Changing Demographics Grey County Prepared by Institutional - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Prepared by Institutional Research (February 2016)

Changing Demographics

Grey County

• Pop. Growth 15 to 19 year olds in Ontario

2 600,000 650,000 700,000 750,000 800,000 850,000 900,000 950,000 1,000,000 1,050,000 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 return to 2013 population level in 2032 Expected return to growth 11.6% growth 2013 to 2041

• 9.6%

• Pop. Growth 15 to 19 year olds in Grey County

3 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 Expected return to growth return to 2013 population level is not reached by 2041 7.5% decline 2013 to 2041

• 18.9%

Grey County – pop. change 2013 to 2020

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0 to 14 15-19 20-24 25 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 65 65+

3.3%

• 18.9%
• 13.3%

15.6% 0.8%

• 20.6%

6.7% 24.3%

• Pop. Change 15 to 19 year olds in other counties

5 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041

Muskoka Dufferin Bruce Huron Parry Sound

0.5%

• 0.3%
• 7.5%
• 19.9%
• 18.5%
• 17.4%
• 16.7%
• 18.1%
• 16.8%
• 19.9%

15 -19 years– All Municipalities 2013 to 2020

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• 35.0%
• 30.0%
• 25.0%
• 20.0%
• 15.0%
• 10.0%
• 5.0%

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% Toronto Durham Halton Peel York Brant Dufferin Hald-Nor Haliburton Hamilton Muskoka Niagara Northumberland Peterborough Simcoe Kawartha Waterloo Wellington Ottawa Frontenac Hastings Lanark Leedsgren Lennox-Add Pres-Russ Prince Edward refrew Sto-Dun-Glen Kenora Rainy River TBAy Algoma Cochrane Manitoulin Nipissing Parry Sound Greater Sudbury Sudbury Timiskaming Bruce Elgin Essex Grey Huron Chatham-Kent Lambton Middlesex Oxford Perth

15 -19 years– All Municipalities 2013 to 2041

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• 40.0%
• 30.0%
• 20.0%
• 10.0%

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0%

Toronto Durham Halton Peel York Brant Dufferin Hald-Nor Haliburton Hamilton Muskoka Niagara Northumberland Peterborough Simcoe Kawartha Waterloo Wellington Ottawa Frontenac Hastings Lanark Leedsgren Lennox-Add Pres-Russ Prince Edward refrew Sto-Dun-Glen Kenora Rainy River TBAy Algoma Cochrane Manitoulin Nipissing Parry Sound Greater Sudbury Sudbury Timiskaming Bruce Elgin Essex Grey Huron Chatham-Kent Lambton Middlesex Oxford Perth

Change in the number of 15-19 year olds by county

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2013 to 2020 2013 to 2041

Muskoka

• 595
• 268

Dufferin

• 849

23 Bruce

• 668
• 13

Grey

• 1100
• 435

Huron

• 794
• 793

Parry Sound

• 405
• 432

Simcoe

• 4060

2200

TOTAL

• 8,471

282

Impact

Demographic changes will have a profound impact on:

• fiscal planning
• program mix
• Program delivery options

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Planning

• Undertake appropriate fiscal planning and

execution to mitigate drop in grant funding for FTPS

• Refine program mix and institutional
• rganization to target potential growth areas
• Second career
• Part Time Studies
• International students
• Workforce Development

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Planning

• Refine/enhance program delivery options
• Online
• Hybrid
• Continuous intake
• Increase degree offerings in Simcoe-Grey

through our Lakehead-Georgian partnership

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