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HI V status and fertility desires, HI V status and fertility desires, contraceptive use, and pregnancy rates in contraceptive use, and pregnancy rates in Rakai, Uganda Rakai, Uganda Fredrick Makumbi, PhD School of Public Health, Makerere


  1. HI V status and fertility desires, HI V status and fertility desires, contraceptive use, and pregnancy rates in contraceptive use, and pregnancy rates in Rakai, Uganda Rakai, Uganda Fredrick Makumbi, PhD School of Public Health, Makerere University, and Rakai Health Sciences Program A presentation to Wilson Center March 29 th 2011 Washington DC, USA

  2. Background: Fertility in sub-Saharan Africa � Fertility in SSA is high and contraceptive use is low � Fertility in SSA is high and contraceptive use is low � Fertility in Uganda is among highest in SSA � Fertility in Uganda is among highest in SSA – TFR 6.7 TFR 6.7 – – Annual growth rates 3.4% Annual growth rates 3.4% – – ~ 50.8% of population < 15 years ~ 50.8% of population < 15 years ( Uganda National Household Survey Report 2009/ 2010 ) – – Built Built- -in potential for population momentum in potential for population momentum – � Factors that maintain high fertility include fertility � Factors that maintain high fertility include fertility desires, unmet need for FP, and lack of male desires, unmet need for FP, and lack of male involvement involvement � Impact of the HIV/AIDS epidemic on fertility has been � Impact of the HIV/AIDS epidemic on fertility has been felt more at individual than at population level felt more at individual than at population level

  3. Background: Contraceptive use by HI V+ women � Knowledge of contraceptives is almost universal � Knowledge of contraceptives is almost universal… … – In Uganda, 98% of all women know at least one method In Uganda, 98% of all women know at least one method – – Modern method use is 18%, and there is increasing use of modern Modern method use is 18%, and there is increasing use of modern – methods over time… … ( methods over time (UDHS 2006) ) � … � …but contraceptive use is still low among HIV+ women but contraceptive use is still low among HIV+ women – 30% unmet need in a Kenyan Hospital setting 30% unmet need in a Kenyan Hospital setting (East Afr Med J. 2008 Apr;85(4):171-7.) – – 90% unmet need for highly effective FP in Kabarole, Uganda 90% unmet need for highly effective FP in Kabarole, Uganda (AI DS. 2009 – Nov;23 Suppl 1:S37-45.) � Access to contraception is critical, particularly since HAART ca � Access to contraception is critical, particularly since HAART can n increase pregnancy rates in HIV+ women ( increase pregnancy rates in HIV+ women ( PLoS Med 7(2): e1000229. doi:10.1371/ journal.pmed.1000229 ) ) � Integrating FP services into HIV services could help address FP � Integrating FP services into HIV services could help address FP needs of both HIV- -infected/uninfected infected/uninfected ( Reproductive Health: Integrating family needs of both HIV Reproductive Health: Integrating family planning and HIV services planning and HIV services http://www.africa http://www.africa- -health.com/articles/march_2010/FHI%20March%20final.pdf health.com/articles/march_2010/FHI%20March%20final.pdf downloaded March downloaded March 20 2011) 20 2011)

  4. Objectives Objectives � Share findings on fertility preferences and � Share findings on fertility preferences and behaviors and contraceptive uptake in context of behaviors and contraceptive uptake in context of HIV infection and care in Rakai, Uganda HIV infection and care in Rakai, Uganda

  5. Rakai district, Rakai district, Uganda Uganda

  6. Rakai Community Cohort Study Rakai Community Cohort Study � Annual census and surveys of adults 15 � Annual census and surveys of adults 15- -49 in 50 49 in 50 communities since 1994 communities since 1994 � 10,000 � 10,000- -15,000 population 15,000 population � Interviews including use of contraceptives, fertility desires � Interviews including use of contraceptives, fertility desires and preference, and collection of blood and genital swab and preference, and collection of blood and genital swab samples samples � RCCS is the population � RCCS is the population- -core for multiple nested studies core for multiple nested studies including clinical trials, molecular epidemiology, behavioral including clinical trials, molecular epidemiology, behavioral science science

  7. Health Education and Community Mobilization Field teams • Collection of biological samples for HI V • Field editing questionnaires after data collection

  8. I n 1994- -95, pregnancy prevalence and incidence rates 95, pregnancy prevalence and incidence rates I n 1994 were higher among HI V- - than HI V+ women in Rakai than HI V+ women in Rakai were higher among HI V Pregnancy prevalence rates: Combined : 19.3% HI V+ Positive 13.4% HI V-negative 21.4% Pregnancy incidence per 100 woman-yrs: HI V+ Positive 23.5 HI V – Negative 30.1 (p= 0.007)

  9. Between 2004- -2008, pregnancy prevalence rose for 2008, pregnancy prevalence rose for Between 2004 HI V+ women on ART care in Rakai HI V+ women on ART care in Rakai 20 Pre-ART initiation On ART Pregnancy prevalence, % 15 10 5 0 15-24 25-34 35-45 15-24 25-34 35-45 Age (years) Pregnancy prevalence rates: Pre-ART , 7.2% ; On-ART, 10.1% ; p= 0.0315

  10. Between 2004- -2008, pregnancy incidence rose for 2008, pregnancy incidence rose for Between 2004 HI V+ women on ART care in Rakai HI V+ women on ART care in Rakai Pre-ART initiation On ART 40 I ncidence / 100 py 30 20 10 0 15-24 25-34 35-45 15-24 25-34 35-45 Age (years) I ncidence Pregnancy : Pre-ART , 13.1 CI (10.14, 16.75) ; On-ART , 24.6 CI(18.1, 32.6) p= 0.0017 Pregnancy incidence and prevalence signifcantly increase while On-ART suggesting need for more attention to reproductive health needs of HI V+ individuals

  11. I ncidence of pregnancy by partners fertility desires among HI V+ women seeking HI V care in Rakai, 2004-2008 Desire for a(nother) child 40 On-ART Pre-ART Incidence/100py 30 20 10 0 Both Only Both Only Only Both Both Only do not do not female want male male want female • Male partner’s fertility desires play an important role in pregnancy rates • High pregnancy incidence even when both do not want indicates high levels of unmet need for FP

  12. Need for FP among HI V+ and HI V- women who want to stop or postpone their next birth in Rakai, 2007/ 8 Proportion NOT using FP 60 Proportion NOT using FP, % 40 20 Un Un Married Married married married 0 HI V-negative HI V+ positive • Need for FP among HI V+ women, married and unmarried, is high and not unlike the levels among HI V- women.

  13. Changes in proportions using a FP method in Rakai, 1994/ 5 and 2007/ 8 Changes in proportion using any FP method 50 1994/ 1995 2007/ 2008 Proportion using FP, % 40 30 20 HI V- HI V+ Negative HI V- HI V+ Negative 10 0 • Use of FP has significantly increased, irrespective of HI V status • I ncrease is greater in the HI V+ relative to HI V-negative

  14. Contraceptive use among HI V+ women who want to stop Contraceptive use among HI V+ women who want to stop or postpone their next birth, Rakai 2007/ 2008 or postpone their next birth, Rakai 2007/ 2008 Contraceptive use by marital status and HI V care 60 Unmarried Married Proportion using contractive, % Condoms-only Other modern 40 methods 20 0 No care HI V care, HI V care, On-ART No care On-ART No ART No ART • Condom use increases with increasing level of HI V care services • Use of other modern methods decreases with increasing care among the married

  15. Other results Other results � Desire for large (6+ ) family size still an important factor in fertility � VCT receipt was associated with higher use of condoms � VCT without result discussion with partner was associated with higher use of modern methods, but not condoms

  16. Summary of findings Summary of findings � Condom use is more common among unmarried HIV+ women, but use of other modern contraceptives is more common among married women � Condom use among HIV-infected women increases and protection by other modern contraceptives decreases with increasing level of HIV care

  17. Summary of findings, continued Summary of findings, continued � Unmet need for FP is still high, especially among married women, irrespective of HIV-status � Use of FP has significantly increased over time, irrespective of HIV status � Being in HIV care significantly increases use of FP, especially condoms over other modern methods

  18. Recommendations � Strategies to address desire for high fertility need to be developed and/or strengthened (especially male involvement) � There is need to strengthen FP services in HIV care programs, with promotion of modern contraceptive methods, and with particular attention to women on ART

  19. Acknowledgements Acknowledgements � Rakai Health Sciences Management and Staff � Rakai district leadership including community leaders � Cohort study participants � Rakai funders who have enabled continued research activities � Bill and Melinda Gates Institute at Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health

  20. Thank you Thank you

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