Energy Investments for Disaster Resilience Climate Resilience Webinar Series U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development
Disclaimer • This presentation is intended to provide communities and states with the tools and information to help in climate resilience planning and activities. • Information presented in this webinar is independent of the Notice of Funding Availability (NOFA) for the National Disaster Resilience Competition (NDRC). While we expect that this information will be useful to interested communities and eligible applicants, it should not be construed as the definitive word on any singular approach to resilience . • All NOFA NDRC questions should be sent to: resilientrecovery@hud.gov 2
Presenter • USGBC • Jason Hartke • Clean Energy States Alliance • Rob Sanders 3
Agenda 1. Overview 2. Energy and Resiliency 3. Synergy: Integrating Resiliency 4. Clean Energy Group's Community Resilient Power Work 5. A Baltimore Case Study 6. Finance Options 7. Resilient Power Programs and Projects 4
The Next Leadership Challenge: Advancing the Resiliency Agenda A Multi-Layered Engagement “From the White House to the State Houses, City Halls to community leaders, the private sector to the civil society organizations, we need to set new standards for resilience.” A New Agenda “The resiliency agenda will require a deep and profound reassessment of our priorities.” A Preparedness Agenda “We need to be ready, not surprised” An Action Agenda “While the human condition can never be free of risk, if we are to have regrets, let us not regret our inaction” 5
Resilient Buildings, Resilient Cities Our Focus: Synergy Connectivity Capacity 6
How We’re Organizing to Meet the Challenge Advocacy & Outreach → A National Campaign: RC4A → Leadership Speaker Series → Policy Platform Research & Resources → The New Orleans Principles → Sustainable Rebuilding Guidelines → Green Buildings and Climate Resilience → Climate Resiliency Screen Tool Partnerships & Initiatives → Community Resiliency Task Force → Resiliency Initiative on Global Urban Readiness (RIGUR) → ICLEI, USCM, NLC, C40, BGA, CGI 7
The Case for Strong Buildings A First Defense in Safeguarding Our Cities → Where we live, work, learn and play → Buildings are the focus of commercial activity → As assets, they represent huge economic value → We spend 90% of our time in buildings (shelters from the storm) 8
The Art of Being Prepared 9
Vulnerable to What? RESILIENT BUILDINGS = ULTIMATE PLACED-BASED VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT → Regional climate sensitivities (i.e., localized threats such as rising seas or floods or droughts) → Building connections (i.e., to the grid, transportation systems, water, etc.) → Building location adaptive responses 10
Vulnerable to What? F or example… → Analysis defies conventional wisdom → Annual electricity up 4-11% → Annual NG up 24-36% bc of colder winters → Top 3 technologies to • All scenarios indicated cooler winters. adapt: • One scenario said warmer summers required lower Improved roof cooling loads. (because drier conditions reduced the need for dehumidification) insulation • Off-the-shelf technologies addressed all adaptations Upgrade water chillers required. Energy recovery • The danger of averages: conditions in the study ventilation location were significantly different than locations even 100 miles away, where a different suite of technologies would be required. 11
Connecting the Dots ADAPTATION + MITIGATION SYNERGIES → Identify strategies → Maximize use 12
Synergy: Hitting the Ground Running 13
Integrating Resilience → A new dimension to existing decisions. → An opportunity to prepare for future conditions. → An opportunity to enhance and sustain performance. 14
Synergy: Green and Resilient 1. Analyzed the climate change effects on the built environment. 2. Linked resilient and adaptive building strategies to green building. 3. Identified specific strategies and gaps. 4. Developed a tool to maximize resiliency best practices 15
‘No Regret’ & Resilient Strategies No Regrets Resilient Envelope 7 17 Siting and Landscaping 12 8 Heating, Cooling, & 11 1 Lighting Water and Waste 6 3 Equipment 3 6 Process & Operations 4 3 16
CLIMATE MITIGATION & ADAPTATION CO-BENEFITS ENERGY EFFICIENCY (EE) MITIGATION ADAPTATION → Energy savings → Reduces a building’s dependence on → Reduced Emissions centralized energy grid → Reduces risk of power disruptions 17
Building Performance Buildings are designed based on historic conditions e.g., Typical Meteorological Year Future conditions are unlikely to match historic assumptions e.g., minimum rise of 1.5 ° C by 2020; potential for >5 ° C 18
Building Performance Preparing for Future Conditions Excess Energy Demand Increasing Human Health Risks Lower Passive Survivability 19
Stormwater Management Stormwater control strategies are based on historic design storms e.g., storm intensity, frequency Trends indicate an increased frequency of high-intensity precipitation events e.g., in New England +28% in 20 years, +127% in 90 years 20
Change in Runoff 35 Performance under historic 30 Performance in 2020 Performance in 2100 (kilograms/acre/year) Increase in pollution 25 conditions TSS 20 Phosphorus 15 Nitrogen 10 5 0 Year 1 +20 yrs +90 years 21 Source: Pyke, Warren, et al. (2011) Assessment of low impact development for managing stormwater due to climate
Changes in Runoff 35 30 25 Excess Runoff Volumes Axis Title Excess Nutrient Pollution 20 TSS Impacts on Aquatic Ecosystems Phosphorus 15 Increasing Human Health Risks Nitrogen Increasing Risks to Property 10 5 0 Year 1 +20 yrs +90 years Axis Title 22 Source: Pyke, Warren, et al. (2011) Assessment of low impact development for managing stormwater due to climate climate
HOW DO WE MAXIMIZE THESE CO-BENEFITS ACROSS CATEGORIES (energy, water, etc) The LEED Climate Resilience Screening Tool → Provides a practical framework to identify climate sensitivities and prioritize opportunities to promote resilience through green building practice 23
How do we maximize these co-benefits The LEED Climate Resilience Screening Tool 24
How do we maximize these co-benefits WHAT THE TOOL TELLS US: → A significant number of commonly used green building strategies rely on assumptions about historical climatic conditions. Thus, future conditions will put performance at risk . → A large set of green building strategies help promote climate resilience. For example, the LEED ND rating system in temperate climate zone has 40% of its credit outcomes sensitive to changing climate conditions and 78% of its credits offer resiliency opportunities . → Variations exist in the results among different rating systems. The largest variations are found in tropical and coastal climate zones, indicating a high vulnerability to storm surge/sea level rise, extreme heat & humidity. 25
What’s Next? Insights for key stakeholders → Policymakers can use the tool to identify which LEED system and credits enhance resilience, providing reference for policy creation and building standards → Green building project teams can apply the framework to identify and target credits that offer the best adaptation opportunities → Rating system developers can use the tool to evaluate LEED credit performance and help recommend new resilience credits 26
Making the Business Case Reduced Operating Expenses Increased Government Productivity Incentives Improved Investment Health Returns 27
Energy Investment for Disaster Resilience in Low Income Communitites Energy Investment for Disaster Resilience in Low Income Communities November 21, 2014 Robert Sanders, Clean Energy Group Senior Finance Director
Who We Are resilient-power.org cleanegroup.org 29
History of CEG and Resilient Power 30
Sandy and Power “Extensive power outages during Sandy affected millions of residents and resulted in substantial economic loss to communities. Despite the size and power of Hurricane Sandy, this was not inevitable: resilient energy solutions could have helped limit power outages.“ Hurricane Sandy Rebuilding Strategy: Stronger Communities, A Resilient Region (Aug. 2013) 31
Extreme Weather Events & Power Outages 32
Extreme Weather Events & Power Outages 33
Extreme Weather Events & Power Outages 34
Extreme Weather and Low-Income Communities • Extreme weather causes power outages and higher electricity prices — disproportionately affecting the poor and vulnerable. • Severe climate-related, weather events cause disproportionate harm to low-income Americans. • Low-income & elderly populations are the most vulnerable to high or low temperatures during power outages. • Low-income areas have more difficulty responding & recovering from destruction. • They lack income, savings, employment, insurance, communication channels & information – less resilient after severe weather. 35
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