HARNESSING THE BULL MARKET HARNESSING THE BULL MARKET FOR FREE CASH - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
HARNESSING THE BULL MARKET HARNESSING THE BULL MARKET FOR FREE CASH - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
HARNESSING THE BULL MARKET HARNESSING THE BULL MARKET FOR FREE CASH FLOW FOR FREE CASH FLOW Glenn Baldwin Executive Vice President and Head of Australasia Forward Looking Statements INTRODUCTION INTRODUCTION Certain statements in this
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INTRODUCTION INTRODUCTION
Forward Looking Statements
Certain statements in this document constitute “forward looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the US Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the US Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Such forward looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other important factors that could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the company to be materially different from the future results, performance or achievements expressed
- r implied by such forward looking statements. Such risks, uncertainties
and other important factors include among others: economic, business and political conditions in South Africa; decreases in the market price of gold; hazards associated with underground and surface gold mining; labour disruptions; changes in government regulations, particularly environmental regulations; changes in exchange rates; currency devaluations; inflation and other macro-economic factors; and the impact
- f the AIDS crisis in South Africa. These forward looking statements speak
- nly as of the date of this document.
The company undertakes no obligation to update publicly or release any revisions to these forward looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this document or to reflect the occurrence
- f unanticipated events.
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UNHEDGED
Notional Cash Expenditure (NCE) Total cash costs + All Capital
FREE FREE CASH CASH FLOW FLOW
TARGET
~4 moz run rate annualised
NCE of ~US$725/oz @ R:US$8.00
(Copper at US$6,000/ton and Gold at US$800/oz)
SAFETY SAFETY
BUILDING UP TO 4 MOZ PRESENTED 9 MAY 2008
KEY DELIVERABLES KEY DELIVERABLES
Strategy To Release Value
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SOUND BASE STRATEGIC FOCUS
- 1. Step Change In Safety
- 2. Complete Infrastructure Rehabilitation
- 3. Deliver Capital Growth Projects
- 4. Sweat The Assets
- 5. No M & A Heroics
Strategy To Release Value
GOALS ACHIEVED GOALS ACHIEVED
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Strategy To Release Value
STEP CHANGE IN SAFETY
0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.35
F1998 F1999 F2000 F2001 F2002 F2003 F2004 F2005 F2006 F2007 F2008 F2009
Fatal injury frequency rate Serious injury frequency rate
F2009 – year to March; Frequency Rate per million hours worked
IF WE CANNOT MINE SAFELY WE WILL NOT MINE IF WE CANNOT MINE SAFELY WE WILL NOT MINE
GOALS ACHIEVED GOALS ACHIEVED
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Tarkwa CIL Expansion
- CIL plant expansion – commissioning problems
resolved
- Achieving 1 mtpm design capacity
Cerro Corona Ramp-up
- Achieving stability
- Capital high in F2010 - completing starter dams
- Delivered on production of 28 000 tons copper
and 140 000 oz gold
St Ives Underground
- Underground mines increased production by 10%
- Reserve Extensions at Belleisle and Argo
- Athena: > 1moz of resource inventory
- Conceptual study – Jun 09
Strategy To Release Value
MAJOR CAPITAL SPENT DELIVER CAPITAL PROJECTS
GOALS ACHIEVED GOALS ACHIEVED
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MEDIUM-TERM TARGET ~ 950K - 1 MOZ PER QUARTER
Strategy to Release Value
F2007
PRODUCTION INCREASING STEADILY
1 Attributable Production
Estimate Actual
F2009 F2008
GOALS ACHIEVED GOALS ACHIEVED
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300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700
Q1F08 Q2F08 Q3F08 Q4F08 Q1F09 Q2F09 Q3F09 Q4F09E
S
- uth Afric
a Ghana Aus tralia Peru Group
US$/oz
Estimate Actual
Q4 estimate at US$1: R9.00
IMPACT OF INCREASED PRODUCTION CASH COSTS IMPROVING
KEY DELIVERABLES KEY DELIVERABLES
Strategy To Release Value
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50 100 150 200 250 300 350
Q1F 08 Q2F 08 Q3F 08 Q4F 08 Q1F 09 Q2F 09 Q3F 09 Q4F 09E
US $ 'm
S A G hana Aus tralia C erro C
- rona
Estimate Actual
F2008 F2009 Q4 estimate at US$1: R9.00
CAPEX = US$225 MILLION PER QUARTER SOUTH DEEP CAPITAL BUILD UP IN F2010
Strategy To Release Value
GOALS ACHIEVED GOALS ACHIEVED
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300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 Q1F08 Q2F08 Q3F08 Q4F08 Q1F09 Q2F09 Q3F09 Q4F09E
S
- uth Africa
Ghana Australia Peru Group NC E US$/oz
Estimate Actual
NCE TARGET
Q4 estimate at US$1: R9.00
STRONG CASH GENERATION NCE TARGET ACHIEVED
Strategy To Release Value
GOALS ACHIEVED GOALS ACHIEVED
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Strategy To Release Value
F2009 F2007 F2008
IMPROVED MARGINS CASH POSITIVE
GOALS ACHIEVED GOALS ACHIEVED
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- F2010 Target
~ 300 koz p.a.
Accelerate South
Shaft refurbishment
Accelerate depletion
- f current mine
- F2014 Target
800 koz p.a
750 koz from
mechanised mining (Upper Elsburgs)
50 koz from low
profile mechanised mining (VCR)
OLD MINE CURRENT MINE PHASE 1 PHASE 2 SV1 AREA
South Shaft Complex SV-1 Shaft
UNCLE HARRY’S
Wrench Fault Twin Shaft Complex 110 L 95 L 87 L
300K OZ BY F2010 SOUTH DEEP BUILD-UP
SOUTH DEEP SOUTH DEEP
Strategy To Release Value
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ARGO Reserve : 1.37Mt@6.47g/t for 285Koz Resource : 4.42Mt @ 7.34g/t for 1.04Moz Drill Holes 1.5Moz 6.1m@6.1g/t 15m@14.3g/t 7.6m@7.4g/t Drill Holes 750Koz 12m@21.9g/t 9m@10.3g/t 13m@7.6g/t
Ounces are inventory unless otherwise indicated
ST IVES ST IVES
Strategy To Release Value
SIGNIFICANT CAMP DEVELOPING ARGO-ATHENA-HAMLET
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Resource
Historic Tailings Under- ground
Resource
mt
402 205 Metal grade - U3O8
g/t
55 95 Metal grade – Au
g/t
0.34
- Metal content -
U3O8
mlbs
58 41 Metal content – Au
moz
4.2
- Process
- Drilling completed
- SAMREC Resource in Jun 09
- Pre feasibility studies close to
complete
- External review – completed in
Jun 09
- Combined bankable feasibility
study – completed by Dec 09
- Board decision early 2010
THE FIFTH MINE IN SOUTH AFRICA
URANIUM URANIUM
Strategy To Release Value
15 South America
TARGET: ~1 MOZ
West Africa
TARGET: ~1 MOZ
South Africa
Base load: ~2.3moz
Australasia
TARGET: ~1 MOZ
Leverage existing footprint Four autonomous, incentivized regions Rule of fives now rule of twos
Exploration success
REGIONALISATION REGIONALISATION
Strategy To Release Value
FOUR AUTONOMOUS REGIONS
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APP Nabire Bakti JV
Hualgayoc JV
Delamarian SBX JV’s Toodoggone JV SW Ghana Mt Carlton JV Agnew St Ives Jinshu JV Perth Santiago Denver Accra Exploration Offices Talas JV Lima Batangas JV Vancouver Bamako Northern Ghana Chucapaca JV Chucapaca Regional Tacna Sankarani Komana Mines Clancy JV’s Kisenge 100% Gold Fields JV’s Gold Fields Operated JV’s Partner Operated
REGIONALISATION REGIONALISATION
Strategy To Release Value
South America
TARGET: ~1 Moz
West Africa
TARGET: ~1 Moz
Australasia
TARGET: ~1 Moz
South Africa
BASE LOAD: ~2.3Moz to 2.5Moz
LEVERAGE OFF EXISTING FOOTPRINT
Komana and Sankarani
- Camp-scale project
- Multiple deposits feeding central mill
- Reasonable infrastructure
- Well developed gold industry
Komana and Sankarani
- Camp-scale project
- Multiple deposits feeding central mill
- Reasonable infrastructure
- Well developed gold industry
Talas JV
- Preliminary resource – July 2009
- Initial scoping study – Jan 2010
- District scale potential – largely
untested
- World class belt
Talas JV
- Preliminary resource – July 2009
- Initial scoping study – Jan 2010
- District scale potential – largely
untested
- World class belt
Near Mine Exploration Chucapaca
- Exciting new discovery
- Robust widths and grades
- Scoping study – Mar 2010
- 51% - 49% JV with Buenaventura
Chucapaca
- Exciting new discovery
- Robust widths and grades
- Scoping study – Mar 2010
- 51% - 49% JV with Buenaventura
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Greenfields Discovery Chucapaca JV (BVN)
EXPLORATION EXPLORATION
Heterolithic breccia Sedimentary breccia Quartzites Limestone - mudstone Sandstones Sandstones & shales Carbonaceous shales Drillholes LITHOLOGY
200 m
N
CP08-18A 45.7m @ 3.36g/t Au (176m) CP08-05 59.8m @ 3.13g/t Au, 15g/t Ag & 0.49% Cu (157m) 58.7m @ 1.94g/t Au (241m) CP08-20 130.1m @ 1.99g/t Au, 13.4g/t Ag & 0.36% Cu (122m) CP08-27 170m @ 3.3g/t Au (80m) Include 64m @ 5.8g/t (to EOH) CP08-21 54m @ 2.64g/t Au (246m) CP08-28 44.05m @ 8.95g/t (182.4m) CP08-14 95.8m @ 1.44g/t Au, 15.6g/t Ag & 0.2% Cu (42.6m)
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Komana and Sankarani JVs (GCE)
EXPLORATION EXPLORATION
BM East
Sindo Fie River Bada
Selen 1 Finguana W
FINGUANA BOKORO KABAYA S
YATELA SADIOLA LOULO SYAMA MORILA KALANA KOMAN KOMANA
Yanfolila belt
KOMANA WEST Section 1241800N Looking NE
KOMANA
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Talas JV
EXPLORATION EXPLORATION
250 500 km
Southern Tian Shan Northern and middle Tian Shan Major mesothermal-type gold deposits Porphyry Copper
Russia China Kazakhstan Tajikistan Uzbekistan Kyrgyzstan China
Daugystau 6 Moz. Muruntau 110 Moz. Zarmita n 6 Moz. Jilau 3 Moz.
Kumtor 10Moz. Oyu Tolgoi 50Moz
Kharmagtai > 5 Moz
Tashkent Bishkek Almat y Beijing Ulaanbata r
Suture Talas-Fergana Fault
Almalyk >2BT @ 0.4% Cu 0.4g/t Au
Tuwu
Talas JV +3Moz Mongolia
Arxi 5Moz
Requires a long term approach Building a presence
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WELL SUPPORTED FUNDAMENTALS COMPELLING
CONCLUSION CONCLUSION
The Gold Market
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