Delta Counties Coalition Discussion on Alternatives to CA WaterFix - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Delta Counties Coalition Discussion on Alternatives to CA WaterFix - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Delta Counties Coalition Discussion on Alternatives to CA WaterFix Don Nottoli, Sacramento County Supervisor Chuck Winn, San Joaquin County Supervisor Katherine Miller, San Joaquin County Supervisor Diane Burgis, Contra Costa County Supervisor


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Delta Counties Coalition Discussion on Alternatives to CA WaterFix

Don Nottoli, Sacramento County Supervisor Chuck Winn, San Joaquin County Supervisor Katherine Miller, San Joaquin County Supervisor Diane Burgis, Contra Costa County Supervisor August 25, 2017

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Delta Counties Coalition Discussion on Alternatives to CA WaterFix

Introduction

Overview: Delta Counties Coalition

Alternatives to CA WaterFix

Presentation by Dr. Jeffrey Michael, University of the Pacific

How can we work together?

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Delta Counties Coalition Discussion on Alternatives to CA WaterFix

Overview: Delta Counties Coalition

The DCC works to give one voice to the Delta.

Our goals: improve the Delta ecosystem, provide a more reliable water supply for the State, and protect and enhance Delta communities.

The DCC works with local, state, and federal stakeholders to develop and implement solutions that address California’s water issues in a comprehensive, sustainable manner.

The DCC is about a diversified approach to CA water needs.

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Delta Counties Coalition Discussion on Alternatives to CA WaterFix

Invest in statewide and regional water storage

Upgrade current infrastructure

Levee system improvements

Conservation/water use efficiency

Environmental restoration Alternatives to CA WaterFix

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COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF WATERFIX TO ALTERNATIVE PORTFOLIOS: JOBS, WATER SUPPLY, ENVIRONMENT, AND FLOOD PROTECTION jmichael@pacific.edu

  • Dr. Jeffrey Michael

University of the Pacific San Jose, CA August 25, 2017

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Analytical Framework

 Are likely alternatives a “Pareto Improvement”?

 At least as good as WaterFix in every criteria, and  Clearly superior in at least one area

 Criteria:

 Cost  Water Supply  Environmental (i.e. fish) impacts  Protection from Earthquake or Sea-Level Rise  Job Creation

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Alternative Actions Considered

 Levees  Recycling: Indirect Potable and Non-potable.  Desalination: Seawater and Brackish  Stormwater Capture  Surface Storage  Other Govt Spending (i.e. Housing, Health, Educ.)

Alternatives Not Considered:

 Efficiency/Conservation  Groundwater Storage  West Delta Conveyance  New Technology

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4 Alternative Portfolios

 All scenarios

 Include $2-4 billion for Delta levees  Each alternative investment is <50% of 2030 potential.

 Two scenarios focused on water supply.

 no surface storage and desalination in one alternative.

 Environment Focus (SCVWD staff no-tunnel scenario)

 Water supply scenario with a 1 maf cut to exports.

 Ratepayer Focus

 $8 billion to alternatives, ratepayers save $8 billion.

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5 ways to spend $16 Billion

WaterFix Water Supply 1 Water Supply 2 Water and Fish Taxpayers Tunnels 16 Levees 4 4 4 2 Indirect Potable Reuse 3 5 5 2 Non-potable Reuse 2 4 4 1 Desalination Seawater 1 1 Desalination Brackish 1 1 1 1 Stormwater capture 1 2 2 1 Surface Storage 4 Lower Rates 4 Other Govt Spending 4

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Annual Average Water Yield per $1 billion capital investment.

af per $1billion Tunnels with EIR baseline 11,000 Tunnels with SCVWD staff baseline 75,000 Indirect Potable Reuse 88,000 Non-potable Reuse 137,000 Desalination Seawater 56,000 Desalination Brackish 92,000 Stormwater capture 152,000 Surface Storage 46,000

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Results with EIR baseline

WaterFix Water Supply 1 Water Supply 2 Environment Ratepayers Net New Water Supply (acre feet, avg. annual) 172,000 884,000 1,430,000 430,000 659,000 Impact to Fish Negative, but permitted if no jeopardy Little to None Little to None Positive Little to None California Jobs Created From Investment (in job years) 119,000 160,000 160,000 160,000 136,000 Seismic and Flood Risk Protection Protects Water export

  • nly

Protects Water Export, Other Infrastructure , Property, Public Safety Protects Water Export, Other Infrastructure , Property, Public Safety Protects Water Export, Other Infrastructure , Property, Public Safety Protects all interests, but at lower level than water supply alternatives. Increased Consumption of Other Goods and Services None None None None $8 billion

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Results with SCVWD staff business case baseline (Environment Scenario on previous slide).

WaterFix Water Supply 1 Water Supply 2 Ratepayers Net New Water Supply (acre feet) 1,200,000 884,004 1,430,000 659,000 Impact to Fish Very Negative Little to None Little to None Little to None Jobs Created (in job years) 119,000 160,000 160,000 136,000 Seismic and Flood Risk Protection Protects Water export only Protects Water Export, Other Infrastructure, Property, Public Safety Protects Water Export, Other Infrastructure, Property, Public Safety Protects all interests, but at lower level than water supply alternatives. Increased Consumption of Other Goods and Services None None None $8 billion

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Is the SCVWD staff declining baseline justified?

 The operating constraint on OMR flows produces

far more environmental benefit without WaterFix.

 More freshwater outflow to Bay-Delta.  No harm to fish from North Delta Intakes.

 WaterFix operations could also be subject to future

cuts: No regulatory assurance in Section 7 permit.

 “Apples to Apples” comparison should be based on

comparable environmental performance.

 WaterFix is worse for Delta fish than No Action

according to Biological Opinions.

 WaterFix yield is on declining trend too.

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Water Supply from Tunnels is on a declining trend too.

  • Avg. Annual WaterFix Yield

Compared to the No Action Alternative Insurance against future regulatory actions. 2007 BDCP Objectives 1,500,000 af Yes, Section 10 ESA regulatory assurance 2013 draft BDCP EIR 392,000 af Yes, Section 10 ESA regulatory assurance. 2015 recirculated EIR 255,000 af No, Section 7 permit 2016 Draft Biological Assessment 225,000 af No, Section 7 permit Jan 2017 Final EIR 172,000 af No, Section 7 permit June 2017: Revised project description for Biops Adds unlimited pulse flows for salmon, not included in water supply modeling No, Section 7 permit Biological Opinions for Operations ? No, Section 7 permit SWRCB Permit ? No, Section 7 permit

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WaterFix Cost versus Yield

2014 dollars. Source: Stratecon, Dr. Rodney Smith $- $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $6,000 $7,000

0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 1.1 1.2 1.3

$ per acre foot

Yield (million acre feet)

Staff alternative baseline EIR baseline

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Conclusion

 Due to local decisions, we can’t predict the exact

alternative to WaterFix.

 Analysis demonstrates many plausible alternative

portfolios are better for California than WaterFix.

 Alternatives are Pareto improvements:

 Achieves every goal at least as well as WaterFix.  Far superior to WaterFix in at least one area.

 Thus, California is better off under wide range of likely

alternative paths.

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Delta Counties Coalition Discussion on Alternatives to CA WaterFix

How can we work together? Thank you.

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