[PPT] - CRITICAL SYSTEMS: Vuln lnerabilities Overv rview 1 Hope is not a PowerPoint Presentation

SLIDE 1

CRITICAL SYSTEMS: Vuln lnerabilities Overv rview

1

SLIDE 2

Vern Miyagi, Administrator, HI-EMA

Hope is not a plan.

2

TIMELINE & SOU SOURCES:

SEP

SEPTE TEMBER 2015 2015 – AUG UGUST 2016 2016: RE RESEARCH PH PHASE

OVER 50

50 SOU SOURCES WERE USE USED TO COMPILE TH THIS ASS SSESSMENT

EM

EM PR PROFESSIONAL S

PRI

PRIVATE TE IND INDUSTRY STAKE HO HOLDERS

OF

OFFIC ICIAL REP REPORTS AND D STUDIES

EM

EM PLA PLANS

WORKSHOP AND FORUMS
INT

INTERVIEWS

AUG

UGUST 2016 2016 – DE DECEMBER 2016 2016: CON ONFIRMATION & SOC SOCIALIZATI TION WIT ITH KE KEY EM EM STAKEHOLDERS

SLIDE 3

PURPOSE:

This pr presentatio ion will ll pr provide a a br brie ief overv rvie iew of

f the

vu vuln lnerabilit ities, , interdependencies, , an and cas ascading effects of

f a

a catastrophic event wit ith the pu purpose of

f de

developing a a starting poi point for

r a

a bas basic ic com

mmon ope
peratin

ing pic picture an and pla plan de development. .

Purpose

3/8/2018 3

SLIDE 4

Market food supply is

replenished every 5-8 days.

1.1 Million tons of food

products/year

3013 Tons/day enter the

port for normal sustainment

PORT & ELE ELECTRICAL SYSTEMS

5-8

3
5
7

NO RESUPPLY

PoH

H:

: is the the sing ngle le Maj Major

r Su

Supply ly Poin

int :

:

6-8 da

day sea ea log

g chain

in + + sing ngle le maj major

r sup

upply ly = = Fr Frag agile Log Logistic System

Every

ry system reli elies hea heavil ily

n
n the

the po port rt.

Man

any systems ha have equ equip ipment th that can on

nly be

be shi hipped via sea ea fr freig eight

IMPORT RATE CONSUMPTION RATE

INTERDEPENDENCIES & CASCADING EFFECTS

100% 85% <40%

SHIPMENT MARKET CAPACITY

+25% NO RESUPPLY

ALL PETROL PRODUCTS ARRIVE BY SEA
SEA CARGO ONLY FOR SOME INDUSTRY COMPONENTS
WF SUPPLIES
3 DAYS OF SURPLUS MED SUPPLIES
MED SYSTEM RELIES ON THE MARKET

FOR FOOD, WATER AND FUEL

MED SPECIALTIES MAY RELY MORE

ON SPECIFIC COMMODITIES

IE Dialysis and water
Food & Water
Fuel
ALL PETROL PRODUCTS ARRIVE BY SEA (HNL: 4 DAYS)
WF SUPPLIES
HNL WF CHAIN IS 20,000 PAX
POWER TO ALL SYSTEMS
W/O POWER
FOOD SPOILS
NO ATM’S
COMMUNICATION SYSTEMS
TRAFFIC LIGHTS
NO FUEL
MAJOR SYSTEMS SHUT DOWN

i.e. AIRPORT, SEA PORT

SLIDE 5

ASSESSMENT

CRI RITI TICAL SYSTE TEMS

SHELTERS MEDICAL

Performance of life saving measures Emergency & Post Impact Facilities

FOOD & H20 FUEL PRODUCTS ELECTRICITY PORTS

Transportation

5

SLIDE 6

ASSESSMENT

KE KEY FACTORS

L

LOGISTICS CHAIN ON HAND SUPPLIES BURN RATE TO CRITICAL RESUPPLY RATE

6

SLIDE 7

State-wide Homeless Populations

Source: 2014 Homeless Program Office

Approximate average daily visitors (% over resident population) .

Source: US Census Bureau, 2014, and Hawaii Tourism Authority

KA KAUAI 35 35% MAUI 34 34% HAWAII 15 15 %

Of the he state po popula latio ion wi will ll se seek k eme mergency y sh shelt lter

35 %

OAH AHU 9.6% 9.6%

TOURISM AVG STAY 0 9.17 DAYS Tourists increase total state population by:

15 %

RESIDENTS (1.4 M / est 2015)

A. HAWAII
B. MAUI
C. OAHU
D. KAUAI

194,190 163,108 991,788 70,475

14 %

Uns nsheltered: .2% .2%

16.1 %

In n she shelters s (pri (private / govt): ): .3% .3%

6.4%

DEMOGRAPHICS

GEN ENERAL STATI TISTI TICS

State-wide Children & Elderly Populations

Children < 5 yoa Elderly > 65 yoa 7

SLIDE 8

VULNERABILITY OVERVIEW

LOGISTICS CHAIN

L

8

Imp mpor

rtatio

ion of

f 90% of
f ma

market go good

ds, 100%

% of

f som
me prod

products Lon Long, com complex sup upply cha chain, up up to to 14 da days to to rea reach ma market in n no norm rmal cond conditions Singl Single po points of

f fa

failu lure / / no no re redundancy in n po port rt capabili litie ies Al All maj major

r log
gistic

ic po port rts ar are in n sam ame gene general l loca

catio

ions and and ex expo posed to to the the sam ame thr threats Ai Air r car argo

sup

uppli lies app approx

x. 1%

% of

f tota

total l car argo

imp

mpor

rtatio

ion Port

rts and

and log

gistic

ics syst ystem mo move ove

ver 14 mi

millio llion tons tons / / yr yr., off

ff load
ad ra

rate at at 42 con

ntain

iners / / hr., hr., 3000 tons tons of

f food

food prod products / / da day mo move thro through the the log

gistic

ics sys ystem Los Loss of

f imp

mportatio ion due due to to po port rt clos

sure for

for prot protectiv ive me measures 48 ho hour urs pri prior

r to

to eve events in n som

me case

ases Ra Rapid id dep deple letion of

f ma

market capacit ity whe when sea ea po port rt clos

ses

SLIDE 9

VULNERABILITY OVERVIEW

ON ON-HAND RE RESOURCES / / OPER ERATIONAL CAPACITIES

9

Cap Capacit ity In n al all syst ystems is base based in n on

n-de

demand war warehousin ing, g, no not t in n re reple lenis ishment of

f sur

urplu lus No No Su Surp rplu lus war warehou

usin

ing of

f sup

uppli lies = = no no eme emergency sur urplu lus FOO FOOD/W /WATER: 5 – 7 da days in n the the sta tate af afte ter po port rt clos

sure; af

after 5 da days no no imp mpor

rtation =

= 40% % of

f ma

market capacit ity EM EMERGENCY Y SH SHEL ELTER & & SY SYST STEM: Su Supp pply ly can an no not t mee meet the the de demand, limi mited num number of

f har

hardened she helt lters ME MEDICAL: : 3 Day Days of

f gene

general l sup upplie ies, 7 da days of

f pha

pharma, ge general WF F sho hortage, hi high gh op

per

eratin ing capacit ity FU FUEL EL: : Sev Several l sing ngle le po points of

f fa

failu lure in n the the syst ystem; ; 100% % re reli liance on

n imp

mpor

rtation thr

throu

ugh sea

ea log

gistic

ics cha hain in ELE ELECTRICITY: Y: Not Not a a mu mutuall lly supp upportin ing syst ystem, 60% % po powe wer pl plan ants in n /o /on n inu nundatio ion zon

nes, limit

ited inv nventory of

f com
mponents

POR ORTS: S: No No lar arge scale le salv alvage / dre / dredgi ging equ equip ipment (7 (7-10 da day ar arriv rival ti time), ), al alternate po port rt con

ncept no

not t ful fully ly re reali lized, ai airpor

rts w/

w/ 4 da days of

f fuel,

fuel, low

w car

argo

capacit

ity vs. eme emergency deli delivery

SLIDE 10

3/8/2018 10

SLIDE 11

11

SLIDE 12

VULNERABILITY OVERVIEW

BURN RN RA RATE TE TO CRIT RITICAL

12

No No syst ystem has has a a lon

ng

g te term sur urplu lus of

f ma

materia ials ls, spa pare equ equip ipment, or

r WF

F (W (Work

rk Fo

Forc rce) “Runs” on Emergency Goods deplete supplies at above normal rates FOO FOOD/W /WATER: Cr Crit itic ical l leve evels ls w/i w/in n 5 da days, 420,000 emergency ra ratio ions, ra rapid id dep deple letion of

f ma

market inv nventor

ry (wat

(water fi first rst) SH SHEL ELTER & & SY SYST STEM: Cri Critic ical l leve evels ls on

n imp

mpact: no no sup uppor

rt prod

products, ove

vercrow
wdin

ing, g, fa faile led she helt lter str tructures ME MEDICAL: : Cri Critic ical l leve evels ls of

f ma

materia ial w/i w/in 3 day days of

f imp

mpact, 6x pat patie ient inc ncrease, 40% % re reductio ion of

f gen

general l me medic ical l ser ervic ices FU FUEL EL: : Singl Single po points of

f fa

failure: FAI FAIL; L; int nter-isla land sho hortages, crit ritic ical l leve evel l at at 14 da days po post t imp mpact or

r soo
one

ner (c (con

ntamin

ination / / rup uptures of

f

ta tanks) ELE ELECTRICITY: Y: Cri Critic ical l leve evel l on

n imp

mpact: imm mmedia iate loss

ss / fl

/ fluctuatin ing po powe wer sup upply ly; fa faile led T&D T&D syst ystem, 10 day days to to com

mple

lete as assessment; mass massiv ive log

gistic

ical l cha hain in to to imp mpor

rt re

restorativ ive com

mponents;

; food food spo poil ils at at 48 ho hours POR ORTS: S: High High po possib ibili lity of

f po

port rt clos

sure to

to channel l bl blockage: : FAI FAILU LURE ON ON IMPA MPACT; T; al alternate po port rt prov provid ides 1/5 /5 of

f the

the thr thru-put wi with an an

ff
ff load
ad ca

capability of

f 8-10 con

containers /h /hr. r., acc accepts 1 ve vessel for for offl

ffloa
ad

SLIDE 13

13

SLIDE 14

VULNERABILITY OVERVIEW

RE RESTORATI TIVE RA RATE

14

Al All sys ystems wi will ha have inc ncrease wor work load

ad w/

/ a a re reduced wor work forc force (30 (30%) Two Restorative Considerations across the systems: Daily Operational Demand and Replenishment to “normal” conditions 1/5 /5 day day ra ratio io for for po port rt clos

sure and

and re restor

ratio

ion to to no norm rmal l inv nventory leve evels ls FOO FOOD/W /WATER: Hand to to Mou

uth Resu

Resupply for for 30 da days, , ex expectation

n of
f sev

evere sho hortages un until po port rt reop reopens SH SHEL ELTER & & SY SYST STEM: Exp Expectation of

f lon
ng

g te term shelt helterin ing to to fe feel el the the sam ame str tress as as gen general po popu pula latio ion ME MEDICAL: : Han Hand to to Mo Mouth Re Resupply ly for for 30 day days; WF F re reductio ion for for 30 da days, Re Reduced ou

utp

tpatie ient ser ervic ices by by 80-90% 90% FU FUEL EL: : Re Restor

ratio

ion is dep dependent on

n po

port rt op

pen

enin ing (re (resupply ly of

f cru

rude or

r di

dire rect imp mport of

f fue

fuel), sho hortages ex expected at at 20 da days po post st- imp mpact but but cou

uld

ld be be soo

one

ner base based on

n con
ntamin

inatio ion or

r rup

ruptured ta tanks ELECTRICITY: Expectation on “circuits’ within the grid or some plants to be without power for months; possibility of repair com

mponents ar

arriv ival at at 9 week weeks po post imp mpact POR ORTS: S: PoH

H begi

begins op

pen

enin ing at at 19 day days po post ev event, re reachin ing g an an 75-100% % op

per

eratio ional l cap apabil ilit ity by by 30 day days; HNL HNL re restor

res on
ne

e run runway / / 3da days, by by da day 12 inc ncrease in n ai air po powe wer but but no not t eno enough capacit ity to to re reli lieve the the log

gistic

ical l str tress on

n al

all l syst ystems

SLIDE 15

REFERENCES:

OFFICIAL REPORTS: 1. 2013 Hawaii Port Resiliency/Recovery Assessment Summary Report 2. 02/2015 HDOT: Vulnerability of Hawaii Commercial Port and Harbor Facilities to Tsunamis and Hurricane Storm Surge and Wave Action, Ian Robertson Ph.D, SE, U of H Manoa 3. 12/2015 Department of Homeland Security: Resiliency Assessment 4. FEMA Honolulu Harbor Workshop, Summary Report (2016) 5. 03/2016 Hawaii DoD: HAWAII Port-Wide Risk Management and Mitigation Plan 6. 04/2016 USCG: Sector Honolulu: Laydown Area MTSR Workshop 2016 AAR 7. 06/2006 Mississippi Legislature Report: The Impact of Hurricane Katrina on Mississippi’s Ports 8. 08/2017 Tsunami Assessment of the Port of Honolulu: Gary Chock, Martin & Chock, Inc. 9. 01/2018 Seaport Lessons Learned from the Response to Maria: Mike Matthews; USDOT ESF 1 Interviews and Other Sources: 1. Hawaii Ports Handbook 2. MTSRU Meeting Minutes 3. State DOT Meeting Minutes 4. Critical Transportation Core Capability Analysis 5. Section 20 of the River and Harbor Act of 1899 (33 USC 409, 411-415) 6. Interviews with John Manganaro, Port Security Specialist, USCG 7. Airport capabilities interviews with Joint Base Hickam: Dan Dubois, Emergency Management Officer; 8. Airport capabilities interviews with HDOT: Airports: Steven Maruyama, Chief Martinez, Hank Bruckner 9. State DOT Harbors: Planners and USACE Interviews: 8/29/2016

PORTS

15

SLIDE 16

16

SLIDE 17

PUERTO RICO IMPACT & RESTORATIVE RATES

(20 SEP Landfall: 12 Days Post Impact)

17

Al All sys ystems fa fail on

n imp

mpact, som

me fa

fail two two da days pri prior

r to

to imp mpact due due to to hur hurric icane forc force wi wind nds, af after 5 day days EM EM sti till ll in n life fe-savin ing g op

ps (30

(30 ho hour ur spi pin do down wn) Plans app appear to to be be no non-mutuall lly supp upportiv ive, syst ystems can annot

t fun

functio ion ind ndependently ly, un unknown re requir irements, low

w work

workfor

rce

No No eme emergency sur urplu lus, clog

ggin

ing g at at po port rts, no no work work forc force FOO FOOD/W /WATER: Ha Hand to to Mo Mout uth Re Resupply ly on

n imp

mpact, +6 +6 da days po post imp mpact 50% % nee need wa water, te tempor

rary wa

water trea treatment pl plan ants, +1 +12 da days 65% % of

f gro

grocery stor tores op

pen

en SH SHEL ELTER & & SY SYST STEM: ove

ver 500 she

helt lters op

pen

ened, ev evacuate 70,000 pax pax due due to to po poor

r da

dam insp nspections ME MEDICAL: : +6 +6 day days p.

p. imp

mpact: 15% % of

f ho

hospit itals op

pen

en, som

me da

day on

nly, dep

deplo loy USN SN med med shi hip (+7 (+7 da days mo more re pre prep/sail il), ), +8 +8 da days 70% % hosp

spit

itals ls ino noperable le, sta tatus of

f 8 ho

hospit itals ls unk unknown FU FUEL EL: : +8 +8 day days: no no fuel fuel for for gro ground tran transpor

rt, 2/3

/3 of

f gas

gas sta tatio ions op

pen

en ELE ELECTRICITY: Y: Aging Aging infr nfrastructure al already und under str tress, ent entir ire island w/o w/o po powe wer on

n imp

mpact, ex expectatio ion of

f ou
utages for

for 6-8 mo months, , COM COMMUNICATION: : 90% % fa failu lure on

n imp

mpact, 85% % loss

ss of
f cell

ell towe towers, +1 +11 day days: 1/3 /3 cell ell ser ervic ice up up POR ORTS: S: + + 3 da days Port

rt (SJ)

(SJ)opens (da (day on

nly),

), +7 +7 May Mayaguez, othe

thers w/

w/ re restric ictio ions, ; ; +2 +2 da days Ai Airpor

rt op
pens:

: mi mil l a/c a/c , da day VFR, VFR, 100, 00,000 me meals ls / / DAY, DAY,

SLIDE 18

SPHERE OF SUPPORT

18

SLIDE 19

19

SLIDE 20

FUTURE INITIATIVES

20

AGENCY IN INIT ITIA IATIVES

9 Ste

Step Re Resil ilie iency Stra Strategy

Ho

Holistic ic App Approach

Int

nterlo lockin ing g Str Strategie ies

Sh

Shor

rt,

, Mid, Lon Long Ra Range Goal

als
Port
rt Re

Restor

ratio

ion Plan

Re

Restor

ratio

ion Task Task De Develo lopment

Co

Cont ntin ingency Co Cont ntracts

Al

Alternate Port Port

EN

ENERGY Y : : El Electric icit ity And And Fuel Fuel

Sh

Shelt elter & & Mass ass Car Care

De

Debris is Cl Clearance

EXECUTIVE & LE LEGISLATIVE SU SUPPORT IN INIT ITIATIVES

COM

COMMISS SSION A A MARI MARINE TRAN TRANSPORTATI TION IMP MPROVEMENT T ST STUDY DY

IMP

MPROVE ST STATE ATE DEPA DEPARTMENT T REA READINESS

ST

STRE RENGTHEN 127A A TO TO AD ADDRESS GE GENERAL DEPA DEPARTMENT T EM EMERGENCY Y MAN MANAGEMENT RES RESPONSIBILITI TIES & & REQU REQUIREMENTS TS

Re

Requir ire Al All De Departments to to have have Ba Back-Up Powe

wer and

and Co Communic icatio ions Cap Capabil ilit ity

Re

Requir ire Eme Emergency Planners in n Al All De Departments wi with Prim rimary Dut Dutie ies in n Em Emergency Man Management pl plannin ing, coo

ordin

inatio ion, and and mi mitig igatio ion

STATE WIDE RE

REQUIREMENT FOR OR DE DEPARTMENTS AND AND OTH THER ENT ENTITIES TO O COO OORDINATE EM EM INI NITIATI TIVES S TH THROUGH HI-EMA

Add

Address EM EM Prio riorit itie ies

Effi

ficie iency

Res

esource Man Management

Red

educe Dup Dupli licatio ion of

f Effor
rt

SLIDE 21

21

SLIDE 22

72 h

CAT EVENT TO +72 hrs (Phase 2a)

48 h 24 h +48 h +72h

3/8/2018 22

SLIDE 23

72 h

CAT EVENT TO +2 Wk (Phase 2a-2b)

48 h 24 h +48 h +72h +1 Wk +2 Wk +3 Wk +4 Wk +9 Wk

23

SLIDE 24

2015 HAWAII CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE PLAN

Risk Assessment and Reduction: Planning considerations that have not been previously or adequately addressed in the CAT PLAN.

HAZARD INFORMATION

pas past inc ncid idences: map maps, fac actor

rs af

affectin ing

ccurrences

ELEMENT OF CONCERN

crit itic ical fac acili ilitie ties, na natu tural l resources, agric icult lture, po popula latio ion, de develo lopment t (exis istin ing/ pr prop

posed)

SITE AND FEATURE CHARACTERISTICS

sp specif ific ic dam damage/ / los

ss estim

timate, ph physic ical l su suit ite char haracteris istic ics, str tructural l str trength th, content exp xposure

HAZARD ASSESSMENT

Wha hat ar are the haz hazards? s? Wha hat se severity? Wha hat return pe periods? s?

IDENTIFICATION OF RISK REDUCTION OPTIONS FORMULATION OF DESIRED RISK REDUCTION STRATEGY ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF RISK REDUCTION OPTIONS VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT

Who ho? Wha hat is is vulnerable? Why?

RISK ASSESSMENT

Wha hat is is the exp xpected de degree of

f loss

loss?

24

SLIDE 25

72 h

RESILIENCY STRATEGY DEVELOPMENT

48 h 24 h +48 h +72h +1 Wk +2 Wk +3 Wk +4 Wk +9 Wk

HAZ HAZARD / / SYSTEM TEM IDE DENTIFI FICATI TION

Identify the hazard with highest probability of

ccurrence and produces the most damage.

This sets the order of precedence in addressing hazards.

CAP CAPABILITIES ASSE ASSESTMENT

Conduct an assessment of the facility or system; to include the capabilities of continuation and sustainment of function post incident.

“GAP” IDENTIFICATION

Determine the gaps based on the assessment. The quantity/quality of sustainment, length of sustainment, and equipment necessary to continue functional sustainment.

RE RESILIENCY STR TRATEGY

Focuses on reducing the time a system is inoperable or in a critical state to its return to 75-100% of its functionality.

RE RESILIENCY PLAN LAN

Plans and actions that are enacted prior to the catastrophic event. These plans and actions are designed to reduce the level of loss to the system during impact.

RE RECOVERY PL PLAN

Plans and actions that are enacted post impact with the goal of repairing the system to a functional level as rapidly as possible.

INS NSTI TITU TUTI TING TH THE E STRA TRATEGY

Modern systems are complex and

interdependent. It may take a combination
f programs to reduce a specific “gap” in a

system.

FU FUNDING

Resiliency programs are expensive and time

consuming. Immediate solutions may be
unaffordable. Short term fixes may have to

be incorporated into long term solutions with multiple funding sources.

MAI AINTENANCE/I /INSPECTI TION

Insure there is maintenance and/or inspection process to insure these investments are sustained and ready when needed. 25

SLIDE 26

Sin

Singl gle Poi

int of
f fail

ailure: Por

rt of
f

Hon

nolulu
Hea

eavy sa salv lvage & dr dredging g eq equipment is is 7 7 – 10 10 da days s away

Alt

Alternate po port concept provides s 1/5 1/5 of

f the car

argo of

ff

f loa load cap apability of

f nor

normal op

perations
A/

A/C in in fair air wea eather pr provides s 1% 1% of

f car

argo im importation

PORT OF

F HONOLULU COULD BE E DO DOWN FR FROM 19 DAYS POST EVEN EVENT TO LONGER R & MONTHS BEF EFORE RE REACHING FULL FULL CAP APACITY

26

SLIDE 27

PoH
H cl

closure du due to storm dam damage = = Hig igh cha chance that HNL L will ill ha have rec eceived storm dam damag age / flo flooding AI AIR R BRID RIDGE CONSI SIDER ERATIONS

LEN

LENGTH OF F RU RUNWAY

WEIG

EIGHT RA RATING OF F RU RUNWAY

OFF

FF LOAD AD EQU QUIPEMENT PER ER AI AIR R FRAM FRAME

LA

LAY Y DO DOWN SP SPACE

FUE

FUEL CAP APABILITIES

CRE

REW DEM DEMANDS

CLE

LEARE RED TRA RANSPORTATION ROUTES

COST & AVAILABILITY OF

F MASS ASS STORE RES 10 10 PAL ALLETS OF F AI AIR R CAR ARGO = = 1 1 SH SHIPPING CONTAINER R BY Y SE SEA AI AIR R 4X 4X COST OF F SE SEA A FREIG FREIGHT 14 DAYS HDR’s @ 1 m pax = 275 x C17 @ $1 $1 BILLION AVI VIATION GAS AS

Sin

Singl gle refuel poi point fr from PoH

H
Cycled shi

shipments s to out

uter

isla islands

TS

S DAR ARBY

PoH
H cl

closed for

r 35

35 Hours

Kau

auai & Mau aui wer ere on

n

the tail ail en end of

f their

AVGAS ship shipping cy cycle

Kau

auai

1

1 da day of

f AVGAS

rem emaining

Mau

aui

2

2 da days s of

f AVGAS

27

SLIDE 28

Geographic Isol

solation = = lon long sup supply ch chain & on

ne maj

ajor res esupply poi point

3000 + tons of
f foo
od pr

products / da day move thru the state

Upo

pon po port cl closure, the po population pos possess ss the foo

od/water sup

supply

Lim

Limited self self sus sustai aining sup supplies

“Runs” on food/water deplete

stores s abo above no normal rates

Lim

Limited FEM FEMA sup upplies

72

72 ho hours s pos post event foo

od/water

ha have dr dropped to

cr

critical le levels

5

5 DAYS OF F FOOD/WATER AFTE AFTER PORT CLOSE SES

28

SLIDE 29

Geographic Isol

solation = = lon long sup supply ch chain & on

ne maj

ajor res esupply poi point

30

3000 00 + + tons s of

f foo
od pr

products s / da day move thru the state

Upo

pon po port cl closure, the po population pos possess the foo

od/water sup

supply

Lim

Limited self self sus sustai aining sup supplies

“Runs” on food/water deplete

stores abo above no normal rates

Lim

Limited FEM FEMA sup supplies

72

72 ho hours s pos post event foo

od/water

ha have dr dropped to

cr

critical le levels

5

5 DAYS OF F FOOD/WATER AFTE AFTER PORT CLOSE SES

TS S DARBY & WATER SU SUPPLY

Ru

Run on

n water started 5

5 da days pr prio ior to to lan andfall (M (Monday, prio prior landfall)

In

In res esponse, , a a sup supplier immediately sen sent 5 5 ship shipping contain iners of

f water to

to Bi Big Isl Island

20,0

20,000 gall allons of

f water,

, 12,0 12,000 gall allons over nor normal

By

y Frid Friday, , 1 1 da day prio prior to to landfall, , the 5 5 containers wer ere exhausted

The dis

distr tributor beg began movin ing water via via land fr from

m Kona si

side to to Hil Hilo sid side to to cover shor shortages

PoH cl

closed for

r 35

35 ho hours

The cl

closure pu put the dis distr tributor 2 2 da days be behind sch schedule

It

It to took 5 5 da days s (Fr (Frid iday foll

llowing DARBY) for
r the

dis distr tributor to to retu turn sto tocks to to nor normal

29

SLIDE 30

30

SLIDE 31

THE NEXT STEPS:

Risk Assessment and Resiliency Strategy

HAZARD INFORMATION

pas past inc ncid idences: map maps, fac actor

rs af

affectin ing

ccurrences

ELEMENT OF CONCERN

crit itic ical fac acili ilitie ties, na natu tural l resources, agric icult lture, po popula latio ion, de develo lopment t (exis istin ing/ pr prop

posed)

SITE AND FEATURE CHARACTERISTICS

sp specif ific ic dam damage/ / los

ss estim

timate, ph physic ical l su suit ite char haracteris istic ics, str tructural l str trength th, content exp xposure

HAZARD ASSESSMENT

Wha hat ar are the haz hazards? s? Wha hat se severity? Wha hat return pe periods? s?

IDENTIFICATION OF RESILIENCY OPTIONS FORMULATION OF DESIRED RESILIENCY STRATEGY ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF OPTIONS VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT

Who ho? Wha hat is is vulnerable? Why?

RISK ASSESSMENT

Wha hat is is the exp xpected de degree of

f loss

loss?

3/8/2018 31

SLIDE 32

72 h

RESILIENCY STRATEGY DEVELOPMENT

48 h 24 h +48 h +72h +1 Wk +2 Wk +3 Wk +4 Wk +9 Wk

HAZ HAZARD / / SYSTEM TEM IDE DENTIFI FICATI TION

Identify the hazard with highest probability of

ccurrence and produces the most damage.

This sets the order of precedence in addressing hazards.

CAP CAPABILITIES ASSE ASSESTMENT

Conduct an assessment of the facility or system; to include the capabilities of continuation and sustainment of function post incident.

“GAP” IDENTIFICATION

Determine the gaps based on the assessment. The quantity/quality of sustainment, length of sustainment, and equipment necessary to continue functional sustainment.

RE RESILIENCY STR TRATEGY

Focuses on reducing the time a system is inoperable or in a critical state to its return to 75-100% of its functionality.

RE RESILIENCY PLAN LAN

Plans and actions that are enacted prior to the catastrophic event. These plans and actions are designed to reduce the level of loss to the system during impact.

RE RECOVERY PL PLAN

Plans and actions that are enacted post impact with the goal of repairing the system to a functional level as rapidly as possible.

INS NSTI TITU TUTI TING TH THE E STRA TRATEGY

Modern systems are complex and

interdependent. It may take a combination
f programs to reduce a specific “gap” in a

system.

FU FUNDING

Resiliency programs are expensive and time

consuming. Immediate solutions may be
unaffordable. Short term fixes may have to

be incorporated into long term solutions with multiple funding sources.

MAI AINTENANCE/I /INSPECTI TION

Insure there is maintenance and/or inspection process to insure these investments are sustained and ready when needed. 3/8/2018 32

SLIDE 33

HAZ HAZARD / / SYSTEM TEM IDE DENTI TIFI FICATI TION

Any event(s) causing catastrophic shut down
f the Port of Honolulu (PoH).
Natural Disaster
Sunk Vessel

CAP CAPABILITIES ASSE ASSESTMENT

Major Resupply Point
>90% of Cargo arrives through the Port
>90% Aviation Fuel (Pier 51)
>3000 Tons of Food Products / Day
Single Point of Failure for Mass Resupply

“GAP” IDENTIFICATION

No salvage / dredge equipment
7-10 day travel for all sea leg products
Possibly 0% capacity for 12-19 days post event

to 30 days & 3 months or more at reduced

perational capacity

.

RE RESILIENCY STR TRATEGY

Combination of methods to strengthen the ports capability to withstand storm damage, hasten operability/recovery, and provide Hawaii with alternate port & logistic capabilities while PoH is being restored. Further compliments the resiliency of all critical systems in the State.

RE RESILIENCY PLAN LAN

Improve or strengthen protection of

infrastructure, superstructure and navigation capability of all ports.

Develop / improve the shallow water port

system (increase capabilities)

Develop Redundancy to PoH Capabilities

RE RECOVERY Y PLA LAN

Contingency Contract: Supplier, Shipper, Port

Designation

Alternate Port Program / Multiple Hub

Shallow Draft Port System

Second Deep Water Port development

INS NSTI TITU TUTI TING TH THE E STRA TRATEGY

Stakeholders
In-depth planning & studies
Implement projects ASAP
Concurrent, multi-year projects

FU FUNDING

Legislative
Federal Funding & Grants
Private Industry Partnerships & Vendor

Managed Projects

MAI MAINTENANCE / / INSP NSPECT CTION

Professional Project Management
Continuous HI-EMA liaison
Legislative Regulations to formalize EM

requirements

resiliency Strategy: Ports

3/8/2018 33

SLIDE 34

3/8/2018 34

SLIDE 35

HAZ HAZARD / / SYSTEM TEM IDE DENTI TIFI FICATI TION

Any event(s) causing catastrophic shut down
f the Port of Honolulu (PoH).
Natural Disaster
Sunk Vessel

CAP CAPABILITIES ASSE ASSESTMENT

Major Resupply Point
>90% of Cargo arrives through the Port
>90% Aviation Fuel (Pier 51)
>3000 Tons of Food Products / Day
Single Point of Failure for Mass Resupply

“GAP” IDENTIFICATION

No salvage / dredge equipment
7-10 day travel for all sea leg products
Possibly 0% capacity for 12-19 days post event

to 30 days & 3 months or more at reduced

perational capacity

.

RE RESILIENCY STR TRATEGY

Combination of methods to strengthen the ports capability to withstand storm damage, hasten operability/recovery, and provide Hawaii with alternate port & logistic capabilities while PoH is being restored. Further compliments the resiliency of all critical systems in the State.

RE RESILIENCY PLAN LAN

Improve or strengthen protection of

infrastructure, superstructure and navigation capability of all ports.

Develop / improve the shallow water port

system (increase capabilities)

Develop a second deep water port off Oahu

RE RECOVERY Y PLA LAN

Contingency Contract: Supplier, Shipper, Port

Designation

Alternate Port Program / Multiple Hub

Shallow Draft Port System

Second Deep Water Port development

INS NSTI TITU TUTI TING TH THE E STRA TRATEGY

Stakeholders
In-depth planning & studies
Implement projects ASAP
Concurrent, multi-year projects

FU FUNDING

Legislative
Federal Funding & Grants
Private Industry Partnerships & Vendor

Managed Projects

MAI MAINTENANCE / / INSP NSPECT CTION

Professional Project Management
Continuous HI-EMA liaison
Legislative Regulations to formalize EM

requirements

resiliency Strategy: Ports

3/8/2018 35

SLIDE 36

Resiliency & COOP Measures, Faster recovery

resiliency strategic Timeline: ports

Port

rt of
f Hono
nolu

lulu lu / / Port

rts: Overarching goal is to increase the Port of Honolulu’s ability to withstand a catastrophic

event an and dec decrease the rec ecovery ry tim ime of

f the maj

ajor su supply capabili lity to to un under 14 14 da days. .

RESILIENCY / RECOVERY PLAN SHORT range fix LONG RANGE YIELD

IMPROVE PORT PROTECTIVE MEASURES & DECISION MATRIX DEVE DEVELOP/IMPROVE SH SHAL ALLOW WATER PORTS (St (State-wide) SE SECOND DEE DEEP WATER PORT SH SHIPPING CONT. CONTRA RACT PLAN LANS MULTIPLE SH SHALLOW PORT HUB SYSTEM SE SECOND DEE DEEPWATER ER PORT

Mid Range FIX

YEARS 2 5-10 50

Alternate debarkation points, expanded commercial capability Redundancy of Major Supply Point Ready state supply & distribution plan for emergency supplies Reduction of impact for loss of the major supply point Redundancy of Major Supply Point 36

SLIDE 37

HAZ HAZARD / / SYSTEM TEM IDE DENTI TIFI FICATI TION

Food & Water
Logistics (Other commodities)

CAP CAPABILITIES ASSE ASSESTMENT

PoH Major Resupply Point
>3000 Tons of Food Products / Day
Limited FEMA HDR’s
Limited self-sustaining resources

“GAP” IDENTIFICATION

Geographic Isolation / Long Supply Chain
NO emergency stores / Market only
High probability of no supplies beyond 5 days
No plan mitigating supply/warehouse factors

RE RESILIENCY STR TRATEGY

Combination of methods to mitigate the effects

f the long supply chain and port closure. The

focus is to improve on-hand food and water supplies throughout the State. This further compliments the Resiliency Strategy for all critical systems.

RE RESILIENCY PLAN LAN

Citizen & Pri. Bus. Incentive Programs for E-rats
State supplement of E-rats (EM Workers)
FEMA increase of E-rats
Vendor Managed Inventories of emergency
riented commodities and the State’s E-rat

supplies

RE RECOVERY Y PLA LAN

Contingency Contract: Emergency Food
Develop Post Impact Feeding Plan
Improve County POD plans
Comprehensive distro plans: Hub system,

caterers, schools and others.

INS NSTI TITU TUTI TING TH THE E STRA TRATEGY

Stakeholders, CDA, Private Industry, NGOs
Use existing VMI models
Implement projects ASAP
Concurrent, multi-year projects

FU FUNDING

Legislative
Federal Funding & Grants
Private Industry
Vendor Managed Projects

MAI MAINTENANCE/I /INSPECTI TION

Professional Project Management
Continuous HI-EMA liaison
Legislative Regulations to formalize EM

requirements

resiliency Strategy: Food & water

3/8/2018 37

SLIDE 38

50% / 1 ML / DAY @ 14 DAYS EM Workers

resiliency Strategic timeline: FOOD & WATER SUPPLY

FOOD & WATER SUPPLY RE RESILIENCY: Ov

Overarching goa

al

l is s to to increase the food

od su

supply ly in the state by y incorporating a a Res esil iliency Pl Plan an and Rec ecovery ry Pl Plan ext xtendin ing th the “critical need trigger” fr from

m 72

72 ho hours pos post impact to to 14 14 da days pos post t impact for

r 100

100% of

f the pop

population.

RESILIENCY / RECOVERY PLAN SHORT range fix LONG RANGE YIELD

CITIZEN / BUSINESS E- RATION PROGRAM & MESSAGING STATE E- RA RATION PROGRAM FEM FEMA MATCH E-RA RATION VEN VENDOR R MAN ANAGED INVE VENTORY SYSTEM E-RA RAT & SH SHIPPING CONT. CONTRA RACT PLAN LAN POD D SYSTEM & LONG TER ERM FEED FEEDING VM VMI

Mid Range FIX

YEARS 2 5-10 20

25% / 1 ML / DAY @ 14 DAYS 25% / 1 ML / DAY @ 14 DAYS READY STATE SUPPLY AND DISTRIBUTION PLAN OF 1 MILLION E-RATS REDUCES IMPACT OF LOSING MAJOR SUPPLY POINT REDUCES RELIANCE ON SEA LOG CHAIN, IMPROVED SELF SUSTAINMENT/ISLAND 38

SLIDE 39

HAZ HAZARD / / SYSTEM TEM IDE DENTI TIFI FICATI TION

Emergency Evacuation Shelters
Post Impact Shelters (Long Term, Recovery)

CAP CAPABILITIES ASSE ASSESTMENT

DoE: Primary source of Hurricane Evac

facilities

Hurricane Retrofit sole method of increasing

emergency evac shelter space

Staffing & Equipment is under development
Popula

latio ion de demand for

r sh

shelt lters exceeds the he State’s supply of viable evac sh shelt lters

“GAP” IDENTIFICATION

No program to increase shelter space
Retrofit Program is a seasonal fix
No Identification of Post Impact Shelters
No

No Strategy y tha hat at attacks the he com

mprehensive

iss ssue of f sh shelt lterin ing.

resiliency Strategy: SHELTERS

RE RESILIENCY STR TRATEGY

Develop a multi-prong, multi year approach to increase new shelter space, retrofit existing space and reduce the general population’s need to shelter in government facilities; thereby, enabling the State to focus more of its limited resources to its most vulnerable populations.

RE RESILIENCY PL PLAN AN

Retrofit Program refocus on quality vs. quantity.
Citizen retrofit / saferoom incentive programs
Private business programs (Hotels, Condos)
Improve Building Codes / New CIP
Alternative Shelter/Community Saferooms

RE RECOVERY Y PLA LAN

Identify existing facilities for long term / post

impact sheltering

Improved use of HMGP
Legislature requiring cooperation with HI-

EMA for CIP projects and EM requirements

INS NSTI TITU TUTI TING TH THE E STRA TRATEGY

Stakeholders: Legislature, County EM,

NGO’s & private sector

Implement projects ASAP
Concurrent, multi-year projects

FU FUNDING

Legislative
Federal Funding & Grants
Private Industry

MAI MAINTENANCE/I /INSPECTI TION

Professional Project Management
Continuous HI-EMA liaison
Legislative Regulations to formalize EM

requirements 3/8/2018 39

SLIDE 40

Improve 10% of existing space

resiliency Strategic timeline: Shelters

SHEL ELTERS: Overarching goal is to increase “hardened shelter space” by using a multi-prong ap

approach that ad adds ne new she shelter spa space to to the inventory ry while ile red educin ing the po population that req equires she shelter, , thereby red educin ing the amo amount of

f she

shelter spa space nee needed an and be better usin using she sheltering reso esources for

r the mos
st

t vu vuln lnerable po populatio ions. .

RESILIENCY / RECOVERY PLAN SHORT range fix LONG RANGE YIELD

HURR. RETROFIT PROGRAM

CITIZEN RE RETROFI FIT/SAFEROOM INCEN ENTIVES & EDU EDUCATION PRIV RIVATE BUSI SINESS PROGRAMS IMPROVE BLD LDG CODE DES/ CIP AL ALTERN RNATIVE SH SHEL ELTER R / COMMUNITY SAFE AFE ROOMS POST IMPACT SH SHEL ELTER ERING USE SE OF F FEM FEMA GRAN RANTS EM EM LA LAW / LE LEG SU SUPPORT

Mid Range FIX

YEARS 2 5-10 20

Increase of 10% shelter space Increase of 10% shelter space, GREATER increase over time Cost sharing, super-hardened shelters Legislature supporting HI-EMA in execution of EM sheltering goals Increase of 10% shelter space Strategically located purpose built shelters Post Impact Shelters 40

SLIDE 41

41

SLIDE 42

42

SLIDE 43

43

SLIDE 44

44

SLIDE 45

45

SLIDE 46

46

“BLUE SKY” SUPPLY RATE

3,0 ,013 TONS / / DAY

IF F MRE REs @ 1.5 .5 LBS LBS PER PER

15,000 TONS / / DAY 27,206 TONS / / DAY

( ( FIR IRST 30 DAYS AVERAGE)

SLIDE 47

47

L

SLIDE 48

48

SLIDE 49

REFERENCES

1. Hawaii County Emergency Operations Plan, Appendix 8 to Annex H: Public Health and Medical Services (2012) 2. Hawaii County Emergency Operations Plan, Appendix 9 to Annex H: Search and Rescue (2012) 3. Hawaii County Emergency Operations Plan, Appendix 10 to Annex H: Oil and Hazardous Materials Response (2012) 4. Hawaii County Mass Fatality Management Plan (2012) 5. Maui County Emergency Operations Plan, Annex I: Fire and Rescue (2010) 6. Maui County Emergency Operations Plan, Annex L: Health and Medical (2010) 7. Maui County Mass Fatality Management Plan (2012) 8. City and County of Honolulu Emergency Operations Plan, Annex I: Fire and Rescue (2006) 9. City and County of Honolulu Emergency Operations Plan, Annex L: Health and Medical (2006)

10. Honolulu County Mass Fatality Management Plan (2012)
11. Kauai County Emergency Operations Plan, Annex I: Fire and Rescue (2008)
12. Kauai County Emergency Operations Plan, Annex L: Health and Medical (2008)
13. Kauai County Mass Fatality Management Plan (2012)
14. State of Hawaii DOH All-Hazards Emergency Response Plan (2013)
15. State of Hawaii Threat and Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment (2013)
16. HAH Public Health Emergency Preparedness Site Visit Presentation (2013)
17. 2014 Hawaii Catastrophic Hurricane Scenario Annex Infrastructure Questionnaire Response (2014)
18. Hawaii Department of Human Services

MASS CARE, FOOD & WATER (MASS CARE)

49

SLIDE 50

REFERENCES

1. Hawaii County Emergency Operations Plan, Appendix 8 to Annex H: Public Health and Medical Services (2012) 2. Hawaii County Emergency Operations Plan, Appendix 9 to Annex H: Search and Rescue (2012) 3. Hawaii County Emergency Operations Plan, Appendix 10 to Annex H: Oil and Hazardous Materials Response (2012) 4. Hawaii County Mass Fatality Management Plan (2012) 5. Maui County Emergency Operations Plan, Annex I: Fire and Rescue (2010) 6. Maui County Emergency Operations Plan, Annex L: Health and Medical (2010) 7. Maui County Mass Fatality Management Plan (2012) 8. City and County of Honolulu Emergency Operations Plan, Annex I: Fire and Rescue (2006) 9. City and County of Honolulu Emergency Operations Plan, Annex L: Health and Medical (2006)

10. Honolulu County Mass Fatality Management Plan (2012)
11. Kauai County Emergency Operations Plan, Annex I: Fire and Rescue (2008)
12. Kauai County Emergency Operations Plan, Annex L: Health and Medical (2008)
13. Kauai County Mass Fatality Management Plan (2012)
14. State of Hawaii DOH All-Hazards Emergency Response Plan (2013)
15. State of Hawaii Threat and Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment (2013)
16. HAH Public Health Emergency Preparedness Site Visit Presentation (2013)
17. 2014 Hawaii Catastrophic Hurricane Scenario Annex Infrastructure Questionnaire Response (2014)
18. Hawaii Catastrophic Hurricane, Public Health and Medical Estimate Report (September 2014)

MEDICAL (PERFORMING LIFE SAVING MEASURES)

50

SLIDE 51

REFERENCES

1. Hawaii Ports Handbook 2. MTSRU 3. State DOT Meeting Minutes 4. Critical Transportation Core Capability Analysis 5. State of Hawaii, DBEDT Energy Trend Analysis 6. Hawaii Energy Assurance Plan March 2013 7. Hawaii refinery Task Force – Refinery Closure Report Nov. 15, 2013 8. US Department of Energy 9. Hawaii Hurricane Catastrophic Plan

10. Interviews with Department of Business, Economic Development and Tourism (2016)

FUEL PRODUCTS

51

SLIDE 52

REFERENCES

1. Kauai Island Utility Cooperative 2013 Annual Report 2. Hawaiian Electric Company Operational Capabilities Overview Brief 3. Hawaii Electric Light Transmission Lines Map (2014) 4. Hawaiian Electric Companies 2013 Integrated Resource Planning Report 5. Maui Electric Company Emergency Operations Procedures 6. Interviews with Department of Business, Economic Development and Tourism, Energy Analysts (2016)

POWER

52

SLIDE 53

REFERENCES

OFFICIAL REPORTS: 1. 2013 Hawaii Port Resiliency/Recovery Assessment Summary Report 2. 02/2015 HDOT: Vulnerability of Hawaii Commercial Port and Harbor Facilities to Tsunamis and Hurricane Storm Surge and Wave Action, Ian Robertson Ph.D, SE, U of H Manoa 3. 12/2015 Department of Homeland Security: Resiliency Assessment 4. FEMA Honolulu Harbor Workshop, Summary Report (2016) 5. 03/2016 Hawaii DoD: HAWAII Port-Wide Risk Management and Mitigation Plan 6. 04/2016 USCG: Sector Honolulu: Laydown Area MTSR Workshop 2016 AAR 7. 06/2006 Mississippi Legislature Report: The Impact of Hurricane Katrina on Mississippi’s Ports 8. 08/2017 Tsunami Assessment of the Port of Honolulu: Gary Chock, Martin & Chock, Inc. Interviews and Other Sources: 1. Hawaii Ports Handbook 2. MTSRU Meeting Minutes 3. State DOT Meeting Minutes 4. Critical Transportation Core Capability Analysis 5. Section 20 of the River and Harbor Act of 1899 (33 USC 409, 411-415) 6. Interviews with John Manganaro, Port Security Specialist, USCG 7. Airport capabilities interviews with Joint Base Hickam: Dan Dubois, Emergency Management Officer; 8. Airport capabilities interviews with HDOT: Airports: Steven Maruyama, Chief Martinez, Hank Bruckner 9. State DOT Harbors: Planners and USACE Interviews: 8/29/2016

PORTS

53

SLIDE 54

Mr. . da

davi vid Lop

pez

ez

Critical Systems & Logistics HAWAII EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT 3949 Diamond Head RD Honolulu, HI 96816-4494 Off: 1808.733.4301 ext 514 Mob: 858.231.7562 david.a.lopez@

CONTACT INFORMATION

54