COLORADO 2020 DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY SURVEY February 24 th - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

COLORADO 2020 DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY SURVEY

February 24th – 25th, 2020

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Methodology

Ø Magellan Strategies is pleased to present the results of a

500n live survey of likely 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary voters in the state of Colorado.

Ø The interviews were conducted from February 24th – 25th,

2020.

Ø The overall survey has a margin of error of +/-4.38% at

the 95% confidence interval. Subgroups of voters will have higher margin of error than the overall population.

Ø David Flaherty was the principal researcher on this

• project. Courtney Sievers was the project director.

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Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020

43% 57%

MALE FEMALE

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Refused

18% 13% 14% 20% 35%

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30% 70%

UNAFFILIATED DEMOCRAT

Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020

Survey Demographics

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22% 35% 32% 6% 5%

VERY LIBERAL LIBERAL MODERATE CONSERVATIVE UNSURE OR REFUSED

Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020

Survey Demographics

White Hispanic/Latino African American/Black Other Group Unsure, Refused

79% 15% 3% 3%

Survey Demographics

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Married Single, Never Been Married Separated/Divorced Widowed Single, Living with a Partner Unsure, Refused

50% 18% 14% 9% 6% 3%

Marital Status Race

Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020

Likely to Vote

How likely are you to vote in the Democratic Presidential primary election?

As you may know, unaffiliated voters in Colorado can participate in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary election. Do you intend to vote in the Democratic Presidential primary, have you already voted in the Democratic Presidential primary, do you intend to vote in the Republican Presidential primary, have you already voted in the Republican Presidential primary, or do not plan on voting in the Colorado Presidential primary election at all?

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Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020

52% 12% 2% 34%

EXTREMELY LIKELY VERY LIKELY SOMEWHAT LIKELY ALREADY VOTED

63% 37%

INTEND TO VOTE IN DEM PRIMARY ALREADY VOTED IN THE DEM PRIMARY

KEY FINDINGS

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Key Findings

Ø Senator Bernie Sanders currently leads the field in Colorado’s

Democratic Presidential Primary with 27% support followed by Senator Elizabeth Warren at 15%, former South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 12%, former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg at 11% and former Vice President Joe Biden at 11%. Senator Amy Klobuchar has 6% support, 3% are supporting some other candidate and 15% percent of voters are undecided or refused.

Ø When asked whether it is more important to nominate

someone who can defeat President Trump or to choose someone who shares their values and personal beliefs, a clear majority of 57% believes that it is most important to choose a candidate who can win in November. Only 36% prioritize shared values and personal beliefs, though interestingly a candidate’s values are more important for a majority of voters age 18-44.

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Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020

COLORADO 2020 DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY BALLOT TEST

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Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Ballot Test

• “If the Democratic primary election for

President were being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Bernie Sanders, Pete Buttigieg, Tulsi Gabbard, Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, Michael Bloomberg, Amy Klobuchar, Tom Steyer, or some other candidate? ”

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Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020

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Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Ballot Test

Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020

Refused Undecided *Other Klobuchar Biden Bloomberg Buttigieg Warren Sanders

3% 6% 8% 7% 11% 21%

2% 13% 3% 6% 11% 11% 12% 15% 27%

TOTAL DEFINITELY

*For graphing purposes, Steyer (1%) and Gabbard (1%) are included in “Other” (1%) for a total of 3%.

Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Ballot Test

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Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020

MEN WOMEN 33% 23% 11% 18% 14% 10% 11% 11% 10% 12% 5% 7% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 12% 14% 1% 2% TOTAL SANDERS TOTAL WARREN TOTAL BUTTIGIEG TOTAL BLOOMBERG TOTAL BIDEN TOTAL KLOBUCHAR TOTAL STEYER TOTAL GABBARD OTHER UNDECIDED REFUSED

Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Ballot Test

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Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020

UNAFFILIATED DEMOCRAT 25% 28% 15% 15% 15% 10% 8% 12% 8% 12% 7% 6% 3% 1% 1% 1% 3% 14% 13% 2% 2% TOTAL SANDERS TOTAL WARREN TOTAL BUTTIGIEG TOTAL BLOOMBERG TOTAL BIDEN TOTAL KLOBUCHAR TOTAL STEYER TOTAL GABBARD OTHER UNDECIDED REFUSED

Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Ballot Test

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Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020

CONSERVATIVE MODERATE LIBERAL VERY LIBERAL 22% 18% 27% 45% 11% 6% 19% 24% 8% 17% 14% 3% 11% 17% 9% 8% 2% 14% 13% 7% 15% 6% 5% 5% 2% 1% 1% 7% 1% 9% 2% 14% 16% 10% 6% 4% TOTAL SANDERS TOTAL WARREN TOTAL BUTTIGIEG TOTAL BLOOMBERG TOTAL BIDEN TOTAL KLOBUCHAR TOTAL STEYER TOTAL GABBARD OTHER UNDECIDED REFUSED

Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Ballot Test

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Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020

65 PLUS 55-64 45-54 35-44 18-34 15% 16% 25% 41% 55% 7% 19% 16% 21% 19% 8% 16% 25% 7% 6% 19% 12% 5% 6% 4% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 8% 5% 8% 1% 4% 1% 1% 3% 2% 1% 1% 2% 4% 1% 16% 18% 9% 12% 4% 3% 1% 1% 2% TOTAL SANDERS TOTAL WARREN TOTAL BUTTIGIEG TOTAL BLOOMBERG TOTAL BIDEN TOTAL KLOBUCHAR TOTAL STEYER TOTAL GABBARD OTHER UNDECIDED REFUSED

Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Ballot Test

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Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020

CD07 CD06 CD05 CD04 CD03 CD02 CD01 28% 34% 14% 26% 28% 27% 27% 17% 13% 9% 13% 10% 12% 23% 15% 10% 19% 9% 9% 12% 10% 6% 14% 9% 17% 16% 8% 9% 16% 12% 16% 11% 10% 10% 8% 4% 5% 5% 6% 5% 8% 6% 2% 1% 4% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 3% 10% 7% 20% 15% 17% 20% 7% 3% 2% 7% 2% 1% 1% TOTAL SANDERS TOTAL WARREN TOTAL BUTTIGIEG TOTAL BLOOMBERG TOTAL BIDEN TOTAL KLOBUCHAR TOTAL STEYER TOTAL GABBARD OTHER UNDECIDED REFUSED

OPINION ON BEATING TRUMP

• VS. STAYING WITH VALUES

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When considering your candidate choices in the Democratic Presidential Primary which is more important to you, a candidate who can defeat Donald Trump in November OR a candidate who shares your values and personal beliefs?

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Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020

57% 36% 3% 4%

BEAT TRUMP SHARES VALUES NO OPINION REFUSED

52% 61% 41% 33% 3% 3% 4% 3% MEN WOMEN 61% 48% 33% 44% 2% 5% 4% 3% DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED

57% 36% 3% 4%

BEAT TRUMP SHARES VALUES NO OPINION REFUSED 19

Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020 45% 41% 67% 62% 63% 51% 52% 29% 33% 27% 6% 2% 1% 5% 4% 2% 2% 4% 5% 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65 PLUS

When considering your candidate choices in the Democratic Presidential Primary which is more important to you, a candidate who can defeat Donald Trump in November OR a candidate who shares your values and personal beliefs?

57% 36% 3% 4%

BEAT TRUMP SHARES VALUES NO OPINION REFUSED 20

Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020 55% 59% 62% 40% 38% 38% 33% 52% 2% 1% 3% 6% 4% 3% 3% 2% VERY LIBERAL LIBERAL MODERATE CONSERVATIVE

When considering your candidate choices in the Democratic Presidential Primary which is more important to you, a candidate who can defeat Donald Trump in November OR a candidate who shares your values and personal beliefs?

57% 36% 3% 4%

BEAT TRUMP SHARES VALUES NO OPINION REFUSED 21

Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020 52% 52% 70% 58% 66% 55% 55% 42% 36% 26% 39% 28% 33% 41% 3% 5% 2% 3% 5% 1% 2% 7% 2% 6% 7% 2% CD01 CD02 CD03 CD04 CD05 CD06 CD07

When considering your candidate choices in the Democratic Presidential Primary which is more important to you, a candidate who can defeat Donald Trump in November OR a candidate who shares your values and personal beliefs?

MAGELLAN STRATEGIES 303-861-8585 | www.MagellanStrategies.com

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David Flaherty | Courtney Sievers Ryan Winger