COLORADO 2020 DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY SURVEY February 24 th - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

1 COLORADO 2020 DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY SURVEY February 24 th – 25 th , 2020

2 Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020 Methodology Ø Magellan Strategies is pleased to present the results of a 500n live survey of likely 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary voters in the state of Colorado. Ø The interviews were conducted from February 24 th – 25 th , 2020. Ø The overall survey has a margin of error of +/-4.38% at the 95% confidence interval. Subgroups of voters will have higher margin of error than the overall population. Ø David Flaherty was the principal researcher on this project. Courtney Sievers was the project director.

3 Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020 Survey Demographics 30% 43% 57% 70% MALE FEMALE UNAFFILIATED DEMOCRAT 35% 20% 18% 13% 14% 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Refused

4 Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020 Survey Demographics 6% 5% 22% 32% 35% VERY LIBERAL LIBERAL MODERATE CONSERVATIVE UNSURE OR REFUSED

5 Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020 Survey Demographics Race 79% 15% 3% 3% White Hispanic/Latino African Other Group Unsure, Refused American/Black Marital Status 50% 18% 14% 9% 6% 3% Married Single, Never Been Separated/Divorced Widowed Single, Living with a Unsure, Refused Married Partner

6 Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020 Likely to Vote As you may know, unaffiliated voters in Colorado can participate in the Democratic or Republican Presidential How likely are you to vote in primary election. Do you intend to vote in the Democratic Presidential primary, have you already voted in the the Democratic Presidential Democratic Presidential primary, do you intend to vote in the Republican Presidential primary, have you already voted in the Republican Presidential primary, or do not plan on voting primary election? in the Colorado Presidential primary election at all? 34% 37% 52% 63% 2% 12% EXTREMELY LIKELY VERY LIKELY INTEND TO VOTE IN DEM PRIMARY SOMEWHAT LIKELY ALREADY VOTED ALREADY VOTED IN THE DEM PRIMARY

7 KEY FINDINGS

8 Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020 Key Findings Ø Senator Bernie Sanders currently leads the field in Colorado’s Democratic Presidential Primary with 27% support followed by Senator Elizabeth Warren at 15%, former South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 12%, former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg at 11% and former Vice President Joe Biden at 11%. Senator Amy Klobuchar has 6% support, 3% are supporting some other candidate and 15% percent of voters are undecided or refused. Ø When asked whether it is more important to nominate someone who can defeat President Trump or to choose someone who shares their values and personal beliefs, a clear majority of 57% believes that it is most important to choose a candidate who can win in November. Only 36% prioritize shared values and personal beliefs, though interestingly a candidate’s values are more important for a majority of voters age 18-44.

9 COLORADO 2020 DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY BALLOT TEST

10 Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020 Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Ballot Test • “If the Democratic primary election for President were being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Bernie Sanders, Pete Buttigieg, Tulsi Gabbard, Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, Michael Bloomberg, Amy Klobuchar, Tom Steyer, or some other candidate? ”

11 Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020 Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Ballot Test 27% Sanders 21% 15% Warren 11% 12% Buttigieg 7% 11% Bloomberg 8% 11% Biden 6% 6% Klobuchar 3% 3% *Other *For graphing purposes, 13% Steyer (1%) and Undecided Gabbard (1%) are included in “Other” (1%) 2% for a total of 3%. Refused TOTAL DEFINITELY

12 Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020 Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Ballot Test 1% 23% 18% 10% 11% 12% 7% 14% 2% WOMEN 2% 2% 33% 11% 14% 11% 10% 5% 1% 12% 1% MEN 1% TOTAL SANDERS TOTAL WARREN TOTAL BUTTIGIEG TOTAL BLOOMBERG TOTAL BIDEN TOTAL KLOBUCHAR TOTAL STEYER TOTAL GABBARD OTHER UNDECIDED REFUSED

13 Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020 Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Ballot Test 1% 28% 15% 10% 12% 12% 6% 13% 2% DEMOCRAT 1% 3% 25% 15% 15% 8% 8% 7% 1% 14% 2% UNAFFILIATED 3% TOTAL SANDERS TOTAL WARREN TOTAL BUTTIGIEG TOTAL BLOOMBERG TOTAL BIDEN TOTAL KLOBUCHAR TOTAL STEYER TOTAL GABBARD OTHER UNDECIDED REFUSED

14 Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020 Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Ballot Test 45% 24% 3% 8% 7% 5% 1% 6% VERY LIBERAL 1% 27% 19% 14% 9% 13% 5% 10% LIBERAL 2% 2% 18% 6% 17% 17% 14% 6% 16% 4% MODERATE 1% 22% 11% 8% 11% 2% 15% 7% 9% 14% CONSERVATIVE TOTAL SANDERS TOTAL WARREN TOTAL BUTTIGIEG TOTAL BLOOMBERG TOTAL BIDEN TOTAL KLOBUCHAR TOTAL STEYER TOTAL GABBARD OTHER UNDECIDED REFUSED

15 Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020 Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Ballot Test 4% 4% 1% 4% 55% 19% 6% 18-34 3% 2% 1% 2% 1% 41% 21% 7% 6% 5% 4% 12% 35-44 3% 25% 16% 25% 5% 8% 8% 1% 9% 1% 45-54 16% 19% 16% 12% 13% 5% 18% 1% 55-64 1% 2% 15% 7% 8% 19% 18% 8% 16% 3% 65 PLUS 1% TOTAL SANDERS TOTAL WARREN TOTAL BUTTIGIEG TOTAL BLOOMBERG TOTAL BIDEN TOTAL KLOBUCHAR TOTAL STEYER TOTAL GABBARD OTHER UNDECIDED REFUSED

16 Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020 Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Ballot Test 27% 23% 10% 9% 8% 6% 4% 1% 3% 7% 1% CD01 27% 12% 12% 8% 10% 8% 20% 1% 1% CD02 1% 28% 10% 9% 16% 10% 5% 17% 2% 1% CD03 26% 13% 9% 17% 11% 6% 2% 15% CD04 14% 9% 19% 9% 16% 5% 20% 7% 1% CD05 34% 13% 10% 14% 12% 5% 7% 2% 2% CD06 28% 17% 15% 6% 16% 4% 2% 10% 3% CD07 TOTAL SANDERS TOTAL WARREN TOTAL BUTTIGIEG TOTAL BLOOMBERG TOTAL BIDEN TOTAL KLOBUCHAR TOTAL STEYER TOTAL GABBARD OTHER UNDECIDED REFUSED

17 OPINION ON BEATING TRUMP VS. STAYING WITH VALUES

Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020 18 When considering your candidate choices in the Democratic Presidential Primary which is more important to you, a candidate who can defeat Donald Trump in November OR a candidate who shares your values and personal beliefs? 3% 4% 61% 52% 41% 36% 33% 57% 3% 4% 3% 3% MEN WOMEN 61% 48% 44% BEAT TRUMP SHARES VALUES 33% NO OPINION REFUSED 2% 4% 3% 5% DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED

19 Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020 When considering your candidate choices in the Democratic Presidential Primary which is more important to you, a candidate who can defeat Donald Trump in November OR a candidate who shares your values and personal beliefs? 3% 4% 36% 57% BEAT TRUMP SHARES VALUES NO OPINION REFUSED 67% 63% 62% 51% 52% 45% 41% 33% 29% 27% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 4% 6% 5% 5% 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65 PLUS

20 Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020 When considering your candidate choices in the Democratic Presidential Primary which is more important to you, a candidate who can defeat Donald Trump in November OR a candidate who shares your values and personal beliefs? 3% 4% 36% 57% BEAT TRUMP SHARES VALUES NO OPINION REFUSED 62% 59% 55% 52% 40% 38% 38% 33% 2% 1% 3% 3% 3% 2% 6% 4% VERY LIBERAL LIBERAL MODERATE CONSERVATIVE

21 Colorado 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey, 500n, +/-4.38% MoE, February 2020 When considering your candidate choices in the Democratic Presidential Primary which is more important to you, a candidate who can defeat Donald Trump in November OR a candidate who shares your values and personal beliefs? 3% 4% 36% 57% BEAT TRUMP SHARES VALUES NO OPINION REFUSED 70% 66% 58% 55% 55% 52% 52% 42% 41% 39% 36% 33% 28% 26% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 1% 2% 7% 6% 7% 5% 5% CD01 CD02 CD03 CD04 CD05 CD06 CD07

22 David Flaherty | Courtney Sievers Ryan Winger MAGELLAN STRATEGIES 303-861-8585 | www.MagellanStrategies.com