DUBLIN UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT 2019 Demographics Report 11/12/19 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

2019 Demographics Report 11/12/19

DUBLIN UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT

Existing Elementary Boundaries

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Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Cottonwood Creek Cottonwood Creek Cottonwood Creek Cottonwood Creek Cottonwood Creek Cottonwood Creek Cottonwood Creek Cottonwood Creek Cottonwood Creek Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem

Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Nielsen Nielsen Nielsen Nielsen Nielsen Nielsen Nielsen Nielsen Nielsen Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle New High New High New High New High New High New High New High New High New High School School School School School School School School School New Middle New Middle New Middle New Middle New Middle New Middle New Middle New Middle New Middle

Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem

Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem

Current Middle School Boundaries

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Cottonwood Creek Cottonwood Creek Cottonwood Creek Cottonwood Creek Cottonwood Creek Cottonwood Creek Cottonwood Creek Cottonwood Creek Cottonwood Creek Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle

Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Nielsen Nielsen Nielsen Nielsen Nielsen Nielsen Nielsen Nielsen Nielsen Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle New High New High New High New High New High New High New High New High New High School School School School School School School School School New Middle New Middle New Middle New Middle New Middle New Middle New Middle New Middle New Middle Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem

Current High School Boundary

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Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Nielsen Nielsen Nielsen Nielsen Nielsen Nielsen Nielsen Nielsen Nielsen Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle New High New High New High New High New High New High New High New High New High School School School School School School School School School New Middle New Middle New Middle New Middle New Middle New Middle New Middle New Middle New Middle

Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High

Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem

20/21 21/22 22/23 23/24 24/25 25/26 School Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Totals Amador Elem 147 45 24 216 Cottonwood Creek (K-5) 77 50 50 177 Dublin Elem 3 15 18 Kolb Elem 125 200 200 525 Murray Elem 407 463 594 523 94 2,081 Elementary Totals 634 523 618 648 344 250 3,017 Cottonwood Creek (6-8) 77 50 50 177 Fallon Middle 147 45 24 125 200 200 741 Wells Middle 410 478 594 523 94 2,099 Middle Totals 634 523 618 648 344 250 3,017 Dublin High 634 523 618 648 344 250 3,017 High Totals 634 523 618 648 344 250 3,017

Dublin Unified School District

New Development Construction

Housing Units per Year

New Developments

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Remaining 6 Year Remaining 6 Year ID Name Units Projection ID Name Units Projection 1 Apex in Dublin 45 45 8 Schaefer Ranch 3 18 18 2 Ashton at Dublin Station 220 220 9 St Patrick Way SDR 499 499 3 At Dublin 660 525 10 Tassajara Hills 196 196 4 Boulevard 1,362 1,362 11 Wallis Ranch 20 20 5 Croak Property 250 12 Wanmei 19 6 Grand View Project 338 100 7 Jordan Ranch 32 32 Totals 3,659 3,017

Development Impacts

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Dublin Unified School District Student Yield Rate Analysis Condo/ High Density Projected 2010 Single Family Townhome Apartment Apartment Average 2010 2010 Student Student Student Student Student Student Grade Students in District Housing Units Yield Rate Yield Rate Yield Rate Yield Rate Yield Rate Yield Rate Total TK-6 3,751 15,081 0.2487 0.5804 0.3861 0.1364 0.0682 0.3345 Total 7-8 879 15,081 0.0583 0.0804 0.0495 0.0324 0.0162 0.0490 Total 9-12 1,626 15,081 0.1078 0.1071 0.0297 0.0324 0.0162 0.0487 Total 6,256 0.4148 0.7679 0.4653 0.2012 0.1006 0.4322 Based on 2010 Census Data for school district. Dublin Unified Generation Rates from Re-sales 2017 Boundary Re-sales K-5 6-8 9-12 Total Yield Amador Elem 11 6 3 2 11 1.0000 Cottonwood Creek 2 1 1 1 3 1.5000 Dougherty Elem 16 6 3 1 10 0.6250 Dublin Elem 46 17 3 20 0.4348 Frederiksen Elem 22 5 4 5 14 0.6364 Green Elem 21 7 3 10 0.4762 Kolb Elem 54 21 4 4 29 0.5370 Murray Elem 19 7 4 1 12 0.6316 Totals 191 70 25 14 109 0.5707 Average Yield Rate: 0.3665 0.1309 0.0733 0.5707 2019 students

Student Distribution

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Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Green Elem Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Fallon Middle Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem Dougherty Elem New High New High New High New High New High New High New High New High New High School School School School School School School School School New Middle New Middle New Middle New Middle New Middle New Middle New Middle New Middle New Middle Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Dublin Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Murray Elem Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Dublin High Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Frederiksen Elem Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Wells Middle Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Kolb Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Cottonwood Creek Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Amador Elem Nielsen Nielsen Nielsen Nielsen Nielsen Nielsen Nielsen Nielsen Nielsen

Student Grade Levels

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1029 1084 1064 1099 1029 959 988 930 935 859 833 812 783 1029 960 951 929 899 776 766 686 660 593 553 553 487 K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 200 400 600 800 1000 1200

CURRENT GRADE

Cohort Change Since Kindergarten

19/20 Enrollment Original K Class

Kindergarten and Birth Data

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*Kindergarten Totals may include some Transitional Kindergarten students for some of the past years to more accurately correlate a 12-month period of births to a 12-month period of enrollment.

553 553 593 660 728 816 830 899 929 951 960 1029 1070 983 908 941 579 567 614 679 723 740 683 665 649 715 773 808 882 845 815 885

200 400 600 800 1000 1200 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

School Year (Births are 5 years earlier)

Kindergarten Projections based on Births

K* students Births

Historic K* Enrollment compared to Births K Projections

3301 3601 3923 4453 4938 5386 5728 5957 6260 6423 6747 6895 6951 7016 7005 6971 6978 7063 7223 7409 1329 1413 1564 1840 2095 2266 2397 2537 2722 2842 2912 3058 3219 3419 3556 3639 3675 3622 3498 3401 1626 1733 1838 1977 2118 2313 2555 2801 3078 3292 3513 3644 3845 4012 4124 4322 4439 4639 4783 4820 6256 6747 7325 8270 9151 9965 10680 11294 12060 12562 13172 13597 14015 14447 14685 14932 15092 15324 15504 15630 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 21/22 22/23 23/24 24/25 25/26 26/27 27/28 28/29 29/30

Students YEAR

10 Year Enrollment History & 10 Year Enrollment Projection

K-5 6-8 9-12 SDC

Enrollment Projections

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