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DOI NG MORE WI T H L E SS: I MPROVE D CONF I DE NCE L E VE L S VI A RE DE SI GNE D AMMUNI T I ON QUAL I F I CAT I ON T E ST I NG A me tho d to impro ve sma ll a rms a mmunitio n q ua lific a tio n fo r use in


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SLIDE 1

DOI NG MORE WI T H L E SS: I MPROVE D CONF I DE NCE L E VE L S VI A RE DE SI GNE D AMMUNI T I ON QUAL I F I CAT I ON T E ST I NG

A me tho d to impro ve sma ll a rms a mmunitio n q ua lific a tio n fo r use in e xisting ADF sma ll a rms we a po nry using sta tistic a l te st te c hniq ue s a pplie d within the US De fe nse De pa rtme nt Mr Ro y He nry / Dr K e ith Jo ine r CSC

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SLIDE 2

SCOPE

  • Why T

his

  • Ba c kg ro und
  • Curre nt T

e st - DMSP

  • Pro b le m
  • Histo ry – 6000 ro unds
  • Pro po sa l
  • Old vs Ne w – Ro und / T

e st De sig n

  • Summa ry
  • Re c o mme nda tio ns
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SLIDE 3

WHY T HI S

  • ADF

de sire to I I S ne w a mmunitio n

  • I

wa nte d to unde rsta nd the te st re g ime

  • T

e sts a ppe a re d unne c e ssa rily re pe titive

  • Oppo rtunity to study it – a nd a pply so und

princ iple s to re de sig n the te st

  • Dr K

e ith Jo ine r’ s Adva nc e d T e st a nd E va lua tio n Co urse

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SLIDE 4

BACK GROUND

  • Po lic y: ADFDMSP-1QMS (E

NG) 12-8-031 Safe ty and suitab ility fo r Australian se rvic e (S3) asse ssme nt fo r small arms we apo n syste ms

  • Pre do mina te ly b a se d o ff two sta nda rds:
  • NAT

O ST ANAG 4608 Ammunitio n b e lo w 12.7mm Cal De sig n Safe ty Re q uire me nts

and Safe ty and Suitab ly fo r Se rvic e

  • NAT

O AC / 225 D/ 14 E

valuatio n Pro c e dure s fo r F uture NAT O Small Arms We apo ns Syste ms, 6 Jul 01

  • E

ndsta te

  • “Ob tain Suffic ie nt OQE

to suppo rt T e c hnic al Ce rtific atio n o f syste m (we apo n and ammunitio n)”

  • T

he syste m is the re fo re sa fe to c o nduc t ma nne d firing , use r tria ls o r intro duc e ne w a mmunitio n or we a po ns into se rvic e .

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SLIDE 5

CURRE NT T E ST : DMSP

  • Outline s the fo ur diffe re nt te sts:
  • Ma nne d firing c le a ra nc e
  • Use r T

ria l

  • Pro visio na l De sig n Autho rity / T

C with Co nc )

  • F

ull De sig n Autho rity / T e c h Ce rt)

  • Amb ig uo us a nd c o ntra dic to ry in pa rts
  • 6000 ro und “e ndura nc e ” re q uire me nt

*T a ke n fro m DSMP, T a b le 2

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SLIDE 6

CURRE NT T E ST : ROUND COUNT

  • One Ammunitio n T

ype

  • Minimum 18 260 r
  • unds

re q uire d (3 we a po ns)

  • With Suppre ssor – ne w

Ste yr

  • 36000 ro unds
  • 1200 ma g a zine s
  • ~5h to lo a d (2 ro unds /

se c o nd)

  • 12000 r
  • unds pe r

we a po n – inc re dib le use a g e

20 240 1320 6000 3960 18000 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 20000 T e c hnic a l Ma nne d F iring Use r T ria l Ma nne d F iring Ad vic e (One T e mpe ra ture ) S3 fo r Pro visio na l De sig n Ac c e p ta nc e S3 fo r full De sig n Ac c e p ta nc e

NUMBE R OF ROUNDS

A m o unt o f ro und s re q uire d IA W DMSP fo r e a c h sta g e

One we a po n T hre e We a po ns

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SLIDE 7

PROBL E M

  • T

e st Pa ra me te rs:

  • E

xte rna l Ba llistic s

  • E

ndura nc e

  • T

e mpe ra ture a sse ssme nt

  • F

unc tio n a nd Ca sua lty

  • 6000 ro unds fire d o ve r fo ur disc re te

te mpe ra ture ra ng e s

  • -46 OC
  • -6 OC
  • +21 OC
  • +71 OC
  • T

e st Outputs:

  • Muzzle Ve lo c ity
  • Ac c ura c y (Gro up)
  • MPI

shift

  • E

je c tio n Pa tte rn

  • We a po n / Ammunitio n fa ilure s

1050 1050 1050 1800 1050 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000

Bre a kd o wn o f the 6000 Ro und s

T e mp .-46 oC T e mp .-6 oC T e mp 21 oC T e mp 21 oC T e mp 71 oC

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SLIDE 8

HI ST ORY - 6000 ROUNDS

Quirk o f histo ry whic h ha s b e e n a pplie d to a mmunitio n q ua lific a tio n te sting Pro duc tio n T e sting , L

  • t a c c e pta nc e , Se rvic e a b ility Re g ime s

T e sts a re We a pon F

  • c use d

1987 M4A1 Mil Spe c MIL

  • C- 70599

1995 Ar my(AUST ) 6443 Austr alian Ste yr F 88 2007 US T OP 3- 2- 045 Small Ar ms – Hand and Shoulde r We apons 2001 NAT O D/ 14

Pro duc tio n L

  • t

Ac c e ptanc e 5 in e ve ry 500 we apo ns Pro duc tio n L

  • t

Ac c e ptanc e 1 in e ve ry 7500 QA pro g ram “de te rmine the func tio ning and e nduranc e pe rfo rmanc e o f the we apo n b e havio ur and se rvic e ab ility o f all parts” “de te rmine the func tio nal life o f the we apo n and its c o mpo ne nt parts. …data he lps e stab lish lo g istic al re q uire me nts fo r parts sto c kag e and re plac e me nt sc he dule s…”

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SLIDE 9

ANAL OGY

F ue l is the ‘ a mmunitio n’ fo r the c a r (We a po n) Ca r ne e ds to drive lo ng dista nc e (6000km) witho ut fa lling a pa rt Qua lity o f c a r b e ing te ste d, no t fue l Yo u do n’ t drive lo ng dista nc e a s a te st e a c h time yo u c ha ng e fue l pro vide rs…

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SLIDE 10

PROPOSAL : AMMUNI T I ON S3 RE I MAGI NE D

DOE inspire d mo de l o f the a mmunitio n q ua lific a tio n syste m

  • Assumptio ns:
  • OE

M ha s q ua lifie d ro und

  • Ro und ha s unde rg o ne

c e rtific a tio n/ c o mplia nc e a c tivitie s

  • I

n pro duc tio n / use with o the r use rs

Y4 – E je c tio n pa tte rn re duc e d in sc o pe a s de e me d q ua lita tive me a sure

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SLIDE 11

PROPOSAL : I MPROVI NG ST AT I ST I CAL CONF I DE NCE

  • Use d Pro je c tile Ve lo c ity a s the b a sis
  • Ve lo c ity is dire c tly re la te d to g ro up size , a nd the re fo re MPI
  • shift. Slo we r ve lo c itie s me a n the

pro je c tile dro ps q uic ke r (a nd vic e ve rsa )

  • Sta nda rd De via tio n o f 6m/ s wa s use d a s re pre se nta tive o f ma ss pro duc e d fa c to ry

a mmunitio n

  • One sa mple e q ua te s to five ro unds
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SLIDE 12

PROPOSAL : DOE I NSPI RE D RE SUL T

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SLIDE 13

OL D VS NE W ROUND COUNT COMPARI SON

  • 92% re duc tion in

ro unds / te sting

  • Re duc e d
  • L

a b o ur

  • L

a b o ra to ry time

  • F

unding

  • Wa ste
  • Sa ving s c a n b e

re inve ste d in o the r a re a s

20 240 3960 18000 20 220 1140 1380

2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 20000 T e c hnic a l Ma nne d F iring Use r T ria l Ma nne d F iring Advic e (One T e mpe ra ture ) S3 fo r Pro visio na l De sig n Ac c e pta nc e S3 fo r full De sig n Ac c e pta nc e

Curre nt vs Propose d Ammunition Usa g e

Curre nt DMSP Pro po se d DOE Mo d e l

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SLIDE 14

OL D VE RSE S NE W T E ST COMPARI SON

  • Gre e n = simila r
  • Ora ng e = mo difie d
  • Re d = re mo ve d
  • Mo re stre a mline d
  • 18260 vs 1400

Ro unds

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SLIDE 15

SUMMARY

  • Pro po se d T

e st re g ime de mo nstra te s tha t te st da ta q ua lity is no t c o mpro mise d a nd a mo re info rme d a ppro a c h c a n b e ta ke n fo r full te c hnic a l c e rtific a tio n

  • T

he re se a rc h fo und the 6000-ro und pe r we a po n re q uire me nt pro b a b ly de rive d fro m we a po n q ua lific a tio n sta nda rds ra the r tha n a mmunitio n q ua lific a tio n sta nda rds.

  • T

he re se a rc h ha s pro po se s a first-princ iple d a nd sta tistic a lly rig o ro us ra tio na le fo r suc h S3 te sting b a se d o n wha t the S3 o utput re spo nse s sho uld b e a nd the use o f U.S. Do D de sig n-o f-e xpe rime nt te c hniq ue s.

  • T

he histo ric a l c o nte xt c o mb ine d with the a na lysis a tte mpts to sho w tha t e ndura nc e te sting sho uld b e b y e xc e ptio n o nly.

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SLIDE 16

RE COMME NDAT I ONS

  • ADF

ha s a n o ppo rtunity to re visit the c urre nt sma ll a rms a mmunitio n S3 te sting pro c e dure (DMSP, 2015) to :

  • re mo ve the ide ntifie d a mb ig uitie s a nd inc o nsiste nc ie s
  • impro ve its a pplic a b ility,
  • re mo ve the de fa ult e ndura nc e re q uire me nt
  • spe c ify sta tistic a lly g uide d te sting within re q uire d c o nfide nc e limits to pro vide a mo re

info rme d o utc o me so a s to a c hie ve a signific ant r

e duc tion in te st time and r e sour c e s

  • se e k US AT

E C DOE disc ussio n to c o nfirm o ur a ppro a c h

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SLIDE 17

DOI NG MORE WI T H L E SS: I MPROVE D CONF I DE NCE L E VE L S VI A RE DE SI GNE D AMMUNI T I ON QUAL I F I CAT I ON T E ST I NG

Mr Ro y He nry / Dr K e ith Jo ine r CSC Ba c kg ro und Curre nt T e st - DMSP Pro b le m Histo ry – 6000 ro unds Pro po sa l Old vs Ne w T e st Summa ry Re c o mme nda tio ns