Corporate Presentation November 13, 2017 zargon.ca Forward - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Corporate Presentation November 13, 2017 zargon.ca Forward - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Corporate Presentation November 13, 2017 zargon.ca Forward Looking-Advisory Forward-Looking Statements - This presentation offers our assessment of Zargon's future plans and operations as at November 10, 2017, and contains forward- looking
Forward Looking-Advisory
Forward-Looking Statements - This presentation offers our assessment of Zargon's future plans and operations as at November 10, 2017, and contains forward- looking statements. Such statements are generally identified by the use of words such as "anticipate", "continue", "estimate", "expect", "forecast", "may", "will", "project", "should", "plan", "intend", "believe" and similar expressions (including the negatives thereof). In particular, this presentation contains forward-looking information as to Zargon’s corporate strategy and business plans, Zargon’s oil exploration project inventory and development plans, Zargon’s dividend policy and the amount of future dividends, future commodity prices, Zargon’s expectation for uses of funds from financing, Zargon’s capital expenditure program and the allocation and the sources of funding thereof, Zargon’s cash flow and dividend model and the assumptions contained therein and the results there from, anticipated payout rates, 2017/18 and beyond production and other guidance and the assumptions contained therein, estimated tax pools, Zargon’s reserve estimates, Zargon’s hedging policies, Zargon’s drilling, development and exploitation plans and projects and the results there from and Zargon’s ASP project plans 2017/18 and beyond, strategic alternatives review process, the source of funding for our 2017/18 and beyond capital program including ASP, capital expenditures, costs and the results therefrom. By their nature, forward-looking statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, some of which are beyond our control, including such as those relating to results of operations and financial condition, general economic conditions, industry conditions, changes in regulatory and taxation regimes, volatility of commodity prices, escalation of operating and capital costs, currency fluctuations, the availability of services, imprecision of reserve estimates, geological, technical, drilling and processing problems, environmental risks, weather, the lack of availability of qualified personnel or management, stock market volatility, the ability to access sufficient capital from internal and external sources and competition from other industry participants for, among other things, capital, services, acquisitions of reserves, undeveloped lands and skilled personnel. Risks are described in more detail in our Annual Information Form, which is available on our website. Forward-looking statements are provided to allow investors to have a greater understanding of our business. You are cautioned that the assumptions, including, among other things, future oil and natural gas prices; future capital expenditure levels; future production levels; future exchange rates; the cost of developing and expanding our assets; our ability to obtain equipment in a timely manner to carry out development activities; our ability to market our oil and natural gas successfully to current and new customers; the impact of increasing competition; our ability to obtain financing on acceptable terms; and our ability to add production and reserves through our development and acquisition activities used in the preparation of such information, although considered reasonable at the time of preparation, may prove to be imprecise and, as such, undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking
- statements. Our actual results, performance, or achievement could differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, these forward-looking statements. We
can give no assurance that any of the events anticipated will transpire or occur, or if any of them do, what benefits we will derive from them. The forward-looking information contained in this presentation is expressly qualified by this cautionary statement. Our policy for updating forward-looking statements is that Zargon disclaims, except as required by law, any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Barrels of Oil Equivalent - Natural gas is converted to a barrel of oil equivalent (“Boe”) using six thousand cubic feet of gas to one barrel of oil. In certain circumstances, natural gas liquid volumes have been converted to a thousand cubic feet equivalent (“Mcfe”) on the basis of one barrel of natural gas liquids to six thousand cubic feet of gas. Boes and Mcfes may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A conversion ratio of one barrel to six thousand cubic feet of natural gas is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. Given that the value ratio based on the current price of crude oil as compared to natural gas is significantly different from the energy equivalency of 6:1, utilizing a conversion ratio on a 6:1 basis may be misleading as an indication of value. The estimates of reserves and future net revenue for individual properties may not reflect the same confidence level as estimates of reserves and future net revenue for all properties, due to the effects of aggregation. Estimated reserve values disclosed in this presentation do not represent fair market value. Discovered Petroleum Initially-In-Place (“DPIIP”) is that quantity of petroleum that is estimated, as of a given date, to be contained in known accumulations prior to production. The recoverable portion of discovered petroleum initially in place includes production, reserves, and contingent resources; the remainder is unrecoverable. The aggregate of the exploration and development costs incurred in the most recent financial year and the change during that year in estimated future development costs generally will not reflect total finding and development costs related to reserves additions for that year.
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Third Quarter 2017 Highlights
- Production has improved in each core area (due to Q3 and Q1‐Q3 capital programs of $1.77 and $6.41 million).
- Announced fully funded “low‐growth” H1 2018 budget focused on waterfloods and oil well optimizations.
Compared to Q2 2017:
- Oil production improved to 2,037 bbl/day from 1,921 bbl/day in Q2 2017
( 6% increase)
- Total production increased by 128 boe/d to 2,628 boe/d from 2,500 boe/d in Q2 2017 ( 5% increase)
- Operating costs declined to $20.17/boe from $22.49/boe in Q2 2017
( 10% decrease)
- G&A costs declined to $3.68/boe from $4.89 in Q2 2017
( 25% decrease)
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500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Jan‐16 Apr‐16 Jul‐16 Oct‐16 Jan‐17 Apr‐17 Jul‐17
Alberta (excluding ASP) North Dakota Little Bow ASP Oil Production (bbl/d) Zargon Operated Oil Production
- Zargon’s oil properties are pressure
supported by waterfloods, tertiary recovery schemes or natural aquifers.
- Base corporate oil production decline is less
than 10% per year.
- Stable (or low growth) production volumes
can be delivered with low cost, exploitation (plumbing type) capital programs focused on waterflood and other enhancements.
Third Quarter Summary
Pro Forma Balance Sheet
4
Operations Trends in Q3 2017:
- Slowly improving oil production volumes coming from low cost oil exploitation programs.
- Cash costs (operating, transportation, G&A and interest) are declining or are stabilized,
thereby resulting in lower costs on a $/boe basis.
- ASP production volumes (rate and oil cut) continue to improve.
Q3 2017 Results
Zargon’s capital structure provides stakeholders significant time to realize Zargon’s substantial option value relating to higher oil prices.
- Bank debt – $nil
- Working Capital – Positive $5.2 million
- Convertible Debentures – $41.9 million
- Net Debt – $36.7 million
- Q1 2018 Hedges: 1,000 bbl/d @ $70.15 Cdn./bbl (WTI)
- Q2 2018 Hedges: 500 bbl/d @ $71.00 Cdn./bbl (WTI)
Operations Trends Balance Sheet
Zargon’s Q3 2017 results:
- Q3 production volumes of 2,628 boe/d, a 5% quarter over quarter gain. Nine month 2017
production of 2,569 boe/d is 3% higher than 2017 guidance of 2,500 boe/d
- Q3 funds flow of $1.76 million ($0.06/share)
- Q3 field cash flow of $3.27 million
- $1.77 million Q3 capital program focused on waterfloods and well reactivations
Zargon Key Investment Highlights
5 Oil Exploitation Focus
- Zargon is an oil‐weighted company focused on the exploitation of mature oil properties.
- Following 2012‐16 divestment programs, Zargon’s remaining operated oil reservoirs continue to be
characterized by significant oil‐in‐place, low recovery factors and low oil production declines.
- Over its history, Zargon has raised $210 million of equity capital and paid out $367 million in dividends and
distributions.
Low Decline Oil Production
- Zargon’s low corporate oil decline of less than 10% per year is enabled by reservoir pressure support from
natural aquifers, waterfloods and tertiary floods. Consequently, stable oil production can be delivered through relatively small capital programs focused on waterfloods, reactivations and facility modifications.
Oil Exploitation Opportunities
- Zargon’s properties provide waterflood optimization opportunities plus exploitation drilling opportunities that
enable improved reservoir recovery factors in existing pools.
- The McDaniel reserve report books 12 P+P exploitation locations with average per well parameters of 63 Mbbl
- il reserves, 47 bbl/d initial rate and $0.93 MM all‐in costs.
Control of Properties & Key Infrastructure
- Very high working interest and operatorship across core operating areas, batteries and facilities.
- Majority of batteries and facilities have been upgraded in the last five years.
- An actively managed abandonment and reclamation program. Alberta LMR is 1.36 (November 2017).
Little Bow ASP Project
- At higher oil prices, the existing ASP infrastructure can be utilized to resume AS injections in high‐graded areas
and for multiple other ASP phases and Polymer only projects seeking a 10 percent incremental oil recovery on
- ver 80 million barrels of working interest oil‐in‐place.
Other Corporate Attributes
- Zargon holds ~$192 million of high quality tax pools (Sept. 30, 2017), includes $148 million of non‐capital losses.
- Zargon has retained a TSX listing, plus strong operating, accounting, land and finance capabilities, and can readily
manage additional assets with minimal additional costs.
Zargon is a Canadian (and North Dakota) oil and gas producer that provides exceptional torque to higher oil prices, in addition to offering a variety of attractive oil exploitation opportunities including oil exploitation horizontal infill drills and a long term Southern Alberta tertiary recovery project.
H1 2018 Budget / Outlook
H1 2018 Projections
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- H1 2018 production volumes are forecast at 2,600 boe/d, a four percent increase from 2017
production guidance of 2,500 boe/d and a six percent increase from 2016 Q4 production volumes of 2,449 boe/d.
- The budgeted capital programs are fully funded by corporate cash flows at WTI oil prices of $68.50
Cdn./bbl, or better.
- Without hedges, Zargon’s price sensitivity for every $5 Cdn. per barrel (WTI) increase in oil price is an
annualized $3.3 million ($0.11 per share)
- Zargon will continue to focus on cost control and low cost “plumbing type” oil exploitation projects that
efficiently add oil production and oil reserves.
- Recognizing that Zargon’s assets are comparatively inexpensively priced and provide significant
unrecognized oil price option value, Zargon will continue with its strategic alternatives process focused
- n unlocking this upside. The process may result in a sale of all or part of the company, a financing,
merger or other business combination.
H1 2018 Next Steps H1 2018 Capital Budget
- Zargon has announced a $3.7 million H1 2018 capital budget allocated $2.0 million to reactivations,
recompletions and waterflood modifications, $1.0 million for Little Bow polymer chemical purchases and $0.7 million of land retention and other costs.
- Zargon’s H1 2018 site reclamation and abandonment budget is set at $1.0 million. These expenditures
are expected to maintain compliance with the Government of Alberta’s Directive 13 and Inactive Well Compliance programs, while delivering small improvements in our corporate Alberta Liability Management Ratio.
zargon.ca
Cash Flow Projections & Valuations
2018 (H1) Cash Flow Parameters (excluding hedges)
- Oil
2,050 bbl/d
- Gas
3.30 mmcf/d
- Equiv.
2,600 boe/d (79% oil and liquids).
- Royalties
9% Alberta, 24% North Dakota (includes state and severance taxes)
- Oil Prices WTI – WCS diff.: $13.32 US/bbl (avg. of prompt month and 2017 avg.)
Field price: WCS less $0.60 Cdn./bbl (from 2017 averages)
- Gas Prices
$2.05/mcf Alberta average field price (AECO strip less $0.25/mcf adj.)
- Exchange
0.787 $US/$Cdn (Nov. 3, 2017 forward strip)
- G&A Costs
$2.0 million (improved annualized rate of $4.0 million)
- Interest
$1.7 million – revised debenture cost, no interest on cash balances
Production 2018 (H1) Costs & Capital Other Parameters
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- Operating
$9.6 million (annualized run rate of $19.2 million)
- Abd. & Reclam.
$1.0 million (meets regulatory obligations while improving LMR)
- US Taxes
$ nil
- ASP Capital
$1.0 million chemical costs (status quo polymer only)
- Main. Capital
$0.7 million non‐discretionary land and other costs
- Exploit Capital
$2.0 million (Bellshill optimizations, Little Bow non‐ASP waterfloods and recompletions, North Dakota waterflood optimizations); no wells to be drilled
9 WTI Pricing (US/bbl) Field Pricing (Cdn./bbl) Field Cash Flow (million) Corporate Funds Flow (million) Free Cash Flow After All Capital (million) $45 $39.64 $8.9 $ 1.5 ($7.8) $50 $46.00 $13.1 $ 5.7 ($3.7) $55 $52.35 $17.2 $ 9.9 $ 0.5 $60 $58.70 $21.4 $14.0 $ 4.6 $65 $65.06 $25.5 $18.2 $ 8.8
- Zargon’s cash flows are exceptionally sensitive to oil prices.
- Despite improved volumes and costs, a stronger Canadian
dollar and larger WTI‐WCS differentials have resulted in marginally reduced cash flow projections, when compared to prior presentations.
- Excluding hedges, Zargon’s assets provide a positive
corporate funds flow down to less than $45 US/bbl WTI.
- At higher prices, Zargon’s assets provide significant free
cash flow that can be used to retire debt, reactivation and facility modification projects, drill high‐graded horizontal
- il exploitation wells and reinstate/initiate Little Bow
ASP/Polymer floods.
2018 (H1) Projected Cash Flows (annualized) (excluding hedges)
5 10 15 20 25 30 40 45 50 55 60 65 70
Cash Flow ($millions) WTI Oil Price ($/bbl)
Zargon Cash Flow
Field Cash Flow Corporate Cash Flow
10 WTI Pricing (US/bbl) Field Cash Flow (million) 4.5 Times Field Cash Flow (million) Zargon Net Debt (million) Attributed to Zargon Shares (million) Calculated Zargon Value (per share) $45 $8.9 $ 40.0 $ 36.7 $ 3.3 $0.11 $50 $13.1 $ 59.0 $ 36.7 $ 22.3 $0.72 $55 $17.2 $ 77.4 $ 36.7 $ 40.7 $1.32 $60 $21.4 $ 96.3 ($ 5.2) $101.5 $1.58 $65 $25.5 $114.7 ($ 5.2) $119.9 $1.86
- Above valuation based on 4.5 times property multiple and,
- $5.24 million of positive working capital as of Sept. 30, 2017, $41.94
million of remaining debentures and 30.75 million shares
- utstanding.
- for the $60 and $65 cases, $41.94 million of remaining debentures
are assumed to convert into Zargon shares at a $1.25 conversion price (33.55 million shares) taking the total outstanding shares to 64.30 million.
- Zargon’s long‐life oil reserves provide investors with exceptional
torque (both operational and financial leverage) to future increases in oil prices.
- A corporate valuation based on a 4.5 times property cash flow
multiple suggests that significantly higher share prices may be realized at prices of $50 US/bbl or better.
Valuation using 2018 (H1) projected (annualized) field cash flows
0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 40 45 50 55 60 65 70
Share Price ($/share) WTI Oil Price ($US/bbl)
Zargon Share Value 4.5 Times Property Cash Flow
Key Considerations
- Zargon’s Board and management believe that Zargon’s share price has not been reflective of the fundamental
value inherent in the Company.
- Zargon continues to seek a strategic alternatives solution that will enable Zargon stakeholders to participate in
Zargon’s exceptional torque to higher oil prices.
Strategic Process
Deep Discount to NAV
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- Zargon’s H1 2018 corporate budget is forecast to deliver 2,600 boe/d of production, a four percent
improvement from 2017 guidance levels. This forecast (including liability management) can be completely financed from corporate cash flows at oil prices of $68.50 Cdn./bbl (WTI) or better.
- With a sustainable 2018 business plan, investors are able to wait for materially higher oil prices (and the
substantial upside to Zargon share price) without erosion of the underlying asset base.
Exceptional Torque to Higher oil Prices Sustainable 2018 Corporate Model
- Investors buy Zargon at a discount to the proved developed producing net asset value when evaluated at
prices at (or above) current strip.
- Zargon’s long‐life oil reserves provide investors exceptional torque to higher oil prices:
- Financial – Although improved, Zargon’s balance sheet remains over‐levered where small changes in
underlying corporate value result in large inferred changes in share price.
- Operational – Zargon’s production tends to be from mature low‐decline, low‐rate wells with relatively
higher operating costs. Small improvements in oil prices result in significantly improved cash flows.
- Exploitation – Zargon’s larger scale exploitation opportunities are significant, but generally require
higher prices.
zargon.ca
Conventional Properties
Alberta Exploitation Core Areas
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Bellshill Lake Taber Little Bow non‐ASP Little Bow ASP
Excluding the Little Bow ASP project, the Alberta core areas are mature
- perated oil properties, with low
decline rates and waterflood and pressure supported exploitation
- pportunities.
- Recent base annual oil production declines of less than 10
percent have been more than offset by oil exploitation projects (waterfloods, reactivations, and facility modifications).
- Similar projects and results are forecast for the upcoming
quarters. 13
Alberta Plains (excluding Little Bow ASP)
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- Q3 2017 production of 1,726 boe/d
– No drilling in 2015‐17 due to capital allocation decisions; less than 10% annual decline is offset by waterflood and reactivation expenditures.
– Multiple exploitation and development opportunities have been identified throughout Zargon’s asset base.
– 3D seismic coverage supported booked and un‐booked locations – 8 booked infill and exploitation drilling McDaniel locations. – 67% liquids‐weighted (16 – 32o API) and ~98% operated.
Q3 2017 Prod % Liquids API OOIP Recovery to Date Gross Undeveloped Locations
(boe/d) (%) ( ⁰ ) (MMbbl) (%) McDaniel Additional
Bellshill Lake 437 95% 27 16 32% 5 1+ Taber 449 92% 16‐24 27 15% 3 5+ Little Bow (Conventional) 304 65% 21 82 25% ‐ tbd Alberta Other 536 21% 18‐32 n.a. n.a. ‐ 2+ Total 1,726 67% 16‐32 125+ 24% 8 8+ 250 500 750 1,000 1,250 1,500 Jan‐16 Apr‐16 Jul‐16 Oct‐16 Jan‐17 Apr‐17 Jul‐17
Oil Production (bbl/d)
Waterflood and reactivation projects stabilize production (no wells have been drilled since 2014)
Liquids (Mbbl) Total (Mboe) PV 10% ($MM) PDP 2,889 3,541 47.6 TP 3,124 4,032 50.2 P+ PDP 3,713 4,563 59.0 P+ P 4,453 5,850 70.2
McDaniel Reserves Summary (December 2016)
100 200 300 400 500 600 Jan‐15 Jan‐16 Jan‐17 Jan‐18 Jan‐19 Bellshill Lake History McDaniel 2016 YE Fcst
Oil Production Rate
Alberta Plains – Bellshill Lake
Bellshill Lake produces low‐decline rate 27 API oil with remaining infill drilling potential.
- Zargon operated, high working interest.
− 100% working interest in all Dina production.
- Areally extensive Dina sand with aquifer pressure support.
− Addional vercal wells in parally drained localized closures can be drilled when funding is available − Q4 2017 water handling expansion will provide mulple for mulple low‐risk, low‐cost well pumping optimization projects in H1 2018.
Liquids (Mbbl) Total (Mboe) PV 10% ($MM) PDP 910 955 13.5 TP 910 972 13.5 P+ PDP 1,185 1,246 17.4 P+ P 1,382 1,489 20.9
McDaniel Reserves Summary (December 2016)
McDaniel has recognized 5 P+PUD locations Zargon has defined 4 additional locations
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Proved Developed Producing Oil Rate Profile
Reported oil volumes show flattening decline trends that exceed McDaniel YE 2016 proved developed producing production forecasts.
Alberta Plains – Taber Mannville
- Sunburst development is seismically defined
− 30 horizontal wells drilled since 2007 − 25 on producon, 5 on injecon
- North pool receives pressure maintenance from two vertical flank water injectors
− Esmated recovery to date ~ 16% and forecast ulmate P+PDP recovery ~ 21.7% based on estimated OOIP of 6.7 MMbbl
- South pool oil rates are stabilizing due to waterflood effects (vertical well historical production was negligible due to higher density oil)
− Esmated recovery to date ~10% − Ulmate forecasted P+PDP recovery ~18% − Esmated OOIP of 15.5 MMbbl
The Taber property offers low‐decline production with remaining development potential
Liquids (Mbbl) Total (Mboe) PV 10% ($MM) PDP 1,068 1,089 19.4 TP 1,182 1,204 20.4 P+ PDP 1,416 1,442 24.0 P+ P 1,634 1,663 26.9
McDaniel Reserve Summary (December 2016)
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Proved Developed Producing Oil Rate Profile
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 Jan‐15 Jan‐16 Jan‐17 Jan‐18 Jan‐19
Taber History McDaniel 2016 YE Fcst
Oil Production Rate (bbl/day)
Reported oil volumes show flattening decline trends that exceed McDaniel YE 2016 proved developed producing production forecasts.
North Dakota Properties
- Long life conventional oil properties, average of 27 API gravity oil
‐ Stable production, large OOIP, more than 15 MMbbl oil produced. ‐ Infrastructure and water disposal in place. ‐ Infill drilling potential at each property (very low drilling density).
- Established waterflood and unitized production
− Ongoing waterflood modifications and reactivations are increasing production.
- North Dakota Williston Basin geology is directly analogous to the offsetting
Southeast Saskatchewan Williston Basin geology, however activity levels are substantially lower and the properties are less developed.
Q3 2017 Production OOIP Recovery to Date Decline Gross Undeveloped Locations
(boe/d) (MMbbl) (%) (%) McDaniel Additional
Haas 201 51 23% 3% 1 5+ Mackobee Coulee 80 17 12% 12% 3 7 Truro 117 30 4% 11% None 2 Total 398 98 15% 7% 4 14+
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Proved Developed Producing Oil Rate Profile
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500
Jan‐15 Jan‐16 Jan‐17 Jan‐18 Jan‐19 North Dakota History McDaniel 2016 YE Fcst
Oil Production Rate (bbl/day)
Liquids (Mbbl) Total (Mboe) PV 10% ($MM) PDP 1,644 1,644 17.9 TP 1,974 1,974 20.9 P+ PDP 2,143 2,143 21.6 P+ P 2,560 2,560 26.2
McDaniel Reserve Summary (December 2016)
Reported oil volumes show flattening decline trends that exceed McDaniel YE 2016 proved developed producing production forecasts.
zargon.ca
Little Bow ASP (Tertiary EOR)
Little Bow ASP
EOR in a mature Southern Alberta Waterflood
Zargon constructed an Alkaline Surfactant Polymer (“ASP”) facility at Little Bow, Alberta, which enables the injection of dilute chemicals in a water solution to flush out undrained oil in existing reservoirs. At higher oil prices, the existing ASP infrastructure can be utilized for multiple ASP and Polymer only projects seeking a 10 percent incremental oil recovery on over 80 million barrels of working interest oil‐in‐place. 19 Zargon W.I. (%) W.I. OIIP (mmbbl)
ASP Phase 1 (‘I’ Pool) North and Central 100 15 Southern Area 100 8 Future Potential Phases Remaining portions I&P Pools 97 16 U&W Unit (D8D/H9H Pools) 97 26 G Unit (B8B Pool) 95 10 MM Unit (E8E Pool) 100 5 C8C / X8X Pool 100 9 Total 89
ASP Facility & Gas Plant
Zargon Battery site ASP Central Facility
Future ASP Phase Future Polymer Project
ASP Phase 1
ASP Phase 1 Conformance
Remediation & Extension
ASP Modified Phase 2 Area Liquids (Mbbl) Total (Mboe) PV 10% ($MM) PDP 1,750 1,891 18.8 TP 2,054 2,209 21.2 P+ PDP 2,504 2,685 30.7 P+ P 4,167 4,496 35.9
McDaniel Reserve Summary (December 2016)
100 200 300 400 500 600 Jan‐15 Jan‐16 Jan‐17 Jan‐18 Jan‐19
Little Bow ASP History McDaniel 2016 YE Fcst
Oil Production Rate (bbl/day)
Little Bow ASP Project
20 Zargon’s Little Bow ASP project has shown good oil banking, but the combination of low
- il prices and Zargon’s weakened financial condition forced Zargon to “idle” the project in
a manner that preserved future recoveries when reactivated.
- Phase 1 Alkali and Surfactant (“AS”) injections were suspended in Q1 2016, to reduce
capital outflows during a very low oil price period. In September 2016, high water cut Phase 1 producers in AS under‐treated areas South (Phase 1) were suspended, thereby bypassing the untreated reservoir and permitting full AS recoveries upon reactivation.
- With higher oil prices, AS injections can initially be resumed in high‐graded Phase 1
areas followed by a refined Phase 2 area and then ultimately the U&W Unit.
Production plot shows Fall 2016 rate reduction to preserve long term re‐start optionality and also shows recent positive oil banking in the Central area.
Forecast Q4 2016 Op. cost of $1.0 million
Upper Mannville P Pool North Extension North Central N.E. Spur South (Phase 1) South (Phase 2)
Proved Developed Producing Oil Rate Profile
Reported oil volumes show improving rates that exceed McDaniel YE 2016 proved developed producing reserve forecasts.
ASP Enhanced Oil Recovery Process
Dilute concentrations of chemicals (Alkali, Surfactant and Polymer) in water are injected into an existing oil pool to “scrub” out oil that waterflooding alone will not recover.
- Surfactants: Detergent; mobilizes trapped oil.
- Alkali: Increases surfactant effectiveness.
- Polymer (Thickener): Thickened water helps sweep
- il from the reservoir.
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1) ASP Injection
A blend of Alkali, Surfactant & Polymer mobilizes trapped oil
2) Polymer “Push”
Polymer displaces mobilized oil to producing wells
3) Terminal Waterflood
Return to waterflood to complete oil displacement
OIL BANK ASP POLYMER WATER
Husky/CNRL Taber Mannville “B” ASP Husky/Whitecap Gull Lake ASP
Analog ASP Performance (The Prize)
- The Taber Mannville B and Gull Lake ASP projects are good analogs to our Little Bow ASP project.
- Successful ASP projects provide stable production volumes for many years after the first three years
- f cost intensive AS injections are completed.
- With higher oil prices, and the reactivation of AS injections in phase 1 and subsequent phases, we
continue to foresee the potential for many years of production growth followed by many years of free cash generating stable production for our Little Bow property.
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zargon.ca
Additional Information
Zargon Statistical Overview
Capitalization(1) Share Price (Nov. 10, 2017) $0.455 Basic Shares Outstanding 30.75 Market Capitalization $14.0 Net Debt(2) $36.7 Option Proceeds ‐ Entity Value $50.7 52‐Week High $0.88 52‐Week Low $0.405 Net Debt Summary(2) Bank Debt $nil Convertible Debs ( Dec. 2019) $41.9 Working Capital ($5.2) Net Debt $36.7 Other Company Details Employees 15 Office 5 Field Head Office Calgary, Alberta, Canada Primary Exchange Listing TSE Reserve Evaluators McDaniel
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(1) All numbers in $millions except per share values (2) Net debt calculated as convertible debentures plus net working capital as at September 30, 2017
Four Qtr. Comparisons Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Total/Avg. Change Q3‐17 over Q4‐16 Oil Prod. (bbl/d) 1,952 2,016 1,921 2,037 1,984 +85 +4.3% Gas Prod. (mmcf/d) 2.98 3.38 3.47 3.55 3.35 +0.57 +19.1%
- Equiv. Prod. (boe/d)
2,449 2,579 2,500 2,628 2,539 +179 +7.3% Revenue & Hedges ($ million) 9.24 9.72 9.37 9.51 37.84 +0.29 +2.9% Royalties ($ million) 1.02 1.00 1.11 1.13 4.26 +0.11 +10.7%
- Op. Costs ($ million)
4.87 5.11 5.12 4.88 19.98 +0.01 +0.2% Property Cash Flow ($ million) 3.35 3.61 3.14 3.50 13.60 +0.15 +4.4% G&A Costs ($million) 1.33 1.16 1.11 0.89 4.49 ‐0.44 ‐33.1% Interest & Other ($ million) 1.16 0.95 0.89 0.85 3.85 ‐0.31 ‐26.7%
- Corp. Funds Flow ($ million)
0.86 1.50 1.14 1.76 5.26 +0.90 +104.6% Capital ($ million) 1.43 2.51 2.13 1.77 7.84 +0.34 +23.8%
- Abd. & Reclaim ($million)
0.05 0.14 0.55 0.55 1.29 +0.50 +1000%
In Q3 2016, Zargon sold significant assets in order to eliminate bank debt. Since then, production and financial results have steadily improved:
- Production volumes have increased 7.3% (after replacing base declines), by virtue of a $7.84
million (four quarters) oil exploitation capital program.
- Revenue has increased by 2.9%, operating costs were stable, G&A has declined substantially.
- Consequently, corporate funds flow has increased by 105%.
Zargon Production and Financial Statistics (since Q3 2016 property sales)
McDaniel Reserves YE 2016 Review
(based on McDaniel Dec. 31, 2016 Pricing)
NAV Calculation (Dec 31, 2016 Reserves)
Proved + Prob. McDaniel Est. (BT DCF 10%) $ 132 million
Undeveloped Land (Seaton Jordan evaluation)
$ 2 million
Deduct Net Working Capital & Conv. Deb. (unaudited) ‐ $ 34 million Net Asset Value
$ 100 million Zargon Proved + Prob. Net Asset Value $3.27 per share
Reserve Category McDaniel PVBT 10% ($ million) Net Asset Value ($ million) Net Asset Value –no
- deb. conversion
($/share) Net Asset Value –with
- deb. conversion
($/share) PDP 84 52 1.70 1.48 Total Proved 93 61 1.99 1.62 P+PDP 111 79 2.58 1.90 Proved & Prob. 132 100 3.27 2.23 (30.61 million shares at Dec 31, 2016)
25 Property Group PDP RLI (yrs) PDP Decline P+PDP RLI (yrs) P+PDP Decline Alberta (excl ASP) 6.7 12 % 8.7 10 % Little Bow ASP 11.0 n/a 15.7 n/a W.B. (ND) 12.9 9 % 16.8 7 % Zargon 8.8 8 % 11.7 5 % McDaniel Oil Reserves & Production Characteristics
RLI (yrs) & 2017 Decline Rate (%/yr)