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A critical review of the consideration of climate change risks and opportunities in EIAs IAIAsa Conference 29 August 2014 Maxwell Denga & Carli Steenkamp School of Geo and Spatial Sciences North-West University Potchefstroom Campus


  1. A critical review of the consideration of climate change risks and opportunities in EIAs IAIAsa Conference 29 August 2014 Maxwell Denga & Carli Steenkamp School of Geo and Spatial Sciences North-West University Potchefstroom Campus maxwell.denga@grinaker-lta.co.za & Carli.Steenkamp@nwu.ac.za

  2. Introduction • UNFCCC (2003) describes climate change as “ the change of the earth’s climate due to the harmful effects of human activities” • Climate change should be considered to be amongst the most serious threats to global sustainable development (IPCC, 2000b) • Adverse impacts expected on natural (water security) and anthropogenic systems Global impacts of climate change

  3. Introduction • SA faces particular challenges with regards to climate change • The government acknowledged that climate change is real and that it poses a serious threat (DEAT, 2008) • Government is committed towards responding to the climate change impacts, stabilising global GHG concentrations and implementing CO² emission reduction targets • To achieve these targets, SA needs to take drastic and decisive actions in the immediate to medium-term future • Mainstreaming climate change considerations into social, economic and environmental policies (DEAT, 2004) • EIA is one of the tools for environmental protection through which climate change could be potentially addressed (Sok et al, 2011) • The current EIA approach does not encompass climate change issues or the broader long-term implications for sustainable development (Gilder and Parramon, 2011)

  4. Research Objectives • The objectives for the research: – To what extent do EIAs for housing developments in the Gauteng Province consider climate change risks and opportunities? – What are the drivers (opportunities) and barriers (challenges) to improving the consideration of climate change issues in EIAs?

  5. Scope and method of research • Twenty (20) case studies from the CJMM and CTMM were analysed

  6. Scope and method of research • The analyses grouped by the developed 5 criteria in order to get a true reflection of similarities and differences between case studies: Criterion No Criterion requirement  1 Development should be housing-related and within the selected metropolitan areas  2 The EIA regulation regime should be based on either the 1997, 2006 or 2010 EIA regulations  3 Access to the relevant reports granted by the respective authorities  4 Reports should be compiled by different environmental practitioners  5 Reports should be the final reports submitted to the authorities for review

  7. Scope and method of research • List of evaluation questions and justification used: Review Phase in the Criterion question Justification criteria EIA process (RC)  Gilder et al (2008) RC1 Scoping Were the impacts (risks and opportunities) associated with climate change considered during scoping?  Sok et al (2011) RC2 Public Have stakeholders raised the need to consider IEMA (2013) participation climate changes in EIAs during the public participation process?  IEMA (2010) RC3 Assessment Was climate variability included in the Braklacich (2008) assessment of the potential impacts?  IEMA (2013) RC4 Significance Are identified climate change-related impacts Byer and Yeomans rating thoroughly evaluated in terms of their (2007) significance?  Personal RC5 Mitigation Does the EMP include information on the Communication measures that need to be taken to ensure the (2012) project’s own resilience to climate change? NCCRS (2004)

  8. Scope and method of research • Scoring criteria for consideration of climate change issues: Definition Justification and application Scoring level A Considered Climate change risks and/or opportunities are completely and clearly referred to and directly addressed. B Generally Climate change risks and/or opportunities are considered considered to a limited extent and are at times generally referred to and/or indirectly/somewhat addressed. C Not considered Climate change risks and/or opportunities are not identified or considered at all.

  9. Results: RC1 - Consideration of climate change in scoping Case Study RC1 • Climate change impacts are 1 A generally considered (B) during 2 A scoping. 3 A 4 C • Some of the issues raised: 5 B 6 A – Floodline determination, storm water 7 B control, energy efficiency, extreme 8 C events … 9 C 10 B 11 B 12 B 13 C 14 B 15 C 16 B 17 C 18 C 19 C 20 C Overall B

  10. Results: RC2 - Consideration of climate change in public participation • Climate change impacts are not Case Study RC2 considered (C) during public 1 A participation. 2 C • Some of the issues raised: 3 C 4 C – Impacts during extreme weather 5 C events. Request by local authority to 6 A include storm water and flood line 7 C requirements … 8 C 9 C – Wetland delineation and potential 10 C for flood reduction … 11 C 12 C 13 C 14 B 15 C 16 C 17 C 18 C 19 B 20 C Overall C

  11. Results: RC3 - Consideration of climate change in Impact Assessment • Climate change impacts are not Case Study RC3 considered (C) during impact 1 B 2 A assessment. 3 A 4 C 5 A • Some of the issues raised: 6 A 7 B – Assessed the impact of climate 8 C variability: how it will affect 9 C transportation, housing, social well- 10 C being, health, etc. 11 B 12 B 13 C 14 A 15 C 16 C 17 C 18 C 19 B 20 C Overall C

  12. Results: RC4 - Consideration of climate change in significance rating • Climate change impacts are not Case Study RC4 considered (C) during the significance 1 B 2 C rating. 3 B 4 C • Some of the issues raised: 5 B 6 B – Determination of costs of damage and 7 C the aftermath of storm surges, 8 C proximity to water resources from the 9 C settlement areas … 10 C 11 C 12 C 13 C 14 A 15 C 16 C 17 C 18 C 19 B 20 C Overall C

  13. Results: RC5 - Consideration of climate change in mitigation strategies • Climate change impacts are Case Study RC5 1 B generally considered (B) during the 2 B mitigation strategies. 3 A 4 C 5 A • Some of the issues raised: 6 A 7 B – Resource efficient and climate 8 B resilient housing buildings, planting 9 C of indigenous trees, use of gas for 10 C cooking purposes, use of public 11 B transport … 12 B 13 C 14 B 15 C 16 B 17 C 18 C 19 B 20 C Overall B

  14. Overall Results: Consideration of climate change in EIA Case Scoping PP IA Significance Mitigation Study 1 A A B B B 2 A C A C B 3 A C A B A 4 C C C C C 5 B C A B A 6 A A A B A 7 B C B C B 8 C C C C B 9 C C C C C 10 B C C C C 11 B C B C B 12 B C B C B 13 C C C C C 14 B B A A B 15 C C C C C 16 B C C C B 17 C C C C C 18 C C C C C 19 C B B B B 20 C C C C C B C C C B

  15. Overall Results: Case studies

  16. Challenges for considering climate change risks and opportunities in EIA The following are the main challenges noted from the analysis of the interview and questionnaire responses: • Climate change as a separate issue • “ EAPs are not thinking outside the regulatory requirements box ” • Climate change as a global/regional issue • Focus on positive approval and not on sustainability • Capacity at government level • Climate change knowledge

  17. Opportunities for considering climate change risks and opportunities in EIA The following opportunities were identified from the questionnaires and interviews: • EIA process assists with flood determination and protection • Building adaptive capacity through provision of basic services • Improved urban management • Government authorities/officials should take a lead • Reconsider household fittings and furnishing

  18. Conclusion • Those involved in deliberating on housing development generally do not consider matters relating to climate change in EIA • Key weakness areas are: public participation, impact assessment and impact significance • Climate change issues were generally considered during the scoping process and in the mitigation strategies • The main challenges relate to how climate change impacts are perceived, integrative thinking, and lack of capacity • Need an enabling regulatory framework and guidance for dealing with climate change • The goal of incorporating climate change risks and opportunities within EIAs remains aspirational than operational

  19. Thank you!

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