Investor Presentation
June 2018
Grupo Financiero Galicia Investor Presentation June 2018 Agenda - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Grupo Financiero Galicia Investor Presentation June 2018 Agenda The Argentine Economy The Argentine Financial System Banco Galicia Tarjetas Regionales Sudamericana Holding Galicia Administradora de Fondos 2 Economic Activity
June 2018
2
3
10.1% 6.0%
2.4%
2.7%
2.9% 1.0% 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 (*)Survey of Market Expectations (REM August, BCRA) Source: INDEC and BCRA
Real Gross Domestic Product
YoY % Var.
GDP quarterly evolution
Industrial Production quarterly evolution
0.8% 2.6%
2.1%
1.4% 1.7%
1.9%
3.1%
2.7% 5.0% 1.2%
1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18
Source: INDEC Source: FIEL 1.8% 1.9% 0.0%
0.3% 0.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.8%1.0%1.0% 0.3% 4.0% 2.5% 1.0%
3.0% 3.8% 3.9% 3.3%
1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 q/q % chg. (sa) y/y % chg. (r.h.s.)
196.64 100 200 300 400 2001 2003 2005 2006 2008 2009 2011 2013 2014 2016 2017
Agricultural Commodity Prices
Dec’01=100. As of June, 2018.
4
Real Exchange Rate
Index May-18 = 23,7 AR$/USD
16.0 44.9 38.6 34.7 25.4 22.5 21.3 May-18 18 23.7
12 17 22 27 32 37 42
Nov-01 Apr-04 Sep-06 Feb-09 Jul-11 Dec-13 May-16
Bilateral RER (ARS/USD) Multilateral RER
Source: BCRA
4
2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017
As a % of GDP Primary Fiscal Balance as a % of GDP Overall Fiscal Balance as a % of GDP
Fiscal Performance (Federal Government only)
1 2 3 4 5 6 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E
Monetary Financing
Use of international reserves Argentine Central Bank profits Argentine Central Bank advances Total Argentine Central Bank financing (as % of GDP) - r.h.s.
5
Primary Fiscal Deficit – Annual Target
as % of GDP
5.5 4.6 3.8 2.7 1.3
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Source: BCRA and own estimates
Source: Ministerio de Hacienda
Source: Ministerio de Hacienda Millions of USD As a % of GDP
(*) Net of Central Bank advances, treasury bills and non-transferable bills held by Central Bank.
6
USD 60% Pesos 23% Euros 8% Pesos CER indexed 8% Pesos Dollar Linked 1% Other 1%
17% 14% 14% 11% 10% 10% 10% 16% 21% 24% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 5% 6% 6% 6% 23% 21% 19% 16% 15% 14% 15% 23% 27% 29% 54% 55% 43% 39% 40% 43% 44% 54% 51% 53% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Private holders IFIs and others Gross Debt
Argen entin ina: : Publi lic Sector Net et Debt
As % of GDP
Public debt sensitivity to GDP growth
As % of GDP
27% 41% 37% 34% 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 1,5% 2% 2,5% 3% 3,5% 4% 4,5% 5% 5,5%
Average GDP growth
5 10 15 20 25 2022 2018 2020 2019 2021 2024 2026 2025 2023 Pesos Foreign currency Billions of US$
Projected annual debt payments(*)
As of December, 2017.
U$S 320,935 million
Debt by Currency
7
62 70 25 50 75 100 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Billions of US$ Exports Imports
Foreign Trade
15 30 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018E
Billions of US$
Trade Balance
0% 2% 4% 6% 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018E
As % of GDP Current Account Capital Account
Current and Capital Accounts
Accrual Basis, as % of GDP
Source: INDEC and own estimates
8
Monetary aggregates
Real YoY change
20% 2%
0% 10% 20% 30% Jan-15 Sep-15 May-16 Jan-17 Sep-17 May-18
ARS Private Deposits ARS Credit to the Private Sector M2 (private)
International Reserves
USD billion 45 38 55 50
20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70
Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17
Central Bank Interest Rate Policy
ANR (%)
36.5
40.0
24 28 32 36 40 44 48 52 56 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Call 1d Lebac 35d - Secondary Mkt Lebac 35d 22.75 26.75 33.00 25.50 47.00 24.75 40.00 18 24 30 36 42 48 54
Jun-16 Dec-16 Jun-17 Dec-17 Jun-18
Repo corridor 1d Repo corridor 7d Repo corridor center 7d
Nov-17 Dec-18 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar -18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18
9
CPI Infl flatio ation
Greater Buenos Aires
Inflatio lation
y/y % chg.
Source: FIEL and own estimates Source: INDEC 1.4% 2.7% 2.5% 27% 24% 22% 21% 23% 24% 23%22% 25% 25% 25% 25% 25% Jan-17 Apr-17 Jul-17 Oct-17 Jan-18 Apr-18 m/m % chg. y/y % chg. (r.h.s.)
CB´s inflation targets 2018-2020
YoY % chg.
Source: BCRA, INDEC & Own estimates
17 13
27.1 19.0 14.0
3 8 13 18 23 28 33
2017 2018 2019 2020
Central Bank Targets Galicia Survey of Market Expectations (REM May-18)
21% 24% 26% 41% 27% 39% 24.8% 28.0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17 2018E
10
19 16 5 10 15 20 25 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Deposits from the Private Sector Loans to the Private Sector
As a % of GDP
11
Source: Central Bank of each country. 20 40 60 80 100
52 56 24 34 29 18 78 67 44 34 23 15
Deposits to GDP Loans to GDP
Financial Depth (as a % of GDP)
Peru Chile Brazil Colombia Mexico Argentina
12
40.2% 37.7% 25.9% 26.4% 93.2% 12.6% Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Total (ARS + USD) ARS USD (in USD)
Deposit Growth
Y-O-Y Monthly % Change
Private-Sector Loans
Y-O-Y Monthly % Change
39.7% 58.8% 29.5% 49.5% 103.8% 32.8% Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Total (ARS + USD) ARS USD (in USD)
May-17 Aug-17 Nov-17 Feb-18 May-18 May-17 Aug-17 Nov-17 Feb-18 May-18
51% 49% 42% 46% 50% 54% 58% Current Accounts + Savings Accounts
Time Deposits
13 Privat ate Depos
its Mix
% Total deposits
Depos
its in ARS Mix
% Deposits in ARS May-13 May-14 May-15 May-16 May-17 May-18 70% 30% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Jun-13 Apr-14 Jan-15 Nov-15 Sep-16 Jul-17 May-18
Deposits in ARS
Deposits in USD
Mar-13 Mar-14 Jan -15 Nov-15 Sep-16 Jul-17 Apr-18
14
Cost of Liabil ilit ities ies
Private Badlar and Private Poll
Inter terest st Rates tes Spread ad
Yield on Assets vs Cost of Liabilities (weighted by operated amounts) 11 28 17 8 16 24 32 40 Apr-16 Oct-16 Apr-17 Oct-17 Apr-18 Spread Weighted Yield on Assets Weighted Cost of Liabilities Apr-16 Oct-16 Apr-17 Oct-17 Apr-18 29.4 27.2 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Private Badlar Private poll (30 d.) of time deposits Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 41.5 43.2 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 48 52 56 60 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Companies: overdraft in checking accounts Individuals: Personal loans Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18
Yield ld on
ts
Number Market Share Private-Sector Deposits (%)
Banking Institutions 62 62 100 100 Government-Owned Banks 13 34 Private-Sector Banks 49 66
33 32
16 34 December 2017
15
16
2016 30% 2015 2014 26% 33% 2013 30% 2012 25% 32% 2011 mar-18 23% 2017 23%
R.O.E.
2017 2014 2011 2012 2013 2015 2016 61,1 % 57,6 % 58,7 % 54,0 % 52,6 % 54,8 % 55,6 %
Efficiency
3,4 % 2017 3,6 % 4,1 % 2014 2,9 % 2016 2,7 % 2015 4,1 % mar-18 2013 2012 2,9 % 2011 2,7 %
R.O.A.
1.9 % 1.7 % 1.7 % 1.5 % 1.8 % 1.5 % 1.5 % 1.2 % mar-18 2017 2016 2011 2015 2014 2013 2012
Loan Portfolio Quality
Strengt gths
» High liquidity (with increased allocation to Central Bank paper). » Peso-based intermediation with high proportion of transactional deposits. » Adequate capitalization levels.
Opport rtunit ities ies
» Low level of financial depth. » Increase in concentration. » Potential demand for mortgage loans.
Challen lenges
» Lack of long-term funding. » Reach a greater customer base - Bancarization. » Increased competition from new fintech players. » Sustain profitability.
Threats
» Lead time to correct fiscal, monetary and external imbalances. » Brazilian economy as a limitation to growth.
17
18
EBA HOLDING
55.1% Votes 100% 87.5% 12.5% 19.7% Shares 83%
Insurance
100%
19
Mutual Funds
95% 5%
Collection Processing
22.8 .8% Ps
.4 bn bn. 1.7 US$ bn. 6,393 empl mployes ess CLIENTS NTS 3.9 milli lion clients ents ROE EMPL MPLOYE YESS SS EQUITY ROE EMPL MPLOYE YESS SS EQUITY
.9 bn bn. 14.1 US$ bn. 170.8 .8 Ps Ps. . bn bn. 8.5 US$ bn.
.5 bn bn. 9.9 US$ bn. 308 branches ASS SSETS TS NET LOAN ANS DEPOS OSITS BRANCHES HES
20
As of March 31, 2018. Exchange rate (Ps. per US$) = 20.14.
13.5% 10.1% 9.5% 5% 9.5% 7.8% 7.2% 4.0% 3.7% 3.7% 3.1%
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16%
Nación Santander Galicia Provincia Macro BBVA HSBC Ciudad ICBC Patagonia
Market share of loans to the private-sector (1) Market share of private-sector deposits
(1) Includes securitized loans and leasing. Source: Argentine Central Bank.
(P) Goverment owned Banks.
As of December 31, 2017.
16.7% 11.7% 10.1% .1% 9.4% 7.7% 6.6% 4.4% 4.3% 3.2% 3.2%
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20%
Nación Santander Galicia Provincia BBVA Macro Credicoop HSBC Ciudad Patagonia
(P) (P) (P) (P)
TOP 10 = 77% TOP 10 = 72%
Galicia Galicia 21
(P) (P)
200 400 600 800 Santander Macro Galicia BBVA HSBC
Branches (number)
(1) Includes securitized loans and leasing. Source: Argentine Central Bank (except for Naranja). As of December 31, 2017. 5 10 15 Santander Galicia Macro BBVA HSBC
Market Share of Loans to the Private Sector (%) (1)
+ Naranja 5 10 15 Santander Galicia BBVA Macro HSBC
Market Share of Private-Sector Deposits (%) 22
+ Naranja
8,000 12,000 16,000 Santander Galicia BBVA Macro HSBC
Credit Cards Managed (in thousands)
+ Naranja .
26% 50% 11% 13%
Low Income Medium Income
High Income
80% 1% 19%
Agribusiness Corporations SMEs As of March 31, 2018.
23
Corporate Banking Total: 106,342 Consumer Banking Total: 3,825,817
As of March 31, 2018.
Large Corporations 23% Middle- Market Companies 17% Agribusiness 13% Individuals 43% Financial Sector 4%
Gross Loans: Ps. 175 billion
24
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 <1 month 1-6 months 6-12 months 1-3 years 3-5 years >5 years
Billions of Ps.
Loan Portfolio by Maturity
Loans in foreign currency: 26.3%. 30% 33% 11% 16% 6% 4%
Deposits 76% Bonds 2% Subordinated Bonds 2% Other(*) 20%
Total Funding: Ps. 263.9 billions
(*) Includes among other: repos, financial institutions, collections on account of third parties, debt with merchants.
US$ -denominated deposits: 37.1%.
As of March 31, 2018.
25
Time Deposits 37% Checking accounts 22% Saving accounts 41%
Deposits Breakdown by Type:
3.21% 2.41% 6.81% 103.53% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 2015 2016 2017 2018
Loan loss reserves / NPLs NPLs / Total loans to the private sector
NPLs / Total loans to the private sector Bank NPL ratio Naranja NPL ratio (until Sep'17 with CFA) Loan loss reserves / NPLs As of March 31, 2018.
26
9.5% 12.5% 10.7% 14.6% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0% Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Banco Galicia consolidated. As of March 31, 2018.
Total Capital Ratio (%)
Minimum Requirement Ps.25.7 bn Regulatory Capital
Excess Capital
27
52.5% 58.0% 55.1% 58.0% 58.7% 64.8% 61.0%
28
12.4% 13.1% 13.4% 13.5% 11.9% 13.2% 11.9% 11.5% 10.9% 14.1% 2Q 17 2Q 16 3Q 16 4Q 15 4Q 16 1Q 16 1Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18
Net Interest Margin - NIM Efficiency R.O.E. R.O.A.
3Q 17 4Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 17 1Q 17 4Q 16 3Q 16 1Q 16 2Q 16 4Q 15 31.4% 26.0% 22.8% 27.3% 28.4% 36.0% 30.2% 2Q 17 4Q 16 1Q 16 4Q 17 1Q 17 4Q 15 2Q 16 3Q 17 3Q 16 1Q 18
GGAL Bank
2.8% 3.5% 2.8% 3.3% 2Q 16 4Q 16 4Q 15 3Q 16 1Q 16 1Q 17 1Q 18 2Q 17 4Q 17 3Q 17 Until Dec’17 consolidated with Naranja and CFA As of March 31, 2018.
5,450 2,519 7,969 871 4,215 81 849 1,953 Net Income Net Financial Income Income Tax Net Income from Services Operating Income Net Charge for Loan Losses Administrative Expenses Net Other Income/Losses 68% 32% 100% 11% 54%
11% 25%
Variation 1Q 2017
1Q 2018
29
103% 90% 33% 87% 9% 98% 58%
Mar-18
·Employees 10,581
6,393
3,760
428 ·Distribution Platform Branches
308
256 ·Electronic Banking Transactions (in millions, per month) 25.1 ·Products Deposit Accounts (*) 4,348 Credit Cards (*) 13,391
4,222
9,169 Debit Cards(*) 1,701
(*) In thousands
30
31
Ps
.2 bn bn.
+30% y/y
llio ions
+22% y/y
.3 bn bn.
+30% y/y
Ps
lions ns +37% y/y 38.1 .1%
3,760 empl mployes ess 205 branc nche hes s 51 offices es 5.0 mill llio ion clien ents ts 9.2 milli lions s 3.6 milli lions s activ ive accounts +172 millio ion anual al transa ansactions 3rd d larges est independ dependent ent pay ayme ment proces esso sor 280,0 ,000 affiliat ated ed merchant ants Second largest merchant acquirer
ASS SSETS LOANS R.O.E. NETINCOME ME EMPLOYESS CLIENTS EQUITY ITY BRANCH CHES ES ACCOUNTS CARDS DSISS SSUED MERCHAN ANT TRANSA SACTION IONS 32
33
» Consumer finance to medium and low income segments. » Merchant acquirer and payment processing services provider to proprietary credit cards. » Largest credit card issuer in Argentina with over: » 3.6 million active accounts and 9.2 million cards issued. » 205 branches and 51 offices across the country. » 15.2%1 market share in purchase volume (billed + installments) nationwide. » Second largest merchant acquirer with over 280,000 affiliated merchants. » Third largest independent payment processor with more than 172 million annual transactions.
In millions of Ps.
3M 2017 3M 2018 Assets 30,975 40,242 Loans 29,443 38,333 Net Worth 6,774 9,256 Net Income 691 691 842 842 ROE 43.1% 38.1%
1 Estimated.
As of March 31, 2018.
34
35
12.5% 87.5%
Sudamericana Holding
Turnover: $3.255 MM | AUM: $1.077 MM Equity: $735 MM Turnover: $0.1 MM | AUM: $193 MM Equity: $41 MM Turnover: $53 MM | AUM: $26MM Equity: $12 MM
Insurance company founded in 1996 and
that is currently broadening its strategy to cover corporate insurance. Retirement insurance company. It manages voluntary retirement and pension plans. Insurance broker of the corporate segment, which offers coverage in those lines not marketed by Galicia Seguros.
Positioning 1Q-FY2018 General Data
36
Homeowners Insurance Ranked 1st 9.4% Market Share Theft Ranked 1st 19.6% Market Share Personal Accidents Ranked 3nd 10.0% Market Share Group Life Ranked 13th 2.2% Market Share Miscellaneous Risks Ranked 6th 3.1% Market Share Annual Turnover: AR$ 3.3 billion (2017) Policies in force: 3 million (credit-related insurance) and 4.7 million (voluntary insurance).
As of March 31, 2018.
Main Business Partners
Business Partners' Branches Telemarketing Specialized Insurance Stands ATMs Specialized Salesforce Internet
37
1.262 1.685 2.401 3.414 3.308
14,1% 13,9% 17,0% 20,8% 14,2%
10,0% 30,0% 50,0% 70,0% 90,0% 110,0% 130,0% 150,0%
1.000 1.500 2.000 2.500 3.000 3.500 4.000
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Turnover Profit / Turnover
38
84% 85% 81% 76% 86%
CR
+34% +43% +42%
Combined Ratio Galicia Seguros (%)
39
Galicia Administradora de Fondos, established in 1958, is a pioneer in the mutual fund business. The company manages FIMA mutual funds, designed to meet the needs of various client segments (institutional investors, companies and individuals). As for March 2018, had a market share of 13.2%.
41 47.5% 82.865 ROAE CLIENTS
19 employess NET INCOME AUM EMPLOYESS
Net Income Assets Under Management
89 89 139 139 168 168 1Q 2017 4Q 2017 1Q 2018 54,846 846 74,667 667 91,756 756 1T 2017 4T 2017 1T 2018 +88% +21% (*) In millions pesos 42
Fima Premium Fima Acciones Fima PB Acciones Fima Capital Plus Fima Ahorro Pesos Fima Ahorro Plus Fima Renta Plus
Secure Balan anced ed Dynami mic
Inv nves estor
Profile ile
Inve vestm stment nt hori rizon
/ Risk
Fima Renta Dólares I Fima Renta Dólares II Fima Mix I Fima Renta Pesos
44