ON ENERGY TRANSITION THE COMPLEMENTARITY OF ENERGY EFFICIENCY and - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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ON ENERGY TRANSITION THE COMPLEMENTARITY OF ENERGY EFFICIENCY and - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

5th MEDENER INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ENERGY TRANSITION THE COMPLEMENTARITY OF ENERGY EFFICIENCY and RENEWABLE ENERGY IN THE ENERGY TRANSITION CHALLENGE Dominique CAMPANA Director of International Affairs ADEME 30 November 2017 Lisbon 30


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SLIDE 1

THE COMPLEMENTARITY OF ENERGY EFFICIENCY and RENEWABLE ENERGY IN THE ENERGY TRANSITION CHALLENGE

Dominique CAMPANA Director of International Affairs

ADEME

30 November 2017

Lisbon 30 November 2017

5th MEDENER INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ENERGY TRANSITION

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SLIDE 2

MEDITERRANEAN ENERGY TRANSITION SCENARIO

  • OME –MEDENER – ADEME Partnerships
  • Horizon : 2030 – 2040
  • Mediterranean Countries modelisation based on NDC and INDC’s
  • Not forecast , but trends

OUTPUTS

  • REDUCTION of ENERGY DEMAND :
  • 30% on Primary Energy
  • 23 % on Final Energy Consumption
  • RENEWABLE ENERGY:

27 % of Energy Mix RE = 1st Source for Electricity Production

  • CO2 EMISSIONS:

Reduced by 38 %

  • POWER CAPACITY:

~ 200 GW of Avoided fossil Fuel Capacity for Electric Production

Lisbon 30 November 2017

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SLIDE 3

200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040

Mtep

Energy Transition Scenario Conservative scenario

  • 30%

Lisbon 30 November 2017

Primary energy demand TS By 2040,

 30% energy savings

Energy Demand by Region

Different shores, different energy paths with primary energy demand to increase by 46% in the Med, but by 85% in the South. The NDCs would allow for a total energy demand increase of only 4% to 2030, far from the expected with current trends.

MEDITERRANEAN ENERGY DEMAND

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SLIDE 4

Lisbon 30 November 2017

Energy Mix

Renewable Energy - 1st source for Production of Electricity 80 % of electricity Capacity production by 2040 2/3 of Electric Production coming from RES by 2040

Final Energy Consumption by Sources

RENEWABLE ENERGY

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SLIDE 5

Final Energy Consumption by Sectors Final Energy Consumption by Region

Lisbon 30 November 2017

22 % : BUILDING

ENERGY SAVINGS POTENTIAL in TS

KEY FACTS

  • Plus 105 Millions inhabitants (90% south), ~50 Mi Housing
  • Energy consumption from south higher than North
  • Building share is 35 % of final Consumption

 Priority : New Efficient building

BUILDING: A KEY SECTOR in MEDITERRANEAN ENERGY TRANSITION

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SLIDE 6

THE WAY TO ENERGY TRANSITION IN THE MEDITERRANEAN

  • Involvment of all Actors : Consumers, Private, Public, Local to National Administrations…..
  • Key sectors to focus EE measures:

 Buildings (conception and equipment),  Transport

(technical and modal shift) and

 Efficient and Smart Energy Networks

  • More ambitious Renewable Energy deployment in the South

Lisbon 30 November 2017

Key Issues

KEY CHALLENGES: Climate Resilient Cities and Sustainable Urban Environment

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SLIDE 7

URBAN DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES

Lisbon 30 November 2017

Fast Urbanisation in Africa and Asia

  • 1,3 Billions Urbans in Africa by

2050 (X3 between 2015 et 2050),

  • Megacities often on the Sea side,

vulnerable to CC

Huge Housings Needs

« 50 % of the CO2 Credit by 2050 issued from

Urbanisation »

Jean Jouzel IPCC Climate Scientist

The City of Tomorow !

  • New or Refurbished blocks of buildings toward

Zero Energy Buildings

  • Smart grid at the City Scale for Massive Integration of RES into

the grid and demand response

  • Sustainable mobility through mobility services, interoperability
  • f transport modes, electro-mobility, ….
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SLIDE 8

Improve Thermal quality

  • f external walls

Inertia Thermal Insulation color Improve energy performance of Heating Equipments Improve Thermal quality of framings & glazing Insure solar protection of glazed openings Improve Thermal quality of roofs (Thermal Insulation / color) Solar Domestic Hot Water Heating Improve Optical quality of glazing Reduce Non- controlled Outside Air intakes Improve energy performance of Household Equipments Improve energy performance of AC Equipments Solar PV / wind Domestic Electricity

ENERGY TRANSITION IN BUILDINGS

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SLIDE 9

A KEY ISSUE: AIR CONDITIONNING

Tunis, le 12 /09 /2013

Households AC rate AC Electric Consumption per households

Source MEDENER

Modern Buildings in Mediterranean are large consumers of Energy and Ressources (Water, Materials and Land …)

  • Resorting to Cooling Systems, very Energy consuming
  • Modern Architecture too often Non Adpated to climate
  • Use of Low Energy Efficient Equipements ( AC, lighting, ….

+ 35% Air Conditionning Electricity / year (40% of the peak period Tunisia, Algeria )

2010 2000

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SLIDE 10

100 200 300 400 500 600

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 Index 1990 = 100 Space cooling Appliances and other equipment Lighting Water heating Cooking Space heating

World Level

Air-conditioner is and will remain the energy use equipment with the highest rate of growth by 2050

Source: Global ABC Status report 2017

A KEY ISSUE: AIR CONDITIONNING (2)

Source: Worl Bank 2015

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SLIDE 11

Lisbon 30 November 2017

Non Hydro Renewables grow by almost 50% over 2014-2020 driven by :

  • Fast growing Demand ( 4 to 6 % /year)
  • Excellent Ressources
  • Diversification of Needs
  • Increasingly Attractive Economics

Additional Power capacity to 2030 in the South

Avoided Capacity NDCs scenario 40 GW Transition scenario 58GW More than ¾ of additional Capacity would be renewable based.

RENEWABLE ENERGY DEPLOYEMENT in SOUTH

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SLIDE 12

12

INTEGRATING RENEWABLE ENERGY & ENERGY EFFICIENCY ? CHALLENGES for EFFICIENT NETWORKS

  • 2. Developping Demand Side

Management

  • Consumer acceptability
  • Technology developpment to lower material

costs, software developpment

  • Acquire knowledge about DSM efficiency
  • 1. Facilitating RES integration
  • Forecast
  • Storage
  • Ancillary services
  • 3. Integrating new uses for electricity and

deploying new business models

  • Smart charge for Electrical
  • Production agregator
  • Load shifting agregator
  • Erasing rather than Producing

Constraints and Challenges in South

  • Intermittent production from RES (Wind + PV)
  • At present, A limited rate of integration of RES
  • Grid Management at low charge periods
  • Overcosts of RES development (grid enforcement,

storage, additional reserve…)

Limited interconexions at regional level

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SLIDE 13

MOBILISING ALL ACTORS

Lisbon 30 November 2017

MOBILISING ALL THE ACTORS

  • Institutionnal and Administrations
  • Local Authorities
  • Private and public Sectors, financing Institutions

And Among all

  • The Civil Society (, General public, citizens, households, NGO’s …)

– LOCAL INFORMATION CENTRE for public information and advice

  • PIME (Point Information Maîtrise de l’énergie) Network and ACTE ( Alliance Collectivité

Transition Energétique) in Tunisia

  • 1st Centre Info-Energie (CIE) , Chefchaouen within Jiha Tinou programme, Morocco
  • EIE Programme ( Espace Info Energie) and PTRE ( Plateforme pour la Rénovation

Energétique),

DEVELOPPING CAPACTY-BUILDING ( MOOC, Training, Exchanges ….)

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SLIDE 14

CONCLUSION

Lisbon 30 November 2017

  • Mobilising All Actors
  • Technology, Organisational, Social Innovation
  • Associating the populations
  • International Cooperation
  • Exchanges of Good practices

Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy , The Two Pillars for the Energy Transition in Mediterranean

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SLIDE 15

Thank you

www.ademe.fr/ www.medener.org/