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Clinical trial design in stratified medicine an example in colorectal cancer Tim Maughan Professor of Clinical Oncology University of Oxford Pharmacogenetics and Stratified Medicine Network January 2015 What is the problem? Every


  1. Clinical trial design in stratified medicine – an example in colorectal cancer Tim Maughan Professor of Clinical Oncology University of Oxford Pharmacogenetics and Stratified Medicine Network January 2015

  2. What is the problem? • Every cancer is unique and evolving, so how do we make progress in the clinic? • Tumour Heterogeneity – – Biomarker selection for clinical trials • Clonal evolution driving inevitable resistance – – Combination therapies – Earlier intervention • Validated biomarkers – – Intensive characterisation – Hypothesis driven ……illustrated from colorectal cancer

  3. Mutation frequencies in human CRC 224 patients: clear separation between hypermutated (16%) and non-hypermutated. Red: MSI CIMP high or MLH1 silenced, light blue MSI low or CIMP low; black rectum, white colon, grey no data The Cancer Genome Atlas Network Nature 487 , 330-337 (2012) doi:10.1038/nature11252

  4. Pathway alteration in CRC: TCGA The Cancer Genome Atlas Network Nature 487 , 330-337 (2012) doi:10.1038/nature11252

  5. Understanding disease biology Colorectal Cancer Subtyping Consortium > 4000 cases CMS 2: Epithelial, MSS, high CIN, TP53 mut, CMS4: Mesenchymal, WNT/MYC pathway activation: CIN/MSI, TGFβ/VEGF left colon 35% activation, NOTCH3 overexpression 20% 21% Unclassified: Mixed subtype with variable epithelial- mesenchymal activation? CMS3: Epithelial, CIN/MSI, CMS1 Right colon, MSI, KRAS mut, MYC ampl, hypermutation, BRAF mut, IGFBP2 overexpression 11% immune activation 13% Integrated analysis by CRCSC of gene expression profiles suggest 4 consensus molecular subtypes in CRC Dienstmann R, Guinney J, Delorenzi M, De Reynies A, Roepman P, Sadanandam A, et al. Colorectal Cancer Subtyping Consortium (CRCSC) identification of a consensus of molecular subtypes. ASCO Meeting Abstracts. 2014 June 11, 2014;32(15_suppl):3511

  6. Overlap between KRAS, NRAS, BRAF, PIK3CA mutant and MMR deficient tumours (n=1947, COIN trial) All wildtype 41.8% Developing 3.6% biomarker capability Leeds: FOCUS analyses 12.8% Cardiff: COIN analyses FOCUS3: collaboration 9.0% 4.4% 42.3% Smith C, Cheadle J et Clin Cancer Research 2013 Not drawn to scale…

  7. 2010 - 11: FOCUS 3 FOCUS 3 A study to determine the feasibility of molecular selection of therapy using KRAS, BRAF and topo-1 in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer Molecular Type 2 low topo-1 + Either mutation topo-1 low: KRAS or BRAF mutant: rand Test omit irinotecan Test addition of bevacizumab Regimen B: Regimen E: IrMdG MdG + Molecular Type 1 Molecular Type 4 bevacizumab low topo-1 Regimen A: high topo-1 IrMdG + rand + rand control arm for all All wildtype Either mutation randomisations Regimen C: Regimen D: IrMdG + IrOxMdG cetuximab KRAS & BRAF wildtype: topo-1 high: Test addition of cetuximab rand Test addition of oxaliplatin high topo-1 + All wildtype Molecular Type 3 Tim Maughan, Mahesh Parmar, Matthew Seymour, Bharat Jasani, Ian Frayling, Julian Sampson, Richard Kaplan, Phil Quirke, Heike Grabsch, Graham Taylor, Geraint Williams, Rachel Butler, Richard Adams, AnnMarie Nelson MRC Clinical Trials Unit NCRI Colorectal Cancer CSG

  8. Patient Information Sheets FOCUS 3 • PIS Stage 1: (to assess markers) tumour block release: REGISTER • PIS Stage 2: (pre marker knowledge) · basic 3-arm RCT, toxicity, side effects • PIS Stage 3: (post marker knowledge) Thanks to Malcolm and Jan Pope · specific treatments pros and cons; Four different PIS 3 · Consent to randomisation: RANDOMISE • PIS Stage 4: (post randomisation) · Full treatment details of specific therapy allocated · Five different PIS 4 MRC Clinical Trials Unit

  9. FOCUS 3 Patient Understanding MRC Clinical Trials Unit

  10. FOCUS 3 FOCUS 3 Outcomes • Acceptance very high, despite the complexity of the study design resulting in rapid accrual. • Primary endpoint: • results to the investigator in 10 working days in 90% of patients was not achieved. • 74% of results were available to the investigator within 10 working days and 99% in 21 working days. • Randomisation delays due to clinical issues had a much greater impact on timelines than biomarker analysis. • Proof of principle: we can undertake complex prospective bio-marker driven randomised trials in the UK. • Provided evidence of feasibility for MRC FOCUS 4 trial. Maughan et al MRC Clinical Trials Unit Br J Cancer 2014

  11. Clinical trial design in stratified medicine What have we learnt? Biomarkers • Colorectal cancer includes some clearly defined molecular subtypes with differing prognosis and pathway activation (COIN) • Biomarker characterisation is achievable in multicentre trials but takes 1 month (FOCUS 3) • Two expert labs working together provides a robust way to provide a national biomarker service in clinical trials (FOCUS 3) MRC Clinical Trials Unit

  12. Early intervention: using the interval COIN and COIN B trial designs Arm A 5FU or capecitabine Second-line therapy oxaliplatin N=815 CONTINUOUS CT until progression, toxicity or patient choice 5FU or capecitabine COIN Arm B oxaliplatin N=815 cetuximab CONTINUOUS CT until progression, toxicity or patient choice Arm C 5FU or cap 5FU or cap 5FU or cap oxaliplatin oxaliplatin oxaliplatin N=815 INTERMITTENT CT: Treat for 12 weeks then stop and monitor; restart on progression for a further 12 weeks Second-line therapy Arm C 5FU 5FU 5FU oxaliplatin oxaliplatin oxaliplatin N= 77 cetuximab COIN B cetuximab cetuximab INTERMITTENT CT + cetuximab: Arm E 5FU or cap 5FU or cap 5FU or cap oxaliplatin oxaliplatin oxaliplatin N=92 Continuous cetuximab MRC Clinical Trials Unit INTERMITTENT CT + Continuous cetuximab:

  13. Intermittent chemo and Overall Survival 1.00 N pts N events Arm A Arm C Diff. Arm A 467 324 Median survival: months 19.6 18.0 -1.54 Arm C 511 371 …using one -sided 90% CL* 16.3 -3.23 0.75 Total 978 695 2-year survival rates 35.6% 33.3% -2.2% …using one -sided 90% CL* 29.0% -6.6% Survival 0.50 HR point estimate = 1.087 * Non-inferiority bound is a 80% CI* = (0.986, 1.198) one-sided 90% confidence limit (CL), equivalent to the upper limit of an 80% 0.25 confidence interval (CI) Arm A (continuous) 0.00 Arm C (intermittent) 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 Time (months) Number at risk Arm A 467 459 368 213 104 47 25 4 1 Arm C 511 498 381 224 113 59 23 8 0 MRC Clinical Trials Unit

  14. COIN Subgroup analyses in Arm A v C suggests raised platelets at baseline identify group (28%) needing continuous chemotherapy (test for interaction p 0.003) MRC Clinical Trials Unit

  15. COIN B: testing a targeted therapy in the interval in a biomarker defined cohort PFS from start of first Chemotherapy-Free Interval 1.00 Arm D (intermittent cetuximab) Arm E (continuous cetuximab) Approx. 0.75 Survivor function 3mo 0.50 0.25 0.00 Randomisation 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 Time from start of CFI (months) Number at risk Arm D 65 37 19 13 7 4 1 1 0 Arm E 67 47 33 21 9 8 5 2 0 Median PFS (months): Arm D: 3.1 (IQR 2.1 to 8.1) Arm E: 6.0 (IQR 2.9 to 10.9) Hazard ratio (Arm E vs Arm D): 0.67 (95% CI 0.46 to 0.98); p=0.039 MRC Clinical Trials Unit Wasan H et al, Lancet Oncology 2014

  16. Clinical trial design in stratified medicine What have we learnt? Using the interval • 74% of pts with metastatic CRC have no deficit from an interval in chemotherapy (platelets normal, COIN A v C) • Testing an agent in the interval in a molecularly defined cohort is a viable way of showing efficacy with HR c 0.65 (COIN-B) • We can negotiate the use of novel agents for use in this setting (cetuximab COIN B, AZ 8931, GSK BRAFi, MEKi) MRC Clinical Trials Unit

  17. FOCUS4: an umbrella trial programme • An integrated trial programme of parallel, molecularly stratified randomised comparisons for patients with advanced or metastatic colorectal cancer who are fit for 1 st line chemotherapy • The trial design exploits a ‘window of opportunity’ to test clinical efficacy of targeted novel agent(s) in an interval after 1 st line chemotherapy but before resistance to standard agents occurs in prespecified biomarker defined subgroups • It is derived from a multi arm multi stage (MAMs) design to be cost and time efficient and adaptable to new biomarker and clinical data as the trials proceed MRC Clinical Trials Unit

  18. Diagnostic REGISTER biopsy mCRC First line on FFPE tumour block Biomarker Principle 1: chemo 16 BRAF, PIK3CA, KRAS, NRAS analysis Evaluate multiple wks mutation; mRNA EREG; IHC MMR, PTEN treatments and Stable/ biomarkers in the same responding protocol ALLOCATE A B C D N Principle 2: BRAF PIK3CA KRAS All WT NONE Investigate new treatments in the RANDOMISE earliest and most likely Novel Novel Novel Novel rebiopsy responsive settings that P P P P N CAP oral oral oral oral are clinically feasible Primary endpoint PFS in the interval Restart first line chemo on progression rebiopsy

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