Golden Gate GMP
Changing Demographics & Related Trends
Golden Gate GMP Changing Demographics & Related Trends - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Golden Gate GMP Changing Demographics & Related Trends Questions To Pursue Regional Demo Trends About Visitors Recreation Opportunities Visitor Profile Transportation Group Composition Volunteerism
Changing Demographics & Related Trends
– Visitor Profile – Group Composition – Site Use – Preferences/Patterns – Identity/Messaging – Impacts/Significance
– Not Here
– General Bay Area
– Recreation Opportunities – Transportation – Volunteerism – Programming
Trends and Projections for Parks
data on park visitors – Golden Gate – Bay Area – NPS or NPS Pacific Reg – Broader Literature
– Dynamic Landscape of Exceptional Scientific Value – Refuge for Exceptional Biodiversity – Military Heritage and Architecture – Alcatraz – Backdrop for the Bay’s Quality of Life – Recreation and Educational Opportunities – Miwok and Oklone Homelands
experiences to large and diverse urban population
proximity…to…metro…
entrepreneurial spirit and international stature of San Francisco and Golden Gate stimulate innovative solutions to complex challenges and ensure relevance for NPS values to future generations.
– First Timers – Internationals – Americans
– 2 - 4 persons – Leisure – Friends & Family – Less than 4 hours – Activities
– Residents
– Returnees/Regulars – Purpose/Motivation
– 20 - 50 years of age – High Levels of Education – Non-Hispanic White – Small Groups (1 - 4) – Personal Vehicles
– Alcatraz – Muir Woods – Presidio – Bridge Vistas Marin Headlands – Ft Point (drive by)
– Sightseeing, Scenic Values – Hiking – Spend Time w/ Friends & Family – Escape, Respite – Enjoy Nature – Participate in Events/Activities
Various including CORP (‘02), NSRE (all), PPC (‘04), Comp Survey Am Public (‘00) and dozens of research studies.
– Lesser Income Levels – Lesser Levels of Formal Education – Less Access To Personal Vehicles – Limited English Language Proficiency – Mobility Impairments
– Hotel/food costs too high – Takes too long – Not enough known – Reservations too far in advance – Too crowded Comprehensive Survey of American Public (2000)
– Friends/Relatives – NPS Website – Other Websites
encourage you to visit? – Publicize, More Info, Advertise
– Destination – Returnees
– Proportions – Satisfaction – Expectations – Opportunity to Influence
We need to know more about folks who are coming for daily or frequent recreation to non- destination areas. Most GOGA research has been completed at destination areas or in response to managerial challenges.
We need to know more about folks who are volunteering their time and expertise throughout the parks. Very little research has been done in this area.
Nature
– Marin – San Francisco – San Mateo
– Penn/Marin (SM, SF, MA) – North Bay (Son, NA, Sol) – East Bay (CC, AL) – South Bay (SC)
– 58 Counties
– United States – California – Bay Area 9 – Bay Area Adjacent – GOGA 3
– Government Services – Health Care – Transportation – Open Space – Social Systems
– Projected mid-80s by 2100
– California Has Largest Cohort – SF, NA, MA (largest % of 65+)
– Matures/Patriotic – Boomers/Optimistic – Ethnic/Little Known About
Big Populations (‘05) 1.6 M to 132,764 SC | AL | CC | SF | SM | Son | Sol | MA | NA Fast Growing (‘00-’30) 70.8% to 0.1% Sol | CC | Son | NA | AL | SC | SM | SF | MA High % Kids Under 5 7.7% to 5.2% SC | Sol | AL | SM | CC | Son | NA | MA | SF High % Under 18 27.6% to 14.7% Sol | CC | SC | AL | Son | SM | NA | MA | SF High % Over 65 14.6% to 10.1% SF | NA | MA | SM | CC | Son | AL | SC | Sol High % Persons of Color 42.8% to 11.1% AL | SC | SF | Sol | SM | CC | NA | Son | MA High % Foreign Born 36.8% to 14.3% SF | SC | SM | AL | CC | NA | Sol | MA | Son High Not English at Home 45.7% to 19.5% SF | SC | SM | CC | NS | Sol | NA | Son | MA High % BS or higher 51.3% to 21.4% MA | SF | SC | SM | CC | AL | Son | NA | Sol High Med. HH Income $68K to $51.3 SC | MA | SM | CC | Sol | AL | Son | NA | SF High Per Cap HH Income $45K to $21.7 MA | SM | SF | SC | CC | AL | NA | Son | Sol High % Living in Poverty 12% to 6.8% SF | AL | SC | Son | Sol | NA | CC | MA | SM
Census Bureau, American Community Survey (2005)
31.7% White, Non-Hispanic 30.9% Hispanic/Latino 27.2% Asian American 6.2% Black/African-American 1.0% American Indian or Alaska Native
Source: California Department of Finance
– City Center, Suburban, Rural
density in Bay Area by far
– 16,634/sq mile; next closest less than 2000/sq mile
landscape and nature
pronounced in urban areas
– Information About Sites – Personal Transportation
– Clothing – Shoes – Equipment
– Access To Information
– GPS – Telephones – Personal Media – Social Networking Websites
Smaller Chunks
Absorb Vast Amounts
Schedules
Wellness/Outdoor Activities
– Stewardship – Science
– Camping, Hiking, Backpacking, Hunting, Fishing
– Whale-watching, Rafting, Climbing, Surfing & Kayaking
– OHV, Mountain Bikes, SnoMo Boats, PWC, Segways
crowded situations
tensions
More than half reported these benefits….
California State Parks, Public Attitudes & Opinions, 2002.
Various including CORP (‘02), NSRE (all), PPC (‘04), Comp Survey Am Public (‘00) and dozens of research studies.
– Lesser Income Levels – Lesser Levels of Formal Education – Less Access To Personal Vehicles – Limited English Language Proficiency – Mobility Impairments
Attractions
Management
– Strong: Income & Education “Liberal” & Democrats – Not Strong: Ownership Length of Residence
Dramatically 65+
– 64% (3+ Kids in HH) vs 46% (all HH)
Various Bay Area studies cited in BAOSC People, Parks, and Change (2004).
– 84% places to spend time w/ friends – 82% places to get together w/ family – 78% places for children to play
across all ethnic groups as reasons for recreating outdoors (PPC, p. 15).”
– 57 - 61% (L/AfAm/AsAm) and 68% (W) – 72 - 79% (L/AfAm/AsAm) and 79% (NHW)
Various Bay Area studies cited in BAOSC People, Parks, and Change (2004).
“Parks with the highest diversity of users tend to be those with
extensive picnic facilities (PPC, p. 16).”
– Walk - Everyone (81-93%) does and everyone likes – Hike - 61% (W) 55% (L), 41% (AsAm), 21% (AfAm) – Backpacking - Whites, 2x Latino, 5x African American
– Latinos and Asian Americans report trail usage at levels similar, or slightly lower, than Whites.
– Dog-walkers are primarily White or Asian American; Latinos and African Americans dramatically less so.
Various Bay Area studies cited in BAOSC People, Parks, and Change (2004).
“…the way people walk varies considerably by ethnicity (PPC, p. 16).”
– Whites twice as likely to visit – Visit - 50% (W) 29% (L), 29% (AsAm), 24% (AfAm)
– Regularly: 22% (L); 23% (GenPop) – Never: 12% (L); 10% (Gen Pop)
– Preference For: 30% (L); 22% (GenPop) – Developed Outside: 40% (L); 36% (GenPop) – Natural Undeveloped: 16% (L); 28% (GenPop)
Various studies cited in BAOSC People, Parks, and Change (2004).
“wilderness…whites…twice rate as other ethnicities (PPC, p. 18).”
Various studies cited in BAOSC People, Parks, and Change (2004).
“Organized sporting activities tend to be enjoyed by whites at lower rates than other groups (PPC, p. 21).”
Parks and Change
Activity Participation (Percentage) Nationally (NSRE) and in Selected Bay Area Parks and Open Spaces
Various Bay Area studies cited in BAOSC People, Parks, and Change (2004). Activity Source Year White Latino African- American Asian- American Walking/Hike NSRE 00-03 93/61 81/55 93/21 87/41 Biking NSRE 00-03 50 41 43 42 Fishing NSRE 00-03 23 25 20 16
NSRE 00-03 30 24 21 25 Passive Recr SCC 01 39 41 36 47 Sports BAOSC 03-04 18 43 7 36 Swim Outdoors NSRE 00-03 55 36 20 26 View/Photo Scenic NSRE 00-03 65-79 34-59 27-42 39-69
NSRE or Bay Area Motorboat
View/Photo
Horseback Birding Playground Base/Soft Basketball Base/Soft Tennis
– picnicking, – sightseeing, – walking.
Walk Hike Scenic Family Gathering Picnic Wildlife Related Nature N/Centers Garden
Landscape
Water Activities Also…
GOGA Destination 1
Learn Experience
GOGA Near-by 1
Learn Stewardship
Bay Area 2
ports Youth
All Calif’s 3
CA Youth 3
U.S. 18-64 4
Biking
U.S. Seniors 4
U.S. Metro 4
U.S. Asian-Am 4
U.S. Latinos 4
African-Am 2
Sports Fish, Bike
Immigrants 5
Familiar L’scapes
Cultural Social Adjust New
– Style – Use – Preference
– Crissy Field Center – Trails Forever
– Stewardship – Hosting
– Global Warming – Native Plants – GGRO
Visitor Access/Transportation
– Destination – Day Use – Stewards/Learners
Recreation Opportunities & Conflict
– Destination – Day Use – Stewards/Learners
Global Warming
– Destination – Day Use – Stewards/Learners
Partnerships
– Destination – Day Use – Stewards/Learners
– Destination – Day Use – Stewards/Learners
Reaching New Audiences
Regional Cooperation: Park Is Not An Island
– Destination – Day Use – Stewards/Learners
Identity Issue
– Destination – Day Use – Stewards/Learners
Scenic Beauty & Natural Characteristics
–Destination –Day Use –Stewards/Learners
– Destination – Day Use – Stewards/Learners
The Park’s Diversity of Stories
– Destination – Day Use – Stewards/Learn ers
Historic Structures Management
– Destination – Day Use – Stewards/Lea rners
Marine/Estuarine Resource Protection
– Destination – Day Use – Stewards/Learners
– Destination – Day Use – Stewards/Learners
Park Boundaries
– Destination – Day Use – Stewards/Learners
– Conservation Touchstone
– Destination – Day Use – Stewards/Learners
Alactraz Island National Historic Landmark Issue
– Destination – Day Use – Stewards/Learners
– Culmination of Tech, Construction & Defense
Positioning for the Future
– Progressive – Destination – Concentrated – Diversity – Partners – Networks – Facilities
– Obsession – Geographic Center – Costs Dropping – Field Uses – Meaning Making
– Economic Opportunity/ Education – Diversity – Energy – “California”
Unique “habitat” for National Park units with special authorities to bring parks to people and people to parks in ways that affirm life and steward resources in highly visible ways with far-reaching impacts.
Unique “habitat” for National Park units with special authorities to bring parks to people and people to parks in ways that affirm life and steward resources in highly visible ways with far-reaching impacts.