FAIRMODE pilot MAOPOLSKA / POLAND 08/10/2019 Pawel Durka (1), - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Jan 14, 2024 328 likes •482 views

FAIRMODE pilot MAOPOLSKA / POLAND 08/10/2019 Pawel Durka (1), Joanna Struzewska (1,2), Jacek W. Kaminski (1,3), Grzegorz Jeleniewicz (1), Marcin Kawka (1), Aleksander Norowski (1) Piotr yczko (4) IEP-NRI (1), WUT (2), IG-PAS (3) Marshall

SLIDE 1

FAIRMODE pilot MAŁOPOLSKA / POLAND

08/10/2019 Pawel Durka (1), Joanna Struzewska (1,2), Jacek W. Kaminski (1,3), Grzegorz Jeleniewicz (1), Marcin Kawka (1), Aleksander Norowski (1) Piotr Łyczko (4) IEP-NRI (1), WUT (2), IG-PAS (3) Marshall Office of Malopolska Voivodship (4)

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Starting point

Legislation changes related to AQ modelling
Centralised approach for the assessment and national AQP – already in place
AQP – in preparation (not centralized)
Pilot exercise for Malopolska  lessons learned for the country scale

analysis

New high resolution BU emission inventory – for 2018 assessment
DeltaTool and Emission Delta applied
New AQP – call in preparation

SLIDE 3

Pilot Exercise

To apply SHERPA as a:
screening tool for Ministry of Environment
Verification of AQP prepared by consulting companies for voivodships
SHERPA TD – tested; SHERPA BU – in preparation
To apply Riat+ for cost effectiveness analysis

SLIDE 4

SHERPA TD

Contribution in Malopolska vs. Stations in Krakow
Scenario Assessment for assumptions from existing AQP in

Malopolska

Governance area – too low NUTs resolution
„Firts guess Riat+” checked

SLIDE 5

Krak.Alk Krak.Diet Krak.Ku Krak.NH Krak.OsPi Krak.ZloR

Source Allocation PM25 Per station Percentyl 100

Porównanie całego obszaru Małopolski z pojedynczymi stacjami pomiarowymi.

Contribution in Malopolska vs. Stations in Krakow

SLIDE 6

PM2.5 Concentration - grid delta delta% value PM2.5 Concentration – nuts3 delta delta% value

Scenario Assessment PM25 Concentration Reduction in AQP:

% MS2 MS7 PPM 50 Nox 4

Conc Delta % delta

SLIDE 7

NO2 Concentration – grid delta delta% value NO2 Concentration – nuts3 delta delta% value

Scenario Assessment NO2 Concentration Conc Delta % delta

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Scenario Assessment NOx Emissions Grid Macrosector 1-10 value delta Mg delta % Reduction by sector for NOx

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SHERPA BU - status

Simulations cover Poland with margins with a resolution of 2,5km
Over Poland Central Emission Database (BU inventory for PL valid for

2017) is used, rest of the domain – EMEP (0.1deg valid for 2016)

9 training simulations performed:

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SHERPA BU - status

Results for the base case evaluated with DetlaTool for all station -

Poland and Malopolska region

Ongoing – check if the reduction of concentration is linear as a

funtion of emission reduction ?

SHERPA BU downloaded and files prepared in the requested format
How to proceed ?

SLIDE 11

SHERPA BU – Delta Tool evaluation PM10

Poland Malopolska

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SHERPA BU – Delta Tool evaluation O3

Poland Malopolska

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SHERPA BU – △Emissions / △Concentrations reduction linearity check – first results

SLIDE 14

Future plans

To set up SHERPA BU
To prepare validation runs
To compare the results from SHERPA TD and BU
To test Riat+ with SHERPA TD
To test SR tools