May / June 2017
www.g .green endragon
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.com LSE: GDG.L .LN
Green Dragon Gas May / June 2017 www.g .green endragon ongas.com - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Green Dragon Gas May / June 2017 www.g .green endragon ongas.com .com LSE: GDG.L .LN Discl claimer aimer This presentation does not constitute an invitation to underwrite, subscribe for, or otherwise acquire or dispose of any shares of
May / June 2017
www.g .green endragon
.com LSE: GDG.L .LN
This presentation does not constitute an invitation to underwrite, subscribe for, or otherwise acquire or dispose of any shares of Green Dragon Gas Ltd. (the “Company”) in any jurisdiction. The Company’s shares have not been and will not be registered under the US Securities Act of 1933 (the “Securities Act”) and may not be offered or sold within the United States absent registration under the Securities Act or an exemption from registration. The information contained in this presentation is given in good faith but no representation or warranty is made in relation to the accuracy or completeness of the information, or any oral information provided in connection therewith, or the data it generates and no responsibility,
agents in relation to it. This presentation contains certain forward looking statements with respect to the financial condition, results, operations and businesses of the Company. The statements and forecasts involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. There are a number of factors that could cause actual results or developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward looking statements and forecasts. Past performance is no guide to future performance and persons needing advice should consult an independent financial advisor. This presentation and the information contained in it are confidential and should not be distributed, published or reproduced, in whole or in part, or disclosed by recipients directly or indirectly to any other person.
Large reserves base
Integrated operations and strong partners
Centrally located among China’s gas consumers
pipelines, sales via electricity
Experienced leadership and strong corporate profile
Management
Blocks cks
2P Reser erves es
Drilled ed Wells
Ac Acres es
* YE 2016
highlights their support for increased production
the main manufacturing and population centers of the world’s largest energy consumer
SOEs on long-term GSAs, at prices insulated from international markets
High margin gas production in China Well established
positioned for growth Strengthened corporate and
management
implementing well-completion upgrades and production optimisation of existing well stock
processing capacity
Asset Management
DRAFT
Energy consumption per person
(million people) Growth rate (%) (energy consumption per person – toe) (gas consumption per person - toe)
Supportive Chinese market dynamics
Population 2015A GDP growth rate
Source: BP Statistical Review, June 2015; IMF World Economic Outlook Database, April 2016
Gas s consumption per person 0.5 1.5 2.2 2.9 3.6 4.7 7.2
10.0
India Brazil China U.K Japan Russia USA
0.04 0.11 0.17 0.80 0.94 2.12 2.59
4.00
India China Brazil Japan U.K U.S.A Russia
0.5% 2.2% 2.4% 6.9% 7.3%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0%
Brazil Russia Japan UK USA China India
65 127 146 204 322 1,293 1,375
1,000 1,500
U.K Japan Russia Brazil U.S.A India China
China’s 13th Five Year Plan Highlights:
proved reserves
shale and coal bed gas
up
Strong incentives from the government to promote domestic gas production:
accelerated depreciation, resource tax exemptions
Benefits to Green Dragon Gas
China’s Primary Energy Share (2014A – 2020F)
2014A
Source: CEIC, NDRC, IEA, Energy Development Strategy Action Plan (2014-2020), BP Statistical Review June 2016
2020F
Impact of 13th Five Year Plan – Chinese Central Government Support for CBM
Blocks’ summary Geog
hic location tion
GSS GDG Interest: 60%1 Partner: CUCBM (CNOOC) Operat ator: GDG 1P/2P/3P: 166/457/1,330 bcf2 LiFaBr aBriC/ C/Vertical al Wells: 80/120 Total al: 1,588 wells3 GCZ GDG Interest: 47% Partner: PetroChina Operat ator: PetroChina 1P/2P/3P: 14 /29/ 52 bcf2 LiFaBr aBriC/ C/Vertical al Wells: 3/111 Total: 114 wells3 GSN GSN GDG Interest: 50% Partner: CUCBM (CNOOC) Operat ator: CUCBM (CNOOC) 1P/2P/3P: 5/18/686 bcf2 LiFaBr aBriC/ C/Vertical al Wells: 3/10 Total al: 201 wells3 GQY (B) GDG Interest: 60% Partner: CUCBM (CNOOC) Operator: GDG 2C: 18 bcf2 LiFaBriC/Vertical Wells: 6/31 Total: 52 wells3 GFC GDG Interest: 49% Partner: CUCBM (CNOOC) Operat ator: GDG 1P/2P/3P: NA/24/212 bcf2 LiFaBr aBriC/ C/Vertical al Wells: 2/24 Total al: 30 wells3 GPX GDG Interest: 60% Partner: CUCBM (CNOOC) Operat ator: GDG Best Prospective: ve: 17 bcf2 LiFaBr aBriC/ C/Vertical al Wells: 2/8 Total al: 12 wells3 GGZ GDG Interest: 60% Partner: PetroChina Operat ator: GDG 1P/2P/3P: N/A / 30 / 106 LiFaBr aBriC/ C/Vertical al Wells: 3/30 Total al: 33 wells3
Capital of Province Group Coalbed Methane Blocks CNG Mother Stations Existing Main Gas Pipelines P D EA Production Development/Pilot Stage Exploration and Appraisal Xinjiang Tibet Qinghai Gansu Ningxia Sichuan Yunnan Guangxi Guangdong Hong Kong Fujian Zhejiang Shanghai Jiangsu Shandong Tianjin Beijing Liaoning Inner Mongolia Jilin Heilongjiang Hainan Chongqing Hubei Shaanxi Hunan Henan Guizhou Anhui Shanxi Jiangxi Baotian- Qingshan Block (GGZ) 947km2 Qinyuan Block (GQY A&B) 3,665km2 Shizhuang North Block (GSN) 375km2 Shizhuang South Block (GSS) 388km2 Chengzhuang Block (GCZ) 67km2 Panxie East Block (GPX) 584km2 Fengcheng Block (GFC) 1,541km2
P P EA EA EA D D
GQY (A) GDG Interest: 10% Partner: CUCBM (CNOOC) Operat ator: CUCBM (CNOOC) 1P/2P/3P: NA LiFaBr aBriC/ C/Vertical al Wells: 0/3 Total al: 7 wells3
Notes: 1. Can be increased to 70% on option exercise. 2. NSAI estimates as of 31st December 2016 3. Includes non-operated wells as of 1Q17
Strong g histo tori rical al reserve rves growth th
independent reserve auditors “NSAI”
South Main Block and Chengzhuang Block
CS#15 categorized in proved reserves as per SEC-PRMS and Chinese MLR standards
Conti tinued incre rement t to proved reserve rves
(NPV@10%: 1,286.1 MM$)
(NPV@10%: 3,514.9 MM$)
(NPV@10%: 9,696.2 MM$)
Incre rement t in producti tion via connecti tion of new wells at lower r costs ts
infrastructure to prove commercial reserves
volumes are expected to be recovered due to well and completion enhancements
Source: NSAI Reserve Report as of YE16
NPV
147.8 167.8 179.2 1,463.5 1,191.8 1,286.1 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500 10,000 50 100 150 200 2014 2015 2016 1P (Bcf) NPV (MM$) 399.9 504.4 486.4 3,948.5 3,582.6 3,514.9 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 9,000 9,500 10,000 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 2014 2015 2016 2P (Bcf) NPV (MM$) 1,344.2 1,430.4 1,381.8 12,627.6 9,790.6 9,696.2 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000 22,000 24,000 26,000 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 1,100 1,200 1,300 1,400 1,500 2014 2015 2016 3P (Bcf) NPV (MM$)
Net Gas Reserves (BCF) - 1P 2014 2015 2016 Shizhuang South - Main Block 132.2 153.0 165.5 Shizhuang South - GCZ Block 15.6 14.8 13.7 Total 147.8 167.8 179.2 Net Gas Reserves (BCF) - 2P 2014 2015 2016 Shizhuang South - Main Block 371.4 473.1 456.9 Shizhuang South - GCZ Block 28.5 31.3 29.4 Total 399.9 504.4 486.4 Net Gas Reserves (BCF) - 3P 2014 2015 2016 Shizhuang South - Main Block 1,298.9 1,378.9 1,330.4 Shizhuang South - GCZ Block 45.3 51.5 51.5 Total 1,344.2 1,430.4 1,381.8 Future Net Revenue (MM$) - 1P 2014 2015 2016 Shizhuang South - Main Block 1,277.1 1,067.8 1,169.7 Shizhuang South - GCZ Block 186.4 124.0 116.4 Total 1,463.5 1,191.8 1,286.1 Future Net Revenue (MM$) - 2P 2014 2015 2016 Shizhuang South - Main Block 3,635.4 3,344.2 3,282.3 Shizhuang South - GCZ Block 313.1 238.4 232.6 Total 3,948.5 3,582.6 3,514.9 Future Net Revenue (MM$) - 3P 2014 2015 2016 Shizhuang South - Main Block 12,165.5 9,428.8 9,319.8 Shizhuang South - GCZ Block 462.1 361.7 376.4 Total 12,627.6 9,790.6 9,696.2
Proved (1P) Proved + Probab able (2P) Proved + Probab able + Possible (3P)
GSS Block wells status overview 1
200 GDG Operated Wells
and infrastructure
infrastructure
sales
be connected to sales infrastructure shortly
1,388 CNOOC Operated Wells
and infrastructure
infrastructure
sales
be connected to sales infrastructure shortly
wells for constant running instead diesel
Total wells: all blocks Total wells: GSS CNOOC Operated Online /Pending completion Infrastructure connected/not connected Sales wells 2,037 1,388 558 576 400 254 25 70 105 99 GDG Operated 1,588 200 830 130
Notes: 1. Well counts as of 1Q17
DRAFT
25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200
2008/12 2009/3 2009/6 2009/9 2009/12 2010/3 2010/6 2010/9 2010/12 2011/3 2011/6 2011/9 2011/12 2012/3 2012/6 2012/9 2012/12 2013/3 2013/6 2013/9 2013/12 2014/3 2014/6 2014/9 2014/12 2015/3 2015/6 2015/9 2015/12 2016/3 2016/6 2016/9 2016/12 2017/3
Monthly Gas Sales (MMcf) Period
772% 141% 129% 55% 109%
26% 33% YOY Growth Notes: 1. Gross gas sales from GSS Block, GDG wells only 2. Company data as of 1Q17
CNOOC Trunk Line (Existing) CNOOC Branch lines (Existing) CNOOC Branch lines (Construction) GDG Trunk line Greka IPF station CNOOC Gathering Stations Gathering Stations expected in 2017 Existing Gathering Stations
Station bcf Status Greka IPF 6.5 Online Guixian station 3.6 Online Shizhuang station 1.4 Online Shizhuang south #1 11.2 Online Online ne & operating ng - subtot
22.7 Shizhuang south #2 10.4 Ongoing Shizhuang south #3 10.1 Ongoing Shizhuang south #4 10.2 Ongoing Total 53.4
Chengzhuang Block (GCZ Block) Location
Province (Area km²) Shanxi Province (67 km²) Partners (*Operator) GDG (47%) * PetroChina (53%) Governing PSC Shizhuang South PSC (GSS PSC) Net 2P 29 bcf1 Gas Content CS #3 / #15 600 / 659 cf/ton Depth CS #3 / CS #15 326 / 400m
6 / 4m PSC Executed / Expiry Aug 2003 / Aug 2033
Notes: 1. NSAI estimates as of 31 December 2016
DRAFT
Green Dragon Gas, listed on the London stock exchange with the ticker of GDG, is the largest company involved in the production of coal bed methane gas and its distribution and sale in China GCZ location: covers an area of 67 km2 in the south eastern part of the Qinshui basin, in the Shanxi Province GCZ operator: CNPC GCZ ownership: Green Dragon Gas 47%, CNPC 53% GCZ Status: one of Green Dragon Gas’s key areas of production and focus, part of the Shizhuang South PSC − GCZ ODP substantially complete ‐ submission to the NDRC expected in the first quarter 2017 − Attain ODP approval for GCZ together with CNPC in first half 2017 Total wells connected: 114; wells producing gas for sale: 84 (as of 31 Dec 2016) Green Dragon Gas’s 47% of GCZ – PNG sales volume in 2016: 1.53 Bcf GCZ reported reserves and resources: (as of 31 Dec 2016): − 1P Net reserves and resources: 14 Bcf / PV10: $116m − 2P Net reserves and resources: 29 Bcf / PV10: $233m − 3P Net reserves and resources: 52 Bcf / PV10: $376m
Funding and Liquidity
reserve based lending, divestiture, farmouts, equity / convertibles
Delivering value to shareholders as assets mature
corporate costs, debt & capex requirements met
asset by asset basis
A strategic review of downstream
downstream assets for reinvestment in upstream development
Farmout opportunities
assets
Operational and Financial: Significant operational progress across key production blocks and exploration success
Joint Management Committee
Strategic: Significant support from Chinese government for CBM and specifically GDG blocks and record reserve base
within the 13th Five Year Plan, announced in Q1 2017
the second quarter of 2017
Bringing value forward for shareholders
Where we are now
Value realisation
shareholder value
Commitment to the environment
consumption
Commitment to the community
Commitment to our people
talents
NPV 10 value
– moving to self-sustaining from operations
2P growth potential
Annual Audited Reserve ve values s (bcf) f) 2P Reserve ves Dist stribution (%)
GDG has consistently provided reserves growth year-on-year through investment
Long Term m Value Creation
100 200 300 400 500 600 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 P2 P1
concept established
developed CBM on similar fields
complex using proven technology
Minimal exploration risk
Natural Gas to over 10% of energy mix by 2020 (c.4% at present)
the world
increased by 50% in 13th five-year plan
Government support to expand CBM production
institutionally supported Chinese partners
PetroChina
location close to consumers
flow following cost recovery by CNPC
PSC titles, protected by the Netherlands-PRC Bilateral Investment Treaty
High predictability of cash flows
to accelerate development and cash flows
technology
compressor
High potential for further asset
production
roll-out of drilling programme
Minimal exploration risk Existing production Integrated operations and strong partners
First st License se First st Gas Gas production commences at GSS GDG commences Chinese operations First PSC signed on the GFC block Acquisi sition of four additional license ses Commenced
ground Signing of four other licenses including Shizhuang South Public c Floating g on
AIM The Company listed
Investment Market in London on August 17, 2006. Technologi gica cal Breakthrough gh MWD (Measurement While Drilling) and LWD (Logging While Drilling) facilitate LiFaBriC development LiFaBriC C Lined Faulted Brittle Coal Improved drainage factor Greka a Drilling Dividend 8th March demerger of Greka Drilling Addition of 2 CNG stations in Pindingshan Upgrade of Infrastructure Production Facilities to support 28 new wells of gas production Landmar ark Government Ruling Chinese Government rules in favor of Green Dragon on validity of PSC Greka Engi gineering g and Technology Dividend 30th Sept demerger
Zhengzhou Greka Gas Co Ltd entered into a 20-year agreement with PetroChina Huabei Oilfield Binding g Agreements with CNOOC C and PetroCh China Landmark agreements lead to shareholder participation in over 1,800 wells FTSE 250 Foundation for Success ss 1st CS#15 migration to 1P Strengthening cooperation with Chinese Partners Incremental 20Bcf of gathering capacity online 12Bcf of production capacity
1997- 1999 2000 - 2002 2008 2009 2003 2006 2012 2013 2014 2015 2017
1P 1P
GSS Net: 457 PV10: US$3,282m GFC GFC Net: 24 PV10: US$312m
GSS Net: 1,330 PV10: US$9,320m GSN Net: 686 PV10: US$4,221m GFC Net: 212 PV10: US$2,582m GQY Net 1C: 6 Net 2C: 18 Net 3C: 31 GQY Low Est: 345 Best Est: 951 High Est : 1,947 GFC Low Est: 53 Best Est: 116 High Est: 409 GPX Low Est: - Best Est: 17 High Est: 443 GGZ GGZ Low Est: 531 Best Est: 599 High Est: 678
2P 2P 3P 3P Conting tingen ent Prosp spec ectiv tive
Net: 184 Bcf PV10: US$1,323m Cape pex: USD116m Net: 558 Bcf PV10: US$4,325m Cape pex: USD352m Net: 2,386 Bcf PV10: US$17,805m Cape pex: USD1,415m Net 1C: 771 Bcf Net 2C: 937 Bcf Net 3C: 1,436 Bcf Cape pex (2C) C): USD747.9m Low: 930 Bcf Best: 1,684 Bcf High gh: 3,478 Bcf Cape pex (Best st): USD6,686m
GCZ Net: 14 Bcf PV10: $116m GCZ Net: 29 Bcf PV10: $233m GCZ Net: 52 Bcf PV10: $376m
GSN Net: 5 PV10: US$37m GSS Net: 165 PV10: US$1,170m GSN Net: 18 PV10: US$124m GGZ GGZ Net: 30 PV10: US$373m
GGZ GGZ Net: 106 PV10: US$1,306m GSS Net 1C: 11 Net 2C: 38 Net 3C: 135 GSN Net 1C: 1 Net 2C: 3 Net 3C: 153 GFC Net 1C: - Net 2C: 5 Net 3C: 58
GCZ Net 1C: 1 Net 2C: 3 Net 3C: 9
GGZ GGZ Net 1C: 752 Net 2C: 871 Net 3C: 1050
Source: NSAI estimates as of December 31, 2016
Notes: 1. Pursuant to the Shizhuang South PSC, GDG has the option to increase its participating interest to 70% 2. Pursuant to the Framework Agreement, CUCBM is operator for the Legacy Wells and related infrastructure in Areas 3 and 5; GDG and CUCBM will act as operators of their respective wells drilled prior to 31 July, 2013 in Area 5; GDG to be operator of all future wells drilled in GSS 3. NSAI estimates as of 31 December 2016
Shizhuang South Block (GSS Block) location
Province (Area km²) Shanxi Province (388 km²) Partners (*Operator) * GDG (60%) 1 CUCBM (40%) 2 Governing PSC Shizhuang South PSC (GSS PSC) Net 2P 457 bcf3 Gas Content CS #3 / #15 530 / 565 cf/tonne Overburden CS #3 / CS #15 743 / 837m
6 / 4m PSC Executed / Expiry Jan 2003 / Jan 2033
Key producing asset of the Group, located favourably close to gas markets and infrastructure
laterally continuous coal seams (#3 and #15) that run throughout the block
pipelines (most of the GSS production is sold into national pipelines controlled by SOEs)
(CNOOC) de-risking the block
DRAFT
Increasing production and improving infrastructure
34% to 1.88 bcf in 2016 (2015: 1.41 bcf)
new wells, improved performance from remedial work on
improved pipeline network on site
Looking forward
cost recovery
GCZ, GSS, and GSN specifically identified by the Central Government as priority CBM projects within the 13th Five Year Plan
Gathering Station location (actual/planned) Block Area: 388km2 22 km2 22 km2
DRAFT
Notes: 1. Gross gas production from GCZ Block, 2. Source; Company data 1,828 3,842 4,509 4,443 4,159 4,087 3,584 3,011 3,234 4,981 5,725
1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Annual Gas Production (MMcf) Period
Historical ODP
Peak Production in year 2020 with 5.7 Bcf of annual gas volume Historical peak
Planning and Designing of Gas Gathering System & Transportation
An Example : GCZ Area Gathering System
(Fan1, Fan9, Fan10)
Fan 9 Fan 1 Fan 10 Chengzhuang Block GCZ Block online wells area GCZ Block pipeline network