1cRvPIDSLJL3ZhRDW5C+ZD1GibFSxz0MOJF9Dji4FdAnJXxdwlUcqEzsuEWv7GXAi8SfkSKaodpxv4JuRBMB0lBOtG75XmzaKVGUQ7jQpBoiAkdkj60LJVEgG6n2RdjfGyVLu5FypY0OFN/T6REaD0Soe0UxAz0vDcR/NaieldtFMm48SApNFvYRjE+FJLjLFDR5YQqpi9FdMBUYQaG1zBhuDPv7xI6qdl3yv7d2fFyuUsjw6QEfoBPnoHFXQDaqiGqLoET2jV/TmPDkvzrvzMW3NObOZfQHzucPOdGXGg=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="EiaYKOL1VTSk+93M8x0Av3/NtkA=">ACBXicbVA9SwNBEN2LXzF+nVpqsRgEixDuRNAyKIidEcwH5ELY20ySJbt7x+6eEI40Nv4VGwtFbP0Pdv4bN5cUmvhg4PHeDPzwpgzbTzv28ktLa+sruXCxubW9s7u5eXUeJolCjEY9UMyQaOJNQM8xwaMYKiAg5NMLh1cRvPIDSLJL3ZhRDW5C+ZD1GibFSxz0MOJF9Dji4FdAnJXxdwlUcqEzsuEWv7GXAi8SfkSKaodpxv4JuRBMB0lBOtG75XmzaKVGUQ7jQpBoiAkdkj60LJVEgG6n2RdjfGyVLu5FypY0OFN/T6REaD0Soe0UxAz0vDcR/NaieldtFMm48SApNFvYRjE+FJLjLFDR5YQqpi9FdMBUYQaG1zBhuDPv7xI6qdl3yv7d2fFyuUsjw6QEfoBPnoHFXQDaqiGqLoET2jV/TmPDkvzrvzMW3NObOZfQHzucPOdGXGg=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="EiaYKOL1VTSk+93M8x0Av3/NtkA=">ACBXicbVA9SwNBEN2LXzF+nVpqsRgEixDuRNAyKIidEcwH5ELY20ySJbt7x+6eEI40Nv4VGwtFbP0Pdv4bN5cUmvhg4PHeDPzwpgzbTzv28ktLa+sruXCxubW9s7u5eXUeJolCjEY9UMyQaOJNQM8xwaMYKiAg5NMLh1cRvPIDSLJL3ZhRDW5C+ZD1GibFSxz0MOJF9Dji4FdAnJXxdwlUcqEzsuEWv7GXAi8SfkSKaodpxv4JuRBMB0lBOtG75XmzaKVGUQ7jQpBoiAkdkj60LJVEgG6n2RdjfGyVLu5FypY0OFN/T6REaD0Soe0UxAz0vDcR/NaieldtFMm48SApNFvYRjE+FJLjLFDR5YQqpi9FdMBUYQaG1zBhuDPv7xI6qdl3yv7d2fFyuUsjw6QEfoBPnoHFXQDaqiGqLoET2jV/TmPDkvzrvzMW3NObOZfQHzucPOdGXGg=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="EiaYKOL1VTSk+93M8x0Av3/NtkA=">ACBXicbVA9SwNBEN2LXzF+nVpqsRgEixDuRNAyKIidEcwH5ELY20ySJbt7x+6eEI40Nv4VGwtFbP0Pdv4bN5cUmvhg4PHeDPzwpgzbTzv28ktLa+sruXCxubW9s7u5eXUeJolCjEY9UMyQaOJNQM8xwaMYKiAg5NMLh1cRvPIDSLJL3ZhRDW5C+ZD1GibFSxz0MOJF9Dji4FdAnJXxdwlUcqEzsuEWv7GXAi8SfkSKaodpxv4JuRBMB0lBOtG75XmzaKVGUQ7jQpBoiAkdkj60LJVEgG6n2RdjfGyVLu5FypY0OFN/T6REaD0Soe0UxAz0vDcR/NaieldtFMm48SApNFvYRjE+FJLjLFDR5YQqpi9FdMBUYQaG1zBhuDPv7xI6qdl3yv7d2fFyuUsjw6QEfoBPnoHFXQDaqiGqLoET2jV/TmPDkvzrvzMW3NObOZfQHzucPOdGXGg=</latexit>

p(B) = 0.8 {b, not b}

cdf

0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

1.00 0.93 0.73 0.44 0.21 0.07 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

c d b d b a d c b c b d

Observation/Sample

4

26

slide-27
SLIDE 27

Hypothesis Testing

“I swear literally like 80% of the answers are just (b)”

hΩ, F, Pi

<latexit sha1_base64="EiaYKOL1VTSk+93M8x0Av3/NtkA=">ACBXicbVA9SwNBEN2LXzF+nVpqsRgEixDuRNAyKIidEcwH5ELY20ySJbt7x+6eEI40Nv4VGwtFbP0Pdv4bN5cUmvhg4PHeDPzwpgzbTzv28ktLa+sruXCxubW9s7u5eXUeJolCjEY9UMyQaOJNQM8xwaMYKiAg5NMLh1cRvPIDSLJL3ZhRDW5C+ZD1GibFSxz0MOJF9Dji4FdAnJXxdwlUcqEzsuEWv7GXAi8SfkSKaodpxv4JuRBMB0lBOtG75XmzaKVGUQ7jQpBoiAkdkj60LJVEgG6n2RdjfGyVLu5FypY0OFN/T6REaD0Soe0UxAz0vDcR/NaieldtFMm48SApNFvYRjE+FJLjLFDR5YQqpi9FdMBUYQaG1zBhuDPv7xI6qdl3yv7d2fFyuUsjw6QEfoBPnoHFXQDaqiGqLoET2jV/TmPDkvzrvzMW3NObOZfQHzucPOdGXGg=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="EiaYKOL1VTSk+93M8x0Av3/NtkA=">ACBXicbVA9SwNBEN2LXzF+nVpqsRgEixDuRNAyKIidEcwH5ELY20ySJbt7x+6eEI40Nv4VGwtFbP0Pdv4bN5cUmvhg4PHeDPzwpgzbTzv28ktLa+sruXCxubW9s7u5eXUeJolCjEY9UMyQaOJNQM8xwaMYKiAg5NMLh1cRvPIDSLJL3ZhRDW5C+ZD1GibFSxz0MOJF9Dji4FdAnJXxdwlUcqEzsuEWv7GXAi8SfkSKaodpxv4JuRBMB0lBOtG75XmzaKVGUQ7jQpBoiAkdkj60LJVEgG6n2RdjfGyVLu5FypY0OFN/T6REaD0Soe0UxAz0vDcR/NaieldtFMm48SApNFvYRjE+FJLjLFDR5YQqpi9FdMBUYQaG1zBhuDPv7xI6qdl3yv7d2fFyuUsjw6QEfoBPnoHFXQDaqiGqLoET2jV/TmPDkvzrvzMW3NObOZfQHzucPOdGXGg=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="EiaYKOL1VTSk+93M8x0Av3/NtkA=">ACBXicbVA9SwNBEN2LXzF+nVpqsRgEixDuRNAyKIidEcwH5ELY20ySJbt7x+6eEI40Nv4VGwtFbP0Pdv4bN5cUmvhg4PHeDPzwpgzbTzv28ktLa+sruXCxubW9s7u5eXUeJolCjEY9UMyQaOJNQM8xwaMYKiAg5NMLh1cRvPIDSLJL3ZhRDW5C+ZD1GibFSxz0MOJF9Dji4FdAnJXxdwlUcqEzsuEWv7GXAi8SfkSKaodpxv4JuRBMB0lBOtG75XmzaKVGUQ7jQpBoiAkdkj60LJVEgG6n2RdjfGyVLu5FypY0OFN/T6REaD0Soe0UxAz0vDcR/NaieldtFMm48SApNFvYRjE+FJLjLFDR5YQqpi9FdMBUYQaG1zBhuDPv7xI6qdl3yv7d2fFyuUsjw6QEfoBPnoHFXQDaqiGqLoET2jV/TmPDkvzrvzMW3NObOZfQHzucPOdGXGg=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="EiaYKOL1VTSk+93M8x0Av3/NtkA=">ACBXicbVA9SwNBEN2LXzF+nVpqsRgEixDuRNAyKIidEcwH5ELY20ySJbt7x+6eEI40Nv4VGwtFbP0Pdv4bN5cUmvhg4PHeDPzwpgzbTzv28ktLa+sruXCxubW9s7u5eXUeJolCjEY9UMyQaOJNQM8xwaMYKiAg5NMLh1cRvPIDSLJL3ZhRDW5C+ZD1GibFSxz0MOJF9Dji4FdAnJXxdwlUcqEzsuEWv7GXAi8SfkSKaodpxv4JuRBMB0lBOtG75XmzaKVGUQ7jQpBoiAkdkj60LJVEgG6n2RdjfGyVLu5FypY0OFN/T6REaD0Soe0UxAz0vDcR/NaieldtFMm48SApNFvYRjE+FJLjLFDR5YQqpi9FdMBUYQaG1zBhuDPv7xI6qdl3yv7d2fFyuUsjw6QEfoBPnoHFXQDaqiGqLoET2jV/TmPDkvzrvzMW3NObOZfQHzucPOdGXGg=</latexit>

p(B) = 0.8 {b, not b}

cdf

0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

1.00 0.93 0.73 0.44 0.21 0.07 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

c d b d b a d c b c b d

Test Statistic

4

27

slide-28
SLIDE 28

Hypothesis Testing

“I swear literally like 80% of the answers are just (b)”

hΩ, F, Pi

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p(B) = 0.8 {b, not b}

cdf

0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

1.00 0.93 0.73 0.44 0.21 0.07 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

c d b d b a d c b c b d

Theoretical Distribution

4

28

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SLIDE 29

Hypothesis Testing

“I swear literally like 80% of the answers are just (b)”

hΩ, F, Pi

<latexit sha1_base64="EiaYKOL1VTSk+93M8x0Av3/NtkA=">ACBXicbVA9SwNBEN2LXzF+nVpqsRgEixDuRNAyKIidEcwH5ELY20ySJbt7x+6eEI40Nv4VGwtFbP0Pdv4bN5cUmvhg4PHeDPzwpgzbTzv28ktLa+sruXCxubW9s7u5eXUeJolCjEY9UMyQaOJNQM8xwaMYKiAg5NMLh1cRvPIDSLJL3ZhRDW5C+ZD1GibFSxz0MOJF9Dji4FdAnJXxdwlUcqEzsuEWv7GXAi8SfkSKaodpxv4JuRBMB0lBOtG75XmzaKVGUQ7jQpBoiAkdkj60LJVEgG6n2RdjfGyVLu5FypY0OFN/T6REaD0Soe0UxAz0vDcR/NaieldtFMm48SApNFvYRjE+FJLjLFDR5YQqpi9FdMBUYQaG1zBhuDPv7xI6qdl3yv7d2fFyuUsjw6QEfoBPnoHFXQDaqiGqLoET2jV/TmPDkvzrvzMW3NObOZfQHzucPOdGXGg=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="EiaYKOL1VTSk+93M8x0Av3/NtkA=">ACBXicbVA9SwNBEN2LXzF+nVpqsRgEixDuRNAyKIidEcwH5ELY20ySJbt7x+6eEI40Nv4VGwtFbP0Pdv4bN5cUmvhg4PHeDPzwpgzbTzv28ktLa+sruXCxubW9s7u5eXUeJolCjEY9UMyQaOJNQM8xwaMYKiAg5NMLh1cRvPIDSLJL3ZhRDW5C+ZD1GibFSxz0MOJF9Dji4FdAnJXxdwlUcqEzsuEWv7GXAi8SfkSKaodpxv4JuRBMB0lBOtG75XmzaKVGUQ7jQpBoiAkdkj60LJVEgG6n2RdjfGyVLu5FypY0OFN/T6REaD0Soe0UxAz0vDcR/NaieldtFMm48SApNFvYRjE+FJLjLFDR5YQqpi9FdMBUYQaG1zBhuDPv7xI6qdl3yv7d2fFyuUsjw6QEfoBPnoHFXQDaqiGqLoET2jV/TmPDkvzrvzMW3NObOZfQHzucPOdGXGg=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="EiaYKOL1VTSk+93M8x0Av3/NtkA=">ACBXicbVA9SwNBEN2LXzF+nVpqsRgEixDuRNAyKIidEcwH5ELY20ySJbt7x+6eEI40Nv4VGwtFbP0Pdv4bN5cUmvhg4PHeDPzwpgzbTzv28ktLa+sruXCxubW9s7u5eXUeJolCjEY9UMyQaOJNQM8xwaMYKiAg5NMLh1cRvPIDSLJL3ZhRDW5C+ZD1GibFSxz0MOJF9Dji4FdAnJXxdwlUcqEzsuEWv7GXAi8SfkSKaodpxv4JuRBMB0lBOtG75XmzaKVGUQ7jQpBoiAkdkj60LJVEgG6n2RdjfGyVLu5FypY0OFN/T6REaD0Soe0UxAz0vDcR/NaieldtFMm48SApNFvYRjE+FJLjLFDR5YQqpi9FdMBUYQaG1zBhuDPv7xI6qdl3yv7d2fFyuUsjw6QEfoBPnoHFXQDaqiGqLoET2jV/TmPDkvzrvzMW3NObOZfQHzucPOdGXGg=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="EiaYKOL1VTSk+93M8x0Av3/NtkA=">ACBXicbVA9SwNBEN2LXzF+nVpqsRgEixDuRNAyKIidEcwH5ELY20ySJbt7x+6eEI40Nv4VGwtFbP0Pdv4bN5cUmvhg4PHeDPzwpgzbTzv28ktLa+sruXCxubW9s7u5eXUeJolCjEY9UMyQaOJNQM8xwaMYKiAg5NMLh1cRvPIDSLJL3ZhRDW5C+ZD1GibFSxz0MOJF9Dji4FdAnJXxdwlUcqEzsuEWv7GXAi8SfkSKaodpxv4JuRBMB0lBOtG75XmzaKVGUQ7jQpBoiAkdkj60LJVEgG6n2RdjfGyVLu5FypY0OFN/T6REaD0Soe0UxAz0vDcR/NaieldtFMm48SApNFvYRjE+FJLjLFDR5YQqpi9FdMBUYQaG1zBhuDPv7xI6qdl3yv7d2fFyuUsjw6QEfoBPnoHFXQDaqiGqLoET2jV/TmPDkvzrvzMW3NObOZfQHzucPOdGXGg=</latexit>

p(B) = 0.8 {b, not b}

cdf

0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

1.00 0.93 0.73 0.44 0.21 0.07 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

c d b d b a d c b c b d

4

P(#(b)s ≤ 4) = 0.0006

p-value

29

slide-30
SLIDE 30

Today

  • Two quick preliminaries: LoLN and CLT
  • Follow up from last time
  • Common tests: chi-squared test, z-test/t-tests

30

slide-31
SLIDE 31
  • t-test: difference of means; is the average value of some feature different

between two populations

  • e.g. are men taller than women, are blue states more populated than red

states, do CS work harder than other majors (::rolling_eyes::)

  • chi-squared test: difference in frequencies of a categorical variable; is the

distribution of some feature uniform across groups

  • e.g. do neighborhoods differ in terms of music preferences features; do

college majors differ in terms of sociodemographic features

  • correlation: do two variables tend to move together (usually best for

exploratory analyses, rather than hypothesis testing)

  • null hypothesis: “there is no correlation between X and Y”

Some tests you are likely to use

31

slide-32
SLIDE 32
  • t-test: difference of means; is the average value of some feature

different between two populations

  • e.g. are men taller than women, are blue states more

populated than red states, do CS work harder than other majors (::rolling_eyes::)

  • chi-squared test: difference in frequencies of a categorical

variable; is the distribution of some feature uniform across groups

  • e.g. do neighborhoods differ in terms of music preferences

features; do college majors differ in terms of sociodemographic features

Some tests you are likely to use

32

slide-33
SLIDE 33
  • t-test: difference of means; is the average value of some feature

different between two populations

  • e.g. are men taller than women, are blue states more

populated than red states, do CS work harder than other majors (::rolling_eyes::)

  • chi-squared test: difference in frequencies of a categorical

variable; is the distribution of some feature uniform across groups

  • e.g. do neighborhoods differ in terms of music preferences

features; do college majors differ in terms of sociodemographic features

Some tests you are likely to use

33

slide-34
SLIDE 34
  • t-test: difference of means; is the average value of some

feature different between two populations

  • e.g. are men taller than women, are blue states more

populated than red states, do CS work harder than other majors (::rolling_eyes::)

  • chi-squared test: difference in frequencies of a categorical

variable; is the distribution of some feature uniform across groups

  • e.g. do neighborhoods differ in terms of music preferences

features; do college majors differ in terms of sociodemographic features

Some tests you are likely to use

34

slide-35
SLIDE 35

Test for population means

35

slide-36
SLIDE 36

Test for population means

http://www.censusscope.org/us/chart_age.html

Distribution of ages in the US Hypothesis: Mean age is 35.

36

slide-37
SLIDE 37

Test for population means

http://www.censusscope.org/us/chart_age.html

Distribution of ages in the US Thoughts about test statistics? Hypothesis: Mean age is 35.

37

slide-38
SLIDE 38

Test for population means

http://www.censusscope.org/us/chart_age.html

Distribution of ages in the US Hypothesis: Mean age is 35.

z = ¯ x − µ0 q

σ2 n

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38

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SLIDE 39

Test for population means

http://www.censusscope.org/us/chart_age.html

Distribution of ages in the US Hypothesis: Mean age is 35.

z = ¯ x − µ0 q

σ2 n

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  • bserved

39

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SLIDE 40

Test for population means

http://www.censusscope.org/us/chart_age.html

Distribution of ages in the US Hypothesis: Mean age is 35.

z = ¯ x − µ0 q

σ2 n

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expected

40

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SLIDE 41

Test for population means

http://www.censusscope.org/us/chart_age.html

Distribution of ages in the US Hypothesis: Mean age is 35.

z = ¯ x − µ0 q

σ2 n

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variation (comes from normal distribution)

41

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SLIDE 42

Clicker Question!

42

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SLIDE 43

Clicker Question!

Why can we use a normally-distributed test statistic to evaluate mean age of a population?

a) Because ages are normally distributed b) Because the test statistic is a random variable c) Because of the law of large numbers d) Because of the central limit theorem e) The limit does not exist!

43

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SLIDE 44

Clicker Question!

Why can we use a normally-distributed test statistic to evaluate mean age of a population?

a) Because ages are normally distributed b) Because the test statistic is a random variable c) Because of the law of large numbers d) Because of the central limit theorem e) The limit does not exist!

44

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SLIDE 45

Test for population means

http://www.censusscope.org/us/chart_age.html

Distribution of mean ages given samples of US adults

z = ¯ x − µ0 q

σ2 n

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45

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SLIDE 46

Standard Normal Distr.

z = distance from mean in std units

46

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SLIDE 47

Standard Normal Distr.

z = (observed - expected) / standard deviation

47

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SLIDE 48

Standard Normal Distr.

z = (observed - expected) / standard deviation

  • bserved

test statistic

48

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SLIDE 49

Standard Normal Distr.

z = (observed - expected) / standard deviation cumulative density = p-value

49

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SLIDE 50

Detour! 𝛃 and determining “significance”

50

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SLIDE 51

Detour! 𝛃 and determining “significance”

“I swear literally like 80% of the answers are just (b)”

hΩ, F, Pi

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p(B) = 0.8 {b, not b}

cdf

0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

1.00 0.93 0.73 0.44 0.21 0.07 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

c d b d b a d c b c b d

4

P(#(b)s ≤ 4) = 0.0006

p-value

51

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SLIDE 52

Detour! 𝛃 and determining “significance”

cdf

0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

1.00 0.93 0.73 0.44 0.21 0.07 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

c d b d b a d c b c b d

4

P(#(b)s ≤ 4) = 0.0006

p-value “assuming the null hypothesis were true, I would only expect to see a test statistic like this 0.006% of the time. How surprising!

52

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SLIDE 53

Detour! 𝛃 and determining “significance”

cdf

0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

1.00 0.93 0.73 0.44 0.21 0.07 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

c d b d b a d c b c b d

4

P(#(b)s ≤ 4) = 0.0006

p-value “assuming the null hypothesis were true, I would only expect to see a test statistic like this 0.006% of the time. How surprising!

53

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SLIDE 54

Detour! 𝛃 and determining “significance”

cdf

0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

1.00 0.93 0.73 0.44 0.21 0.07 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

c d b d b a d c b c b d

4

P(#(b)s ≤ 4) = 0.0006

p-value “assuming the null hypothesis were true, I would only expect to see a test statistic like this 0.006% of the time. How surprising!

need to decide in advance how willing you are to be surprised (𝛃)

54

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SLIDE 55

Standard Normal Distr.

z = (observed - expected) / standard deviation cumulative density = p-value

𝛃

significance level (set in advance)

55

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SLIDE 56

Standard Normal Distr.

z = (observed - expected) / standard deviation cumulative density = p-value Ha = test stat is less than expected “one tailed”

𝛃

significance level (set in advance)

56

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SLIDE 57

Standard Normal Distr.

z = (observed - expected) / standard deviation cumulative density = p-value Ha = test stat is less than expected “one tailed”

𝛃

significance level (set in advance)

assuming the null hypothesis is true, you will be still be “surprised” alpha % of the time

57

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SLIDE 58

Standard Normal Distr.

z = (observed - expected) / standard deviation cumulative density = p-value Ha = test stat is different than expected “one tailed”

𝛃

significance level (set in advance)

assuming the null hypothesis is true, you will be still be “surprised” alpha % of the time ???

58

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SLIDE 59

Standard Normal Distr.

z = (observed - expected) / standard deviation cumulative density = p-value Ha = test stat is different than expected “two tailed”

𝛃/2

significance level (set in advance)

𝛃/2

assuming the null hypothesis is true, you will be still be “surprised” alpha % of the time

59

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SLIDE 60

Test for population means

http://www.censusscope.org/us/chart_age.html

H0 = mean age is 35 Ha = mean age is not 35

𝛃/2 𝛃/2

z = ¯ x − µ0 q

σ2 n

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60

slide-61
SLIDE 61

Test for population means

http://www.censusscope.org/us/chart_age.html

H0 = mean age is 35 Ha = mean age is not 35

𝛃/2 𝛃/2

z = ¯ x − µ0 q

σ2 n

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😠

61

slide-62
SLIDE 62

Test for population means

http://www.censusscope.org/us/chart_age.html

H0 = mean age is 35 Ha = mean age is not 35

𝛃/2 𝛃/2

z = ¯ x − µ0

s √n

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standard normal

62

slide-63
SLIDE 63

Test for population means

http://www.censusscope.org/us/chart_age.html

H0 = mean age is 35 Ha = mean age is not 35

𝛃/2 𝛃/2

z = ¯ x − µ0

s √n

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standard normal students t

63

slide-64
SLIDE 64

Test for population means

http://www.censusscope.org/us/chart_age.html

H0 = mean age is 35 Ha = mean age is not 35

𝛃/2 𝛃/2

z = ¯ x − µ0

s √n

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standard normal students t closer to standard normal as n increases

64

slide-65
SLIDE 65

Is there evidence to reject the null hypothesis?

Grades 90 92 80 87 98 78 Null Hypothesis: The average grade is 85%.

65

slide-66
SLIDE 66

Clicker Question!

66

slide-67
SLIDE 67

Grades 90 92 80 87 98 78 Null Hypothesis: The average grade is 85%.

Clicker Question! a) 85 b) 87 .5 c) 90 d) 92.5 What is the mean?

67

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SLIDE 68

Grades 90 92 80 87 98 78 Null Hypothesis: The average grade is 85%.

Clicker Question! a) 85 b) 87 .5 c) 90 d) 92.5 What is the mean?

68

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SLIDE 69

Grades 90 92 80 87 98 78 Null Hypothesis: The average grade is 85%.

Clicker Question! What is the standard error? a) √47 .25 b) √51.3 c) √56.7 d) √57 .25

69

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SLIDE 70

Grades 90 92 80 87 98 78 Null Hypothesis: The average grade is 85%.

Clicker Question! What is the standard error? a) √47 .25 b) √51.3 c) √56.7 d) √57 .25

70

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SLIDE 71

Grades 90 92 80 87 98 78 Null Hypothesis: The average grade is 85%.

Clicker Question! a) 0.82 b) 0.85 c) 0.91 d) 0.95 What is the test statistic?

z = ¯ x − µ0

s √n

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mean: 87.5 s: 7.5

71

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SLIDE 72

Grades 90 92 80 87 98 78 Null Hypothesis: The average grade is 85%.

Clicker Question! a) 0.82 b) 0.85 c) 0.91 d) 0.95 What is the test statistic?

z = ¯ x − µ0

s √n

<latexit sha1_base64="QTywTK8kfHKaPNc+P42VqbwkTOA=">ACF3icbZDLSsNAFIYn9VbrLerSzWAR3BgSEXQjFN24rGAv0JQwmU7aoZNJnJmIdchbuPFV3LhQxK3ufBunbRba+sPAx3/O4cz5w5RqVz32yotLC4tr5RXK2vrG5tb9vZOUyaZwKSBE5aIdogkYZSThqKkXYqCIpDRlrh8HJcb90RIWnCb9QoJd0Y9TmNKEbKWIHtPMBz6EcCYe2HSOj7HB5BP84CN9dTWxqQt0Jpnud5YFdx50IzoNXQBUqgf2l9LcBYTrjBDUnY8N1VdjYSimJG84meSpAgPUZ90DHIUE9nVk7tyeGCcHowSYR5XcOL+ntAolnIUh6YzRmogZ2tj879aJ1PRWVdTnmaKcDxdFGUMqgSOQ4I9KghWbGQAYUHNXyEeIJOGMlFWTAje7Mnz0Dx2PNfxrk+qtYsijLYA/vgEHjgFNTAFaiDBsDgETyDV/BmPVkv1rv1MW0tWcXMLvgj6/MH9CegeA=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="QTywTK8kfHKaPNc+P42VqbwkTOA=">ACF3icbZDLSsNAFIYn9VbrLerSzWAR3BgSEXQjFN24rGAv0JQwmU7aoZNJnJmIdchbuPFV3LhQxK3ufBunbRba+sPAx3/O4cz5w5RqVz32yotLC4tr5RXK2vrG5tb9vZOUyaZwKSBE5aIdogkYZSThqKkXYqCIpDRlrh8HJcb90RIWnCb9QoJd0Y9TmNKEbKWIHtPMBz6EcCYe2HSOj7HB5BP84CN9dTWxqQt0Jpnud5YFdx50IzoNXQBUqgf2l9LcBYTrjBDUnY8N1VdjYSimJG84meSpAgPUZ90DHIUE9nVk7tyeGCcHowSYR5XcOL+ntAolnIUh6YzRmogZ2tj879aJ1PRWVdTnmaKcDxdFGUMqgSOQ4I9KghWbGQAYUHNXyEeIJOGMlFWTAje7Mnz0Dx2PNfxrk+qtYsijLYA/vgEHjgFNTAFaiDBsDgETyDV/BmPVkv1rv1MW0tWcXMLvgj6/MH9CegeA=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="QTywTK8kfHKaPNc+P42VqbwkTOA=">ACF3icbZDLSsNAFIYn9VbrLerSzWAR3BgSEXQjFN24rGAv0JQwmU7aoZNJnJmIdchbuPFV3LhQxK3ufBunbRba+sPAx3/O4cz5w5RqVz32yotLC4tr5RXK2vrG5tb9vZOUyaZwKSBE5aIdogkYZSThqKkXYqCIpDRlrh8HJcb90RIWnCb9QoJd0Y9TmNKEbKWIHtPMBz6EcCYe2HSOj7HB5BP84CN9dTWxqQt0Jpnud5YFdx50IzoNXQBUqgf2l9LcBYTrjBDUnY8N1VdjYSimJG84meSpAgPUZ90DHIUE9nVk7tyeGCcHowSYR5XcOL+ntAolnIUh6YzRmogZ2tj879aJ1PRWVdTnmaKcDxdFGUMqgSOQ4I9KghWbGQAYUHNXyEeIJOGMlFWTAje7Mnz0Dx2PNfxrk+qtYsijLYA/vgEHjgFNTAFaiDBsDgETyDV/BmPVkv1rv1MW0tWcXMLvgj6/MH9CegeA=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="QTywTK8kfHKaPNc+P42VqbwkTOA=">ACF3icbZDLSsNAFIYn9VbrLerSzWAR3BgSEXQjFN24rGAv0JQwmU7aoZNJnJmIdchbuPFV3LhQxK3ufBunbRba+sPAx3/O4cz5w5RqVz32yotLC4tr5RXK2vrG5tb9vZOUyaZwKSBE5aIdogkYZSThqKkXYqCIpDRlrh8HJcb90RIWnCb9QoJd0Y9TmNKEbKWIHtPMBz6EcCYe2HSOj7HB5BP84CN9dTWxqQt0Jpnud5YFdx50IzoNXQBUqgf2l9LcBYTrjBDUnY8N1VdjYSimJG84meSpAgPUZ90DHIUE9nVk7tyeGCcHowSYR5XcOL+ntAolnIUh6YzRmogZ2tj879aJ1PRWVdTnmaKcDxdFGUMqgSOQ4I9KghWbGQAYUHNXyEeIJOGMlFWTAje7Mnz0Dx2PNfxrk+qtYsijLYA/vgEHjgFNTAFaiDBsDgETyDV/BmPVkv1rv1MW0tWcXMLvgj6/MH9CegeA=</latexit>

mean: 87.5 s: 7.5

72

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SLIDE 73

Null Hypothesis: The average grade is 85%.

Is there evidence to reject the null hypothesis?

Grades 90 92 80 87 98 78

a) 0.82 b) 0.85 c) 0.91 d) 0.95

z = ¯ x − µ0

s √n

<latexit sha1_base64="QTywTK8kfHKaPNc+P42VqbwkTOA=">ACF3icbZDLSsNAFIYn9VbrLerSzWAR3BgSEXQjFN24rGAv0JQwmU7aoZNJnJmIdchbuPFV3LhQxK3ufBunbRba+sPAx3/O4cz5w5RqVz32yotLC4tr5RXK2vrG5tb9vZOUyaZwKSBE5aIdogkYZSThqKkXYqCIpDRlrh8HJcb90RIWnCb9QoJd0Y9TmNKEbKWIHtPMBz6EcCYe2HSOj7HB5BP84CN9dTWxqQt0Jpnud5YFdx50IzoNXQBUqgf2l9LcBYTrjBDUnY8N1VdjYSimJG84meSpAgPUZ90DHIUE9nVk7tyeGCcHowSYR5XcOL+ntAolnIUh6YzRmogZ2tj879aJ1PRWVdTnmaKcDxdFGUMqgSOQ4I9KghWbGQAYUHNXyEeIJOGMlFWTAje7Mnz0Dx2PNfxrk+qtYsijLYA/vgEHjgFNTAFaiDBsDgETyDV/BmPVkv1rv1MW0tWcXMLvgj6/MH9CegeA=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="QTywTK8kfHKaPNc+P42VqbwkTOA=">ACF3icbZDLSsNAFIYn9VbrLerSzWAR3BgSEXQjFN24rGAv0JQwmU7aoZNJnJmIdchbuPFV3LhQxK3ufBunbRba+sPAx3/O4cz5w5RqVz32yotLC4tr5RXK2vrG5tb9vZOUyaZwKSBE5aIdogkYZSThqKkXYqCIpDRlrh8HJcb90RIWnCb9QoJd0Y9TmNKEbKWIHtPMBz6EcCYe2HSOj7HB5BP84CN9dTWxqQt0Jpnud5YFdx50IzoNXQBUqgf2l9LcBYTrjBDUnY8N1VdjYSimJG84meSpAgPUZ90DHIUE9nVk7tyeGCcHowSYR5XcOL+ntAolnIUh6YzRmogZ2tj879aJ1PRWVdTnmaKcDxdFGUMqgSOQ4I9KghWbGQAYUHNXyEeIJOGMlFWTAje7Mnz0Dx2PNfxrk+qtYsijLYA/vgEHjgFNTAFaiDBsDgETyDV/BmPVkv1rv1MW0tWcXMLvgj6/MH9CegeA=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="QTywTK8kfHKaPNc+P42VqbwkTOA=">ACF3icbZDLSsNAFIYn9VbrLerSzWAR3BgSEXQjFN24rGAv0JQwmU7aoZNJnJmIdchbuPFV3LhQxK3ufBunbRba+sPAx3/O4cz5w5RqVz32yotLC4tr5RXK2vrG5tb9vZOUyaZwKSBE5aIdogkYZSThqKkXYqCIpDRlrh8HJcb90RIWnCb9QoJd0Y9TmNKEbKWIHtPMBz6EcCYe2HSOj7HB5BP84CN9dTWxqQt0Jpnud5YFdx50IzoNXQBUqgf2l9LcBYTrjBDUnY8N1VdjYSimJG84meSpAgPUZ90DHIUE9nVk7tyeGCcHowSYR5XcOL+ntAolnIUh6YzRmogZ2tj879aJ1PRWVdTnmaKcDxdFGUMqgSOQ4I9KghWbGQAYUHNXyEeIJOGMlFWTAje7Mnz0Dx2PNfxrk+qtYsijLYA/vgEHjgFNTAFaiDBsDgETyDV/BmPVkv1rv1MW0tWcXMLvgj6/MH9CegeA=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="QTywTK8kfHKaPNc+P42VqbwkTOA=">ACF3icbZDLSsNAFIYn9VbrLerSzWAR3BgSEXQjFN24rGAv0JQwmU7aoZNJnJmIdchbuPFV3LhQxK3ufBunbRba+sPAx3/O4cz5w5RqVz32yotLC4tr5RXK2vrG5tb9vZOUyaZwKSBE5aIdogkYZSThqKkXYqCIpDRlrh8HJcb90RIWnCb9QoJd0Y9TmNKEbKWIHtPMBz6EcCYe2HSOj7HB5BP84CN9dTWxqQt0Jpnud5YFdx50IzoNXQBUqgf2l9LcBYTrjBDUnY8N1VdjYSimJG84meSpAgPUZ90DHIUE9nVk7tyeGCcHowSYR5XcOL+ntAolnIUh6YzRmogZ2tj879aJ1PRWVdTnmaKcDxdFGUMqgSOQ4I9KghWbGQAYUHNXyEeIJOGMlFWTAje7Mnz0Dx2PNfxrk+qtYsijLYA/vgEHjgFNTAFaiDBsDgETyDV/BmPVkv1rv1MW0tWcXMLvgj6/MH9CegeA=</latexit>

mean: 87.5 s: 7.5

73

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SLIDE 74

Null Hypothesis: The average grade is 85%.

Is there evidence to reject the null hypothesis?

Grades 90 92 80 87 98 78

a) 0.82 b) 0.85 c) 0.91 d) 0.95

z = ¯ x − µ0

s √n

<latexit sha1_base64="QTywTK8kfHKaPNc+P42VqbwkTOA=">ACF3icbZDLSsNAFIYn9VbrLerSzWAR3BgSEXQjFN24rGAv0JQwmU7aoZNJnJmIdchbuPFV3LhQxK3ufBunbRba+sPAx3/O4cz5w5RqVz32yotLC4tr5RXK2vrG5tb9vZOUyaZwKSBE5aIdogkYZSThqKkXYqCIpDRlrh8HJcb90RIWnCb9QoJd0Y9TmNKEbKWIHtPMBz6EcCYe2HSOj7HB5BP84CN9dTWxqQt0Jpnud5YFdx50IzoNXQBUqgf2l9LcBYTrjBDUnY8N1VdjYSimJG84meSpAgPUZ90DHIUE9nVk7tyeGCcHowSYR5XcOL+ntAolnIUh6YzRmogZ2tj879aJ1PRWVdTnmaKcDxdFGUMqgSOQ4I9KghWbGQAYUHNXyEeIJOGMlFWTAje7Mnz0Dx2PNfxrk+qtYsijLYA/vgEHjgFNTAFaiDBsDgETyDV/BmPVkv1rv1MW0tWcXMLvgj6/MH9CegeA=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="QTywTK8kfHKaPNc+P42VqbwkTOA=">ACF3icbZDLSsNAFIYn9VbrLerSzWAR3BgSEXQjFN24rGAv0JQwmU7aoZNJnJmIdchbuPFV3LhQxK3ufBunbRba+sPAx3/O4cz5w5RqVz32yotLC4tr5RXK2vrG5tb9vZOUyaZwKSBE5aIdogkYZSThqKkXYqCIpDRlrh8HJcb90RIWnCb9QoJd0Y9TmNKEbKWIHtPMBz6EcCYe2HSOj7HB5BP84CN9dTWxqQt0Jpnud5YFdx50IzoNXQBUqgf2l9LcBYTrjBDUnY8N1VdjYSimJG84meSpAgPUZ90DHIUE9nVk7tyeGCcHowSYR5XcOL+ntAolnIUh6YzRmogZ2tj879aJ1PRWVdTnmaKcDxdFGUMqgSOQ4I9KghWbGQAYUHNXyEeIJOGMlFWTAje7Mnz0Dx2PNfxrk+qtYsijLYA/vgEHjgFNTAFaiDBsDgETyDV/BmPVkv1rv1MW0tWcXMLvgj6/MH9CegeA=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="QTywTK8kfHKaPNc+P42VqbwkTOA=">ACF3icbZDLSsNAFIYn9VbrLerSzWAR3BgSEXQjFN24rGAv0JQwmU7aoZNJnJmIdchbuPFV3LhQxK3ufBunbRba+sPAx3/O4cz5w5RqVz32yotLC4tr5RXK2vrG5tb9vZOUyaZwKSBE5aIdogkYZSThqKkXYqCIpDRlrh8HJcb90RIWnCb9QoJd0Y9TmNKEbKWIHtPMBz6EcCYe2HSOj7HB5BP84CN9dTWxqQt0Jpnud5YFdx50IzoNXQBUqgf2l9LcBYTrjBDUnY8N1VdjYSimJG84meSpAgPUZ90DHIUE9nVk7tyeGCcHowSYR5XcOL+ntAolnIUh6YzRmogZ2tj879aJ1PRWVdTnmaKcDxdFGUMqgSOQ4I9KghWbGQAYUHNXyEeIJOGMlFWTAje7Mnz0Dx2PNfxrk+qtYsijLYA/vgEHjgFNTAFaiDBsDgETyDV/BmPVkv1rv1MW0tWcXMLvgj6/MH9CegeA=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="QTywTK8kfHKaPNc+P42VqbwkTOA=">ACF3icbZDLSsNAFIYn9VbrLerSzWAR3BgSEXQjFN24rGAv0JQwmU7aoZNJnJmIdchbuPFV3LhQxK3ufBunbRba+sPAx3/O4cz5w5RqVz32yotLC4tr5RXK2vrG5tb9vZOUyaZwKSBE5aIdogkYZSThqKkXYqCIpDRlrh8HJcb90RIWnCb9QoJd0Y9TmNKEbKWIHtPMBz6EcCYe2HSOj7HB5BP84CN9dTWxqQt0Jpnud5YFdx50IzoNXQBUqgf2l9LcBYTrjBDUnY8N1VdjYSimJG84meSpAgPUZ90DHIUE9nVk7tyeGCcHowSYR5XcOL+ntAolnIUh6YzRmogZ2tj879aJ1PRWVdTnmaKcDxdFGUMqgSOQ4I9KghWbGQAYUHNXyEeIJOGMlFWTAje7Mnz0Dx2PNfxrk+qtYsijLYA/vgEHjgFNTAFaiDBsDgETyDV/BmPVkv1rv1MW0tWcXMLvgj6/MH9CegeA=</latexit>

mean: 87.5 s: 7.5

74

slide-75
SLIDE 75

Null Hypothesis: The average grade is 85%.

Is there evidence to reject the null hypothesis?

Grades 90 92 80 87 98 78

a) 0.82 b) 0.85 c) 0.91 d) 0.95

z = ¯ x − µ0

s √n

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mean: 87.5 s: 7.5

t t e s t _ 1 s a m p

75

slide-76
SLIDE 76

Test for difference in means

http://www.censusscope.org/us/chart_age.html

z = ¯ x − µ0

s √n

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76

slide-77
SLIDE 77

Test for difference in means

http://www.censusscope.org/us/chart_age.html

z = ¯ x − µ0

s √n

<latexit sha1_base64="QTywTK8kfHKaPNc+P42VqbwkTOA=">ACF3icbZDLSsNAFIYn9VbrLerSzWAR3BgSEXQjFN24rGAv0JQwmU7aoZNJnJmIdchbuPFV3LhQxK3ufBunbRba+sPAx3/O4cz5w5RqVz32yotLC4tr5RXK2vrG5tb9vZOUyaZwKSBE5aIdogkYZSThqKkXYqCIpDRlrh8HJcb90RIWnCb9QoJd0Y9TmNKEbKWIHtPMBz6EcCYe2HSOj7HB5BP84CN9dTWxqQt0Jpnud5YFdx50IzoNXQBUqgf2l9LcBYTrjBDUnY8N1VdjYSimJG84meSpAgPUZ90DHIUE9nVk7tyeGCcHowSYR5XcOL+ntAolnIUh6YzRmogZ2tj879aJ1PRWVdTnmaKcDxdFGUMqgSOQ4I9KghWbGQAYUHNXyEeIJOGMlFWTAje7Mnz0Dx2PNfxrk+qtYsijLYA/vgEHjgFNTAFaiDBsDgETyDV/BmPVkv1rv1MW0tWcXMLvgj6/MH9CegeA=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="QTywTK8kfHKaPNc+P42VqbwkTOA=">ACF3icbZDLSsNAFIYn9VbrLerSzWAR3BgSEXQjFN24rGAv0JQwmU7aoZNJnJmIdchbuPFV3LhQxK3ufBunbRba+sPAx3/O4cz5w5RqVz32yotLC4tr5RXK2vrG5tb9vZOUyaZwKSBE5aIdogkYZSThqKkXYqCIpDRlrh8HJcb90RIWnCb9QoJd0Y9TmNKEbKWIHtPMBz6EcCYe2HSOj7HB5BP84CN9dTWxqQt0Jpnud5YFdx50IzoNXQBUqgf2l9LcBYTrjBDUnY8N1VdjYSimJG84meSpAgPUZ90DHIUE9nVk7tyeGCcHowSYR5XcOL+ntAolnIUh6YzRmogZ2tj879aJ1PRWVdTnmaKcDxdFGUMqgSOQ4I9KghWbGQAYUHNXyEeIJOGMlFWTAje7Mnz0Dx2PNfxrk+qtYsijLYA/vgEHjgFNTAFaiDBsDgETyDV/BmPVkv1rv1MW0tWcXMLvgj6/MH9CegeA=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="QTywTK8kfHKaPNc+P42VqbwkTOA=">ACF3icbZDLSsNAFIYn9VbrLerSzWAR3BgSEXQjFN24rGAv0JQwmU7aoZNJnJmIdchbuPFV3LhQxK3ufBunbRba+sPAx3/O4cz5w5RqVz32yotLC4tr5RXK2vrG5tb9vZOUyaZwKSBE5aIdogkYZSThqKkXYqCIpDRlrh8HJcb90RIWnCb9QoJd0Y9TmNKEbKWIHtPMBz6EcCYe2HSOj7HB5BP84CN9dTWxqQt0Jpnud5YFdx50IzoNXQBUqgf2l9LcBYTrjBDUnY8N1VdjYSimJG84meSpAgPUZ90DHIUE9nVk7tyeGCcHowSYR5XcOL+ntAolnIUh6YzRmogZ2tj879aJ1PRWVdTnmaKcDxdFGUMqgSOQ4I9KghWbGQAYUHNXyEeIJOGMlFWTAje7Mnz0Dx2PNfxrk+qtYsijLYA/vgEHjgFNTAFaiDBsDgETyDV/BmPVkv1rv1MW0tWcXMLvgj6/MH9CegeA=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="QTywTK8kfHKaPNc+P42VqbwkTOA=">ACF3icbZDLSsNAFIYn9VbrLerSzWAR3BgSEXQjFN24rGAv0JQwmU7aoZNJnJmIdchbuPFV3LhQxK3ufBunbRba+sPAx3/O4cz5w5RqVz32yotLC4tr5RXK2vrG5tb9vZOUyaZwKSBE5aIdogkYZSThqKkXYqCIpDRlrh8HJcb90RIWnCb9QoJd0Y9TmNKEbKWIHtPMBz6EcCYe2HSOj7HB5BP84CN9dTWxqQt0Jpnud5YFdx50IzoNXQBUqgf2l9LcBYTrjBDUnY8N1VdjYSimJG84meSpAgPUZ90DHIUE9nVk7tyeGCcHowSYR5XcOL+ntAolnIUh6YzRmogZ2tj879aJ1PRWVdTnmaKcDxdFGUMqgSOQ4I9KghWbGQAYUHNXyEeIJOGMlFWTAje7Mnz0Dx2PNfxrk+qtYsijLYA/vgEHjgFNTAFaiDBsDgETyDV/BmPVkv1rv1MW0tWcXMLvgj6/MH9CegeA=</latexit>

mean 1 - mean 2

77

slide-78
SLIDE 78

Test for difference in means

http://www.censusscope.org/us/chart_age.html

z = ¯ x − µ0

s √n

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mean 1 - mean 2 zero

78

slide-79
SLIDE 79

Is there evidence to reject the null hypothesis?

2020 95 92 83 87 98 75 2019 90 92 80 87 98 78 Null Hypothesis: The average grade is the same as last year.

  • Alt. Hypothesis: This year’s grades are higher.

79

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SLIDE 80

Is there evidence to reject the null hypothesis?

2020 95 92 83 87 98 75 2019 90 92 80 87 98 78 Null Hypothesis: The average grade is the same as last year.

  • Alt. Hypothesis: This year’s grades are higher.

t t e s t _ i n d

80

slide-81
SLIDE 81
  • t-test: difference of means; is the average value of some feature

different between two populations

  • e.g. are men taller than women, are blue states more populated

than red states, do CS work harder than other majors (::rolling_eyes::)

  • chi-squared test: difference in frequencies of a categorical

variable; is the distribution of some feature uniform across groups

  • e.g. do neighborhoods differ in terms of music preferences

features; do college majors differ in terms of sociodemographic features

Some tests you are likely to use

81

slide-82
SLIDE 82

Are the answers to my clicker questions random?

c d b d b a d c b c b d

82

slide-83
SLIDE 83

Are the answers to my clicker questions random?

1 2 3 4 a b c d

3 4 4 1

83

slide-84
SLIDE 84

Are the answers to my clicker questions random?

1 2 3 4 a b c d

3 4 4 1

Xi = count of answer i p(a) = p(b) = p(c) = p(d) = 0.25

84

slide-85
SLIDE 85

Are the answers to my clicker questions random?

Is this distribution significantly different than what we would expect by chance, assuming that in fact all answers are equally likely?

1 2 3 4 a b c d

3 4 4 1

Xi = count of answer i p(a) = p(b) = p(c) = p(d) = 0.25

85

slide-86
SLIDE 86

Are the answers to my clicker questions random?

1 2 3 4 a b c d

3 4 4 1

Observed Expected

0.75 1.5 2.25 3 a b c d

3 3 3 3

86

slide-87
SLIDE 87

Are the answers to my clicker questions random?

1 2 3 4 a b c d

3 4 4 1

Observed Expected

0.75 1.5 2.25 3 a b c d

3 3 3 3

Want to model the difference between these

87

slide-88
SLIDE 88

Are the answers to my clicker questions random?

  • 2
  • 1.5
  • 1
  • 0.5

0.5 1 a b c d

1 1

  • 2

(Xi − E(Xi))

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88

slide-89
SLIDE 89

Clicker Question!

89

slide-90
SLIDE 90

Clicker Question!

Should I use the total difference between observed and expected as my summary statistic? I.e.

X

i

(Xi − E(Xi))

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a) Yes! That sounds good. b) No! I have qualms…

90

slide-91
SLIDE 91

Clicker Question!

Should I use the total difference between observed and expected as my summary statistic? I.e.

X

i

(Xi − E(Xi))

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a) Yes! That sounds good. b) No! I have qualms…

91

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SLIDE 92

Are the answers to my clicker questions random?

  • 2
  • 1.5
  • 1
  • 0.5

0.5 1 a b c d

1 1

  • 2

X

i

(Xi − E(Xi)) = 0

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92

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SLIDE 93

Are the answers to my clicker questions random?

0.125 0.25 0.375 0.5 a b c d

0.11 0.11 0.44

X

i

(Xi − E(Xi))2

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93

slide-94
SLIDE 94

Are the answers to my clicker questions random?

0.125 0.25 0.375 0.5 a b c d

0.11 0.11 0.44

X

i

(Xi − E(Xi))2

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Thoughts?

94

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SLIDE 95

Are the answers to my clicker questions random?

0.04 0.08 0.12 0.16 a b c d

0.037 0.037 0.148

X

i

(Xi − E(Xi))2 E(Xi)

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95

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SLIDE 96

X

i

(Xi − E(Xi))2 E(Xi)

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Are the answers to my clicker questions random?

96

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SLIDE 97

X

i

(Xi − E(Xi))2 E(Xi)

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Are the answers to my clicker questions random?

97

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SLIDE 98

X

i

(Xi − E(Xi))2 E(Xi)

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Are the answers to my clicker questions random?

98

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SLIDE 99

Chi Squared Test

X

i

(Xi − E(Xi))2 E(Xi)

<latexit sha1_base64="+nxFYlAEC9qbXN+2+0COtMVmbg=">ACD3icbZBNS8MwGMdTX+d8q3r0EhzKdnC0Q9DjUASPE9wLrLWkWbqFJW1JUmGUfgMvfhUvHhTx6tWb38Z060E3Hwj58f8/D8nz92NGpbKsb2NpeWV1b20Ud7c2t7ZNf2OzJKBCZtHLFI9HwkCaMhaSuqGOnFgiDuM9L1x1e530gQtIovFOTmLgcDUMaUIyUljzxJEJ9yh0AoFwWu1pPIX+V2r3TeydIaZ1asujUtuAh2ARVQVMszv5xBhBNOQoUZkrJvW7FyUyQUxYxkZSeRJEZ4jIakrzFEnEg3ne6TwWOtDGAQCX1CBafq74kUcSkn3NedHKmRnPdy8T+vn6jgwk1pGCeKhHj2UJAwqCKYhwMHVBCs2EQDwoLqv0I8QjoZpSMs6xDs+ZUXodOo21bdvj2rNC+LOErgEByBKrDBOWiCG9ACbYDBI3gGr+DNeDJejHfjY9a6ZBQzB+BPGZ8/rjag=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="+nxFYlAEC9qbXN+2+0COtMVmbg=">ACD3icbZBNS8MwGMdTX+d8q3r0EhzKdnC0Q9DjUASPE9wLrLWkWbqFJW1JUmGUfgMvfhUvHhTx6tWb38Z060E3Hwj58f8/D8nz92NGpbKsb2NpeWV1b20Ud7c2t7ZNf2OzJKBCZtHLFI9HwkCaMhaSuqGOnFgiDuM9L1x1e530gQtIovFOTmLgcDUMaUIyUljzxJEJ9yh0AoFwWu1pPIX+V2r3TeydIaZ1asujUtuAh2ARVQVMszv5xBhBNOQoUZkrJvW7FyUyQUxYxkZSeRJEZ4jIakrzFEnEg3ne6TwWOtDGAQCX1CBafq74kUcSkn3NedHKmRnPdy8T+vn6jgwk1pGCeKhHj2UJAwqCKYhwMHVBCs2EQDwoLqv0I8QjoZpSMs6xDs+ZUXodOo21bdvj2rNC+LOErgEByBKrDBOWiCG9ACbYDBI3gGr+DNeDJejHfjY9a6ZBQzB+BPGZ8/rjag=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="+nxFYlAEC9qbXN+2+0COtMVmbg=">ACD3icbZBNS8MwGMdTX+d8q3r0EhzKdnC0Q9DjUASPE9wLrLWkWbqFJW1JUmGUfgMvfhUvHhTx6tWb38Z060E3Hwj58f8/D8nz92NGpbKsb2NpeWV1b20Ud7c2t7ZNf2OzJKBCZtHLFI9HwkCaMhaSuqGOnFgiDuM9L1x1e530gQtIovFOTmLgcDUMaUIyUljzxJEJ9yh0AoFwWu1pPIX+V2r3TeydIaZ1asujUtuAh2ARVQVMszv5xBhBNOQoUZkrJvW7FyUyQUxYxkZSeRJEZ4jIakrzFEnEg3ne6TwWOtDGAQCX1CBafq74kUcSkn3NedHKmRnPdy8T+vn6jgwk1pGCeKhHj2UJAwqCKYhwMHVBCs2EQDwoLqv0I8QjoZpSMs6xDs+ZUXodOo21bdvj2rNC+LOErgEByBKrDBOWiCG9ACbYDBI3gGr+DNeDJejHfjY9a6ZBQzB+BPGZ8/rjag=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="+nxFYlAEC9qbXN+2+0COtMVmbg=">ACD3icbZBNS8MwGMdTX+d8q3r0EhzKdnC0Q9DjUASPE9wLrLWkWbqFJW1JUmGUfgMvfhUvHhTx6tWb38Z060E3Hwj58f8/D8nz92NGpbKsb2NpeWV1b20Ud7c2t7ZNf2OzJKBCZtHLFI9HwkCaMhaSuqGOnFgiDuM9L1x1e530gQtIovFOTmLgcDUMaUIyUljzxJEJ9yh0AoFwWu1pPIX+V2r3TeydIaZ1asujUtuAh2ARVQVMszv5xBhBNOQoUZkrJvW7FyUyQUxYxkZSeRJEZ4jIakrzFEnEg3ne6TwWOtDGAQCX1CBafq74kUcSkn3NedHKmRnPdy8T+vn6jgwk1pGCeKhHj2UJAwqCKYhwMHVBCs2EQDwoLqv0I8QjoZpSMs6xDs+ZUXodOo21bdvj2rNC+LOErgEByBKrDBOWiCG9ACbYDBI3gGr+DNeDJejHfjY9a6ZBQzB+BPGZ8/rjag=</latexit>

1 Γ(k/2)γ(k 2, x 2 )

<latexit sha1_base64="QD5Ua/6zG50qC5eqf+NtxgMtVBA=">ACIHicbVDLSsNAFJ3UV62vqEs3g0VoQWpShLosutBlBfuAJpTJdNIOmUnCzEQsIZ/ixl9x40IR3enXOG260NYLA+dxL3fu8WJGpbKsL6Owsrq2vlHcLG1t7+zumfsHRklApM2jlgkeh6ShNGQtBVjPRiQRD3GOl6wdXU794TIWkU3qlJTFyORiH1KUZKSwOz4fgC4dTOUucacY5gJTirVzNnlJPcDbK0np3CnDxMSXVglq2aNSu4DOw5KIN5tQbmpzOMcMJqDBDUvZtK1ZuioSimJGs5CSxAgHaET6GoaIE+mswMzeKVIfQjoV+o4Ez9PZEiLuWEe7qTIzWi95U/M/rJ8q/cFMaxokiIc4X+QmDKoLTtOCQCoIVm2iAsKD6rxCPkY5B6UxLOgR78eRl0KnXbKtm356Xm5fzOIrgCByDCrBAzTBDWiBNsDgETyDV/BmPBkvxrvxkbcWjPnMIfhTxvcPj86imQ=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="QD5Ua/6zG50qC5eqf+NtxgMtVBA=">ACIHicbVDLSsNAFJ3UV62vqEs3g0VoQWpShLosutBlBfuAJpTJdNIOmUnCzEQsIZ/ixl9x40IR3enXOG260NYLA+dxL3fu8WJGpbKsL6Owsrq2vlHcLG1t7+zumfsHRklApM2jlgkeh6ShNGQtBVjPRiQRD3GOl6wdXU794TIWkU3qlJTFyORiH1KUZKSwOz4fgC4dTOUucacY5gJTirVzNnlJPcDbK0np3CnDxMSXVglq2aNSu4DOw5KIN5tQbmpzOMcMJqDBDUvZtK1ZuioSimJGs5CSxAgHaET6GoaIE+mswMzeKVIfQjoV+o4Ez9PZEiLuWEe7qTIzWi95U/M/rJ8q/cFMaxokiIc4X+QmDKoLTtOCQCoIVm2iAsKD6rxCPkY5B6UxLOgR78eRl0KnXbKtm356Xm5fzOIrgCByDCrBAzTBDWiBNsDgETyDV/BmPBkvxrvxkbcWjPnMIfhTxvcPj86imQ=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="QD5Ua/6zG50qC5eqf+NtxgMtVBA=">ACIHicbVDLSsNAFJ3UV62vqEs3g0VoQWpShLosutBlBfuAJpTJdNIOmUnCzEQsIZ/ixl9x40IR3enXOG260NYLA+dxL3fu8WJGpbKsL6Owsrq2vlHcLG1t7+zumfsHRklApM2jlgkeh6ShNGQtBVjPRiQRD3GOl6wdXU794TIWkU3qlJTFyORiH1KUZKSwOz4fgC4dTOUucacY5gJTirVzNnlJPcDbK0np3CnDxMSXVglq2aNSu4DOw5KIN5tQbmpzOMcMJqDBDUvZtK1ZuioSimJGs5CSxAgHaET6GoaIE+mswMzeKVIfQjoV+o4Ez9PZEiLuWEe7qTIzWi95U/M/rJ8q/cFMaxokiIc4X+QmDKoLTtOCQCoIVm2iAsKD6rxCPkY5B6UxLOgR78eRl0KnXbKtm356Xm5fzOIrgCByDCrBAzTBDWiBNsDgETyDV/BmPBkvxrvxkbcWjPnMIfhTxvcPj86imQ=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="QD5Ua/6zG50qC5eqf+NtxgMtVBA=">ACIHicbVDLSsNAFJ3UV62vqEs3g0VoQWpShLosutBlBfuAJpTJdNIOmUnCzEQsIZ/ixl9x40IR3enXOG260NYLA+dxL3fu8WJGpbKsL6Owsrq2vlHcLG1t7+zumfsHRklApM2jlgkeh6ShNGQtBVjPRiQRD3GOl6wdXU794TIWkU3qlJTFyORiH1KUZKSwOz4fgC4dTOUucacY5gJTirVzNnlJPcDbK0np3CnDxMSXVglq2aNSu4DOw5KIN5tQbmpzOMcMJqDBDUvZtK1ZuioSimJGs5CSxAgHaET6GoaIE+mswMzeKVIfQjoV+o4Ez9PZEiLuWEe7qTIzWi95U/M/rJ8q/cFMaxokiIc4X+QmDKoLTtOCQCoIVm2iAsKD6rxCPkY5B6UxLOgR78eRl0KnXbKtm356Xm5fzOIrgCByDCrBAzTBDWiBNsDgETyDV/BmPBkvxrvxkbcWjPnMIfhTxvcPj86imQ=</latexit>

99

slide-100
SLIDE 100

Chi Squared Test

X

i

(Xi − E(Xi))2 E(Xi)

<latexit sha1_base64="+nxFYlAEC9qbXN+2+0COtMVmbg=">ACD3icbZBNS8MwGMdTX+d8q3r0EhzKdnC0Q9DjUASPE9wLrLWkWbqFJW1JUmGUfgMvfhUvHhTx6tWb38Z060E3Hwj58f8/D8nz92NGpbKsb2NpeWV1b20Ud7c2t7ZNf2OzJKBCZtHLFI9HwkCaMhaSuqGOnFgiDuM9L1x1e530gQtIovFOTmLgcDUMaUIyUljzxJEJ9yh0AoFwWu1pPIX+V2r3TeydIaZ1asujUtuAh2ARVQVMszv5xBhBNOQoUZkrJvW7FyUyQUxYxkZSeRJEZ4jIakrzFEnEg3ne6TwWOtDGAQCX1CBafq74kUcSkn3NedHKmRnPdy8T+vn6jgwk1pGCeKhHj2UJAwqCKYhwMHVBCs2EQDwoLqv0I8QjoZpSMs6xDs+ZUXodOo21bdvj2rNC+LOErgEByBKrDBOWiCG9ACbYDBI3gGr+DNeDJejHfjY9a6ZBQzB+BPGZ8/rjag=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="+nxFYlAEC9qbXN+2+0COtMVmbg=">ACD3icbZBNS8MwGMdTX+d8q3r0EhzKdnC0Q9DjUASPE9wLrLWkWbqFJW1JUmGUfgMvfhUvHhTx6tWb38Z060E3Hwj58f8/D8nz92NGpbKsb2NpeWV1b20Ud7c2t7ZNf2OzJKBCZtHLFI9HwkCaMhaSuqGOnFgiDuM9L1x1e530gQtIovFOTmLgcDUMaUIyUljzxJEJ9yh0AoFwWu1pPIX+V2r3TeydIaZ1asujUtuAh2ARVQVMszv5xBhBNOQoUZkrJvW7FyUyQUxYxkZSeRJEZ4jIakrzFEnEg3ne6TwWOtDGAQCX1CBafq74kUcSkn3NedHKmRnPdy8T+vn6jgwk1pGCeKhHj2UJAwqCKYhwMHVBCs2EQDwoLqv0I8QjoZpSMs6xDs+ZUXodOo21bdvj2rNC+LOErgEByBKrDBOWiCG9ACbYDBI3gGr+DNeDJejHfjY9a6ZBQzB+BPGZ8/rjag=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="+nxFYlAEC9qbXN+2+0COtMVmbg=">ACD3icbZBNS8MwGMdTX+d8q3r0EhzKdnC0Q9DjUASPE9wLrLWkWbqFJW1JUmGUfgMvfhUvHhTx6tWb38Z060E3Hwj58f8/D8nz92NGpbKsb2NpeWV1b20Ud7c2t7ZNf2OzJKBCZtHLFI9HwkCaMhaSuqGOnFgiDuM9L1x1e530gQtIovFOTmLgcDUMaUIyUljzxJEJ9yh0AoFwWu1pPIX+V2r3TeydIaZ1asujUtuAh2ARVQVMszv5xBhBNOQoUZkrJvW7FyUyQUxYxkZSeRJEZ4jIakrzFEnEg3ne6TwWOtDGAQCX1CBafq74kUcSkn3NedHKmRnPdy8T+vn6jgwk1pGCeKhHj2UJAwqCKYhwMHVBCs2EQDwoLqv0I8QjoZpSMs6xDs+ZUXodOo21bdvj2rNC+LOErgEByBKrDBOWiCG9ACbYDBI3gGr+DNeDJejHfjY9a6ZBQzB+BPGZ8/rjag=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="+nxFYlAEC9qbXN+2+0COtMVmbg=">ACD3icbZBNS8MwGMdTX+d8q3r0EhzKdnC0Q9DjUASPE9wLrLWkWbqFJW1JUmGUfgMvfhUvHhTx6tWb38Z060E3Hwj58f8/D8nz92NGpbKsb2NpeWV1b20Ud7c2t7ZNf2OzJKBCZtHLFI9HwkCaMhaSuqGOnFgiDuM9L1x1e530gQtIovFOTmLgcDUMaUIyUljzxJEJ9yh0AoFwWu1pPIX+V2r3TeydIaZ1asujUtuAh2ARVQVMszv5xBhBNOQoUZkrJvW7FyUyQUxYxkZSeRJEZ4jIakrzFEnEg3ne6TwWOtDGAQCX1CBafq74kUcSkn3NedHKmRnPdy8T+vn6jgwk1pGCeKhHj2UJAwqCKYhwMHVBCs2EQDwoLqv0I8QjoZpSMs6xDs+ZUXodOo21bdvj2rNC+LOErgEByBKrDBOWiCG9ACbYDBI3gGr+DNeDJejHfjY9a6ZBQzB+BPGZ8/rjag=</latexit>

1 Γ(k/2)γ(k 2, x 2 )

<latexit sha1_base64="QD5Ua/6zG50qC5eqf+NtxgMtVBA=">ACIHicbVDLSsNAFJ3UV62vqEs3g0VoQWpShLosutBlBfuAJpTJdNIOmUnCzEQsIZ/ixl9x40IR3enXOG260NYLA+dxL3fu8WJGpbKsL6Owsrq2vlHcLG1t7+zumfsHRklApM2jlgkeh6ShNGQtBVjPRiQRD3GOl6wdXU794TIWkU3qlJTFyORiH1KUZKSwOz4fgC4dTOUucacY5gJTirVzNnlJPcDbK0np3CnDxMSXVglq2aNSu4DOw5KIN5tQbmpzOMcMJqDBDUvZtK1ZuioSimJGs5CSxAgHaET6GoaIE+mswMzeKVIfQjoV+o4Ez9PZEiLuWEe7qTIzWi95U/M/rJ8q/cFMaxokiIc4X+QmDKoLTtOCQCoIVm2iAsKD6rxCPkY5B6UxLOgR78eRl0KnXbKtm356Xm5fzOIrgCByDCrBAzTBDWiBNsDgETyDV/BmPBkvxrvxkbcWjPnMIfhTxvcPj86imQ=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="QD5Ua/6zG50qC5eqf+NtxgMtVBA=">ACIHicbVDLSsNAFJ3UV62vqEs3g0VoQWpShLosutBlBfuAJpTJdNIOmUnCzEQsIZ/ixl9x40IR3enXOG260NYLA+dxL3fu8WJGpbKsL6Owsrq2vlHcLG1t7+zumfsHRklApM2jlgkeh6ShNGQtBVjPRiQRD3GOl6wdXU794TIWkU3qlJTFyORiH1KUZKSwOz4fgC4dTOUucacY5gJTirVzNnlJPcDbK0np3CnDxMSXVglq2aNSu4DOw5KIN5tQbmpzOMcMJqDBDUvZtK1ZuioSimJGs5CSxAgHaET6GoaIE+mswMzeKVIfQjoV+o4Ez9PZEiLuWEe7qTIzWi95U/M/rJ8q/cFMaxokiIc4X+QmDKoLTtOCQCoIVm2iAsKD6rxCPkY5B6UxLOgR78eRl0KnXbKtm356Xm5fzOIrgCByDCrBAzTBDWiBNsDgETyDV/BmPBkvxrvxkbcWjPnMIfhTxvcPj86imQ=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="QD5Ua/6zG50qC5eqf+NtxgMtVBA=">ACIHicbVDLSsNAFJ3UV62vqEs3g0VoQWpShLosutBlBfuAJpTJdNIOmUnCzEQsIZ/ixl9x40IR3enXOG260NYLA+dxL3fu8WJGpbKsL6Owsrq2vlHcLG1t7+zumfsHRklApM2jlgkeh6ShNGQtBVjPRiQRD3GOl6wdXU794TIWkU3qlJTFyORiH1KUZKSwOz4fgC4dTOUucacY5gJTirVzNnlJPcDbK0np3CnDxMSXVglq2aNSu4DOw5KIN5tQbmpzOMcMJqDBDUvZtK1ZuioSimJGs5CSxAgHaET6GoaIE+mswMzeKVIfQjoV+o4Ez9PZEiLuWEe7qTIzWi95U/M/rJ8q/cFMaxokiIc4X+QmDKoLTtOCQCoIVm2iAsKD6rxCPkY5B6UxLOgR78eRl0KnXbKtm356Xm5fzOIrgCByDCrBAzTBDWiBNsDgETyDV/BmPBkvxrvxkbcWjPnMIfhTxvcPj86imQ=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="QD5Ua/6zG50qC5eqf+NtxgMtVBA=">ACIHicbVDLSsNAFJ3UV62vqEs3g0VoQWpShLosutBlBfuAJpTJdNIOmUnCzEQsIZ/ixl9x40IR3enXOG260NYLA+dxL3fu8WJGpbKsL6Owsrq2vlHcLG1t7+zumfsHRklApM2jlgkeh6ShNGQtBVjPRiQRD3GOl6wdXU794TIWkU3qlJTFyORiH1KUZKSwOz4fgC4dTOUucacY5gJTirVzNnlJPcDbK0np3CnDxMSXVglq2aNSu4DOw5KIN5tQbmpzOMcMJqDBDUvZtK1ZuioSimJGs5CSxAgHaET6GoaIE+mswMzeKVIfQjoV+o4Ez9PZEiLuWEe7qTIzWi95U/M/rJ8q/cFMaxokiIc4X+QmDKoLTtOCQCoIVm2iAsKD6rxCPkY5B6UxLOgR78eRl0KnXbKtm356Xm5fzOIrgCByDCrBAzTBDWiBNsDgETyDV/BmPBkvxrvxkbcWjPnMIfhTxvcPj86imQ=</latexit>

{

cdf that we can compute explicitly

100

slide-101
SLIDE 101

Chi Squared Test

X

i

(Xi − E(Xi))2 E(Xi)

<latexit sha1_base64="+nxFYlAEC9qbXN+2+0COtMVmbg=">ACD3icbZBNS8MwGMdTX+d8q3r0EhzKdnC0Q9DjUASPE9wLrLWkWbqFJW1JUmGUfgMvfhUvHhTx6tWb38Z060E3Hwj58f8/D8nz92NGpbKsb2NpeWV1b20Ud7c2t7ZNf2OzJKBCZtHLFI9HwkCaMhaSuqGOnFgiDuM9L1x1e530gQtIovFOTmLgcDUMaUIyUljzxJEJ9yh0AoFwWu1pPIX+V2r3TeydIaZ1asujUtuAh2ARVQVMszv5xBhBNOQoUZkrJvW7FyUyQUxYxkZSeRJEZ4jIakrzFEnEg3ne6TwWOtDGAQCX1CBafq74kUcSkn3NedHKmRnPdy8T+vn6jgwk1pGCeKhHj2UJAwqCKYhwMHVBCs2EQDwoLqv0I8QjoZpSMs6xDs+ZUXodOo21bdvj2rNC+LOErgEByBKrDBOWiCG9ACbYDBI3gGr+DNeDJejHfjY9a6ZBQzB+BPGZ8/rjag=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="+nxFYlAEC9qbXN+2+0COtMVmbg=">ACD3icbZBNS8MwGMdTX+d8q3r0EhzKdnC0Q9DjUASPE9wLrLWkWbqFJW1JUmGUfgMvfhUvHhTx6tWb38Z060E3Hwj58f8/D8nz92NGpbKsb2NpeWV1b20Ud7c2t7ZNf2OzJKBCZtHLFI9HwkCaMhaSuqGOnFgiDuM9L1x1e530gQtIovFOTmLgcDUMaUIyUljzxJEJ9yh0AoFwWu1pPIX+V2r3TeydIaZ1asujUtuAh2ARVQVMszv5xBhBNOQoUZkrJvW7FyUyQUxYxkZSeRJEZ4jIakrzFEnEg3ne6TwWOtDGAQCX1CBafq74kUcSkn3NedHKmRnPdy8T+vn6jgwk1pGCeKhHj2UJAwqCKYhwMHVBCs2EQDwoLqv0I8QjoZpSMs6xDs+ZUXodOo21bdvj2rNC+LOErgEByBKrDBOWiCG9ACbYDBI3gGr+DNeDJejHfjY9a6ZBQzB+BPGZ8/rjag=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="+nxFYlAEC9qbXN+2+0COtMVmbg=">ACD3icbZBNS8MwGMdTX+d8q3r0EhzKdnC0Q9DjUASPE9wLrLWkWbqFJW1JUmGUfgMvfhUvHhTx6tWb38Z060E3Hwj58f8/D8nz92NGpbKsb2NpeWV1b20Ud7c2t7ZNf2OzJKBCZtHLFI9HwkCaMhaSuqGOnFgiDuM9L1x1e530gQtIovFOTmLgcDUMaUIyUljzxJEJ9yh0AoFwWu1pPIX+V2r3TeydIaZ1asujUtuAh2ARVQVMszv5xBhBNOQoUZkrJvW7FyUyQUxYxkZSeRJEZ4jIakrzFEnEg3ne6TwWOtDGAQCX1CBafq74kUcSkn3NedHKmRnPdy8T+vn6jgwk1pGCeKhHj2UJAwqCKYhwMHVBCs2EQDwoLqv0I8QjoZpSMs6xDs+ZUXodOo21bdvj2rNC+LOErgEByBKrDBOWiCG9ACbYDBI3gGr+DNeDJejHfjY9a6ZBQzB+BPGZ8/rjag=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="+nxFYlAEC9qbXN+2+0COtMVmbg=">ACD3icbZBNS8MwGMdTX+d8q3r0EhzKdnC0Q9DjUASPE9wLrLWkWbqFJW1JUmGUfgMvfhUvHhTx6tWb38Z060E3Hwj58f8/D8nz92NGpbKsb2NpeWV1b20Ud7c2t7ZNf2OzJKBCZtHLFI9HwkCaMhaSuqGOnFgiDuM9L1x1e530gQtIovFOTmLgcDUMaUIyUljzxJEJ9yh0AoFwWu1pPIX+V2r3TeydIaZ1asujUtuAh2ARVQVMszv5xBhBNOQoUZkrJvW7FyUyQUxYxkZSeRJEZ4jIakrzFEnEg3ne6TwWOtDGAQCX1CBafq74kUcSkn3NedHKmRnPdy8T+vn6jgwk1pGCeKhHj2UJAwqCKYhwMHVBCs2EQDwoLqv0I8QjoZpSMs6xDs+ZUXodOo21bdvj2rNC+LOErgEByBKrDBOWiCG9ACbYDBI3gGr+DNeDJejHfjY9a6ZBQzB+BPGZ8/rjag=</latexit>

1 2 3 4 a b c d

3 4 4 1

0.75 1.5 2.25 3 a b c d

3 3 3 3

101

slide-102
SLIDE 102

Chi Squared Test

X

i

(Xi − E(Xi))2 E(Xi)

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1 2 3 4 a b c d

3 4 4 1

0.75 1.5 2.25 3 a b c d

3 3 3 3

not really remarkable

102

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SLIDE 103

1 2 3 4 a b c d

3 4 4 1

Observed Expected

0.75 1.5 2.25 3 a b c d

3 3 3 3

Want to model the difference between these

Chi Squared Test

103

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SLIDE 104

Chi Squared Test

Overall goal: Understand how cities differ in terms of professions. Null Hypothesis: No difference between Providence and Boston Art Tech Medicine PVD 35 33 32 Boston 25 30 45

104

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SLIDE 105

Chi Squared Test

Overall goal: Understand how cities differ in terms of professions. Null Hypothesis: No difference between Providence and Boston Art Tech Medicine PVD 35 33 32 Boston 25 30 45 “expected” “observed”

105

slide-106
SLIDE 106

Clicker Question!

106

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SLIDE 107

Null Hypothesis: No difference between Providence and Boston Art Tech Medicine PVD 35 33 32 Boston 25 30 45 “expected” “observed”

Clicker Question! a) 6.5 b) 7 .3 c) 8.4 Compute the test statistic

X

i

(Xi − E(Xi))2 E(Xi)

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107

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SLIDE 108

Null Hypothesis: No difference between Providence and Boston Art Tech Medicine PVD 35 33 32 Boston 25 30 45 “expected” “observed”

Clicker Question! Compute the test statistic

X

i

(Xi − E(Xi))2 E(Xi)

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a) 6.5 b) 7 .3 c) 8.4

108

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SLIDE 109

Null Hypothesis: No difference between Providence and Boston Art Tech Medicine PVD 35 33 32 Boston 25 30 45 “expected” “observed”

Clicker Question! Compute the test statistic

X

i

(Xi − E(Xi))2 E(Xi)

<latexit sha1_base64="+nxFYlAEC9qbXN+2+0COtMVmbg=">ACD3icbZBNS8MwGMdTX+d8q3r0EhzKdnC0Q9DjUASPE9wLrLWkWbqFJW1JUmGUfgMvfhUvHhTx6tWb38Z060E3Hwj58f8/D8nz92NGpbKsb2NpeWV1b20Ud7c2t7ZNf2OzJKBCZtHLFI9HwkCaMhaSuqGOnFgiDuM9L1x1e530gQtIovFOTmLgcDUMaUIyUljzxJEJ9yh0AoFwWu1pPIX+V2r3TeydIaZ1asujUtuAh2ARVQVMszv5xBhBNOQoUZkrJvW7FyUyQUxYxkZSeRJEZ4jIakrzFEnEg3ne6TwWOtDGAQCX1CBafq74kUcSkn3NedHKmRnPdy8T+vn6jgwk1pGCeKhHj2UJAwqCKYhwMHVBCs2EQDwoLqv0I8QjoZpSMs6xDs+ZUXodOo21bdvj2rNC+LOErgEByBKrDBOWiCG9ACbYDBI3gGr+DNeDJejHfjY9a6ZBQzB+BPGZ8/rjag=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="+nxFYlAEC9qbXN+2+0COtMVmbg=">ACD3icbZBNS8MwGMdTX+d8q3r0EhzKdnC0Q9DjUASPE9wLrLWkWbqFJW1JUmGUfgMvfhUvHhTx6tWb38Z060E3Hwj58f8/D8nz92NGpbKsb2NpeWV1b20Ud7c2t7ZNf2OzJKBCZtHLFI9HwkCaMhaSuqGOnFgiDuM9L1x1e530gQtIovFOTmLgcDUMaUIyUljzxJEJ9yh0AoFwWu1pPIX+V2r3TeydIaZ1asujUtuAh2ARVQVMszv5xBhBNOQoUZkrJvW7FyUyQUxYxkZSeRJEZ4jIakrzFEnEg3ne6TwWOtDGAQCX1CBafq74kUcSkn3NedHKmRnPdy8T+vn6jgwk1pGCeKhHj2UJAwqCKYhwMHVBCs2EQDwoLqv0I8QjoZpSMs6xDs+ZUXodOo21bdvj2rNC+LOErgEByBKrDBOWiCG9ACbYDBI3gGr+DNeDJejHfjY9a6ZBQzB+BPGZ8/rjag=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="+nxFYlAEC9qbXN+2+0COtMVmbg=">ACD3icbZBNS8MwGMdTX+d8q3r0EhzKdnC0Q9DjUASPE9wLrLWkWbqFJW1JUmGUfgMvfhUvHhTx6tWb38Z060E3Hwj58f8/D8nz92NGpbKsb2NpeWV1b20Ud7c2t7ZNf2OzJKBCZtHLFI9HwkCaMhaSuqGOnFgiDuM9L1x1e530gQtIovFOTmLgcDUMaUIyUljzxJEJ9yh0AoFwWu1pPIX+V2r3TeydIaZ1asujUtuAh2ARVQVMszv5xBhBNOQoUZkrJvW7FyUyQUxYxkZSeRJEZ4jIakrzFEnEg3ne6TwWOtDGAQCX1CBafq74kUcSkn3NedHKmRnPdy8T+vn6jgwk1pGCeKhHj2UJAwqCKYhwMHVBCs2EQDwoLqv0I8QjoZpSMs6xDs+ZUXodOo21bdvj2rNC+LOErgEByBKrDBOWiCG9ACbYDBI3gGr+DNeDJejHfjY9a6ZBQzB+BPGZ8/rjag=</latexit><latexit sha1_base64="+nxFYlAEC9qbXN+2+0COtMVmbg=">ACD3icbZBNS8MwGMdTX+d8q3r0EhzKdnC0Q9DjUASPE9wLrLWkWbqFJW1JUmGUfgMvfhUvHhTx6tWb38Z060E3Hwj58f8/D8nz92NGpbKsb2NpeWV1b20Ud7c2t7ZNf2OzJKBCZtHLFI9HwkCaMhaSuqGOnFgiDuM9L1x1e530gQtIovFOTmLgcDUMaUIyUljzxJEJ9yh0AoFwWu1pPIX+V2r3TeydIaZ1asujUtuAh2ARVQVMszv5xBhBNOQoUZkrJvW7FyUyQUxYxkZSeRJEZ4jIakrzFEnEg3ne6TwWOtDGAQCX1CBafq74kUcSkn3NedHKmRnPdy8T+vn6jgwk1pGCeKhHj2UJAwqCKYhwMHVBCs2EQDwoLqv0I8QjoZpSMs6xDs+ZUXodOo21bdvj2rNC+LOErgEByBKrDBOWiCG9ACbYDBI3gGr+DNeDJejHfjY9a6ZBQzB+BPGZ8/rjag=</latexit>

c h i s q u a r e a) 6.5 b) 7 .3 c) 8.4

109

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SLIDE 110
  • kie done now

110