[PPT] - Global number of f motor vehicles With world Stabilization PowerPoint Presentation

SLIDE 1

Lighting Future . Automotive trends

. Lighting trends

and training for its preparation

. ELS (Embedded Lighting Systems)

1

SLIDE 2

Lighting Future . Automotive trends

. Lighting trends

and training for its preparation

. ELS (Embedded Lighting Systems)

2

SLIDE 3

Global number of f motor vehicles

2011 OECD international transport forum

With world

population stabilized at 10 billions after 2100

Car

penetration reaching in 2150 the current level

f USA

Stabilization at 8 billions vehicles

SLIDE 4

22 47 100 210 440 100 200 300 400 1967 1992 2017 2042 2067

Worldwide car production

Worldwide car production forecast

+3%/y +3%/y? +3%/y?

Relatively

constant growth at +3%/year since last 50 years

Half of the

growth since 1990 came from China +3%/y

China 0,5 27

SLIDE 5

22 47 100 210 440 100 200 300 400 1967 1992 2017 2042 2067

Worldwide car production

+3%/y +3%/y +2,5%/y +2%/y

New growth

drivers:

India
Africa
Half of the

growth after 2017 by the world population evolution 185 300

China 0,5 27

Worldwide car production forecast

Still a significant growth forecast, even if a bit less strong as in last half century

SLIDE 6

Majo jor trends for cars and lighting

Safety Style

Connec- tivity Autonom driving Shared services Electri- fication

Solid State Sources

(LEDs, Laser LEDs,..)

+ +++ +

++

Camera Aided Beams

( Automatic LB-HB, Automatic aiming, ADB, Pixel Lighting, …)

+++ +/-

Lighting for

autonomous cars

( Specific forward beams, Specific pulsed beams, Cooconing interior

+++ +++ +

Impact of automotive trends to lighting trends

Major Automotive trends

Major Lighting trends

Trad. Levers

SLIDE 7

LEDs penetration (new vehic

icle le equip ipment)

Starting in 2007,

LEDs will replace totally halogen in roughly 35 years

The sigmoide curve

is following the mathematical formula 100/(1+300EXP(-0,3(N-1)))

0,0 20,0 40,0 60,0 80,0 100,0

2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040 2042 2044 2046 2048 2050 Sigmoide LEDs LEDs Real

SLIDE 8

0,0 20,0 40,0 60,0 80,0 100,0

Camera based systems market

Simple systems Complex Systems

Camera based systems penetration

In America, car makers have

committed to install AEB at 100% in 2022

In Europe, AEB and LDW are

part of EuroNCAP, and should be obligatory in the next 5 years

So cameras is becoming a

standard feature

Camera based applications to

lighting will so quickly increase

Automatic LB-HB Automatic leveling ADB Matrix, Pixel Lighting,..

SLIDE 9

Autonomous vehicle penetration

0,0 20,0 40,0 60,0 80,0 100,0 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039 2041 2043 2045 2047 2049

Autonomous vehicle market

Autonomous vehicle

will start really in 2020, first for niches applications

During a long time,

at least 30 years, manual mode and autonomous mode will be both used

SLIDE 10

Future Lig ightin ing system: Safety + Connectivity + Autonomous driv ivin ing

Beam

Connected Pix ixel Beam

GPS (Curve,..) Database (Pothole,..) Smartphone (Pedestrian,..) Infrastructure Other cars (Lifi,..) Car sensors (cameras,..) Computer autonomous car

Totally new Connected Pixel Beam Specifications

Safety Comfort Design

Including non visible light

SLIDE 11

ELS Research Last development: Lighting beams for autonomous cars using a camera

11

SLIDE 12

Development of a model l for cameras for safety in in rela lation to the illu illumination

12

𝑂𝑢ℎ𝑠𝑓𝑡ℎ𝑝𝑚𝑒

1 − 𝑄𝑒 𝑄𝐺𝐵 pixel ∈ road pixel ∈ pedestrian

Analysis of

probability of detection and false alert at level of one pixel

Analysis of these

probabilities for an area of the target

SLIDE 13

Results: Soft ftware giving for any camera th the ill illumination needed at t every dis istance for th the requested detection le level

13

d

= 50 m

40 cm 40 cm The constraint of the probability of detection/of FA has little effect on Emin

𝑭𝒏𝒋𝒐 = 𝟐. 𝟔 𝒎𝒗𝒚

𝐸𝑓𝑢𝑓𝑑𝑢𝑗𝑝𝑜 𝑢𝑏𝑠𝑕𝑓𝑢𝑓𝑒 𝑛𝑗𝑜 𝑄𝑒𝑨𝑝𝑜𝑓 = 99,9% 𝐺𝑏𝑣𝑚𝑡𝑓 𝑒𝑓𝑢𝑓𝑑𝑢𝑗𝑝𝑜 𝑢𝑏𝑠𝑕𝑓𝑢𝑓𝑒 𝑛𝑏𝑦 𝑄

𝐺𝐵𝑨𝑝𝑜𝑓

= 1% F-number = 12

SLIDE 14

Lighting for cameras: conclusion

14

Sensitivity of camera is already better than human eye

 Cameras are needing not a high level of light

But both:
For safety in alternative mode,
And comfort in autonomous mode

 A good quality of light will remain important

And many challenges are remaining for new functions:
For communications
For autonomous cars recognition
And with an strong development of interior lighting

SLIDE 15

Lig Lighting Systems fu future: More and more complex systems

Complexity

TIME

LED LASER LEDs

New functions Light Sources

AFS ADB Matrix Beam Pixel Lighting OLEDs Holographic systems ARS

www.embedded-lighting.com

Optical Systems

Parabola Freeform Projector LEDs modules Laser modules

Autonomous vehicle

Lidar IR-UV Communications by Lifi Camera illumination

. More

complex systems . Needing more highly trained resources

SLIDE 16

ELS Embedded Lig ighting Systems Chair

Associate partners:

ELS Embedded Lighting Chair Advanced Master Research

Optics and Photonics Systems and transportation engineering Design

More and more High-Tech and complex systems  Need of high level training

SLIDE 17

DIVERSITY LIGHTING

Tailored to the needs of the Lighting industry The high level international programme

Sources Optical systems Simulations Measurements Realistic Rendering Human Vision Industrialization Regulations Environment Advanced functionalities Conception Materials Electronics Creative Design

SLIDE 18

One year graduate programme

13 training modules (1/week)

Classes, conferences
Tutored work
Laboratory
Seminars and visits

Teaching staff

Schools: 70%
Industry: 30%

Information and admission: Embedded-lighting.com Transverse project: Research

1 day/week + 1 week

Professional thesis in a lighting company

January- June

Academic semester

4 full months from September to December

SLIDE 19

Transverse project

1- Benchmark

2- New design proposal wit ith students of Strate design school

3- Research project

SLIDE 20

Transverse project: E Example 1

New design Research project: Evolutive High Beam With speed

Wide HB Long range HB

Peugeot 508

SLIDE 21

Transverse project: E Example 2

New design

Wide HB Long range HB

Research project: Simple Matrix ADB with 6 segments Peugeot 3008

SLIDE 22

Transverse project: E Example 3

New design Research project: ARS + LIFI

Wide HB Long range HB

Citroen Picasso

SLIDE 23

Lighting Future . Automotive trends

. Lighting trends

and training for its preparation

. ELS (Embedded Lighting Systems)

Lighting Future . Automotive trends

. Lighting trends

and training for its preparation

. ELS (Embedded Lighting Systems)

Global number of f motor vehicles

population stabilized at 10 billions after 2100

penetration reaching in 2150 the current level

22 47 100 210 440 100 200 300 400 1967 1992 2017 2042 2067

Worldwide car production

Worldwide car production forecast

+3%/y +3%/y? +3%/y?

constant growth at +3%/year since last 50 years

growth since 1990 came from China +3%/y

22 47 100 210 440 100 200 300 400 1967 1992 2017 2042 2067

Worldwide car production

+3%/y +3%/y +2,5%/y +2%/y

drivers:

growth after 2017 by the world population evolution 185 300

Worldwide car production forecast

Still a significant growth forecast, even if a bit less strong as in last half century

Majo jor trends for cars and lighting

+ +++ +

+++ +/-

+++ +++ +

LEDs penetration (new vehic

icle le equip ipment)

LEDs will replace totally halogen in roughly 35 years

is following the mathematical formula 100/(1+300*EXP(-0,3*(N-1)))

Camera based systems penetration

committed to install AEB at 100% in 2022

part of EuroNCAP, and should be obligatory in the next 5 years

standard feature

lighting will so quickly increase

Autonomous vehicle penetration

Autonomous vehicle market

will start really in 2020, first for niches applications

at least 30 years, manual mode and autonomous mode will be both used

Future Lig ightin ing system: Safety + Connectivity + Autonomous driv ivin ing

Connected Pix ixel Beam

Safety Comfort Design

ELS Research Last development: Lighting beams for autonomous cars using a camera

Development of a model l for cameras for safety in in rela lation to the illu illumination

𝑂𝑢ℎ𝑠𝑓𝑡ℎ𝑝𝑚𝑒

probability of detection and false alert at level of one pixel

probabilities for an area of the target

Results: Soft ftware giving for any camera th the ill illumination needed at t every dis istance for th the requested detection le level

= 50 m

𝑭𝒏𝒋𝒐 = 𝟐. 𝟔 𝒎𝒗𝒚

Lighting for cameras: conclusion

 Cameras are needing not a high level of light

 A good quality of light will remain important

. More

complex systems . Needing more highly trained resources

ELS Embedded Lig ighting Systems Chair

Tailored to the needs of the Lighting industry The high level international programme

One year graduate programme

13 training modules (1/week)

Information and admission: Embedded-lighting.com Transverse project: Research

Professional thesis in a lighting company

Academic semester

Transverse project

1- Benchmark

2- New design proposal wit ith students of Strate design school

3- Research project

Transverse project: E Example 1

New design Research project: Evolutive High Beam With speed

Peugeot 508

Transverse project: E Example 2

New design

Research project: Simple Matrix ADB with 6 segments Peugeot 3008

Transverse project: E Example 3

New design Research project: ARS + LIFI

Citroen Picasso

Citroen Picasso

ELS information and admission: www.embedded-lighting.com

Thank you

is following the mathematical formula 100/(1+300EXP(-0,3(N-1)))