FAIRMODE pilot MAOPOLSKA / POLAND 08/10/2019 Pawel Durka (1), - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

fairmode pilot ma opolska poland
SMART_READER_LITE
LIVE PREVIEW

FAIRMODE pilot MAOPOLSKA / POLAND 08/10/2019 Pawel Durka (1), - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

FAIRMODE pilot MAOPOLSKA / POLAND 08/10/2019 Pawel Durka (1), Joanna Struzewska (1,2), Jacek W. Kaminski (1,3), Grzegorz Jeleniewicz (1), Marcin Kawka (1), Aleksander Norowski (1) Piotr yczko (4) IEP-NRI (1), WUT (2), IG-PAS (3) Marshall


slide-1
SLIDE 1

FAIRMODE pilot MAŁOPOLSKA / POLAND

08/10/2019 Pawel Durka (1), Joanna Struzewska (1,2), Jacek W. Kaminski (1,3), Grzegorz Jeleniewicz (1), Marcin Kawka (1), Aleksander Norowski (1) Piotr Łyczko (4) IEP-NRI (1), WUT (2), IG-PAS (3) Marshall Office of Malopolska Voivodship (4)

slide-2
SLIDE 2

Starting point

  • Legislation changes related to AQ modelling
  • Centralised approach for the assessment and national AQP – already in place
  • AQP – in preparation (not centralized)
  • Pilot exercise for Malopolska  lessons learned for the country scale

analysis

  • New high resolution BU emission inventory – for 2018 assessment
  • DeltaTool and Emission Delta applied
  • New AQP – call in preparation
slide-3
SLIDE 3

Pilot Exercise

  • To apply SHERPA as a:
  • screening tool for Ministry of Environment
  • Verification of AQP prepared by consulting companies for voivodships
  • SHERPA TD – tested; SHERPA BU – in preparation
  • To apply Riat+ for cost effectiveness analysis
slide-4
SLIDE 4

SHERPA TD

  • Contribution in Malopolska vs. Stations in Krakow
  • Scenario Assessment for assumptions from existing AQP in

Malopolska

  • Governance area – too low NUTs resolution
  • „Firts guess Riat+” checked
slide-5
SLIDE 5

Krak.Alk Krak.Diet Krak.Ku Krak.NH Krak.OsPi Krak.ZloR

Source Allocation PM25 Per station Percentyl 100

Porównanie całego obszaru Małopolski z pojedynczymi stacjami pomiarowymi.

Contribution in Malopolska vs. Stations in Krakow

slide-6
SLIDE 6

PM2.5 Concentration - grid delta delta% value PM2.5 Concentration – nuts3 delta delta% value

Scenario Assessment PM25 Concentration Reduction in AQP:

% MS2 MS7 PPM 50 Nox 4

Conc Delta % delta

slide-7
SLIDE 7

NO2 Concentration – grid delta delta% value NO2 Concentration – nuts3 delta delta% value

Scenario Assessment NO2 Concentration Conc Delta % delta

slide-8
SLIDE 8

Scenario Assessment NOx Emissions Grid Macrosector 1-10 value delta Mg delta % Reduction by sector for NOx

slide-9
SLIDE 9

SHERPA BU - status

  • Simulations cover Poland with margins with a resolution of 2,5km
  • Over Poland Central Emission Database (BU inventory for PL valid for

2017) is used, rest of the domain – EMEP (0.1deg valid for 2016)

  • 9 training simulations performed:
slide-10
SLIDE 10

SHERPA BU - status

  • Results for the base case evaluated with DetlaTool for all station -

Poland and Malopolska region

  • Ongoing – check if the reduction of concentration is linear as a

funtion of emission reduction ?

  • SHERPA BU downloaded and files prepared in the requested format
  • How to proceed ?
slide-11
SLIDE 11

SHERPA BU – Delta Tool evaluation PM10

Poland Malopolska

slide-12
SLIDE 12

SHERPA BU – Delta Tool evaluation O3

Poland Malopolska

slide-13
SLIDE 13

SHERPA BU – △Emissions / △Concentrations reduction linearity check – first results

slide-14
SLIDE 14

Future plans

  • To set up SHERPA BU
  • To prepare validation runs
  • To compare the results from SHERPA TD and BU
  • To test Riat+ with SHERPA TD
  • To test SR tools