FIRST QUANTUM MINERALS Fourth Quarter 2019 CAUTIONARY STATEMENT ON - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
FIRST QUANTUM MINERALS Fourth Quarter 2019 CAUTIONARY STATEMENT ON - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
FIRST QUANTUM MINERALS Fourth Quarter 2019 CAUTIONARY STATEMENT ON FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION Certain statements and information herein, including all statements that are not historical facts, contain forward-looking statements and forward-
CAUTIONARY STATEMENT ON FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION
Certain statements and information herein, including all statements that are not historical facts, contain forward-looking statements and forward- looking information within the meaning of applicable securities laws. The forward-looking statements include estimates, forecasts and statements as to the Company’s expectations of production and sales volumes, and expected timing of completion of project development at Enterprise and post completion of construction activity at Cobre Panama and are subject to the impact of ore grades on future production, the potential of production disruptions (including at Cobre Las Cruces as a result of the land slippage in January 2019), capital expenditure and mine production costs, the outcome of mine permitting, other required permitting, the outcome of legal proceedings which involve the Company, information with respect to the future price of copper, gold, silver, nickel, zinc, pyrite, cobalt, iron and sulphuric acid, estimated mineral reserves and mineral resources, First Quantum’s exploration and development program, estimated future expenses, exploration and development capital requirements, the Company’s hedging policy, and goals and strategies. Often, but not always, forward-looking statements or information can be identified by the use of words such as “plans”, “expects” or “does not expect”, “is expected”, “budget”, “scheduled”, “estimates”, “forecasts”, “intends”, “anticipates”
- r “does not anticipate” or “believes” or variations of such words and phrases or statements that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”,
“would”, “might” or “will” be taken, occur or be achieved. With respect to forward-looking statements and information contained herein, the Company has made numerous assumptions including among
- ther things, assumptions about continuing production at all operating facilities, the price of copper, gold, silver, nickel, zinc, pyrite, cobalt, iron
and sulphuric acid, anticipated costs and expenditures and the ability to achieve the Company’s goals. Forward-looking statements and information by their nature are based on assumptions and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements, or industry results, to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements or information. These factors include, but are not limited to, future production volumes and costs, the temporary or permanent closure of uneconomic operations, costs for inputs such as oil, power and sulphur, political stability in Zambia, Peru, Mauritania, Finland, Spain, Turkey, Panama, Argentina and Australia, adverse weather conditions in Zambia, Finland, Spain, Turkey, Mauritania and Panama, labour disruptions, potential social and environmental challenges (including the impact of climate change), power supply, mechanical failures, water supply, procurement and delivery of parts and supplies to the operations, the production of off-spec material and events generally impacting global economic, political and social stability. See the Company’s Annual Information Form for additional information on risks, uncertainties and other factors relating to the forward-looking statements and information. Although the Company has attempted to identify factors that would cause actual actions, events or results to differ materially from those disclosed in the forward-looking statements or information, there may be other factors that cause actual results, performances, achievements or events not to be anticipated, estimated or intended. Also, many of these factors are beyond First Quantum’s
- control. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements or information. The Company undertakes no
- bligation to reissue or update forward-looking statements or information as a result of new information or events after the date hereof except as
may be required by law. All forward-looking statements and information made herein are qualified by this cautionary statement.
2
President and Director
Clive Newall
3
TSX:FM 4
2019 – A TRANSFORMATIVE YEAR
- Cobre Panama from first ore to commercial
production in less than seven months
- Another quarterly copper production record
- Record annual copper production
- Low cost structure maintained through the year
FINANCIAL REVIEW
Chief Financial Officer
Hannes Meyer
6
OV OVERVIEW
TSX TSX: FM FM
February 14, 2020
2019 2019 has b been een a a transformative y year f for the C Company, w wit ith C Cobre Pa Panama, reachin ing comme mmercial pr produc uction n ahe head of sche hedule. In 2020 2020 capital expenditure is expecte ted to d to decrease c com
- mpared t
to
- the p
prior
- r seven
years, w with t the f focus n now on de dele leveraging t the ba balance sh sheet. Greatly a advanced o
- ur vis
isio ion t to b be a leading c copper-focused m metals a and m mining com
- mpany.
Continue to to manage o
- ur capita
tal l st structu ture, assess our liq iquid idity a and f fin inancing sources. January 2020 r refin inancin ing w was c consis istent w wit ith t this is s strategy. Further ma r managed our com
- mmod
- dity r
risk a and cash flow s stability, a approximately a a third
- f expe
pected c coppe pper s sales in n the he f first ha half o
- f 2020, a
are he hedged. The 1 e 12-month L Lost T Time Inj Injur ury F Frequ quency Rate was 0.05 0.05 p per 200,0 200,000 h hours wor
- rked
(2018 2018: 0.06) 0.06).
7
DELIVER ERING O ON GRO ROWTH TH
Growing copper production
16% i % inc ncrease i in n pr production v n vs 2 2018
Additional gold production
39% % inc ncrease i in n pr produc uction v n vs 2018
Geographical diversification
Over a third of 2020 c 2020 copper a and go gold productio ion e expec ected ed f from Co Cobre e Pan anam ama
Successful Cobre Panama ramp up
Co Commer ercia ial p productio ion a achie ieved ed ahe head o
- f sche
hedul ule a and nd ful ull y year c copp pper production
- n of
- f 147kt
kt
TSX TSX: FM FM
February 14, 2020 8
428 8 53 539 9 57 574 4 60 606 6 70 702 2 83 830 FY15 15 FY16 16 FY17 17 FY18 18 FY19 19 202 2020 '000 T 000 Tonnes
Annua nnual c copp pper pr production
830 -880
February 14, 2020
PRODUCT UCTION1,2
,2
Record qua quarterly c coppe pper pr production up up 29%
- n Q4
4 2018, 2018, a and 16% 16% o
- n 2018
2018
Co Cobre e Pan anam ama a suc uccessful ully r rampe ped up up in n the he y year, inc nclud uding ng the he declaration o n of commercial pr produc uction n from Se September 1, 1, 2019 2019 a and t the 8th
th mil
ill comin ing o
- n
lin ine in in mid id-Dec ecem ember er. Record
- rd q
quarterl rly coppe pper pr produc uction o n of 204k 204kt, , attribu buta tabl ble to to Cobr bre Panama c contribu buti tion o
- f 60kt.
Annua nnual c coppe pper pr produc uction n withi hin n gui uidanc nce r rang nge.
TSX TSX: FM FM
1 Production is presented on a copper contained basis. 2 Total full year 2019 copper production includes 67,704 tonnes of pre-commercial production from Cobre Panama.
62 62 54 54 59 59 59 59 61 61 61 61 58 58 55 55 56 56 51 51 35 35 25 25 23 23 22 22 32 32 31 31 56 56 60 60 158 158 137 137 168 168 193 193 204 204
Q4 201 2018 Q1 201 2019 Q2 201 2019 Q3 201 2019 Q4 201 2019 '00 000 T Tonnes
Quart rterl rly c copper p r pro roduction
Kans nsans nshi hi Sent ntine nel Ot Other Cobre P Pan anam ama
Total f l full l year gold ld production
- n of
- f 257k
257koz wa was 39% hi % highe her t tha han n in n 2018. R . Refl flec ectin ing Co Cobre e Pana nama’s c cont ntribut ution o n of 60k 60koz and nd in increa eased ed gold pr produc uction a n at Kans nsanshi hi.
9
Comparative E EBITDA f for t the q quar arter of
- f $511
$511m i is $30m hi highe her t tha han t the he c comparable le qua quarter o
- f
2018 2018, r reflecting: $136m c comparati tive EBITDA c contr tributi tion fro rom C Cobre re Pa Panama 8% reduction i in net r real alized copper prices. s. Comparative e ear arnings p per shar are o
- f $
$0.0 .05 i is $0.2 .21 l lower t than an the c comparable q quar arter of 2018 2018, impacted b by: Net i interest e exp xpense of $187 $187m, of wh which a a si signi nificant po portion t tha hat w would uld pr previously ha have b been capi pitali lized b but ut is s no now expe pensed foll llowing ng d decla laration o n of c commercial production at at Cobre P Pan anam ama.
FINANC NANCIAL AL O OVERVIEW
Q4 2 2019 c compa parati tive E EBIT ITDA1,2
,2 of $511m up
up 6% o
- n
n the the comparable qua quarte ter o
- f 2018, d
despi pite te lower c r copper p r pri rice
1 Pre-commercial production sales revenues and operating costs attributable to Cobre Panama are capitalized and are excluded from revenue and earnings. 2 Earnings attributable to shareholders of the Company and EBITDA have been adjusted to exclude items which are not reflective of underlying performance to arrive at comparative earnings and comparative- EBITDA. For further detail on the comparative EBITDA and earnings refer to the appendix.
TSX TSX: FM FM
February 14, 2020 10
Revenue1 1,054 987 1,284 3,966 4,067 Gross Profit1 280 150 259 978 790 Comparative EBITDA1,2 481 354 511 1,737 1,609 Comparative Earnings1,2 182 32 35 487 249 Comparative EPS $ 0.26 0.05 0.05 0.71 0.36 Net Debt (6,497) (7,579) (7,675) (6,497) (7,675) $ million (except per share
numbers)
2019 FY 2018 FY Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q4 2018
FINANC NANCIAL ALS
Highe her und underlying compa parative E EBIT BITDA1,2
1,2
TSX TSX: FM FM
February 14, 2020
¹ Comparative EBITDA is not a GAAP measure, a reconciliation to GAAP is presented in the appendix. ² Underlying comparative EBITDA is shown after impact of market metal prices and foreign exchange movements on operating costs.
Four urth qua quarter
Ful ull y l year
11
C1 cos
- st f
for
- r t
the quarter i is broa
- adly in line w
with Q4 2018 d des espite l e lower er p production at S Sen entinel. The e C1 cost includes the he i impa pact o
- f a ful
ull qua quarter o
- f com
- mmercial p
prod
- duction a
at C Cob
- bre
Pa Panama of $1.28/lb lb. .
QUARTER ERLY U UNIT CASH C COST STS
Q4 2019 2019 a and F Full Year C1 C1 cost¹ and nd A AIS ISC¹ comforta tably wi withi thin f ful ull y year g gui uidance
AIS AISC i in n the he qua quarter w was i impa pacted b by t the he de deferred stripping a activity a at C Cobr bre Pa Panama, as as well as as the h high gher Z Zam ambian r royalty r rat ate. Mit itig igated by lower s sustain inin ing c capit ital exp xpenditure at at K Kan ansanshi an and L Las as Cruces. AIS AISC includes AISC f for
- r C
Cob
- bre P
Panama of $1.85 1.85/lb for
- r the q
quarter.
1 Excluding purchases of copper concentrate from third parties treated through the Kansanshi smelter.
TSX TSX: FM FM
February 14, 2020
C1 C1 c cos
- sts
AI AISC SC
12
COPPER H PER HEDGING PROGRAM AM OUTLOOK OOK¹
Approximate ately a third o
- f ex
expec ected ed copper sa sales i es in the f e first h half o
- f 2020 are
e hedg edged, a at a an aver erage f e floor p price ce of $2.71/lb, ex excee ceedi ding the cu e current m market et p price ce
¹ Hedging outlook as at February 14, 2020.
TSX TSX: FM FM
February 14, 2020
The Company also has unmargined nickel forward sales contracts for 12,046 tonnes at an average price of $6.77 per lb outstanding with maturities to February 2021.
13
DEBT AND L LIQ IQUIDIT IDITY P PROFIL ILE
Covenant R Ratio
- On J
Januar nuary 1 13th
th 2020,
020, t the C Company i issued an a additional nal $ $500m a aggregate p princ ncipal al amou
- unt of
- f 7.25% S
Senior
- r N
Not
- tes d
due 2 2023 a and an a additional nal $ $250m a aggregate p princ ncipal al amou
- unt of
- f 7.50% S
Senior
- r N
Not
- tes d
due 2 2025.
- The No
e Notes r rep epresent a an a additional o
- ffer
ering t to
- the C
Company’s e existing 2 2023 a 023 and 2 2025 025 Sen enior No Notes.
- The C
e Company issue ued no notice t to use the procee eeds t to
- redeem i
in n ful ull t the o
- ut
utstanding $300 m million
- n of
- f 7.00%
00% Senior
- r N
Not
- tes d
due Februar uary 2 2021, , and d to r rep epay $450 m 450 million o
- f
amounts o
- ut
utstanding und under t the he Compan pany’s revolv lving credi dit f facil ilit ity. Net Net d deb ebt/EBITDA c covenant r ratio a
- at D
Dec ecember 31, 2 2019 o 019 of 4.73x 73x, w well b below c covenant requirem remen ent o
- f 5.75x.
TSX TSX: FM FM
February 14, 2020
354 354 850 850 1, 1,100 100 850 850 1, 1,100 100 1, 1,000 000 500 500 250 250 450 50 450 50 600 600 500 500
80 804 4 450 50 1,950 950 1,600 600 850 850 1,350 350 1,000 000
20 2020 20 20 2021 21 20 2022 22 20 2023 23 20 2024 24 20 2025 25 20 2026 26
$ milli llions
Kalum umbila t term loan a and nd e equ quipm pment f fina nanc ncing ng Senior
- r N
Not
- tes
Bond " "Tap Tap" 20 2019 19 T Term l loan RC RCF 354 354 300 300 850 850 1, 1,100 100 850 850 1, 1,100 100 1, 1,000 000 450 50 450 50 600 600 950 950
80 804 4 750 750 2,400 00 1,100 100 850 850 1,100 100 1,000 000
20 2020 20 20 2021 21 20 2022 22 20 2023 23 20 2024 24 20 2025 25 20 2026 26
$ milli llions
January 2020 2020 R Refinancing
At D December 31, 31, 2019 2019 Pro ro forma debt p pro rofile
14
CAPITA TAL EXPEN ENDITU TURE1
TSX TSX: FM FM
February 14, 2020
Ca Capi pital e expe pend nditur ure o
- n
n Cobre P Panama 85MTPA d development pr project2 wa was compl pleted, i in n the he qua quarter, allowing ng t the he Compa pany t to focus us o
- n
n deleveraging ng the he balance s e sheet et.
1,332 697 568 644 600 600 600 136 205 250 250 250 2,036 1,546 850 850 850 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 $ million
Cobre Panama Development Sustaining Capital & Other Projects Capitalized Stripping
¹ Pre-commercial results have been excluded ($107m loss in 2018 and $91m profit in 2019).
2 The molybdenum plant is expected to be commissioned in 2020 and associated capital expenditure of approximately $12m is included in total capital
expenditure guidance. 15
AP APPENDIX IX
TSX TSX: FM FM
35% 54% 11%
Guidance2 2020
Panama Zambia Other
2020 – 202 2022 GUI UIDANCE
Production G n Guidanc ance¹ 2020 020 202 2021 202 2022
Copper (‘000 tonnes) 830 – 880 800 – 850 800 – 850 Gold (‘000 ounces) 280 – 300 280 – 300 280 – 300 Nickel (‘000 tonnes) 15 - 20 25 - 28 25 - 28 TSX TSX: FM FM
February 14, 2020 ¹ Production is presented on a copper contained basis.
2 Mid point of guidance range used for presentational purposes.
³ Guidance on C1 and AISC is not given in year of ramp-up from care and maintenance. ⁴ Depreciation is impacted by production at operations.
Cost Guida idance 2020 020 202 2021 202 2022
Copper C1 ($ per lb) 1.20 – 1.40 1.20 – 1.40 1.20 – 1.40 Copper AISC ($ per lb) 1.70 – 1.85 1.70 – 1.85 1.70 – 1.85 Nickel C1 ($ per lb)³
- 4.60 – 4.80
4.60 – 4.80 Nickel AISC ($ per lb)³
- 5.10 – 5.40
5.10 – 5.40 Total Depreciation⁴ ($m) 1,300 – 1,350 Cobre Panama Depreciation⁴ ($m)
- Approx. 500
21% 64% 15%
Production 2019
Progr gressing g g geogr
- graphic
ic div iversif ific ication
- n
17
202 2020 GUI UIDANCE
TSX TSX: FM FM
February 14, 2020
Tax
Excluding Cobre Panama, the impact of the changes to the Zambian mining tax regime, and the impact of interest expense, the effective tax rate for 2020 is expected to be approximately 30%. Excluding these items but including Cobre Panama it is expected to be approximately 15%. Including the impact of the changes to the Zambian mining tax regime, which increased mineral royalties by 1.5% and made them non- deductible for tax purposes, and excluding the impact of interest being expensed following the declaration of commercial production at Cobre Panama, the expected effective rate is approximately 20%.
Int Interest
Interest has largely been capitalized in the period prior to declaration of commercial production at Cobre Panama. Interest expense of $549m was capitalized to the Cobre Panama project for the eight months ended August 31, 2019. From September 1, 2019, the date of declaration of commercial production at Cobre Panama, all interest was expensed to the income statement rather than being capitalized. Net interest expense for the year ended December 31, 2019, was $248m. The majority of the Company’s interest expense is incurred by Canadian entities, where no tax credit is recognized. Interest expense for the full year 2020 is expected to range between $770m and $810m, this includes interest accrued on related party loans to Cobre Panama and a finance cost accreted on the precious metal streaming agreement.
Depreciatio ion
Depreciation expense for the year ended December 31, 2019 was $907m, including Cobre Panama. The full year 2020 depreciation expense is expected to range between $1,300m and $1,350m. The increase from 2019 reflects a full twelve months of depreciation expense from Cobre Panama. Cobre Panama depreciation expense commenced in September 2019 following the declaration of commercial production. The depreciation expense was $113m for the year ended December 31, 2019 and is expected to be approximately $500m for the full year 2020.
18
QUARTE TERL RLY Y NET D DEBT M T MOVEMEN ENT
Open ening N Net et Deb ebt at at September 30, 30, 2019 ( 2019 ($ m $ million) (7, 7,579 579) Comparative EBITDA 511 Working capital (64) Capital expenditure (325) KPMC deferred consideration paid (100) Net interest paid (87) Taxes paid (58) Other 27 Closing N Net t Debt t at at Decemb ember er 3 31, 2019 2019 ($ m mil illio ion) (7, 7,675 75) Net Debt c comp mprised ed of: Net cash & cash equivalents1 1,138 Total debt (including bank overdraft) (8,813) Available committed undrawn debt facilities at December 31, 2019 250
1 Excludes $27m restricted cash.
TSX TSX: FM FM
February 14, 2020 19
NO NON-GAAP M MEASURES R RECONC NCIL ILIATIO ION N – COMPARA RATI TIVE VE EBI BITDA TDA A AND COMPARATI TIVE E VE EARN RNINGS
Q4 Q4 2019 2019 2019 2019 Opera rating p pro rofit 69 69 474 474 Depreciation 290 907 Impairment charges, write-off of assets and other costs associated with the mine interruption at Las Cruces 99 112 Foreign exchange loss 47 96 Loss on disposal of assets and liabilities 1 12 Revisions in estimates of restoration provisions at closed sites 5 8 Comp mparati tive EBI BITDA ( ($ milli lion
- n)
511 511 1, 1,609 609 Q4 Q4 2019 2019 2019 2019 Net los
- ss a
s attributable le t to
- sh
shareholders o
- f t
the C Com
- mpany
(115) 115) (57) 57) Finance charge on discounting Zambian VAT 22 182 Loss on debt instruments 4 23 Total adjustments to comparative EBITDA excluding depreciation 152 228 Tax and minority interest relating to foreign exchange revaluation and comparative adjustments (28) (127) Comp mparati tive earnin ings ( ($ m mil illio ion) 35 35 249 249 TSX TSX: FM FM
February 14, 2020 20
NO NON-GAAP M MEASURES R RECONC NCIL ILIATIO ION N – C1 AN AND AI AISC
($ m mil illio ion) Q4 Q4 2019¹ 2019¹ 2019¹ 2019¹ Cost of sales (1,025) (3,277) Depreciation 290 907 By-product credits 165 464 Royalties 61 219 Treatment and refining charges (58) (164) Freight costs (14) (47) Finished goods 10 56 Other¹ 31 71 C1 C1 Co Cost (540) 540) (1, 1,771) 771) General and administrative expenses (25) (82) Sustaining capital expenditure and deferred stripping (123) (326) Royalties (61) (219) Lease payments (3) (11) AI AISC (752) 752) (2, 2,409) 409) C1 C1 Cost $ $ per l lb¹ 1. 1.24 24 1. 1.31 31 AIS ISC $ $ pe per lb¹ 1. 1.73 73 1. 1.78 78
1 C1 cash cost and AISC exclude third-party concentrate purchased at Kansanshi.
TSX TSX: FM FM
February 14, 2020 21
ZAM ZAMBIAN AN B BUDGET
TSX TSX: FM FM
February 14, 2020
On September 27th the Minister of Finance announced the 2020 Budget. The changes are effective from January 1st 2020.
Further guidance on these changes is still expected and the Company is continuing to refine its assessment of the estimated impact of the proposed changes. The preliminary estimated impact of these changes on 2020 full year Total C1 Cost and AISC is approximately $0.04 per lb. Ta Tax t type Chang ange Sal ales T Tax ax Proposal to introduce sales tax dropped VAT AT 0% Import VAT on capital equipment and machinery for the mining sector No VAT relief for VAT on consumables and spare parts VAT relief for VAT on diesel reduced from 90% to 70% VAT relief for VAT on electricity reduced from 100% to 80% Import D Dut uty 10% import duty on specified capital equipment and machinery imported by mining companies replacing rates of 0% and 5% Income Ta Tax Tax relief for capital spend (capital allowances) to be spread over 5 years rather than 4.
22
info@fqml.com 416-361-6400 1-888-688-6577
FIRST QUANTUM MINERALS
TSX:FM
23