GRUPO ENERGÍA DE BOGOTA
1Q 2016 Key Results and Developments
Armenia Project
GRUPO ENERGA DE BOGOTA 1Q 2016 Key Results and Developments May 24 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Armenia Project GRUPO ENERGA DE BOGOTA 1Q 2016 Key Results and Developments May 24 th 2016 FINANCIAL EEB OVERVIEW EXPANSION PROJECTS Q&A Key Updates 1Q Highlights Review 1Q 2 EEB OVERVIEW EXPANSION PROJECTS FINANCIAL Q&A Key
Armenia Project
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Transmission Distribution Distribution Electricity Transport Natural Gas Services Generation 51.5% 2.5% 1.7% 51%(1) 16.2% 99.97%(2) 15.6% 100% 25% 100%(3) 66%(3) 100% 51.5% 99.9% 95.3% 100% 100% 100% 40% 40% 100%(4)
Colombia Peru Guatemala Brazil
(1) EEB ownership through DECSA Special Purpose Vehicle. (2) EEB ownership directly and indirectly through IELAH Spain (additional 31.92%). (3) EEB effective ownership via direct and indirect stakes. (4) Through GEBBRAS Special Purpose Vehicle acquired on August 21, 2015 51% stake in four concessions for ~USD158 mm. Selling process Law 226 Companies in process of merger Companies in process of liquidation
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Shareholders Assembly Decision
share will be paid out to minority shareholders in one installment in July 5th 2016. For the major shareholder, the District of Bogotá, holding a stake of 76.28% in EEB, will be paid the dividend as of 2017 in 10 annual installments until 2026.
24.43 per share.
Second Installment (40%) October 28th 2016 ISAGEN Divestiture
second phase EEB could offer the shares to BRE Colombia Investments.
Ecopetrol selling process
the Colombian Securities Exchange.
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Calidda
pipelines.
costs reductions explained by the renegotiation of the main contracts at lower prices
Dividends were paid on April 1st 2016. TGI
2015
and IELAH. On May 11th 2016 TGI finalized the merger with IELAH; which was the Final Phase of the acquisition plan. As a result the remaining debt of that entity will be in TGI´s BS
September 2015 (USD 175 MM); iii) On March 11th 2016 (USD 175 MM).
(1) Excluding intercompanies loans
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1.3 2.0 18.2 53.8 93.0 1.1 34.9 3.4 68.7 7.3
Gas Distribution Gas Transportation Electricity Distribution Electricity Transmission Electricity Generation
1Q2016 1Q2015
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Associates
Source: Company filings. (1) Excludes Brazil – GEBBRAS Capex (2) Expected annual revenues.
Executed Capex by Segment(1)
(USD Mm)
Executed Capex by Segment
(USD Mm)
Projects Update (1Q 2016)
UPME Project Status EAR(2) USD MM On Stream Chivor II 50.9% 5.5 08/07/2017 Cartagena Bolívar 32.4% 11.6 07/03/2017 Río Córdoba 32.5% 1.8 30/11/2016 Armenia 94.0% 1.3 26/11/2015 Tesalia 80.0% 11.0 14/02/2016 Sogamoso Norte 25.1% 21.1 30/09/2017 Refuerzo Suroccidental 500 kV 7.0% 24.4 30/09/2018 Ecopetrol San Fernando 18.4% 6.3 30/04/2017 Río Cordoba Transformadores 28.9% 0.6 30/11/2016 La Loma 500 Kv 26.8% 1.3 30/11/2016 La Loma 100 Kv 0% 6.9 30/06/2018 Drummond Rio Cordoba 11.9% 0.6 30/11/2016
Projects Update (1Q 2016)
El Quimbo Project (400 MW) Total investment: USD1,231 mm (including contingencies) Execution 1Q 16: 100% Full operation: On stream since november 23rd Quimbo will deliver ~5% of Colombia Power Generation (Avg. 2,216 GWh/yearly)
Subsidiaries
On-going projects: CONCESION - MANTARO – MARCONA LA PLANICIE –INDUSTRIALES FRIASPATA MOLLEPATA and ORCOTUNA Substation Capex by Company (1Q 16) USD 115.4 Mm 14.6 4.0 20.2 33.3 1.9 3.2 19.8 23.8
Gas Transportation Electricity Distribution Gas Distribution Electricity Transmission
1Q 2016 1Q 2015
EEC 6.6% TGI 3.9%
Contugas 1.0%
Cálidda 39.6% Trecsa 24.5% EEBIS GTM/PE 12.7% EEB Trans. 11.7%
Capex by Company (1Q 16) USD 48.7 Mm
Promigas 30.3%
Gas Natural 1.0% REP 5.2%
Codensa 3.0%
Emgesa 6.3% CTM 54.3%
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Source: Company filings. (1) Mainly concentrated on electricity transmission businesses (COL / Overseas). (2) 2014 Incliudes M&A transaction IELAH Equity Portion (3) 2015 Includes M&A transaction Brazil Equity portion
2013 – 2019 Funding Investments
64 80 69 153 204 211 84 74 94 126 93 35 36 29 77 29 11
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202 143 101 108 94 82 80 81 264 55
$386 $597(2) $347(3) $465 $420 $304 $92 $92
2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E Electricity Colombia Electricity Overseas Natural Gas Colombia Natural Gas Overseas M&A Natural Gas M&A Electricity
USD mm % Executed Capex 2013-2015 $1,330 49% Cash Generation After Dividends 2016-2020
$1,147
Incremental Debt 2016-20
$225
Subtotal 2016-2020(1) $1,372 51% TOTAL 2013-2019 $2,702
EEB Capex Profile – Controlled Companies
(USD mm)
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Revenues (+31%): Growth is explained mainly by:
stream of the Alferez Substation & SVC Tunal.
(residential and industrial) connected by Cálidda & Contugas and higher volume distributed.
transported volume due to major thermal generation demand.
Profit from Operating Activities (+51%): Operational costs and expenses showed an increase due to:
in Cálidda & Contugas.
execution and some already on stream.
transported volume and FX effects.
through EEC.
(1) Excludes administrative expenses & net of other expenses and gains
709,669 927,537
77% 27% 20% 37% 31% 69,736 103,840 376,712 377,249 1Q 15 Electricity Transmission Electricity Distribution Natural Gas Transportation Natural Gas Distribution 1Q 16
EEB's Operating Revenues By Segment 1Q 16 - 1Q 15 COP Millions - Growth Rate
234,310 354,492
186% 72% 82% 38% 51% 13,459 30,198 73,508 237,327 1Q 15 Electricity Distribution Electricity Transmission Natural Gas Distribution Natural Gas Transportation 1Q 16
EEB's Operating Profit By Segment (1)1Q 16 - 1Q 15 COP Millions - Growth Rate
1Q 15 1Q 16 COP % Profit from operating activities 214,623 317,225 102,602 48% Financial Income 24,807 32,135 7,328 29% Financial Expenses
20% Exchange gain (loss)
64,736 131,929
Share of profit (loss) of associates and joint ventures accounted for using equity method 209,103 232,376 23,273 11% Tax income (expense)
12,026 72,678
Profit (loss) 189,488 498,406 308,918 163% Owners of parent 205,972 508,720 302,748 147% Non-controlling interests 8,323 21,821 13,498 162% COP Million Var.
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(1) Includes administrative expenses & net of other expenses, other gains
Valuation on hedging operations COP 9,297
investments COP 1,969 mm
Greater Interest payments; (b) Exchange difference in interest payments, commisions and other banking costs.
in 196%
the level of TGI and Cálidda.
results and equity method contribution from associates.
214,623
209,103
214,295 205,972 317,225
64,736 232,376 12,026 530,541 508,720 17%
11%
+24%
147%
Profit from operating activities Net Financial Expenses Exchange gain (loss) Share of profit (loss)
joint ventures accounted for using equity method Tax income (expense) Profit (loss) Owners of parent
1Q 15 1Q 16
(1)
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(COP mm)
Source: Company filings. Note: Figures for the years 2006–2013 are presented under ColGaap standards. For 2014 & 2015 are presented under IFRS (1) Normalized for timing differences in dividends declared and paid. 2010 excludes dividends declared based on an early close of Gas Natural, Emgesa and Codensa’s financial statements. These figures are included in 2011, when such dividends would normally have been declared. Anticipated dividends declared by Codensa on first half 2011, were included in 2012. 2014 excludes dividends declared based on an early close of Gas Natural, Emgesa and Codensa’s financial
Normalized Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA(1) Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA 1Q 16 LTM by Subsidiary
(USD mm)
Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA 1Q 16 LTM by Segment
EEB has significantly increased its operational EBITDA generation
68% 64% 56% 52% 55% 56% 39% 45% 44% 33% 19% 32% 36% 44% 48% 45% 44% 61% 55% 56% 67% 81% 2,557,193 2,413,812 1,964,666 1,775,908 1,447,335 1,369,533 1,122,343 1,053,942 934,163 949,599 539,319 948 878 973 922 819 705 586 516 416 471 241
1Q 2016 LTM 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 EEB Transmisión, Trecsa & EEBIS Guate 6% TGI 45% Decsa/EEC 4% Cálidda, Contugás & EEBIS Perú 14% Emgesa 16% Codensa 9% Gas Natural 2% Promigás 2% ISA, REP & CTM 1% Otros 1%
Electricity Generation 16.5% Electricity Transmission 6.9% Electricity Distribution 13.0% Gas Transportation 46.9% Gas Distribution 16.3% Others 0.4%
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Net Debt / Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA(1)(2)(3) Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA / Net Interest(1)(2)(3) Consolidated Debt Composition Debt Maturity Profile
(USD mm) (USD mm)
Source: Company filings. (1) Covenant associated to this indicator is currently suspended since the bond EEB 2021 has investment grade, granted by three risk rating agencies monitoring the latter. Covenant established in Offering Memorandum of USD749,000,000 EEB 6.125% Senior Notes due 2021. It includes anticipated dividends. (2) 2015 EBITDA includes dividends declared based on 2014 early close of Gas Natural’s, Emgesa’s and Codensa’s financial statements (3) Increase is mainly explained by increase of foreign exchange (USD/COP movements). (4) 2019:Syndicated loan acquired by Contugas (USD342 mm) and additional indebtedness incurred by SPV in order to reacquire 31.92% of TGI IELAH (USD219 mm).
$1,543 $1,737 $1,733 $2,218 $3,009 $2,803 $2,650
3.4% 6.4% 2.9% 2.2% 0.7% 1.2% 4.6%
96.6% 93.6% 97.1% 97.8% 99.3% 98.0% 95.4%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1Q 16
169.5 147.5 51.2 604.6 13.1 749.0 750.0 320.0
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2.78x 3.20x 3.27x 2.41x 3.03x 4.50x 1Q 16 4Q 15 3Q 15 2Q 15 1Q 15 8.80x 7.30x 11.12x 15.83x 15.47x 2.25x 1Q 16 4Q 15 3Q 15 2Q 15 1Q 15
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Historical Share Price Evolution
Source: Bloomberg as of March 31st 2016. (1) Average target price calculated as the average of the following brokers: Credicorp: COP1,810; BTG: COP1,820; Gobal Securities Colombia: COP1,900; Asesores en Valores: COP1,740; Corredores Asociados: COP1,940; Ultrabursatiles: COP1,850 & Valores Bancolombia: COP1,810. Larrainvial: COP 2,050.
10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 20 40 60 80 100 120 Volume (COP Mm) Price (Indexed 100) Volume EEB Share Colcap Index (6.6%) (-23.2%) Colombia Colcap
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Webcast Link
Conference ID: 42570647 Phone Numbers: Audience Colombia - Bogotá Local +57 1 380 804 Audience US Toll Free +1 (888) 771-4371 Audience Peru Freephone 0800 54051 UK Freephone 0808 238 9578 Appendix 1. Business Regulatory Update 2. EEB Corporate Governance
Electricity Transmission
Ongoing discussions on a new methodological
proposal to remunerate the electricity transmission activity (Res CREG 023 de 2016). The main issue currently under discussion is the transition to a new scheme to remunerate assets from the methodology Net Replacement Value (NRV) to a methodology of Depreciated Assets (DORC).
The cross-sectional methodology was issued (for
all regulated activates undertaken by CREG) to calculate WACC rate. To date, WACC has not been calculated for the transmission activity.
Natural Gas Transportation
Issuance of new cross-sectional methodology (for all
GREG regulated activities) for the calculation to WACC
transport
Procedure undertaken at CREG to assess 10 gas
pipelines that completed the Useful Life Standars (20 years). investment acknowledged in this pipelines, if are maintained working, increased 13.4% with respect to the value acknowledged in the last tariff review (Res CREG 121 of 2012), from US$ 56,5 to US$ 64,1 million.
Electricity Transmission- Guatemala
Trecsa began a process at Ministry of Energy and
Mines aimed at being acknowledged US$331,076.24 per year, on account of force majeure of Acts of God during the performance of the project; this petition was accepted by the Ministry as per Resolution 599 of 23 February 2015.
To date, it awaits that the National Commission for
Electric Power (CNEE - for its Spanish acronym) issues the final resolution to include those additional resources to TRECSA.
Natural gas Distribution
Issuance of new cross sectional methodology (for
all activities regulated by CREG) to calculate WACC rate. The actual WACC rate before taxes was established annually for 2015-2019 as follows:
Res.096/15
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019+ 13,28% 13,51% 13,97% 14,23% 12,47%
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Experienced Management and Board of Directors Corporate Governance and Transparency
The government of the District of Bogotá is responsible for appointing a majority of the members of EEB’s board of directors and executive officers, including EEB’s president
Shareholder’s Meeting approved new bylaws according to the OCDE. High quality practices and standards in accordance with national listing requirements given that EEB is listed on the Colombian securities exchange. The Board of Directors has created operations, management and control committees to aid in efficiently carrying out the activities of the Company Note: (1) The Board of Directors is responsible for establishing general business policies and guidelines, as well as long-term strategy. All directors are elected for an unlimited duration. Directors must remain in office until their successors are elected and have taken office (2) independent member. .
Executives Position Year of a appointment Astrid Álvarez President 2016 Leonardo Garnica Investments VP 2016 Ernesto Moreno Transmission VP 1997 Felipe Castilla Financial VP 2013 Lina Toro Human Resources & Services VP 2016 Diana Vivas Legal & Regulation VP 2016 Juan Daniel Avila Sustainable Development Director 2016 Mauro Hernan Mejia Strategic Supply Chain Director 2016 Sandra Aguillón Internal Audit Director 2011 Maria José Quiceno Communications Director 2016 Board of Director(1) Possition Actual Position Year Beatriz E. Arbeláez Martínez President District’s Finance Secretary 2016 Jaime E. Ruiz Llano Vice-president Colvivienda CEO 2016 Alberto Gutiérrez Bernal Director Titularizadora Colombiana CEO 2016 Gisele Manrique Director Major’s Office Chief Counsel 2016 Margarita Ma. Rehbein Dávila Director CFO Sanford Management 2016 Carlos A. Sandoval Reyes Director Structured Finance VP FDN 2016 Antonio J. Núñez Trujillo Director(2) Partner Nuñez Rincon Lawyers 2016 Rafael Herz Stenberg Director(2)
2016 Gustavo Ramirez Director(2) Investment VP Corficolombiana 2012
Shareholders’ Meeting
Peak governance body
Compensation Committee and Financial insvestments Committee
Made up by three independent board members
External Controls
Tax Review, External Audit, specialized audits, City Controllers Office, SSPD and SFC
Strategic Supply Chain Committee and Executive Contract Committee
Analysis of contracting procedures and recommendations to the Executive Committee
Audit and risk Committee
Made up by three independent board members
Corporate Governance Committee
Three board members. At least one of them must be independent
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www.eeb.com.co www.grupoenergiabogota.com/en/investors
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The information provided herein is for informational and illustrative purposes only and is not, and does not seek to be, a source of legal, investment or financial advice on any subject. This presentation does not purport to address any specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any recipient. It should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment. This information does not constitute an offer of any sort and is subject to change without notice. EEB is no obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. EEB expressly disclaims any responsibility for actions taken or not taken based on this information. EEB does not accept any responsibility for losses that might result from the execution of the proposals or recommendations presented. EEB is not responsible for any content that may originate with third parties. EEB may have provided, or might provide in the future, information that is inconsistent with the information herein presented. No representation or warranty, either express or implied, is provided in relation to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contained herein. This presentation may contain statements that are forward-looking within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act and Section 21E of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Such forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, projections and assumptions about future events and trends that may affect EEB and are not guarantees of future performance. The shares have not been and will not be registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”) or any U.S. State securities laws. Accordingly, the shares are being offered and sold in the United States only to qualified institutional buyers as defined under Rule 144A under the Securities Act, and outside the United States in accordance with Regulation S of the Securities Act. We converted some amounts from Colombian pesos into U.S. dollars solely for the convenience of the reader at the TRM published by the SFC as of each period. These convenience translations are not in accordance with U.S. GAAP and have not been audited. These translations should not be construed as a representation that the Colombian peso amounts were, have been or could be converted into U.S. dollars at those or any other rates.