Ha Half lf Yea ear r Ana naly lyst st Mee eetin ting g 20 2019 19
Som
- mchai
hai Le Lertsut tsutiw iwong
- ng
CEO
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Ha Half lf Yea ear r Ana naly lyst st Mee eetin ting g 20 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Ha Half lf Yea ear r Ana naly lyst st Mee eetin ting g 20 2019 19 Som omchai hai Le Lertsut tsutiw iwong ong CEO 1 Industry re-balanced and moving toward rationalization Historical 900MHz Auction 4G Demand Skyrocket
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25 31 50 39 37 79 92 143 106 104 155 70 70 70 120 200 250 314 344 275 270 320 384 344 2
launching 4G
1800MHz Auction Delay
900/1800MHz
4G Demand Skyrocket 900MHz Concession End & 1800MHz auction
Market Position Shift
2019 2016 2014 2017 2015 2018
Historical 900MHz Auction
Monetization and 5G Preparation
Market Rationalizing
Subsidy
(Bt bn)
CAPEX (Bt bn)
Subsidy and CAPEX trending down with spectrums now fully on license & partnership basis
Bandwidth (MHz) Concession License & Partnership
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targeted segments
1H19 performance FY19 Guidance
Mid-single digit growth
EBITDA margin Stable from last year
Core service revenue
+4.1%
YoY
Normalized EBITDA margin
Business
43.7%
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 10 20 30 40 50 60
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 4
CAPEX and technology cycle
4G Coverage
Bt bn
5G investment
#MHz
3G Coverage 4G Capacity 3G Capacity
2.6GHz 3.5GHz 26-28GHz
14% 17% 18% 17% 18%
2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025
GSMA’s Global Mobile CAPEX (excl. spectrum)
as % of mobile revenue Whether 2G, 3G or 4G, the industry has kept investing 16–18% of its revenue in mobile networks – a trend expected to
continue in the 5G era.
Dependent on use cases and expect to spread out
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Strengthen the Core
Optimize and digitize to ensure leadership and strong cash flow generation
Expand New Growth Engine
Generate new revenue and profit stream from Fixed Broadband and Enterprise while serving to strengthen and leverage core mobile business
Build new digital businesses
Build new digital capabilities and platforms to best serve future customer’s lifestyle and customer engagement Mobile Enterprise FBB Mobile Enterprise FBB Digital
2019 Revenue Mix Medium to long term
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7
8
300 600
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Postpaid
% Subscriber on fixed-speed unlimited plan
ARPU trend of new subscribers
May-18 Jun-19
ARPU trend of existing subscribers
May-18 Jun-19 Nov-18 Nov-18
Prepaid
came in with improving ARPU, gearing toward volume-based plans
down in ARPU reduction
ARPU trend of new subscribers ARPU trend of existing subscribers
ARPU of new subscribers
translate into the existing base being uplifted
100 400 100 400 May-18 Jun-19 Feb-19 May-18 Jun-19 Feb-19 470 770
Jun-19 >35% Nov-18
~ 30%
Bt/month Bt/month Bt/month Bt/month
+0.4%/month +0.8%/month
+0%/month +0.6%/month +1.4%/month
+1.0%/month
4Q18 1Q19 2Q19
Stopped offering fixed-speed unlimited to certain segments Fully stopped offering fixed-speed UL to all new subs Gradually increased price of promotion-end subs and moved to quota-capped plans
% Subscriber on fixed-speed unlimited plan Jun-19 ~ 30% Nov-18
~ 25%
1Q19 1Q19 2Q19
Stopped offering fixed-speed unlimited to new subs Launched “quota-capped” for new & existing subs Increased price on existing subs
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Postpaid Prepaid
20 40 60 20 40 60
Revenue/GB Revenue/GB Data traffic (TB)
+3.3%/month
Feb-19
Data traffic (TB)
+4.6%/month +3.2%/month
May-18 Jun-19 Feb-19 May-18 Jun-19 Feb-19 Baht Baht
+1.8%/month
May-18 Jun-19
May-18 Jun-19 Feb-19
AIS’s postpaid churn trend
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Postpaid Sub mix
Postpaid Sub mix
89mn subs 92mn subs
+40%
Average < Jan-18 Mar-19 > < 2018 > Industry Sub Mix AIS’s blended ARPU trend AIS’s ARPU Uplift from Pre-to-Post
< Jan-18 Jun-19 > %segmented SIMs among prepaid subs Revenue growth
< Jan-18 Jun-19 >
PREPAID TO POSTPAID CONVERSION SEGMENTED SIMS
Baht/month
CAGR
Postpaid: +10% Prepaid: -0.8% 244 263
1Q17 2Q19
1.7% 1.4%
1Q17 2Q19
rate under control.
%/month
attractiveness and handset campaigns
U/L subscription
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>2.5Mbps <2.5Mbps
15 million samples 2 million unique devices
In 2018, had
Outnumbering and more reliable
99.4% 99.5% 99.6% 99.6% 99.7% 99.5% 97% 98% 99% 100%
Internal Drive Test
Inline with external test
OOKLA Throughput Speed Test
Awarded AIS the Fastest NW for 4 years
(Mar - May 2019)
4G Coverage
99.6% 99.6% 99.6% 99.6% 99.6% 99.6% 97% 98% 99% 100%
4G %Good Quality on LINE app
Customer Perception
Remained most preferred
45% 44% 45% 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19
% of customers conducted the survey selecting AIS Brand as a preference
Operator 2 Operator 3 Operator 2 Operator 2 Operator 3 Operator 3
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Utilization rate ~ 45% 623 677 731 795
855 1,000
2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19E
FBB subscriber (‘000)
Cross sell to mobile subscribers Utilize salesforce in shop, Telewiz, and call-center
Focus on efficiency improvement Continue strengthening brand preference
Forward
Simple
Better
Maintain the 1mn sub target
57 Cities
Enhance convergence strategy
FMC, 29% Non-FMC, 71%
Of 855k subscribers
ARPU 20% higher 31% 19% 19% 39% Net adds market share
2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19
+53k +54k +65k +60k
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Telecom Services ICT Services Digital Services
projects
mobile and data network
location data centers nationwide
platforms to serve IaaS, PaaS, SaaS, Hybrid Cloud
managed services
selected verticals for IoT/Smart Solutions
base for digital marketing
One-Stop ICT Service Provider
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Mobile money
Digital Services
Video Partner platform
42mn AIS customers + Other customers
Data Analytics Segmentation Place the right thing at the right time Deliver new value to customers
Market analytics
IoT
expand value chain in selected verticals
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