Energy Transition in Germany Energy Transition in Germany The Way - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

▶
energy transition in germany energy transition in germany
SMART_READER_LITE
LIVE PREVIEW

Energy Transition in Germany Energy Transition in Germany The Way - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Sep 27, 2022 1.2k likes •1.39k views

www.volker-quaschning.de Energy Transition in Germany Energy Transition in Germany The Way to a 100% Renewable Electricity Supply The Way to a 100% Renewable Electricity Supply Prof. Dr. Volker Quaschning HTW Berlin University of

slide-1
SLIDE 1
  • Prof. Dr. Volker Quaschning

HTW Berlin – University of Applied Sciences

Energy Transition in Germany – The Way to a 100% Renewable Electricity Supply Energy Transition in Germany – The Way to a 100% Renewable Electricity Supply

www.volker-quaschning.de

US Congress Longworth Building March 12, 2012 Washington DC

slide-2
SLIDE 2
  • Prof. Dr. Volker Quaschning

HTW Berlin – University of Applied Sciences

2

Impact of Climate Change

Source: NASA

slide-3
SLIDE 3
  • Prof. Dr. Volker Quaschning

HTW Berlin – University of Applied Sciences

3

Impact of Climate Change

Source: NASA

slide-4
SLIDE 4
  • Prof. Dr. Volker Quaschning

HTW Berlin – University of Applied Sciences

4

High Risk Areas due to Sea Level Rise

+7 m

Washington DC

Graphic: Norbert Geuder

slide-5
SLIDE 5
  • Prof. Dr. Volker Quaschning

HTW Berlin – University of Applied Sciences

5

High Risk Areas due to Sea Level Rise

Washington DC

Graphic: Norbert Geuder

+70 m

slide-6
SLIDE 6
  • Prof. Dr. Volker Quaschning

HTW Berlin – University of Applied Sciences

5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

CO2 emissions related to energy

Mt former CO2 emissions reduction path for the two degree target

6

Global Requirements for Climate Protection

data: WRI, IEA, PIK-Potsdam

slide-7
SLIDE 7
  • Prof. Dr. Volker Quaschning

HTW Berlin – University of Applied Sciences

Some Nuclear Incidents with Impact on Germany

7

Chernobyl accident 1986 Forsmark near-accident 2006 Asse radioactive storage disaster 2007

slide-8
SLIDE 8
  • Prof. Dr. Volker Quaschning

HTW Berlin – University of Applied Sciences

8

Goals for Renewable Electricity of German Parties

Federal Government

shutdown of nuclear power until 2022 >80% renewables until 2050

Opposition

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2050 2030 2020 2010 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2050 2030 2020 2010

100% renewables until 2030 75% renewables until 2030

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2050 2030 2020 2010

slide-9
SLIDE 9
  • Prof. Dr. Volker Quaschning

HTW Berlin – University of Applied Sciences

Installed Renewable Capacity in Germany

9

slide-10
SLIDE 10
  • Prof. Dr. Volker Quaschning

HTW Berlin – University of Applied Sciences

100 200 300 400 500 600 700 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 Gross electricity demand in TWh fossil power nuclear power import (renewable) photovoltaic wind power geothermal power biomass hydropower

10

Gross Electricity Demand in Germany

HTW scenario: climate protection and sustainable development 20 % 100 %

slide-11
SLIDE 11
  • Prof. Dr. Volker Quaschning

HTW Berlin – University of Applied Sciences

Power Generation of a 100 % Renewable Power Supply

11

mean monthly power generation and demand

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 solar import geothermal hydro power biomass wind power photovoltaics gross demand GW

slide-12
SLIDE 12
  • Prof. Dr. Volker Quaschning

HTW Berlin – University of Applied Sciences

Storage Solutions for a Renewable Electricity Supply

12

decentralized battery storage electrolysis methanization water

  • xygen

hydrogen carbon dioxide water methane natural gas storage natural gas power station natural gas grid

heat electricity excess electricity

slide-13
SLIDE 13
  • Prof. Dr. Volker Quaschning

HTW Berlin – University of Applied Sciences

20 40 60 80 100 120 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020

coal or nuclear power PV Germany, roof PV Germany, open space PV North Africa wind power domestic electricity price

ct/kWh

Development of Electricity Prices

13

grid parity

slide-14
SLIDE 14
  • Prof. Dr. Volker Quaschning

HTW Berlin – University of Applied Sciences

10 20 30 40 50 60 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 ct/kWh domestic PV domestic fuel oil +5% .p.a. domestic fuel oil +3% p.a. domestic fuel oil +1% p.a.

Cost Development of Domestic Fuels

14

Assumptions: Boiler efficiency 80%, calorific value of fuel oil 10.5 kWh/l

  • il

parity

slide-15
SLIDE 15
  • Prof. Dr. Volker Quaschning

HTW Berlin – University of Applied Sciences

5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 TWh

Expected Share of PV for the Global Electricity Supply

15

0.3 % 50 %

Assumptions: 30% market growth per year until 2025, then 550 GW p.a.

today GER: 3.5 % USA: 0.05 %

slide-16
SLIDE 16
  • Prof. Dr. Volker Quaschning

HTW Berlin – University of Applied Sciences

Thank you for your Attention

16

www.volker-quaschning.de

For further reading…