TSX: CHR
D e l i v e r i n g r e g i o n a l a v i a t i o n t o t h e w o r l d
June 25, 2019
Chorus Aviation Overview June 25, 2019 D e l i v e r i n g r e g i - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Chorus Aviation Overview June 25, 2019 D e l i v e r i n g r e g i o n a l a v i a t i o n t o t h e w o r l d TSX: CHR Caution regarding forward-looking information This presentation contains forward-looking information as
TSX: CHR
D e l i v e r i n g r e g i o n a l a v i a t i o n t o t h e w o r l d
June 25, 2019
This presentation contains “forward-looking information” as defined under applicable Canadian securities laws. Forward-looking information is identified by the use of terms and phrases such as “anticipate”, “believe”, “could”, “estimate”, “expect”, “intend”, “may”, “plan”, “predict”, “project”, “will”, “would”, and similar terms and phrases, including references to
strategies, expectations, planned operations or future actions. Forward-looking information relates to analyses and other information that are based on forecasts of future results, estimates of amounts not yet determinable and other uncertain
important risks and uncertainties. Any forecasts or forward-looking predictions or statements cannot be relied upon due to, among other things, external events, changing market conditions and general uncertainties of the business. Such statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those expressed in forward-looking information. Factors that could cause results to differ materially from those expressed in this presentation include those identified in Chorus’ public disclosure record available at www.sedar.com and the risk factors identified in Chorus’ Annual Information Form dated February 21, 2019. Statements containing forward-looking information in this presentation represent Chorus' expectations as of the date of this presentation (or as of the date they are otherwise stated to be made) and are subject to change after such date. Chorus disclaims any intention or
Chorus Aviation Overview
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3
Chorus Aviation Overview
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Chorus Aviation Overview
Regional Jets Up to 130 passengers
Bombar bardi dier
CRJ-200 to CRJ-1000
Embr brae aer
E135 to E190
Airbus bus
A220
83 83% 37% 7% 17% 7% Turbo props Regional Jets Narrow Body Jets
2 main types of regional aircraft Flying shorter distances than Narrow Body jets
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Chorus Aviation Overview
3,60 ,600 2,300 00 5,90 ,900 15 15,80 800 4,500 00 Regional Aircraft Narrow Body Wide Body
Accounting for ~22% of the world’s commercial fleet
Jet ets TP TP
1 OAG (20
2012) 2). 2 FlightGlobal (2019), includes in-service aircraft with more than 20 seats
50% 50% of
passe ssengers s fly <500 m 500 miles
Turbo props Up to 90 passengers
Bombar bardi dier
Dash 8 – 100 to 400
ATR TR
ATR 42 to ATR 72
% of all flights below 500 miles 1 Worldwide aircraft fleet 2
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Indexed aircraft value volatility for narrow-body, turboprop and regional jet aircraft
80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Turboprop aircraft Narrow-body aircraft Regional jet aircraft
Source: AVITAS
Chorus Aviation Overview
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56 outside N-A 67 inside CPA
Monthly dividend per share (DRIP)
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Note: Market capitalization value based on 158,941,932 shares outstanding and TSX closing stock price of $7.79 as of June 24, 2019.
1 Includes 16 future committed leased transactions outside North America and 9 future CRJ900 acquisitions/leased transactions inside the CPA.
40 ye year ars
Jose seph R h Rand ndell
Pres esiden ent an and Chief ef E Exec ecutive e Officer er
30 ye year ars
Co Colin Co Copp
COO an and P Pres esiden ent, Chor
Aviat ation
Ser ervices es
37 ye year ars
Stev eve R e Ridolfi fi
Pres esiden ent, Chor
Aviat ation
Cap apital al
26 ye year ars
Jolen ene M e Mahody
Exec ecutive e VP an and Chief ef S Strat ateg egy O Officer er
5 ye year ars
Denni nnis L s Lopes
Sen enior
VP, C Chief ef Leg Legal al Officer er an and C Cor
Sec ecret etar ary
Chorus Aviation Overview
9 Gary ary O Osborn rne
Chie ief Fin inancia ial O l Offic icer
27 ye year ars
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Chorus Aviation Overview
Operating Revenues Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted Net Income
107. 7.2 115 115.4 102.0 .0 115 115.4 12 121. 1.8
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 $M
CAG AGR
2014 t to 2 2018 18
215. 5.9 228 228.3 248.1 .1 286.9 86.9 342.7 .7
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 $M
1,666 ,666 1,54 545 1,27 277 1,352 52 1,451 51
2014* 2015 2016 2017 2018 $M
CAG AGR
2014 t to 2 2018 18
CAG AGR
2016 t to 2 2018
12%+ %+ RO ROIC
Effective 2019, the CPA fixed fee compensation reduces from $111.3M (2018) to $75.5 for 2019 and 2020. See slide 22.
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Chorus Aviation Overview
Headquarters (2)
▲ Line maintenance facilities (4) Heavy maintenance facilities (2)
Vancouver Toronto Montreal Calgary North Bay
Cho horus us Aviat ation
Cap apital al In Internat ation
al
ffices
Halifax
Note: Chorus’ presence in Singapore and England consists of business development representatives
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Chorus Aviation Overview
Con
cted Fly lyin ing Main intena nance, , Repa pair ir & & Ov Overha haul Aircra raft Leasi sing & & Trading ding
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MRO Services New Customers
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Operates scheduled service through a CPA with Air Canada under the Air Canada Express brand Offers charters throughout North America for corporate clients, governments, special interest groups and individuals
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Chorus Aviation Overview
Provides medical, logistical and humanitarian flight operations to blue chip customers globally
Air Canada Express flying Charter flights Specialized contracted flying
Responsibilities under the Capacity Purchase Agreement Air Canada Jazz
schedules
commercial risk
passenger & cargo transport
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Chorus Aviation Overview
Flexibility to r
uickly and nd e efficient ntly t to m
hang nges and nd op
unities
azz man anag ages Air C Can anad ada a Express operat ations at at 3 36 ai airports ac across Can anad ada
ualified p pilot
thr hroug
h Pilot
Mob
Prog
Benefits for Air Canada
regional seat capacity
leased under the CPA
daily flights
N.A. destinations
larger aircraft for CPA fleet
for the leasing business
lease revenue under CPA
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1The revenue estimates are based on agreed aircraft lease rates in the CPA and certain assumptions and estimates for future market lease rates
related to new and extended leases under the CPA. A foreign exchange rate of 1.2600 (based on the long-term historical average rate) was used in the calculation of the estimates. See cautionary statement regarding forward-looking information on slide 2
253 266 593 748 134 577 980 1,610 223 151 325 308 399 548 858
Original CPA Amended CPA Original CPA Amended CPA Original CPA Amended CPA Original CPA Amended CPA
Fixed fee Aircraft leasing
476 417 918 1,056 1341 976 1,528 2,468
reductions more than offset by term extension and aircraft leasing
the term of the amended agreement
extensions/renewals beyond 2025
performance incentives will average ~$3.4M annually over the term
and are not included in the contracted revenue figures
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Chorus Aviation Overview
1 Certain current aircraft leases under the current CPA extend past December 31, 2025 2 ‘Total Amended CPA’ column includes contracted aircraft leasing for 2036 and beyond estimated at $19 million
See cautionary statement regarding forward-looking information on slide 2
2019-2020
Significant fleet transition
2021-2025
2026-2035
TOTAL
($59M) +$138M +$842M +$940M
Minimum contracted revenue in CPA ($M)
2
Change vs Original CPA
Aircr craft ty t type pe
Seat at Cap ap. Exis xistin ing Fleet eet
Comme mment nt
Am Amend nded CP CPA
Bombardier Q400 NextGen 74 44
extend lease to 2030
2025 and 2028 36
Bombardier CRJ-900 75 21
under the CPA
and leased to Jazz in the first half of 2019 35
Bombardier CRJ-200 50 10
15
Bombardier Dash 8-300 50 26
Service Program and generate leasing revenue under the CPA
19
Bombardier Dash 8-100 37 15
with larger aircraft
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Chorus Aviation Overview
renewal on current aircraft and possibility of new aircraft
when needed
engineering and aircraft modifications
approved
Organization
Q400s and Dash 7s
aircraft - great complement to MRO activities
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Chorus Aviation Overview
Halifax, NS North Bay, ON
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and reduce per-seat-cost
the next 20 years1
for regional aircraft (~25%) compared to narrow-body jets (~49%)
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Chorus Aviation Overview
will create opportunities for regional air travel
value compared to narrow-body aircraft
Es Esse sentia ial l com
comme mmercia ial l avi viation
Very r resilie silient deman and f from
a broad
user bas ase Ge Geog
aphical ally y div iverse se d dema mand St Stable technol
and s d suppl pply
1 Bombardier Market Forecast 2017-2036
1 2 3 4
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Highly Experienced Team Customers New to Mid-Life Aircraft Long-Term Leases Low Cost of Capital
investment capital when levered at 3:1
raised have been committed as of June 13, 2019
investment allocated to leasing under the CPA
Net proceeds
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Chorus Aviation Overview
C$ M
Investment from Fairfax Financial Public share
Air Canada Investment 201 017 201 018 201 019
Note: Amounts shown above are expressed in terms of gross proceeds, except for the $401 M, which is net proceeds See cautionary statement regarding forward-looking information on slide 2
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1 Includes all aircraft which
have been delivered as well as pending acquisitions and future deliveries for which CAC has received lease commitments.
2 Fleet age and remaining
lease term are calculated based on the weighted- average of aircraft net book value of 45 aircraft as of March 31, 2019.
3 Debt and contract terms of
87.2% fixed rate debt (inclusive of floating rate debt that is fixed through the use of swaps) and 12.8% floating rate debt (with leases that float on the same basis as the debt).
4 Reflects actual borrowings
as at March 31, 2019 only.
Ame meri rica 3 A Airc rcra raft
Ame meri rica 5 A Airc rcra raft Euro rope 15 A Airc rcra raft Afr fric ica 9 A Airc rcra raft Aus ustr tralia 3 A Airc rcra raft Asi sia 21 A Airc rcra raft Chorus Aviation Overview See cautionary statement regarding forward-looking information on slide 2
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Chorus Aviation Overview
nd la
5,970
1,565 1,250 1,235 735 515 500 485 360 340
NAC Chorus GECAS Chorus Falko DAE Elix TrueNoord Avation Avmax HEH
Chorus i s is s th the
ly lar large ge r regio gional al air aircraf aft le lessor wh whic ich is is als also an an o
perator Portfolio value (US$ M)
See cautionary statement regarding forward-looking information on slide 2 So Source: e: FlightGlobal (June 2019); portfolio values based on half-life CMVs
1Chorus’ value, including commitments, consists of 67 aircraft leased under the capacity purchase agreement,
including 9 future CRJ900 acquisitions and 11 future ESPs. Non-CPA aircraft leasing includes all aircraft which have been delivered as well as 16 pending acquisitions and future deliveries for which CAC has lease commitments.
2Chorus’ current value includes 47 aircraft leased under the capacity purchase agreement and 40 non-CPA
aircraft leased to customers outside of North America.
3Falko includes Avolon
1 2
Including commitments Current
3
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Chorus Aviation Overview
Turboprops Regional al J Jets ts
Customer Aircraft committed1 Dash 8 ATR CRJ Embraer IndiGo 6
Ethiopian 5
Azul 5
SpiceJet 5
Air Nostrum 4
Lion Air 4
Jambojet 4
Philippine Airlines 3
Falcon 3
AeroMexico 3
Flybe 8
Virgin Australia 3
Cityjet 2
KLM 1
Total al t third rd-part arty 56 25 19 6 6 Air Canada 67
Gran rand t total al 123 123 78 78 19 19 20 20 6
1Chorus value includes 67 aircraft leased
under the capacity purchase agreement which include 9 future CRJ900 acquisitions and 11 future ESPs on Dash 8-300 aircraft that will generate revenue under the CPA. Non-CPA aircraft leasing includes all aircraft which have been delivered as well as 16 pending acquisitions and future deliveries for which CAC has lease commitments.
De Descr crip iptio ion Samp mple C Chor horus us Trans nsaction
Purchase of assets with attached leases from lessor’s non-core portfolio Purchase of 2 E190s with Aeromexico leases attached from Investec
Sale and leaseback of existing or future aircraft deliveries Purchase of 3 new Bombardier Q400s from Philippine Airlines with concurrent long-term leaseback agreement
manufacturers
Direct purchase from manufacturers for subsequent lease to airlines Purchase of 2 Q400 turboprops directly from Bombardier with subsequent lease agreement to JamboJet Airlines
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1 Bombardier Market Forecast 2017-2036
Source: FlightGlobal (2019), Chorus Aviation estimates
aircraft leasing long-term contracts
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Chorus Aviation Overview
financing requirements and eliminates risk on aircraft residual value
aircraft
Visibility on future revenues and costs Protected profit margin under CPA Better suited to serve reduced market demand Conservative approach to leasing business Valuable aircraft lifecycle
See cautionary statement regarding forward-looking information on slide 2
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Consolidated Income Statement
For the three months ended March 31, 2019 and 2018
Expressed in thousands of Canadian dollars, except earnings per share
Operating revenue 343,867 323,663
Operating expenses Salaries, wages and benefits 127,962 117,487 Depreciation and amortization 32,250 29,106 Aircraft maintenance materials, supplies and services 59,327 53,770 Airport and navigation fees 40,294 39,573 Terminal handling services 6,124 6,258 Other 37,791 32,481 303,748 278,675
Operating income 40,119 44,988
Non-operating (expenses) income Interest revenue 796 371 Interest expense (16,537) (14,210) Gain on disposal of property and equipment 36 8 Foreign exchange (loss) gain 14,250 (19,793) (1,455) (33,624)
Income before income taxes 38,664 11,364
Income tax expense Current income tax (2,220) (448) Deferred income tax (2,997) (5,686) (5,217) (6,134)
Net income 33,447 5,230
Earnings per share, basic 0.22 0.04 Earnings per share, diluted 0.22 0.04
2019 2018
(Restated)
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Consolidated Statements of Financial Position
Expressed in thousands of Canadian dollars
Assets
Current assets Cash 67,595 92,592 78,007 Accounts receivable – trade and other 88,672 77,097 77,397 Inventories 59,614 55,691 51,543 Prepaid expenses and deposits 15,134 7,801 6,523 Current portion of lease receivables 5,150 5,190 4,511 Income tax receivable 90 704 2,268 Total current assets 236,255 239,075 220,249 Restricted cash 19,544 20,081 13,625 Lease receivables 12,271 13,865 17,522 Property and equipment 2,111,032 1,997,552 1,736,927 Intangibles 2,012 2,088 2,392 Goodwill 7,150 7,150 7,150 Deferred income tax asset 4,581 4,295 3,022 Other long-term assets 56,304 40,222 32,153 2,449 449,149 49 2, 2,324 24,328 28 2,033, 33,040
Liabilities
Current liabilities Accounts payable and accrued liabilities 203,902 188,522 213,431 Current portion of lease liabilities 6,536 6,719 6,179 Current portion of long-term incentive plan 4,733 4,087 5,844 Current portion of long-term debt 140,517 142,652 118,567 Dividends payable 6,337 5,657 5,014 Income tax payable 2519 930 — Total current liabilities 364,544 348,567 349,035 Lease liabilities 14,081 15,910 20,932 Long-term debt 1,060,396 1,102,783 995,062 Convertible units 194,490 194,294 193,540 Deferred income tax liability 179,204 172,262 135,577 Other long-term liabilities 82,778 60,705 57,294 1,895,493 1,894,521 1,751,440
Equity
553,656 429,807 281,600 2,449,149 2,324,328 2,033,040
January 1, 2018
(Restated)
March 31, December 31, 2019 2018
(Restated)
As at
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Seg egmen ented ed Fi Financial S Statem emen ent
Thr hree M Mont nths hs E End nded M March 3 h 31, 2 2019
Operating revenue 317,994 25,873 343,867 306,017 17,646 323,663 Operating expenses 290,636 13,112 303,748 270,071 8,604 278,675 Operatin ing in income 27,358 12,761 40,119 35,946 9,042 44,988 Net interest expense (8,952) (6,789) (15,741) (9,445) (4,394) (13,839) Foreign exchange gain (loss) 14,406 (156) 14,250 (19,997) 204 (19,793) Other 36 — 36 8 — 8 Earnings before income tax 32,848 5,816 38,664 6,512 4,852 11,364 Income tax expense (4,509) (708) (5,217) (5,691) (443) (6,134) Net in income 2 28,339 339 5 5,1 ,108 3 33,447 447 82 821 4, 4,40 409 5 5,2 ,230 Operatin ing in income 27,358 — 27,358 35,946 — 35,946 Depreciation and amortization(1) 23,041 — 23,041 22,676 — 22,676 Employee separation(1) 355 — 355 3,459 — 3,459 Signing bonus(1) 2,000 — 2,000 — — — Adj djusted E d EBITDA(2)
2)
52 52,754 54 — 52 52,754 54 6 62,0 ,081 — 8 82,9 ,915 Adj djusted E d EBT(2)
2)
— 5 5,8 ,816 5 5,8 ,816 — 4, 4,852 4, 4,852 (1) Included in operating expenses. (2) These are non-GAAP financial measures. .
For t the he t thr hree m mont nths hs e end nded M March 3 h 31, 2 2019 For t the he t thr hree m mont nths hs e end nded M March 3 h 31, 2 2019 (Restated)
(in thousands of Canadian dollars)
Regio ional l Avia iatio ion Ser ervices es Regio ional l Airc rcra raft t Le Leasing Total al Regio ional l Avia iatio ion Ser ervices es Regio ional l Airc rcra raft t Le Leasing Total al $ $ $ $ $ $
Chorus Aviation Overview
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additional lease extensions/renewals on current and possibly new aircraft to Air Canada in amended CPA
exposure for Chorus on debt
end of 2028
to 2035
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Chorus Aviation Overview
Significant leasing
as each aircraft lease under the CPA expires
Year end nd f fleet c count
20 2019 20 2020 20 20 2021 21 20 2022 22 20 2023 23 20 2024 24 20 2025 25 20 2026 26 20 2027 27 20 2028 28 20 2029 29 20 2030 20 2031 20 2032 20 2033 20 2034 20 2035 Chorus-owned 75-78 seat aircraft earning leasing revenue under CPA 39 481 48 48 45 45 501 44 39 31 26 26 14 5 5 5 5 Chorus-owned Dash 8-300 aircraft2 (50-seat aircraft) earning leasing revenue under CPA 16 17 18 19 19 19 19
3 3 28 33 41 46 46 58 67 67 67 67 To Total 55 55 65 65 66 66 67 67 67 67 67 67 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72
1 Includes 9 CRJ900s acquired and leased in 2020 and 5 aircraft to be determined acquired and leased in 2025. 2 As of January 14, 2019, the Extended Service Program was completed on eight Dash 8-300s which are earning lease revenue under the CPA. The remaining 11
aircraft will gradually be completed by December 31, 2022 and will earn lease revenue under the amended CPA.
3 Owned Chorus aircraft that have their lease expire under the amended CPA. These aircraft have the potential for re-lease with Air Canada or other third
parties, sale or part out.
4 Aircraft debt is fully paid off with each lease expiry, including the 3 Q400s removed in 2023.
Aver erage e of 3 33 Aver erage e of 7 7 Aver erage e of 5 52
with CRJ200 regional AC Express capacity reallocated to Jazz
transition to larger gauge equipment with the Dash 8-100s exiting the fleet earlier
maintained as covered fleet until 2025
fixed fee revenue floor; set at $75.5 million in each of 2019 and 2020, given substantial fleet transitions and averages $61.6 million from 2021
in the 75-78 seat range provides minimum revenue floor of $399 million over extended term from 2026-35
Significant regional network footprint under amended CPA
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Chorus Aviation Overview
Amende ded d CPA 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 6 Onw nwar ard DASH 8-100
19 19 19 19 19 19 19
35 35 35 35 35 35 35
36 36 36 36 36 36 36
15 15 15 15 15 15 15
80 TO TOTA TAL 105 105 105 105 105 105 105 80 Previous us C CPA 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 6 Onw nwar ard DASH 8-100 15 15 12 12 4 1
26 26 26 26 26 26 26
21 21 21 21 21 21 21
44 49 49 49 49 49 49
10
TOTA TAL 116 16 111 11 108 108 100 97 97 96 96
erating aircraft in fleet eet m may b be e higher er than the m e minimum cover ered ed f fleet eet commitment, p par articular arly i y in the ear arly y ye year ars as as fleet tran ansition o
Young People 2019 - 2014
Employers 2019 - 2012
Employers 2019 - 2012
2019 - 2012
Workplace – 2018 - 2019 The Globe and Mail & Morneau Shepell
2019 2017
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Chorus Aviation Overview
2018
Gold in Transportation cat.
Publication” - Focus on Safety
Performance Awards 2018-2015
Oil crisis Gulf Crisis Asian Crisis 9/11 SARS Financial Crisis
2x 2x
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Chorus Aviation Overview
has outperformed GDP growth by ~2.0x
forecast of 4.4% 1
by 2 factors:
requirements, and no residual value risk
Air Travel expected to double from 2015 to 2025 1 Airlines increasingly dependent on operating leases 2
5 10 15 20 25 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017 2022 2027 2032 2037
2,000 000 3,1 ,100 4,7 4,700 6,1 ,100 7,3 ,300 9,40 ,400 17 17% 24% 4% 32 32% 36 36% 40 40% 43 43%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,0001995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2019 Oper erating l lea ease e marke rket s share re Oper erating l lea ease e fleet leet ( (es est.)
Worl rld ai airc rcraf raft fleet o
an operat rating l leas ase World annual t traffic (trillion RPK) K)
1 Airbus Global Market Forecast (2018-2037), 2 FlightGlobal (2019), includes in-service TPs, RJs, and NBs with more than 20 seats
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Inputs Investment information Rentals Expenses Sale A ircraft cost $20 .0 A verage LRF .90 % Interest rate 4 .50 % Holding period 10 Loan/ value .75 $15.0 Monthy rental $0 .18 Depreciation rate 5.0 % Sales value .0 % Equity $5.0 A nnual rental $2.2 Payment at maturity 25.0 % (Gain over NBV) D/ E Ratio 3.0 x Year Cash flow/ Revenue Interest Expense Cash earnings (EBITDA / EBITDA R) Depreciation Taxes (deferred, 12.5%) Net Income Debt Repayment Sales proceeds Total Cash NBV Equity A ircraft Value Debt Balance (5.0 ) (5.0 ) 5.0 20 .0 15.0 1 2.2 (0 .7) 1.5 (1.0 ) (0 .1) .4 (1.1) .4 5.4 19.0 13.9 2 2.2 (0 .6) 1.5 (1.0 ) (0 .1) .5 (1.1) .4 5.9 18.0 12.8 3 2.2 (0 .6) 1.6 (1.0 ) (0 .1) .5 (1.1) .5 6.4 17.0 11.6 4 2.2 (0 .5) 1.6 (1.0 ) (0 .1) .6 (1.1) .5 7.0 16.0 10 .5 5 2.2 (0 .5) 1.7 (1.0 ) (0 .1) .6 (1.1) .6 7.6 15.0 9.4 6 2.2 (0 .4 ) 1.7 (1.0 ) (0 .1) .6 (1.1) .6 8.2 14 .0 8.3 7 2.2 (0 .4 ) 1.8 (1.0 ) (0 .1) .7 (1.1) .7 8.9 13.0 7.1 8 2.2 (0 .3) 1.8 (1.0 ) (0 .1) .7 (1.1) .7 9.6 12.0 6.0 9 2.2 (0 .3) 1.9 (1.0 ) (0 .1) .8 (1.1) .8 10 .4 11.0 4 .9 10 2.2 (0 .2) 1.9 (1.0 ) (0 .1) .8 (4 .9) 10 .0 7.1 11.2 10 .0 .0
See cautionary statement regarding forward-looking information on slide 2