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Enviromis 2008 2008 Enviromis Corresponding member of RAS, , Corresponding member of RAS professor V V. .V. V. Zuev Zuev professor Institute of atmospheric optics SB RAS, Tomsk Tomsk Institute of atmospheric optics SB RAS, 1


slide-1
SLIDE 1

1 1

Corresponding member of RAS Corresponding member of RAS, , professor professor V V. .V.

  • V. Zuev

Zuev

Institute of atmospheric optics SB RAS, Institute of atmospheric optics SB RAS, Tomsk Tomsk

Enviromis Enviromis – – 2008 2008

slide-2
SLIDE 2

2 2

Chronology of ozonosphere study Chronology of ozonosphere study

1840 1840 – – discovery discovery of ozone by Swiss chemist

  • f ozone by Swiss chemist Sh

Shö önbein nbein 1881 1881 – – detection of ozone in the upper atmosphere by the Ireland detection of ozone in the upper atmosphere by the Ireland chemist chemist Hartley Hartley 1920 1920 – – first exact measurements of total ozone (TO) content, first exact measurements of total ozone (TO) content, performed by performed by Fabri Fabri and and Buisson Buisson 1926 1926 – – beginning of regular measurements by Dobson in beginning of regular measurements by Dobson in Arosa Arosa 1957 1957 – – organization of world

  • rganization of world ozonometric
  • zonometric network within

network within International Geophysical Year International Geophysical Year ( (YGY YGY) ) 19 1960 60s s – – beginning of episodic measurements of vertical ozone beginning of episodic measurements of vertical ozone distribution distribution 1970s 1970s – – beginning of use of beginning of use of lidars lidars for for ozonometry

  • zonometry

1979 1979 – – beginning of satellite monitoring of global TO field beginning of satellite monitoring of global TO field with with use of TOMS instrumentation use of TOMS instrumentation

slide-3
SLIDE 3

3 3

Trends of global TO Trends of global TO according to according to TOMS data TOMS data (1979 (1979 -

  • 1991

1991 ) )

Color scale Color scale: % : % over

  • ver 10

10 years years

slide-4
SLIDE 4

4 4

“ “Freon Freon” ” concept of concept of

  • zonosphere destruction
  • zonosphere destruction

CFC

hν (λ<225nm)

Cl Photochemistry Photochemistry

  • f stratosphere:
  • f stratosphere:

Cl + O3 → ClO + O2 ClO + O → Cl + O2 Total: O3 + O → 2O2

TO, DU

CFCs (freons)

Arosa

TO series in TO series in Arosa Arosa ( (Switzerland Switzerland) )

Years

slide-5
SLIDE 5

5 5

Creation and collapse Creation and collapse

  • f freon technologies
  • f freon technologies

1928 1928 – – Thomas Thomas Midgley Midgley discovered a new class of substances discovered a new class of substances CFCs CFCs ( (freons freons) ) 19 1930 30s s – – Thomas Thomas Midgley Midgley invented invented freons freons in the in the Dupon Dupon concern instead of concern instead of existing, but less effective, existing, but less effective, refrigerating refrigerating medium medium 19 1960 60s s – – Leadership in production of cheap freon passed to USSR Leadership in production of cheap freon passed to USSR 19 1970 70s s – – Dupon Dupon concern developed a new class of CFC substances and concern developed a new class of CFC substances and initiated campaign toward substitution of cheap CFCs by more initiated campaign toward substitution of cheap CFCs by more expensive HFC around the world expensive HFC around the world : : 1985 1985s s – – Farman Farman’ ’s s paper in paper in “ “Nature Nature” ” is published about ozone hole in is published about ozone hole in Antarctic in the presence of the elevated Antarctic in the presence of the elevated ClO ClOx

x content

content 1985 1985s s – – Vienn Vienna a Convention Convention on

  • n Protection

Protection of

  • f the

the Ozone Ozone Layer Layer is signed is signed 1987 1987 – – Montreal protocol, forbidding the freon technologies, is signed Montreal protocol, forbidding the freon technologies, is signed 1995 1995 – – A Nobel prize is awarded to A Nobel prize is awarded to Krutzen Krutzen, , Molina, Molina, and and Rawland Rawland for for hypothesis on destruction of ozonosphere by anthropogenic hypothesis on destruction of ozonosphere by anthropogenic freons freons

slide-6
SLIDE 6

6 6

Mythology Mythology of

  • f “

“freon freon” ” concept concept

Natural Natural freons freons are emitted are emitted during volcanic eruptions in during volcanic eruptions in amounts, three orders of amounts, three orders of magnitude larger than magnitude larger than anthropogenic freon emissions anthropogenic freon emissions Occurrence Occurrence of

  • f freons

freons in in the atmosphere is the atmosphere is associated only with associated only with anthropogenic emissions anthropogenic emissions Ozone holes over Antarctic Ozone holes over Antarctic were observed were observed in in 1957/1958 1957/1958; ; analysis of these data is analysis of these data is published by Dobson in published by Dobson in 1961 1961. . Ozone holes over Antarctic Ozone holes over Antarctic are are discovered only in discovered only in 1983, 1983, i.e., in period of i.e., in period of intensive freon emissions intensive freon emissions

Reality Reality Myths Myths

slide-7
SLIDE 7

7 7

Volcanic perturbation Volcanic perturbation of

  • f

Antarctic stratosphere Antarctic stratosphere

Ross Island Ross Island Mountains Mountains Antarctic Antarctic Location Location 1972 1972 Initiation Initiation Strato Strato volcano volcano Type Type 3794 3794 m m Height Height

Erebus volcano Erebus volcano

Erebus Erebus

slide-8
SLIDE 8

8 8

Alternative concept Alternative concept

  • f TO behavior in
  • f TO behavior in Arosa

Arosa

TO, DU

Volcanoes

TO, DU

freons

" " Freon Freon” ” cocept cocept

Natural concept of Natural concept of centennial centennial-

  • scale long

scale long-

  • period variations of

period variations of

  • zonosphere
  • zonosphere

Years

Years

slide-9
SLIDE 9

9 9

Absorption of UV solar radiation Absorption of UV solar radiation by the earth by the earth’ ’s atmosphere s atmosphere

Ozone and oxygen absorption bands in Ozone and oxygen absorption bands in UV spectral region UV spectral region: : 1 1 – – О О2

2–

– Schumann Schumann, 2 , 2 – – О О2

2 –

– Hertzberg Hertzberg, , 3 3 – – О О3

3 –

– Hartley Hartley, 4 , 4 – – О О3

3 –

– Huggins Huggins. . Photon influx at the top of the Photon influx at the top of the atmosphere atmosphere (1) (1) and near ground and near ground surface surface (2) (2)

UV-В UV-С UV-А

Decimal absorption coefficient Wavelength, nm

350 λ, nm

slide-10
SLIDE 10

10 10

Relation between Relation between UV UV-

  • B

B radiation and TO radiation and TO

Correlation coefficients Correlation coefficients* *

0. .8 81 1

0. .26 26

0. .15 15

  • 0.10

0.10 R R min

min (0.9

(0.99 9) ) 8 8 100 100 287 287 2896 2896 N N

0. .8 82 2

0. .8 82 2

0. .81 81

0. .77 77

0. .7 70

0. .68 68

0. .55 55

0. .30 30

0. .74 74

0. .74 74

0. .6 64 4

0. .4 46 6

0. .67 67

0. .6 67 7

0. .5 55 5

0. .3 38 8 300 300 305 305 310 310 315 315

Over Over year year Over Over month month Over Over 10 10 days days Complete Complete period period Wavelength Wavelength, , nm nm

* * The observation period at the Edmonton (Canada) station is The observation period at the Edmonton (Canada) station is 1996 1996-

  • 2004

2004. .

slide-11
SLIDE 11

11 11

Relation between variations of TO Relation between variations of TO and and dendrochronologic dendrochronologic parameters parameters

Scheme of influence of TO variations on plant growth

1 9 3 0 1 9 4 0 1 9 5 0 1 9 6 0 1 9 7 0 1 9 8 0 1 9 9 0

  • 2
  • 1

1 2 A R D T O Y e a r s Indices

R=0.585; p<0.001

Correlation of TO indices and fir annual ring density O3 + hν → O2 + O(1D), λ<310nm, O(1D) + H2O → 2OH, RH + OH → RO + H2

  • Total: RCOH + 2H2O + 2O3

Arosa

Solar radiation Solar radiation Ozonosphere TO PAR

λ>400 nm

UV-B

λ<310 nm

PSS Plant growth

O3

slide-12
SLIDE 12

12 12

Correlation of TO and Correlation of TO and dendrochronologic dendrochronologic parameters parameters

0. .31 31 < < 0.01 0.01 0. .18 18

TO TO / / annual annual ring ring width width

0. .64 64

0. .58 58

0. .32 32

TO TO/ / max max. . annual tree annual tree density density

cedar cedar

49 49 points points

fir fir

58 58 points points

pine pine

58 58 points points Correlation coefficient between TO Correlation coefficient between TO and and dendrochronologies dendrochronologies near near Arosa Arosa Parameters Parameters

slide-13
SLIDE 13

13 13

Accounting for climatic factors Accounting for climatic factors affecting the coniferous affecting the coniferous ( (Arosa Arosa) )

0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 < < 0.1 0.1

D D/ /T T (1800 (1800– – 1974) 1974)

– – 0.15 0.15 – – 0.4 0.4 – – 0.6 0.63 3

D D/ /TO TO (1926 (1926– – 1974) 1974) Correlation coefficient Correlation coefficient ( (coverage coverage interval, yr interval, yr) )

– – 0.1 0.1

445 445 Fir Fir

( (Picea Picea abies abies) )

1690 1690– –1975 1975

Swit Swit 107 107

< < 0.1 0.1

665 665 Larch Larch

( (Larix Larix deciduas deciduas) )

1792 1792– –1974 1974

Swit Swit 111 111

– – 0.1 0.1

435 435 Cedar Cedar

( (Pinus Pinus cembra cembra) )

1788 1788– –1974 1974

Swit Swit 109 109

D D/ /PR PR (1800 (1800– – 1974) 1974) Density Density, , kg kg/ /m m3, 3, at at humidity humidity 12% 12% Species Species Chronology Chronology length length File name File name ( (contributor contributor F.

  • F. S

Schwein chwein-

  • gruber

gruber) )

slide-14
SLIDE 14

14 14

Super Super-

  • long chronology

long chronology

  • f TO indices in
  • f TO indices in Arosa

Arosa

1400 1600 1800 2000

  • 1

1 2

Индексы ОСО Г од ы

20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240

П ер иод, лет

Periodogram Periodogram of

  • f

the series the series * *Blue line shows smoothing with Blue line shows smoothing with 30 30-

  • year window

year window

TO indices

Years

Period, year

slide-15
SLIDE 15

15 15

Verification of information of TOMS Verification of information of TOMS data data utilization for TO reconstruction utilization for TO reconstruction

Comparison of the series of reconstructed TO indices for Comparison of the series of reconstructed TO indices for Arosa Arosa. . Blue line shows TO values reconstructed from the short Blue line shows TO values reconstructed from the short series of satellite data, and red line from the long series of series of satellite data, and red line from the long series of ground ground-

  • based data

based data. .

1800 1850 1900 1950 2000

  • 2

2

индексы ОСО Годы

T O I n d I c e s Y e a r s

slide-16
SLIDE 16

16 16

Results of correlation analysis Results of correlation analysis

  • 0.76

0.76

1613 1613-

  • 1994

1994

PISY PISY

54.2 / 89.6 54.2 / 89.6 Altai Altai

  • 0.72

0.72

1674 1674-

  • 1994

1994

PISY PISY

61.5 / 94.2 61.5 / 94.2 N N. . Tunguska Tunguska

  • 0.96

0.96

1784 1784-

  • 1994

1994

PCOB PCOB

61.5 / 94.2 61.5 / 94.2 N N. . Tunguska Tunguska

  • 0.84

0.84

1720 1720-

  • 1990

1990

PCOB PCOB

66.1 / 71.7 66.1 / 71.7 Nadym Nadym

  • 0.82

0.82

1601 1601-

  • 1991

1991

PCOB PCOB

65.4 / 69.5 65.4 / 69.5 Polui Polui

  • 0.83

0.83

1707 1707-

  • 1996

1996

PISY PISY

56.3 / 114.7 56.3 / 114.7 Buryatia Buryatia

  • 0.77

0.77

1703 1703-

  • 1993

1993

PCOB PCOB

61.3 / 59.3 61.3 / 59.3 North Ural North Ural

0. .88 88

1715 1715-

  • 1992

1992

PCAB PCAB

61 61. .4 / 30 4 / 30. .9 9 Valaam Valaam

Correlation Correlation coefficient coefficient Period Period, , years years Code Code * * Coordinates Coordinates, , N N / / E E Location Location

*) PCAB *) PCAB -

  • European fir

European fir; ; PCOB PCOB – – Siberian fir Siberian fir; ; PISY PISY – – Scotch Scotch pine pine

slide-17
SLIDE 17

17 17

Generalized TO chronology for Generalized TO chronology for subarctic Eurasian regions subarctic Eurasian regions

60 62 64 66 68 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

в.д., град с .ш ., г р а д

Coordinates of dendromonitoring points Generalized 250-year chronology of TO variations; plus and minus signs indicate anomalous variations in excess of 2σ Периодограмма ряда

1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 2000

  • 2
  • 1

1 2

_

+ +

Индексы ОСО Годы

+

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Period, year

Periodogram

  • f the series

North, grad East, grad

TO indices Years

slide-18
SLIDE 18

18 18

Trends Trends of subarctic TO for the

  • f subarctic TO for the

main periods of variations main periods of variations

22 22yr yr 84 84 yr yr 22 22 yr yr 84 84 yr yr

  • 1

1. .8 87 7 1984 1984-

  • 2002

2002 1.59 1.59 1962 1962-

  • 1984

1984

  • 0.12

0.12 1940 1940-

  • 1962

1962 0.1 .1 1918 1918-

  • 2002

2002

0.1 .15 5

1918 1918-

  • 2002

2002

0. .71 71 1990 1990-

  • 1918

1918

0. .68 68 1878 1878-

  • 1900

1900

0. .2 2 1856 1856-

  • 1878

1878

0.2 .2 1834 1834-

  • 1856

1856

  • 0.

0.09 09 1834 1834-

  • 1918

1918

  • 2

2. .9 93 3 1816 1816-

  • 1834

1834 2 2. .09 09 1794 1794-

  • 1816

1816 0. .19 19 1772 1772-

  • 1794

1794 0.1 .13 3 1750 1750-

  • 1772

1772

0. .32 32

1750 1750-

  • 1834

1834

TO trends TO trends, , % % / /10 10 years years Period, yr Period, yr. .

1 7 6 0 1 8 0 0 1 8 4 0 1 8 8 0 1 9 2 0 1 9 6 0 2 0 0 0

  • 2
  • 1

1 2

1 3 2

  • +

+ +

Индексы ОСО Г о д ы

1 8 4 0 1 8 6 0 1 8 8 0 1 9 0 0 1 9 2 0

  • 2
  • 1

1 2 1 9 2 0 1 9 4 0 1 9 6 0 1 9 8 0 2 0 0 0

  • 2
  • 1

1 2 1 7 6 0 1 7 8 0 1 8 0 0 1 8 2 0

  • 2
  • 1

1 2

2 3 Г о д ы Индексы ОСО 1

TO indices T O i n d i c e s

Years

Y e a r s

slide-19
SLIDE 19

19 19

Siberian Siberian Lidar Lidar Station Station

Small Small antennas antennas

Large Large antenna antenna ø ø 2.2 m 2.2 m

Nd:Yag Nd:Yag laser laser Xe Xe-

  • Cl

Cl laser laser

NO2 twilight photometer TO М-124

Lidar channels

slide-20
SLIDE 20

20 20 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 Н, км

H2O, s*10

  • 2 ppm

9.08.2004

0,0 2,5 5,0 7,5 10,0 12,5 15,0 17,5 20,0 22,5 25,0 27,5 30,0 1,0 1,5 2,0 2,5 3,0 3,5 4,0 4,5 5,0

5 % of signal

95% of signal

09.12.05

H, km

Scattering ratio, R Н, км Н, км a) b) UV DIAL 2 (299/341 nm) UV DIAL 1 (308/353 nm) 19.07.2007

Ozone concentration, Nх1012cm-3

Laser sensing of troposphere Laser sensing of troposphere, , stratosphere and mesosphere stratosphere and mesosphere

Aerosol Aerosol Ozone Ozone

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 180 200 220 240 260 280 300

Temperature, К Heght, km

Height, km Temperature, К

Temperature Temperature

H, km

Humidity Humidity

H, km H, km

slide-21
SLIDE 21

21 21

General characterization General characterization of channels

  • f channels
  • f Siberian
  • f Siberian Lidar

Lidar Station Station

4 2004 Raman 3-30 Temperature 6 1.5 2006 Fluorescent lidar

  • Chlorophyll

activity 10 Bioindication 12 1996 Twilight spectrophotometry 0-50 NO2 9 21 1986 Ozonometer M-124 TO Ozone 8 Passive 4 2004 Raman 0.5-10 Humidity 7 14 1994 Rayleigh 30-80 Temperature 5 1.5 2006 DIAL 3-18 Ozone 4 18 1989 DIAL 13-50 Ozone 3 2000 2004 1986 Beginning

  • f data

acquisition, yr Dendrochronology Mie + Raman Mie Method 150- 350 TO Ozone 11 4 3-14 Aerosol 2 21 12-30 Aerosol 1 Active Series length, yr Altitude range, km Parameter Channe l No. Type of the

  • btained data

*) Pink color marks rows with parameters, whose series exceeds 10 years.

slide-22
SLIDE 22

22 22

20 20 -

  • year series of observations of

year series of observations of stratospheric aerosol and ozone stratospheric aerosol and ozone

3 2 0 3 3 0 3 4 0 3 5 0 3 6 0

2 0 0 7 2 0 0 3 1 9 9 9 1 9 9 5 1 9 9 1 TO, D.U. Y e a r s 1 9 8 7

Period of background state Period of volcanic perturbation

1 0

  • 4

1 0

  • 3

0 7 0 6 8 6 8 7 8 8 8 9 9 0 9 1 9 2 9 3 9 4 9 5 9 6 9 7 9 8 9 9 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5

B

a π , s r

  • 1

Y e a r s

Del Ruiz Rabaul Shiveluch Rabaul Pinatubo Kelut Nyamuragira

slide-23
SLIDE 23

23 23

Perturbation of global stratosphere Perturbation of global stratosphere after Pinatubo volcano eruption after Pinatubo volcano eruption

Eruption of Pinatubo volcano on 14 June 1991 SO2 distribution after Pinatubo eruption (20 Mt) Altitude-temporal distribution of volcanic aerosol at height 25 km

slide-24
SLIDE 24

24 24

Depression of stratospheric ozone Depression of stratospheric ozone just after Pinatubo eruption just after Pinatubo eruption

Scattering ratio, R Ozone concentration,1012 mol./sm3

km

1991 1991 1991 1991 1991

Scattering ratio, R Ozone concentration, 1012 mol/cm3

Н, км

Effect of Effect of “ “ozone corrosion

  • zone corrosion”

” inside the aerosol layers in the stratosphere over inside the aerosol layers in the stratosphere over Tomsk Tomsk in in July July 1991 1991, a month after eruption of Pinatubo volcano , a month after eruption of Pinatubo volcano in Philippines in Philippines

H, km

slide-25
SLIDE 25

25 25

Destruction of stratospheric ozone Destruction of stratospheric ozone two years after eruption two years after eruption

Vertical profiles of ozone concentration Vertical profiles of ozone concentration ( (curves curves 1 1 and and 2 2) ) and scattering ratio and scattering ratio ( (curves curves 3 3 and and 4 4), ), measured at SLS on measured at SLS on 12 12 and and 13 13 April April 1993, 1993, correspondingly correspondingly, , in comparison in comparison with the Krueger model with the Krueger model ( (circles circles) )

Ozone destruction Ozone destruction in heterogeneous reactions in heterogeneous reactions on

  • n

the surface of sulfate aerosol the surface of sulfate aerosol    → + + → < λ ν + , O 2 O О , O O ) нм 1100 ( h O

2 3 2 3

Intensification Intensification of photochemical

  • f photochemical
  • zone destruction
  • zone destruction:

:

O z o n e c o n c e n t r a t i o n, N(H)*1012 sm-3 H, km

slide-26
SLIDE 26

26 26

Ozone Ozone hole hole over

  • ver Tomsk

Tomsk

( (January January 1995) 1995)

Tomsk Tomsk

Recording of Recording of PSCs PSCs in the stratosphere in the stratosphere

  • ver
  • ver Tomsk

Tomsk in January in January 1995 1995 ( (24 24 January (curve January (curve 1 1) ), 26 , 26 January January

(curve (curve 2 2) ),

, and and background altitude distribution of background altitude distribution of R(H) at wavelength R(H) at wavelength 1064 1064 nm nm (curve

(curve 3 3) ))

). . TO field in DU contour lines according to TO field in DU contour lines according to TOMS TOMS data on data on 25 25 January January 1995. 1995.

H, km R(1064 nm)

slide-27
SLIDE 27

27 27

Classification of stages of volcanic Classification of stages of volcanic depression of ozonosphere depression of ozonosphere after Pinatubo eruption after Pinatubo eruption

One and half One and half years years afterward afterward Half Half-

  • year

year afterward afterward First weeks First weeks Beginning of Beginning of stage after stage after eruption eruption More than More than six years six years Heterogeneous reactions on the Heterogeneous reactions on the surfaces of PSC particles surfaces of PSC particles, , formed on formed on cores of volcanic aerosol cores of volcanic aerosol III III Three Three-

  • four

four years years Heterogeneous reactions on surfaces Heterogeneous reactions on surfaces

  • f sulfate aerosol and intensification of
  • f sulfate aerosol and intensification of

photochemical ozone destruction photochemical ozone destruction II II Within half Within half-

  • year

year Heterogeneous reactions on surface of Heterogeneous reactions on surface of ash particles ash particles I I Duration of Duration of stage stage Mechanism of depression Mechanism of depression Stage Stage No. No.

slide-28
SLIDE 28

28 28

Volcanic eruptions Volcanic eruptions with injections of with injections of substance into the stratosphere substance into the stratosphere

  • 5

5

  • 5

5

  • 5

5

  • 16

16° °N N / 62 / 62° °W W 13 13° °N N / 61 / 61° °W W 13 13° °N N / 87 / 87° °W W 46 46° °N N / 122 / 122° °W W 51 51° °N N / 156 / 156° °E E 1 1° °S S / 29 / 29° °E E 17 17° °N N / 93 / 93° °W W 5 5° °N N / 76 / 76° °W W 1 1° °S S / 29 / 29° °E E 61 61° °N N / 153 / 153° °W W 15 15° °N N / 120 / 120° °E E 4 4° °S S / 152 / 152° °E E Soufri Soufriè ère re Soufri Soufriè ère re Cerro Negro Cerro Negro

  • St. Helens
  • St. Helens

Alaid Alaid Nyamuragira Nyamuragira El El Chichon Chichon Del Ruiz Del Ruiz Nyamuragira Nyamuragira Redoubt Redoubt Pinatubo Pinatubo Rabaul Rabaul 1976 1976-

  • 1977

1977 1979 1979 1979 1979 1980 1980 1981 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1985 1985 1986 1986 1989 1989 1991 1991 1994 1994 4 4 5 5 4 4

  • 4

4 4 4 4 4 61 61° °N N / 152 / 152° °W W 56 56° °N N / 161 / 161° °E E 8 8° °S S / 116 / 116° °E E 14 14° °N N / 121 / 121° °E E 4 4° °N N / 125 / 125° °E E 0° °S S / 92 / 92° °W W 14 14° °N N / 91 / 91° °W W Mount Mount Spurr Spurr Bezymyannaya Bezymyannaya Agung Agung Taal Taal Avu Avu Fernandina Fernandina Fuego Fuego 1953 1953 1956 1956 1963 1963 1965 1965 1966 1966 1968 1968 1974 1974

VEI VEI Latitude Latitude / / Longitude Longitude S S Year of eruption Year of eruption

slide-29
SLIDE 29

29 29

Volcanic perturbation of the Volcanic perturbation of the stratosphere in the last quarter of stratosphere in the last quarter of twentieth century twentieth century

9 – Redoubt 10 – Pinatubo 11 – Klyuchevskaya sopka 12 – Shishaldin 5 – Nyamuragira 6 – El Chichon 7 – Del Ruiz 8 – Nyamuragira 1 – Soufriere 2 – Cerro Negro 3 – St. Helens 4 – Alaid

Background level

yr

, sr-1

slide-30
SLIDE 30

30 30 30 30

Enhancement of Enhancement of UV UV -

  • В

В radiation in radiation in presence of aerosol layer in the presence of aerosol layer in the stratosphere stratosphere

F FΣ

Σ =

= F Fп

п +

+ F Fр

р

F Fа

а п п >

> F Fм

м п п

F Fа

а Σ Σ >

> F Fм

м Σ Σ

1) 1) Ozone destruction Ozone destruction: :

2) 2) Aerosol extinction Aerosol extinction: :

F Fа

а р р ≈

≈ F Fм

м р р

Total Total: : FΣ FΣ

TROPOSPHERE TROPOSPHERE STRATOSPHERE STRATOSPHERE

OCEAN OCEAN

OCEAN OCEAN

AEROSOL AEROSOL LAYER LAYER

TROPOPAUSE TROPOPAUSE

slide-31
SLIDE 31

31 31

Absorption of Absorption of UV UV -

  • В

В radiation radiation РОВ РОВ in the water surface layer in the water surface layer

DOS

MACROPHYTES PLANKTON

UV-В

VISIBLE

h1 h2

( ) ( ) ( )

h α h F dh h dF

Δλ Δλ Δλ

− =

Bouger Bouger-

  • Beer law

Beer law: :

( ) ( )dλ

dh h dF c ρ 1 dt h dT

Δλ Δλ p в

− =

Radiative heating rate of water Radiative heating rate of water: :

Х

F F0

UV UV-

  • В

В /

/ F

F0

vis vis. . <

< 10 10-

  • 3

3,

, α αUV

UV-

  • В

В /

/ α

αvis

vis. . >

> 10 103

3

h h2

2 >> h

>> h1

1

Ratio of contributions of UV Ratio of contributions of UV-

  • В

В and and visible radiation visible radiation to heating of to heating of surface layer surface layer: :

dT dTUV

UV-

  • В

В(h

(h1

1)

) dt dt dT dTvis

vis. .(h

(h1

1)

) dt dt

/ /

≥ ≥ 1 1

slide-32
SLIDE 32

32 32

Correlation of indices of TO and Correlation of indices of TO and SST SST for for Okhotskoe Okhotskoe sea sea

Behavior of monthly mean TO Behavior of monthly mean TO ( (TOMS TOMS) ) and SST (MODIS) and SST (MODIS) for for coordinates coordinates 50 50º ºN N; 150 ; 150º ºE E in in Okhotskoe Okhotskoe sea sea; ; ( (2000 2000-

  • 2007

2007) ) Correlation of indices of TO and SST for Correlation of indices of TO and SST for Okhotskoe Okhotskoe sea sea SD X X indices ; n X X

i i i i

∆ − ∆ = − = ∆

  • rm

0 6 . 2 0 0 1 1 2 . 2 0 0 2 0 6 . 2 0 0 4 1 2 . 2 0 0 5 0 6 . 2 0 0 7

  • 4

4 8 1 2 1 6 0 6 . 2 0 0 1 1 2 . 2 0 0 2 0 6 . 2 0 0 4 1 2 . 2 0 0 5 0 6 . 2 0 0 7 3 0 0 3 5 0 4 0 0 4 5 0 5 0 0

SST,

О

С Г о д ы

S S T

TO, DU Y e a r s

T O 06.2005 12.2005 06.2006 12.2006

  • 1.5

0.0 1.5

SST Indices Year ОСО

  • 2
  • 1

1 2 3

  • 12
  • 8
  • 4

4 8

Индексы ТПО Индексы ОСО R N P

  • 0,511 75 <0,0001

Year

TO

SST indices TO indices

slide-33
SLIDE 33

33 33

SST growth during aerosol SST growth during aerosol stratospheric perturbation stratospheric perturbation

Long Long-

  • term

term ( (from from 1980 1980 to to 1998) 1998) perturbation perturbation

  • f the stratosphere by volcanic aerosol
  • f the stratosphere by volcanic aerosol

Background level

SST, °С Years

1 2

1 – Pacific 2 – Atlantic

SST growth in last quarter of SST growth in last quarter of twentieth century by twentieth century by 0.6 0.6°С °С in Pacific

in Pacific

and by and by 0.8 0.8°С °С in Atlantic in Atlantic

TO deviations from multiyear means according to TO deviations from multiyear means according to TOMS TOMS data for data for midlatitude midlatitude belts belts: 80 : 80– –60 60° °S S ( (curve curve 1 1); ); 60 60– –40 40° °S S ( (curve curve 2 2); 40 ); 40° °S S. .– –40 40° °N N ( (curve curve 3 3); 40 ); 40– –60 60° °N N ( (curve curve 4 4); 60 ); 60– –80 80° °N N ( (curve curve 5 5) )

TO deviations, D.U.

Taking into account, that Taking into account, that Δ ΔSST~ SST~ Δ ΔF FUV

UV-

  • В

В ~

~ -

  • Δ

ΔTO TO and SST and SSTmean

mean~17.5

~17.5° °C, C, for TO decline by 4% over for TO decline by 4% over 20 20 years, mean SST should increase by years, mean SST should increase by 0 0. .7 7°С °С

slide-34
SLIDE 34

34 34

Influence of stratospheric aerosol Influence of stratospheric aerosol

  • n atmospheric
  • n atmospheric СО

СО2

2 content

content

Aerosol perturbation of the stratosphere Aerosol perturbation of the stratosphere Depression of stratospheric ozone Depression of stratospheric ozone Increase of the level of near Increase of the level of near-

  • ground UV

ground UV-

  • B radiation

B radiation SST growth and photosynthesis depression SST growth and photosynthesis depression СО СО2

2 increase in the atmosphere

increase in the atmosphere

slide-35
SLIDE 35

35 35

Influence of volcanoes on increase Influence of volcanoes on increase

  • f global
  • f global СО

СО2

2 in the atmosphere

in the atmosphere

1 86 18 80 1 90 19 20 1 94 19 60 1 98 20 00
  • 2
  • 1
1 2 1 86 18 80 1 90 19 20 1 94 19 60 1 98 20 00 ,0 ,0 4 ,0 8 ,1 2 1 86 18 80 1 90 19 20 1 94 19 60 1 98 20 00
  • 30
  • 25
  • 20
  • 15
  • 10
H J а ) Del Ruiz Pin atub
  • El
Chic hon Fe rnan dine s Agu ng Awu Kat mai Sa nt M aria Vol ca no в ) IV III II Пин ату б о Эль
  • Чи
чо н Ка т ма й Санта
  • М а
ри я F Севе ро-Атлантиче с кие коле бани я Аэ розоль ная оптичес к а я толщ а с тратос ф еры τа, r.u. ин декс ы Г оды б) Кра катау Агу нг I Янва р с к ие т емпер ат у р ы, То м ск Ye ar Kr a ka tau Sev era l Т, О С

Reconstruction of stratospheric optical depth Reconstruction of stratospheric optical depth

1920 1940 1960 1980 300 320 340 360

СО2 trend CO2,ppm

Year

1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000

  • 6
  • 4
  • 2

2 4

deviation, ppm

Year

Tomsk

1 7 0 0 1 7 5 0 1 8 0 0 1 8 5 0 1 9 0 0 1 9 5 0 2 0 0 0

  • 1 ,5
  • 1 ,0
  • 0 ,5

0 ,0 0 ,5 1 ,0 1 ,5

TO indecies

Y e a r

TO indices

СО2 trend

СО2, ppm

Deviation, ppm Year Year

Year

TO reconstruction from TO reconstruction from dendrochronologic dendrochronologic signals signals, ,

  • btained in Switzerland
  • btained in Switzerland,

, Kirgizia Kirgizia, , Yakutia Yakutia, and , and Polar Polar Ural Ural, , smoothed using smoothed using 11 11-

  • year window

year window

Growth of global Growth of global СО СО2

2

in twentieth century in twentieth century in periods of volcanic in periods of volcanic activity activity

1 8 6 0 1 8 8 0 1 9 0 0 1 9 2 0 1 9 4 0 1 9 6 0 1 9 8 0 2 0 0 0 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 4 0 ,0 8 0 ,1 2 Del Ruiz Pinatubo El Chichon Fernandines Agung Awu Katmai Santa Maria Volcano

τ а , r.u .

Y e a r

Krakatau Several

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SLIDE 36

36 36 36 36

“ “Vicious circle Vicious circle” ” of the idea of climate

  • f the idea of climate

control by way of stratospheric aerosol control by way of stratospheric aerosol

Near Near-

  • ground temperature growth

ground temperature growth Aerosol injection into stratosphere Aerosol injection into stratosphere Depression of stratospheric ozone Depression of stratospheric ozone Increase of near Increase of near-

  • ground UV

ground UV-

  • B

B SST growth and PS depression SST growth and PS depression СО СО2

2 increase in the atmosphere

increase in the atmosphere Greenhouse effect intensification Greenhouse effect intensification

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SLIDE 37

37 37

Conclusions Conclusions

1). 1). Centennial TO trend in twentieth Centennial TO trend in twentieth century century, , despite the anomalous despite the anomalous decline in the last quarter and active decline in the last quarter and active emissions of anthropogenic emissions of anthropogenic freons freons, , was positive was positive, , which totally which totally rejects rejects “ “freon freon” ” concept of ozone layer concept of ozone layer destruction destruction. .

Вековой Вековой тренд тренд ОСО ОСО в в ХХ ХХ веке веке, , несмотря несмотря на на аномальный аномальный спад спад в в последней последней четверти четверти и и активные активные выбросы выбросы техногенных техногенных фреонов фреонов, , был был положительным положительным, , что что полностью полностью опровергает опровергает « «фреоновую фреоновую» » концепцию концепцию разрушения разрушения озонового озонового слоя слоя. .

Enviromis Enviromis – – 2008 2008

slide-38
SLIDE 38

38 38

Conclusions Conclusions

2). 2). Analysis of stages of volcanic Analysis of stages of volcanic

  • zonosphere depression has shown
  • zonosphere depression has shown

that the anomalous TO trend in the last that the anomalous TO trend in the last quarter of the twentieth century is quarter of the twentieth century is associated with long associated with long-

  • term perturbation

term perturbation

  • f the stratosphere by volcanic aerosol.
  • f the stratosphere by volcanic aerosol.

Анализ Анализ этапов этапов вулканогенной вулканогенной депрессии депрессии озоносферы озоносферы показал показал, , что что аномальное аномальное понижение понижение ОСО ОСО в в последней последней четверти четверти ХХ ХХ века века связано связано с с длительным длительным возмущением возмущением стратосферы стратосферы вулканогенным вулканогенным аэрозолем аэрозолем. .

Enviromis Enviromis – – 2008 2008

slide-39
SLIDE 39

39 39

Conclusions Conclusions

3). 3). Aerosol perturbation of the Aerosol perturbation of the stratosphere leads to increase of stratosphere leads to increase of СО СО2

2 in the atmosphere because of

in the atmosphere because of decrease of its sink to the ocean and decrease of its sink to the ocean and plant biota due to SST growth and plant biota due to SST growth and photosynthesis depression photosynthesis depression. .

Аэрозольное Аэрозольное возмущение возмущение стратосферы стратосферы приводит приводит к к увеличению увеличению СО СО2

2 в

в атмосфере атмосфере вследствие вследствие уменьшения уменьшения его его стоков стоков в в океан океан и и растительную растительную биоту биоту из из-

  • за

за роста роста ТПО ТПО и и депрессии депрессии фотосинтеза фотосинтеза. .

Enviromis Enviromis – – 2008 2008

slide-40
SLIDE 40

40 40