GE OSS Asian Water Cycle Initiative Country Activities Kusu - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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GE OSS Asian Water Cycle Initiative Country Activities Kusu - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

GE OSS Asian Water Cycle Initiative Country Activities Kusu Kusuma, , MSB MSB, et et.al al. . Water ter Res Res Eng Eng, F , FCEE, E, IT ITB Study Area : Citarum River INDONESIA NESIA Lower Citarum Lower Citarum Citarum River


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GE OSS Asian Water Cycle Initiative

Country Activities

Kusu Kusuma, , MSB MSB, et et.al al. . Water ter Res Res Eng Eng, F , FCEE, E, IT ITB

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Kusuma, M suma, MSB, e B, et.al, W .al, Water R ter Res E s Eng, F g, FCEE, E, I ITB

INDONESIA NESIA

Study Area : Citarum River

2

Citaru Citarum River Basin, m River Basin,Wes West t Java.

  • Java. Indone

Indonesi sia

Lower Citarum Lower Citarum

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Kusuma, M suma, MSB, e B, et.al, W .al, Water R ter Res E s Eng, F g, FCEE, E, I ITB

INDONESIA NESIA

Citarum Frame Work

3

VISI VISION Collaboration between government and the community to have a clean, healthy, productive, and sustainable

Main P in Pillars llars

Foundation ndation

Community mmunity E Empow

  • werment

erment

Data & a & Information

  • rmation

Institu titu- tion tional and IWRM and IWRM Planning nning Wate Water Reso Resour-ces ces Develop elop- ment ment Wate Water Use Use and and Allocation

  • cation

Envi Enviro- mental tal Prot Protec- tion tion Disaster aster Prev Preven- tion tion

Source: citarum.org

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Kusuma, M suma, MSB, e B, et.al, W .al, Water R ter Res E s Eng, F g, FCEE, E, I ITB

INDONESIA NESIA

 Existing Problem

 Floods : upstream (Bandung City) and downstream area

(Kerawang etc)

 Drought : Upstrean and Downstream  Water quality : Three cascade reservoir, Upstream

(Bandung) and downstream (Kerawang etc).

 Water allocation : constraint/conflict among three cascade

reservoir with different purposes priority (Hydropower, irrigation and raw water for industry/housing). Water pricing issue.

 Lack of data and reliable analitycal method.

 Influences of landuse changes and climate changes to

the above problem

Existing Condition

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Kusuma, M suma, MSB, e B, et.al, W .al, Water R ter Res E s Eng, F g, FCEE, E, I ITB

INDONESIA NESIA

Three weeks flooded in Dayeuh Kolot, previously natural flood plain area of upstream Jatiluhur Reservoir, 2013

sindonews.co m liputan6.com priorit asne ws.c

  • m

Existing Condition

detik.com Source: www.tempo.co Source: www.metrotvnews.co m

One weeks flooded in Jatiasih, Bekasi due to dike breach of Citarum River downstream

  • f

Jatiluhur Reservoir in 2013

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Kusuma, M suma, MSB, e B, et.al, W .al, Water R ter Res E s Eng, F g, FCEE, E, I ITB

INDONESIA NESIA

Engineering solution is only a short term as there is socio engineering solution required for the following problem :

Erosion and sedimentation

Solid waste

Land use change

Water suply/allocation

Existing Condition

1986 Before normalization 1994 Partial normalization 2001 Nearly final normalization 2003 Final normalization 2005 After normalization 2010 After normalization

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Kusuma, M suma, MSB, e B, et.al, W .al, Water R ter Res E s Eng, F g, FCEE, E, I ITB

INDONESIA NESIA Three Cascade Reservoir of Citarum River (Flood, Irrigation, Power, Raw Water and Aqua Culture)

Saguling,1984, IndoPow er Cirata (1988, PT PJB) Jatiluhur 1967, POJ

Jatil tiluhu uhur Dam d m during ring droug

  • ugt

event ent i in 2013 013, , Source: voaindonesia.com Jatil tiluhu uhur Dam m during ring f flood

  • od e

event ent in 2010 010, , Source: nasional.news.viva.co.id

Existing Condition

Average annual sedimentation rate 8 million m3/year  flood in rainy season and water scarcity in the dry season (ASER 2008, BPLHD)

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Kusuma, M suma, MSB, e B, et.al, W .al, Water R ter Res E s Eng, F g, FCEE, E, I ITB

INDONESIA NESIA

Existing Condition

555 000 m3/year of solid waste (BBWSC, 2013), Batujajar Bridge - Photo: The Sun, 2009

190 Tons /day of organic Waste, BPLHD,2009 Watershed degradation in neglasari area (BBWSC, 2013) Industrial and domestic waste, upstream and downstream, BBWSC, 2013

Ciwidey, upstream area, MSB Kusuma, 2005

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Kusuma, M suma, MSB, e B, et.al, W .al, Water R ter Res E s Eng, F g, FCEE, E, I ITB

INDONESIA NESIA White paper of Climate Chang Adaptation Scenario (Koike T, Univ of Tokyo, AWCI, Nov 2010)

Flood

Population Growth Urbanization Three Cascades Reservoir Operations Poverty

Organic Waste Solid Waste Subsidence Ground Water Exploitation

Energy Spatial Planning Problems

Food Production

Land Use Change Governance many agencies

Fisheries Watershed Degradation

Water Demand

Sedimentation Water Pollution Inconsistency of Infrastructure

Characteristics of Water-Nexus in the Citarum River Basin (Koike T et al, WS, Bandung, 26J2013)

Key Changes

Consequences Runoff Ratio Climate Change Fertilizer

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Kusuma, M suma, MSB, e B, et.al, W .al, Water R ter Res E s Eng, F g, FCEE, E, I ITB

INDONESIA NESIA

Project Design Matrix : Outline

 Projec

Project Purpos t Purpose: e: Adaptation of water resources management system in Citarum

Citarum River Basin River Basin based

  • n evaluation of land use and climate change impact to flood and drought, by

using improved datasets and analytical methodology

 Expect

Expected ed Outputs Outputs:

  • Update hydrological data and analysis method to identify flood and

drought trend

  • Demonstrate climate change impacts on floods and droughts based on the

updated data and analysis method

  • Improvement the use of observational data and modeling to develop water

resources management strategies in the future and its application capacity

 Potent

Potentia ial Activi Activitie ies s and Collabo and Collaborat atio ion:

  • Updating observation data of rainfall, climatology, river discharge, and

land cover and analysis method for flood and drought assessment

  • Disseminating water resources management strategies, data sharing and

technology among institutions

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Kusuma, M suma, MSB, e B, et.al, W .al, Water R ter Res E s Eng, F g, FCEE, E, I ITB

INDONESIA NESIA

Project Design Matrix : Expected Outputs

Update hydrological data and analysis method to identify flood and drought trend in Citarum River Basin

Updated observation data of rainfall, climatology, river discharge, and land cover in Citarum River Basin

Updated analysis method for flood and drought assessment

Demonstrate climate change impacts on floods and droughts based on the updated data and analysis method

Updated flood and drought assessment through implementing of bias correction and statistical downscaling of the selected GCMs

To develop near-real time rainfall-run off data observation/assessment and data dissemination systems based on ground data and satellite coupling which would be used as inputs into flood and drought prediction

To develop comprehensive climate observation data archives including land cover satellite image which are used for climate and land cover change analysis

Improvement the use of observational data and modeling to develop water resources management strategies in the future and its application capacity

Improvement the appropriate unit hydrograph method and drought indices for flood/drought assessment in Citarum River Basin / Indonesia

Dissemination of water resources management strategies, data sharing and technology among institutions

Improvement of the curriculum for undergraduate program in the topics of water resources engineering and management, sub-topics of flood and drought assessment

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Kusuma, M suma, MSB, e B, et.al, W .al, Water R ter Res E s Eng, F g, FCEE, E, I ITB

INDONESIA NESIA

Project Design Matrix : Activities Plan

 Potential activities and collaboration

 Updating hydrological and analysis method to identify

flood and drought trend in Citarum River Basin

 Updating observation data of rainfall, climatology, river

discharge, and land cover in Citarum River Basin

 Updating analysis method for flood and drought assessment  Expected collaborators:

Ministry of Public Work : Puslitbang SDA (Research Centre for Water Resources), BBWSC (Citarum River Basin Organization) and PJT-II (Jatiluhur Dam Authority)

BMKG (Indonesian Agency for Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics),

Local Government : BPLHD and Dinas PSDA Jawa Barat (West Java Water Resources Development Agency)

LAPAN (National Institute of Aeronautic and Space of Indonesia)

Directorate General of Higher Education (DIKTI)

MP3EI (Masterplan for Acceleration and Expansion of Economic Development, Coordinating Ministry of Economic Affairs)

AWCI (Asian Water Cycle Initiative) and Tokyo University (DIAS : Data Integration and Analysis System)

GEOSS (Global Earth Observation System of Systems)

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Kusuma, M suma, MSB, e B, et.al, W .al, Water R ter Res E s Eng, F g, FCEE, E, I ITB

INDONESIA NESIA

Project Design Matrix : Activities Plan

 Demonstrating climate change impacts on floods and droughts

based on the updated data and analysis method

Updating flood and drought assessment through implementing of bias correction and statistical downscaling of the selected GCMs

Developing near-real time rainfall-run off data observation/assessment and data dissemination systems based on ground data and satellite coupling which would be used as inputs into flood and drought prediction

Developing comprehensive climate observation data archives including land cover satellite image which are used for climate and land cover change analysis

Expected collaborators:

Ministry of Public Work : Puslitbang SDA (Research Centre for Water Resources), BBWSC (Citarum River Basin Organization) and PJT-II (Jatiluhur Dam Authority)

BMKG (Indonesian Agency for Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics)

AWCI (Asian Water Cycle Initiative), DIAS (Data Integration and Analysis System) and University of Tokyo

LAPAN (National Institute of Aeronautic and Space of Indonesia)

GEOSS (Global Earth Observation System of Systems)

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Kusuma, M suma, MSB, e B, et.al, W .al, Water R ter Res E s Eng, F g, FCEE, E, I ITB

INDONESIA NESIA

Project Design Matrix : Activities Plan

Improving the use of observational data and modeling to develop water resources management strategies in the future and its application capacity

Improving the appropriate unit hydrograph method and drought indices for flood/drought assessment in Citarum River Basin / Indonesia

Disseminating water resources management strategies, data sharing and technology among institutions

Improving the curriculum for undergraduate program in the topics of water resources engineering and management, sub-topics of flood and drought assessment

Expected collaborators:

Ministry of Public Work : Puslitbang SDA (Research Centre for Water Resources), BBWSC (Citarum River Basin Organization) and PJT-II (Jatiluhur Dam Authority)

BAPPENAS (State Ministry of National Development Planning)

BMKG (Indonesian Agency for Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics)

Local Government

LAPAN (National Institute of Aeronautic and Space of Indonesia)

Directorate General of Higher Education (DIKTI)

AWCI (Asian Water Cycle Initiative), DIAS (Data Integration and Analysis System) and University of Tokyo

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Kusuma, M suma, MSB, e B, et.al, W .al, Water R ter Res E s Eng, F g, FCEE, E, I ITB

INDONESIA NESIA

Indonesian Universities and Research Institution

Join research on particular themes

Private Sector Involvement Climate Variability Climate Change Global Regional Local Water Related Impacts Drought Flood Other Impacts Research People Awareness Mitigation Plan Implementation Local Level Policy

AWCI, Tokyo/ Japanese University and Other Institution

Downscaling of climatology data and scenarios

BBWSC, PJT-II, DPSDA, etc

Data, Implementation and Policy

BAPPENAS, BAPPEDA

Join research on particular themes

Collaboration Opportunities

Opportunities

International/Nationa l Funding Institution

Program Cooperation

Curent Presentation

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Kusuma, M suma, MSB, e B, et.al, W .al, Water R ter Res E s Eng, F g, FCEE, E, I ITB

INDONESIA NESIA

Project Design Matrix : Progress

 Activities :

Activities :

Research : Improvement of data base and assessment method

Education : Improvement of curriculum of water resources engineering study program

Training : Improvement of assessment tools

Community services : Contribution to problem solving of local people

 Partne

Partners rs

  • National and local level
  • Government
  • Private
  • Local people
  • Universities and research institution
  • Overseas level
  • Association//Group : GEOSS-ACWI
  • Universities : Tokyo University
  • Donor institution : APN (last proposal failed might be caused by missed one

cv of team member)

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Kusuma, M suma, MSB, e B, et.al, W .al, Water R ter Res E s Eng, F g, FCEE, E, I ITB

INDONESIA NESIA

Project Design Matrix : Progress

 Research :

Research :

Study of Runoff Control Effect in Upper Citarum Watershed Rivers (Cisangkuy, Citarik, Cikapundung) to South Bandung Flood

Evaluation of Water Resources Management System for Climate Change Adaptation

Spatial Model of Risk Analysis in Determining Flood Control Criteria (Case study: Upper Citarum River Basin), 2013

Training : Improvement of assessment tools

Community services : Contribution to problem solving of local people

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Kusuma, M suma, MSB, e B, et.al, W .al, Water R ter Res E s Eng, F g, FCEE, E, I ITB

INDONESIA NESIA

Project Design Matrix : Progress

Rain fall Disc harg

Data observation ; varies from one station to another. From 376 r rainfall s nfall stations, tions, 26 stations (6.9% ) has very good data record with data availability more than 90%, 142 stations (37.8% ) have relatively good data records with data availability more than 70% and 192 stations (51.2%) have bad data records with data availability less than 50%.

Data Availability >90% (26stations) Data Availability >70% (142 stations) Data Availability <50% (192stations) Meteorological Station at Lembang Discharge Station at Cirasea-Cengkrong Rainfall Station at Cicalengka Discharge Station at Nanjung

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19 Trend of Climate Change Effect in the Pacific Ocean to Rainfall in Citarum

Correlation of MEI and monthly rainfall during dry season Correlation of MEI and monthly rainfall during wet season

Trend: Upper Citarum tends to have a positive correlation coefficient, while lower Citarum tends to have a negative correlation

  • coefficient. If MEI takes place in the dry season, upper Citarum

tends to have more rainfall while lower Citarum tends to get less rainfall. If the warm phase of MEI takes place during rain season, both regions of upper Citarum and lower Citarum tend to have less rainfall, however, the potential of reduction in rainfall tends to be much in upper Citarum than in lower Citarum

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20 Trend of Climate Change Effect in the Indian Ocean to Rainfall in Citarum

Correlation of DMI and monthly rainfall during dry season Correlation of DMI and monthly rainfall during wet season Trend: If warm phase of DMI takes place in dry season, then both regions of upper Citarum and lower Citarum tend to have less rainfall compared to the potential reduction which is much in lower Citarum than upper Citarum If warm phase of DMI takes place in rain season, rainfall in upper Citarum tends to be lower while rainfall in lower Citarum tends to be higher.

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Kusuma, M suma, MSB, e B, et.al, W .al, Water R ter Res E s Eng, F g, FCEE, E, I ITB

INDONESIA NESIA

21

Climate Change: Climate Change: Rainfall and river discharge Rainfall and river discharge trend trend

Trend of increase in average rainfall and discharge during wet season, and decrease in dry season within the last few decades: (Case Study of Upper Citarum River Basin)

decrease rease increase rease decrease rease increase rease Nanjung jung Station tion Uppe Upper Citarum arum Rive River Basi Basin

Current and near future Activities

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Kusuma, M suma, MSB, e B, et.al, W .al, Water R ter Res E s Eng, F g, FCEE, E, I ITB

INDONESIA NESIA

Current and near future Activities

Commun Communit ity Servic Services

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Citar itarum um Besta estari ri (Cle lean an, H , Heal alth thy, y, Susta ustain inab able le, A , Attr trac acti tive ve) a ) and E d Eco-vi vill llag age P e Proj

  • jec

ect t

Rapid development in Citarum River Basin has resulted in the degradation in its water

  • quality. Ecosystem restoration need to be

conducted ​ through an integrated and systematic action by involving the relevant

  • stakeholders. To support this program, the

Government of West Java Province through launch ‘Citarum Bestari Action Plan’, particularly in the upstream of Citarum River Basin from km 0 to km 77.

Eco Village Program also launched to increase the awareness of the society to support Citarum River Ecosystem Restoration

Cikapundung Cidurian Citarum Hulu Cijalupang Citarik Cikeruh Cisangkuy Ciwidey Cimahi Saguling

Cisanti Lake, Upstream

  • f Citarum River Basin
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Kusuma, M suma, MSB, e B, et.al, W .al, Water R ter Res E s Eng, F g, FCEE, E, I ITB

INDONESIA NESIA

23

Effor Efforts To To Supp Suppor

  • rt Water

Water Resou Resources es Manag Management in t in Suban Subang distr district ct: Case Studi Case Studies Cipun Cipunegar ara

Flood and droughts risk be reduced by a well- integrated water resources management especially in managing water during the rainy and dry season. Subang District is one of the area in West Java Province with relatively high risk to flood and drought. In the early

  • f 2014, thousand of houses were inundated

during the flood event which hit 13 sub- district in Subang. In the other hand, large area of rice field in this district also susceptible to drought in dry season. This program focused on the flood and drought assessment in Cipunegara River Basin as one of the main river in Subang District.

www.tempo.com Floo Flood in in Suba Subang District, 2 trict, 2014

Commun Communit ity Servic Services

Current and near future Activities

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Kusuma, M suma, MSB, e B, et.al, W .al, Water R ter Res E s Eng, F g, FCEE, E, I ITB

INDONESIA NESIA

Relate Related Resear d Research ch and and Academ Academic ic Activit Activities es

24

Flood Assessment Flood Assessment in PT. INTI Area in PT. INTI Area

PT . INTI is a national telecommunication and electrical devices manufacture, founded in the early 1970. The factory site in Dayeuh Kolot, Bandung, is located in low contour and relatively close to Citarum River. The rapid development of industrial area around its site location in, especially in some nearby river tributaries together with more intense heavy rainfall within the last few years has resulted flooding / inundation in the location

  • f PT.INTI.

River tributaries adjacent to the site location Building structure in the river water body nearby the site location

Current and near future Activities

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Kusuma, M suma, MSB, e B, et.al, W .al, Water R ter Res E s Eng, F g, FCEE, E, I ITB

INDONESIA NESIA

Commun Communit ity Servic Service

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Flood Assessment Flood Assessment in PT. in PT. Pupuk Pupuk Kujang Kujang

PT Pupuk Kujang is a national fertilizer company, founded in 1975. The rapid development of industrial area around its site location in Cikarang, together with more intense heavy rainfall within the last few years has resulted flooding / inundation in nearby area. Flood assessment in conducted as part of the effort to overcome the flood inundation within the company site and in the nearby residential areas

Flood from Cikarang Gelam River

Siphon in Cikarang Gelam River, filled with garbage

Current and near future Activities

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Kusuma, M suma, MSB, e B, et.al, W .al, Water R ter Res E s Eng, F g, FCEE, E, I ITB

INDONESIA NESIA

Educat Educatio ion

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Curriculum Improvement Curriculum Improvement of Undergraduate

  • f Undergraduate Program of Water Resources

Program of Water Resources Engineering and Engineering and Management in ITB Management in ITB

The Undergraduate Program of Water Resources Engineering and Management

  • f ITB is entered the second year

To cope with the latest water resources issues, and science & technology improvement, curriculum improvement and adjustment is conducted in several subjects, such in in the topics of drought hydrology, etc.

Staff Capacity Staff Capacity Development Development

The member of Water Resources Engineering Research Group, ITB, are actively involved in workshop/training as part of staff capacity development, e.g.:

  • AWCI Training Course on Improved Bias Correction and Downscaling

Techniques for Climate Change Assessment including Drought Indices (2013)

  • Planned: Climate change impact assessment techniques including

hydrological modeling in cold region basins, Pakistan (2014)

Current and near future Activities

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Kusuma, M suma, MSB, e B, et.al, W .al, Water R ter Res E s Eng, F g, FCEE, E, I ITB

INDONESIA NESIA

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Evaluation of Evaluation of Application Application Unit Unit Hydrograph Method Hydrograph Method for for Non Non Uniform Uniform Rainfall and Rainfall and Contribution Contribution of

  • f each

each tributary river tributary river

Cikapundung Cidurian Citarum Hulu Cijalupang Citarik Cikeruh Cisangkuy Ciwidey Cimahi Saguling

Resear Research ch

Citarum Hulu Citarik Cikeruh Cisangkuy Cidurian Cikapundung Cipamokolan Cicadas Event in 2007 21.71% 7.94% 7.27% 34.38% 3.12% 18.34% 3.50% 1.92% Event in 2008 22.16% 13.44% 13.65% 26.51% 2.89% 14.46% 3.20% 1.76% Event in 2010 16.18% 21.41% 6.94% 28.79% 3.65% 15.34% 4.19% 2.39%

0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 30.00% 35.00% 40.00%

Percentage of contribution flood hydrograph (%)

Contribution Flood Hydrograph of Sub Watrsheds in Upper Citarum River Basin

Current and near future Activities

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Kusuma, M suma, MSB, e B, et.al, W .al, Water R ter Res E s Eng, F g, FCEE, E, I ITB

INDONESIA NESIA

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Drought Drought

 Dry spell trends in the downstream

  • f Citarum such as Bekasi,

Karawang, and Indramayu Regency shows an increasing pattern.

 Most of irrigation area in West

Java is located in the downstream

  • f Citarum River Basin, with total

area about 200,00ha. Prolonged drought in this basin might disturb Indonesian rice production

Source: citarum.org Dry Dry Spel Spell Tren Trend in in Citarum tarum River B ver Basin sin

Current and near future Activities

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Kusuma, M suma, MSB, e B, et.al, W .al, Water R ter Res E s Eng, F g, FCEE, E, I ITB

INDONESIA NESIA

Resear Research ch

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Analy nalysi sis o s of Meteor eteorol

  • log
  • gic

ical al and nd Hydro ydrolo logi gica cal D l Drou

  • ugh

ght i t in Citar itarum um River iver B Basin asin

This study presents an analysis of spatial and temporal of droughts from the aspect of meteorological and hydrological. In Citarum River Basin. Correlation between parameters

  • f meteorological and hydrological is

evaluated to describe the magnitude of the drought event in terms of duration, severity, and extent of affected area

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4 Ekstrim Basah 3 Sangat Basah 2 Agak Basah 1 Sedikit Basah 0 . 5 Awal Selang Basah 0 Mendekati Normal
  • 2 Awal Selang Kering
  • 3 Sedikit Kering
  • 5 Agak Kering
  • 6 Sangat Kering
  • 7 Ekstrim Kering

Extremely wet Very wet Moderately wet Near normal Moderately dry Severely dry Extremely dry

SPI 3-month (1997) PDSI (1997)

Current and near future Activities

slide-30
SLIDE 30

Kusuma, M suma, MSB, e B, et.al, W .al, Water R ter Res E s Eng, F g, FCEE, E, I ITB

INDONESIA NESIA

Summary

30

  • Socio engineering solution is required to achieve

appropriate solution for Citarum River Basin

  • Data base development is compulsory to improve

results reliability and in this case national and international cooperation is required

  • Improvement of assessment method/tools is necessary

to support future program

slide-31
SLIDE 31

Kusuma, MSB, et.al, Water Res Eng, FCEE, ITB

INDONESIA

Thank You

Arigatou Terimah kasih