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European Embedded Value 2012 25 th July 2013 Contents 1 EEV - PDF document

European Embedded Value 2012 25 th July 2013 Contents 1 EEV analysis 2 Towers Watson opinion letter 3 Methodological appendix 4 Statistical appendix 5 Glossary 2 1 EEV analysis Development of the EEV in 2012 % 2012 1,734.8


  1. European Embedded Value 2012 25 th July 2013

  2. Contents 1 EEV analysis 2 Towers Watson opinion letter 3 Methodological appendix 4 Statistical appendix 5 Glossary 2

  3. 1 EEV analysis Development of the EEV in 2012 � % 2012 1,734.8 -2.6% Value of In-force Business (VIF) (1) 2,604.9 -1.3% European Embedded Value (EEV) 1,796.6 -1.6% Attributable to the Parent Company 808.3 -0.4% Attributable to Minority Interests 4.9% -2.9 p.p. Return on Embedded Value (RoEV) 3,430.7 -11.5% Present Value of New Business Income (PVNBI) (2) 183.0 -22.9% Value added by new business 5.3% -0.8 p.p. New business margin Key highlights � Inclusion of minority interests in the Adj usted Net Asset Value released � Lower net issuance as a result of the financial crisis � Greater relative weight of Life-S avings insurance � S trength of the agents’ channel Million Euros 3 1) The minority interests have been included in the adj usted net asset value. For consistency purposes, the figures corresponding to the EEV 2011 have been restated as well. 2) No adj ustments made for the share of minority interests

  4. 1 EEV analysis EEV components and their variation in 2012 2011 EEV 2012 EEV 2,149.7 2,098.2 2,638.1 2,604.9 (254.8) (257.6) (113.5) (105.8) 303.4 311.6 566.7 545.1 ANAV ANAV PVIF CoC TVFOGs 2011 EEV ANAV ANAV PVIF CoC TVFOGs 2012 EEV Parent Minority Parent Minority (1) (1) (1) (1) 2011 Interests 2012 Interests Million Euros 4 1) The minority interests have been included in the adj usted net asset value. For consistency purposes, the figures corresponding to the EEV 2011 have been restated as well.

  5. 1 EEV analysis Breakdown of the 2012 EEV By business line By distribution channel � % � % € mill. % € mill. % Adjusted Net Asset Value 870.1 33.4% 1.6% Adjusted Net Asset Value 870.1 33.4% 1.6% Net PVIF (1) - Life Assurance (2) 1,519.4 58.3% -3.4% Net PVIF - Agents' channel 814.5 31.3% -6.3% - PVIF 1,761.4 -2.6% - PVIF 944.4 -5.2% - CoC (242.0) 3.0% - CoC (129.9) 2.0% Net PVIF (1) - Mutual Funds 78.3 3.0% -0.1% Net PVIF - Bank channels 1,026.1 39.4% 0.0% - PVIF 79.4 -0.1% - PVIF 1,153.8 0.0% - CoC (1.1) 0.0% - CoC (127.7) 0.2% Net PVIF (1) - Pension Funds 242.9 9.4% 17.8% TVFOGs (105.8) -4.1% -6.8% - PVIF 257.4 -1.9% EEV 2012 2,604.9 100.0% -1.3% - CoC (14.5) -22.7% TVFOGs (105.8) -4.1% -6.8% Initial capital used to calculate the CoC (3) 798.9 -0.3% EEV 2012 2,604.9 100.0% -1.3% Initial capital used to calculate the CoC (3) 798.9 -0.3% Million Euros 5 1)PVIF = “ Present Value of In-Force business” 2) Includes the in-force values of the Life assurance and accidental death insurance businesses 3) EEV calculations based on an amount of capital equal to 100%of the minimum required solvency margin as at 31/ 12/ 2012

  6. 1 EEV analysis Share of the parent company in the 2012 VIF 1,840.6 1,734.8 (105.8) 1,229.9 (504.9) Net PVIF pre-TVFOGs TVFOGs Net PVIF post-TVFOGs Minority interests VIF attributable to MAPFRE VIDA Million Euros 6

  7. 1 EEV analysis Value added in 2012 Change in Embedded Value 183.0 14.9 130.9 71.2 3.1 (42.7) (179.0)) (83.7) 311.6 RoEV (1) = 4.9% 2,604.9 2,638.1 2,326.5 Reported EEV Minority Interests EEV 2011 Changes in model Changes in Expected return Value added by Deviation of Change in TVFOGs Value added in Dividends paid EEV 2012 2011 assumptions new business actual value from 2012 and other items expectations Million Euros 7 1) Return on Embedded Value = Value added in the year / Embedded Value 2011, adj usted for changes in model

  8. 1 EEV analysis Analysis of the main variations in EEV Change Description � The minority interests have been included in the adj usted net asset value. For Minority Minority consistency purposes, the figures corresponding to the EEV 2011 have been interests interests restated as well. Changes in Changes in � Reflects primarily the improvements introduced in the databases used model model � The negative impact of the changes in assumptions reflects mainly an increase in lapse rates (-€133 million) as well as a scenario with a higher credit risk (-€95 Changes in Changes in million), offset by the positive effect of lower discount rates with respect to the assumptions assumptions previous year (+€99 million) 8

  9. 1 EEV analysis Analysis of the main variations in EEV (contd.) Change Description � Includes the impact of the unwinding of the discount rate, which amounted to €33 million, and the expected after-tax investment return on the beginning-of-the Expected return Expected return year adj usted net asset value, net of the cost of capital (+€38 million) Deviation of Deviation of � Includes primarily: actual value actual value a lower-than-expected actual profit – from from higher-than-expected lapse rates – expectations expectations � The positive variation in the TVFOGs is due to a lower duration of with-profit TVFOGs TVFOGs portfolios, which offsets the negative impact of lower interest rates 9

  10. 1 EEV analysis Value added by new business Development of the value added Key highlights 6.1% Decrease in the volume of new policies in the bank channel, offset by � 1 5.3% the good issuance of Life-S avings products in the agents’ channel � Increase in the proj ected lapse rate 2 237.5 183.0 Lower relative weight of Life- � 3 Protection insurance 2011 2012 Value added by new business (€ million) Margin over PVNBI (% ) 10

  11. 1 EEV analysis Sensitivity analysis of the value of in-force business (1) Sensitivity Variation in VIF Resulting value 1,657.6 -77.2 100bp increase in interest rates 1,706.0 -28.8 10% decrease in the value of stocks and real estate 1,767.7 32.9 10% decrease in Base expenses scenario: €1,734.8 1,893.1 10% decrease in the 158.3 million lapse rate 5% decrease in mortality -9.3 1,725.5 and morbidity 25bp increase in the -170.2 default rate of the fixed 1,564.6 income portfolio (2) 11 1) VIF = PVIF – TVFOGS – CoC 2) The 25bp increase represents a probability of default of 0.7 times that applied to the whole fixed income portfolio included in the credit risk adj ustment to the VIF

  12. 1 EEV analysis Sensitivity analysis of the value added by new business Variation in the value Sensitivity added by new business Resulting value 100bp increase in interest rates 170.1 -12.9 10% decrease in the value of 182.2 stocks and real estate -0. 8 Base 10% decrease in expenses 187.2 scenario: 4.2 €183.0 million 10% decrease in the lapse rate 211.2 28. 2 -0. 8 5% decrease in mortality 182.2 and morbidity 12

  13. Contents 1 EEV analysis 2 Towers Watson opinion letter 3 Methodological appendix 4 Statistical appendix 5 Glossary 13

  14. 2 Towers Watson opinion letter 14

  15. Contents 1 EEV analysis 2 Towers Watson opinion letter 3 Methodological appendix 4 Statistical appendix 5 Glossary 15

  16. 3 Methodological appendix Covered business � The 2012 embedded value was calculated for all business produced by MAPFRE VIDA and its subsidiaries, which includes the following blocks of business: Life assurance (including complementary) and accidental death insurance businesses of MAPFRE – VIDA, sold through the agents’ channel Life assurance (including complementary) and accidental death insurance businesses of MAPFRE-CAJA – MADRID VIDA Life assurance (including complementary), accidental death insurance and pension funds businesses – of CATALUNY ACAIXA, CCM VIDA Y PENS IONES , BANKINTER S EGUROS DE VIDA, UNIÓN DUERO VIDA and DUERO PENS IONES Mutual funds and pension funds businesses of MAPFRE INVERS IÓN S .V ., S .A., MAPFRE INVERS IÓN DOS , – S .G.I.I.C., S .A. and MAPFRE VIDA PENS IONES , E.G.F .P ., S .A. de S eguros, S .A. ("MAPFRE INVERS IÓN Y PENS IONES ") Non-covered business � The MAPFRE Group operates Life Assurance business in several geographies which have not been included in the EEV calculation 16

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