MUF07 P/L Report
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FY2018 Business Update
30 Jan 2019
Click to edit Master title style FY2018 Business Update MUF07 P/L - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Click to edit Master title style FY2018 Business Update MUF07 P/L Report 30 Jan 2019 Click to edit Master subtitle style FY2018: Delivered Record NPAT Post-MI of 4.9T and Strong 4Q2018 Momentum KEY FINANCIALS KEY HIGHLIGHTS FY2018
MUF07 P/L Report
Click to edit Master subtitle style
30 Jan 2019
(VND trillion) 2017 2018 % Growth 4Q17 4Q18 % Growth Revenue 37.6 38.2 2% 10.2 11.6 14% MCH 13.5 17.3 28% 4.6 5.4 18% MNS 18.7 14.0 (25)% 4.1 3.9 (4)% MSR 5.4 6.9 27% 1.5 2.2 47% EBITDA 9.4 10.5 12% 3.2 2.8 (12)% NPAT Post-MI 3.1 4.9 58% 1.9 1.1 (40)% Core NPAT Post-MI 1 2.2 3.5 58% 1.0 1.1 17% EBITDA margin 25% 27% 2% 31% 24% (7)% Core NPAT Post-MI margin 6% 9% 3% 10% 10% 0% EPS (VND/share) 2,681 4,227 58% 1,633 978 (40)% Core EPS 2 (VND/share) 1,905 2,990 57% 845 988 17% EXCLUDING ONE TIME IMPACT Revenue (if excluding MNS) 18.9 24.2 28% 6.1 7.6 25% Core NPAT Post-MI (if excluding MNS) 1.6 3.4 115% 0.9 1.2 36% Core NPAT Post-MI (if normalize
1.6 3.5 118% 0.7 1.1 58%
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FY2018: Delivered Record NPAT Post-MI of 4.9T and Strong 4Q2018 Momentum
FY2018 Performance
brands; and
favorable price environment; offset with
recovery than expected
percentage of consolidated net revenue mainly from MCH reducing SG&A as a percentage of revenue by 5.0% compared to 2017
reduction in net interest expense 4Q2018 Performance
MCH and MSR. Pig feed market started recovery with MNS topline growth of 18% in 4Q2018 versus 3Q2018
business to drive long-term growth and profits across pig cycles
savings, offset with
investment of MCH to drive 2019 innovation pipeline
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
1. Core Profit excludes net one-time gains (non-core) of VND1,472 billion in 2Q2018 primarily from the “deemed disposal” of the Company’s interest in Techcombank as a result of the bank’s recent equity issuances at a price higher than the Company’s carrying value. Core Profit of 2017 excludes a net one-time gain of VND933 billion in 4Q2017 from selling convertible bonds of Techcombank. 2. Core EPS is calculated based on Core NPAT Post-MI as defined in footnote 1 divided by total number of shares (including treasury shares) 3. Assume MSN ownership of TCB in 2017 is the same as in 2018
KEY FINANCIALS
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FY2018: 57% Core NPAT Post-MI Growth driven by Sustainable MCH Growth and Rationalized SG&A…
2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 1.8 3.5 0.2 0.1 0.9 0.6 (0.4) 2017 Revenue Gross margin improvement SG&A reduction Net financial expense reduction Others 2018
(VND trillion)
37.6 37.6 32.9 37.6 38.2 3.8 1.5 (4.7) 2017 MCH MNS MSR 2018
(VND trillion)
+ innovation focus and sustained growth momentum of ~20% in 4Q2018 while maintaining healthy stock of less than 1 month
convenience foods supported by successful premium innovations
Wake-up 247 energy drinks and expanded distribution network
back into marketing. Total SG&A growth of 7% to deliver a topline growth of 28%
salesforce to achieve better sales efficiency. Total SG&A reduction of 43% while revenue declined by 25%
KEY HIGHLIGHTS KEY HIGHLIGHTS REVENUE DRIVERS CORE NPAT POST-MI ON TRACK TO ACHIEVE BUDGET
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…as well as Strengthened Balance Sheet.
41.1 34.8 22.2 4.2x 3.7x 2.1x 2016 2017 2018 Total Debt Debt to EBITDA
(VND trillion)
trillion in 4Q2018
year to be fully realized from 2019
been realized in 4Q2018
sovereign credit rating of BB- in 2019.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
8.1 8.1 12.8 10.1 10.1 19.8 6.8 17.8 17.8 5.0 7.3 10.9 0.1 (2.6) (2.6) (1.3) (13.0) (1.9) Cash YE2017 Net cash from
activities Net interest paid CAPEX Capital contribution Net dividend paid Net borrowings Net cash from M&A activities Others Cash YE2018 (VND trillion)
trillion (20% growth vs. 2017)
building meat platform, maintenance + expansion of MSR and MCH, VND1 trillion and VND0.4 trillion, respectively
KEY HIGHLIGHTS CASH MOVEMENTS DURING THE PERIOD GROSS DEBT BALANCE
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FY2019 Outlook: Double Digit NPAT Margin on the back of 4Q2018 Momentum
momentum led by innovations in seasoning and convenience foods premiumization + beverage expansion anchored by Wake-up 247
pipeline and continued slow momentum in beer
feed market expected to grow by 10%+
Hanoi (~5-10% revenue contribution) + Ho Chi Minh city launch in 4Q2019
consumer adaptation to chilled fresh meat and scale up of retail distribution (2) Pig disease
sales growth
increased sales volume (5-10% growth) with;
Tungsten price environment
1) Excludes one-time gain of VND933 billion from disposal of Techcombank’s convertible bonds in 2H2017 2) Excludes net one-time gains (non-core) of VND1,472 billion in 1H2018 primarily from the “deemed disposal” of the Company’s interest in Techcombank as a result of the bank’s recent equity issuances at a price higher than the Company’s carrying value.
grow by 2x revenue
growth with double digit NPAT margin
effective SG&A investment (~15-16% as percentage
savings from 2018 deleveraging
Profit Growth > 2x Revenue Growth
(VND billion) 2017A 2018A 2019 Low 2019 High 2019 Low
2019 High
Revenue 37.6 38.2 45.0 50.0 18% 31% EBITDA 9.4 10.5 NPAT 3.1 4.9 5.0 5.5 2% 12% Core NPAT 2.2 3.5 5.0 5.5 44% 58% EBITDA margin 25% 27% Core NPAT margin 6% 9% 11% 11%
MCH MNS MSR MSN Group
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MCH: Brand and Innovation focus drove 28% revenue growth + 1.5x EBITDA growth
13.5 17.3 +28% 2017 2018
(VND trillion)
REVENUE
2.8 4.2 1.2 1.1 20% 24% 26% 20% 2017 2018 4Q2017 4Q2018 EBITDA EBITDA margin
(VND trillion)
EBITDA
(i) healthy distributor stock level of less than 1 month and (ii) increased marketing investment by 34% + reduced sales spend by 7%
drinks segment
growth in 2017 Driven by (i) Innovation focus contributing ~VND1 trillion in revenue and (ii) Brand focus with 34% marketing budget growth
model
mainly because of higher investment in marketing for 4Q2018 innovation launches to support 2019 growth
KEY HIGHLIGHTS OF 2018
4.6 5.4 +18% 4Q2017 4Q2018
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MCH: Big Contributors Outperformance + Slow Momentum of Beer
HIGHLIGHTS OF ACTUAL 2018 VERSUS 2017
growth of 40% and contribution of 10% to portfolio
driven by core brands – Nam Ngu, Chin-su
strategic channel to win urban
growth of 60%+ and contribution of 45% to portfolio
cup from launch 5 quarters ago (~15% contribution in 4Q Omachi revenue)
share + increasing profit in mainstream and economy segments
consistent 60% growth since launch driven by both focused brand communication + distribution expansion
increasing from 75k last year to 160k today
driven by Vinacafe brand with 25% revenue growth
platform to deliver break-through innovations to sustain 10%+ growth
sausage and 1st co- produced innovation between Masan and Jinju Ham, launched in 4Q2018.
pipeline is expected in 2019
improve sales + marketing investment efficiency
a strategic route to market + brand building
Seasonings 35% FY revenue growth 26% 4Q revenue growth
(~40% revenue contribution)
Noodle 29% FY revenue growth 17% 4Q revenue growth
(~30% revenue contribution)
Beverage 36% FY revenue growth 56% 4Q revenue growth
(~15% revenue contribution)
Coffee 11% FY revenue growth flat 4Q revenue
(~10% revenue contribution)
Meat (5)% FY revenue decline 25% 4Q revenue growth
(~1% revenue contribution)
Beer 23% FY revenue growth (33)% 4Q revenue decline
(~2% revenue contribution)
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MNS: Shifting towards FMCG business with Launch of MEATDeli
meat
Vietnamese standard for chilled meat TCVN12429-1:2018
with ~28 SKUs across meat parts at different consumer pack sizes DIVERSIFIED CONSUMER PORTFOLIO
4Q2018 to introduce and educate consumers about the new fresh meat concept that is more hygienic and delicious BRAND BUILDING & CONSUMER EDUCATION
stores
Hanoi INITIAL DIRECT TO CONSUMERS DISTRIBUTION MODEL
nationwide with total capacity of 3.5 million tons per year
Nghe An with capacity
investment of VND1.4 trillion
in Ha Nam with capacity of 1.4m porkers and investment of VND1
under BRC standard – the highest for food safety INTEGRATED SAFE FOR HEALTH MEAT PLATFORM
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MNS: Focused on Improving Feed Profit in 2018 + Recovery Signals in 4Q2018…
18.7 13.9 4.1 3.2 3.5 3.3 3.9 3.5 2.9 3.9 4.4 5.2 2017 2018 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 Total Feed Sales/Salesman (VND bn)
(VND trillion)
revenue growth in 4Q2018 versus 3Q2018 along with pig feed market recovery
protect profitability with EBITDA margin of ~9% during market crisis and increased raw material pricing environment.
with FY2017 mainly because of raw materials cost increasing by ~10% in 2018 which was not fully transferred to farmers due to the pig crisis offset with
salesman efficiency by 2x in 4Q2018 compared with 1Q2018, which will be fully realized in FY2019
KEY HIGHLIGHTS REVENUE EBITDA
1.9 1.3 0.4 0.3 10.2% 9.4% 8.8% 8.7% 2017 2018 4Q17 4Q18 EBITDA EBITDA margin
(VND trillion)
10
…and Expecting to Outgrow Market in 2019.
39.0 45.2 41.7 36.8 29.6 23.8 30.8 27.3 29.2 43.5 50.1 49.5 39.3 43.2 36.4 31.8 25.7 20.7 31.1 28.3 31.4 44.2 52.0 45.2 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 South North (VNDk/kg)
3 MONTHS sustained pricing for farmers to gain confidence to increase pig herds (2Q2018) 6 MONTHS for sows to produce piglets (3Q + 4Q2018) 3 MONTHS for piglets to grow to porkers. This is the highest feed consumption phase of pig cycle = Market to recover fully in 1Q2019
LAG TIME OF FEED MARKET RECOVERY
PIG PRICES
expected to grow by 10%+ in 2019
productivity to capture farmers switching to productivity mode post crisis + innovations in mid-tier and industrial farm segments
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Subject to feed market growing as per expectations, MNS feed sales are expected to increase by 10%+ in 2019, with EBITDA margin maintained at the same level as in 2018
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MSR: Additional Steps Taken to Become The Integrated Global Tungsten Player
backed by increasing operating efficiencies + favorable pricing
Tungsten Chemical Producer
financial result = NPAT post-MI margin expected to increase by ~1.5% in 2018 or 4% if annualized
ton WO3 to 12,000 ton WO3 in 2H2019
prices softened in 2H2018 due to seasonality factors in Europe and ongoing USA- China trade war. However, tungsten concentrate market continues to remain tight and very limited supply available globally backed by recent shutdowns
an Ex-China tungsten mine and stringent environment law in China
price increased from USD410/ton at YE2017 to USD565/ton at YE2018, offsetting the impact of Tungsten price
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
REVENUE
199 213 258 282 318 336 302 275 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18
(USD/mtu)
APT PRICE
5.4 6.9 1.5 2.2 +27% +47% 2017 2018 4Q17 4Q18
(VND trillion)
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MSR: Increased operational efficiencies
disciplined cost management
from 64% in 2017 to 68% in 2018
contribution of 3rd party procurement with lower margin to utilize Masan Tungsten capacity
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
2.8 3.3 0.8 1.0 51.5% 48.5% 55.4% 44.6% 2017 2018 4Q17 4Q18 EBITDA EBITDA margin
(VND trillion)
EBITDA
13
TCB: record PBT of VND10.6T in 2018 with ROAE of 21.5%
Source: TCB analyst presentation 2018
KEY METRICS
income (66%) and non-interest income (34%)
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
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FY2018 Takeaways
MSN Delivered target NPAT of 3.5 trillion FY2018 + achieved double digit NPAT margin in 4Q2018
portfolio expansion. Slow momentum in Beer.
growth and profits across cycles + feed market recovery with 10%+ market growth in 2019
and Tungsten Chemical Plant has reduced minority interest drag
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