Exponential and power utility maximization problems under partial - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

exponential and power utility maximization problems under
SMART_READER_LITE
LIVE PREVIEW

Exponential and power utility maximization problems under partial - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example Exponential and power utility maximization problems under partial information: some


slide-1
SLIDE 1

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Exponential and power utility maximization problems under partial information: some convergence results.

Marina Santacroce

Politecnico di Torino Joint work with D. Covello and M. Mania

New advances in Backward SDEs for financial engineering applications

Tamerza, 25th October 2010

slide-2
SLIDE 2

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Outline

Utility maximization under partial information: semimartingale setting Semimartingale model Expected utility and partial information Equivalent problem and solution

slide-3
SLIDE 3

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Outline

Utility maximization under partial information: semimartingale setting Semimartingale model Expected utility and partial information Equivalent problem and solution Exponential utility maximization Assumptions Equivalent problem Value process and BSDE

slide-4
SLIDE 4

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Outline

Utility maximization under partial information: semimartingale setting Semimartingale model Expected utility and partial information Equivalent problem and solution Exponential utility maximization Assumptions Equivalent problem Value process and BSDE Power utility maximization Power utility maximization Unified characterization

slide-5
SLIDE 5

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Outline

Utility maximization under partial information: semimartingale setting Semimartingale model Expected utility and partial information Equivalent problem and solution Exponential utility maximization Assumptions Equivalent problem Value process and BSDE Power utility maximization Power utility maximization Unified characterization Convergence results Convergence of the optimal strategies

slide-6
SLIDE 6

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Outline

Utility maximization under partial information: semimartingale setting Semimartingale model Expected utility and partial information Equivalent problem and solution Exponential utility maximization Assumptions Equivalent problem Value process and BSDE Power utility maximization Power utility maximization Unified characterization Convergence results Convergence of the optimal strategies Power utility: an example with explicit solution Diffusion model with stochastic correlation

slide-7
SLIDE 7

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

The model

  • Let S = (St, t ∈ [0, T]) be a continuous semimartingale which

represents the returns process of the traded asset.

  • (Ω, A, A = (At, t ∈ [0, T]), P), where A = AT and T < ∞ is a fixed

time horizon.

  • Assume the interest rate equal to zero.
slide-8
SLIDE 8

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

The model

  • Let S = (St, t ∈ [0, T]) be a continuous semimartingale which

represents the returns process of the traded asset.

  • (Ω, A, A = (At, t ∈ [0, T]), P), where A = AT and T < ∞ is a fixed

time horizon.

  • Assume the interest rate equal to zero.

The process S admits the decomposition St = S0 + Nt + t λudNu, λ · NT < ∞ a.s., where N is a continuous A -local martingale and λ is a A -predictable process (Structure condition).

slide-9
SLIDE 9

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Utility maximization and partial information

Denote by G = (Gt, t ∈ [0, T]) a filtration smaller than A Gt ⊆ At, for every t ∈ [0, T]. G represents the information available to the investor.

slide-10
SLIDE 10

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Utility maximization and partial information

Denote by G = (Gt, t ∈ [0, T]) a filtration smaller than A Gt ⊆ At, for every t ∈ [0, T]. G represents the information available to the investor. We consider the utility maximization problem (with random payoff H at time T) when G is the available information, maximize E[U(X x,π

T

− H)]

  • ver all

π ∈ Π(G ).

  • Π(G ) is a certain class of self-financing strategies (G -predictable and

S-integrable processes). We see in some detail the exponential case

  • U(x) = −e−αx.

Then we will briefly consider the problem when H = 0 for

  • U(x) = xp

p .

slide-11
SLIDE 11

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

In most papers, under various setups, (see, e.g., Lakner (1998), Pham and Quenez (2001), Zohar (2001)) expected utility maximization problems have been considered for market models where only stock prices are observed, while the drift can not be directly observed. = ⇒ under the hypothesis F S ⊆ G . We consider the case when G does not necessarily contain all information on the prices of the traded asset i.e. S is not a G -semimartingale in general!

slide-12
SLIDE 12

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

In most papers, under various setups, (see, e.g., Lakner (1998), Pham and Quenez (2001), Zohar (2001)) expected utility maximization problems have been considered for market models where only stock prices are observed, while the drift can not be directly observed. = ⇒ under the hypothesis F S ⊆ G . We consider the case when G does not necessarily contain all information on the prices of the traded asset i.e. S is not a G -semimartingale in general! = ⇒ In this case, we solve the problem in 2 steps:

slide-13
SLIDE 13

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

In most papers, under various setups, (see, e.g., Lakner (1998), Pham and Quenez (2001), Zohar (2001)) expected utility maximization problems have been considered for market models where only stock prices are observed, while the drift can not be directly observed. = ⇒ under the hypothesis F S ⊆ G . We consider the case when G does not necessarily contain all information on the prices of the traded asset i.e. S is not a G -semimartingale in general! = ⇒ In this case, we solve the problem in 2 steps:

  • Step 1: Prove that the expected utility maximization problem is

equivalent to another maximization problem of the filtered terminal net wealth (reduced problem)

  • Step 2: Apply the dynamic programming method to the reduced

problem. (In Mania et al. (2008) a similar approach is used in the context of mean variance hedging).

slide-14
SLIDE 14

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Filtration F and decomposition of S w.r.t. F

  • Let F = (Ft, t ∈ [0, T]) be the augmented filtration generated by F S

and G .

slide-15
SLIDE 15

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Filtration F and decomposition of S w.r.t. F

  • Let F = (Ft, t ∈ [0, T]) be the augmented filtration generated by F S

and G .

  • S is a F-semimartingale:

St = S0 + t

  • λ(F)

u

dMu + Mt, (Decomposition of S with respect to F) Mt = Nt + t [λu − λ(F)

u

]dNu is F-local martingale where we denote by λ(F) the F-predictable projection of λ.

  • Note that M = N are F S-predictable.
slide-16
SLIDE 16

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Assumptions

In the sequel we will make the following assumptions: A) M is G -predictable and dMtdP a.e. λF = λG , hence for each t E(λt|F S

t− ∨ Gt) = E(λt|Gt), P − a.s.

B) any G -martingale is a F-local martingale, C) the filtration G is continuous, D) for any G -local martingale m(g) M, m(g) is G -predictable, E) H is an AT-measurable bounded random variable, such that P- a.s. E[eαH|FT] = E[eαH|GT],

slide-17
SLIDE 17

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Assumptions

In the sequel we will make the following assumptions: A) M is G -predictable and dMtdP a.e. λF = λG , hence for each t E(λt|F S

t− ∨ Gt) = E(λt|Gt), P − a.s.

B) any G -martingale is a F-local martingale, C) the filtration G is continuous, D) for any G -local martingale m(g) M, m(g) is G -predictable, E) H is an AT-measurable bounded random variable, such that P- a.s. E[eαH|FT] = E[eαH|GT],

⇒ If F S ⊆ G , then M is G -predictable. Conditions A), B), D) and the equality in E) are automatically satisfied.

slide-18
SLIDE 18

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Assumptions

In the sequel we will make the following assumptions: A) M is G -predictable and dMtdP a.e. λF = λG , hence for each t E(λt|F S

t− ∨ Gt) = E(λt|Gt), P − a.s.

B) any G -martingale is a F-local martingale, C) the filtration G is continuous, D) for any G -local martingale m(g) M, m(g) is G -predictable, E) H is an AT-measurable bounded random variable, such that P- a.s. E[eαH|FT] = E[eαH|GT], Let St = E(St|Gt) be the G -optional projection of St. Since λF = λG = λ

  • St = E(St|Gt) = S0 +

t

  • λudMu +

Mt where Mt is the G -local martingale E(Mt|Gt).

slide-19
SLIDE 19

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Equivalent problem

We consider U(x) = −e−α(x) and we rewrite the related problem as minimize E[e−α(

T

0 πudSu−H)]

  • ver all

π ∈ Π(G ). (1) where the class of strategies is defined as Π(G ) = {π : G − predictable, π · M ∈ BMO(F)} (w.l.g. we put the initial capital x = 0).

slide-20
SLIDE 20

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Equivalent problem

We consider U(x) = −e−α(x) and we rewrite the related problem as minimize E[e−α(

T

0 πudSu−H)]

  • ver all

π ∈ Π(G ). (1) where the class of strategies is defined as Π(G ) = {π : G − predictable, π · M ∈ BMO(F)} (w.l.g. we put the initial capital x = 0).

PROPOSITION Let conditions A)-E) be satisfied. Then the optimization

problem (1) is equivalent to minimize E[e−α(

T

0 πud

Su− H)+ α2

2

T

0 π2 u(1−κ2 u)dMu], over all π ∈ Π(G )

(2)

  • H = 1

α ln E[eαH|GT], κ2

t = d

Mt dMt .

slide-21
SLIDE 21

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Remarks

  • The previous proposition says that the optimization problems (1) and (2)

are equivalent.

slide-22
SLIDE 22

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Remarks

  • The previous proposition says that the optimization problems (1) and (2)

are equivalent.

  • It is sufficient to solve problem (2), which is formulated in terms of

G -adapted processes.

slide-23
SLIDE 23

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Remarks

  • The previous proposition says that the optimization problems (1) and (2)

are equivalent.

  • It is sufficient to solve problem (2), which is formulated in terms of

G -adapted processes.

  • We can see (2) as an exponential hedging problem under complete

information with a (multiplicative) correction term and we can solve it using methods for complete information.

slide-24
SLIDE 24

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Remarks

  • The previous proposition says that the optimization problems (1) and (2)

are equivalent.

  • It is sufficient to solve problem (2), which is formulated in terms of

G -adapted processes.

  • We can see (2) as an exponential hedging problem under complete

information with a (multiplicative) correction term and we can solve it using methods for complete information. Let Vt = ess inf

π∈Π(G ) E[e−α( T

t

πud Su− H)+ α2

2

T

t

π2

u(1−κ2 u)dMu|Gt],

be the value process related to the equivalent problem.

slide-25
SLIDE 25

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

THEOREM Under assumptions A)-E) and T λ2

t dMt ≤ C,

the value process V related to the equivalent problem (2) is the unique bounded strictly positive solution of the following BSDE Yt = Y0 + 1 2 t (ψuκ2

u +

λuYu)2 Yu dMu + t ψud Mu + Lt (3) YT = E[eαH|GT] Moreover the optimal strategy exists in the class Π(G ) and is equal to π∗

t = 1

α( λt + ψtκ2

t

Yt ). (4)

slide-26
SLIDE 26

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

THEOREM Under assumptions A)-E) and T λ2

t dMt ≤ C,

the value process V related to the equivalent problem (2) is the unique bounded strictly positive solution of the following BSDE Yt = Y0 + 1 2 t (ψuκ2

u +

λuYu)2 Yu dMu + t ψud Mu + Lt (3) YT = E[eαH|GT] Moreover the optimal strategy exists in the class Π(G ) and is equal to π∗

t = 1

α( λt + ψtκ2

t

Yt ). (4) = ⇒ We prove the existence of a solution using results of Tevzadze (2008) (see also Morlais (2008) for related results) and uniqueness by directly showing that the unique solution of the BSDE is the value of the problem.

slide-27
SLIDE 27

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

THEOREM Under assumptions A)-E) and T λ2

t dMt ≤ C,

the value process V related to the equivalent problem (2) is the unique bounded strictly positive solution of the following BSDE Yt = Y0 + 1 2 t (ψuκ2

u +

λuYu)2 Yu dMu + t ψud Mu + Lt (3) YT = E[eαH|GT] Moreover the optimal strategy exists in the class Π(G ) and is equal to π∗

t = 1

α( λt + ψtκ2

t

Yt ). (4) = ⇒ We prove the existence of a solution using results of Tevzadze (2008) (see also Morlais (2008) for related results) and uniqueness by directly showing that the unique solution of the BSDE is the value of the problem. = ⇒ If Gt = At ⇒

Mt = Mt = Nt,

  • λt = λt, YT = eαH : the bsde takes on the form

Yt = Y0 + 1 2 t (ψu + λuYu)2 Yu dNu + t ψudNu + Lt, YT = eαH.

slide-28
SLIDE 28

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Partial information and power utility maximization

Consider the problem of maximizing the power utility of terminal wealth when G is the available information. maximize E (X x,π

T

)p p

  • ver all π ∈ Π(G),

where Π(G ) is a certain class of (G -predictable) strategies.

  • x represents the initial endowment (we set x = 1)
  • the strategy π denotes the proportion of wealth invested in the asset

⇒ the wealth process related to the self-financing strategy π is X π

t = 1 +

t

0 πuX π u−dSu

slide-29
SLIDE 29

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Partial information and power utility maximization

Consider the problem of maximizing the power utility of terminal wealth when G is the available information. maximize E (X x,π

T

)p p

  • ver all π ∈ Π(G),

where Π(G ) is a certain class of (G -predictable) strategies.

  • x represents the initial endowment (we set x = 1)
  • the strategy π denotes the proportion of wealth invested in the asset

⇒ the wealth process related to the self-financing strategy π is X π

t = 1 +

t

0 πuX π u−dSu

We rewrite the problem in exponential form minimize E

  • Ep

T(π · S))

  • ver all

π ∈ Π(G), where E(X) denotes the Doléans-Dade exponential of X.

slide-30
SLIDE 30

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Equivalent problem

The problem is minimize E

  • Ep

T(π · S)

  • ver all

π ∈ Π(G), (5) where the class of strategies is defined as Π(G ) = {π : G − predictable, π · M ∈ BMO(F)}

PROPOSITION Let conditions A)-D) be satisfied. Then the optimization

problem (5) is equivalent to minimize E[Ep

T(π ·

S) e

p(p−1) 2

T

0 π2 u(1−κ2 u)dMu] over all

π ∈ Π(G). (6) where κ2

t = d Mt dMt .

slide-31
SLIDE 31

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Equivalent problem

The problem is minimize E

  • Ep

T(π · S)

  • ver all

π ∈ Π(G), (5) where the class of strategies is defined as Π(G ) = {π : G − predictable, π · M ∈ BMO(F)}

PROPOSITION Let conditions A)-D) be satisfied. Then the optimization

problem (5) is equivalent to minimize E[Ep

T(π ·

S) e

p(p−1) 2

T

0 π2 u(1−κ2 u)dMu] over all

π ∈ Π(G). (6) where κ2

t = d Mt dMt .

The value process related to the reduced problem is Vt(p) = ess inf

π∈Π(G) E[Ep tT(π ·

S) exp {p(p − 1) 2 T

t

π2

u(1 − κ2 u)dMu}|Gt].

slide-32
SLIDE 32

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

BSDE related to power utilities maximization

THEOREM Under assumptions A)-D) and T λ2

t dMt ≤ C,

the value process associated to the power utility maximization problem is characterized as the unique bounded positive solution of Yt = Y0 + p 2(p − 1) t Yu( λu + ψuκ2

u

Yu )2dMu + t ψud Mu + Lt, YT = 1 and the optimal strategy is π∗

t =

1 1 − p ( λt + ψtκ2

t

Yt )

slide-33
SLIDE 33

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

BSDE related to power utilities maximization

THEOREM Under assumptions A)-D) and T λ2

t dMt ≤ C,

the value process associated to the power utility maximization problem is characterized as the unique bounded positive solution of Yt = Y0 + p 2(p − 1) t Yu( λu + ψuκ2

u

Yu )2dMu + t ψud Mu + Lt, YT = 1 and the optimal strategy is π∗

t =

1 1 − p ( λt + ψtκ2

t

Yt ) LET US COMPARE THIS BSDE WITH THE BSDE RELATED TO THE

EXPONENTIAL UTILITY MAXIMIZATION FOR H = 0 AND α = 1

slide-34
SLIDE 34

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

BSDEs and unified characterization

The BSDE related to exponential utility maximization (with α = 1 and H = 0) is Yt = Y0 + 1 2 t Yu( λu + ψuκ2

u

Yu )2dMu + t ψud Mu + Lt, YT = 1 and the one related to power utility maximization is Yt(q)=Y0(q)+q 2 t Yu(q)( λu+ψu(q)κ2

u

Yu(q) )2dMu+ t ψu(q)d Mu+Lt(q), YT(q)=1. where q =

p p−1.

⇒ the value process of the exponential corresponds to q =1.

slide-35
SLIDE 35

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

BSDEs and unified characterization

The BSDE related to exponential utility maximization (with α = 1 and H = 0) is Yt = Y0 + 1 2 t Yu( λu + ψuκ2

u

Yu )2dMu + t ψud Mu + Lt, YT = 1 and the one related to power utility maximization is Yt(q)=Y0(q)+q 2 t Yu(q)( λu+ψu(q)κ2

u

Yu(q) )2dMu+ t ψu(q)d Mu+Lt(q), YT(q)=1. where q =

p p−1.

⇒ the value process of the exponential corresponds to q =1.

In the context of full information Mania and Tevzadze (2003) provide a similar unified characterization to study the convergence of q-optimal martingale measures to the minimal entropy martingale measure (see also Hobson (2004) for related results for stochastic volatility models).

= ⇒ We will use the BSDE characterization to receive the convergence of the

  • ptimal strategies for the utility optimization problems.

(See Nutz (2010) for related results in full information)

slide-36
SLIDE 36

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

  • Aim: Study the convergence of the optimal strategies of the power utility

maximization problem to the one related to the exponential problem as p → −∞, hence as q =

p p−1 → 1

  • Remark: In partial information, we can not resort to duality arguments

and we can not receive the convergence of the strategies using the convergence of utility functions. ⇒ Our approach will use the characterization of the optimal strategies through the BSDEs.

  • The convergence of strategies in full information can be obtained as a

corollary.

slide-37
SLIDE 37

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

  • Aim: Study the convergence of the optimal strategies of the power utility

maximization problem to the one related to the exponential problem as p → −∞, hence as q =

p p−1 → 1

  • Remark: In partial information, we can not resort to duality arguments

and we can not receive the convergence of the strategies using the convergence of utility functions. ⇒ Our approach will use the characterization of the optimal strategies through the BSDEs.

  • The convergence of strategies in full information can be obtained as a

corollary. Recall the optimal strategies are respectively: π∗(q) = (1 − q)( λ + ψ(q)κ2 Y(q) ) and π∗(1) = λ + ψ(1)κ2 Y(1) taking in mind that ψ(q) and Y(q) are part of the solution of the BSDE(q). The main point consists in studying the family of BSDE(q) (varying with the parameter q) and in particular find some estimates which involves the martingale part of the solution.

slide-38
SLIDE 38

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Idea of the proof

= ⇒ The proof can be roughly summarized as follows: Step 1 Find an estimate for a proper function of Y(q) and Y(1), namely | ln Y(1) − q ln Y(q)| ≤ c|1 − q|.

Y(q) (Y(1)) stands for the “solution” of the generic (respectively q = 1) element

  • f the family of the BSDEs
slide-39
SLIDE 39

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Idea of the proof

= ⇒ The proof can be roughly summarized as follows: Step 1 Find an estimate for a proper function of Y(q) and Y(1), namely | ln Y(1) − q ln Y(q)| ≤ c|1 − q|.

Y(q) (Y(1)) stands for the “solution” of the generic (respectively q = 1) element

  • f the family of the BSDEs

Step 2 (Main result) Convergence of the martingale part of ln Y(q): q ψ(q)

Y(q) ·

M → ψ(1)

Y(1) ·

M as q → 1, (in BMO).

slide-40
SLIDE 40

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Idea of the proof

= ⇒ The proof can be roughly summarized as follows: Step 1 Find an estimate for a proper function of Y(q) and Y(1), namely | ln Y(1) − q ln Y(q)| ≤ c|1 − q|.

Y(q) (Y(1)) stands for the “solution” of the generic (respectively q = 1) element

  • f the family of the BSDEs

Step 2 (Main result) Convergence of the martingale part of ln Y(q): q ψ(q)

Y(q) ·

M → ψ(1)

Y(1) ·

M as q → 1, (in BMO). Step 3 Convergence of the strategies: let π∗(q) and π∗(1) denote respectively the optimal strategies for the power and for the exponential utility maximization problem, we prove

q 1−q π∗(q) ·

M → π∗(1) · M as q → 1, (in BMO) .

slide-41
SLIDE 41

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Diffusion model with stochastic correlation

We consider a diffusion market model consisting of two correlated risky assets one of which has no liquid market. The price of the two risky assets follow the dynamics dSt =µ(t, η)dt + σ(t, η)dW 1

t ,

(7) dηt =b(t, η)dt + a(t, η)dWt. (8) subjected to initial conditions.

  • W 1 and W are two Brownian motions with stochastic correlation

ρtdt = dW 1, Wt

  • η represents the price of a nontraded asset
  • In Frei and Schweizer (2008) a case like this has been considered in the

context of exponential indifference evaluation.

slide-42
SLIDE 42

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Assumptions

Assume that the coefficients µ, σ, a and b are non anticipative functionals such that: 1) T

µ2(t,η) σ2(t,η)dt is bounded,

2) σ2 > 0, a2 > 0 3) the SDE (8) admits a unique strong solution (η). 4) ρ is F η adapted. Under conditions 2), 3) we have F S,η = F W 1,W and F η = F W.

slide-43
SLIDE 43

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Problem: An agent is trading with the liquid asset S using only observations coming from η in order to minimize E

  • Ep

T(π · S))

  • ver all

π ∈ Π(F η), (9) where π represents the proportion of wealth the agent invests in the stock which depends only on η. Ft = F S,η

t

⊆ At and Gt = F η

t .

slide-44
SLIDE 44

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Problem: An agent is trading with the liquid asset S using only observations coming from η in order to minimize E

  • Ep

T(π · S))

  • ver all

π ∈ Π(F η), (9) where π represents the proportion of wealth the agent invests in the stock which depends only on η. Ft = F S,η

t

⊆ At and Gt = F η

t .

Under conditions 1)–4) the value process related to (9) is the unique bounded positive solution of the BSDE Yt = Y0 + q 2 t (θuYu + ψuρu)2 Yu du + t ψudWu, YT = 1 (10) where θ = µ

σ is the market price of risk.

slide-45
SLIDE 45

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Problem: An agent is trading with the liquid asset S using only observations coming from η in order to minimize E

  • Ep

T(π · S))

  • ver all

π ∈ Π(F η), (9) where π represents the proportion of wealth the agent invests in the stock which depends only on η. Ft = F S,η

t

⊆ At and Gt = F η

t .

Under conditions 1)–4) the value process related to (9) is the unique bounded positive solution of the BSDE Yt = Y0 + q 2 t (θuYu + ψuρu)2 Yu du + t ψudWu, YT = 1 (10) where θ = µ

σ is the market price of risk.

  • If ρ is constant the BSDE can be solved explicitly
slide-46
SLIDE 46

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

  • If ρ is stochastic (using the BSDEs characterization) ⇒ we find an upper

and lower bounds for the value process. PROPOSITION Assume conditions 1) − 4) hold true. Then, the value process V related to problem (9) satisfies

  • E
  • Q[e− q(1−qρ2)

2

T

t

θ2

udu)|F η

t ]

  • 1

1−qρ2

≤ Vt ≤

  • E
  • Q[e−

q(1−qρ2) 2

T

t

θ2

udu)|F η

t ]

  • 1

1−qρ2

, where

  • ρ = sup

s≥t

ρsL∞ and ρ = inf

s≥tρsL∞

Q is defined by d

Q dP = ET(−θ q · W 1)

slide-47
SLIDE 47

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

ρ constant

Corollary: Assume conditions 1) − 3) and suppose ρ is constant. Then, the value process V is equal to Vt =

  • E
  • Q[e− q(1−qρ2)

2

T

t

θ2

udu)|F η

t ]

  • 1

1−qρ2

. Moreover, the optimal strategy π∗ is identified by π∗

t = (1 − q)

σ(t, η)

  • θt +

ρht (1 − qρ2)(c + t

0 hud

Wu)

  • ,

where ht is the integrand of the integral representation e− q(1−qρ2)

2

T

0 θ2 t dt = c +

T htd Wt.

slide-48
SLIDE 48

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Following Theorem 1 of Frei and Schweizer (2008), we can find THEOREM Under assumptions 1) − 4), there exists a F η

t measurable random

variable ˆ ρt taking values in the interval [ρ, ρ], such that Vt(ω) =

  • E
  • Q[e− q(1−qρ2)

2

T

t

θ2

udu)|F η

t ]

  • 1

1−qρ2

  • ρ= ˆ

ρt (ω).

(11) Remark: In the case of stochastic correlation we can find an explicit expression for the value process but we do not find an explicit expression for the optimal strategy.

slide-49
SLIDE 49

Semimartingale Setting Exponential case: Value process and BSDE Power utility: Value process and BSDE Convergence results Power utility: an example

Thank you.

slide-50
SLIDE 50

Appendix

References

  • D. Covello and M. Santacroce, Power Utility Maximization under Partial Information:

some convergence results. Stochastic Proccess. Appl. 120 2010, 2016–2036. .

  • D. Covello, M. Santacroce and E. Sasso, Explicit Formulae for Power Utility

Maximization Problems (work in progress).

  • C. Frei, M. Schweizer, Exponential Utility Indifference Valuation in Two Brownian

Settings with Stochastic Correlation. Advances in Applied Probability 40, 2008, 401–423

  • P

. Lakner, Optimal trading strategy for an investor: the case of partial information. Stochastic Proccess. Appl. 76, 1998, 77–97.

  • M. Mania and M. Santacroce, Exponential utility maximization under partial
  • information. Finance Stochast. 14, 2010, 419–448.
  • M. Mania and R. Tevzadze, A unified characterization of q-optimal and minimal

entropy martingale measures by semimartingale backward equations. Georgian Math.

  • J. 10, N.2, 2003, 289–310.
  • M. Mania, R. Tevzadze and T. Toronjadze, Mean-variance Hedging Under Partial
  • Information. SIAM J.Control Optim. 47, N. 5, 2008, 2381–2409.
  • M. Nutz, Risk Aversion Asymptotics for Power Utility Maximization Preprint, 2010
  • H. Pham and M. C. Quenez, Optimal portfolio in partially observed stochastic

volatility models.Ann. Appl. Probab. 11, N.1, 2001, 210–238.

  • R. Tevzadze, Solvability of backward stochastic differential equations with quadratic
  • growth. Stochastic Proccess. Appl. 118, 2008, 503–515.