October 8, 2019
CORPORATE OVERVIEW
Information contained in this document is strictly confidential
CORPORATE OVERVIEW October 8, 2019 Information contained in this - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
CORPORATE OVERVIEW October 8, 2019 Information contained in this document is strictly confidential 1 CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS This presentation (Presentation), and the information contained herein, is not for release, distribution or
October 8, 2019
Information contained in this document is strictly confidential
This presentation (“Presentation”), and the information contained herein, is not for release, distribution or publication into or in the United States or any jurisdiction where applicable laws prohibit its release, distribution or publication. This Presentation is being issued by Greengate Power Corporation (“Greengate”) for information purposes only. Reliance on this Presentation for the purpose of engaging in any investment activity may expose an individual to significant risk of losing all of the property or other assets invested. This Presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer or invitation to sell or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for any securities in any jurisdiction. The contents of this Presentation have not been approved or disapproved by any securities commission or regulatory authority in Canada, the United States or any other jurisdiction and should not be relied on or act as an inducement to enter into any agreement in relation to any securities of
agreement. The information in this Presentation is provided as of October 8, 2019, has not been independently verified and may not contain certain material information about Greengate, including important disclosures and risk factors. This Presentation includes market and industry data from third party sources, Greengate hereby disclaims any responsibility or liability whatsoever in respect of any third party sources of market and industry data or information and there is no assurance or guarantee as to the accuracy or completeness of such information. This Presentation does not take into account the particular investment objectives or financial circumstances of any specific person who may receive it. Prospective investors should consider the advice of their financial, legal, accounting, tax and other advisors, and such other factors they consider appropriate, in investigating and analyzing Greengate. Neither Greengate, nor its directors, officers, shareholders, agents, employees or advisors give, has given or has authority to give, any representations or warranties (express or implied) in relation to the accuracy, currency, reliability or completeness of the information or opinions in this Presentation and liability therefore is expressly disclaimed for any loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of such information or opinions or otherwise arising in connection therewith. Except as may be required by applicable law, in furnishing this Presentation, Greengate does not undertake or agree to: any obligation to provide the recipient with access to any additional information; update this Presentation; or correct any inaccuracies or omissions. By acceptance of this Presentation, the recipient agrees to not distribute it to others, in whole or in part, and agrees to keep all information herein confidential.
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This Presentation contains certain forward-looking statements or forward-looking information under applicable securities legislation (“forward-looking information”). This information relates to future events or future performance of Greengate. Forward-looking information are statements that are not historical facts and are often, but not always, identified using words or phrases such as “anticipate”, “believe”, “continue”, “estimate”, “expect”, “future”, “may”, “opportunity”, “plan”, “potential”, “potential”, “project”, “propose”, “scheduled”, “signal”, “target”, “will” and other similar expressions. In particular, but without limiting the foregoing, this Presentation contains forward-looking information pertaining to, among other things: the terms of the transactions described in this Presentation including, without limitation, Greengate’s proposed offering of common shares; Greengate’s projects including, without limitation, the earned interests therein and development thereof; supply and demand of electricity; Alberta coal phase-out; wind and solar resources; business plans and strategies; merchant solar; corporate PPAs; estimated valuations and cash flows. Such forward looking statements or information are used in this Presentation for the purpose of providing information about Greengate management’s current expectations and plans relating to the future development of Greengate’s business. Readers are cautioned that reliance on such information may not be appropriate for other purposes, such as making investment decisions. Although Greengate believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking information are reasonable, such statements are not guarantees of future performance and actual results may differ materially from those in statements of forward-looking information. Undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking information because Greengate can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct and such statements are based on the beliefs, estimates and
vary from those described herein. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should assumptions underlying forward-looking information prove incorrect, actual results may differ materially from those described in this Presentation. Such risks and uncertainties include, without limitation: the impact of general economic and business conditions in Canada, the United States and overseas; industry conditions; changes in laws and regulations (including the adoption of new environmental laws and regulations); and changes in how laws and regulations are interpreted and enforced. The forward-looking information included in this Presentation is expressly qualified in its entirety by this cautionary statement. Greengate cautions that the foregoing lists of assumptions, risks and uncertainties is not exhaustive. The forward-looking information contained in this Presentation is made as of the date hereof and Greengate undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, unless required by applicable securities laws. All subsequent forward-looking information, whether written or oral, attributable to Greengate or persons acting on its behalf is expressly qualified in their entirety by these cautionary statements.
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3
2018
2022
CAGR
COMPELLING OPPORTUNITY FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY DEVELOPERS
Source: International Energy Agency
RENEWABLE ENERGY CONTINUES GROWTH
Wind and solar installed capacity in U.S. & Canada
private & confidential 4
2019
2034
PROJECTED REMAINING OPERATING COAL TO GAS CONVERSIONS
EQUIVALENT TO ~14,000 MW OF SOLAR
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1 Capacity factors, coal: 65%;
solar: 22%
SIGNIFICANT OPPORTUNITY FOR RENEWABLE GROWTH IN ALBERTA
Expected supply shrinkage due to coal retirements
ALBERTA COAL PHASE-OUT
private & confidential 5
UCP wins significant majority in April 2019 provincial election
ALBERTA RETURNS TO CONSERVATIVE ROOTS
private & confidential 6
UCP SUPPORTIVE OF MARKET-BASED RENEWABLES
UCP understands the value of renewables, they have affirmed support for market-based renewables and the potential for low- cost power & jobs without subsidies
QUICK DECISION ON ENERGY-ONLY MARKET
UCP completed its review of the proposed move to a capacity market and decided to maintain the existing energy-only market which bodes well for renewable generators and consumers
MAINTAINING COAL PHASE-OUT & INDUSTRIAL CARBON TAX
UCP is committed to phase out all coal-fired electricity by 2030. UCP eliminated the retail carbon tax but is maintaining an industrial carbon regulation through its TIER program allowing renewables to generate compliance credits
RENEWABLES HAVE IMPORTANT ROLE IN FUTURE
Renewables cost-effective on a subsidy-free basis and have an important role in the energy mix as Alberta phases out its coal- fired electricity and replaces it with cleaner technologies
WIND – 2017 & 2018
1 AESO Historic Pool PriceRecent procurements by Alberta Electric System Operator (AESO) uncover low cost of renewables
AGE OF RENEWABLES HAS ARRIVED
private & confidential 7
SOLAR – 2018
2018 & 10 YEAR AVERAGE WHOLESALE PRICE
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GREENGATE SNAPSHOT
WINNING TRACK RECORD CONTINUES
approximately $1 billion
2020)
private & confidential
400 MW TRAVERS SOLAR PROJECT – CONSTRUCTION READY Q1 2020
world upon completion in 2021
resource, highly buildable with simple topography and few constraints
ENGAGED CIBC – CANADA’S TOP POWER INVESTMENT BANKING TEAM
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DEVELOPED ONE-THIRD OF ALL OPERATING WIND ENERGY IN ALBERTA
Halkirk Wind (2012)
150 MW
Blackspring Ridge Wind (2014)
300 MW
investment: $357mm turbines: 83 acquirer: Capital Power
sold at the start of construction and largest operating wind energy project in Alberta at time of commissioning
investment: $600mm turbines: 166 acquirer: EDF & Enbridge
sold at start of construction and largest operating wind energy project in Canada at time of commissioning
Ontario Wind (2009)
30 MW
investment: $60mm turbines: 15
developed three wind projects which were awarded FIT contracts and remain operating
A PROLIFIC RENEWABLE DEVELOPER
private & confidential 10
DAN BALABAN
TRACK RECORD OF INNOVATION & SUCCESS
Co-Founder, President & CEO 12 years with Greengate Formerly CEO of Roughneck.ca, management consultant with E&Y and PwC 2012 E&Y Entrepreneur of the Year 2010 and 2013 Alberta Venture – 50 Most Influential People
JORDAN BALABAN Co-Founder, CFO
12 years with Greengate and successfully developed and financed ~$1 billion of renewables
DAN TOCHER VP, Stakeholder Relations
Led stakeholder relations for renewable energy projects for over 10 years Executed largest land lease program for renewables in Alberta
FOLLOW THE TRANSMISSION INNOVATIVE LANDOWNER COMPENSATION MODEL BUILDING AT UNPRECEDENTED SCALE
BRENDEN MARCHEWKA
Director, Project Development Senior development, construction and operating expertise across conventional and renewable generation 11 private & confidential
GREENGATE PROJECT MAP
private & confidential
CALGARY EDMONTONCURRENT SOLAR PROJECT CURRENT WIND PROJECT TRAVERS SOLAR – 400 MW PAST WIND PROJECT BLACKSPRING RIDGE WIND – 300 MW STIRLING WIND – 113 MW LATHOM SOLAR – 120 MW BASSANO SOLAR – 9.5 MW HALKIRK WIND – 150 MW WHEATLAND WIND – 120 MW PAINTEARTH WIND – 150 MW PROVOST SOLAR – 12 MW KILLARNEY LAKE SOLAR – 16 MW WAINWRIGHT SOLAR – 15.5 MW 12
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Wheatland Wind
120 MW
Paintearth Wind
150 MW
Stirling Wind (Awarded PPA)
113 MW
383 MW WIND IN LATE-STAGE DEVELOPMENT
private & confidential
WIND RESOURCE
Consistent / robust / +40% NCF
TOPOGRAPHY
Easy to access / build
TRANSMISSION
Nearby / availability / no upgrades
+ MANAGEMENT FEE + ROYALTY + SUCCESS PAYMENT
75% 25%
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+ EQUITY INTEREST
Through wholly-
REP 2 – December 2018
363 MW, $39/MWh
REP 3 – December 2018
401 MW, $40/MWh
REP EP 1 – Decem embe ber r 2017
595 MW, $38/MWh
STIRLING WIND AWARDED 20-YEAR ALBERTA GOV’T PPA
private & confidential
TARGET COD: Q4 2020 STEPS TO NTP:
AUC Permit Amendment Approval Development Permit Approval
GREENGATE PROJECT ECONOMICS:
Equity interest, success payment, and ongoing royalty providing cash flow to Greengate for 30+ years 18.75% 56.25% 113 MW STIRLING WIND PROJECT
PAUL FIRST NATION
25%
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Stirling Wind awarded one of the three contracts granted in REP 2
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Lathom
120 MW
Travers
400 MW
INDUSTRY-LEADING ~580 MW ALBERTA SOLAR PORTFOLIO
private & confidential
SOLAR RESOURCE AND CONFIRMED TRANSMISSION
+20% NCF
TOPOGRAPHY
Easy to access / build
WHOLLY OWNED PROJECTS
Allows for creative financing structures
ALBERTA SOLAR RESOURCE FLORIDA SOLAR RESOURCE 1
DG Portfolio
58 MW
COMPARABLE TO
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1 CanSIA https://www.cansia.ca/news/three-new-solar-electricity-facilities-in-alberta-contracted-at-lower-cost-than-natural-gasprivate & confidential
SOLAR PRODUCES ON PEAK, CAPTURING A PRICE PREMIUM IN ALBERTA’S DEREGULATED POWER MARKET
BATTERIES MIGHT BE USED IN FUTURE WHEN ARBITRAGE OPPORTUNITY JUSTIFIES
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Travers is anticipated to realize an ~15% premium to the average pool price over the life of the project 4
1 Average hourly production from March – September at Traver in a TMY 2 Hourly percentage of total electricity demand as AIL from March – September 2016 (AESO) 3 Average hourly pool price in from March – September in Alberta 4 Average received premium based on Travers Specific EDC Associates report dated October 2019private & confidential
SOLAR PRODUCTION INVERSELY CORRELATED TO WIND PRODUCTION REDUCING OVER- SUPPLY RISK
SOLAR PRODUCTIVE WHEN GAS FLEET DE-RATES IN HOT TEMPERATURE
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Pool price premium is realized when other generation technologies are unproductive
private & confidential
SOLAR IS PRODUCTIVE DURING THE DAYTIME WHEN POOL PRICE IS HIGHER RESULTING IN A PRICE PREMIUM TO THE AVERAGE ANNUAL POOL PRICE
SOLAR PV IS NOW COST EFFECTIVE ON A SUBSIDY-FREE BASIS DRIVEN BY CONTINUAL COST AND EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS
STRONG PRICE SIGNAL FOR SOLAR
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SIMPLE OPERATIONS RESULT IN HIGH OPERATING MARGINS
SOLAR HAS A LONG OPERATING LIFE OF 35+ YEARS, WHICH RESULTS IN HIGH LONG-TERM PROJECT VALUE
Solar PV is an unparalleled asset class for generating long-term cash flow
ENGAGED CIBC – CANADA’S TOP POWER INVESTMENT BANKING TEAM
equity and debt capital for Travers Solar
interest expressed by diverse group
domestic and international funds & utilities
CONFIRMED TRANSMISSION CAPACITY
confirmed by AESO
LOW-COST BUILD AND TOP-TIER SOLAR RESOURCE
few constraints and simple topography
resource and strong landowner support
economic interest
private & confidential
CALGARY
PROPOSED PROJECT BOUNDARY TRANSMISSION LINE CONSTRAINTS
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RECEIVED AUC PERMIT
2019
Largest solar development in Canada – among the largest globally
MARKET DYNAMICS PERFECTLY SUITED FOR MERCHANT SOLAR EXPECTED DOWNSIDE RETURNS COMPARABLE WITH FULLY CONTRACTED PROJECT RETURNS REVENUE FROM ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL ATTRIBUTES
private & confidential CASE UNLEVERED PRE-TAX RETURN1 PAYBACK
Expected (P50) ~13% 3% ~9 years Downside (P90) ~8% ~8% ~14 years
CALGARY
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1 Returns based on EDC Associates Travers Solar report dated October 2019 and excludes Greengate economicinterest
Strong case for merchant solar
Energy revenue derived from sales into the Alberta power pool and environmental attributes sold to large final emitters or corporates with sustainability targets
private & confidential
CORPORATE PPAs – AN OPPORTUNITY IN CANADA
ALBERTA IS THE ONLY CANADIAN MARKET SUITED TO CORPORATE PPAs
GREENGATE IN POLE POSITION
Canada
Canada
corporate buyers
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COMPLIANCE FOR LARGE FINAL EMITTERS AND CORPORATES WITH SUSTAINABILITY TARGETS
regulation with environmental attributes generated by renewables
sustainability targets
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CORPORATE FINANCING – PLANNED USE OF FUNDS
private & confidential
STIRLING FUNDING UNTIL SHOVEL-READY
Complete development to enable financing and start of construction for Stirling Wind
PORTFOLIO DEVELOPMENT
Continue advancing remainder of development portfolio
FINAL PERMITTING, COSTING & ENGINEERING
Finalize all permitting, detailed costing, supply negotiations and engineering for Stirling Wind and Travers Solar
CORPORATE EQUITY FINANCING OF $2mm ($0.75 / SHARE)
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TRAVERS FUNDING UNTIL FINANCIAL CLOSE
Complete the CIBC process to raise ~$500mm of non-dilutive project-level equity and debt capital for Travers Solar
STRENGTHEN THE BALANCE SHEET
Improve Greengate’s position to maximize value from negotiations with potential project partners for Travers Solar
POTENTIAL CASH FLOW & VALUATION
private & confidential
POTENTIAL VALUATION IN 20221
LOW CASE – ROYALTY INTEREST IN 400 MW TRAVERS (FINANCED MERCHANT) HIGH CASE – ROYALTY INTEREST IN 400 MW TRAVERS (FINANCED MERCHANT)
~$4.50 / share ~$3.00 / share
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POTENTIAL VALUATION INCREASE3
4X – 6X / share
$0.50 $0.30 $0.10 2022 30-YEAR AVERAGE
Management objective to increase annual distributions as future projects are developed or with excess cash flow above initial target dividend of $0.10 / share starting in 2022
CASH FLOW PER SHARE2
LOW CASE LOW CASE HIGH CASE HIGH CASE
1 Stirling cashflow is discounted at 7%; Travers cashflow discounted at 10%; Book value for remainder of project portfolio 2 Annual cashflows based on EDC Associates market forecast 3 Based on current financing at $0.75 / shareEXCESS CASHFLOW FOR FUTURE PROJECTS OR INCREASED DIVIDEND TARGET INITIAL DIVIDEND IN 2022
Key milestones for Greengate to reach dividend yield beginning 2022
REALIZING DIVIDEND STARTING 2022
private & confidential 26
CONSTRUCTION OF STIRLING WIND FINALIZE DETAILED ENGINEERING, REMAINING PERMITTING AND EXECUTE MATERIAL CONTRACTS FOR TRAVERS SOLAR COMPLETE FINANCING PROCESS WITH CIBC FOR TRAVERS SOLAR CONSTRUCTION OF TRAVERS SOLAR
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2020 2019 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2021
FIRST SHAREHOLDER DIVIDEND
2022 Q1
FINANCING TERMS
private & confidential
SHARES OUTSTANDING
PRE-MONEY
OPTIONS
POST-MONEY
TOTAL
18,646,701 1,825,000 23,581,701 21,313,368 1,825,000 26,248,368
WARRANTS
3,110,000 3,110,000
BASIC 27
OFFERING
2.67mm COMMON SHARES MINIMUM INVESTMENT
$60,000 $0.75 / share
TARGET PROCEEDS
$2.0mm
PRE-MONEY VALUATION
$14.0mm
GREENGATE CLOSED FINANCING FOR ~$3.4mm INCLUDING ~$1mm BY THE BALABAN FAMILY ON THE SAME TERMS AS THIS CURRENT OFFERING IN Q2/Q3 2019.
CONTACT US
private & confidential
DAN BALABAN
PRESIDENT & CEO
EMAIL: PHONE: 403.930.1301
dan@greengatepower.com
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JORDAN BALABAN
CFO
EMAIL: PHONE: 403.630.4581
jordan@greengatepower.com
FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE
INVESTOR RIGHTS OF ACTION
Inves estor
Securities legislation in certain Canadian provinces and territories provide a purchaser with remedies for rescission or damages if an offering memorandum (including any amendment thereto) contains a misrepresentation, provided that the remedies for rescission or damages are exercised by the purchaser within the time limit prescribed by the securities legislation of the purchaser’s province or territory. The purchaser should refer to any applicable provisions of the securities legislation of the purchaser’s province or territory for particulars of these rights and consult with a legal advisor. A “misrepresentation” is an untrue statement of a material fact or an
memorandum pursuant to applicable securities law; are in addition to and without derogation from any other right or remedy available at law; and are subject to certain
Ontario Investors – Ontario securities legislation provides that where an offering memorandum is delivered to a purchaser and contains a misrepresentation, the purchaser will be deemed to have relied upon the misrepresentation and will, except as provided below, have a statutory right of action for damages or for rescission against the issuer and a selling security holder on whose behalf the distribution is made; if the purchaser elects to exercise the right of rescission, the purchaser will have no right of action for damages against the issuer or any selling security holder. No such action shall be commenced more than, in the case of an action for rescission, 180 days after the date of the transaction that gave rise to the cause of action, or, in the case of any action other than an action for rescission, the earlier of: (i) 180 days after the purchaser first had knowledge of the facts giving rise to the cause of action, or (ii) three years after the date of the transaction that gave rise to the cause of action. The Ontario legislation provides a number of limitations and defences to such actions, including: (a) the issuer or any selling security holder is not liable if it proves that the purchaser purchased the securities with knowledge of the misrepresentation; (b) in an action for damages, the issuer shall not be liable for all or any portion of the damages that the issuer or any selling security holder proves do not represent the depreciation in value of the securities as a result of the misrepresentation relied upon; and (c) in no case shall the amount recoverable exceed the price at which the securities were offered. Alberta and British Columbia Investors – The securities legislation of the provinces of Alberta and British Columbia do not provide or require Greengate to provide to purchasers resident in these provinces any rights of action in circumstances where this Presentation contains a misrepresentation. Purchasers in other Canadian provinces or territories – Readers should refer to the applicable provisions of the securities legislation of their province or territory for the particulars of these rights and consult with a legal advisor.
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