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Enhancing TSMO Capabilities and Resilience to Address Long-Term Weather and Climate Trends
Paul Pisano (FHWA) Doug Pape (Battelle) Hunter McCracken (Battelle) NOCoE Webinar June 7, 2018
Enhancing TSMO Capabilities and Resilience to Address Long-Term - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Enhancing TSMO Capabilities and Resilience to Address Long-Term Weather and Climate Trends Paul Pisano (FHWA) Doug Pape (Battelle) NOCoE Webinar Hunter McCracken (Battelle) June 7, 2018 1 Name of Event Name of Event Todays Presenters
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Paul Pisano (FHWA) Doug Pape (Battelle) Hunter McCracken (Battelle) NOCoE Webinar June 7, 2018
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helps deploy solutions and strategies that enable agencies to better manage road systems and minimize the impacts of adverse road weather conditions
all degrees of severity (from light to extreme)
Pathfinder Connected & Automated Vehicles (Pikalert, Integrating Mobile Observations) Integrated Modeling for Road Condition Prediction Weather- Responsive Traffic Management Maintenance Decision Support Systems
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works to make transportation systems management and
institutional structure
Maturity Frameworks (CMF) that focus on improvement actions for specific TSMO program areas:
– Road Weather Management – Planned Special Events – Traffic Incident Management – Traffic Management – Traffic Signal Management – Work Zone Management
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(https://www.fhwa.dot.gov/environment/sustainability/resilience/)
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Dimensions or Process Area What is it? Level 1 Ad-Hoc. Low Level of Capability Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Optimized. High level of capability Business Process Plans, Programs, Budgets Statement of capability .. .. .. Systems & Technology Approach to building systems .. .. .. .. Performance Measurement Use of performance measures .. .. .. .. Workforce Improving capability of workforce .. .. .. .. Culture Changing culture and building champions .. .. .. .. Collaboration Improving working relationships .. .. .. .. Process Improvement Areas Capability Levels
Step 1. Self- Assessment Work with your stakeholders to assess where you are in terms of the capabilities in each area Step 2. Identify areas of improvement and the desired levels
improve program effectiveness Step 3. Identify actions that you need to take to move to the desired levels of capability
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major impact
assessment of capability
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Dimension Question Business Processes What is the current level capability to influence and control traffic and travel behavior on facilities in the area? Systems and Technology What is the level of availability of road weather information through the existing systems and technology? Performance Measurement How does the agency report road weather performance to the public? Culture How willing is the agency and its partner agencies to make decisions based on proactive measures? Organization and Workforce How are staffing resources allocated for road weather? Collaboration What level of collaboration exists with the media and the public?
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– Success not just about operational strategies, but also the agency capabilities
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Dimension
Sub Dimension Sub Dimension Level 1 Question Question Sub Dimension Question Sub Dimension Question Attributes Level 2 Attributes Level 3 Attributes Level 4 Attributes
Action Items for Capability Improvement
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None. Rely on the National Weather Service
Performed LEVEL 1
Expanding work with NWS field
Managed
LEVEL 2
Routine coordination with NWS and private sources
Integrated LEVEL 3
In-house expertise for road weather forecasts
Optimized LEVEL 4
Goal
Extreme Weather Overlay Climatologists are consulted as well.
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http://www.ops.fhwa.dot.gov/tsmoframeworktool/cmf_overview.htm
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assessed, reviewed, and action upon on a routine basis?
multidiscipline, multi-agency team or task force, which meets regularly to discuss and plan for TIM activities? Use this framework if:
– Looking for ways to improve TIM institutional capability in the region – TIM SA results have shown a plateauing of scores across the various dimensions
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– You are considering improving existing planned special events planning activities and protocols – Your region has upcoming planned special events that are expected to have significant impacts on the traveling public
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– Your agency has significant upcoming reconstruction and maintenance activity – Considering implementing Work Zone ITS technology within your agency – You are in the middle of updating your state's process review for Work Zones – Your agency is working on a plan to improve work zone safety and mobility
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– You are considering any road weather management deployments such as advanced traffic management technologies and strategies, or implementing maintenance decision support systems – You are considering improving the availability and utilization of weather information in the management decision-making process
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– You are considering updating your traffic signal management program – You are considering major updates to your signal system
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– You are considering Integrated Corridor Management (ICM)
applications in your region – You are changing or reviewing Traffic Management Center (TMC) operations and performance
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Agencies can customize and prioritize actions as part of their planning
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Very little effort made to predict, plan for, and manage expected and actual impacts. Basic agency policies and procedures exist for managing impacts, but application across the
not well understood.
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Policies and procedures to predict, plan for, and manage impacts are integrated and diligently applied throughout
effectiveness of policies/procedures is unknown. Effectiveness of integrated policies and procedures to predict, plan for, and manage impacts are regularly reviewed and critiqued, and improved upon where possible.
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Leads to
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Leads to
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Leads to
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FHWA Order 5520 (2014)
i.e. Extreme Weather and Climate
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7 8 9 10 Complete Failure
Results in total loss or ruin of asset. Asset may be available for limited use after at least 60 days and would require major repair or rebuild over an extended period of time. “Complete and/or catastrophic failure” typically involves:
destinations May sever some utilities. May damage drainage conveyance or storage systems.
4 5 6 Temporary Operational Failure
Results in minor damage and/or disruption to asset. Asset would be available with either full or limited use within 60 days. “Temporary operational failure” typically involves:
the asset
Possible temporary utility failures.
1 2 3 Reduced Capacity
Results in little or negligible impact to asset. Asset would be available with full use within 10 days and has immediate limited use still available. “Reduced capacity” typically involves:
remain open
routes.
Failure
Operational
Capacity
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Business Processes Systems and Technology Performance Measurement Culture Organization and Workforce Collaboration
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Business Processes Plan for resilience Consider climate when estimating benefits Systems and Technology Performance Measurement Culture Organization and Workforce Collaboration
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Static signs. Can close roads if needed.
Performed LEVEL 1
Can warn of ice in critical spots. Loosely defined criteria to do so.
Managed LEVEL 2
Clearly defined roles to set variable speed limits.
Integrated LEVEL 3
Automated weather- responsive traffic control.
Optimized LEVEL 4
Extreme Weather Overlay Weather response plans are reviewed periodically to reflect increases in extreme weather severity or are adaptable to accommodate above-average extreme conditions.
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Superficially; limited direction to meet WZM needs
Performed LEVEL 1
For big projects
Managed LEVEL 2
For all projects and throughout the agency
Integrated LEVEL 3
Outcomes are evaluated to guide improvement
Optimized LEVEL 4
Extreme Weather Overlay The agency's TMPs and TMP development process has been altered to reflect changing weather and weather related impacts to construction and traffic.
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Project-oriented to solve immediate problems at particular spots
Performed LEVEL 1
Plan on a corridor perspective
Managed LEVEL 2
Metropolitan level with limited statewide coordination
Integrated
LEVEL 3
Links at all levels, performance- based objectives
Optimized LEVEL 4
Extreme Weather Overlay Traffic management planning is based
extreme weather events into account
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Business Processes Know where your snowplows are Build for extreme weather Follow developments in connected vehicles Systems and Technology Performance Measurement Culture Organization and Workforce Collaboration
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We repair when
are on paper.
Performed LEVEL 1
Critical locations kept in good
in a spreadsheet.
Managed LEVEL 2
Corridors kept in good repair. Work
electronically
Integrated LEVEL 3
Operations, maintenance, timing, and performance are linked.
Optimized LEVEL 4
Extreme Weather Overlay Existing malfunction detection systems are able to detect malfunctions due to extreme weather and continuity of service can be reestablished under severe weather conditions.
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Business Processes Look backward at trends in your own data Look forward at climate predictions Systems and Technology Performance Measurement Culture Organization and Workforce Collaboration
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Only in special studies
Performed LEVEL 1
Before and after projects
Managed LEVEL 2
At regular intervals to identify trends
Integrated LEVEL 3
Ongoing assessment of defined measures
Optimized LEVEL 4
Extreme Weather Overlay Uptime and downtime during extreme weather events are measured
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Occasionally
Performed LEVEL 1
Periodic field
used for planning
Managed LEVEL 2
Historical and real- time data used for
planning
Integrated LEVEL 3
Continuous monitoring feeds automated decisions
Optimized LEVEL 4
Extreme Weather Overlay The agency is able to determine downtime that can be attributed to extreme weather events and target these most vulnerable systems for resiliency upgrades.
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Business Processes Be “risk averse” rather than “change averse” Old-timers tell newbies about “the big one” Systems and Technology Performance Measurement Culture Organization and Workforce Collaboration
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Primarily through peer exchanges at the operator level
Performed LEVEL 1
PCB for specific maintenance functions
Managed
LEVEL 2
Formal and
all levels
Integrated LEVEL 3
Structured certifications for current and new staff
Optimized LEVEL 4
Extreme Weather Overlay
Training for events of increased severity and increased frequency is offered. Training for events not typically experienced in a region is offered due to evolving weather patterns. Lessons of prior rare events are systematically communicated to incoming staff and refreshed with continuing staff at all levels of the agency.
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the scene.
Performed LEVEL 1
Some alternate routes for major
are shared poorly.
Managed LEVEL 2
Pre-planned routes for major corridors. Basic guides have been established.
Integrated LEVEL 3
Comprehensive guides distributed to all stakeholders. Updated regularly.
Optimized LEVEL 4
Extreme Weather Overlay
Route planning accounts for the possibility of roads closed due to extreme weather events. A network analysis has been completed in consultation with climatologists and climate modelers to identify shifting or emerging hot spots for incidents.
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Business Processes Resilience involves all levels
Systems and Technology Performance Measurement Culture Organization and Workforce Collaboration
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It’s maintenance. Clear the snow and provide safety.
Performed LEVEL 1
Level of service is considered.
Managed LEVEL 2
Performance during weather is understood at all levels.
Integrated
LEVEL 3
Cost efficiency, environmental stewardship are considered, too.
Optimized LEVEL 4
Extreme Weather Overlay Accomplishment of objectives is judged in light of past long-term trends in weather. Objectives for the future account for predicted long-term trends.
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Enough to monitor and respond to incidents
Performed LEVEL 1
Day-to-day traffic control and traveler information
Managed LEVEL 2
Staff can manage the technology
Integrated
LEVEL 3
Decision support tools and automated control strategies
Optimized LEVEL 4
Extreme Weather Overlay Agency has climate experts, meteorologists, and hydrologists on staff to predict and respond to extreme weather events.
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Business Processes Collaboration begins before the storm hits Other agencies within your state Your neighboring DOTs Systems and Technology Performance Measurement Culture Organization and Workforce Collaboration
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None; rely on the NWS
Performed LEVEL 1
Expanding work with NWS field
Managed LEVEL 2
Routine coordination with NWS and private sources
Integrated
LEVEL 3
In-house expertise for road weather forecasts
Optimized LEVEL 4
Extreme Weather Overlay Agency periodically consults with climatologists to predict long-term weather trends. Operations, planning, and design departments regularly coordinate and share information regarding changes in processes due to climate.
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Team Leader Road Weather and Work Zone Management FHWA Office of Operations Paul.Pisano@dot.gov 202-366-1301
Transportation Specialist Road Weather Management FHWA Office of Operations Roemer.Alfelor@dot.gov 202-366-9242