Co rpo rate pre se ntatio n
August 2018
Co rpo rate pre se ntatio n August 2018 Cautio nar y state me nts - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Co rpo rate pre se ntatio n August 2018 Cautio nar y state me nts F o rwa rd-lo o king sta te me nts T he info rma tio n in this pre se nta tio n inc lude s fo rwa rd-lo o king sta te me nts within the me a ning o f Pla ns fo r
August 2018
T he info rma tio n in this pre se nta tio n inc lude s “fo rwa rd-lo o king sta te me nts” within the me a ning o f Se c tio n 27A o f the Se c uritie s Ac t o f 1933, a s a me nde d, a nd Se c tio n 21E
xc ha ng e Ac t o f 1934, a s a me nde d. All sta te me nts o the r tha n sta te me nts o f histo ric a l fa c t a re fo rwa rd-lo o king sta te me nts. T he wo rds “a ntic ipa te ,” “a ssume ,” “b e lie ve ,” “b udg e t,” “e stima te ,” “e xpe c t,” “fo re c a st,” “initia l,” “inte nd,” “ma y,” “mo de l,” “pla n,” “po te ntia l,” “pro je c t,” “sho uld,” “will,” “wo uld,” a nd simila r e xpre ssio ns a re inte nde d to ide ntify fo rwa rd-lo o king sta te me nts. T he fo rwa rd- lo o king sta te me nts in this pre se nta tio n re la te to , a mo ng o the r thing s, future c o ntra c ts a nd c o ntra c t te rms, ma rg ins, re turns a nd pa yb a c k pe rio ds, future c a sh flo ws a nd pro duc tio n, e stima te d ultima te re c o ve rie s, we ll pe rfo rma nc e a nd de live ry o f L NG, future c o sts, pric e s, fina nc ia l re sults, ne t a sse t va lue s, ra te s o f re turn, liq uidity a nd fina nc ing , re g ula to ry a nd pe rmitting de ve lo pme nts, c o nstruc tio n a nd pe rmitting o f pipe line s a nd o the r fa c ilitie s, future de ma nd a nd supply a ffe c ting L NG a nd g e ne ra l e ne rg y ma rke ts a nd o the r a spe c ts o f o ur b usine ss a nd o ur pro spe c ts a nd tho se o f o the r industry pa rtic ipa nts. Our fo rwa rd-lo o king sta te me nts a re b a se d o n a ssumptio ns a nd a na lyse s ma de b y us in lig ht o f o ur e xpe rie nc e a nd o ur pe rc e ptio n o f histo ric a l tre nds, c urre nt c o nditio ns, e xpe c te d future de ve lo pme nts, a nd o the r fa c to rs tha t we b e lie ve a re a ppro pria te unde r the c irc umsta nc e s. T he se sta te me nts a re sub je c t to nume ro us kno wn a nd unkno wn risks a nd unc e rta intie s whic h ma y c a use a c tua l re sults to b e ma te ria lly diffe re nt fro m a ny future re sults o r pe rfo rma nc e e xpre sse d o r implie d b y the fo rwa rd-lo o king sta te me nts. T he se risks a nd unc e rta intie s inc lude tho se de sc rib e d in the “Risk F a c to rs” se c tio n o f o ur Annua l Re po rt o n F
fo r the fisc a l ye a r e nde d De c e mb e r 31, 2017 file d with the Se c uritie s a nd E xc ha ng e Co mmissio n (the “SE C”) o n Ma rc h 15, 2018 a nd o the r filing s with the SE C, whic h a re inc o rpo ra te d b y re fe re nc e in this pre se nta tio n. Ma ny o f the fo rwa rd-lo o king sta te me nts in this pre se nta tio n re la te to e ve nts o r de ve lo pme nts a ntic ipa te d to o c c ur nume ro us ye a rs in the future , whic h inc re a se s the like liho o d tha t a c tua l re sults will diffe r ma te ria lly fro m tho se indic a te d in suc h fo rwa rd-lo o king sta te me nts. Pla ns fo r the Pe rmia n Glo b a l Ac c e ss Pipe line a nd Ha yne sville Glo b a l Ac c e ss Pipe line pro je c ts disc usse d he re in a re in the e a rly sta g e s o f de ve lo pme nt a nd nume ro us a spe c ts o f the pro je c ts, suc h a s de ta ile d e ng ine e ring a nd pe rmitting , ha ve no t c o mme nc e d. Ac c o rding ly, the na ture , timing , sc o pe a nd b e ne fits o f tho se pro je c ts ma y va ry sig nific a ntly fro m o ur c urre nt pla ns due to a wide va rie ty o f fa c to rs, inc luding future c ha ng e s to the pro po sa ls. Altho ug h the Driftwo o d pipe line pro je c t is sig nific a ntly mo re a dva nc e d in te rms o f e ng ine e ring , pe rmitting a nd o the r fa c to rs, its c o nstruc tio n, b udg e t a nd timing a re a lso sub je c t to sig nific a nt risks a nd unc e rta intie s. Pro je c te d future c a sh flo ws a s se t fo rth he re in ma y diffe r fro m c a sh flo ws de te rmine d in a c c o rda nc e with GAAP. T he info rma tio n o n slide s 7, 12, 13, 14, 15 a nd 16 is me a nt fo r illustra tive purpo se s o nly a nd do e s no t purpo rt to sho w e stima te s o f a c tua l future fina nc ia l pe rfo rma nc e . T he info rma tio n o n tho se slide s a ssume s the c o mple tio n o f c e rta in a c q uisitio n, fina nc ing a nd o the r tra nsa c tio ns. Suc h tra nsa c tio ns ma y no t b e c o mple te d o n the a ssume d te rms o r a t a ll. NAV a nd o the r e stima te s o f future e q uity va lue s a re pre se nte d fo r illustra tive purpo se s a nd do no t purpo rt to sho w future tra ding va lue s o f a ny se c uritie s. T he fo rwa rd-lo o king sta te me nts ma de in o r in c o nne c tio n with this pre se nta tio n spe a k o nly a s o f the da te he re o f. Altho ug h we ma y fro m time to time vo lunta rily upda te o ur prio r fo rwa rd-lo o king sta te me nts, we disc la im a ny c o mmitme nt to do so e xc e pt a s re q uire d b y se c uritie s la ws.
Re se rve s a nd re so urc e s
E stima te s o f no n-pro ve d re se rve s a nd re so urc e s a re b a se d o n mo re limite d info rma tio n, a nd a re sub je c t to sig nific a ntly g re a te r risk o f no t b e ing pro duc e d, tha n a re e stima te s o f pro ve d re se rve s.
F
2 Disc la ime r
344 49 46 565 127
2017 2025 Ne w c a pa c ity
49 382 532 101
2017 2025 Gro wth
F und a me nta ls
U.S. supply push… … and global de mand pull
So urc e : Wo o d Ma c ke nzie , T e lluria n Re se a rc h. No te s: (1) Inc lude s the Pe rmia n, Ha yne sville , Utic a , Ma rc e llus, Ana da rko , E a g le F3
51 71 20 46 75 Bc f/ d
Output fro m se le c te d sha le b a sins(1) mtpa Glo b a l L NG pro duc tio n c a pa c ity mtpa
T ake away infr astr uc tur e
Re q uire d Unde r c o nstruc tio n Othe r U.S.
Supply infr astr uc tur e
Re q uire d (3)
29
(2)
150
Unde r c o nstruc tio n
221 Bc f/ d
4 F und a me nta ls
Bc f o f L NG sto ra g e # o f L NG ve sse ls # o f c a rg o e s lo a de d pe r da y
L e ge nd
L NG c a rrie r – la d e n L NG c a rrie r – unla d e n
L NG Stor age - 2017
Ja pa n + K
L NG ve sse ls: 751 Bc f
13 17
2017 2020
507 609
751 902
2017 2020
Busine ss mo d e l 5
Ba sin Ba sis Co nstruc tio n
Ade q ua te na tura l g a s supply Re lia b le a c c e ss to pipe line s Site se le c tio n a nd e xe c utio n Suc c e ssful pr
e quir e a sophistic ate d str ate gy to manage c omple x r isks
6
Pipe line L iq ue fa c tio n Ma rke ting Upstre a m 11,620 a c re s in the Ha yne sville with 1.4 T c f re so urc e ~$7 b illio n(1) o f pipe line infra struc ture pro je c ts in de ve lo pme nt ~$15 b illio n o f liq ue fa c tio n infra struc ture in de ve lo pme nt I nte rna tio na l de live ry o f L NG c a rg o e s sta rte d in 2017 Dr iftwood Holdings par tne r ship – inte gr ate d, low- c ost
No te : (1) HGAP a nd PGAP pro je c ts a re in e a rly sta g e s a nd re ma in unde r re vie w.Busine ss mo d e l Busine ss mo d e l
e lluria n will o ffe r e q uity inte re sts in Driftwo o d Ho lding s
Co mpa ny, a Pipe line Ne two rk a nd a n L NG T e rmina l (~27.6 mtpa )
quity will c ost ~$1,500 pe r tonne
NG a t ta ilg a te o f Driftwo o d L NG te rmina l a t c o st
~$3.00/ mmBtu F OB (inc luding ma inte na nc e )
7
T e lluria n Ma rke ting Pipe line Ne twork Produc tion Compa ny
E quity owne r ship
~40% ~16 mtpa ~12 mtpa
Custome r/ Pa rtne r
~60%
Custome rs
100%
Busine ss mo d e l
Na sda q : T E L L
L NG T e rmina l
e lluria n will re ta in ~12 mtpa a nd ~40% of the a sse ts
stima te d ~$2 billion a nnua l c a sh flow to T e lluria n(1) Driftwood Holding s
No te : (1) Se e slide 16 fo r le ve l o f a nnua l T e lluria n c a sh flo w a t va rio us a ssume d U.S. Gulf Co a st ne tb a c k pric e s a nd ma rg in le ve ls.Busine ss mo d e l 8
tra c k re c o rd a t Che nie re a nd BG Gro up
e lluria n
fo unde rs a nd ma na g e me nt
lump sum turnke y c o ntra c t with Be c hte l
27.6 mtpa c a pa c ity
E RC sc he duling no tic e indic a te s pe rmits will b e re c e ive d b y Ja nua ry 2019
nte g ra te d:
― Upstre a m re se rve s ― Pipe line ne two rk ― L
NG te rmina l
NG de live re d F OB U.S. Gulf Co a st a t $3.00/ mmBtu
Wor ld c lass par tne r s F ixe d c ost E PC c ontr ac t Re gulator y c e r tainty E xpe r ie nc e d manage me nt Unique busine ss mode l
9
Driftwood L NG te rmina l L a nd
a ke Cha rle s, L A
Ca pa c ity
T ra ins
L M6000 PF + c o mpre sso rs
Stora g e
Ma rine
E PC Cost
Ar tist r e ndition
Driftwo o d L NG
Ba sin
So urc e : IHS, Drilling Info , E IA, T e lluria n a na lysis.10
26.6 8.3 8.2 5.2 3.2 2.8 2.2 0.7 1.5
5 10 15 20 25 30 Appa la c hia Pe rmia n Ha yne sville E a g le F
Sc o o p/ Sta c k Ba rne tt Wo o dfo rd F a ye tte ville L NG fe e dg a s re q uire d Bc f/ d
Dry na tura l g a s pro duc tio n b y b a sin, July 2018 ye a r-to -da te
10 mtpa pla nt with 1.5 b c f/ d fe e dg a s re q uire me nt stre sse s b a sin supply
11 Pipe line ne two rk
Dr iftwood Pipe line (1)
Ca pa c ity (Bc f/ d) 4.0 Co st ($ b illio ns) $2.2 L e ng th (mile s) 96 Dia me te r (inc he s) 48 Co mpre ssio n (HP) 274,000 Sta tus F E RC a ppro va l pe nding
Hayne sville Global Ac c e ss Pipe line (1)
Ca pa c ity (Bc f/ d) 2.0 Co st ($ b illio ns) $1.4 L e ng th (mile s) 200 Dia me te r (inc he s) 42 Co mpre ssio n (HP) 23,000
Pe r mian Global Ac c e ss Pipe line (1)
Ca pa c ity (Bc f/ d) 2.0 Co st ($ b illio ns) $3.7 L e ng th (mile s) 625 Dia me te r (inc he s) 42 Co mpre ssio n (HP) 258,000
Br inging low- c ost gas to Southwe st L
1 2 3 1 2 3
Ope n se a so n c o mple te d (o ve r-sub sc rib e d) a nd fina nc ia l struc ture unde r re vie w Ope n se a so n c o mple te d (o ve r-sub sc rib e d) a nd fina nc ia l struc ture unde r re vie w
Busine ss mo d e l
No te s: (1) Ba se d o n e ng ine e ring , pro c ure me nt, a nd c o nstruc tio n a g re e me nts e xe c ute d with Be c hte l. (2) Appro xima te ly ha lf o f o wne rs’ c o sts re pre se nt c o nting e nc y; the re ma ining a mo unts c o nsist o f c o st e stima te s re la te d to sta ffing prio r to c o mmissio ning , e stima te d impa c t o f infla tio n a nd fo re ig n e xc ha ng e ra te s, spa re pa rts a nd o the r e stima te d c o sts. (3) Re pre se nts the full le ng th o f Driftwo o d pipe line , inc luding e stima te d c o mpre ssio n re q uire me nt. (4) Pre limina ry e stima te o f c e rta in c o sts a sso c ia te d with po te ntia l ma na g e me nt fe e to b e pa id b y Driftwo o d Ho lding s to T e lluria n a nd c e rta in tra nsa c tio n c o sts. (5) Po te ntia l de b t fa c ilitie s to b e b o rro we d b y HGAP a nd PGAP, sub je c t to third-pa rty a g re e me nts o f e a c h pipe line , o r b y Driftwo o d Ho lding s.12
F ull de ve lopme nt
Ca pa c ity (mtpa ) 27.6 Ca pita l inve stme nt ($ billions)
― L
iq ue fa c tio n te rmina l(1) $ 15.2
― Owne rs’ c o st(2)
$ 1.9
― Driftwo o d pipe line (3)
$ 2.2
― HGAP (Hayne sville & SCOOP/ST
ACK) $ 1.4
― PGAP (Pe rmian)
$ 3.7
― Upstre a m (15 T
c f o f Hayne sville re se rve s) $ 2.2
― T
e lluria n c o sts(4) $ 0.9
T
$ 27.5
― De b t fina nc ing (5)
$ (3.5)
Ne t Pa rtne rs’ c a pita l $ 24.0 T ra nsa c tion pric e ($ pe r tonne ) $1,500 Ca pa c ity split Mtpa %
─ Pa rtne r
16.0 58%
─ T
e lluria n 11.6 42%
Busine ss mo d e l
T
tu locks i n low cost of supply
$0.88 $0.36 $0.79 $0.22
$2.25
$0.75
$3.00
Drilling a nd c o mple tio n(1) Ope ra ting Ga the ring , pro c e ssing a nd tra nspo rta tio n(2) Co nting e nc y De live re d c o st L iq ue fa c tio n c o st T
13
Upstr e am c ost
$/ mmBtu
L ique fac tion c ost
(1) (2)
$- $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 Ja n Jul Ja n Jul Ja n Jul Ja n Jul Ja n Jul Ja n Jul $5 $6 $7 $8 $9 $10 $11 $/ mmBtu Jul-18 Ma r-18 No v-17
Busine ss mo d e l
Netback pr i ces to the Gulf Coast
(1)
So urc e s: Pla tts, CME , T e lluria n Re se a rc h. No te s: (1) F14
2018 J K M for war d pr i ces up $2.33 si nce November 2017
JKM pr ic e up 32% sinc e Nov- 17 Se p 2018 GCM(2) 6 Aug 2018: $8.85/ mmBtu 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2018
$/ mmBtu
$3.00/ mmBtu
Busine ss mo d e l 15
U.S. Gulf Coa st ne tba c k pric e ($/ mmBtu) $6.00 $10.00 $15.00 Driftwood L NG, F OB U.S. Gulf Coa st
$(3.00) $(3.00) $(3.00)
Ma rg in ($/ mmBtu)
3.00 7.00 12.00
Annua l pa rtne r c a sh flow ($ millions)(2)
156 364 624
Ca sh on c a sh re turn
10% 24% 42%
Pa yba c k (ye a rs)(3)
10 4 2
No te s: (1) Ba se d o n 1 mtpa o f c a pa c ity in Driftwo o d Ho lding s; a ll e stima te s b e fo re fe de ra l inc o me ta x; do e s no t re fle c t po te ntia l impa c t o f ma na g e me nt fe e s pa id to T e lluria n. (2) Annua l pa rtne r c a sh flo w e q ua ls the ma rg in multiplie d b y 52 mmBtu pe r to nne . (3) Pa yb a c k pe rio d b e g ins a t sub sta ntia l c o mple tio n o f Driftwo o d L NG te rmina l.Busine ss mo d e l 16
No te s: (1) $3.00/ mmBtu c o st o f L NG F OB Gulf Co a st. (2) Annua l c a sh flo w e q ua ls the ma rg in multiplie d b y 52 mmBtu pe r to nne ; do e s no t re fle c t po te ntia l impa c t o f ma na g e me nt fe e s pa id to T e lluria n no r G&A. (3) Inc lude s Se a po rt Glo b a l, Stife l, Co we n a nd T uo hy Bro the rs e stima te s a ssuming Q2 2018 g uida nc e . (4) Ca lc ula te d b y multiplying to ta l c a pa c ity re ta ine d b y T e lluria n in e a c h pha se b y $1,500 pe r to nne , disc o unting a t a ra te o f 10% fo r o ne ye a r a nd dividing b y to ta l numb e r o f sha re s o utsta nding (241 millio n sha re s). (5) As o f July 26, 2018.USGC ne tba c k
($/ mmBtu)
Ma rg in(1)
($/ mmBtu)
Pha se 1(2) F ull de ve lopme nt(2) Annua l c a sh flows
($ millio ns) $ 6.00 $10.00 $15.00 $ 3.00 $ 7.00 $12.00 $ 470 $1,090 $1,870 $1,810 $4,220 $7,240 Analyst e stimate s, NAV and tr ading r ange Cash flow analysis
$0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 $70 $80 E q uity a na lyst ta rg e t pric e NAV 52-we e k tra ding ra ng e (5)
(4) (3)
Pha se 1 F ull de ve lo pme nt
$ pe r sha re
Busine ss mo d e l
Ac tivity 2018 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 L aunc h mar ke ting Nar r
Ne gotiate agr e e me nts
17
~25 c usto me r/partne rs in data ro o m F e b 15 Comme r c ialize Phase 1 by Q3 or Q4 2018
NG de mand pull has c oinc ide d with a supply push fro m the U.S., sig na ling the ne e d fo r a dditio na l liq ue fa c tio n c a pa c ity
uc tion o f infra struc ture , supply basin o ptio na lity,
a nd tra nspo rta tio n basis
e lluria n’ s b usine ss mo de l pro vide s inve sto rs with a c c e ss to the U.S. inte g ra te d g a s va lue c ha in, de live ring low- c ost, fle xible L
NG globally
xpe r ie nc e d manage me nt a nd str ate gic par tne r s
e llur ian o wne d b y founde r s and manage me nt
18 Co nc lusio ns
waha
Dire c to r, I nve sto r Re la tio ns & F ina nc e +1 832 485 2004 a mit.ma rwa ha @ te lluria ninc .c o m
e c znar
SVP, Pub lic Affa irs & Co mmunic a tio n +1 832 962 4044 jo i.le c zna r@ te lluria ninc .c o m @ T e lluria nL NG
19 Co nta c ts
Ad d itio na l d e ta il 21
Ac c e ss to powe r a nd wa te r
Be r th o ve r 45’ de pth with
a c c e ss to hig h se a s Suppo rt fro m loc al
c ommunitie s
Ac c e ss to pipe line
infr astr uc tur e Site size o ve r 1,000 a c re s Insulate d fro m surg e , wind,
a nd lo c a l po pula tio ns
E quipme nt and mate r ials Dir e c t labor Ove r he ad (mostly labor ) Continge nc y and pr
sums Owne r s' c osts
Ad d itio na l d e ta il
No te s: (1) Ba se d o n Driftwo o d L NG full de ve lo pme nt. (2) Inc lude s a dditio na l c o nting e nc y b y de ve lo pe r a nd sta ffing prio r to c o mme nc e me nt o f o pe ra tio ns. (3) Pro visio na l sum inc lude s e sc a la tio n fa c to r fo r infla tio n, insura nc e , fo re ig n e xc ha ng e , a nd o the r c o sts.22
24% 24% 24% 12% 17%
(3) (2)
Ad d itio na l d e ta il 23
Can you r eac h your sel ec ted basin? F
how l
T
SPA mode l E quity mode l
Custo me r inc urs risk
Compe tition be twe e n c ustome r s
fo r pipe line a c c e ss le a ds to
hidde n c osts a nd hig he r c o st o f
L NG o n the wa te r
De ve lo pe r inc urs risk
De ve lo pe r c o nso lida te s pipe line tra nspo rt, b ut still a pr
ic e take r fo r
tra nspo rta tio n se rvic e s; de ve lo pe r
fo r tra nspo rt
Own the infra struc ture
T rue c ost c ontr
tr anspar e nc y fro m o wning a nd
ma na g ing pipe line tra nspo rta tio n
Ad d itio na l d e ta il 24
Pipe line a c c e ss a nd c o ntro l
Ade q ua c y a nd re lia b ility
All-in c o st is pre dic ta b le , b ut e xe c utio n a nd sc a le ma tte r
Ba sin Ba sis Co nstruc tio n
Illustr ative c ost inflation
+$1-$2/ mmBtu in c o sts fro m lo ng -te rm c o st e sc a la tio n a s le g a c y a g re e me nts ro ll o ff +$1-$2/ mmBtu in lo ng -te rm c o st e sc a la tio n fro m e xha usting lo we st-c o st drilling lo c a tio ns in o ne b a sin +$200-$300 pe r to nne o r $0.40-$0.60/ mmBtu c o st infla tio n due to po o r e xe c utio n
Ad d itio na l d e ta il
So urc e : Che nie re Ana lyst Da y pre se nta tio n (2018) a nd T e lluria n a na lysis. No te s: (1) Inc lude s a ppro xima te ly $0.4 b illio n in c o sts fo r a dditio na l c o mpre ssio n o n Driftwo o d pipe line in 3-pla nt c a se . (2) F25
($ billions) Corpus Christi L NG Driftwood L NG T 1- 2 T 3 T 1- 3 Pla nts 1- 3
Ca pa c ity (mtpa ) 9.0 4.5 13.5 16.5
― E
PC $7.8 $2.4 $ 10.2 $ 10.3
― Pipe line
$0.4 $0.0 $ 0.4 $ 1.5(1)
― Owne rs’ c o st & c o nting e nc y(2)
$1.4 $0.5 $ 1.9 $ 2.4
T
$9.6 $2.9 $12.5 $ 14.2 Unle ve re d c ost ($ pe r tonne ) $1,070 $645 $925 $860
Ad d itio na l d e ta il
No te s: (1) Ba se d o n e ng ine e ring , pro c ure me nt, a nd c o nstruc tio n a g re e me nts e xe c ute d with Be c hte l. (2) Appro xima te ly ha lf o f o wne rs’ c o sts re pre se nt c o nting e nc y; the re ma ining a mo unts c o nsist o f c o st e stima te s re la te d to sta ffing prio r to c o mmissio ning , e stima te d impa c t o f infla tio n a nd fo re ig n e xc ha ng e ra te s, spa re pa rts a nd o the r e stima te d c o sts. (3) Re pre se nts e stima te d c o sts o f de ve lo ping Driftwo o d pipe line b a se d o n g a s fe e dsto c k re q uire me nts o f the po te ntia l pha se d de ve lo pme nt26
2- Plant Case 3- Plant Case F ull de ve lopme nt Capac ity (mtpa) 11.0 16.6 27.6 Capital inve stme nt ($ billions)
―
L iq ue fa c tio n te rmina l(1) $ 7.6 $ 10.3 $ 15.2
―
Owne rs’ c o st(2) $ 1.1 $ 1.5 $ 1.9
―
Driftwo o d pipe line (3) $ 1.1 $ 1.5 $ 2.2
―
HGAP (Hayne sville & SCOOP/ST ACK)
$ 1.4
―
PGAP (Pe rmian)
$ 3.7
―
Upstre a m (15 T c f o f Hayne sville re se rve s) $ 2.2 $ 2.2 $ 2.2
―
T e lluria n c o sts(4)
$ 0.9
T
$ 12.0 $ 21.5 $ 27.5
―
De b t fina nc ing (5)
$(3.5)
Ne t Par tne r s’ c apital $ 12.0 $ 18.0 $ 24.0 T r ansac tion pr ic e ($ pe r tonne ) $1,500 $1,500 $1,500 Capac ity split Mtpa % Mtpa % Mtpa %
─
Pa rtne r 8 72% 12 72% 16.0 58%
─
T e lluria n 3 28% 4.6 28% 11.6 42%
Ad d itio na l d e ta il
Re gulator y sc he dule c lar ity Guar ante e d lump sum tur nke y c ontr ac t with Be c hte l
27
Ca ta lyst E stima te d time line
F ina l E nviro nme nta l I mpa c t Sta te me nt 12 Oc to b e r 2018 F E RC o rde r a nd F e de ra l Autho riza tio n De a dline 10 Ja nua ry 2019 Driftwo o d fina l inve stme nt de c isio n 1H 2019 Be g in c o nstruc tio n 1H 2019 Be g in o pe ra tio ns 2023
11.0 27.6 $700 $550
Pha se 1 F ull de ve lo pme nt
$ pe r tonne mtpa
re sourc e s
― L
― Sc a la b le po sitio n ― Pro duc tio n o f ~1.5 Bc f/ d sta rting in 2022 ― T
c f fo r Pha se 1
― Ope ra to rship ― L
― F
le xib le de ve lo pme nt
nitia lly fo c use d o n Ha yne sville b a sin; in c lo se pro ximity to sig nific a nt de ma nd g ro wth, lo w de ve lo pme nt risk, a nd fa vo ra b le e c o no mic s
a rg e t is to de live r g a s fo r $2.25/ mmBtu
e lluria n a c q uire d 11,620 ne t a c re s in the Ha yne sville sha le fo r $87.8 million in Q4 2017
de ntifie d de ve lo pme nt lo c a tio ns – ~178
c f o r ~10% o f to ta l re so urc e
re q uire d fo r Pha se 1
Ad d itio na l d e ta il
Obje c tive s Cur r e nt asse ts
28
<~9 T c f ~9 to ~15 T c f >~15 T c f
Ad d itio na l d e ta il
So urc e s: IHS E ne rde q ; 1De rric k; inve sto r pre se nta tio ns; T e lluria n re se a rc h. No te : (1) E stima te d re so urc e s b a se d o n a c re a g e .29
Dr iftwood Holdings plans to fund and pur c hase 15 T c f
Pote ntia l a c quisition ta rg e ts: Ra ng e of re sourc e s pe r ta rg e t (T c f)(1): T a rg e t size : L a rg e Me dium Sma ll
15 15 9 9
100 200 300 400 500 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Ad d itio na l d e ta il
De mand outlook
So urc e s: Wo o d Ma c ke nzie , T e lluria n Re se a rc h. No te s: (1) Assume s 85% utiliza tio n ra te . (2) Ba se d o n a ssumptio n tha t L NG de ma nd g ro ws a t 4.5% p.a . po st-2020.30
127 mtpa of ne w lique fa c tion c a pa c ity re quire d by 2025(1)
mtpa Unde r c o nstruc tio n I n o pe ra tio n De ma nd (2) 107 mtpa
13 Bc f/ d
6 1 8 1 4
Ad d itio na l d e ta il 31
13 B cf/ d of i ncr emental pr
ated gas at r i sk of flar i ng wi thout i nfr astr uct ur e i nvestment
So urc e s: E IA; ARI; T e lluria n a na lysis. No te : (1) $1,000 pe r to nne a ve ra g e .NG e xpo rt c a pa c ity re q uire d:
―At le a st 100 mtpa : 13 Bc f/ d (20
Bc f/ d le ss ~7 unde r c o nstruc tio n)
― ~$100 b illio n(1)
―Aro und 20 Bc f/ d ―~$70 b illio n
L NG lique fac tion te r minal
Ope ra ting / und e r c o nstruc tio n F uture E xpo rt c a pa c ity
20
T
pr
Re quir e d futur e inve stme nt:
$25 millio n
2018
Pipe line
se a so ns $50 millio n $207 millio n Me rg e r $100 millio n Upstre a m a c q uisitio n L ST K
Apr il/ De c e mbe r Januar y F e br uar y June Nove mbe r De c e mbe r F e b/ Mar c h Mar c h June
Ma na g e me nt, frie nds a nd fa mily inve st $60 millio n in T e lluria n in April/ GE inve sts $25 millio n in T e lluria n T OT AL inve sts $207 millio n in T e lluria n Me rg e with Ma g e lla n Pe tro le um, g a ining a c c e ss to pub lic ma rke ts Be c hte l, Cha rt I ndustrie s a nd GE c o mple te the fro nt-e nd e ng ine e ring a nd de sig n (F E E D) study fo r Driftwo o d L NG Ac q uire Ha yne sville a c re a g e , pro duc tio n a nd ~1.4 T c f E xe c ute L ST K E PC c o ntra c t with Be c hte l fo r ~$15 b illio n Ra ise a ppro xima te ly $100 millio n pub lic e q uity Anno unc e
fo r Ha yne sville Glo b a l Ac c e ss Pipe line a nd Pe rmia n Glo b a l Ac c e ss Pipe line Be c hte l inve sts $50 millio n in T e lluria n Ra ise a ppro xima te ly $115 millio n pub lic e q uity
2017 2016
32
$115 millio n $60 millio n
Ad d itio na l d e ta il
T
19%
23%
10%
5% E mplo ye e s a nd Dire c to rs 5% F re e F lo a t 38%
Mg mt, fa mily a nd frie nds, $60 GE inve stme nt, $25 T
inve stme nt, $207 Pub lic e q uity
$224 AT M pro g ra m, $10 Be c hte l inve stme nt, $50
S
c es(1) ($ mil l i
33
Owner ship(1)(2) (%)
$576 million 241 million shar e s
Ad d itio na l d e ta il
34 $1,428 $1,500 $1,603 $1,654 $2,083 $2,657 $3,774 $4,144 $5,025 Qa ta r Ne w Me g a tra in Driftwo o d Mo za mb iq ue Are a 4 Ya ma l L NG Ca na da APL NG Go rg o n Whe a tsto ne I c hthys $ pe r to nne
Capac ity, mtpa
9.5 27.6 10.0 16.5 13.0 9.0 15.6 9.0 8.9
L PI global r anking (1):
3.6 4.0 2.7 2.6 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 Ad d itio na l d e ta il
35
Proje c ts inc lude :
Austra la sia
APL NG, Da rwin, GL NG, Go rg o n, Ic hthys, NWS, Pluto , No rthwe st She lf, QCL NG, Whe a tsto ne , PNG L NG, T a ng g uh, Brune i L NG, Do ng g i-Se no ro , ML NG, Ya ma l L NG
Mide a st/ Afric a
Ang o la L NG, E G L NG, Da mie tta , E L NG, Ye me n L NG, Mo za mb iq ue L NG, Co ra l L NG, Oma n L NG, Qa lha t L NG, Qa ta rg a s I-I V, Ra sGa s I-I I I , ADGAS
Ame ric a s
Atla ntic L NG, Pe ru L NG, L NG Ca na da
E uro pe
Sno hvit, Ya ma l L NG
E ur
Austr a la sia NOC IOC
Ad d itio na l d e ta il
24 36 48
Sa b ine Ca me ro n Co ve Po int Co rpus So uthe rn F re e po rt DWL NG Ma g no lia Go lde n Pa ss L a ke Cha rle s Ve nture Glo b a l Pre -filing F E RC a pplic a tio n
Ad d itio na l d e ta il
No te : (1) Pro je c ts unde r E nviro nme nta l Asse ssme nt (E A), a ll o the r pro je c ts re q uire d a n E nviro nme nta l Impa c t Sta te me nt (E IS), whic h e nta ils a lo ng e r re vie w pro c e ss with F E RC.36
Se c ond wave F ir st wave Mo nths
(1) (1) (1)
Ad d itio na l d e ta il 37
T ra ins 8 4 4 4 20 Sto ra g e fa c ilitie s 2 1 3 Be rths 1 1 1 3 $700 pe r to nne $490 $500 $380
~$550 Pha se 1 Pha se 2 Pha se 3 Pha se 4 T
11.0 5.5 5.5 5.5 27.6
Ca pa c ity
38
Gillis Ma rke t Are a
E T CO
runkline
ra nsc o
e nn Ga s
PL
GT
GAN
e xa s Ga s
Inte r c onne c ts
Pe rmia n Supply Are a
T C –Co ma nc he T ra il
T C – T ra ns-Pe c o s
T C – Oa sis
e x
nte rprise
l Pa so
Ga s
ra nsWe ste rn
Inte r c onne c ts
Ha yne sville Supply Are a
P
e lluria n Pro duc tio n Co .
e nn Ga s
T C – T ig e r
e xa s Ga s
Inte r c onne c ts
PrAd d itio na l d e ta il
PrAd d itio na l d e ta il
T ake away c onstr aints in the Pe r mian Southwe st L
39
L o u i s i a n a Te x a s G u l f o f M e x i c o
Gillis, L A E unic e , L A
Dr iftwood L NG Came r
NG Sabine Pass L NG 4 12 2017 2024 Southwe st L
m de mand(1)(2) (bc f/ d)
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Bc f/ d
No rth Me xic o E a st We st Pe rmia n pro duc tio n
Compar ative type c ur ve statistic s Cumulative pr
malize d to 7,500’(3)
So urc e : Co mpa ny inve sto r pre se nta tio ns. No te s: (1) Assume s 75.00% ne t re ve nue inte re st (“NRI”) (8/ 8ths). (2) Assume s g a s pric e s o f $3.00/ mc f b a se d o n NRI a nd re turns pub lishe d spe c ific to e a c h o pe ra to r. (3) 7,500’ e stima te d ultima te re c o ve ry (“E UR”) = o rig ina l la te ra l le ng th E UR + ((7,500’ -o rig ina l la te ra l le ng th) * 0.75 * (o rig ina l la te ra l le ng th E UR / o rig ina l la te ra l le ng th)).40
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 Bcf Days
Peer B Peer D Peer A Peer C Tellurian T e lluria n Pe e r A Pe e r B Pe e r C Pe e r D T ype c urve de ta il Are a De So to / Re d Rive r No rth L
De So to NL A De So to c o re NL A c o re / b le nde d de ve lo pme nt pro g ra m Co mple tio n (lb s. / ft.)
3,800 2,700 3,000
Sing le we ll sta ts
L a te ra l le ng th (ft.) 6,950' 7,500' 7,500' 4,500' 9,800' Gro ss E UR (Bc f) 15.5 18.8 18.6 9.9 19.9
E UR pe r 1,000' ft. (Bc f) 2.20 2.50 2.48 2.20 2.03
Gro ss D&C ($ millio ns) $10.20 $10.20 $8.50 $7.70 $10.30 F &D ($/ mc f)(1) $0.88 $0.73 $0.61 $1.04 $0.69
T ype c urve e c onomic s
Be fo re -ta x I RR (%)(2) 43% 60% 90%+ 54%