Contents Summary presentation Q3/02 Page 3 Nordea Page 43 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Contents Summary presentation Q3/02 Page 3 Nordea Page 43 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Contents Summary presentation Q3/02 Page 3 Nordea Page 43 Integration Page 54 Business areas Page 62 Balance sheet Page 103 Credit quality Page 110 Economic capital Page 127 Appendix Page 147 2 3 Stable
2
Contents
Summary presentation Q3/02
Page 3
Nordea
Page 43
Integration
Page 54
Business areas
Page 62
Balance sheet
Page 103
Credit quality
Page 110
Economic capital
Page 127
Appendix
Page 147
3
4
Stable overall development
Operating profit EUR 399m, up 18% compared to second quarter Total income EUR 1,406m, down 1% on second quarter, showing growth in
net interest income and reduced commission income
Total expenses unchanged compared to second quarter Loan losses EUR 66m (EUR 56m) corresponding to 0.18% of loans,
annualised
Operating profit from insurance hit by weak equity markets Net profit of EUR 193m (EUR 107m) influenced by a further pension fund
allocation of EUR 120m
5
Increased focus and speed
Lars G Nordström appointed new Group CEO Changed composition of Group Executive Management New Unit, Group Processing and Technology, established to coordinate and
speed-up the integration and unification to improve efficiency
6
Continous improvements of performance will be given top priority going forward
Credit portfolio – stable quality Capital markets exposure – reduced volatility Cost efficiency – improvement needed Capital efficiency – strengthening the balance sheet
7 2 4 6 8 10 12 Q2/02 Q3/02 0,00 0,02 0,04 0,06 0,08 0,10 Q2/02 Q3/02
Key figures
Return on equity (excl. goodwill) % Earnings per share EUR
8
0,1 0,2 0,3 0,4 0,5 0,6 0,7 1999 Q1/2000 Q2/2000 Q3/2000 Q4/2000 Q1/2001 Q2/2001 Q3/2001 Q4/2001 Q1/2002 Q2/2002 Q3/2002
EUR
Earnings per share – 12 months rolling
9
- 30
- 25
- 20
- 15
- 10
- 5
5 10 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Copenhagen Helsinki Oslo Stockholm Nasdaq Dow Jones
Market development – stock market indexes
%
10
5.18 4.38 6.70 6.86 4.96 3.67 4.67 3.39 30-06-02 4.38 Short, SE
- 0.66
4.52 Long, SE 0.29 7.15 Short, NO
- 0.68
6.02 Long, NO
- 1.01
3.95 Long, DK
- 0.14
3.53 Short, DK
- 1.08
3.59 Long, EUR (5 years)
- 0.06
3.33 Short, EUR (one week) Change 30-09-02 %
Market development – interest rates
11
Income statement summary
- 26
- 13
Operating profit, Life Insurance 31 39 Investment earnings, banking 338
- 44
- 87
464 17
- 56
- 922
1,425 Q2/02 18
- 5
- 10
18
- 1
Change, % 399 Operating profit
- 42
Goodwill
- 4
Operating profit, General Insurance 419 Profit before inv. earnings and insurance 4 Equity method
- 66
Loan losses
- 925
Expenses 1,406 Income Q3/02 EURm
12
Income statement summary
146 81 Investment earnings, banking
- 21
- 42
Operating profit, Life Insurance
- 25
- 10
- 42
11 Change, %
- 26
- 13
1
- 6
Change %,adj Postgirot Bank
- 108
- 128
Goodwill 60 36 Equity method 1,460 1,101 Operating profit
- 19
- 122
Operating profit, General Insurance 1,462 1,312 Profit before inv. earnings and insurance
- 317
- 185
Loan losses
- 2,488
- 2,752
Expenses 4,207 4,213 Income Jan-Sept 2001 Jan-Sept 2002 EURm
13
Net interest income
856 852 837 855 874
200 400 600 800 1000 Q3/01 Q4/01 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02
Higher lending and deposit
volumes
Short-term interest rates slightly
reduced
Overall stable margins EURm
14
104 115 126 115 101 130 139 157 183 189 56 76 55 46 38 84 84 87 91 86 25 45 32 44 42
- 77
- 79
- 77
- 83
- 85
- 100
100 200 300 400 500 Q3/01 Q4/01 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02
Asset management Payments & deposits Brokerage Lending Other Expenses
EURm
Commission income
Fall in equity markets
– Reduced fees from asset
mgmt and brokerage
AuM decreased by 7% Payment commissions
continued to increase
371
15
467 482 506 514 521 354 419 399 408 404 200 400 600 800 1000 Q3/01 Q4/01 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Personnel Other
EURm
Expenses
In line with previous quarter Somewhat lower activity during
the quarter
One-off costs of EUR 13m -
redundancies in Nordea Securities
925
16
Loan losses
113 56 63 56 66 100 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 Q3/01 Q4/01 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 General provision
EURm 0.18% of total loans annualised General provision reduced by EUR
16m
Largest provision within fish farming Unchanged country risk reserve
17
Income statement summary
Minority interests 31 39 Investment earnings, banking
- 26
- 13
Operating profit, life insurance
- 87
- 4
Operating profit, general insurance
- 44
- 42
Goodwill depreciation 18 338 399 Operating profit 107
- 79
- 152
464 Q2/02 81
- 10
Change, % 193 Net profit
- 86
Taxes
- 120
Allocation to pension foundation 419 Profit before inv earnings and insurance Q3/02 EURm
18
Capital markets’ exposure
Life Insurance Group Treasury Pension commitments
19
Life Insurance
Reduced equity exposure One line consolidation following sale of General Insurance Change of principles at Group level
20
Life - risk management
Equity holdings reduced to 17% of total investments as per end of September As per mid-October, equity holdings decreased to 15% Equity exposure reduced through derivatives
– Major part of the Danish equity expsoure is hedged up to year-end by means of
collar
1
Life - investments
5 10 15 20 25 Q3/01 Q4/01 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 15 Oct Equities Bonds Real estate Unit linked
Equity holdings reduced during latter
part of Q3
Further reduced in Q4 Equities
– Predominantly listed equities – 50/50 Nordic/international
Bonds
– ¾ Nordic issuers – Primarily govmn’t & mortgage inst.
- EURbn. End of period
21.2
21
22
Life - asset allocation
15/10 20.8 2.3 3.4 5.2 10.0 15 5 15 23 15/10 17 6 15 15 23 Q3/02 Equities, % 23 16 20 18 28 Q2/02 21.2 2.6 3.2 5.2 10.2 Q2/02 Q3/02 2.4 Sweden 20.8 Total 3.2 Norway 5.2 Finland 10.0 Denmark Total, EURbn End of period
23
2.2 32 Sweden 2.9 508 Total 0.2 5 Norway 3.4 136 Finland 3.7 335 Denmark % of guaranteed liabilities EURm
Life - financial buffers*
End of September 2002
* Financial buffers are defined in accordance with local regulations and practices.
24
Life - solvency situation
End of September 2002
134 20 81 61 Sweden* 234 249 434 186 Finland 124 20 103 85 Denmark 157 73 202 129 Norway* Solvency in % of requirement Solvency buffer Actual solvency Required solvency EURm
*Excluding unit linked companies
25
Life- risk management - solvency sensitivity
15 October 02
Equity exposure has been significantly reduced. Reduced solvency in Sweden due to interest rate increase
n.a. 102 Sweden 12.2 226 Finland 20.1 117 Denmark 46.6 157 Norway Equity prices sensitivity* Solvency ratio %
*Drop in equity prices resulting in no buffers
26
Life – operating profit
Investment earnings Total expenses Other expenses Personnel expenses Total income Income from insurance Commission income
- 29
- 30
- 16
- 13
- 13
- 17
33
- 7
- 12
37
- 2
- 4
- 5
4
- 49
Operating profit
- 13
- 13
Q3/02
- 26
23
- 26
Q2/02
- 3
- 7
- 3
Q1/02 Change of principles Operating profit, reported Q3 Previous Operating profit, reported Q3 EURm End of period
27
Life - changes in Group accounting principles
Group Accounting Policies for assets
– All Life assets are valued at market value in the Group Balance Sheet – Difference between portfolio market value and acquisition cost is allocated into
financial buffers. P&L effect will occur if portfolio market value is below cost
– Previously equities were written down on an individualy security basis, now the
portfolio principle is implemented for all units in the consolidated accounts
Group Accounting Policies for liabilities Life Insurance Provisions
– are set by local regulators demands – no changes are made in the Group consolidated figures
28
Life - breakdown of operating profit
- 94
- 277
Chg in discount rate for life provisions
- 26
- 13
Total operating profit 2 1 Operating profit Unit Linked business 570 579 Allocation from financial buffers
- 545
- 435
Fluctutations compared to normalised investment return 51 126 Normalised operating margin
- 11
- 6
Allocation to policy-holders Q2/02 Q3/02 EURm
29
Group Treasury
Group Treasury is managing the Group’s own direct investments in the
financial markets and the market and liquidity risk in the banking book
The activities divided in three areas:
–Active risk taking –Benchmark –Other equities
30
Group Treasury – active risk taking
Activities
– Tactical asset allocation – Security selection relative to benchmark – Relative value positions – Danish and Swedish mortgage bonds
Market views based on combination of own view on macro, investor
positioning and geopolitical developments
Many small positions relative to a few large positions Relative short time horizon on positions with firm stop loss rules reflecting a
focus on use of economic capital
31
Group Treasury – benchmark
Fixed income and equities Approved in GEM/ALCO based on strategic asset allocation input from
Group Treasury
Calendar year view with (minimum) quarterly updates Exposure has been / are low reflecting the risk / reward in the financial
market and maintaining a low volatility in earnings
32
Group Treasury - investments
5 10 15 20 Q3/01 Q4/01 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Fixed income Equities Equities
– Listed, unlisted & private equity
funds
Bonds
– ¾ Nordic issuers – Primarily govmn´t & mortgage inst.
- EURbn. End of period
14.7
33
Pension commitments
Part of pension commitments in Finland and Sweden not recognised in
balance sheet - fully covered in pension funds
Volatility in results related to Swedish pension fund Finnish fund surplus at high level Swedish fund made regular refunds of surplus in previous years
34
Sweden Finland 50% 25% 22% 33% 30% 32% Equity exposure
146 96
- of which contributions
during the period
11 91 33 45 Surplus EURm Q2/02 Q3/02 18 Oct Q2/02 Q3/02 18 Oct End of period 533 624 686 686 537 569 671 687 539 Pension commitments 671 698 584 Assets
Pension commitments – financial structure in Finland and Sweden
35
Pension commitments
In Q3, Swedish fund
– Declining equity values caused further deficit of EUR 78m – Increased liabilities and wage tax EUR 42m – Total allocation EUR 120m
Equity exposure significantly reduced – mid October 22 percent in Sweden New benchmarks and investment policies established Tactical asset allocation mandate managed by Group Treasury as part of
total Group investments
Security selection mandate managed by Nordea Investment Management
36
Balance sheet - key items
137 252 12 91 147 Sept 02 136 242 12 83 138 Dec 01 1 Risk-weighted assets 4 Total assets Shareholders’ equity 10 Deposits 7 Lending Change,% EURbn, end of period
37
Total capital ratio 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Q2/02 Q3/02 Tier 1 ratio 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Q2/02 Q3/02
Capital adequacy
% %
38
Repurchase of own shares
During the third quarter 40 million shares repurchased under the repurchase
program announced on 19 June 2002
Average price SEK 43.50 In April 2001 17 million shares acquired for the purpose of achieving a hedge
regarding incentive programme
Total holding of own shares 57 million
39
Capital efficiency – strenghtening the balance sheet
Focus on strengthening balance sheet
Aim to reduce economic capital – risk weighted assets Prioritisation of performance and profitability before growth Sale of General Insurance and other non-core assets Reduce aggregate capital markets exposure Tier 1 target of 6.5%, total capital ratio target of 9.0% Dividend will be given priority over repurchasing of own shares
40
Cost efficiency – improvement needed
Special attention to overall cost development – strict cost control Further integration of business activities and processes Reprioritisation of integration and development projects to adapt to current
market conditions
Level of IT costs under consideration Continuous reduction of the number of employees Cost/income ratio level of 50% not achievable with current market conditions
and business mix
41
Outlook - weak development in capital markets, key macro indicators revised downwards
Q4/02 outlook
Stable business volume Revenues in line with average quarterly level this year Expenses somewhat higher than average level Loan losses of the same magnitude as in Q3
42
Outlook - weak development in capital markets, key macro indicators revised downwards
2003 outlook
Potential for increased revenues considered limited Increase in short-term interest rates not expected until late 2003 Sharp attention on cost control Uncertainty in the global economy may lead to credit deterioration medium
term – target of maximum 0.40% remains unchanged
43
44
Our vision
We will be valued as the leading financial services group in the Nordic and Baltic financial markets with a substantial growth potential. We will be number one or number two or show superior profitable growth in every market and product area in which we choose to compete. We will have the leading multichannel distribution with a top world ranking in e-based financial services and solutions.
Our mission: ‘Making it possible’
By providing a broad set of easily accessible and competitive financial services and solutions Nordea helps customers where we operate to reach their objectives.
Strategic direction
Attract, develop and retain highly motivated, competent and empowered employees Establish a stable and broadly based growth of income Ensure
- perational excellence and
cost efficiency in all processes Optimise risk taking and use of capital Sustainable growth of economic profit 45
46
Stable and broadly based growth of income
Attract, develop and retain highly motivated, competent and empowered employees Establish a stable and broadly based growth of income Ensure
- perational
excellence and cost efficiency in all processes Optimise risk taking and use of capital Sustainable growth of economic profit
Focus going forward
Grow share of wallet of existing customers in home market and significantly enhance position in Sweden Growth by market share in our emerging markets Implement Nordic business model for personal and corporate customers Maintain and reinforce the retail savings and investment proposition Increase share of commission income in corporate banking Expand the use of e-banking services among existing and new customers
47
Focus on cost efficiency
Focus going forward
Strict cost control throughout the organisation Increased focus and speed in integration and unification of
business activities
Development activities will be strictly prioritised in order to curtail
short-term cost level
Continuous reduction in number of employees Continue development of innovative e-service facilities for
personal as well as corporate and institutional customers
Attract, develop and retain highly motivated, competent and empowered employees Establish a stable and broadly based growth of income Ensure
- perational
excellence and cost efficiency in all processes Optimise risk taking and use of capital Sustainable growth of economic profit
48
Capital efficiency
Attract, develop and retain highly motivated, competent and empowered employees Establish a stable and broadly based growth of income Ensure
- perational
excellence and cost efficiency in all processes Optimise risk taking and use of capital Sustainable growth of economic profit
Focus going forward
Speed-up implementation of economic capital and economic profit framework Development of existing credit scoring models Use of capital market approach in corporate banking Implementation of new business model for Life & Pensions
49
Financial targets
1) Dividend for 2001 EUR 0.23 per share 2) Return on equity(excluding goodwill) 360 EURm (2003) 168 242 Merger synergies, EURm < 0.40% of loans and guarantees 0.29 0.18 Average loan losses,% In the top five of our peer group
- 19.8
- 31.1
Total shareholder return,% < 50 % (2004) 58 64 Cost/income ratio, banking,% 20 % p.a.
- 11.4
Assets under management growth,% > Euro risk free interest rate +8% 13.8 10.0 2) Return on equity,% > 40 % of net profit 44 1) Dividend pay-out ratio,%
Target 2001 Jan-Sept 2002 Key performance indicator
50
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
INTESA BCI DEXIA CREDIT LYONNAIS SAN PAOLO IMI ALLIED IRISH BANKS NORDEA DANSKE BANK STD CHARTERED ABBEY NATIONAL CREDIT AGRICOLE CREDIT SUISSE SOCIETE ABN AMRO FORTIS UNICREDITO BBVA SANTANDER BNP PARIBAS DEUTSCHE BANK HBOS BARCLAYS LLOYDS TSB UBS RBOS HSBC
European banks by market cap
Source: Bloomberg, October 2002
EUR bn
51
Strong distribution network throughout the Nordic and Baltic Sea region
Riga Vilnius Tallinn
Helsinki
Luxembourg
Stockholm
St Petersburg Tartu Gdansk Gdynia Frankfurt Hamburg Radom
Oslo
Countrywide network
Branch office or subsidiary Office of an associated bank
Moscow Bergen
Copenhagen
8,500 Personnel 10,600 Personnel 33,900 Total personnel* 1,241 Total locations 1,000 Personnel 35 Branch offices Baltic and Poland 9,400 Personnel 348 Branch offices Denmark 4,400 Personnel 147 Branch offices Norway 267 Branch offices Sweden 444 Branch offices Finland
Warzawa
*Full time equivalents
52
Large customer base with high penetration in net banking
1,300 430
460 4,260
SE 15 70
10 60
Baltic Sea Region 240 230
65 500
NO 3,170 1,640
950 9,500
Total 260 650 Life insurance customers (1,000) 1,200 410 Net banking customers (1,000)
330 80 Corporate customers 3,000 1,700 Personal customers
Banking customers (1,000) FI DK
53
8 2 8 2-3 2-3 Sweden 5 4 6 1-2 2 Norway 1 2 1 1 1 Finland 2 2 2 1 2 Denmark
Life and pensions premiums Investment funds Equity dealing Corporate Banking Customer lending, customer deposit and mortgage volumes
Asset Management & Life Corporate and Institutional Banking Retail Banking
Strong positions in most Nordic markets
54
Integration
55
Initial merger synergies
Total synergies of EUR 360m annually Split between costs and revenues: 60/40 Time period: 2001 - 2003 Restructuring reserve of EUR 290m Full effect from 2004 onwards Required investments* of EUR 0
* Beyond restructuring reserve
56
Second Wave
Total synergies of EUR 300 - 350m Split between costs and revenues: 100/0 Time period: 2002 - 2004 Restructuring reserve of EUR 0 Full effect from 2005 onwards Required investments(E) of EUR 350-400m
First and second wave of integration
2000 2001 2002 2004 2005
First wave of integration
- The customer and the customer relation
- Nordic products and services
- Business structure
- Legal structure alignment
- Group policies and control
2003 Annual synergies Merger synergies EUR 360m Estimated synergies of the same magnitude as the merger synergies Degree of integration
Second wave of integration
- Common group infrastructure in
middle office, back office and
- ther support functions
- Common planning and performance
management model
- Common values and culture
57
58
Second wave of integration
Consolidated into 15 main projects of which 7 are under execution Requiring total investments of EUR 350-400m, 25% in 2002, 50% in 2003
and 25% in 2004
Approximately half will be on top of ordinary investments in an average
- perating year
Investments in Q3 was EUR 15m (Q2: EUR 25, Q1: EUR 10m)
59
Postgirot Bank synergies
Total synergies of EUR 65m Split between costs and revenues: 80/20 Time period: 2002 - 2004 Restructuring reserve of EUR 43m Full effect from 2005 onwards Required investments* of EUR 0
* Beyond restructuring reserve
60
Realised Synergies
360 145 215 242 177 23 Total initial merger synergies Initial merger synergies
- 21
29 9 20 98 2001 Realised 65
- 20
- Postgirot Bank
13
- 13
- Other group functions
15 15
- 17
- Treasury
55
- 55
42
- IT
71 51 20 33 3 Other business areas** 82 47 35 27
- Retail banking
124 32 92 123 20 CIB Total Revenue Cost 2002* 2000 EURm Target Realised Realised *Annualised and accumulated ** Asset Management and Investment Banking
61
Restructuring reserve
- 15
Utilised Q2/02
- 15
Utilised Q1/02 58 Remaining reserve end of June 2002
- 15
Utilised Q3/02 103 Remaining reserve Jan 2002 43 Originally, Postgirot
- 110
Q4/01
- 7
Q3/01
- 24
Q2/01
- 18
Utilised Q1/01 219 Remaining reserve Jan 2001 90 Originally, CBK
- 71
Utilised 2000 200 Originally, Unidanmark EURm
62
63
440 127 21 430 126 15
- 13
31
- 26
23
- 200
- 100
100 200 300 400 500 Retail CIB Asset Mgmt Life Treasury
Q2/02 Q3/02
Results by business area
EURm
64
65
Retail Banking operating profit
425 366 420 440 430
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 Q3/01 Q4/01 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 EURm Profitability at a high level,
return on equity 24%
Reductions in personnel and
cost/income ratio
Increased volumes Tender offer for remaining
shares in LG Petro Bank
66
Retail Banking operating profit by markets
86 96 67 63 67 62 51 48 58 56 59 57 C/I ratio % 7 2 22 22 14 8 35 41 23 24 25 24 RoE % 6 7 228 239 107 113 222 224 211 202 774 785 Net interest income 5 4 125 113 41 48 76 88 88 74 362 327 Non-interest income Q2 Q3 Q2 Q3 Q2 Q3 Q2 Q3 Q2 Q3 Q2 Q3 EURm 1 1
- 10
11 124
- 7
131
- 221
352 28
- 33
61
- 100
161 164 1 163
- 149
312 113
- 10
123
- 153
276 430
- 49
479
- 633
1,112 11 353 148 298 299 1,136 Total income
- 9
- 237
- 100
- 153
- 174
- 675
Total expenses 1 116 43 142 113 440 Operating profit
- 1
- 5
- 3
- 12
- 21
Loan losses 116 SE 2 48 145 125 461 Profit bef. loan loss P&B NO FI DK Retail
67
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden Q2/02 Q3/02
Retail Banking lending
- EURbn. End of period
68
5 10 15 20 25 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden Q2/02 Q3/02
Retail Banking deposits
- EURbn. End of period
69
Retail Banking deposits
6.1 6.2 5.3 8.3 6.4 6.1 3.2 5.9 2.3 9.0 1.1 4.3
5 10 15 20 25 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
Corporate Personal customer - saving accounts Personal customer - current accounts
EURbn End of September
70
Retail Banking, volumes and margins
1.8% 2.1% 1.3% 1.4% 1.6% 1.2% Q3/02 1.8% 2.1% 1.3% 1.5% 1.7% 1.2% Q2/02 Margins 36.3 37.2 Deposits from personal customers 100.8 102.1 Total lending 58.3 59.9 Total deposits 22.0 22.7 Deposits from corporates 49.7 51.2 Lending to personal customers 51.1 51.0 Lending to corporates Q2/02 Q3/02 EURbn Volumes
71
72
E-banking customers
Equity trading customers
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 Jan-00 May-00 Sept-00 Jan-01 May-01 Sept-01 Jan-02 May-02 Sept-02
E-banking customers
1 1,5 2 2,5 3 3,5 Jan-00 May-00 Sept-00 Jan-01 May-01 Sept-01 Jan-02 May-02 Sept-02 Thousands Mill.
73
Payments and log-ons
E-banking payments 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Q1/00 Q3/00 Q1/01 Q3/01 Q1/02 Q3/02 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
Mill.
E-banking log-ons 5 10 15 20 25 30 Q 1 / Q 3 / Q 1 / 1 Q 3 / 1 Q 1 / 2 Q 3 / 2 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
Mill.
74
Penetration on the net
Equity trading penetration rate
Executed trades
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Jan-00 April-00 July-00 Oct-00 Jan-01 April-01 July-01 Oct-01 Jan-02 Apr-02 July-02
Mutual funds penetration rate
5 10 15 20 25 Jan-01 Mar-01 May-01 July-01 Sept-01 Nov-01 Jan-02 Mar-02 May-02 July-02 Sep-02
% %
75
Cards
Debit and credit cards
0,0 0,5 1,0 1,5 2,0 2,5 3,0 3,5 4,0 Jan-01 May-01 Sept-01 Jan-02 May-02 Sept-02
Debit cards
Card payments
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Jan-01 May-01 Sept-01 Jan-02 May-02 Sept-02
Mill. Mill.
76
77
- 5
142 132 127 126
- 20
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Q3/01 Q4/01 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02
CIB operating profit
EURm
Operating profit stable Reasonable deal flow in weak
market
Credit portfolio continued to
perform satisfactorily
78
Stock market development
Source: Nordea securities
- 26.4
- 24.3
52.6 Sweden
- 22.0
- 21.2
Nordic average
- 25.5
- 14.4
10.6 Norway
- 14.2
- 17.7
39.0 Finland
- 21.9
- 23.3
12.8 Denmark Q3 2002, % Change Q3 vs Q2, % Q3 2002, EURbn Market index Market Volume
79
CIB operating profit by main area
- 8
1 5
- 14
- 42
28 Q3 Other 3 1 9
- 7
- 27
20 Q2 Q2 Q3 Q2 Q3 Q2 Q3 Q2 Q3 Q2 Q3 Q2 Q3 EURm 61
- 61
- 52
113
- 7
- 7
- 35
28 13 1 1
- 6
17
- 27
44 34
- 1
35
- 6
41 94
- 9
103
- 64
167 57 126 2 1
- 11
134
- 174
308 112 26 38 37 162 284 Total income
- 51
- 35
- 22
- 9
- 77
- 170
Total expenses 60 C/I ratio %
- 7
- 7
Transfer risk
- 3
- 2
Equity method 61
- 9
22 37 73 127 Operating profit
- 2
9
- 12
8 Loan losses
- 9
- Inv. Banking
61 16 28 85 114 Profit bef. loan loss Markets* Inter- national Shipping & Offshore Corporate Division CIB * Markets has product responsibility for trading products such as FX, fixed income and related derivatives and is evaluated by monitoring the
product result. The product result includes all income and expenses related to the respective products, which is allocated to the customer responsible unit within CIB.
80
CIB net loan losses
10
- 1
- 26
37
21 6 1 9
Q3/02
- 15
- 7
- 10
2
- 2
- 9
13
Q2/02 153 11 18 Total
- 11
- 17
2 Transfer risk 75
- 39
- General provision
89
41 6 9 33
Q3/01
21
- 2
Acquisition finance 67 16 Total
4
- 4
International division
9 6
Shipping division
33 16
Corporate division Q4/01 Q1/02
EURm
81
CIB lending volume
5 10 15 20 25 30 Corporate Division Shipping and
- ffshore
International Total Q2/02 Q3/02
- EURbn. End of period
82
83
Asset Management, product result
50 55 56 49 35
10 20 30 40 50 60 Q3/01 Q4/01 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02
EURm
AuM down by 7% in negative
market environment
Increased focus and cost
reduction in Investment Mgmt
84
Assets under management, volumes
20 40 60 80 100 120 Q3/01 Q4/01 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Investment management Private banking Investment funds Real estate within Life
EURbn End of September
85
Asset structure – Investment Management*
*Including mgmt of own investment funds
Nordic fixed income 43% Int'l. equities 27% Nordic equities 16% Int'l. fixed income 14%
June 2002 EUR 68bn
Nordic fixed income 53% Int'l. equities 21% Nordic equities 14% Int'l. fixed income 12%
September 2002 EUR 63bn
86
Asset structure – Investment Funds
Equity funds 47% Fixed income funds 39% Balanced funds 14%
June 2002 EUR 34.2bn
Fixed income funds 47% Equity funds 40% Balanced funds 13%
September 2002 EUR 30.4bn
87
Investment Funds volumes and margins
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 DK FI NO SE Q2/02 Q3/02 0,0 0,2 0,4 0,6 0,8 1,0 1,2 1,4 1,6 DK* FI NO SE Q2/02 Q3/02
Volumes, end of period Margins * Net margin % EURbn
88
European Fund distribution
200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 Q 3 / Q 4 / Q 1 / 1 Q 2 / 1 Q 3 / 1 Q 4 / 1 Q 1 / 2 Q 2 / 2 Q 3 / 2 Inflow AUM
Nordea ranked among top 5 European
cross-border fund managers by the Financial Times
1000 active distribution agreements Assets by country of source:
– 32% from Germany – 21% from Switzerland – 16% from Austria – 14% from Luxembourg – 6% from France – 3% from the UK
EURm
89
- 49
4
- 3
- 26
- 13
- 50
- 40
- 30
- 20
- 10
10 20 30 40 50 Q3/01 Q4/01 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02
EURm
Operating profit, Life Insurance
Reduction of risk exposure Equity holdings reduced to less
than 10%
Equity holdings in Swedish
- perations reduced to zero
Solvency robust in case of
further equity market declines
90
Life – operating profit
Investment earnings Total expenses Other expenses Personnel expenses Total income Income from insurance Commission income
- 29
- 30
- 16
- 13
- 13
- 17
33
- 7
- 12
37
- 2
- 4
- 5
4
- 49
Operating profit
- 13
- 13
Q3/02
- 26
23
- 26
Q2/02
- 3
- 7
- 3
Q1/02 Change of principles Operating profit, reported Q3 Previous Operating profit, reported Q3 EURm
91
Life - breakdown of operating profit
- 94
- 277
Chg in discount rate for life provisions
- 26
- 13
Total operating profit 2 1 Operating profit Unit Linked business 570 579 Allocation from financial buffers
- 545
- 435
Fluctutations compared to normalised investment return 51 126 Normalised operating margin
- 11
- 6
Allocation to policy-holders Q2/02 Q3/02 EURm
92
Life
4
- 228
211
- 94
- 277
Change in discount rate for life provisions 14
- 13
465 1 84
- 14
- 1
579
- 6
- 586
- 435
126
- 29
- 511
285 381 Q3/02 458 778 693 611 Premiums written, net of reinsurance 11 22 12 16 Of which allocated profit to Retail
- 49
4
- 3
- 26
Total operating profit TOTAL LIFE & PENSIONS 4
- 1
2 2 Operating profit 91 189 134 125 Premiums written, net of reinsurance UNIT LINKED BUSINESS
- 53
5
- 5
- 28
Operating profit TRADITIONAL LIFE 65
- 41
63 52 Normalised operating margin
- 1
- 5
- 11
- 11
Allocated to policyholders 655 12
- 110
570 Change in financial buffers
- 26
- 29
- 31
- 31
Insurance operating expenses
- 776
267
- 158
- 540
Short term fluctuations in investment return
- 707
- 2
116
- 582
Actual operating margin
- 555
279 367 Q3/01
- 889
288 589 Q4/01
- 704
239 559 Q1/02
- 5
Net profit from Health & Pers. Accident insurance
- 642
Benefits paid and change in provision 239 Normalised investment. return 486 Premiums written net Q2/02 EURm
93
Life
- 435
- 1
- 82
- 113
21
- 259
Fluctuation compared to normalised investment return
- 19
16 3
- 5
- 2
8 3 Other 1
- 8
164 8
- 8
- 1
538
- 545
- 312
26
- 10
- 248
128 156 Denmark 465 47 75 161 Premiums written, net of reinsurance 14
- 13
Of which allocated profit to Retail
- 12
1
- 19
15 Total operating profit TOTAL LIFE & PENSIONS 1 1 2 Operating profit 84 18 22 20 Premiums written, net of reinsurance UNIT LINKED BUSINESS
- 13
- 19
13 Operating profit TRADITIONAL LIFE 126 14 65 19 Normalised operating margin
- 6
- 6
Allocated to policyholders 579 32 30
- 21
Change in financial buffers
- 29
- 3
- 8
- 3
Insurance operating expenses
- 277
35 Change in financial buffers
- 586
- 32
- 48
40 Actual operating margin
- 1
- 511
285 381 Total
- 35
24 29 Sweden
- 57
76 53 Norway Net profit from Health & Pers. Accident insurance
- 168
Benefits paid and change in provision 49 Normalised investment. return 141 Premiums written net Finland EURm
94
Life - investments
5 10 15 20 25 Q3/01 Q4/01 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 15 Oct Equities Bonds Real estate Unit linked
Equity holdings reduced during latter
part of Q3
Further reduced in Q4 Equities
– Predominantly listed equities – 50/50 Nordic/international
Bonds
– ¾ Nordic issuers – Primarily govmn’t & mortgage inst.
Total portfolio
– Some bias to Danish securities
- EURbn. End of period
21.2
95
2.2 32 Sweden 2.9 508 Total 0.2 5 Norway 3.4 136 Finland 3.7 335 Denmark % of guaranteed liabilities EURm
Life - financial buffers*
End of September 2002
* Financial buffers are defined in accordance with local regulations and practices.
96
Life - solvency situation
End of September 2002 134 20 81 61 Sweden* 234 249 434 186 Finland 124 20 103 85 Denmark 157 73 202 129 Norway* Solvency in % of requirement Solvency buffer Actual solvency Required solvency
EURm
*Excluding unit linked companies
97
General Insurance – operating profit
- 7
- 29
Investment earnings
- 101
- 115
Total expenses
- 63
- 74
Personnel expenses
- 38
- 41
Other expenses 77 97 Total income
- 40
Loss sale of General Insurance 77 97 Income from insurance
- 31
- 87
- 4
Operating profit
- 4
Q3/02
- 87
Q2/02
- 31
Q1/02 Previous Operating profit, General Insurance EURm End of period
98
99
Group Treasury operating profit
Volatile financial markets Positive active risk taking 21 38 35 21 31 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Q3/01 Q4/01 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02
EURm
100
Group Treasury
Group Treasury is managing the Group’s own direct investments in the
financial markets and the market and liquidity risk in the banking book
The activities divided in three areas:
–Active risk taking –Benchmark –Other equities
101
Group Tresury operating profit by main areas
Q2/02 Q3/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Q2/02 Q3/02
EURm Group Funding Investment & Risk Trading
Equity portfolios Fixed income portfolios
Total
21 31
Operating profit
- 32
- 47
28 61
- 4
14
Investment earnings
25 25
- 25
17
Profit excl. Investment earnings
- 7
- 9
- 1
- 1
- 3
- 3
- Expenses
32 26
- 31
- 46
31 64
- Income
102
Group Treasury investment portfolio
5 10 15 20 Q3/01 Q4/01 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Fixed income Equities Equities
– Listed, unlisted & private equity
funds
Bonds
– ¾ Nordic issuers – Primarily govmn´t & mortgage inst.
- EURbn. End of period
14.6
103
104
Balance sheet - key items
137 252 12 91 147 Sept 02 136 242 12 83 138 Dec 01 1 Risk-weighted assets 4 Total assets Shareholders’ equity 10 Deposits 7 Lending Change,% EURbn, end of period
105
138 33 24 24 16 7 147 30 21 22 26 6 30 60 90 120 150 Lending Interest bearing securities Loans and advances to credit inst. Assets, insurance Other assets, banking Other 31-12-2001 30-09-2002
Balance sheet structure - assets
- EURbn. End of period
106
Real estate holdings
2.1 0.6 0.3 0.2 Non owner occupied properties 3.6 1.8 0.3 1.3 Q3/02 4.1 2.0 0.3 1.5 2001 4.0 1.6 0.4 1.4 2000 5.5 Total 1.6 Investments of the insurance companies 0.4 Shares in real estate holding companies 1.4 Owner occupied properties 1999 Book value, end of period, EURbn
107 83 61 30 22 22 12 11 91 65 31 26 19 12 8
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Deposits Debt securities in issue Deposits by credit inst. Other liabilities, banking Liabilities, insurance Shareholder´s equity Other
31-12-2001 30-09-2002
Balance sheet structure – liabilities and equity
- EURbn. End of period
108 Lending
134 138 142 143 147 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Q3/01 Q4/01 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02
Lending and deposits
Deposits
81 83 86 90 91 20 40 60 80 100 Q3/01 Q4/01 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02
- EURbn. End of period
- EURbn. End of period
109
Capital base
12,367
- 291
- 1,821
4,953 9,526
- 56
- 2,055
18 390 11,229
- 111
- 205
11,545 End of Sept 2002 Deductions for other investments Group goodwill Other deductions TIER 1 CAPITAL TIER 2 CAPITAL (subordinated debt) Deductions for investments in insurance companies Deductions insurance companies and other Hybrid capital Minority interests Shareholder´s equity in the capital base CAPITAL BASE Profit Q3 Shareholder´s equity EURm
110
111 Personal customers 38% Public sector 2% Companies 60%
Loan portfolio by customer group
End of September 2002
EUR 147bn
112
Housing loans 75% Other loans 25%
Lending to personal customers
End of September 2002
EUR 56bn
Other loans comprise:
Consumer credits Investment credits Car financing Overdraft facilities Credit cards
113
Real estate 26% Transport, communication 4% Commerce and services 10% Manufacturing 17% Finance 10% Renting, consulting and
- ther services
10% Other companies 10% Shipping &
- ffshore
4% Agriculture & fishing 5% Construction 4%
Lending to companies by industry
End of September 2002
EUR 88 bn
114 147 5 4 11 9 9 15 9 3 3 23 56 Q3/02 142 5 4 12 9 7 16 8 4 3 22 52 Q1/02 138 6 3 10 9 7 16 9 4 3 20 51 Q4/01 134 143 Total 6 5 Shipping 3 4 Agriculture & Fishing 9 10 Other companies/public sector 8 8 Business service 7 8 Finance 16 15 Manufacturing 8 9 Commerce and services 4 4 Transport, communication 3 3 Construction 19 22 Real estate 50 55 Personal customers Q3/01 Q2/02 EUR bn
Loan portfolio
End of period
115
Asia 0.7% Other OECD 0.5% Other 9.6% The Baltic states and Poland 0.3% Other EU countries 4.9% Latin America 0.7% USA 1.6% Non-OECD 0.9% Nordic countries 90.4%
Lending by geographical area
End of June 2002*
EUR 143bn
Nordic countries, EURbn Denmark 34 Finland 29 Norway 24 Sweden 43
* Only updated every half year
116
Transfer risk exposure, EURm
End of September 2002 72 Turkey 104 Iran
- of which
3 Argentina
373 Middle East
43 106 342
848
- of which
Latin America
Panama Chile Mexico Brazil 26 Indonesia South Korea China 40 56 215
- of which
374 Asia
117
Nordea telecom financing portfolio
Divided by operators and manufacturers
End of September 2002
Operators 65% Manu- facturers 35%
Total outstanding EUR 3.9bn Majority of exposure related to
– major Nordic equipment manufacturers – major Nordic telecom operators
Total exposure approx EUR 6.5 bn
118
Nordea shipping portfolio
Distribution by type of vessel
End of June 2002*
Crude tankers 15% Misc.loans 18% Product tankers 11% Ferries 11% Bulkers 11% Liners 7% Cruise 6% Gas tankers 7% Chemical tankers 5% Reefers 5% Combined vessels 1% Other dry cargo 4% Pure car carries 3%
Outstanding, EUR 5.1bn Well diversified portfolio by
type of vessel
Focus on large industrial
players
Exposure split approx 55% /
45% Nordic / Int’l. Total exposure approx EUR 6.0bn
* Only updated every half year
119
0.6 73 138 846
- 377
- 79
- 1,834
- 2,290
3,136
Sept 02
0.6 72 138 875
- 390
- 79
- 1,836
- 2,305
3,180
June 02
.. 155 159 Transfer risk reserve Of which: ..
- 364
- 370
General provisions
- 92
- 82
Appraised by category ..
- 1,803
- 1,839
Specific provisions
- 2,267
- 2,259
- 2,291
Provisions 0.6 73 855* 3,114
Dec 01
0.6 73 853 3,120
Sept 01
73 Provisions/impaired loans, gross (%) 0.6 Impaired loans,net/lending (%) 841 Impaired loans, net 3,132 Impaired loans, gross
March 02
EURm End of period
Impaired loans
*According to FSA rules loans with interest deferments are classified as impaired. The figures for Dec 2001 are restated compared to the year-end report 2001 inlcuding EUR 28m of such loans (previously reported as problem loans).
120
Other companies 22% Construction 2% Agriculture and fishing 3% Manufacturing 11% Transport 2% Trade & services 10% Financial operations 3% Shipping 4% Households customers 25% Real estate management 13% Renting, consulting and other company servicies 5%
Impaired loans, net
End of September 2002
EUR 846m
121
Loan losses Q3
361 321 168 184 181
- 148
- 264
- 105
- 128
- 115
213 56 63 56 66
- 300
- 200
- 100
100 200 300 400 Q3/01 Q4/01 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Gross Reversals Net
EURm 0.18% of total loans annualised General provision reduced by
EUR 16m
Largest provision within fish
farming
Unchanged country risk reserve
122
Comments on certain industries
Real estate
Vacancy increasing from very low levels Rent levels down from peak but still much higher than original levels 3-5
years ago
Low interest rates help secure cash flow and secondary market values New construction volumes adjusting to decreased demand
123
Comments on certain industries
Telecom
Operators’ profitability declining due to increased competition and burden
- f non-productive assets
Handsets keeping up fairly well as new applications introduced Delayed investments in 3G affect equipment suppliers and subcontractors Consolidation in the industry continues
124
Comments on certain industries
Aircraft Finance
Stabilising after last years shock effect Capacity heavily reduced, improved utilisation rates US and cross-atlantic operators still suffering Nordic operators show ability to adjust to new market conditions The industry would be badly hit by a prolonged war in Iraq
125
Comments on certain industries
Shipping
Slower economic growth generally affects the industry negatively Container ships worst hit, but also tanker rates considerable down Industrial shipping doing reasonably well Cruising picking up after last autumn Nordea´s exposure well diversified with modern ships and globally
competitive companies
Restructuring needed for many operators to adjust repayments to
decreased cash flows
126
Comments on certain industries
Other industries
Automobile industry and particularly subcontractors under pressure All media companies suffer from reduced advertising income Capital goods sector under intense competitive pressure as volumes drop Nordic traditional industries (forestry, pulp & paper, agro, metal, oil and
pharmaceuticals) performing satisfactorily
Fish farming recovering with increasing salmon prices
127
128
Economic capital
6 different risk categories are incorporated The measurement period is one year The confidence level is 99.97% The economic capital may change over time due to:
– the composition of risk exposures – changes in parameters
Economic capital is used for
– risk management – performance measurement – capital allocation
129
Economic capital per business area
End of September 2002
CIB 24% Other 7% Treasury 5% Asset Mgmt & Life 11% Retail 53%
EUR 9.9bn
Reduced overall risk Economic capital reduced by EUR
1.1bn in 2002
General Insurance sold
130
Distribution of economic capital - by risk category
End of September 2002
Credit 61% Real Estate 8% Market 12% Insurance 1% Operational 9% Business risk 9%
131
Appendix
Market shares
Page 132
Financials
Page 147
Nordea share
Page 157
Other
Page 164
Macro statistics
Page 169
132
Appendix
Market shares
*Statistics from Sweden delayed due to technical problems
in the Swedish central bank (updated as of June)
133
Market shares, personal customer deposits
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
Feb 02 June-Aug 02
%
134
Personal customer deposits - market volume & share
10 20 30 40 50 n
- v
- f
e b
- 1
m a j
- 1
a u g
- 1
n
- v
- 1
f e b
- 2
2
- m
a y a u g
- 2
30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40%
100 200 300 400
- J
u n
- S
e p
- D
e c 1
- m
a r 1
- j
u n e 1
- s
e p 1
- d
e c 2
- m
a r 2
- j
u n 18% 20% 22% 24% 26% 28%
100 200 300 400 500 nov-00 feb-01 maj-01 aug-01 nov-01 feb-02 may-02 15% 17% 19% 21% 23% 25% EURbn
Finland
DKKbn
Denmark
SEKbn
Sweden
NOKbn
Norway
Market volume Market share 100 200 300 400 n
- v
- 9
9 f e b
- m
a j
- a
u g
- n
- v
- f
e b
- 1
m a j
- 1
a u g
- 1
n
- v
- 1
f e b
- 2
2
- m
a y a u g
- 2
5% 7% 9% 11% 13% 15%
135
Market shares, corporate deposits
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden Feb 02 June-Aug 02
%
136
Corporate deposits - market volume & share
5 10 15 20 nov-99 feb-00 maj-00 aug-00 nov-00 feb-01 maj-01 aug-01 nov-01 feb-02 02-may aug-02 40% 43% 46% 49% 52% 55% 100 200 300 jun-00 sep-00 dec-00 mar-01 jun-01 sep-01 dec-01 mar-02 jun-02 14% 16% 18% 20% 22% 24% 26% 28% 100 200 300 400 nov-99 feb-00 maj-00 aug-00 nov-00 feb-01 maj-01 aug-01 nov-01 feb-02 maj-02 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 22% 24% 26% 100 200 300 nov-99 feb-00 maj-00 aug-00 nov-00 feb-01 maj-01 aug-01 nov-01 feb-02 02-may aug-02 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20%
EURbn
Finland
DKKbn
Denmark
SEKbn
Sweden
NOKbn
Norway
Market volume Market share
137
Market shares, personal customer lending
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
Feb-02 June-Aug 02
%
138
Personal customer lending - market volume & share
10 20 30 40 nov-99 feb-00 maj-00 aug-00 nov-00 feb-01 maj-01 aug-01 nov-01 feb-02 02-may aug-02 27% 29% 31% 33% 35% 37% 250 500 750 1000 a u g
- 9
9 n
- v
- 9
9 f e b
- m
a j
- a
u g
- n
- v
- f
e b
- 1
m a j
- 1
a u g
- 1
n
- v
- 1
f e b
- 2
10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 100 200 300 400 500 600 nov-99 feb-00 maj-00 aug-00 nov-00 feb-01 maj-01 aug-01 nov-01 feb-02 02-may aug-02 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11%
EURbn
Finland
DKKbn
Denmark
SEKbn
Sweden
NOKbn
Norway
Market volume Market share
50 100 150 200 250 jun-00 sep-00 dec-00 mar-01 jun-01 sep-01 dec-01 mar-02 jun-02 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 22%
139
Market shares, corporate lending
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
Feb 02 June-Aug 02
%
140
Corporate lending - market volume & share
10 20 30 nov-99 feb-00 maj-00 aug-00 nov-00 feb-01 maj-01 aug-01 nov-01 feb-02 02-may aug-02 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 250 500 750 1 000 1 250 1 500 1 750 n
- v
- 9
9 f e b
- m
a j
- a
u g
- n
- v
- f
e b
- 1
m a j
- 1
a u g
- 1
n
- v
- 1
f e b
- 2
m a j
- 2
10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 100 200 300 400 500 nov-99 feb-00 maj-00 aug-00 nov-00 feb-01 maj-01 aug-02 nov-02 feb-02 02-may aug-02 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20%
EURbn
Finland
DKKbn
Denmark
SEKbn
Sweden
NOKbn
Norway
Market volume Market share
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 jun-00 sep-00 dec-00 mar-01 jun-01 sep-01 dec-01 mar-02 jun-02 22% 24% 26% 28% 30% 32%
141
Investment funds - market volume & share
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 dec-98 sep-99 jun-00 mar-01 dec-01 sep-02 20% 22% 24% 26% 28% 30% 32% 34% 200 400 600 800 1000 d e c
- 9
8 s e p
- 9
9 j u n
- m
a r
- 1
d e c
- 1
14% 16% 18% 20% 22% 24% 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 dec-98 sep-99 jun-00 mar-01 dec-01 mar-02 aug-02 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14%
EURbn
Finland
DKKbn
Denmark
SEKbn
Sweden
NOKbn
Norway
Market volume Nordea market share
50 100 150 200 250 300 dec-98 sep-99 jun-00 mar-01 dec-01 jul-02 20% 22% 24% 26% 28% 30% 32%
142
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 dec-98 mar-99 jun-99 sep-99 dec-99 mar-00 jun-00 sep-00 dec-00 mar-01 jun-01 sep-01 dec-01 mar-02 jun-02 15% 17% 19% 21% 23% 25%
Market volume Market share, Nordea
Investment funds, Nordic region
Market volume and Nordea's market share
143
Investment funds, net inflow, Norway
Market volume, Nordea volume, and accumulated market share ytd
- 3 000
- 2 000
- 1 000
1 000 2 000 3 000 aug-00
- kt-00
dec-00 feb-01 apr-01 jun-01 aug-01
- kt-01
dec-01 feb-02 apr-02 jun-02 aug-02
- 50
- 40
- 30
- 20
- 10
10 20 30 40 50
Market net inflow Nordea net inflow Nordea %
% NOKm
144
Investment funds, net inflow, Finland
Market volume, Nordea volume, and accumulated market share ytd
- 400
- 200
200 400 600 800 1000 sep-00
- kt-00
nov-00 dec-00 jan-01 feb-01 mar-01 apr-01 maj-01 jun-01 jul-01 aug-01 sep-01
- kt-01
nov-01 dec-01 jan-02 feb-02 mar-02 apr-02 02-may jun-02 jul-02 aug-02 sep-02
- 16
- 8
8 16 24 32 40
Market net inflow Nordea net inflow Nordea %
% EURm
145
Investment funds, net inflow, Sweden
Market volume, Nordea volume, and accumulated market share ytd
- 2 000
2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 12 000 14 000 sep-00 nov-00 jan-01 mar-01 maj-01 jul-01 sep-01 nov-01 jan-02 mar-02 maj-02 jul-02 sep-02
- 4
4 8 12 16 20 24 28
Market net inflow Nordea net inflow Nordea %
% SEKm
18bn 29bn 18bn
146
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Copenhagen Helsinki Oslo Stockholm 2001 Jan-Sept 2002 %
Market share, equity dealing - Nordea Securities
54.6 11.3 39.0 12.8
Q3/02
72.1 13.2 47.4 16.9
Q2/02
116 Sweden 20 Norway 51 Finland 23 Denmark
Q2/01 EURbn Equity market turnover
147
Appendix
Financials
148
Expenses - breakdown
925
- 5
930 146 79 50 21 111 523 Q3/02 922
- 7
929 139 74 52 36 113 515 Q2/02 94 107 103 Information technology 2) 133 152 152 Other 833 912 915 Expenses
- 12
- 11
- 10
- f which investment activities
905 71 60 23 506 Q1/02 901 81 54 34 484 Q4/01 821 Expenses 72 Rents, premises and real estate expenses 45 Postage, telephone and office expenses 20 Marketing 469 Personnel 1) Q3/01 EURm
1) Profit related personnel expenses including profit-sharing systems were EUR 20m in Q3/2002 (Q2 2002: EUR 18m). 2) Refers to computer operations, service expenses and consulting fees. Total IT-related costs in Q3 2002, including personnel etc were EUR 202 (Q2 2002: EUR 220m).
149
63 64
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Q2/02 Q3/02
Key figures
C/I ratio, banking %
59 65
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Jan-Sep 01 Jan-Sep 02 C/I ratio, banking, excl. inv. earnings %
150
Total IT-related expenses*
200 210 205 220 202
50 100 150 200 250 Q3/01 Q4/01 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02
EURm
*Computer operations, service expenses, consultants and personnel
151
- 4
28 11 31 39 Investment earnings, banking
- 49
4
- 34
- 26
- 13
Operating profit, Life Insurance 399
- 42
- 4
419 4
- 66
481
- 925
- 404
- 521
1,406 34 127 371 874 Q3/02 315
- 44
- 87
464 17
- 56
503
- 922
- 408
- 514
1,425 37 137 396 855 Q2/02 364
- 42
- 31
429 15
- 63
477
- 905
- 399
- 506
1,382 29 136 380 837 Q1/02 228
- 35
- 24
340 29
- 213
524
- 821
- 354
- 467
1,345 36 131 322 852 Q4/01 856 Q3/01 37 Other 474 Profit before inv. earnings and insurance 35 Equity method
- 56
Loan losses 495 Profit before loan losses 468 Operating profit
- 39
Goodwill depreciation 1 Operating profit, General Insurance
- 901
Expenses
- 419
Other expenses
- 482
Personnel expenses 1,396 Income 128 Trading 379 Commission income Net interest income EURm
Operational income statement
152
Statutory income statement
- 2,598
- 2,865
Total expenses
Minority interest
1,441 1,112 Total operating profit
19
- 283
Pension adjustments
- 415
- 265
Taxes
- 315
- 172
Loan losses, net
- 2
- 13
Change in value of property taken over for protection of claims 60 36 Profit from companies accounted for under the equity method 1,505 1,299
Operating profit, banking
- 64
- 187
Operating profit, insurance 564
1,448
- 240
1,082 1,534 4,304 129 177 1,170 33 2,796
- 4,985
7,781 Jan-Sept 2002 1,762
Profit before Loan losses
4,360
Total income
General administrative expenses 1,419 Personnel expenses
- 982
Other expenses
- 197
Depreciation according to plan 2,776 Net interest income 258 Net result from financial operations 213 Other income 45 Dividends received 1,068 Net commission income
1,045 Net profit
- 5,902
Interest expenses 8,678 Interest income Jan-Sept 2001 EURm
Reconciliation of operational and statutory accounts
15) 106 15) 22
- 128
Goodwill depreciation 11) 122
- 122
Operating profit, general insurance 11) 42
- 42
Operating profit, life insurance 1,112 11 1,101 Operating profit
- 265
- 265
Taxes 564
- 283
- 186
1,298 36
- 13
- 172
1,447
- 2,856
- 240
- 1,082
- 1,534
4,303 127 177 1,170 33 2,796 Statutory Jan-Sept 2002
- 11
- 95
- 13
13
- 95
- 95
- 240
134 11 Other adjustment
- 186
Insurance
- 81
81 81
- 9
- 5
- 4
90 14
- 24
33 67 Investment activities 13 201
- 400
23 163 Trading income 564
- 272
81 1,312 36
- 185
1,461
- 2,752
- 1,211
- 1,541
4,213 100 400 1,147 2,566 Operational Jan-Sept 2002 4) 3) 5) 2) 1) 10) 10) 8) 7) 9) 6) 13) 16) 16) 14).15) 14) 13) Total expenses Operating profit, insurance Allocation to Pension Foundation Minority interests Net profit Loan losses, net Change in value property taken over Profit from companies – equity method Profit excluding investment earnings Investment earnings, banking 5) Profit before Loan losses Total income Personnel expenses Other expenses Depreciation according to plan Net commission income Net result from financial operations Other income Trading Dividends received Net interest income EURm
153
154
Reconciliation of operational and statutory acounts
1. Net interest income from trading transactions in Nordea Markets (for example interest related to swaps etc.), reclassified as trading income in the operational accounts. Mainly customer trading. 2. Commission income in Nordea Markets, reclassified as Trading income in the operational accounts. 3. Net result from financial operations from trading transactions in Nordea Markets (foreign exchange and derivatives trading) reclassified to trading income in the operational accounts. Mainly customer trading. 4. Other income in Nordea Markets, reclassified to trading income in the
- perational accounts.
5. Trading income in the operational accounts, equals income in Nordea Markets (incl. income allocated to Business Areas), reclassified from the statutory accounts as described in 1) through 4) above. 6. Net interest income from Treasury’s portfolio of certificates and bonds, reclassified as investment earnings, banking in the operational accounts. 7. Securities gains/losses on Treasury’s investment portfolios (certificates, bonds and equities), reclassified from Net result form financial operations in the statutory accounts, to investment earnings, banking in the
- perational accounts.
8. Real estate gains/losses. Reclassified from Other income in the statutory accounts to Investment earnings, banking in the operational accounts. 9. Dividends received on equities (non-insurance portfolio), reclassified as Investment earnings in the operational accounts. 10. Costs related to investment activities, reclassified from relevant category
- f cost in the statutory accounts, to being reported on a net basis as part
- f investment earnings, banking in the operational accounts.
11. Operating profit for insurance, in separate lines for general and life in the
- perational accounts.
- 12. Depreciation of goodwill related to insurance included in one-line
consolidation of insurance activities (Operating profit, insurance) in the statutory accounts, reclassified to Depreciation of goodwill in the
- perational accounts.
13. Pension adjustments accounted for according to Swedish regulations in the statutory accounts. Reclassified to Personnel expenses in the Operational accounts. 14. Depreciation according to plan, including goodwill within banking is separate line in the statutory accounts. Depreciation excluding goodwill is reclassified as Other expenses in the operational accounts. 15. Depreciation of goodwill, see footnote 14) (Banking) and 12) (Insurance), shown as part of Depreciation according to plan in the statutory accounts, as opposed to separate line item in the operational accounts. 16. Change in value of property taken over in the statutory accounts, reclassified as Loan losses, net, in the operational accounts. 17. The difference between statutory accounts and operational accounts at the Total operating profit level is related to Pension adjustments (Sweden),
- nly. There is no difference between the two at the Net profit level.
155
Bank ratings
Individ. Long Short Long Short Long Short BFSR A1 P-1 Norgeskreditt Aa1 Nordea Kredit A-1 Aa3 P-1 Nordea Hypotek B AA- F1+ A+ A-1 Aa3 P-1 B- Nordea Bank N B AA- F1+ A+ A-1 Aa3 P-1 B Nordea Bank D B AA- F1+ A+ A-1 Aa3 P-1 B Nordea Bank S B AA- F1+ A+ A-1 Aa3 P-1 B Nordea Bank F Fitch S&P Moody’s
156
Insurance ratings
A- (excellent)** BBB* Tryg-Baltica Forsikring, internationalt Forsikringsselskab A/S A3 Tryg Forsikring A/S A- (excellent)** BBB* Tryg-Baltica International (UK) Ltd BBB+* Dansk Kautionsforsikrings-Aktieselskab A.M.Best S&P Moody’s
* On CreditWatch with developing implications ** On CreditWatch with negative implications
157
Appendix
Nordea share
158
60 80 100 120 140 160 180 Nordea DJ Stoxx European Banks
Nordea share price vs DJ Stoxx European banks
6 March 2000* - 10 October 2002
* Date of announcement of MNB/Unidanmark merger June-02 June-00 June-01
159
500 1000 1500 2000 2500 Jan Feb March April May June July Aug Sept Danske Bank SEB FSPA Handelsbanken Nordea
Nordic bank shares, liquidity 2002
EURm
160
Shareholder structure, September 2002
18.6% 9.1% 8.0% 6.1% 4.0% 21.8% 2.5% 29.9% International investors Swedish institutions Swedish government Danish institutions Finnish institutions Finnish public Danish public Swedish public
Number of shareholders approx 510,000
161
Largest registered shareholders
September 2002
0.36 % 10,000,001 Öms Livförsäkringsbolaget Suomi 47.3% 1,382,196,986 Total for the 20 largest shareholders 3.51 % 102,529,423 Nordea Danmark fonden 3.17 % 92,609,801 Tryg i Danmark smba 18.55 % 542,015,102 Swedish state 3.89 % 113,635,626 Alecta 3.14 % 91,890,155 Robur fonder 1.91 % 55,723,714 Nordea fonder 1.73 % 50,581,966 SHB/SPP fonder 1.72 % 50,186,590 Fjärde AP-fonden 1.46 % 42,712,867 SEB fonder 1.20 % 35,165,853 Skandia 0.36 % 10,474,666 Solidium Oy (Finnish state) 0.40 % 12,813,229 Länsförsäkringar fonder 0.47 % 13,897,343 T Rowe Price Funds 0.54 % 15,849,033 Länsförsäkringar 0.62 % 18,104,300 Nordea Bank Sverige vinstandelsstiftelse 0.89 % 26,000,000 AMF Pension 1.08 % 31,533,953 Tredje AP-fonden 1.08 % 31,570,287 Andra AP-fonden 1.19 % 34,903,077 Första AP-fonden Percent Number of shares Shareholder
162
Number of shares
2,928,063,177 40,008,000 Buyback Market Aug-Sept 2002 2,968,071,177 2,405,087 Conversions** New issue June, 2002 2,928,108,227 45,050 Conversions** New issue Sept, 2002 2,965,666,090 17,000,000 Buyback Market April, 2001 2,928,105,073 3,154 Other holdings of own shares 2,982,666,090 3,473,373 Conversions* New issue 2000-2001 2,979,192,717 18,348,501 Unidanmark New issue June, 2000 2,960,844,216 869,776,488 Unidanmark New issue April, 2000 2,091,067,728 815,800,287 Merita New issue Jan, 2000 Outstanding shares Number of shares issued Subject Type of transaction Date *Convertible bond conversions Aug 29, 2000 – Dec 31, 2001 ** Convertible bond conversions 2002 Fully diluted average number of shares Jan-Sept 2002 2,983,028,168
163
52 50 71.5 55.5 36.8 Share price, end of period, SEK
- 0.07
3.92
- Q3/02
1) Pro forma incl. Unidanmark
14.0 0.58 3.74
SEK
2.00 2000 11.0 10.6 11.3 P/E ratio 0.53 0.55 0.53 Earnings per share, EUR 2.68 3.43 4.00 Shareholders equity per share, EUR
SEK 1.64 SEK
1.75
EUR
0.23 Dividend 1998 19991) 2001
Data per share
164
Appendix
Other
165
Provisioning policy
Corporate customers classified according to internal rating Quarterly review of loan portfolio Provisions and action plans reviewed for risk classified customers New legislation in Sweden introducing general provisions Nordea´s general provisions are unchanged
166
Business structure, October 1, 2002
Corporate Long Term Savings & Life Household Planning and Control Investment Management Investment Funds Long Term Savings & Life Nordic Private Banking Group IT Electronic Banking* Global Operations Services* Group Credit and Risk Control Carl-Johan Granvik Group Treasury Group Planning and Control Group Legal Group CEO Lars G Nordström Corporate Banking Shipping and International Banking Investment Banking, Nordea Securities Markets Group Support and Procurement Group Human Resources Group Identity and Communications Group Management Secretariat Production and Productivity Market Support Product Companies Group Finance Investor Relations Group Corporate Development Group Compliance European Private Banking Life & Pensions Board of Directors Internal Audit Activity Regional Banks Denmark Regional Banks Finland Regional Banks Norway Regional Banks Sweden Regional Banks Baltic Sea region
*) Customer relations parts of these units will be transferred to business areas.
Retail Banking Kari Jordan Asset Management & Life Christian Clausen Group Processing and Technology Markku Pohjola Group Corporate Centre Arne Liljedahl Group Staffs Peter Schütze Corporate and Institutional Banking Tom Ruud
167
Tryg A/S* Denmark
Legal structure
Nordea AB (Publ) Sweden Nordea Securities AB Sweden Nordea INS Holding A/S Denmark Nordea Asset Management AB Sweden Nordea Bank Finland Plc Finland
Nordea Liv AS Norway Nordea Pension Danmark, Livsfor- sikringsselskab A/S Denmark
Various subsidiaries Various subsidiaries
Various subsidiaries Various subsidiaries Tryg Forsikring A/S* Denmark Nordea Life Assurance II Sweden AB (publ) Sweden Various subsidiaries Vesta Liv Holding AS Norway Various subsidiaries Various subsidiaries
Nordea Bank Sweden AB (publ) Sweden Nordea Bank Norge ASA Norway Nordea Bank Danmark A/S Denmark
*Currently subject to sale as announced on 19 June 2002
Nordea Life Holding AB
Nordea Life Assurance Finland Nordea Life Assurance I Sweden AB (publ) Sweden Vesta Forsikring AS* Norway Various subsidiaries
168
Group Executive Management, October 1, 2002
Lars G Nordström Group CEO Christian Clausen Head of Asset Management & Life Carl-Johan Granvik Head of Group Credit and Risk Control Kari Jordan Head of Retail Banking Arne Liljedahl Head of Group Corporate Centre, Group CFO Markku Pohjola Head of Group Processing and Technology, Deputy Group CEO Tom Ruud Head of Corporate and Institutional Banking Peter Schütze Head of Group Staffs
169
Appendix
Macro statistics and estimates
Source: Nordea Economic Research Estimates from August 2002
170
Macro data
% 2001 2002e 2003e Gross domestic product DK 1.0 1.3 1.9 FI 0.7 1.5 3.5 NO 1.2 1.8 1.8 SE 1.2 1.9 2.6 Inflation DK 2.4 2.4 2.3 FI 2.7 2.2 1.8 NO 3.0 1.3 2.3 SE 2.6 2.3 2.1 Private consumption DK 0.8 2.3 2.3 FI 1.1 2.8 3.5 NO 2.5 3.3 2.2 SE 0.2 2.6 2.3 Unemployment DK 5.1 5.0 5.0 FI 9.1 9.2 9.0 NO 3.6 3.8 4.2 SE 4.0 4.0 3.7
171
Market development - GDP
2.6 1.8 3.5 1.9 2003e 1.9 1.2 Sweden 1.8 1.2 Norway 1.5 0.7 Finland 1.3 1.0 Denmark 2001 %
Source: Nordea Economic Research, August 2002
2002e 2000 3.6 2.3 0.6 3.0
172
Gross domestic product
- 8
- 6
- 4
- 2
2 4 6 8 Q1/90 Q1/91 Q1/92 Q1/93 Q1/94 Q1/95 Q1/96 Q1/97 Q1/98 Q1/99 Q1/00 Q1/01 Q1/02 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
Change in % YoY
173
Inflation
- 2
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
%
174
Private consumption
- 8
- 6
- 4
- 2
2 4 6 8 10 Q1/90 Q1/91 Q1/92 Q1/93 Q1/94 Q1/95 Q1/96 Q1/97 Q1/98 Q1/99 Q1/00 Q1/01 Q1/02 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden Change in % YoY
175
Household savings ratio
2 4 6 8 10 12 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
%
176
Unemployment
5 10 15 20 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
% of labour force
177
Credit growth total lending to non-bank sector
- 10
- 5
5 10 15 96 March 96 Sept 97 March 97 Sept 98 March 98 Sept 99 March 99 Sept 00 March 00 Sept 01 March 01-sep 02-mar Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
Change in % YoY
178
Bankruptcies
200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 Q1/94 Q1/95 Q1/96 Q1/97 Q1/98 Q1/99 Q1/00 Q1/01 Q1/02 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden
Number of bankruptcies per month
179
Exchange rate, USD/Euro
0,8 0,85 0,9 0,95 1 1,05 1,1 1,15 1,2 1-1 -98 1-4 -98 1-7 -98 1-10 -98 1-1 -99 1-4 -99 1-7 -99 1-10 -99 1-1 -00 1-4 -00 1-7 -00 1-10 -00 1-1 -01 1-4 -01 1-7 -01 1-10 -01 1-1 -02 1-4 -02 1-7 -02 1-10 -02
USD
180
Exchange rate, Euro/SEK
8 8,4 8,8 9,2 9,6 10 1-1 -98 1-4 -98 1-7 -98 1-10 -98 1-1 -99 1-4 -99 1-7 -99 1-10 -99 1-1 -00 1-4 -00 1-7 -00 1-10 -00 1-1 -01 1-4 -01 1-7 -01 1-10 -01 1-1 -02 1-4 -02 1-7 -02 1-10 -02
SEK
181
Exchange rate, Euro/NOK
7 7,5 8 8,5 9 9,5 10 1-1 -98 1-4 -98 1-7 -98 1-10 -98 1-1 -99 1-4 -99 1-7 -99 1-10 -99 1-1 -00 1-4 -00 1-7 -00 1-10 -00 1-1 -01 1-4 -01 1-7 -01 1-10 -01 1-1 -02 1-4 -02 1-7 -02 1-10 -02
NOK
182
Oilprice development, Brent, USD/Barrel
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 1-1 -90 1-1 -91 1-1 -92 1-1 -93 1-1 -94 1-1 -95 1-1 -96 1-1 -97 1-1 -98 1-1 -99 1-1 -00 1-1 -01 1-1 -02
Dollar
183
Stock exchange indices
200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 31-1 -97 31-5 -97 30-9 -97 31-1 -98 31-5 -98 30-9 -98 31-1 -99 31-5 -99 30-9 -99 31-1 -00 31-5 -00 30-9 -00 31-1 -01 31-5 -01 30-9 -01 31-1 -02 31-5 -02 30-9 -02 HEX Index Affärsvärldens General Index Oslo Total Index KFX Index
Index 100 = 1990
184
Money market, 3 months rates
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1
- 1
- 9
8 1
- 5
- 9
8 1
- 9
- 9
8 1
- 1
- 9
9 1
- 5
- 9
9 1
- 9
- 9
9 1
- 1
- 1
- 5
- 1
- 9
- 1
- 1
- 1
1
- 5
- 1
1
- 9
- 1
1
- 1
- 2
1
- 5
- 2
1
- 9
- 2