GDP DRIVES US TOWARD FURTHER SUCCESS Y2018 & 4Q18 Highlight - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
GDP DRIVES US TOWARD FURTHER SUCCESS Y2018 & 4Q18 Highlight - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
GDP DRIVES US TOWARD FURTHER SUCCESS Y2018 & 4Q18 Highlight Performance by Business Financial Performance Strategic Direction 2 Key Drivers Maintained high margin through projects completion amid volatile crude oil price Dubai Crude
Performance by Business Financial Performance Strategic Direction Y2018 & 4Q18 Highlight
2
45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 Jan-17 Apr-17 Jul-17 Oct-17 Jan-18 Apr-18 Jul-18 Oct-18
3
Key Drivers
Maintained high margin through projects completion amid volatile crude oil price
Dubai Crude Oil Price (avg.) Gross Refining Margin (GRM) Foreign Exchange (avg.) Product to Feed Margin (PTF)
Unit: $/bbl Unit : THB/USD 5.5 4.3 5.9 5.2 5.2 4Q17 3Q18 4Q18 2017 2018 7.8 7.0 7.1 8.3 7.3 4Q17 3Q18 4Q18 2017 2018
Unit: $/bbl Unit: $/bbl
31 32 33 34 35 36 37 Jan-17 Apr-17 Jul-17 Oct-17 Jan-18 Apr-18 Jul-18 Oct-18
53.1 49.8 50.5 59.3 69.4 74.3 67.4 35.29 34.47 33.55 33.11 31.71 32.09 33.15 32.98 53.2 63.9 72.1 34.11 32.48
YoY 7% QoQ 37% YoY - Unchanged YoY 9% QoQ 1% YoY 12%
Financial Highlight: Y2018 & 4Q18 performance
2018 : Maintained high operating income from higher U-Rate despite crude premium increased 4Q18 : Better operating income as RDCC resumption after planned TA in 3Q18
- 4%
83% 21%
58,443 68,831 64,233 197,594 258,919
QoQ 7% YoY 10%
Overview of Business
Net Sales
(net excise tax)
Dubai (Avg.)
Unit: $/bbl
Net Income
Unit: MB Unit: MB YoY 136% QoQ 164%
EBITDA
Unit: MB
6,530 5,258 534 20,420 18,344
QoQ 90% YoY 92% Petroleum Petrochemical Utilities and Others
Net Sales
(net excise tax)
EBITDA Net income
2018
30% 58% 12% 71% 28% 1%
258,919 MB 18,344 MB
2,350 1,632 2,285 8,621 8,859
4,513 2,560
(1,627)
11,354 7,735
4Q17 3Q18 4Q18 2017 2018
7,735 MB Market GIM ($/bbl) 14.33 12.37 14.09
59.3 74.3 67.4 53.2 69.4 Crude run KBD 207 203 208
- Acct. GIM ($/bbl)
17.22 14.10 6.58
4
Net Stock G/(L)($/bbl) 2.89 1.73 (7.51)
YoY 32% YoY 10% YoY 31%
180 208
TA in 1Q17
14.48 13.10 (0.50) 13.60 15.49 1.01
22% 63% 15%
2017
37% 54% 9% 68% 30% 2%
197,594 MB 20,420 MB 11,354 MB
Operating NI
Net Income
5
Project Update : Catalyst Cooler
On schedule : Mechanical completion in Feb 19
Project Objective :
- Crude selection more heavy crude
- More electricity & steam
CAPEX : ~ 1,320 MB IRR : ~ 35% Benefit : GIM: 0.3$/bbl Project Progress
as of Feb. 2019
: 89% of Target Construction Progress
- Mechanical Completion : Catalyst Cooler
System on 8 Feb 2019.
- Progress : during commissioning process
- COD : ~ 1Q19
Catalyst Cooler
Demin
2018 Actual
Everest+E4E Project Highlight
2018: Everest+E4E contributed 87% of plan
Key Area
Everest
Everest Everest
Unit : MB of EBIT
2018 (Plan) 2017 Actual
Operations Area Commercial Area Integrated Supply Chain Procurement Area Corporate Area - HR Corporate Area – Non HR
$
6
Total Everest
Total Everest + E4E
3,011 4,276 4,736 2,077 1,821 2,456 1,179 1,444 1,870 234 31 211 287 397 275 18 1 19 6,807 7,970 9,569 1,397 1,157
9,367 10,726 Everest Forever (E4E) 87% of Plan
10 12 14 2016 2017 2018
14 plants in 2018 vs 12 plants in 2017 : 2 plants
0.45% 0.39%
Total Recordable Injuries Rate (TRIR)* at 0.39% in 2018 : 0.06%
0.58% 2016 2017 2018
Achievement in 2018
- Moody’s Rating affirms at
‘Ba1’ Outlook: Stable Positive Improving Operating Performance
- Standard & Poor’s Ratings affirms at
‘BB+’ Outlook: Stable Positive Improving Operating Performance
- Fitch Ratings affirms at
‘A-(tha)’ Outlook Stable Zero Unplanned Shutdown Plant Safety Improvement Credit Rating Marketing
Energy Intensity Index (EII) at 89% in 2018 : 1.40%
2016 2018 90.40% 89.00% 2017 93.89% Efficient Energy Usage Management Investment in Plastic Product E-Commerce Business
- IRPC Join Guangzhao Saiju
Performance Polymer Ltd. in the People’s Republic of China (PRC)
- Registered iPolymer Co., Ltd
IRPC 55% GZSJ 45%
Total Recordable Injuries Case: TRIC x 200,000 *TRIR = Working Hour
7
8
received outstanding plant management Awards and Recognition in 2018
Dow Jones Sustainability Indices (DJSI) Member For the fifth consecutive year, with the highest score By SAM
IRPC’s Achievement
Social Contribution Innovation
The Prime Minister's Industry Award 2018 By Ministry of Industry Sustainability Report
Award 2018 “Excellent Level” By The Stock Exchange
- f Thailand
SET Awards 2018 Outstanding Innovative Company Awards “Convert HDPE to Specialty Pipe” By The Stock Exchange
- f Thailand (SET) in collaboration with the
Money and Banking Magazine
Thailand Quality Class Award 2018 Thailand Quality Class : TQC By Thailand Productivity Institute, a network institution under the Ministry of Industry “Lumsaiyong Model”
“Prosthetics Project”
Performance by Business Financial Performance Strategic Direction Y2018 & 4Q18 Highlight
9
Petroleum Spread
10
- Soften demand in Asia
11.8 11.4 13.9 13.0 14.8 14.6 14.4 14.8 12.5 14.6
1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 2017 2018
- Oversupply result in higher Gasoline
inventory in U.S. and Europe
- Higher export volume from China
14.8 14.2 16.1 14.4 13.7 12.1 11.6 4.7 14.9 10.5
1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 2017 2018
(3.1) (1.8) (1.4) (3.1) (4.9) (4.4) (2.5) 1.4 (2.3) (2.6)
1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 2017 2018
500SN – FO 180 3.5%S Spread 150 BS – FO 180 3.5%S Spread Asphalt – FO 180 3.5%S Spread $/bbl $/bbl $/bbl
Lube Base Spread Refinery Spread
Gas oil - Dubai ULG 95 - Dubai HSFO - Dubai
(13) (38) (28) (44) (55) (68) (41) (20) (31) (46)
1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 2017 2018
635 658 579 536 588 544 471 471 602 518
1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 2017 2018
451 556 528 458 513 481 417 375 498 447
1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 2017 2018
QoQ 59% YoY 10% YoY 13% YoY 14% YoY 17% YoY 48% + Higher Global demand + Lower export volume from China YoY 30%
- Soften demand as a decrease
- f road construction project
QoQ 3% QoQ 156% QoQ 10% QoQ -Stable QoQ 51% YoY YoY YoY YoY YoY $/TON $/TON $/TON
- Lower import from China as
Yuan depreciation against USD
15.0 15.3 15.4 52.4 60.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 6.4 7.0
16.8 17.0 17.2 58.8 67.8
4Q17 3Q18 4Q18 2017 2018 Lube Base Refinery 207 203 208 180 208 2.6 2.8 3.2 2.1 3.2 1.9 2.3 29.5 35.0 6.2 9.9 5.1 3.0 1.8 2.3 6.4 7.0 2017 2018 Lube Base Oil LPG & Other Naphtha & Reformate Gasoline Diesel & Jet Oil Fuel Oil 3.8 2.9 4.4 3.1 3.5 1.8 1.5 1.6 2.1 1.7 5.5 4.3 5.9 5.2 5.2 4Q17 3Q18 4Q18 2017 2018 Lube Base Refinery 4Q17 3Q18 4Q18 2017 2018 11
Petroleum Group
2018: Higher crude run resulted in higher petroleum sales
4Q18 : Better product yield after RDCC plant resumed its operation leading to higher MKT GRM
Crude Intake GRM Sales Volume & Revenue Production
68% 59% 69% 67% 66% 32% 41% 31% 33% 34% 4Q17 3Q18 4Q18 2017 2018 Sweet Crude Sour Crude 96% 94% 97% 84% 97% % U-Rate
Premium over Dubai ($/bbl)
64% 57% 66% 65% 63% 14% 21% 12% 18% 15% 9% 9% 8% 7% 8% 13% 13% 14% 10% 14% Others Domestic Far East Middle East Crude Run (KBD) 4,404 4,915 4,981 16,110 19,229 36,243 43,998 40,924 119,015 163,724 Refinery 40,647 48,913 45,905 135,125 182,953 YoY 2% QoQ 1% YoY 13% QoQ 6% Revenue YoY 15% YoY 35% Petroleum Lube Base Crude intake (Mbbl) Unit : $/bbl Unit : Mbbl Unit : Mbbl 0.5 0.9 0.5 8.4 8.5 8.9 2.0 2.3 2.6 1.4 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.6 1.8 1.7 1.7 4Q17 3Q18 4Q18 15.3 59.6 14.8 14.9 50.9 19.1 18.7 19.1 65.5 76.1 Sales Volume Unit : MB YoY 0.4% QoQ 2% YoY 16% YoY 3% QoQ 3% YoY 17% YoY 7% QoQ 37% YoY - Unchanged
1,029 878 977 905 998 945 898 807 947 912
1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 2017 2018
1,382 1,226 1,377 1,353 1,428 1,379 1,248 1,032 1,334 1,272
1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 2017 2018 12
Petrochemical Spread
200 170 159 109 137 115 121 119 159 123
1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 2017 2018
591 544 622 626 659 581 550 306 596 526 171 286 201 284 367 427 267 389 235 360
762 830 823 910 1,026 1,008 817 695 831 886
1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 2017 2018 Ethylene-NP HDPE-Ethylene
192 202 182 114 182 164 217 219 172 196
1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 2017 2018
435 296 323 258 406 362 361 369 328 375 228 365 356 363 287 298 256 272 328 278
663 661 679 621 693 660 617 641 656 653
1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 2017 2018 Propylene-NP PP-Propylene
HDPE-Ethylene –Naphtha Spread PP-Propylene –Naphtha Spread MX – Naphtha Spread Toluene – Naphtha Spread PS –Naphtha Spread ABS –Naphtha Spread
Olefins Styrenics Aromatics
+ Continuously increasing demand from pipe production especially China
QoQ 15% QoQ 4% QoQ 2% QoQ 10% QoQ 17% QoQ 1% YoY 7% YoY 23% YoY 5% YoY - Stable YoY 14% YoY 4%
- Soften demand from China as the
U.S. – China trade war concerns + Decrease addition supply
- Trade War : between the U.S. and
China YoY
YoY YoY YoY YoY YoY
- Soften demand following lower
gasoline demand $/TON $/TON $/TON $/TON $/TON $/TON + Higher demand to be feedstock for PX
- Weaken demand from trade
war (U.S. VS China)
- “Single use plastic” Ban
13
Petrochemical Group
2018: dropped PTF as the decline in petchem. spread vs better product yield after projects completion 4Q18 : Maintained high PTF though weaken products spread
Production PTF Sales Volume and Revenue
172 176 176 631 728 276 275 278 952 1,107 448 451 454 1,583 1,835 4Q17 3Q18 4Q18 2017 2018 Olefins & Polyolefins Aromatics & Styrenics QoQ 1% QoQ 8% Revenue (MB) 4Q17 3Q18 4Q18 2017 2018 YoY 1% YoY 2% 17,054 19,058 17,475 59,728 72,740 10,342 11,495 10,815 35,044 43,980 6,712 7,563 6,660 24,684 28,760 YoY 16% YoY 22% Petrochem Olefins Aromaitcs & Styrenics Unit : KMT
2018 : Petrochemical revenue was Bt 73 bn
- YoY : 22% increase from 6% price increase & 16% volume increase
(major TA in 1Q17) 2018 Market PTF was $7.3/bbl:
- YoY : $0.9/bbl decrease as lower products spread
4Q18 : Petrochemical revenue was Bt 17 bn
- QoQ : 8% decrease from 9% price decrease vs 1% vol. increase
- YoY : 2% increase from 1% price increase & 1% volume increase
4Q18 Market PTF was $7.1/bbl:
- QoQ : $0.1/bbl increase as better sales performance despite soften
products spread
- YoY : $0.7/bbl decrease as lower products spread
2.7 2.7 2.6 3.0 2.6 5.1 4.3 4.5 5.2 4.7 7.8 7.0 7.1 8.3 7.3 4Q17 3Q18 4Q18 2017 2018 Olefins & Polyolefins Aromatics & Styrenics Crude intake (Mbbl) Unit : $/bbl 97 87 103 350 400 3 6 5 12 19 84 86 88 313 338 88 62 76 317 295 199 202 215 600 807 471 443 488 1,591 1,860 4Q17 3Q18 4Q18 2017 2018 Polyolefins Olefins Polystyrenics Styrenics Aromatics Unit : KMT 19.1 18.7 19.1 65.5 76.1 Sales Volume Unit : MB YoY 4% QoQ 10% YoY 17% YoY 9% QoQ 1% YoY 12%
437 517 507 1,629 1,947 251 279 284 916 1,034 54 64 62 196 245
742 860 853 2,741 3,226 4Q17 3Q18 4Q18 2017 2018 Other Steam Electricity 14
Power & Utility
2018: Increasing revenue of Power & UT resulted from high production vol. after major TA 4Q18 : Higher U-Rate QoQ due to RDCC & Hyvahl shutdown during 3Q18
Utilization Rate GIM Revenue
QoQ 1% YoY 15% YoY 18%
2018 U-Rate of Electricity was 79%; 4% 2018 U-Rate of Steam was 79%; 6%
- YoY : increase from higher production volume after major TA in 1Q17
2018 : Power & Utility revenue was 3,226 MB
- YoY : 18% increase from higher U-Rate
4Q18 U-Rate of Electricity was 80%; 4% 4Q18 U-Rate of Steam was 83%; 7%
- QoQ : increase from lower usage of both electricity and steam amid the
RDCC & Hyvahl planned shutdown during 3Q18 4Q18 : Power & Utility revenue was 853 MB
- QoQ : 1% decrease from 1% vol. decrease
- YoY : 15% increase owing to planned maintenance of power plant in
4Q17
1.0 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.1 4Q17 3Q18 4Q18 2017 2018 Power & Utility Unit : $/bbl
Unit : MB
76% 76% 80% 75% 79% 4Q17 3Q18 4Q18 2017 2018 Electricity 79% 76% 83% 73% 79% 4Q17 3Q18 4Q18 2017 2018 Steam YoY 10% QoQ - Unchanged YoY 10% YoY 4% QoQ 7% YoY 6% YoY 4% QoQ 4% YoY 4%
2.7 2.7 2.6 3.0 2.6 5.1 4.3 4.5 5.2 4.7 7.8 7.0 7.1 8.3 7.3 Aromatics&Styrenics Olefins 14.3 12.4 14.1 14.5 13.6 3.3 1.6 (7.4) 1.7 (0.5) (0.4) 0.1 (0.1) (0.7) 0.0 17.2 14.1 6.6 15.5 13.1 Market GIM Stk G/(L) & LCM Hedging 5.5 4.3 5.9 5.2 5.2 7.8 7.0 7.1 8.3 7.3 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.1 14.3 12.4 14.1 14.5 13.6 Petroleum Petrochem Power & Utility 3.8 2.9 4.4 3.1 3.5 1.8 1.5 1.6 2.1 1.7 5.5 4.3 5.9 5.2 5.2 4Q17 3Q18 4Q18 2017 2018 Refinery Lube Base 3,493 2,681 3,732 11,663 12,858 4,911 4,312 4,469 18,443 18,085 632 674 678 2,264 2,663 9,036 7,667 8,879 32,370 33,607 4Q17 3Q18 4Q18 2017 2018 9,036 7,667 8,879 32,370 33,607 2,059 1,017 (4,650) 3,720 (1,268) (231) 54 (78) (1,452) 30 10,864 8,738 4,151 34,638 32,370 4Q17 3Q18 4Q18 2017 2018
Market GIM
Unit: $/bbl
Accounting GIM
Unit: $/bbl Unit: MB
Market GIM by business
Unit: $/bbl Petrochemical Petroleum Unit: MB
15
Gross Integrated Margin (GIM)
2018: Higher crude premium & stock loss caused lower Acc. GIM 4Q18: High stock loss as a sharply decline in crude oil price VS better MKT GIM
YoY 1% QoQ 14% YoY 6% YoY 62% YoY 15% QoQ 53%
Accounting GIM
2018 Acct GIM was $13.1/bbl: $2.4/bbl from 2017 due to $1.5 higher stock loss and $0.9/bbl lower of market GIM 4Q18 Acct GIM was $6.6/bbl
- QoQ: $7.5/bbl due to $9.2/bbl higher stock loss VS $1.7/bbl higher market GIM
- YoY: $10.6/bbl due to $10.4/bbl higher stock loss and $0.2/bbl lower market GIM
Market GIM
2018 Market GIM was $13.6/bbl: $0.9/bbl from 2017
- Due to higher crude premium and lower products spread offsetting by better
product yield after the COD of projects 4Q18 Market GIM was $14.1/bbl,
- QoQ: $1.7/bbl due to resuming operation of Hyvahl and RDCC units
- YoY: $0.2/bbl due to higher crude premium VS better product yield
YoY 2% QoQ 16% YoY 4% YoY 62% YoY 7% QoQ 52%
Performance by Business Financial Performance Strategic Direction Y2018 & 4Q18 Highlight
16
2017 2018 2017 2018 Net Sales 197,594 258,919 31% 88.37 104.82 Market GIM 32,370 33,607 4% 14.48 13.60 Stock Gain/(Loss) 3,720 (420) (111)% 1.66 (0.17) LCM 0 (848)
- 0.00 (0.34)
Oil Hedging Gain/(Loss) (1,452) 30 102% (0.65) 0.01 Net Stock Gain/(Loss) 2,268 (1,238) (155)% 1.01 (0.50) Accounting GIM 34,638 32,370 (7)% 15.49 13.10 OPEX + Selling Exp. (15,641) (15,604) 0% (7.00) (6.32) Other Incomes 1,423 1,577 11% 0.64 0.64 EBITDA 20,420 18,344 (10)% 9.14 7.42 Depreciation (7,062) (8,237) (17)% (3.16) (3.33) Cost of Finance (1,983) (2,227) (12)% (0.89) (0.90) FX Gain/(Loss) 764 68 (91)% 0.34 0.03 Impairment Gain/(Loss) 832 296
- 0.37 0.12
Investment Gain/(Loss) 577 680 18% 0.25 0.27 Other Expenses (7) (8) (14)% (0.00)
- Income Tax
(2,181) (1,147) 47% (0.98) (0.46) Net Profit 11,354 7,735 (32)% 5.07 3.14 Unit: $/bbl % Change Unit: MB
17
Financial Highlight: 2018 performance
- 4%
83% 21%
2018
30% 58% 12% 71% 28% 1%
258,919 MB 18,344 MB 7,735 MB
Net Sales
(net excise tax)
EBITDA Net income
Petroleum Petrochemical Utilities and Others
4Q17 3Q18 4Q18 QoQ YoY 4Q17 3Q18 4Q18 Net Sales 58,443 68,831 64,233 (7)% 10% 92.66 111.15 102.02 Market GIM 9,036 7,667 8,879 16% (2)% 14.33 12.37 14.09 Stock Gain/(Loss) 2,058 1,017 (3,809) (475)% (285)% 3.26 1.64 (6.05) LCM 1
- (841)
- 0.00
- (1.34)
Oil Hedging Gain/(Loss) (231) 54 (78) (244)% 66% (0.37) 0.09 (0.12) Net Stock Gain/(Loss) 1,828 1,070 (4,728) (542)% (359)% 2.90 1.73 (7.51) Accounting GIM 10,864 8,738 4,151 (52)% (62)% 17.22 14.10 6.58 OPEX + Selling Exp. (4,637) (3,850) (4,050) (5)% 13% (7.35) (6.22) (6.43) Other Incomes 303 371 432 16% 43% 0.48 0.60 0.69 EBITDA 6,530 5,258 534 (90)% (92)% 10.35 8.48 0.84 Depreciation (2,024) (2,046) (2,105) (3)% (4)% (3.21) (3.30) (3.34) Cost of Finance (194) (500) (818) (64)% (322)% (0.31) (0.81) (1.30) FX Gain/(Loss) 87 57 (14) (124)% (116)% 0.14 0.09 (0.02) Impairment Gain/(Loss) 594 (5) 250
- (58)%
0.94 (0.01) 0.40 Investment Gain/(Loss) 256 203 105 (48)% (59)% 0.41 0.33 0.17 Other Expenses 2 (2) (6) (167)% (388)% 0.00 (0.00) (0.01) Income Tax (736) (395) 435 210% 159% (1.17) (0.64) 0.69 Net Profit 4,513 2,560 (1,627) (164)% (136)% 7.15 4.12 (2.58)
Unit: $/bbl
Unit: MB % Change
18
Financial Highlight: 4Q18 performance
4Q18
- 43%
41% 16% 72% 27% 1%
64,233 MB 534 MB
- 163%
33% 31%
(1,627) MB
Net Sales
(net excise tax)
EBITDA Net income
Petroleum Petrochemical Utilities and Others
11,354 8,859
69 5,162 364 1,619 1,510 38 669 843 1,890 3,227 2,960 1,300 1,706 1,065 59
8,621 7,735
19
Operating Net Income: 2017 vs 2018
Increasing U-Rate plus product yield improvement to counter with high crude premium
Uncontrolled Controlled
Operating Income 3% 11,354 7,735 8,621 8,859
Unit: MB
Net Income 2018 (effective Tax rate = 14%) Net Income 2017 (effective tax rate = 17%) Volume Increase Margin Increase Income Tax Decrease OPEX + Selling Exp. Others (Depre/ FX loan/ Take quity) Stock Gain & Hedging +LCM
- FX. Effect
Non Operating Items Operating Income 2017 Non Operating Items Operating Income 2018 Crude Premium Stock Loss & Hedging +LCM Fuel Loss & Internal Used Controllable UHV+ PPE+ PPC Everest + E4E Fuel Loss & Internal Used
20
Operating Net Income: 3Q18 vs 4Q18
Operating NI improvement driven by the resumption of RDCC after planned shutdown in 3Q18
Operating Income 40% 2,560 (1,627) 1,632 2,285
Unit: MB
2,560 2,285
525 91 102 26 471 297
- 928
267 32 200 282 78 130
1,632
Net Income 4Q18 (Tax rate = 20%) Net Income 3Q18 (effective tax rate = 13%) Volume Increase Margin Increase Income Tax Increase OPEX + Selling Exp. Others Stock Gain & Hedging +LCM
- FX. Effect
Non Operating Items Operating Income 3Q18 Non Operating Items Operating Income 4Q18 Crude Premium Stock Loss & Hedging +LCM Fuel Loss & Internal Used UHV +PPE +PPC Everest + E4E
(1,627)
Controlled Fuel Loss & Internal Used Controllable
3,782
Uncontrolled
128,324 125,965 8,637 9,852 45,438 44,291 2,145 2,338 87,650 87,380 2,378 2,609 55,812 50,665 38,704 41,792 0.96 1.00 0.95 4Q17 3Q18 4Q18 0.96 0.95 2017 2018 0.65 0.69 0.63 4Q17 3Q18 4Q18 0.65 0.63 2017 2018 3,735 6,360 6,439 6,439 10,980
- 1,939
- 1,293
3,231 3,364
- 6,887
- 7,099
8,298 13,326 7,731 14,211 2019 2020 2021 2022 >2023 THB Bond USD Loan THB Loan
ST Loan 12% LT Loan (USD) 11% LT Loan (THB) 59% Bond (THB) 18%
Financial Position
Lower net debt due to high operating cash flow and less CAPEX
Maturity of Long-term Debt
Debt Profile Statements of Financial Position Cash Flow
Unit : MB Remark: Long-term debt as at 31 Dec 2018 Unit: MB PP&E Other Non-C/A Cash Other Current Liabilities LT Liabilities incl. current port. Shareholders’ Equity
- Dec. 2018
- Dec. 2017
Other CA Other Non- Current Liabilities Beginning Cash 1 Jan 2018 Ending Cash 31 Dec 2018 Cash Flow from Operating Unit: MB Cash Flow from Investing Cash Flow from Financing
Net Debt = 55,028 MB
- Ex. Rate = 32.61 Baht/$
Financial Ratios
< 1.0x
Net D/E CA/CL
21 184,544 182,446
1%
Interest Rate Currency Float 82% THB 62% Fixed 18% USD 38%
Performance by Business Financial Performance Strategic Direction Y2018 & 4Q18 Highlight
22
23
Leading Integrated Petrochemical Complex in Asia by 2020
Power of Growth
G
Power of Digital
D
Power of People
P
Incremental Margin and Organization Health
- Capability Building
- Owner mindset & Performance
Orientation
- Cultural Changes
Propylene (UHV) 412 KTA 732 KTA Capacity Before After PP (PPE-PPC) 475 KTA 775 KTA Capacity Before After Fully Integrated PP
Margin Improvement
- Operational Excellence
- Commercial Excellence
- Procurement & HR Excellence
Benefit +135 MUSD
Other Projects Completion
- Operational Efficiency Improvement
- Asset Utilization Enhancement
- Product and Service Improvement
- Capacity and Products Expansion
CHP I
- Electricity
- Steam
PRP EBSM 108 MW 200 T/hr 312 KTA 200 KTA 328 MW 620 T/hr 412 KTA 260 KTA Capacity Before After
BIG
Revenue Growth : 5% EBITDA Growth : 10% 1st Quartile ROIC in Petroleum and Petrochemical Industry
STRONG LONG
Member of DJSI Emerging Markets Universe
2010 2014 2016
2018
2020
ROIC 14%
24
GDP: From Aspiration to Execution
Power Three : 3 Pillars for achieve Top Quartile in 2020
Power of Digital Power of People
Truly embed and live the IRPC DNA Develop next generation of Top 30 leaders Continue to establish lean, fit-for-purpose
- rganization
P
Power of Growth
Maximum aromatics for competitiveness Growth by M&A Everest forever for sustainable growth Drive R&D excellence
G
100
MUSD
100
MUSD
OPS 4.0
Smart Operation (AI)
ISC 4.0
Integrated Supply Chain
CCM 4.0
Customer Centric Digital
ERP 4.0
ERP Transformation
PRO 4.0
Lean procurement
100
MUSD
D
MARS - Maximum Aromatics
Reformer Benzene 300-500 KTA Paraxylene 1,000-1,300 KTA Naphtha PX Project: Aromatic Complex
Internal use & Export Export
Naphtha Treating unit HCN Toluene, Xylene, HA
Internal use & Export Other Products:
LPG, Raffinate, Raw Hydrogen, Fuel Gas
200 KTA
CAPEX: $1.1 bn - $1.3 bn IRR 14%-16% Petrochemical Yield 17%
Existing + UHV
Petrochemical Yield 27%
>>
Key Rational
- Utilize excess Naphtha
/Toluene/Xylene as feedstock to maximize PX and BZ products
- Cost competitiveness
thru new technology
- Affirmed PX demand growth:
CAGR: 4% - 5%
G
Maximum Aromatic Project : MARS
To increase Petrochemical Yield
COD: 1Q23 Feasibility study and Technology selection Basic Engineer Design Package/FEED Construction
2023 2019 2017 2020 2018
EPC BOD acknowledged on project economics Early 2019 BOD final approval on EPC Bidding by mid 2019
25
26
M&A under “Galaxy” project
Investment in plastic product E-commerce business
- Company: Guangzhao Saiju Performance Polymer Ltd (GZSJ), China
- Business: E-commerce platform for variety of plastic products under
“IPLAS” platform
- Website: www.isuwang.com & www.suwen8.com
- Investment size: ~ 650 MB
E-commerce Platform – in China
Provide market place for supplier and buyer focusing in SME Service logistic as option for buyers and be included in prices Service credit term thru interest charged in prices Provide Technical service solution by the experts
E-commerce Platform : one stop service provider
- Company: iPolymer Company Limited
- Business: E-commerce platform in Thailand focusing in plastic and
chemical products
- Investment size: ~ 120 MB
E-commerce Platform – in Thailand
1
New market and distribution Big data analytic Leverage know-how
Benefit
GZSJ
15% 45% 55% iPolymer Ltd.
Shareholding Structure
1 2
(IPLAS Platform)
Founder & Others
85%
2
G
- Company: 2DM Materials Pte. Ltd. In SG
- Business: Investment size: ~ 47 MB
- Shareholding Structure
- Founders
63%
- IRPC (new shares) 20%
- Others
17%
M&A under “Galaxy” project
Marina Project : Step into “advance material” to add more specialties
27
Investment Profile Strategic Intent
- First mover in the advance material
“Graphene”
- Co-creation with existing project for new
market
- Secure and shorten New S-curve
product development 2D honeycomb arrangement of carbon atoms
What is Graphene?
Electric Vehicles
- Short and sharp bursts
- f energy
Advanced Batteries
- Increase efficiency and life
span Food Packaging
- Good O2, H2O barriers
Water Purification
- 99% contaminant removal
Aerospace
- Decrease weight
Ship Coating
- Prevent rusting
Application of Graphene
Energy Storage Membranes Composites & Coating
AFM: monolayer graphene Height ~ 0.8 nm.
With Unique Properties;
200X Stronger than steel Bendy & High transparency Thinnest imaginable material High electrical & thermal conductivity
G
IRPC 4.0 : €KON$
Online monitoring economics platform
28
Economics visualized real-time in the control room Management reports on performance against targets Globally accessible web platform for all IRPC
Objectives:
- Margin improvement through real-time
understanding of economic implications
- Optimized trade-off decisions across operational
parameters and closer tracking of targets
Benefit : ~ 30 M$/year Timeline : May 2018 – May 2019
1st Wave: Basic Refinery ~ 5 months (11 Units) 2nd Wave: Basic Petrochemical & Specialist ~ 4 months (13 Units) 3rd Wave: Derivative Petrochemical ~ 4 months (13 Units)
Key Features
A tool optimizes key economics through refinery & petrochemical operations
D
29
CAPEX Plan in 2019 – 2023
Bt 71 bn committed CAPEX
2,878 2,481 2,912 2,743 4,782 2,821 64 1,924 387 188 4,034 9,532 16,256 10,765 616 389 642 533 4,103 3,314 2,327 2,235 723 108 83 49
5,846 11,316 14,087 23,210 18,944 3,486
2018A 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
General & Maintenance Project E4E, IRPC 4.0 MARS project Strategic Investment Projects Others Unit: MB
15,739 , 22% 2,311 , 3% 41,203 , 58% 8,592 , 12% 3,198 , 5%
IRPC 5 year CAPEX Plan
General & Maintenance Project E4E, IRPC 4.0 Others Total 71,043 MB
Strategic Investment Projects
MARS Project
* Excluding capex for investment opportunities of Bt 34 bn
*
0.27 0.31 0.19
- 0.04
0.04
- 0.26
0.46 0.48 0.56 0.38
0.18 0.18 0.12 0.08 0.10 0.08 0.22 0.23 0.29 0.10 0.09
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
EPS Year Dividend 1H Dividend 2H Dividend 30
Dividend Policy & Payment
IRPC is firmly committed to pay dividend at no less than 25% of net income
67% 58% 63% 25% 25% 25% 48% 48% 52% 50%
Dividend Yield 4.1% 2.8% 2.9% 1.9% 3.1% 2.6% 5.1% 4.8% 4.1% 3.3% Share Price 2 4.38 6.50 4.08 4.12 3.26 3.06 4.30 4.80 7.05 5.75
IRPC pay at 48-67% payout ratio with average dividend yield of 3.5%
Dividend Payout Unit: THB/Share
- Div. Policy ≥ 25%
Note: 1 2H18 Dividend is subject to the approval of the Company’s Annual General Meeting of shareholders for the year 2019
2 Closing price at the end of period
N.A. N.A. N.A.
1
Thank You
This presentation material has been prepared solely for informational purposes only. IRPC is furnishing it solely for use by prospective investors / analysts in the proposed event. IRPC makes no representations or warranties as to the accuracy or completeness of such information. By accepting this material each recipient agrees that IRPC shall not have any liability for any representations (express or implied) contained in, or for any omissions from this presentation. The information contained herein does not purport to be all-inclusive or to contain all of the Information that may be material to the recipient’s decision. Each recipient of the information and data contained herein should perform its own independent investigation and analysis of the transaction and the creditworthiness of IRPC . Reference in this Disclaimer to this shall include references to the Appendices (if any) hereto.
Investor Relations Contact: ir@irpc.co.th
- Tel. +662-765-7380, Fax. +662-765-7379