August 2019
AIM & TSX:TGL NASDAQ:TGA
Corporate Presentation August 2019 AIM & TSX:TGL NASDAQ:TGA - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Corporate Presentation August 2019 AIM & TSX:TGL NASDAQ:TGA Cautionary Statement The information provided in this presentation is provided as of August 12, 2019 for informational purposes only, is not complete, is based (in part) on
AIM & TSX:TGL NASDAQ:TGA
2 The information provided in this presentation is provided as of August 12, 2019 for informational purposes only, is not complete, is based (in part) on information prepared for internal evaluation purposes and may not contain certain material information about TransGlobe Energy Corporation ("TransGlobe", "TGL“, “TGA” or the "Company"), including important disclosures and risk factors associated with the information disclosed in this presentation. This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom or any other jurisdiction. The content of this presentation has not been approved or disapproved by any securities commission or regulatory authority in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom or any other jurisdiction, and TransGlobe expressly disclaims any duty to make disclosure or any filings with any securities commission or regulatory authority, beyond that imposed by applicable laws. See "Cautionary Statements" beginning on slide 21 for other important disclosures regarding forward looking information, future orientated financial information and other financial matters, oil and gas information and other important information. All dollar values are expressed in US dollars unless otherwise stated. All production and reserves are company gross working interest share of volumes before deduction of royalty unless otherwise stated.
3
Founded 20+ years ago
Increased FY 2019 production guidance to 15.0‐16.0 Mboepd* from 14.0 to 15.0 Mboepd
Funds Flow for the three and six months ended 6/30/19 of $19.1 MM and $34.3 MM
Management team actively seeking acquisition opportunities
Gross 2P reserves of 44.1 MMboe*1
* See Cautionary Statements – "Forward‐Looking Information and Statements“ and “Oil and Gas Information”
$0.035/share paid in April 2019; $0.035/share to be paid September 2019; targeting semi‐annual payments
4
Production (Q2)
Enterprise Value
Market Capitalization
Dividend declared August 12, 2019 to be paid September 13, 2019; Targeting semi‐annual payments
Q2 Funds Flow Ended 6/30/19
Enterprise Value Estimate ($ MM)
Shares Outstanding (08/12/19) ~72.5 Market Capitalization (08/12/19) ‐ $1.48/share $107.4 Debt (6/30/19) (Prepay Agreement + Canadian RBL)1 $48.1 Working Capital (6/30/19)2 Excluding Crude Inventory $41.1 Estimated Market Value of Inventoried Crude Oil of ~0.7 MMbbls3 (6/30/19) $44.5 Enterprise Value4 * $69.9
inventoried crude oil as at 6/30/19
(excluding book value of crude inventory)‐ Current Liabilities) – Market Value of Inventoried crude oil * See Cautionary Statements – "Forward‐Looking Statements and Information"
at 6/30/19)
Q2 oil cargo net proceeds
5
Wells Other Wells Other Total Dev Expl Total West Gharib ‐ 3.4 ‐ ‐ 3.4 ‐ ‐ ‐ West Bakr 3.4 10.1 1.1 ‐ 14.6 3 1 4 NW Gharib 1.0 0.6 1.0 ‐ 2.6 1 1 2 South Ghazalat ‐ ‐ 1.2 2.3 3.5 ‐ 1 1 Egypt 4.4 14.1 3.3 2.3 24.1 4 3 7 Canada 6.3 0.5 3.2 ‐ 10.0 3 1 4 2019 Operations Total $10.7 $14.6 $6.5 $2.3 $34.1 7 4 11 Exploration Development Concession TransGlobe Net Operational Capital ($MM) WI Well Count (Wells)
* See Cautionary Statements – "Forward‐Looking Information and Statements"
2018 YE Reserves Summary (MMboe) 1P 2P 3P
Canada 11.0 18.4 24.8 Egypt 15.9 25.7 37.0 Total Company (MMboe) 26.9 44.1 61.8 Total Company NPV @ Dec 31/18 NPV 10% Before tax $MM Dec 31/18 $231 $339 $446 NPV 10% After tax $MM Dec 31/18 $227 $323 $421
1. Based on GLJ evaluation effective 12/31/18. See Cautionary Statements – "Oil and Gas Information“
2. Reserves are Gross working interest reserves before royalties. * 6 Mcf = 1 Boe 3. Tables may not total due to rounding
6
7
21 19 14 6 11 4 5 10 15 20 25 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
2013‐2018 RTA's1
25 19 16 12 16 7 5 10 15 20 25 30 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
2013‐2018 TRC's1
9
* See Cautionary Statements – "Forward‐Looking Information and Statements"
10
single new concession in 2019*
South Ghazalat (Development)
* See Cautionary Statements – "Forward‐Looking Information and Statements"
Nile River Delta
Eastern Desert Concessions (Development)
NW Gharib NW Gharib W Gharib W Gharib W Gharib W Bakr
NW Gharib
Mediterranean Sea
100 km
Eastern Desert Concession Development Leases
West Gharib 5 Northwest Gharib 4 West Bakr 2
11
1. Based on GLJ evaluations effective 12/31/18 * See Cautionary Statements – "Forward‐Looking Information and Statements“ and “Oil and Gas Information”
Exploration Discovery HW‐2X Exploration Well NWG‐38A pool appraisal Infill drilling and workovers/
12
West Bakr Concession H Block DL West Bakr Concession K/M Block DL
* See Cautionary Statements – "Forward‐Looking Information and Statements“ and “Oil and Gas Information”
1 production is based on field estimates
K‐63 M‐10 Twin HW‐2X H‐30
13
bwpd and is being
NW Gharib Development Lease‐4 NW Gharib Development Lease‐1 East Arta Lease
* See Cautionary Statements – "Forward‐Looking Information and Statements“ and “Oil and Gas Information” NWG‐38D‐1 NWG‐38A‐8
Northwest Gharib Concession DL‐4 Northwest Gharib Concession DL‐1
Upper (~1,400 bopd) and Lower (~2,400 bopd) Bahariya reservoirs
14
thereafter and are not indicative of long term performance or of ultimate recovery. * See Cautionary Statements – "Forward‐Looking Information and Statements“ and “Oil and Gas Information”
SGZ‐6X Discovery
Development Lease Potential appraisal locations Potential additional leads
16
* See Cautionary Statements – "Forward‐Looking Information and Statements“ and “Oil and Gas Information”
17
locations (one mile Hz wells at four per section)
* See Cautionary Statements – "Forward‐Looking Information and Statements“ and “Oil and Gas Information”
TGL Rights P+P Locations Other Locations 2019 drilling Locations
19
* See Cautionary Statements – "Forward‐Looking Information and Statements"
Forward‐Looking Information and Statements
provided for the purpose of providing information about management's current expectations and plans relating to the future. Readers are cautioned that reliance on such information may not be appropriate for
suggesting future outcomes or statements regarding an outlook. In particular, forward‐looking information and statements contained in this document include, but are not limited to, anticipated drilling, completion and testing plans, including, the anticipated timing thereof, prospects being targeted by the Company, formations expected to be encountered during drilling, and rig mobilization plans; estimated net
K‐field facility expansion will increase the current fluid handling capacity by 50%; expected future production from certain of the Company's drilling locations; TransGlobe's plans to drill additional wells, including the types of wells, anticipated number of locations and the timing of drilling thereof; the timing of rig movement and mobilization and drilling activity; anticipated production and ultimate recoveries from wells; the Company’s planned drilling program in each of Egypt and Canada; TransGlobe's plans to continue exploration, development and completion programs in respect of various discoveries; future requirements necessary to determine well performance and estimated recoveries; and other matters.
the Company believes that the expectations reflected in such forward‐looking statements or information are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on forward‐looking statements because the Company can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. Many factors could cause TransGlobe's actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in any forward‐looking statements made by, or on behalf of, TransGlobe.
and mobilizing drilling rigs; the number of wells to be drilled; the Company's ability to obtain qualified staff and equipment in a timely and cost‐efficient manner; the regulatory framework governing royalties, taxes and environmental matters in the jurisdictions in which the Company conducts and will conduct its business; future capital expenditures to be made by the Company; future sources of funding for the Company's capital programs; geological and engineering estimates in respect of the Company's reserves and resources; the geography of the areas in which the Company is conducting exploration and development activities; current commodity prices and royalty regimes; availability of skilled labour; future exchange rates; the price of oil; the impact of increasing competition; conditions in general economic and financial markets; availability of drilling and related equipment; effects of regulation by governmental agencies; future operating costs; uninterrupted access to areas of TransGlobe's operations and infrastructure; recoverability of reserves and future production rates; that TransGlobe will have sufficient cash flow, debt or equity sources or other financial resources required to fund its capital and operating expenditures and requirements as needed; that TransGlobe's conduct and results of operations will be consistent with its expectations; that TransGlobe will have the ability to develop its properties in the manner currently contemplated; current or, where applicable, proposed industry conditions, laws and regulations will continue in effect or as anticipated as described herein; that the estimates of TransGlobe's reserves and resource volumes and the assumptions related thereto (including commodity prices and development costs) are accurate in all material respects; the AIM market’s access to investors; the AIM market’s improvement to TransGlobe's corporate profile; the perceived benefits of the AIM market; the perceived benefits of the London executive office; and other matters.
those anticipated by the Company and described in the forward‐looking statements or information. These risks and uncertainties which may cause actual results to differ materially from the forward‐looking statements or information include, among other things, operating and/or drilling costs are higher than anticipated; unforeseen changes in the rate of production from TransGlobe's oil and gas properties; changes in price of crude oil and natural gas; adverse technical factors associated with exploration, development, production or transportation of TransGlobe's crude oil reserves; changes or disruptions in the political or fiscal regimes in TransGlobe's areas of activity; changes in tax, energy or other laws or regulations; changes in significant capital expenditures; delays or disruptions in production due to shortages of skilled manpower equipment or materials; economic fluctuations; competition; lack of availability of qualified personnel; the results of exploration and development drilling and related activities; obtaining required approvals of regulatory authorities; volatility in market prices for oil; fluctuations in foreign exchange or interest rates; environmental risks; ability to access sufficient capital from internal and external sources; failure to negotiate the terms of contracts with counterparties; failure of counterparties to perform under the terms of their contracts; and other factors beyond the Company's control. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Please consult TransGlobe’s public filings at www.sedar.com and www.sec.gov/edgar.shtml for further, more detailed information concerning these matters, including additional risks related to TransGlobe's business.
statements or information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise unless required by applicable securities laws. The forward‐looking statements or information contained in this presentation are expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.
21
22
FOFI and Other Financial Matters
estimated working capital, internal rates of return, net present value, payout, recycle ratio, and finding and development costs set forth on the slide "Balance Sheet Summary". The FOFI has been prepared by TransGlobe’s management to provide an outlook of the Company's activities and results. The FOFI has been prepared based on a number of assumptions including those set forth in the presentation, the assumptions discussed above and assumptions with respect to the costs and expenditures to be incurred by the Company, capital equipment and operating costs, foreign exchange rates, taxation rates for the Company, general and administrative expenses and the prices to be paid for the Company's production. Management does not have firm commitments for all of the costs, expenditures, prices or other financial assumptions used to prepare the FOFI or assurance that such operating results will be achieved and, accordingly, the complete financial effects of all of those costs, expenditures, prices and operating results are not objectively determinable. The actual results of operations of the Company and the resulting financial results will likely vary from the amounts set forth in the analysis presented in this presentation, and such variation may be material. The Company and its management believe that the FOFI has been prepared on a reasonable basis, reflecting the best estimates and judgments, and represent, to the best of management's knowledge and opinion, TransGlobe's expected expenditures and results of operations. However, because this information is highly subjective and subject to numerous risks including the risks discussed above, it should not be relied on as necessarily indicative of future results. Except as required by applicable securities laws, TransGlobe undertakes no obligation to update such FOFI and forward‐ looking statements and information.
23
Oil and Gas Information
31, 2018 in accordance with National Instrument 51‐101 – Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities ("NI 51‐101") and the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluations Handbook (the "COGE Handbook" or "COGEH") and using GLJ's forecast prices and costs as at December 31, 2018 for 2018. All of TransGlobe's reserves disclosed herein are heavy crude oil/medium crude oil/light crude oil, conventional natural gas or natural gas liquids. Light crude oil is crude oil with a relative density greater than 31.1 degrees API gravity, medium crude oil is crude oil with a relative density greater than 22.3 degrees API gravity and less than or equal to 31.1 degrees API gravity, and heavy crude oil is crude oil with a relative density greater than 10 degrees API gravity and less than or equal to 22.3 degrees API gravity.
less than the sum of the estimated proved plus probable reserves.
properties or wells may not reflect the same confidence level as estimates of reserves and future net revenue for all properties and wells, due to the effects of aggregation. In this presentation NPV10 represents the net present value of net income discounted at 10%. The NPV estimates are net estimates and are prepared after the deduction of royalties and abandonment and reclamation costs.
meanings or standard methods of calculation and therefore such measures may not be comparable to similar measures used by other companies and should not be used to make comparisons. Such metrics have been included herein to provide readers with additional measures to evaluate the Company's performance; however, such measures are not reliable indicators of the future performance and future performance may not compare to the performance in previous periods and therefore such metrics should not be unduly relied upon. A summary of the calculations of such metrics are as follows:
incurred in the most recent financial year and the change during that year in estimated future development costs generally will not reflect total finding and development costs related to reserves additions for that year.
income tax expense per Bbl of production
conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. Given that the value ratio based on the current price of crude oil as compared to natural gas is significantly different from the energy equivalency of 6:1, utilizing a conversion on a 6:1 basis may be misleading as an indication of value.
greater than, or less than, the estimates provided herein. All evaluations and reviews of future net revenue are stated prior to any provision for interest costs or general and administrative costs and after the deduction of royalties, development costs, production costs, well abandonment costs and estimated future capital expenditures for wells to which reserves have been assigned.
information retrieved from the continuous disclosure record of certain industry participants from www.sedar.com, AccuMap or other publically available sources. Management of TransGlobe believes the information is relevant as it may help to define the reservoir characteristics and production profile of lands in which TransGlobe may hold an interest. TransGlobe is unable to confirm that the analogous information was prepared by a qualified reserves evaluator or auditor and is unable to confirm that the analogous information was prepared in accordance with NI 51‐101. Such information is not an estimate of the production, reserves or resources attributable to lands held or to be held by TransGlobe and there is no certainty that the production, reserves or resources data and economic information for the lands held
to be held by TransGlobe.
production and decline thereafter and are not indicative of long term performance or of ultimate recovery. While encouraging, readers are cautioned not to place reliance on such rates in calculating the aggregate production for TransGlobe. A pressure transient analysis or well‐test interpretation has not been carried out in respect of all wells. Accordingly, TransGlobe cautions that the production test results should be considered to be preliminary.
24
warranty, express or implied, is made by TransGlobe as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this document, and nothing contained in this presentation is, or shall be relied upon as, a promise or representation by TransGlobe.
using GLJ pricing forecasts as at 12/31/2018. Unbooked locations are internal estimates based on prospective acreage and an assumption as to the number of wells that can be drilled per section based on industry practice and internal review. Unbooked locations do not have attributed reserves or resources. Unbooked locations have been identified by management as an estimation of the Company’s multi‐year drilling activities based on evaluation of applicable geologic, seismic, engineering, production and reserves information. There is no certainty that the Company will drill all unbooked drilling locations and if drilled there is no certainty that such locations will result in additional oil and gas reserves, resources or production. The drilling locations on which the Company will actually drill wells is ultimately dependent upon the availability of capital, regulatory approvals, seasonal restrictions, oil and natural gas prices, costs, actual drilling results, additional reservoir information that is obtained and other factors. While certain of the unbooked drilling locations have been derisked by drilling existing wells in relative close proximity to such unbooked drilling locations, the majority of other unbooked drilling locations are farther away from existing wells where management has less information about the characteristics of the reservoir and therefore there is more uncertainty whether wells will be drilled in such locations and if drilled there is more uncertainty that such wells will result in additional oil and gas reserves, resources or production.
Companies, June 2009, of the London Stock Exchange, has reviewed and approved the technical information contained in this presentation. Mr. Drall obtained a Bachelor’s of Science Degree in Mechanical Engineering from the University of Manitoba. He is a member of APEGA, APEGS and SPE and has over 30 years’ experience in oil and gas.
herein are management (or 3rd party) generated type curves based on a combination of historical performance of older wells and management (or 3rd party’s) expectation of what might be achieved from future
the average to come out to the type curve. Over time type curves can and will change based on achieving more production history on older wells or more recent completion information on newer wells. Defined Terms MM millions of dollars PSCs production sharing contracts. WI working interest Bbl barrels Bopd or bopd barrels of oil per day Bwpd or bwpd barrels of water per day MMBbl million barrels Mcf thousand cubic feet MMcf million cubic feet MMBoe million barrels of oil equivalent Boepd barrels of oil equivalent per day 1P proved reserves PDP proved developed producing reserves PU proved undeveloped reserves 2P proved plus probable reserves
1. Tables may not total due to rounding 2. The pricing assumptions used in the GLJ report with respect to the net present value of future net revenue (forecast) as well as the inflation rates used for operating and capital costs are set forth in the GLJ report 3. Gross reserves are working interest reserves before royalties 4. 6 Mcf = 1 Boe 5. Possible reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than probable reserves. There is a 10% probability that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the sum of proved plus probable plus possible reserves
Based On Forecast Prices and Costs1,2,3
25 Light & Medium Crude Oil Heavy Crude Oil Conventional Natural Gas Natural Gas Liquids Total BOE4 Effective December 31, 2018 Gross (MMbbl) Gross (MMbbl) Gross (Bcf) Gross (MMbbl) Gross (MMboe) Proved (1P) Canada 4.0 ‐ 21.6 3.4 11.0 Egypt 1.9 14.0 ‐ ‐ 15.9 Total Proved (1P) 5.8 14.0 21.6 3.4 26.9 Proved Plus Probable (2P) Canada 6.0 ‐ 38.1 6.0 18.4 Egypt 3.6 22.1 ‐ ‐ 25.7 Total Proved Plus Probable (2P) 9.6 22.1 38.1 6.0 44.1 Total Proved Plus Probable Plus Possible (3P)5 13.4 31.0 55.0 8.3 61.8
*Based on GLJ evaluation 12/31/18. See Cautionary Statements – "Oil and Gas Information“
* Based on GLJ evaluation 12/31/18. See Cautionary Statements – "Oil and Gas Information“ 1. Egyptian taxes are paid from the Governments share of production, therefore the Company’s share is always after tax
26
AFTER Deducting Future Income TaxesDiscounted At
Effective December 31, 2018 ($MM)
0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
Proved Canada
154 113 87 69 56
Egypt2
174 155 140 128 118
Total Proved (1P)
328 268 227 197 175
Proved Plus Probable Canada
256 165 117 87 69
Egypt2
277 236 207 184 166
Total Proved Plus Probable (2P)
532 402 323 271 235
Proved Plus Probable Plus Possible Canada
348 210 142 103 80
Egypt2
408 331 279 242 215
Total Proved Plus Probable Plus Possible (3P)
756 541 421 346 295
27
Egypt Assumptions:
bbl applied consistently at all price points
WG/WB/NWG respectively
accumulated cost pools
1. 6 Mcf = 1 Boe
Canada Assumptions:
profile
C$2.50/bbl
increases C$0.25/mmbtu for every $10/bbl WTI
$1.86 $6.01 $10.15 $14.29 $17.51 $0 $5 $10 $15 $20 $40 $50 $60 $70 $80 Netback ($/bbl) Brent
Egypt (US$)
$19.84 $27.84 $35.56 $43.37 $51.19 $0 $20 $40 $60 $40 $50 $60 $70 $80 Netback ($/bbl)
WTI Canada ‐ Oil (US$)
$(1.82) $(0.79) $0.24 $1.76 $3.26 ‐$4 ‐$2 $0 $2 $4 $40 $50 $60 $70 $80 Netback ($/boe) WTI
Canada ‐ Gas/NGLs (US$)
C$1.25 C$1.50 C$1.75 C$2.00 C$2.25 C$AECO/MMBTU
28
AR (‘000s)/ Inventory (10’s bbls) Months
2 4 6 8 10 12 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 Jun‐11 Aug‐11 Oct‐11 Dec‐11 Feb‐12 Apr‐12 Jun‐12 Aug‐12 Oct‐12 Dec‐12 Feb‐13 Apr‐13 Jun‐13 Aug‐13 Oct‐13 Dec‐13 Feb‐14 Apr‐14 Jun‐14 Aug‐14 Oct‐14 Dec‐14 Feb‐15 Apr‐15 Jun‐15 Aug‐15 Oct‐15 Dec‐15 Feb‐16 Apr‐16 Jun‐16 Aug‐16 Oct‐16 Dec‐16 Feb‐17 Apr‐17 Jun‐17 Aug‐17 Oct‐17 Dec‐17 Feb‐18 Apr‐18 Jun‐18 Aug‐18 Oct‐18 Dec‐18 Feb‐19 Apr‐19 Jun‐19
Egypt Accounts receivable and Inventory
Accounts Receivable Crude Inventory Equivalent Months of Production in Inventory Months in AR
29
Facility Turnaround
* See Cautionary Statements – "Forward‐Looking Information and Statements“ and “Oil and Gas Information”, 6 mcf = 1 Boe
30
31
32