www.londonmetric.com
HALF YEAR RESULTS TO SEPTEMBER 2014
26 NOVEMBER 2014
HALF YEAR RESULTS TO SEPTEMBER 2014 26 NOVEMBER 2014 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
HALF YEAR RESULTS TO SEPTEMBER 2014 26 NOVEMBER 2014 www.londonmetric.com AGENDA HIGHLIGHTS STRATEGY FINANCIAL RESULTS INVESTMENT ACTIVITY ASSET MANAGEMENT ACTIVITY OUTLOOK Q&A 2 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS H1 H1 FY 2014/15 2013/14
26 NOVEMBER 2014
2
HIGHLIGHTS STRATEGY FINANCIAL RESULTS INVESTMENT ACTIVITY ASSET MANAGEMENT ACTIVITY OUTLOOK Q&A
H1 2014/15 H1 2013/14 FY 2013/14
129p 112p 121p
£52.3m £35.6m £95.9m
£69.7m £44.1m £125.3m
3.4p 1.9p 4.2p
3.5p 3.5p 7.0p
38% 30% 32%
3
March 2014: £1,220 m
March 2014: 6.4%
March 2014: £78.0m
IPD: 92.8%
1. As at 30 September 2014, excluding Carter Lane, London 2. Weighted average unexpired lease term 11.8 years to first break
Six Month Ungeared Property Returns Retail 9.9% Distribution 9.2% Core Portfolio¹ 9.6%
IPD All Property 9.3%
4
Acquisitions £149m 6.4% NIY 15.3 years WAULT Disposals £267m 4.9% NIY 14.1 years WAULT
5
4.1% ahead of ERV; 6.8% ahead of previous passing rent
750,000 sq ft of pipeline development agreed
With average term to maturity of 6.0 years Blended cost 220 bps below property yields
5
7
Portfolio Value¹ (£m) WAULT (years) Occupancy (%) Distribution 451 13.2 100.0 Retail & Leisure 552 12.8 99.4 Development 60 22.8 80.7 Core 1,063 12.9 99.7 Non core 142 9.9 100.0 T
1,205 12.7 99.7
Distribution Out of town
Southampton Leicester Newark Harlow
Income
Bishop Auckland Occupier led
Asset management Short-cycle development
Core Stretch1
1m sq ft DC, Islip Middlesborough Opportunistic Loughborough Odeon
8
H1 2014/15 £000 H1 2013/14 £000 FY 2013/14 £000 Net rental income 28,349 25,085 51,272 Share of joint venture income 5,611 1,743 3,056 Management fees 982 58 799 Admin costs (6,503) (6,138) (13,484) Finance costs (7,491) (9,135) (15,404) Other
130 EPRA earnings 20,948 11,726 26,369 EPRA EPS 3.4p 1.9p 4.2p DPS 3.5p 3.5p 7.0p Actual dividend cover 96% 53% 60%
10
(£m)
Development Activity New net rental income from management activity
11
72.7 76.5 76.4 69.9 76.4 82.8 5.3 1.5 3.5 6.5 4.5 2.1 6.5 6.4 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 100.0
Mar 14 contracted rent roll Sept 2014 contracted rent roll Net investment Occupier transactions & new space PPE net investment Reinvestment Nov 2014 contracted rent roll Annualised Run Rate PPE sale of Carter Lane
43.8 37.3 38.8 41.0 41.7 41.7 41.7 46.8 5.3 1.2 1.5 2.2 6.5 5.8 5.1 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0 60.0
12
44.0 11.7 14.7
Mar 14 Contracted Net Income Net investment Occupier Transactions Contracted income Islip Sept 14 Annualised Net Income PPE Transactions Committed Development Annualised Run Rate Reinvestment
(£m)
£44m = 100% dividend cover
Contracted Income Kirkstall Nov14 Contracted Net Income
Net rental income from management activity
30 September 2014 £000 31 March 2014 £000 Property portfolio 1,125,230 1,030,553 Joint ventures 142,060 108,990 Cash 45,309 78,357 Bank debt (485,717) (415,474) Other net liabilities (24,940) (46,572) Net assets 801,942 755,854 EPRA net assets¹ 803, 932 756,970 EPRA NAV per share 129p 121p
13
NAV per share (p)
EPRA NAV Mar-14 EPRA NAV Sept-14 EPRA Earnings Dividend Other Revaluation
14
3.4 8.4 128.8
121.0 120.4 128.8 3.4 3.5 0.5 8.4 116.0 118.0 120.0 122.0 124.0 126.0 128.0 130.0
15
16
Facility (£m) Asset Pool T erm (years) Comment Helaba 196.2 Distribution portfolio 7 Extension M&G 71.8 DFS portfolio 5 New Facility Deutsche Pfandbrief 125.0 MIPP portfolio 5 Extension RBS 90.0 Revolver 5 Extension T
482.8 6
Number of transactions Value1 NIY² WAULT Rental Income Acquisitions
11 £149m 6.4% 15.3 years £9.3m
Retail 8 £37m 6.7% 12.6 years £2.6m Distribution 3 £84m 6.3% 17.2 years £4.9m MIPP Equalisation
6.2% 14.3 years £1.8m
Disposals
14 £267m 4.9% 14.1 years £11.8m
Commercial 14 £244m 5.1% 14.9 years £11.2m Residential
2.4% 0.0 years £0.6m
T
25 £416m
Arbitrage +150 bps +1.2 years
18
1. LM share 2. Topped Up NIY
3 distribution acquisitions¹ £84.0m, reflecting 6.3% NIY
£5.2m post period end acquisition
£4.9m rental income WAULT 17.2 years 7 retail & 1 multiplex acquisitions² £37.1m, reflecting 6.7% NIY
£12.9m post period end acquisitions
£2.6m rental income WAULT 12.6 years MIPP units acquired for £27.9m DixonsCarphone, Newark Middlesborough
19
(1) Distribution acquisitions: Rotherham, Newark & Leicester (2) Retail acquisitions: Llanelli, Isle of Man, Birkenhead, Liskeard, Bangor, Middlesborough (Guisborough), Hull & Totton
20
Crawley Moore House/Resi JV £155 million office disposals
Average exit yield 4.7% £5.8m rental income
1 non core office asset remaining in Marlow £23 million¹ residential sales across 46 units
2 units remaining in wholly owned portfolio £4.3m¹ of sales at Moore House across 13 units² £3.6m¹ under offer at Moore House across 8 units
1. LM share 2. 10 units sold FY 2014
Gross sale - £138.8m (4.3% NIY) Net sale receipt - £124.8m September valuation - £115m (4.6% NIY) £4.5m net rental income Completion long stop 26 Jan 2015
Purchase June 2011 £75m – NIY 7.3% Purchaser costs £4.4m Rent received during hold period £12.9m Construction costs £15.0m Gross Receipt £138.8m – NIY 4.3% Net Receipt¹ £124.8m Net profit £43.3m Total Return (Profit on cost) 45.9% (28.6%)
21
22
Bishop Auckland
Former Focus unit acquired March 2012, redeveloped new 76,500 sq ft shopping park Total cost: £15.8m (8.5% YOC) Disposal price: £23.6m (5.3% NIY) Profit to date: £7.8m (49% profit on cost)
Milton Keynes DFS
5 assets - part of DFS portfolio from March 2014 Allocated acq’n price - £4.9m¹ (10.2% NIY). Disposal price¹ - £6.4m¹ (7.9 % NIY). Profit to date - £1.0m¹ (20% profit on cost) Part portfolio acquisition in Feb 2013 Allocated acq’n price - £16.0m (8.3% NIY) Disposal price - £21.8m (6.1% NIY) Profit to date - £4.9m (29% profit on cost)
23
24% 19% 21% 24% 12%
RETAIL DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT¹ OFFICE RESIDENTIAL
37% 6% 35% 6% 5% 11%
LEISURE
25
LM IPD LM IPD LM IPD
9.9 8.3 3.5 2.7 6.2 5.5
9.2 11.2 3.0 2.9 6.0 8.1
Core Portfolio¹ 9.6 9.3 3.2 2.6 6.3 6.6
Office 6.6 10.5 2.1 2.2 4.4 8.1 Other 5.8 6.9 2.3 2.7 3.4 4.1 T
8.8 9.3 2.9 2.6 5.7 6.6
Outperformance across core retail and distribution portfolio of 34 bps Yield compression: 28 bps
IPD: 39 bps
Income expiring in next 5yrs: 4.1%
IPD: 29.5%
£52.3m £35.6m £95.9m 20 40 60 80 100
NEY yield movement of 28 bps; NIY yield movement 29 bps
26
Sept 14 Sept 13 Mar14
£39.2m £18.5m £52.8m £8.4m £13.5m £34.5m £4.7m £3.6m £8.6m
Development Asset Management Shift Market Yield Shift
No. Area (Sq Ft) Uplift (£m) % above ERV % above previous rent LFL rental growth WAULT New Lettings & Regears 14 332,000 £0.4m 7.9% 26.5% 0.7% 18.6 Rent Reviews 12 588,000 £0.2m 3.1% 2.6% 0.3%
26 920,000 £0.6m 4.1% 6.8% 1.0% 18.6
27
28
Harlow Loughborough
New lease to Morrisons across a new 54,000 sq ft store WAULT increased from 3.9 years to 25.0 years Rent reviews: annual RPI subject to 1% and 3.5% cap and collar. Practical Completion due 2016 Net uplift: £3.6m Capital return on marginal expenditure: 13.2% Surrender of Tesco lease and re-let to Brakes Bros WAULT increased from 9.0 years to 25.0 years 150 bps yield compression (Mar-14 to Sept-14) Net capital uplift: £4.3m¹ Capital return on marginal expenditure: 14.3%
(1) 100%, LM share 50%
Islip Distribution Centre 1,062,000 sq ft, 100% pre let Acquired yield on cost: 6.9% Rent £5.3m pa with 1.5% annual uplifts: 25 years Valuation Yield: 5.0% Construction on site - completion August 2015 Kirkstall Shopping Park, Leeds 120,000 sq ft, 50% pre let/ in solicitors hands M&S, Outfit, JD Sports Acquired yield on cost: 7.8% Rent £1.2m pa rising to £2.7m when fully let Valuation Yield: 5.8% Construction on site - completion September 2015
29
Bell Farm, Bedford 7.5 miles from J13 of M1 motorway 750,000 sq ft – 37 acres for retail distribution scheme Prospective rent: £4.4m Anticipated yield on cost 7.6% Strong retailer demand for location Completion estimated 2017 Purchase conditional on obtaining planning consent
30
Location Sector Occupier Sq ft % Pre Let Practical Completion Committed Cap ex (to go) Rent roll YOC1
Valu’n yield (£m) (£m) (%) (%) Committed Islip Distrib Top 25 retailer 1,062,000 100% Q3-15 60.3 5.3 6.9 5.0 Leeds Retail BHS, Outfit, M&S 120,000 50%³ Q3-15 21.6 2.7 7.8 5.8 Coventry Retail B&M 15,000 100% Q3-15 2.3 0.2 7.3 5.8 Loughborough Retail Morrisons 54,000 100% Q1-16 8.5 0.5 5.4 5.0 T
1,251,000 84%4 92.7 8.7 7.1% 5.3%
(1) Yield on cost (2) Practical completion (3) 43% contracted, 7% in solicitors hands (4) 83% of rent roll excluding deals in solicitors hands
31
33
E-commerce sales to grow to 22% by 2020¹
Some retailers are “creaking” with what they have!
34
Discretionary spending set to rise in 2015
Investment market volumes highest since 2007
Although rents rising from their recessionary levels
10 year prime distribution income heading to 5%
35
Contracted income due to increase by £6.4m to £82.8m Confidence to review the dividend at the year end
OUR PRIORITIES
36
£416m of investment activity – 150 bps positive yield arbitrage
Invest in the development pipeline Continue to leverage strong occupier relationships
(1) Investment portfolio as at 30 September 2014 (2) Gross rental income based on annualised rents (3) Market capitalisation as at 21 November 2014 (4) Market capitalisation of parent Kingfisher (5) Market capitalisation of parent Home Retail Group (6) Market capitalisation of parent Associated British Food (7) USD
Tenant Rent (£m pa) % of total rent Market cap (£m)3 5.7 6.9 4,863 5.1 6.1 Private 4.5 5.4 Private 4.2 5.1 7,2224 4.1 4.9 1,5695 3.9 4.7 24,6766 3.4 4.1 7,749 3.2 3.9 4,298 3.0 3.6 62,6807 2.4 2.9 208,783 Top 10 39.5 47.6 Development 7.2 8.7 Other 36.3 43.7 Total 83.0 100.0
38
Growing Competitively Threatened Rightsizing
39
4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.0% 11.0% Good secondary retail RW - prime restricted solus RW - prime restricted RP RW - secondary Distribution - prime
Peak yields Trough yields Mean yields Current yields 1 StdDev
Source: CBRE, September 2014
40
Price LMP share NIY WAULT In the period to Sep-14 Sector assets Date (£m) (£m) (%) to expiry to 1st break Rotherham Distribution 1 13-May-2014 10.3 10.3 6.0 13.9 13.9 Llanelli Retail 1 03-Jul-2014 12.8 6.0 6.9 14.7 14.7 Isle of Man Retail 1 04-Jul-2014 5.3 5.3 7.9 7.2 6.2 Birkenhead Leisure 1 05-Aug-2014 5.5 5.5 7.7 15.0 15.0 Liskeard Retail 1 19-Sep-2014 9.0 4.2 6.2 12.8 12.8 Bangor Retail 1 29-Sep-2014 3.4 3.4 7.0 9.3 9.3 Newark Distribution 1 30-Sep-2014 68.5 68.5 6.4 18.8 18.8 Mipp Equalisation Retail
21.2 6.2 14.3 14.1 Subtotal 7 136.0 124.4 6.5 16.0 15.9 Post period end Guisborough Retail 1 29-Oct-2014 5.3 5.3 5.8 18.1 15.0 Hull Retail 1 04-Nov-2014 3.1 3.1 5.8 15.0 15.0 Leicester Distribution 1 05-Nov-2014 5.2 5.2 6.4 5.8 5.8 T
Retail 1 20-Nov-2014 8.9 4.4 5.9 8.9 8.9 Mipp Equalisation Retail
6.6 6.1 14.2 14.0 Subtotal 4 29.1 24.6 6.0 12.3 11.6 TOTAL 11 165.1 149.0 6.4 15.3 15.2 41
Price LMP share NIY WAULT In the period to Sep-14 Sector assets Date (£m) (£m) (%) to expiry to 1st break DFS – Suite Portfolio Retail 2 25-Apr-2014 3.7 1.1 8.5 16.0 16.0 Berkhamstead Retail 1 30-May-2014 12.5 12.5 3.8 19.6 19.1 Huddersfield Leisure 1 04-Jun-2014 15.2 15.2 6.1 24.4 24.4 Forest House Office 1 21-Aug-2014 12.9 12.9 6.7 14.8 14.8 Scarne Retail 1 08-Sep-2014 1.4 1.4 7.0 7.5 7.5 Elm Park Court Office 1 17-Sep-2014 3.6 3.6 11.7 1.0 1.0 DFS – Chesterfield Portfolio Retail 3 29-Sep-2014 17.1 5.2 7.8 16.0 16.0 Residential - Various Residential 38
20.6 2.4
48 90.0 72.5 5.2 14.3 14.2 Post period end Carter Lane Office 1 Nov-2014 138.8 138.8 4.3 17.2 14.8 Milton Keynes Retail 1 Nov-2014 21.8 21.8 6.1 8.7 8.7 Bristol Retail 1 Nov-2014 8.1 8.1 7.7 10.5 8.7 Bishops Auckland Retail 1 Nov-2014 23.6 23.6 5.3 11.3 9.5 Residential Residential 8 Nov-2014 5.8 2.3 2.4
12 198.1 194.6 4.8 14.0 12.2 TOTAL 60 288.1 267.1 4.9 14.1 12.9 42
Location Sector Sq ft % Pre Let Comment Practical Completion Rent roll YOC1
Valu’n yield (£m) (%) (%) Committed Islip Distrib 1,062,000 100% New 25 year lease, 1.5% annual uplifts Aug-15 5.3 6.9 5.0 Leeds Retail 120,000 50%³ 43% pre-let, 7% in solicitors’ hands Sep-15 2.7 7.8 5.8 Coventry Retail 15,000 100% New 15 year term to B&M Aug-15 0.2 7.3 5.8 Loughborough Retail 54,000 100% Food store extension of 12,690 sq. ft. to 54,000 sq ft 2016 0.5 5.4 5.0 Total committed 1,251,000 84%4 8.7 7.1% 5.3% Conditional Bedford Distrib 750,000
St Austell Retail 103,000
Swindon Distrib 150,000 100% Potential extension with Oak Furniture Land. Subject to satisfactory planning consent Leicester Retail 28,000 100% Pre-agreed to Smyths Toys and Home Bargains. Subject to satisfactory planning consent
43
(1) Yield on cost (2) Practical completion (3) 43% contracted, 7% in solicitors hands (4) 83% excluding deals in solicitors hands
Scheme name Location Sector Consent Sq ft Comment Initiative Westcroft Milton Keynes Retail A1 2,400 Extension of Store 21 to accommodate Aldi Asset Management Islip Thrapston Distribution B1/B2 1,062,000 Construction of new 1,062,000 sq. ft. unit Development Mountbatten Retail Park Southampton Retail Bulky 21,200 Full cover Mezz & External Dec Asset Management Kings Lynn Kings Lynn Retail Bulky 40,700 Build over Garden Centre Asset Management Christchurch Retail Park Christchurch Retail A3 2,500 Costa and Subway pod units Asset Management Airport Retail Park Coventry Retail Bulky 15,000 Construction of new 15,000 sq. ft. unit Development Hertford Retail Park Hertford Retail A3 4,300 Construction of two new pod units Asset Management Eldon Way Crick Distribution B1/B2 15,000 Change of use and alterations Asset Management Damolly Retail Park Newry Retail A3 1,500 Change of use from Retail to Restaurant Asset Management Damolly Retail Park Newry Retail Bulky 8,400 Pets at Home variation Asset Management Seager Retail Park Cardiff Retail Bulky 10,200 Permitted Use Asset Management Total 1,183,200
44
Revaluation Rent Fixed
Area Valuati
surplus Voids IY WAULT (years) roll uplifts Average rent (£ psf) As at 30-Sept-14 (m sq ft) (£m) (£m) (%) (%) (%) expiry break (£m) (%) Existing Sustainable
Retail – wholly owned 1.5 386.1 14.2 3.8 1.0 6.2 9.8 8.9 25.1 30.0 16.20 20.10 Leisure 0.3 71.5 2.5 3.7 0.0 6.0 23.8 23.8 4.5 100.0 15.70 14.30 MIPP JV 0.4 87.7 1.4 1.6 1.0 6.2 14.3 14.1 5.7 24.0 14.00 17.10 DFS JV 0.2 44.3 1.6 3.8 0.0 7.6 15.5 15.5 3.5 0.0 22.70 16.40 Distribution 5.2 440.6 20.8 5.0 0.0 5.8 13.4 12.4 26.8 43.9 5.20 5.60 Office 0.4 180.9 7.8 4.5 0.0 5.6 10.0 7.8 9.6 31.2 20.20 22.50 Investment portfolio 8.0 1,211.1 48.3 4.2 0.4 6.1 12.8 11.9 75.2 38.5 9.00 10.10 Residential
n/a
Developments 1.6 59.7 4.1 7.5 n/a
Total 9.6 1,346.4 52.3 4.0 n/a
45
30 September 2014 31 March 2014 (£m) Group JV T
T
Property portfolio 1,125.2 221.2 1,346.4 1,219.8 Cash 45.3 10.2 55.5 87.5 Bank debt (485.7) (87.6) (573.3) (473.1) Other net liabilities (25.0) (1.7) (26.7) (78.3) Net assets 659.8 142.1 801.9 755.9 EPRA adjustments 2.0 1.1 EPRA net assets 803.9 757.0 EPRA NAV per share (p) 128.8 121.0
46
30 September 2014 31 March 2014 (£m) Group JV T
T
Reported profit 61.1 8.6 69.7 44.1 Net income 28.3 7.6 35.9 29.3 Management fees 1.0 (0.4) 0.6 (0.3) Administrative costs (6.5) (0.1) (6.6) (6.5) Net finance costs (7.5) (1.4) (8.9) (10.8) Other
(0.1)
15.3 5.6 20.9 11.7 Valuation Movement 49.5 2.8 52.3 35.6 Exceptional items1 (3.7) 0.2 (3.5) (3.2)
47
(1) Includes derivative movements, profit/(loss) on sales, early closure costs of financial instruments and deferred tax
As at 30 Sept 2014 Facility Drawn Maturity Asset(s) Sector Lender (£m) (£m) (years) Expiry Wholly-owned portfolio Distribution term loan Distribution Helaba 134.2 134.2 3.8 26-Jul-18 General revolver n/a Bank of Scotland 55.0 55.0 1.7 20-Jun-16 General revolver n/a RBS 90.0 90.0 4.7 02-Jun-19 Retail term loan Retail RBS 140.0 140.0 3.9 6-Aug-18 Retail term loan Retail Wells Fargo 34.7 34.7 1.6 27-Apr-16 Odeon term loan Leisure Lloyds 31.8 31.8 3.1 18-Nov-17 T
485.7 485.7 3.5 JV portfolio (LondonMetric at share) Distribution JV (50%) Distribution MetLife 7.4 7.4 1.4 23-Feb-16 Moore House (40%) Residential RBS 23.4 23.4 1.9 28-Aug-16 DFS JV (30.5%) Retail M&G 21.9 21.9 4.8 23-Jul-19 MIPP JV (46.5%) Retail Deutsche Pfandbriefbank 58.1 34.9 5.3 22-Jan-20 T
110.8 87.6 3.9 T
596.5 573.3 3.6 48