CSOP MODEL EVALUATION AND RECOMMENDATIONS Revised on May 9, 2005 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
CSOP MODEL EVALUATION AND RECOMMENDATIONS Revised on May 9, 2005 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
CSOP MODEL EVALUATION AND RECOMMENDATIONS Revised on May 9, 2005 PURPOSE OF THE PRESENTATI ON REVI EW THE 2X2 MODEL RESULTS FOR THE EAST AND WEST BOOKENDS, ALTERNATI VE 3 AND ALTERNATI VE 4. FOCUS: CHECK FOR POSSI BLE I MPACTS TO FLOOD
PURPOSE OF THE PRESENTATI ON
- REVI EW THE 2X2 MODEL RESULTS FOR THE EAST AND
WEST BOOKENDS, ALTERNATI VE 3 AND ALTERNATI VE 4.
- FOCUS: CHECK FOR POSSI BLE I MPACTS TO FLOOD LEVELS
OF SERVI CE (LOS) I N DEVELOPED AREAS (URBAN AND AGRI CULTURAL).
- DEVELOP RECOMENDATI ONS TO PREVENT LOSS OF FLOOD
LEVEL OF SERVI CE FOR ALTERNATI VE 5.
AVAI LABLE MODEL RESULTS
POSTED AT CSOPWEB – May 3, 2005
ALTERNATIVE 1 (EAST BOOKEND), ALTERNATIVE 2(WEST BOOKEND), ALTERNATIVE 3, ALTERNATIVE 4 AND ALTERNATIVE 7R5(EXISTING CONDITIONS)
- ANY MODEL I S LI MI TED BY THE QUALI TY OF THE
DATA AVAI LABLE AND ASSUMPTI ONS MADE.
- AS A RESULT ONLY A COMPARATI VE ANALYSI S WAS
CONDUCTED, BY EVALUATI NG EACH ALTERNATI VE PERFORMANCE AGAI NST ALTERNATI VE 7R5 (EXI STI NG CONDI TI ONS RUN).
- THI S COMPARATI VE PROCESS REDUCES THE I NFLUENCE
OF THE MODEL UNCERTAI NTI ES I N THE DECI SI ON MAKI NG PROCESS.
HOW GROUNDWATER LEVELS AFFECT DRAI NAGE PERFORMANCE
LOSS OF LEVEL OF SERVI CE
DRAINAGE SYSTEM
- TYPICAL DRAINAGE SYSTEM
- 3 TO 4 MILLION LINEAR FEET
OF DRAINAGE NETWORK CANNOT BE RETROFITTED
GROUND LEVEL
GROUNDWATER LEVELS
WCA-3B
SERENA LAKES & COUNTRY WALK BELEN & SWEETWATER
TARGET AREAS OF EVALUATI ON
2326
S-335 G-211 S-331 WATER LEVELS I N WCA-3B AFFECT WATER LEVELS I N URBANI ZED AREAS
BELEN, SWEETWATER, SERENA LAKES & COUNTRY WALK – FLOOD PRONE AREAS
STAGES ON WCA-3B – DEPTH 2.5 FEET
4% ALT7R5 17% ALT3 & 4 35% ALT2 (WBE) 8% ALT1(EBE) PERFORMANCE MEASURE TARGET ELEVATI ON HI GHER % ABOVE TARGET ELEVATI ON MEANS LONGER HI GH STAGE DURATI ON, MORE SEEPAGE AND NEGATI VE I MPACT ON THE ENVI RONMENT AND FLOODI NG
RI SE ON L-31N CANAL STAGES - ALTERNATI VE 4 – S-331
ALT 4 MEAN STAGE~ 5.2 EXI STI NG CONDI TI ONS MEAN STAGE~ 4.2 RI SE OF 1 FOOT ON MEAN CANAL LEVELS CAUSES RI SE ON WATER TABLE TO THE EAST
SERENA AREA AND COUNTRY WALK 2X2 RESULTS WATER TABLE STAGE DI FFERENCE
ALTERNATI VE 4 – ALT 7R5
RI SE OF 1 FOOT ON CANAL LEVELS CAUSES RI SE ON GROUNDWATER TO THE EAST OF L-31N-> NEED TO CONTROL SEEPAGE
Files:depth.alt4.roco;depth.alt7r5.roco
SERENA & COUNTRY WALK L-31N I N THE SERENA & COUNTRY WALK AREA, THERE I S A TENDENCY FOR I NCREASE OF GROUNDWATER LEVELS WHEN COMPARED TO ALT7R5 (“EXI STI NG CONDI TI ONS”) NOTE ON LEGEND: POSI TI VE NUMBERS MEAN I NCREASE ON WATER LEVELS WHEN COMPARED TO MODELED EXI STI NG CONDI TI ONS (ALT7R5)
ALTERNATI VE 4 - CONCLUSI ONS
- I N URBAN AREAS (SERENA LAKES AND COUNTRY WALK) GROUNDWATER LEVELS
I NCREASE APPROXI MATELY 2 I NCHES WHEN COMPARED TO ALTERNATI VE 7R5 (“EXI STI NG CONDI TI ONS”).
- MODEL OUTPUT I NDI CATES POTENTI AL FOR HI GHER GROUNDWATER LEVELS EAST
OF THE L-30, L-31N AND L-31W CANALS. THERFORE THI S ALTERNATI VE I S SLI GHTLY WORSE I N TERMS OF FLOODI NG THAN ALTERNATI VE 3, WORSE THAN EAST BOOKEND (ALTERNATI VE 1) BUT I S AN I MPROVEMENT WHEN COMPARED TO WEST BOOKEND (ALTERNATI VE 2).
- A 1-FOOT RI SE ON THE CANAL LEVELS ON THE L-31N CANAL BETWEEN G-211 AND
S-331, WHEN COMPARED TO EXI STI NG CONDI TI ONS (ALT7R5), CAN RESULT I N FLOODI NG TO THE EAST, DUE TO SEEPAGE RESULTI NG I N HI GHER GROUNDWATER STAGES.
- MODEL RUNS I NDI CATE THAT UNACCEPTABLE HI GH WATER LEVELS OCCUR 17% OF
THE TI ME I N THE WCA 3B, I N THE VI CI NI TY OF THE L-30N CANAL; UNDER ALT7R5 (EXI STI NG CONDI TI ONS) THOSE LEVELS OCCUR 4% OF THE TI ME.
ALTERNATI VE 5 – WI SH LI ST FOR MODELI NG
- ADEQUATE CONVEYANCE CAPACI TY UNDER TAMI AMI
TRAI L TO I NCLUDE EVALUATI ON TO I NCREASE S-356 PUMP STATI ON CAPACI TY, TO REDUCE HI GH STAGES I N WCA-3B
- CONTROL FOR SEEPAGE I S NEEDED TO PREVENT LOSS OF
LEVEL OF SERVI CE TO THE EAST, FROM S-335 TO S-331, PERHAPS I NCLUDI NG MODI FI CATI ON OF S-331’S OPERATI ONAL CRI TERI A TO AVOI D HI GH STAGES I N THE L-31 CANAL
- PASSI VE CONTROL STRUCTURES ARE NEEDED ON L-67
CANAL TO AVOI D EXTREME HI GH STAGES I N WCA-3B
- NO FLOOD I MPACTS TO URBAN/ AGRI CULTURAL AREAS