Home Credit
Presentation of 2016 results 1 March 2017
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Home Credit Presentation of 2016 results 1 March 2017 Disclaimer This presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes and shall not be considered as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, subscribe for or
Presentation of 2016 results 1 March 2017
This presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes and shall not be considered as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, subscribe for or otherwise acquire any securities of or obtain lending services from Home Credit B.V., PPF Group N.V. or any of their affiliates in any jurisdiction and shall not be treated as any investment advice or recommendation. This presentation is not directed to, or intended for distribution or use, where it is prohibited by operation of law. The presentation does not take into account, in any way whatsoever, the investment objectives, financial situation or specific needs of its recipients. This presentation and its contents may not be copied or disseminated, in part or as a whole, without prior written consent of Home Credit B.V. Information and opinions presented in this presentation may have been obtained or derived from various sources which are believed by Home Credit B.V. to be reliable but such information has not been verified by Home Credit B.V. No representation or warranty whatsoever, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness, consistency or the reliability of the information contained in this document and nothing contained in this presentation is, or should be relied upon as, a promise or representation. We accept no liability for loss arising from the use of any information or acting on any
Credit B.V. In the interest of comparability historic numbers for Vietnam are pro-forma and certain numbers in respect of Indonesia are also pro-forma. For more information on Home Credit Group, please visit www.homecredit.net.
Highlights Key metrics and business mix (€)
− China: the largest and fast growing market with €5.3bn
− Asia: (Vietnam, Indonesia, India and Philippines) – high growth, early stage businesses with the exception
− Russia: historically the largest market with €2.3bn of loans and €2.2bn of customer deposits − Other: (Czech Republic, Slovakia and Kazakhstan) which are mature, profitable businesses
distribution points and substantial online presence
2013 2014 2015 2016 Deposits (bn) 5.1 2.9 4.9 5.4 Gross loans (bn) 8.4 6.0 6.6 10.7 Equity (bn) 1.5 1.2 1.2 1.5 Net income (m) 324.4 (60.5) (41.6) 210.2 Net interest margin 19.8% 18.0% 15.6% 14.0% Cost of risk 16.7% 17.8% 13.2% 7.6% RoAE 20.5% (4.3%) (3.3%) 16.2% # of distribution points (000) 145 166 186 271 # of active customers (m) 8.5 9.1 12.5 20.1 Total net loan by type: €9.9bn Total net loan by country: €9.9bn
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China 54.5% Russia 23.9% Czech Republic and Slovakia 10.6% Asia 7.4% Rest CIS 3.0% Cash loans 50.6% Consumer durables loans 40.5% Other 8.9%
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Customer-centric multichannel distribution with strong cross-sell
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Expanding offline footprint and growing
3
Leading positions in attractive markets
4
Leading edge risk management
5
Strong and diversified funding
2
Acquisition: POS loan and cash loan walk-in Cross-sell
1
Distribution
Products Consumer durables loan Cash loan Purpose Electronics, white goods, Two wheelers General purpose Average amount €320 €390 Average term 12 months 12 months Volumes disbursed (€bn) Distribution
months
credit card within 36 months. Products Cash loan Credit cards Purpose General purpose General purpose Average amount €1,750 €1,100* Average term 38 months NA Volumes disbursed (€bn)
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4.2 3.2 3.8 6.5 2013 2014 2015 2016 5.1 3.5 2.4 4.5 2013 2014 2015 2016
*Average credit limit per active
credit card
77 99 103 93 94 19 24 38 63 141 14 16 18 19 16 2 6 7 11 19 112 145 166 186 271 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Russia China Other(1) Asia
Home Credit helps retailers increase their sales and revenues by making loans easily accessible Home Credit also works with electronics manufacturers (Samsung, OPPO, Huawei, etc.) to support their marketing efforts Coopera rati tion with th partn tners
Number of POS (‘000)
Active clients (m) 6.8 8.4 9.1 12.5 20.1 24.7% CAGR
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1 Other includes Czech Republic, Slovakia, Belarus, Kazakhstan
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individually tailored products
leads online
To date Strategy 5
2
3
Established High growth markets Mature markets Start-up high growth market Vietnam
1 1
China
1
Czech Republic
2
Slovakia
1
Russia
2
Kazakhstan
GDP growth 6.2% Net loans (€m) 430 GDP growth 6.7% Net loans (€m) 5,313 GDP growth 0.2% Net loans (€m) 334 GDP growth (0.2)% Net loans (€m) 2,326 GDP growth 3.3% Net loans (€m) 258 GDP growth 2.5% Net loans (€m) 771
Indonesia* India
2
new
United States of America The Philippines
1 2
GDP growth 6.8% Net loans (€m) 68 GDP growth 5.0% Net loans (€m) 87 Strategic partnership with Sprint regarding financing services for mobile phones GDP growth 7.0% Net loans (€m) 195
Note: Net loans and real GDP growth for 2016 Source for GDP: BMI Research
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*Included portfolio which is not
within JFS
− Credit bureaus − Telco databases − Social security databases − Payment behaviour − Demographic predictors − Social media and other sources
efficiency(1)
1.04 minutes Key aspects of risk management Strong risk performance
1 (1 – (Gross loans DPD 0-90 in previous month / Gross loans DPD 31-120 in current month)) 2 Impairment losses / Average net loans 3 End of period gross loans >90dpd / Total end of period gross loans
NPL coverage
4
7
128% 116% 106% 117% 16.7% 17.8% 13.2% 7.6% 12.2% 15.3% 10.0% 6.1% 2013 2014 2015 2016 Cost of risk (2) NPL ratio (3)
Div iversified ied fund nding ing
Div iversified ied fund nding ing Fundin ding g gap (€bn) n)
Total: €14.7bn Funding sources (as of 31 Dec 2016)
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5
Net position (as of 31 Dec 2016) 0.0 (1.2) 1.3 0.8 0.6 <3m 3m – 1y 1 – 5y >5y No maturity Net position Bank loans 44% Customer deposits 37% Subordinated liabilities 3% Debt securities 2% Other 4% Equity 10%
644 1,057 2,219 5,313 2013 2014 2015 2016 75 64 128 196 2013 2014 2015 2016
Key financial data (€m) Active clients (000’) Number of POS Market opportunity (consumer lending) (€bn)(1) #1 in POS
Net loans Net profit
110% 139% 103% 112% 100% 53%
% of GDP 12.7% 11.1% 9.4%
1 Euromonitor
9
64% (15)% 42%
8.3% 1,736 2,468 5,002 10,621 2013 2014 2015 2016 24,001 37,793 63,391 141,315 2013 2014 2015 2016 686 847 1,078 1,334 2013 2014 2015 2016
National roll out progressing as per plan combined with a densification of the network Strong growth combined with strong profitability
15 18 22 26 2013 2014 2015 2016 440 861 1,129 1,769 2013 2014 2015 2016 13.6 26.2 25.8 46.3 2013 2014 2015 2016 148 200 249 430 2013 2014 2015 2016
Key financial data (€m) Active clients (000’) Number of POS Market opportunity (consumer lending) (€bn)(1) #1 in POS
24% 72% 31% 57% (3%) 79%
% of GDP 13.6% 12.7% 11.2%
1 Euromonitor
10
35% 96% 96%
10.2% 4,578 4,754 4,955 6,834 2013 2014 2015 2016 Net loans Net profit
Strong growth combined with strong profitability
5,830 3,125 1,957 2,326 2013 2014 2015 2016
Key financial data (€m) Active clients (000’) Number of POS Market opportunity (consumer lending) (€bn)(1) #1 in POS
(37)% 16% (11)% (12)%
% of GDP 6.3% 6.7% 8.1%
1 National Bank of Russia
11
(46)% (10)%
164.5 (117.1) (145.9) 67.2 2013 2014 2015 2016 4,659 4,198 3,723 3,268 2013 2014 2015 2016 98,703 103,407 92,980 93,996 2013 2014 2015 2016 104 91 88 2014 2015 2016 Net loans Net profit
Turnaround post crisis completed as demonstrated by increasing volumes and return to profitability
481 456 260 334 2013 2014 2015 2016 60.9 34.6 34.4 45.8 2013 2014 2015 2016
Key financial data (€m) Active clients (000’) Number of POS Market opportunity (consumer lending) (€bn)(1) #1 in POS
(43)% 28% 2% 21%
% of GDP 5.6% 6.4% 6.5%
(1)% 33%
1 National Bank of Kazakhstan
12
(5)% (43)% 8%
6.1% 609 661 677 817 2013 2014 2015 2016 4,384 5,370 6,124 7,934 2013 2014 2015 2016 6.5 7.6 7.7 7.5 2013 2014 2015 2016 Net loans Net profit
Net loans increased post 2015 crisis. Strong profitability, even during the crisis, demonstrates the strength of the franchise
64 57 682 771 2013 2014 2015 2016 19.8 10.5 22.5 33.2 2013 2014 2015 2016
Key financial data (€m) Active clients (000’) Number of POS Market opportunity (consumer lending) (€bn)(1) #1 in POS
% of GDP 4.8% 4.7% 4.6%
1,091% 13% 112% 49% 1% (7)%
1 Czech National Bank
13
(11)% (46)% (38)%
4.8% 517 323 327 303 2013 2014 2015 2016 5,805 5,818 5,998 4,917 2013 2014 2015 2016 7.2 7.2 7.8 8.2 2013 2014 2015 2016 Net loans Net profit
Strong performance of the consumer lending business and of Air Bank Air Bank continues to redefine how retail banking is done and to be “the bank you can like”
Key financial data (€m) Active clients (000’) Market opportunity (consumer lending) (€bn)(1) #2 in POS
212% 173% 305% 176%
Number of POS
% of GDP 7.1% 6.2% 5.8%
1 Euromonitor
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113% 137%
4.9% 11 23 71 195 2013 2014 2015 2016 (7.8) (10.6) (26.1) (61.1) 2013 2014 2015 2016 51 121 490 1,351 2013 2014 2015 2016 784 1,302 3,289 5,789 2013 2014 2015 2016 94 109 125 145 2013 2014 2015 2016 Net loans Net profit
Indian franchise is being roll out nationwide Home Credit intends to continue investing in the coming years to expand the network in India and gain relevant market leadership
Key financial data (€m) Active clients (000’) Number of POS Market opportunity (consumer lending) (€bn)(1) #2 in POS
255% 255% 150% 200%
% of GDP 10.3% 10.5% 10.7%
1 Euromonitor
15
80% 118%
10.7% 3.8 6.9 24.5 87.1 2013 2014 2015 2016 (5.6) (11.2) (15.3) (19.2) 2013 2014 2015 2016 31 68 169 508 2013 2014 2015 2016 578 758 1,710 4,423 2013 2014 2015 2016 68 79 86 91 2013 2014 2015 2016 Net loans* Net profit
Significant investment done in 2016 to grow the franchise in 2016 where our market share by now is quite close to the
*Included portfolio which is not on HC books and is
financed within JFS
Key financial data (€m) Active clients (000’) Number of POS Market opportunity (consumer lending) (€bn)(1) #1 in POS
292% 384% 237% 336%
% of GDP 7.7% 7.4% 7.0%
1 Euromonitor
16
656% 1,407%
7.0% 0.5 3.6 13.9 67.5 2013 2014 2015 2016 (3.5) (7.2) (13.8) (16.0) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2 35 119 520 2013 2014 2015 2016 58 366 840 1,951 2013 2014 2015 2016 15 16 19 21 2013 2014 2015 2016 Net loans Net profit
Significant investment done in the past years to gain market leadership Home Credit intends to continue investing to develop a nationwide coverage
2,542 1,949 1,619 2,000 2013 2014 2015 2016
Strong loan growth (€bn) n) Resilient ilient reven venue ue (€m) m) Recove
g prof
abil ility
18.0% 14.0% 15.6%
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19.8%
Recovering profitability (€m) m) Cost of ris isk
(4.3)% 16.2% (3.3)% 20.5% RoAE NIM 324.4 (60.5) (41.6) 210.2 164.5 (117.1) (145.9) 67.2 2013 2014 2015 2016 Group Russia 16.7% 17.8% 13.2% 7.6% 2013 2014 2015 2016 7.2 5.1 5.8 9.9 2013 2014 2015 2016
Decrease in NIM compensates by decline in CoR Group returns to profitability post Russian recovery
(€m) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Net interest income 627 1,057 1,762 1,377 1,207 1,532 Net fee income 238 597 618 420 304 418 Other operating income 40 119 162 152 108 50 Operating income 905 1,773 2,542 1,949 1,619 2,000 Operating expenses (403) (655) (924) (871) (887) (1,115) Impairment losses (167) (478) (1,186) (1,116) (725) (563) Profit before tax 336 644 439 (37) 9 325 Income tax expense (95) (138) (114) (23) (50) (115) Profit from continuing operations 241 506 324 (60) (42) 210 Attributable to equity holders 231 506 327 (57) (40) 213 Key performance indicators NIM 20.5% 18.9% 19.8% 18.0% 15.6% 14.0% CIR 44.6% 36.9% 36.4% 44.7% 54.8% 55.7% CoR 6.8% 11.0% 16.7% 17.8% 13.2% 7.6%
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1 Cumulative net profit attributable to equity holders over period for 2011 – 2016
(€m) Assets 2014 2015 2016 CAGR 2014 – 2016 Cash and cash equivalents 866 1,343 2,412 67% Financial assets 453 1,501 1,252 66% Due from banks 172 391 397 52% Net loans 5,060 5,835 9,866 40% Other assets 486 586 777 26% Total assets 7,037 9,656 14,704 45% Liabilities Customer deposits 2,890 4,909 5,401 37% Due to banks 1,434 2,331 6,427 112% Debt securities 575 373 320 (25)% Subordinated liabilities 542 428 416 (12)% Other liabilities 357 419 639 34% Total liabilities 5,798 8,460 13,202 51% Total equity 1,239 1,196 1,501 10% abs ∆ 2014 – 2016 NPL ratio 15.3% 10.0% 6.1% (9)% NPL coverage ratio 106% 116% 128% 22%
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Jiri ri Smejc jc CEO Tomas Kocka Deputy CEO Jean-Pa Pascal Duvieu ieusart rt Funding & Capital Markets Mel Carv rvil ill CGIRO Pavel Vyhnalek Regional Executive Director Pavel Rozehnal CLO Radek Pluhar CRO Khalid lid Husseini CIO Petr tr Kohout CFO Tomas Jirg rgl Regional Executive Director David id Minol Regional Executive Director Miroslav lav Boubli lik Head of Special Projects Daniel iela Raz Razim imova CHRO Ludek Mraz Head of CRM
Industry Listed Value Telecom
CZK71bn (market value of PPF’s 84.06% share) Telecom
CZK18bn (book value) Consumer finance
€1.5bn (book value) Real estate
€852m (book value) Metals / mining
£545m (market value of PPF’s 12.92% share)
Key financial results (as at 30 June 2016)
Ownership Key investments Petr Kellner 98.92% Ladislav Bartoníček 0.54% Jean-Pascal Duvieusart 0.54% 21