CRAFTON HILLS COLLEGE 2016 EDUCATIONAL AND FACILITIES MASTER PLANS - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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CRAFTON HILLS COLLEGE 2016 EDUCATIONAL AND FACILITIES MASTER PLANS - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Oct 01, 2023 743 likes •977 views

CRAFTON HILLS COLLEGE 2016 EDUCATIONAL AND FACILITIES MASTER PLANS WORKSHOP TWO > ORGANIZE, SHARE, + LEARN DECEMBER 11, 2015 WORKSHOP TWO 02 > EXTERNAL ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN GOAL >Provide Regional and Community Context for Planning

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CRAFTON HILLS COLLEGE 2016 EDUCATIONAL AND FACILITIES

DECEMBER 11, 2015

WORKSHOP TWO > ORGANIZE, SHARE, + LEARN

MASTER PLANS

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2016 EDUCATIONAL AND FACILITIES MASTER PLANS

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02 > EXTERNAL ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN

GOAL >Provide Regional and Community Context for Planning

  • REGION: San Bernardino County & Riverside County
  • Community: College Service Area Cities/Zip Codes

EMSI Analyst Platform > Primary Data Source

  • Historic information compiled from 90+ data sources,

updated quarterly

  • Link historical trends with future projections
  • Improve connections between programs and labor market
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2016 EDUCATIONAL AND FACILITIES MASTER PLANS

WORKSHOP

TWO Crafton Hills Service Area Primary Cities: Beaumont, Calimesa, Mentone, Redlands, Yucaipa

Zip Code City 92220 Banning 92223 Beaumont 92313 Grand Terrace 92314 Big Bear 92320 Calimesa 92324 Colton 92325 Crestline 92335 Fontana 92336 Fontana 92346 Highland 92352 Lake Arrowhead 92354 Loma Linda 92359 Mentone 92373 Redlands 92374 Redlands 92376 Rialto Zip Code City 92382 Running Springs 92399 Yucaipa 92404 San Bernardino 92404 San Bernardino 92405 San Bernardino 92407 San Bernardino 92408 San Bernardino 92410 San Bernardino 92411 San Bernardino 92503 Riverside 92508 Riverside 92509 Riverside 92553 Moreno Valley 92555 Moreno Valley 92557 Moreno Valley

zip codes below represent 90% of unduplicated enrollment

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2016 EDUCATIONAL AND FACILITIES MASTER PLANS

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Historical Population

  • Regional Growth 2005-2015 = 17.3% (669,696 persons)
  • Service Area Growth 2005-2015 = 13% (113,686 persons)
  • State-wide Growth 2005-2015 = 9.1% (3,262,423 persons)
  • Service Area was 21.7% of Regional population in 2015

874,176 892,135 904,261 911,872 918,789 931,224 943,457 952,304 967,154 976,089 987,862 3,875,627 3,986,424 4,067,241 4,113,339 4,160,575 4,243,556 4,302,146 4,350,609 4,416,590 4,481,004 4,545,323

  • 500,000

1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000 3,500,000 4,000,000 4,500,000 5,000,000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Population Year Service Area Regional Area

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Population Projection

  • Regional Growth 2016-2025 = 5.7% (263,910 persons)
  • Service Area Growth 2016-2025 = 4.7% (47,378 persons)
  • State-wide Growth 2016-2025 = 3.7% (1,472,522 persons)

999,564 1,008,004 1,015,081 1,022,408 1,028,052 1,032,399 1,035,498 1,037,736 1,042,329 1,046,942 4,600,071 4,645,931 4,686,665 4,725,453 4,755,883 4,779,217 4,796,289 4,808,452 4,836,132 4,863,981

  • 1,000,000

2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 6,000,000 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Population Year Service Area Regional Area

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Regional Population by Age Group

2010-2015 20-24 Age Group grew by 18.9% (59,826 persons) 50 + Age Group grew by 15.4% (175,295 persons) 20-29 Age Group grew by 17% (103,085 persons)

1,361,383 1,353,619 1,346,063 1,348,107 1,356,049 1,353,226 1,420,472 1,428,872 316,595 333,119 344,452 353,178 358,227 376,421 308,507 320,413 291,308 296,762 300,642 311,589 322,936 334,567 377,768 332,531 1,139,174 1,143,657 1,146,601 1,155,586 1,163,265 1,170,721 1,218,673 1,252,281 1,135,093 1,174,989 1,212,849 1,248,128 1,280,527 1,310,388 1,430,464 1,474,357 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2020 2023 Year 19 and Under 20-24 25-29 30-49 50 and Over

2015-2023 20-24 Age Group declines by 14.9% (-56,008 persons) 50 + Age Group grows by 12.5% (163,969 persons) 20-29 Age Group declines by 8.2% (-58,044 persons)

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2016 EDUCATIONAL AND FACILITIES MASTER PLANS

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Service Area Population by Age Group

2010-2015 20-24 Age Group grew by 17.03% (12,484 persons) 50 + Age Group grew by 15.18% (35,985 persons) 20-29 Age Group grew by 15.65% (22,000 persons) 2015-2023 20-24 Age Group declines by 16.9% (-14,501 persons) 50 + Age Group grows by 12..59% (34,374 persons) 20-29 Age Group declines by 9.78% (--15,889 persons)

309,737 307,770 305,031 304,475 305,474 303,262 314,913 316,306 73,299 76,836 79,512 81,003 81,665 85,783 69,455 71,282 67,246 68,516 69,450 71,821 74,269 76,762 85,644 75,374 246,018 246,882 246,900 248,202 249,367 250,591 260,194 267,286 237,128 245,568 253,395 260,513 267,067 273,113 297,847 307,487 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2020 2023 Year 19 & Under 20-24 25-29 30-49 50 & Over

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Regional Population by Race/Ethnicity

1,555,750 1,549,465 1,541,297 1,532,396 1,525,363 1,521,020 1,499,778 1,488,254 305,278 308,583 311,176 314,671 318,175 321,815 333,029 337,833 254,886 262,464 268,137 276,576 284,969 292,858 319,529 332,705 12,055 12,173 12,334 12,593 12,845 13,084 13,879 14,265 2,008,976 2,060,240 2,105,956 2,165,866 2,222,458 2,276,693 2,460,850 2,552,583 19,737 19,766 19,770 19,622 19,533 19,477 19,200 19,038 86,874 89,455 91,938 94,866 97,663 100,375 109,620 114,324 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2020 2025 Year White Black/African American Asian Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander Hispanic/Latino American Indian/Alaskan Native Other/2 or More

2010-2015 Hispanics increased to 50.1% of population (2,276,693 persons) Whites decreased to 33.5% of population (1,521,020 persons) African Americans steady at 7.1% of population (321,815 persons) 2015-2025 Hispanics increase by 275,890 persons (52.5% of pop.) Whites decrease by 32,766 persons (30.6% of pop.) Asians increase by 39,847 persons (6.8% of pop.)

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Service Area Population by Race/Ethnicity

2010-2015 Hispanics increased to 54.92% of population (543,442 persons) Whites decreased to 27.67% of population (273,803 persons) African Americans increased to 9.39% of population (92,937 persons) 2015-2025 Hispanics increase by 57,237 persons (57.36% of pop.) Whites decrease by 11,928 persons (25.01% of pop.) Asians increase by 7,462 persons (6.16% of pop.)

286,544 284,241 281,541 278,424 275,847 273,803 265,876 261,875 89,892 90,699 91,053 91,628 92,253 92,937 94,895 95,580 50,012 51,531 52,532 54,071 55,622 57,064 62,042 64,526 1,264 1,274 1,293 1,318 1,341 1,363 1,438 1,474 486,892 498,567 508,239 520,507 532,287 543,442 581,498 600,679 2,558 2,564 2,560 2,542 2,530 2,523 2,490 2,472 16,266 16,694 17,070 17,524 17,961 18,378 19,813 20,528 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2020 2025 White Black/African American Asian Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander Hispanic/Latino American Indian/Alaskan Native Other/2 or More

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Regional Population by Gender

2,110,543 2,140,422 2,166,567 2,199,197 2,231,213 2,262,587 2,366,753 2,417,566 2,133,013 2,161,725 2,184,042 2,217,392 2,249,791 2,282,737 2,389,130 2,440,546 1,900,000 2,000,000 2,100,000 2,200,000 2,300,000 2,400,000 2,500,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2020 2025 Population Year Male Female

  • Male : Female proportion steady thru 2025 (49.8% : 50.2%)

2010-2015 Males increase by 7.2% (152,044 persons) Females increase by 7.0% (149,724 persons) 2015-2025 Males increase by 6.8% (154,979 persons) Females increase by 6.9% (157,806 persons)

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Service Area Population by Gender

  • Male : Female proportion steady thru 2025 (49.12% : 50.88%)

2010-2015 Males increase by 6.8% (27,855 persons) Females increase by 5.94% (28,225 persons) 2015-2025 Males increase by 5.83% (28,309 persons) Females increase by 5.78% (29,124 persons)

458,108 464,194 468,963 474,623 480,386 485,963 504,951 514,272 475,321 481,377 485,324 491,392 497,456 503,546 523,101 532,670 420,000 440,000 460,000 480,000 500,000 520,000 540,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2020 2025 Male Female

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Demographics by Race/Ethnicity Contextualized

  • 543,442 residents are Hispanic –roughly 55% of population
  • Over 3x as many Hispanics as national percentage
  • Percentage of Whites slightly below national average

Service Area Regional

  • 2,276,693 residents are Hispanic –roughly 50% of population
  • Nearly 3x as many Hispanics as national percentage
  • Percentage population of Whites below national percentage
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Educational Attainment 2010-2015 (5-Yr. Average)

588,769 22% 696,893 26% 680,773 25% 208,313 8% 335,765 12% 179,284 7% No HS HS Diploma or Equivalent Some College AA/AS BA/BS Graduate or Professor 4,809,889 19% 5,215,991 21% 5,459,780 22% 1,923,096 8% 4,792,812 19% 2,728,740 11%

Regional Service Area California

136,796 24% 150,901 26% 140,492 24% 45,396 8% 66,416 11% 39,525 7%

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Median Income by Educational Attainment 2010-2015 (5-Yr Average)

$35,703.12 $25,276.28 $30,133.92 $35,834.80 $50,490.40 $61,491.16 $33,680.00 $20,912.50 $29,162.50 $36,928.50 $52,174.50 $70,762.00 $37,194.00 $19,122.00 $27,952.00 $36,901.00 $55,262.00 $78,746.00 $0.00 $10,000.00 $20,000.00 $30,000.00 $40,000.00 $50,000.00 $60,000.00 $70,000.00 $80,000.00 $90,000.00 Population Age 25+ Less than HS Graduate HS Diploma or Equivalent Some College or AA/AS BA/BS Graduate or Professor Median Income CH Service Areas Regional California

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Area Labor Force Employed Unemployed Unemployment Rate Crafton Hills Service Areas 488,600 459,300 29,600 6.06% Regional 1,930,600 1,813,500 117,100 6.07% California 18,946,000 17,911,900 1,034,200 5.50%

Labor Force by Population

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Leading Service Area Employment by Industry

  • Health Care & Social Assistance –47,967 Jobs (20.26% of Total)
  • Government –35,000 Jobs (14.78% of Total)
  • Retail Trade –32,079 Jobs (13.55% of Total)
  • Accommodation & Food Services –21,792 Jobs (9.2% of Total)
  • Transportation & Warehousing –19,122 Jobs (8.07% of Total)

Leading Regional Employment by Industry

  • Government –230,576 Jobs (17.32% of Total)
  • Health Care & Social Assistance –171,743 Jobs (12.9% of Total)
  • Retail Trade –170,217 Jobs (12.78% of Total)
  • Accommodation & Food Services –133,092 Jobs (9.99% of Total)
  • Administrative, Support, Waste Management, and Remediation

Services –98,030 Jobs (7.36% of Total)

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Regional Projected Job Growth & Decline by Industry (2015-2025)

Employment Industry Jobs 2015 2025 Numerical Change Health Care & Social Assistance 81,011 106,519 25,508 Retail Trade 85,230 101,009 15,779 Accommodation and Food Services 71,990 85,836 13,846 Administrative, Support, Waste Management, and Remediation Services 42,514 53,727 11,213 Crop & Animal Production 11,736 9,914 (1,822) Information 6,241 6,016 (225) Management of Companies & Enterprises 3,309 3,230 (79) Mining, Quarrying, and Oil & Gas Extraction 309 239 (70)

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Employment Industry Jobs 2015 2025 Numerical Change Health Care & Social Assistance 47,967 62,532 14,565 Retail Trade 32,079 38,407 6,328 Transportation & Housing 19,122 24,603 5,481 Accommodation & Food Services 21,792 25,887 4,095 Crop & Animal Production 1,026 633 (393) Management of Companies & Enterprises 2,637 2,471 (166) Construction 9,678 9,594 (84) Information 1,318 1,287 (31)

Service Area Projected Job Growth & Decline by Industry (2015-2025)

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Regional Occupations with Highest Projected Openings (2025)

Occupation Description Annual Job Openings Projected Job Growth (2025) Typical Entry Level of Education Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 1,021 5,473 Postsecondary non-degree award Registered Nurses 1,082 5,323 Associate’s Degree Nursing Assistants 538 3,163 Postsecondary non-degree award Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses 362 1,738 Postsecondary non-degree award Medical Assistants 333 1,706 Postsecondary non-degree award

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Service Area Occupations with Highest Projected Openings (2025)

Occupation Description Annual Job Openings Projected Job Growth (2025) Typical Entry Level of Education Registered Nurses 281 1,401 Associate's degree Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 222 1,139 Postsecondary non-degree award Nursing Assistants 158 925 Postsecondary non-degree award Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses 105 526 Postsecondary non-degree award Medical Assistants 93 491 Postsecondary non-degree award

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Regional Program Gaps – Certificate Level

  • Business Administration = 1,025 Gap
  • Accounting = 475 Gap
  • Child Development / Early Care Education = 411 Gap

Regional Program Surplus – Certificate Level

  • Crafton Hills Emergency Medical Services Program –286 Surplus
  • Produces 123 completers per year for 61 annual openings
  • Other regional institutions add another 1,904 completers per year
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Regional Program Gaps – Associate Level

  • Business Administration = 827 Gap
  • Child Development / Early Care Education = 372 Gap

Regional Program Surplus – Associate Level

  • Respiratory Care –211 Surplus