Financial results presentation Q4 FY08: Quarter ended 31 March 2008 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Financial results presentation Q4 FY08: Quarter ended 31 March 2008 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Financial results presentation Q4 FY08: Quarter ended 31 March 2008 FY08: Full Year ended 31 March 2008 14 th May 2008 Forward looking statements - important note The following presentation contains forward looking statements by the
2
Forward looking statements - important note
The following presentation contains forward looking statements by the management of Singapore Telecommunications Limited ("SingTel"), relating to financial trends for future periods, compared to the results for previous periods. Some of the statements contained in this presentation that are not historical facts are statements of future expectations with respect to the financial conditions, results of operations and businesses, and related plans and objectives. Forward looking information is based on management's current views and assumptions including, but not limited to, prevailing economic and market conditions. These statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those in the statements as originally made. Such statements are not, and should not be construed as a representation as to future performance of SingTel. In particular, such targets should not be regarded as a forecast or projection of future performance of SingTel. It should be noted that the actual performance of SingTel may vary significantly from such targets. “S$” means Singapore dollars and "A$" means Australian dollars unless otherwise
- indicated. Any discrepancies between individual amounts and totals are due to
rounding.
Asia’s Leading Communications Company
Chua Sock Koong
Group CEO
Underlying EPS1
- 23.15¢
Group performance Revenue
Group FY08: strong revenue and earnings growth
1. Excludes exceptional items, currency translation gains, exceptional tax items & IDA compensation 2. In A$ terms 3. Group mobile subscribers, including SingTel, Optus and Regional Mobile associates 4. Based on Group’s share of Regional Mobile associates earnings before tax and exceptionals. Also excludes the additional quarter of Globe’s results recorded in Q1 FY07
Singapore Revenue Operational EBITDA Optus Operational EBITDA A$2bn Regional Mobile Customers3 Earnings up4 29% Revenue2 4% 185m 11% 17% 11% 3%
4
5
0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.7 0.9 1.9 1.2 0.8 1.1 1.1 0.7 2.3 3.0 1.5 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Shareholder payout (S$bn)2
Cumulative payout since 20001 82% of NPAT
1. Cash distribution as % of NPAT 2. All dividends paid after the FY07 interim dividends are one-tier exempt dividends without tax credits
S$22bn
Increase in full year ordinary dividend
Total cash distribution per share
Interim dividend
paid Jan 08
5.6¢ 6.9¢
Proposed final dividend
12.5¢ 54%
Payout ratio
Ordinary final dividend Ordinary interim dividend Special dividend Capital reduction
1. Operational EBITDA+IDA compensation+share of results of associates 2. Excludes exceptional items, currency translation gains, exceptional tax items & IDA compensation 6
14.3% 3,219 3,681 Underlying net profit2 25.0% 2,072 2,591 Associates (ex exceptionals) 5.8% 4,282 4,530 Operational EBITDA NM 32.0% 30.5%
- margin
16.9% (44.2%) 4.8% 5.9% NM 11.0% YoY % change 19.81 23.15 Underlying earnings per share2 337
- IDA compensation
185 103 Exceptional Items 3,779 3,960 Net profit 13,377 14,844 Operating revenue 6,692 7,089 EBITDA1 12 months to Mar 07 12 months to Mar 08 S$m
Group FY08: strong earnings growth
7
impressive subscriber growth strong mobile customer acquisitions strong on-net broadband customer growth record growth in mobile subscribers submarine cable investment
7
Group Q4 FY08 highlights
23 % 32% 44%
1. Based on 3 months to Mar 08
244k SingTel Optus Regional Mobile
77 % Proportionate EBITDA1
- utside Singapore
Highlights
135k 14m
Q1 2010
Regional Mobile Optus SingTel
705k
as at Mar 08 completion
1. Operational EBITDA+IDA compensation+share of results of associates 2. Excludes exceptional items, currency translation losses, exceptional tax items & IDA compensation 8
1.7% 1,136 5.4% 1,096 1,155 Operational EBITDA NM 29.7% NM 32.4% 30.7%
- margin
(1.6%) 656 15.1% 561 646 Associates (ex exceptionals) 931 952 1,777
- 3,825
3 months to Dec 07
9.2% 10.5% 4.5% NM 11.0%
YoY % change
3.9% 14.8% 1.3%
- (1.8%)
Sequential % change
886 968 Underlying net profit2 84
- IDA compensation
989 1,093 Net profit 3,384 3,758 Operating revenue 1,723 1,801 EBITDA1
3 months to Mar 07 3 months to Mar 08 S$m
Group Q4 FY08: sustained momentum
SingTel
10
Capex: revenue Capex as % of revenue at low double digit level Revenue S$4,904m Revenue to grow at single-digit level FY08 outcome FY08 Targets Free cash flow (ex associates dividend) to decline slightly Telecoms margin at mid-40% level Overall EBITDA margin at 40% Operational EBITDA (ex strategic initiatives) comparable to previous year Free cash flow S$1,422m Telecoms margin Overall margin S$1,996m
SingTel FY08: exceeded targets
11%
5% 46.5% 40.1%
9%
10%
SingTel: double digit revenue growth
strong telco & IT revenue growth S$1,290m Revenue strong revenue growth offsets higher expenses S$469m Op EBITDA telco margin : higher selling expenses & strategic initiatives IT margin 37.4% Singapore margins1 Highlights YoY Change Q4 FY08 Operating expenses S$835m S&A :increased mobile customer acquisitions & higher unit acquisition / retention costs cost of sales :higher IT & equipment sales staff costs :higher headcount & salary adjustments 12% 18% 1%
11
4% pt 42.5% 12.2%
1. Excludes International Business and Group corporate costs of S$14m
12
SingTel: growth across multiple platforms
growth across telco and IT business 1,290 Total revenue assisted by strong economic performance 156 International telephone higher equipment sales higher satellite revenue 222 Others higher contributions from systems and network integration projects 217 IT & Engineering Highlights YoY Change Revenue (S$ m) Q4 FY08 strong corporate data and broadband growth 356 Data & Internet Mobile 339 strong growth in customer base higher data usage as % of revenue 12% 3% 15% 16% 12% 8%
maintained market leadership
13
Data & Mobile: winning share in growth segments
1. As at 31 Mar 08 2. Unique Wireless@SG customers who do not subscribe to SingTel’s residential broadband services
Broadband - Q4 net adds
19K
Mobile – Q4 net adds
244K
2.33 1.95 1.82 1.77 2.57 2.13 3Q FY07 4Q FY07 1Q FY08 2Q FY08 3Q FY08 4Q FY08 Mobile subs ('m)
207K 37K
Postpaid Q4 Prepaid Q4
$88
postpaid
ARPUs increased YoY: 54% Market share1 $16
prepaid
490 471 455 438 421 405 3Q FY07 4Q FY07 1Q FY08 2Q FY08 3Q FY08 4QFY08 Broadband subs ('000)
Wireless @SG customers2
433 484 579 631 647 693
Repositioning residential business International telephone
Fixed: leveraging with mio
mio TV customers 67K Fixed market share2 95% 44K
463 409 323 291 278 368 532 0.24 0.26 0.31 0.36 0.37 0.21 0.29 2Q FY07 3Q FY07 4Q FY07 1Q FY08 2Q FY08 3Q FY08 4Q FY08 IDD outgoing mins (m mins)1 Ave collection rate (S$/min)1
National telephone 8% mio plan customers
“Free IDD” promotions for prepaid mobile plans drove higher traffic and lower rate
1. Excludes Malaysia 2. Includes DEL and mio voice. As at 31 Mar 08
OpenNet
14
Bid for fibre-to-the-home network
Optus
16
Optus FY08: delivered targets
Revenue A$ 7,760m Revenue growth comparable to market growth Capex: revenue 15% Capital expenditure of $A1.1bn Free cash flow up 22% Free cash flow to increase slightly Op EBITDA A$2,002m Maintain EBITDA
FY08 Outcomes FY08 Targets
4% 1%
A$1,130m
A$903m
17
Optus: growing sustainable revenue and profits
High mobile customer adds offset termination rate decline and exit from consumer fixed line resale 1,935 Total revenue Gaining profitable market share Solid progress in Data & IP 477 Business & Wholesale Fixed Lower resale volumes/revenue On-net focus & ULL growth improve margin 373 Consumer & SMB Fixed Solid net adds – uplift from wireless broadband Strong outgoing service revenue Expanding 3G HSPA coverage 1,088 Mobile
Highlights
YoY change Revenue A$m
Q4 FY08
7% 10% 7% 5%
18
Mobile revenue growth
Incoming Equipment Outgoing 1,022 1,088 +7%
9% 7%
206 189 702 754 114 146 Mobile revenue (A$m)
28%
Mobile: driving net adds with wireless broadband & caps
Q4 FY07 Q4 FY08
Quarterly ARPUs EBITDA margin
- up 3% points sequentially
Strong net adds
- postpaid net adds 87k
7%
A$26
prepaid
A$67
postpaid
Total data % of ARPU
non-sms data % of ARPU 6%
SAC stable sequentially
up 25% YoY
$145 135k 29% 35%
EBITDA growth Revenue growth
Business & Wholesale Fixed: delivering double digit revenue and earnings growth
Data & IP revenue
Gaining share in expanding Ethernet market Continuing innovation with ‘Evolve’ – (new suite of IP services) 10%
Data&IP Voice ICT Satellite
OB & Wholesale Revenue (A$m)
Q4FY07 Q4FY08
EBITDA margin
- up 2% points
+12%
- 2%
+40% stable
12% 24% 19%
Major corporate renewals include
St George Bank The Dept of Immigration & Citizenship Australian Bureau of Statistics
19
20
On-net broadband subscriber growth
15%
Q4 FY07 Q4 FY08 Q4 FY07 Q4 FY08
Consumer Revenue(A$m)
+30%
- 48%
Off-net
181 235 86 165
On-net
Consumer & SMB: lifting margins with on-net growth
ULL subscribers
up 52k in Q4
317k
EBITDA margin
up 7 percentage points
+62%
- 42%
Off-net
271k 145k
434 705 202 347
On-net
Mar 07 Mar 08 Mar 07 Mar 08
Broadband cust base (000s)
Associates and joint ventures
22
4% #5 45.0% 46% #1 21.4% #2 #4 #1 #1 Market position 51% 35.0% 17% 30.0% 24% 30.4% 44.5% Effective stake (%) 38% Market share (%)
Regional Mobile: world’s fastest growing mobile market
32% 67% 19% 26%
Mobile penetration (%)
51.3 62.0 25.1 23% 42% 62% 86% 1.6 25%
PBTL
61% 14.4 52% 21.3 32%
Mobile subscribers (m) Growth in subscribers (%)
NA 630 Regional Mobile
- perational performance affected by inflation
S$ results boosted by strong peso 81 Globe improved operational performance inclusion of interconnect income 76 AIS2 increased network rollout costs NA NA (19) Warid resilient performance despite increasing competition S$ results impacted by weaker Indo Rupiah 274 Telkomsel Bharti Q4 FY08 % Change (S$) % Change (local curr) 222 PBT1 (S$ m) Highlights continued strong subscriber growth and improved operational efficiency
23
Regional mobile: profitable growth
41% 18% 38%
- 1. Excluding exceptional items – compared to 3 months to Mar 07
- 2. SingTel accounts for AIS Dec 07 quarter results in these results
6% 56% 11% 2% 18% 54%
Financial position,
- utlook & summary
25
SingTel
S$124m
Group free cashflow1
1. Operating cash including associates dividends less cash capex 2. Net of withholding taxes 3. Based on Group’s share of associate post tax earnings for 12 months ended 31Mar 08
Capital structure: strong cash flow generation
Associate dividends2
606 1,001 891 1,152 1,298 1,422
FY07 FY08
Group free cashflow (S$m)
3,575 2,795 Optus Assoc div S$395m
FY07 FY08
Telkomsel 606 1,001 Assoc dividends (S$m) AIS Globe
28%
S$261m
65% 58%
Others
Dividends as % of earnings3
7.3 7.1 8.2 5.7 5.9 6.3 7.1 5.0 Jun- 06 Sep- 06 Dec- 06 Mar- 07 Jun- 07 Sep- 07 Dec- 07 Mar- 08
Net debt (S$bn)
Capital management Net debt
Capital structure: significant financial flexibility
Net gearing Net debt:EBITDA EBITDA:net interest expense S$7.3bn 26% 1.0x 21x
26
Dividend payout ratio1
up from 40% - 50%
45%-60%
1. Dividend payout ratio is expressed as a percentage of underlying earnings
27 27
4 to 6% GDP growth Singapore Regional mobile Australia mid to high single-digit GDP growth in regional economies continued growth in mobile penetration 2.8% GDP growth
FY09 : Outlook and assumptions
28 28
Revenue to grow at mid single-digit level growth in mobile and corporate data markets Revenue FY09 Targets Free cash flow Capex EBITDA Free cash flow
1 to be lower
reflects higher capex Capex: revenue to rise to mid-teens level mobile capacity expansion and fixed line infrastructure upgrade EBITDA to grow EBITDA margin of approximately 40%
Singapore: maintaining growth momentum
1. Excluding dividends from associates
29 29
Revenue to grow at single-digit level Revenue FY09 Targets Free cash flow Capex EBITDA Free cash flow to grow Capex: revenue at mid-teens level mobile coverage and capacity expansion and D3 satellite EBITDA to grow
Optus: driving sustainable revenue and profit growth
30 30
Payout ratio: 45-60% of underlying earnings Dividend policy Consolidated revenue and operational EBITDA to grow Revenue & EBITDA FY09 Targets Medium term target Associates Underlying earnings growth at double-digit level Contributions from regional mobile associates to grow at double-digit level
Group outlook
31
SingTel: blue chip growth stock
S$3.6bn
Group free cash flow2
17%
Underlying EPS growth1
1. Excludes exceptional items, currency translation gains, exceptional tax items & IDA compensation 2. Operating cash including associates dividends less cash capex