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Click to edit headline for your slide here. Discussion: Jim Neaton - How to Construct an Optimal Interim Report: What a DSMC Does and Doesnt Need to Know April 19. 2017 Judith D. Goldberg, Sc.D. Professor of Biostatistics Personal


  1. Click to edit headline for your slide here. Discussion: Jim Neaton - How to Construct an Optimal Interim Report: What a DSMC Does and Doesn’t Need to Know April 19. 2017 Judith D. Goldberg, Sc.D. Professor of Biostatistics

  2. Personal Perspectives Click to edit headline for your slide here. View from: DSMC Study Member Statistician Industry × × Academia × × [NIH, other funded] 2

  3. Does ‘one size fit all?’ Click to edit headline for your slide here.  Trial Design • Active vs Placebo Controlled • Superiority vs Noninferiority vs Equivalence  Disease [severity]  Risk to Trial Participants  Seriousness of Outcome of Interest  Trial Duration  Potential for Impact on Trial Conduct  Other considerations 3

  4. Interim Monitoring: Click to edit headline for your slide here. How Often? Of What?  Safety Monitoring • Frequency of monitoring [eg, every 6 months] • Unmasked (coded) treatment group assignment • Known, unknown adverse events  Efficacy Monitoring • Success / Futility • Masked / Unmasked (coded) treatment group • Frequency of monitoring · At all DSMC meetings · At planned interim analysis times; how often • Interim analysis boundaries Formal / informal 4

  5. Example : Placebo Controlled Masked RCT Click to edit headline for your slide here.  Non-life threatening  Primary outcome: first recurrence by 12 months end of treatment period  Accrual over 4 years, 18 months of followup  Multi-center  DSMC meetings 2x/year • Safety monitoring • Efficacy Monitoring 5

  6. Example: Efficacy Monitoring Click to edit headline for your slide here. DSMC / Investigator Views  DSMC • Monitor unmasked efficacy at every meeting (approximately 8 times) • Stopping boundaries at p very low • One formal planned interim analysis: O’Brien Fleming boundaries for efficacy; no futility boundaries  Investigators • One formal planned interim analysis: O’Brien Fleming boundaries for efficacy and futility • No interim analyses 6

  7. Impacts on Study Conduct Click to edit headline for your slide here.  DSMC • Stated goal ‘not to stop the study’ • Needs efficacy to evaluate safety  Investigators • Would not like to stop study • Efficacy would always be available to DSMC if any safety concerns at all • Concerns re impact of repeated looks - On final p-value for efficacy - Influence on behavior 7

  8. Informal Survey Click to edit headline for your slide here.  Respondents confidentiality preserved  Very small convenience sample  Responses • Initial response: · DSMC needs to see everything • Thoughtful responses: · Depends on trial and implications 8

  9. Acknowledgements Click to edit headline for your slide here.  Thank you to my statistical and clinical colleagues for thoughtful discussions of these issues  Thank you to the speaker and panelists for a provocative discussion 9

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