CAPITAL MARKETS DAY
12 September 2019
CAPITAL MARKETS DAY 12 September 2019 DISCLAIMER This presentation - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
CAPITAL MARKETS DAY 12 September 2019 DISCLAIMER This presentation includes forward- looking statements. The words believe, expect, anticipate, intend, may, plan, estimate, will, should,
12 September 2019
DISCLAIMER
This presentation includes forward-looking statements. The words “believe”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “intend”, “may”, “plan”, “estimate”, “will”, “should”, “could”, “aim”, “target”, “might”, or, in each case, their negative, or any similar expressions identify certain of these forward-looking
subject to assumptions, risks and uncertainties. Although Cramo believes that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, actual results may differ, even materially, from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. Cramo expects presentation participants and readers of this presentation not to place undue reliance on such statements. The information and views contained in this presentation are provided as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change without
information, future events or otherwise, except to the extent legally required. Viewers are expected to understand that this presentation does not constitute, and should not be construed as, an offer or recommendation to buy, sell or subscribe for Cramo’s securities anywhere in the world or an inducement to enter into any investment activity relating to the
invest in Cramo securities whatsoever. Potential investors are instructed to acquaint themselves with Cramo’s annual accounts, interim reports and stock exchange releases as well as other information published by Cramo to form a comprehensive picture of the company and its securities. Cramo publishes inside information according to Market Abuse Regulation (MAR) and the rules of Nasdaq Helsinki.
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TODAY’S SPEAKERS
Leif Gustafsson
President & CEO
Aku Rumpunen
CFO
Martin Holmgren
Senior Vice President, Fleet Management
3
AGENDA
12:30 – 13:00 Introduction and Cramo in brief
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO
13:00 – 14:15 Cramo strategy
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO Martin Holmgren, SVP Fleet Management
14:15 – 14:30 Q&A
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO Martin Holmgren, SVP Fleet Management
14:30 – 14:45 Break 14:45 – 15:15 Financials
Aku Rumpunen, CFO
15:15 – 15:40 Key investment highlights
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO
15:40 – 15:55 Q&A
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO Aku Rumpunen, CFO
15:55 – 16:00 Wrap-up
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO
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Your productivity partner in rental and beyond
CRAMO GROUP Business partner, digital innovator and frontrunner.
Through reliable products, services and innovative digital solutions, Cramo is a business partner increasing the productivity and work safety of our
Sustainability, digitalisation and focus on our people are at the core of our strategy.
4.2% 2.8% 2014-2019E 2019E-2020E
€634m
CRAMO AT A GLANCE
Notes: (1) Based on latest available market data and 2019 LTM revenue. (2) Data based on ERA and Forecon, weighted by Cramo’s sales in respective country. (3) Includes assembly, maintenance and repair, logistics. (4) Includes primarily sale of merchandise and new machinery.
6 Central Europe
20%
Finland and Eastern Europe
23%
Scandinavia
57%
2019 LTM sales in 11 countries
Tools Construction equipment Access equipment Building site facilities
~217,000 rental units ~11,000 digitally connected units Company numbers Offering Market
Equipment rental
72%
Services(3)
22%
€634m
Other(4)
6%
Revenue by segment Expected rental market growth p.a.(2)
Market growth drivers
employees
depots European market position 2.4% market share in Europe(1)
#3.
customers
CRAMO CARE IS OUR STRATEGY FOR INTEGRATING SUSTAINABILITY INTO OUR BUSINESS
Cramo Care focuses on 4 key areas (customer, employee, environmental and social care) with ambitious targets set within each
Notes: (1) Number of work-related accidents with at least one full day absence / million working hours. (2) CO2e emissions, scope 1 and 2 (relative to sales). A market-based method is used to calculate CO2e emissions from electricity.
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Target >70
72 73 75 2016 2017 2018
Customer Care
Most satisfied customers in the industry
Customer Satisfaction Index 13.7 9.9 9.5 2016 2017 2018
Employee Care
Zero accidents
LTIR(1) 18.4 17.5 15.6 2016 2017 2018
Environmental Care
Zero emissions
Emissions(2) (t/€m revenue) 1 2016 2017 2018
Social Care
Top ranking in business ethics
Legal proceedings
Target <5 by 2020 Target <15t/€m by 2020 Target 0
VALUE-ADDING BUSINESS MODEL
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NEW BUILD RENOVATION MAINTENANCE OPERATORS
Customer needs
Source equipment (OEMs) Ensure availability Distribute & collect Maintain & repair Provide add-on services
Cramo
Rental revenue Services revenue Accessories / Merchandise Resale
Revenue streams
~2,700 employees serve over 150,000 customers in 11 countries ~217,000 rental units available in ~300 depots Effective solutions and innovations based on customer needs ~11,000 digitally connected units with data driven insights Multi-channel business model to ensure customer experience Sustainable solutions enabling and driving the sharing economy
Competitive advantages
DIVERSE GROUP OF CUSTOMER NEEDS DRIVING DEMAND
New build
Residential, non-residential, industrial, others Demand volatiIity: Cyclical
Maintenance
Repair, maintain, extend Demand volatiIity: Stable
Renovation
Construction, industrial, public, households Demand volatiIity: Moderate
Operators
Power, heat & cool, light, dry Demand volatiIity: Stable
Customer needs Customer mix(1)
Note: (1) Other consists of public sector, households and other.
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€632m
(2018)
Construction industry
57%
Industrials
23%
Other
20%
WIDE RANGE OF PRODUCTS AND SERVICES OFFERED TO MEET CLIENTS’ DEMAND
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EUROPEAN PLATFORM WITH DENSE DEPOT FOOTPRINT
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Note: (1) Operative ROCE defined as comparable EBITA to average of tangible assets and net working capital.
6 6 16 2 5 2 2 3 2 2 4 3 2 2 2 5+
Scandinavia
18.8%
EBITA MARGIN
20.0%
ROCE(1)
2
COUNTRIES
118
DEPOTS
Central Europe
6.5%
EBITA MARGIN
4.9%
ROCE(1)
5
COUNTRIES
73
DEPOTS
Finland & Eastern Europe
15.1%
EBITA MARGIN
11.7%
ROCE(1)
4
COUNTRIES
111
DEPOTS
= Depot = Hub
Example of hub-and-spoke structure in Stockholm
2019 LTM
ECONOMIC VALUE-ADD OF RENTAL MODEL
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Illustrative example for Access equipment Customer benefits Owning vs. renting
Illustrative example for Access equipment
Note: Illustrative example.
Customer Cramo Purchase price:
100 80
Resale value after 10 years:
6 12
Annual R&M cost:
5 4
Time utilisation:
30% 60%
supply, driving higher fleet utilisation
(100) (50) 50 100 150 200 250 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Cramo break-even after ~3 years
Year Net cash flow
Customer break-even after ~9.5 years
Cramo economics Customer economics Frees up capital and lowers financial risk INVESTMENT PERSPECTIVE
>
Allows greater focus on the core business OPERATING PERSPECTIVE
>
Ensures alignment with CSR policies AWARENESS PERSPECTIVE
>
equipment
THE JOURNEY TO CREATING TWO INDEPENDENT AND FOCUSED LISTED COMPANIES
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Demerger of Adapteo concludes a joint journey… We have developed Cramo and Adapteo to become two independent and focused businesses in their respective segments During this journey, we have made significant investments in building strong management teams and organisational capabilities in both companies …and now we are right-sizing Cramo to meet tomorrow’s demand Actions taken to right-size our indirect cost base which will be fully executed during 2019 with full run-rate impact from 1 January 2020 The actions primarily impact Group support functions as well as
Adapteo have had overlapping cost structures
Other
expenses
€7-8m
Employee benefit expenses
€3-4m
Targeted run- rate savings
€10-12m
DEMERGER AND ONGOING RIGHT-SIZING OF CRAMO PROVIDES FURTHER CLARITY AND EFFICIENCY GAINS
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Reduced complexity Strengthened and focused management More efficient and streamlined Cramo Clearer investment profile Increased capacity to grow and secure shareholder value
KEY INITIATIVES
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model
Pricing
customers
Sales initiatives
Performance management
Hub and spoke
across functions
Capability building
AGENDA
12:30 – 13:00 Introduction and Cramo in brief
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO
13:00 – 14:15 Cramo strategy
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO Martin Holmgren, SVP Fleet Management
14:15 – 14:30 Q&A
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO Martin Holmgren, SVP Fleet Management
14:30 – 14:45 Break 14:45 – 15:15 Financials
Aku Rumpunen, CFO
15:15 – 15:40 Key investment highlights
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO
15:40 – 15:55 Q&A
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO Aku Rumpunen, CFO
15:55 – 16:00 Wrap-up
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO
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INTRODUCING CRAMO NXT STRATEGY 2023
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CRAMO NXT STRATEGY 2023
NEW VISION – MISSION AND VALUES REMAIN
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Vision Your productivity partner in rental and beyond Values Credibility, creativity, commitment Mission Shared resources simplified
STRATEGY BUILT ON FOUR OBJECTIVES AND FOUR ENABLERS
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Leading partner for services The digital leader in the rental industry Stronghold in industrial segment Top-tier performance across Group Enablers
Effective communications Clarified operating model & strengthened process management Operational & financial transparency Performance management
THREE FOCUS AREAS FOR TOP TIER PERFORMANCE
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countries and network
Top-tier financial performance
across markets
#1-2 position across relevant markets
processes across network
Top-tier fleet efficiency
Top-tierTHE RECIPE WORKS – NOW FOCUS IS ON GERMANY AND FINLAND
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Recipe for success applied in Norway being rolled out to Finland and Germany
Performance development
Illustrative
Norway
Germany and Finland
+12%
sales growth 2017–18
+2 p.p.
EBITDA margin uplift 2017–18
+2 p.p.
ROCE uplift 2017–18
SYSTEMATICALLY LIFTING PERFORMANCE ACROSS NETWORK
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Key initiatives
model
Pricing
customers
Sales initiatives
Performance management
Hub and spoke
across functions
Capability building
Profitability (illustrative EBIT margin %) Depot
Illustrative overview of depot profitability considerations
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EUROPE STILL VERY FRAGMENTED, WITH BIG OPPORTUNITIES FOR NON-ORGANIC GROWTH
Source: ERA, 3rd party consultant. Note: Based on market data for 2018 and latest available revenue figures.
18% 8% 74%
€26.4bn
Top 5 Top 6-10 Remaining European rental market 1. Loxam+Ramirent 8.3% 2. Kiloutou 2.6% 3. Cramo 2.4% 4. Boels 2.2% 5. Zeppelin 1.8% SME-sized local rental providers
Southern Europe Eastern Europe Western Europe Central Europe Northern Europe
+15K
Rental companies
Top 10 players concentrate c. 26%
+15,000 companies (many family-run groups)
OUR FLEET STRATEGY IS CENTRED AROUND 4 PILLARS TO DRIVE FLEET RETURN AND TIME UTILISATION
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Notes: (1) Calculated as rolling 12 months fleet revenue divided by current fleet purchase price. (2) Days at customer divided by available rent days (365).
Investment strategy Supplier strategy and procurement Life cycle management and divestment Fleet
Fleet return(1) Time utilisation(2)
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CLEAR AND FOCUSED INVESTMENT STRATEGY DRIVE INCREASE IN PROFITABILITY
30% 28% 26% 24% 22% 20% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% (2%) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
The basics of our fleet management strategy Illustrative overview of fleet composition considerations
Optimal procurement decisions
Total cost
Growth investments into high performing fleet and OpCos
Capex release model
Reinvestment model that adjusts for low performing fleet Lift low performing equipment to average
Fleet efficiency Scale
Grow fleet / operations to leverage inherent economies of scale
Imperative to get the basics right to drive improvement in fleet return and time utilisation Optimal capital allocation achieved by shifting investments to high return products without compromising on retaining an attractive fleet composition
Operative ROCE Product categories
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SUPPLIER STRATEGY AND PROCUREMENT
Capex spend by product group (€m)
A significant share of our capex spend is made through group negotiated contracts, with the ambition to increase further
In 2018, ~75% of our capex spend was managed through centrally negotiated contracts Target for 2020: 95%
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
Negotiated capex spend Total capex spend Negotiated capex spend Total capex spend Negotiated capex spend Total capex spend Negotiated capex spend Total capex spend
Tools
~60%
Construction equipment
~80%
Access equipment
~85%
Site huts
~70%
A SYSTEMATIC WAY TO OPTIMISE TIME UTILISATION
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Focus on initiatives to increase fleet available and reduce
Positive effects are visible both in time utilisation and cost
30% 40% 50% 70,000 85,000 100,000 Dec 14 Feb 15 Apr 15 Jun 15 Aug 15 Oct 15 Dec 15 Feb 16 Apr 16 Jun 16 Aug 16 Oct 16 Dec 16 Feb 17 Apr 17 Jun 17 Aug 17 Oct 17 Dec 17 Feb 18 Apr 18 Jun 18 Aug 18 Oct 18 Dec 18 # of tools, R12M Time utilisation %, R12M
Note: (1) Figures represent tools in Sweden.
Connects customer demand with inventory management
with help of the “Carousel”
inventories, i.e. improve time utilisation
Sales and fleet planning
Through focused efforts, we have managed to decrease the average repair & maintenance cost per machine by 9%
Efficient processes
(1)Average annual decrease
spend 2014–2018
LIFE CYCLE MANAGEMENT AND DIVESTMENT
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Optimal selling point towards the end of the equipment’s lifetime, however refurbishment can extend lifetime and returns Optimising resale value – illustrative example
Ensures technical lifetime and resale value of our equipment
to manufacturers schedules
Repair & maintenance
Extends the lifetime of our equipment
development during the past years
Refurbish- ment
Facilitates optimal fleet age and utilisation
up-to-date equipment
Divestment
Asset value Time Optimal selling point Maintenance & repair costs
TOP-TIER FLEET EFFICIENCY THROUGH DEPOT OPTIMISATION AND DIGITAL INITIATIVES
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Note: (1) Depots connected online (with possibility to see availabilities and order pick-up or transportation).
New operating model for distribution areas Digital initiatives driving fleet efficiency
Sales Depot 2 Depot 5
Hub
Depot 3 Depot 6 Depot 1 Depot 4 Gross margin Utilisation
By adopting a hub and spoke structure, and optimise flow of information and products, efficiency and flexibility in operations are increased
Rental area
~120%
growth in transactions between H1 2018 and H1 2019
~18,400
customer accounts provided
~3,200
products displayed in rental portal
~93%
depots connected(1)
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SEVERAL ONGOING GROUP INITIATIVES TO ACHIEVE TOP TIER FLEET EFFICIENCY
Cramo Field
Carousel
TMS
P2P- C-Buy
Average annual decrease of repair and maintenance spend 2014–2018
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STRONGHOLD IN INDUSTRIAL SEGMENT
Already significant share of revenues from segments with low correlation to economic cycle Ambition to grow industrial segment further
INDUSTRIAL LEADER IN THE NORDICS
Industrials32
LARGE SHARE OF CRAMO’S BUSINESS SHELTERED FROM VOLATILITY OF ECONOMIC CYCLE AND REAL ESTATE MARKET
Correlation to economic cycle Typical contract length
Construction
Real-estate new build Real-estate renovation Infrastructure
Industrial
Construction of industrial facilities Industrial stops Daily maintenance Daily operations
Contra cyclic Independent
Follows cycle Short Medium Long
IndustrialsREBUILD AND CAPACITY EXPANSION OF PULP MILL SCA ÖSTRAND SUNDSVALL
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Customer case
Customer: SCA Project size: €750m Project schedule: Finalised in 2018 Cramo delivers:
Cramo revenue: ~€15m
IndustrialsPhoto: SCA
ATTRACTIVE INDUSTRIAL TRACK-RECORD AND PIPELINE
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Northvolt Skellefteå (Starting up) 2
~3,000
RENTAL ITEMS
~3-4
EMPLOYEES
~€28M
REVENUE
~70
DURATION (MONTHS)
Next Generation Billerud Grums (Ongoing) 1
~2,400
RENTAL ITEMS
~€24M
REVENUE
~10
EMPLOYEES
~36
DURATION (MONTHS)
1 2
Metsä BPP Äänekoski (Completed)
~1,500
RENTAL ITEMS
~€13M
REVENUE
~12
EMPLOYEES
~32
DURATION (MONTHS)
3 Windmill projects (Ongoing)
~12
DURATION (MONTHS)
~3-4
EMPLOYEES
~1,000
RENTAL ITEMS
~€3M
REVENUE (YEARLY)
3
IndustrialsAutomotive industry Leipzig (Ongoing)
~2,500
RENTAL ITEMS
~€2.5M
REVENUE
~4-6
EMPLOYEES
~24
DURATION (MONTHS)
4 Automotive industry Weissach (Ongoing)
~48
DURATION (MONTHS)
~12-20
EMPLOYEES
~3,500
RENTAL ITEMS
~€10M
REVENUE
4 5
5
INDUSTRIAL PLATFORM TO BE FURTHER DEVELOPED
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Industrial share
Target share
We aim to increase industrial share to ~30% of sales by focusing on a set of group initiatives
~23% ~30%
IndustrialsLEADING PARTNER FOR SERVICES
CONSISTENTLY CHOSEN AS PRODUCTIVITY PARTNER
36
All customers proactively
industrial-related services Consistent packaging and structure of services across Cramo’s sales and depot network Leading provider and customers’ partner of choice for
SERVICES FOCUSED ON ADDRESSING CLIENT’S CONCERNS
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Note: Quotes unofficially translated and based on internal study.
“We’ve done the research. Previously we’ve seen that employees use 30% of their time on value-creating tasks. They spend too much time on picking up and searching equipment”
— Site Manager at construction company X
“I believe ~50% time spent is
— Site Manager at construction company Y
Three key customer concerns that Cramo address
Safety Sustainability Productivity
Value creation for our customers with increased potential for equipment rental
ServicesWE HAVE A SUBSTANTIAL REVENUE BASE WITHIN SERVICES TO GROW FROM
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Offer core services more efficiently to all customers Scale and professionalise offering Leading provider of construction logistics in Sweden, Finland, Norway and Germany Customers’ partner of choice through differentiated services
2019 LTM NXT
Growth in services revenue
Target ~30% of sales 22%
% of net sales
ServicesNEW CHILDREN'S HOSPITAL
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Customer case
Customer: SRV Project size: €170m Project schedule: Q2/2016 – Q2/2018
Cramo delivers:
Cramo revenue: ~€2.5m
ServicesSIGNIFICANTLY STRENGTHENED OUR SERVICE OFFERING THROUGH ACQUISITION OF KBS INFRA
40
a leading German construction site logistics company
extensive construction site planning and logistics expertise
amount of on-site electricity equipment and other equipment related to construction site usage
41
Majority digital customer interactions Creating value through connected fleet and data Frontrunner for digitally enabled business models Digitally streamlined internal operations Increased fleet utilisation Improved customer journey and user experience Increased productivity with clear value adds for customers
THE DIGITAL LEADER IN THE RENTAL INDUSTRY
DigitalWHERE ARE WE TODAY?
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eCom
Product Viewer App MyEquip App
DigitalCRAMO WILL INCREASE PRODUCTIVITY WITH CLEAR VALUE ADDS FOR OUR CUSTOMERS THROUGH DIGITALISATION
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Effectivise rental spend
Efficiency through customer fleet
BIM Optimise fleet through AI
IoT an important enabler: All construction and access equipment to be connected by 2021 (c.20,000 units) New digitally enabled business models
Driving sharing economy resulting in less cost and increasing sustainability
Pooling of resources through digital initiatives
Company
Equipment
Tools to facilitate reporting (including financial), access to data, and increase sustainability
Simplify and increase transparency
eCom My Equip
Plan Search Order Receive Use Return Pay Share Pre-rental During rental After rental Customer journey model
DigitalWHERE ARE WE HEADING?
44
ONE CRAMO CHANNEL WORKING WITH INNOVATION CRAMO MASTER APP
DigitalAIMING AT THE NEXT LEVEL SELECTION OF 2023 TARGETS
45
#1–2 position in each local market of relevance
equipment rental player strengthened further
30% of revenues from industrial segments
30% of revenues from services
while supporting equipment rental
Four new financial targets – to be further discussed in the financials section 100% of construction and access equipment fleet connected
AGENDA
12:30 – 13:00 Introduction and Cramo in brief
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO
13:00 – 14:15 Cramo strategy
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO Martin Holmgren, SVP Fleet Management
14:15 – 14:30 Q&A
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO Martin Holmgren, SVP Fleet Management
14:30 – 14:45 Break 14:45 – 15:15 Financials
Aku Rumpunen, CFO
15:15 – 15:40 Key investment highlights
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO
15:40 – 15:55 Q&A
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO Aku Rumpunen, CFO
15:55 – 16:00 Wrap-up
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO
46
AGENDA
12:30 – 13:00 Introduction and Cramo in brief
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO
13:00 – 14:15 Cramo strategy
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO Martin Holmgren, SVP Fleet Management
14:15 – 14:30 Q&A
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO Martin Holmgren, SVP Fleet Management
14:30 – 14:45 Break 14:45 – 15:15 Financials
Aku Rumpunen, CFO
15:15 – 15:40 Key investment highlights
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO
15:40 – 15:55 Q&A
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO Aku Rumpunen, CFO
15:55 – 16:00 Wrap-up
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO
47
AGENDA
12:30 – 13:00 Introduction and Cramo in brief
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO
13:00 – 14:15 Cramo strategy
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO Martin Holmgren, SVP Fleet Management
14:15 – 14:30 Q&A
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO Martin Holmgren, SVP Fleet Management
14:30 – 14:45 Break 14:45 – 15:15 Financials
Aku Rumpunen, CFO
15:15 – 15:40 Key investment highlights
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO
15:40 – 15:55 Q&A
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO Aku Rumpunen, CFO
15:55 – 16:00 Wrap-up
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO
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HISTORICAL FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
49
Notes: Historical financials illustrative including IFRS 16. (1) Comparable earnings before interest, tax and amortisation. 2014-2018 historicals illustrative for IFRS 16. (2) Calculated as illustrative IFRS 16 EBITDA less net capex excluding M&A and IFRS 16 assets. (3) Defined as comparable EBITA to average of tangible assets and net working capital. 2014-2018 illustrative for IFRS 16.
8.2% 10.3% 14.0% 15.2% 14.1% 12.2%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTM
Operative ROCE %(3) Cash flow(2) (€m)
87 89 92 100 99 120
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTM
Comparable EBITA(1) (€m)
50 61 83 95 95 85 8.9% 10.6% 14.0% 15.7%15.0% 13.4%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTM
Sales (€m)
420 427 453 460 459 455 142 143 144 146 173 179 562 570 597 606 632 634
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTM Rental Services and other
336 328 327 328 350 326 13.2% 16.0% 20.2% 22.7% 22.1% 20.0%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTM Capital employed Operative ROCE %
Market growth(4)
BUSINESS SEGMENT: SCANDINAVIA
50
Sales and EBITA margin % Capital employed(2) and operative ROCE(3)
Notes: 2014-2018 historical financials illustrative for IFRS 16 impact. (1) H1 2019 sales amounted to €173.5m, compared to €183.5m the year prior. In local currencies, the decline was 2.4% compared to 5.4% in consolidation currency. (2) Excluding goodwill and intangible assets. (3) Operative ROCE defined as comparable EBITA to average of tangible assets and net working
Time utilisation
ERA Forecon
272 275 291 293 283 275 87 90 87 87 88 86 359 365 379 380 371 361 12.6% 14.6% 17.5% 19.5% 20.2% 18.8%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTM Rental Services and other EBITA margin %
impact H1 2019(1)
Key business drivers
45.3% 47.5% 50.4% 50.5% 52.9% 52.0%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTM
1.5% 4.2% 8.5% 6.2% 0.9% 2.5% 4.2% 4.3% 10.5% 3.8% 1.7% (0.4%) (0.0%)
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTM 2019F 2020F
+6.2 p.p. EBITA margin
Market growth(3)
BUSINESS SEGMENT: FINLAND AND EASTERN EUROPE
51
Capital employed(1) and operative ROCE(2)
Notes: 2014-2018 historical financials illustrative for IFRS 16 impact. (1) Excluding goodwill and intangible assets. (2) Operative ROCE defined as comparable EBITA to average of tangible assets and net working capital. (3) Data sourced from ERA and Forecon. Weighted by Cramo sales in respective country (for 2019F and 2020F 2019 LTM sales are used).
Time utilisation
ERA Forecon
Key business drivers
94 98 105 108 111 112 29 28 35 37 36 36 123 126 140 145 147 148 13.2% 13.6% 16.6% 18.2% 16.0% 15.1%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTM Rental Services and other EBITA margin %
136 143 167 189 193 189 11.4% 12.3% 15.0% 14.8% 12.3% 11.7%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTM Capital employed Operative ROCE %
38.5% 39.8% 44.1% 44.6% 47.1% 47.4%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTM
3.4% 7.0% 9.7% 4.4% 5.2% 4.7% 4.2% 5.0% 9.4% 6.7% 3.9% 1.1% 1.8%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTM 2019F 2020F
Sales and EBITA margin %
Market growth(3)
BUSINESS SEGMENT: CENTRAL EUROPE
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55 54 56 58 65 68 26 25 22 23 49 57 81 79 78 81 114 125 (6.3%) (1.8%) 5.6% 6.2% 8.3% 6.5%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTM Rental Services and other EBITA margin %
123 117 117 111 160 168 (4.3%) (1.2%) 3.7% 4.4% 7.0% 4.9%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTM Capital employed Operative ROCE %
Capital employed(1) and operative ROCE(2)
Notes: 2014-2018 historical financials illustrative for IFRS 16 impact. (1) Excluding goodwill and intangible assets. (2) Operative ROCE defined as comparable EBITA to average of tangible assets and net working capital. (3) Data sourced from ERA. Weighted by Cramo sales in respective country (for 2019F and 2020F 2019 LTM sales are used).
Time utilisation Key business drivers
28.4% 30.1% 32.7% 35.4% 54.4% 56.9%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTM
6.3% 3.6% 7.8% 4.2% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.0%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTM 2019F 2020F
Sales and EBITA margin %
+12.8 p.p. EBITA margin
122 121 124 124 122 128 202 199 213 214 228 232 200 202 193 191 204 205 524 522 530 529 554 565
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTM
IMPROVING COST RATIO OVER TIME BUT FURTHER POTENTIAL REMAINS
53
Note: 2014-2018 illustrative for IFRS 16.
Build-up of cost components (€m) Cost ratio development (as % of sales)
Impacted by divestments Impacted by acquisition of KBS
Indirect costs Direct costs
Direct costs Indirect costs Depreciation
Depreciation
35.6% 35.4% 32.4% 31.5% 32.3% 32.4%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTM
35.9% 34.9% 35.6% 35.3% 36.1% 36.6%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTM
21.7% 21.3% 20.8% 20.5% 19.2% 20.2%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTM
WE ARE RIGHT-SIZING CRAMO POST DEMERGER OF ADAPTEO
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Targeted run-rate cost savings
Estimated timeline for full effect
Implementation of indirect cost reduction is on track Performance improvement actions launched in order to right- size the Group’s cost structure upon demerger of Adapteo and invest into our future. Streamlining our cost base will enable us to further invest into strategic focus areas Costs are taken out in the following areas: €7-8m: Other operating expenses €3-4m: Employee benefit expenses Run-rate cost savings should be fully implemented by 1 of Jan 2020 Financial year 2020 will be the first year benefiting from the €10-12m overhead cost reductions
CAPEX DEVELOPMENT FOR EQUIPMENT RENTAL AND MODULAR SPACE
55
EBITDA breakdown Cramo incl. Modular Space Gross capex breakdown Cramo incl. Modular Space Historically, capex spend for Modular Space has outweighed relative spend for Equipment Rental
57% 43%
Equipment Rental Modular Space Accumulated 2014 – 2018 Accumulated 2014 – 2018
Note: Gross capex including M&A. Capex excluding IFRS 16 assets.
78% 22%
Total ~€1,100m Total ~€1,260m Equipment Rental Modular Space
Significant growth capex deployed in 2018 made to strengthen Cramo
DISCRETIONARY CAPEX PROFILE
56
Fully discretionary capex allowing us to take immediate actions to right-size fleet for demand swings
Note: Repair & maintenance is part of opex. Capex excluding IFRS 16 assets. Illustrative split between net reinvestment and expansion capex.
Fully discretionary capex, i.e. possible to postpone for a time period if there is a need to right-size fleet for changing demand
Growth capex
2018 capex (€m)
Growth capex
104 104 44 14 44 14 161 Net reinvestment Expansion Net organic rental capex M&A Other capex Total net capex
71 86 104 112 104 81 44 14 8 10 8 14 12 92 102 119 120 161 93 105 37 87 89 92 100 99 120 34 56 172 182 207 219 216 212 97 93 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTM H1 2018 H1 2019
NET CAPEX AND CASH FLOW DEVELOPMENT
57
Our capex spend year-to-date is reflective of our ability to right-size fleet for changing demand, with higher cash flow in return
Note: EBITDA illustrative for IFRS 16. Repair and maintenance is recognised in operating expenses. Other capex includes M&A unless expressed separately. (1) Excluding M&A. Calculated based on illustrative post-IFRS 16 EBITDA. Capex excluding IFRS 16 assets.
€m
Discretionary capex Acquisition
Net organic rental capex M&A Other capex Cash flow(1) EBITDA
CAPITAL ALLOCATION POLICY
58
Policy aimed at balancing leverage and growth
shareholder returns
Ensure leverage targets are met, supporting the business with a sufficient and well-balanced debt portfolio Secure balance sheet and leverage Allocate capital to value-accretive
EBITDA currently ~2.0x) Growth Return excess capital to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks to ensure an efficient capital structure Return excess capital to shareholders
GROWTH
59
Note: Based on target valuation of 5.0x LTM EBITDA, and debt of 3.0x.
Our target leverage allows for expansion capex, both organic and M&A Illustration of firepower for inorganic growth
Our current leverage provides additional headroom of ~€210m… …allowing for M&A up to ~€525m in EV and an additional €105m EBITDA (assuming an acquisition multiple of 5.0x LTM EBITDA)
EV ~€525m EBITDA ~€105m
<3.0x 2.0x Target leverage Current ND/EBITDA (post-IFRS 16)
0.10 0.30 0.42 0.60 0.55 0.65 0.75 0.85 0.90
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
DIVIDEND DEVELOPMENT
60
n.a. 45% 59% 149% 58% 49% 45% 47% 50%
Dividend per share, Cramo incl. Modular Space (€) Payout ratio, Cramo incl. Modular Space (%)
Consistently attractive shareholder returns
61
FINANCIAL TARGETS
New financial targets to reflect new company profile and future strategy Profitability and growth Double-digit EPS growth between 2019 and 2023(1) Capital efficiency Operative ROCE(2) >15% by end of 2023 Leverage Net debt to EBITDA lower than 3.0x Shareholder return Dividend payout ratio >50% of EPS(3)
Notes: (1) CAGR. Comparable EPS. (2) Excluding goodwill and intangible assets. Operative ROCE defined as comparable EBITA to average
GUIDANCE FOR 2020
62
2020 COMPARABLE EBITA > €75M
AGENDA
12:30 – 13:00 Introduction and Cramo in brief
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO
13:00 – 14:15 Cramo strategy
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO Martin Holmgren, SVP Fleet Management
14:15 – 14:30 Q&A
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO Martin Holmgren, SVP Fleet Management
14:30 – 14:45 Break 14:45 – 15:15 Financials
Aku Rumpunen, CFO
15:15 – 15:40 Key investment highlights
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO
15:40 – 15:55 Q&A
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO Aku Rumpunen, CFO
15:55 – 16:00 Wrap-up
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO
63
KEY INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
64
1
Market with long-term structural growth and robust mid-term outlook
3
Productivity partner driving growth through expanding customer value proposition
5
Focused fleet management strategy to optimise fleet economics
7
Proven strategy execution track record delivering best-in-class shareholder returns with a clear strategy to continue delivering value to our shareholders
2
Leading European player with an extensive depot network serving our customers
4
Industry-leading digital initiatives continue to enhance future competitiveness
6
Discretionary capex profile and counter-cyclical cash flow generation
Nominal GDP 80 100 120 140 160 180 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
MARKET WITH LONG TERM STRUCTURAL GROWTH AND ROBUST MID-TERM OUTLOOK
65
1
Source: ERA Market Reports, Forecon, EIU, Euroconstruct. Note: (1) In Cramo’s geographic markets. Data for Sweden, Finland and Norway are based on average between ERA and Forecon (starting 2013/2014 depending on data availability). No historical data available for Austria and Czech Republic beyond 2013; 2013 figures applied as base numbers for years before.
Equipment rental outgrowing the construction market A diversified end-market exposure drives balance between growth and stability
Developing markets
Mature markets
End-markets Share of sales (2018) Construction rental penetration Growth and volatility Growth
~70% High
related services
growth opportunities ~30% Low
rental-related services
growth opportunities
growth outlook
Equipment rental(1) Construction(1)
Index
CAGR 5.0% 3.1% 172 144 3.6% 152 1.9% 125 New build Renovation 4.3% 130
LEADING EUROPEAN PLAYER WITH AN EXTENSIVE DEPOT NETWORK SERVING OUR CUSTOMERS
66
2
Notes: (1) Revenue for European operations where applicable. Based on company information and International Rental News. (2) Operative ROCE defined as comparable EBITA to average
2,195 689 632 579 473 463 420 420 410 393 387 339 317 241
Leading equipment rental generalist in Europe… Extensive network serving our customers …with a stronghold in the mature Nordic markets
# depots 94 25 50
2
Market position Market share(3)
2 3
Revenue €m (2018)(1)
6 5 16 2 5 2 2 3 2 2 4 3 2 2 2 5+
Scandinavia
18.8%
EBITA MARGIN
20.0%
ROCE(2)
2
COUNTRIES
118
DEPOTS
Central Europe
6.5%
EBITA MARGIN
4.9%
ROCE(2)
5
COUNTRIES
73
DEPOTS
Finland & Eastern Europe
15.1%
EBITA MARGIN
11.7%
ROCE(2)
4
COUNTRIES
111
DEPOTS
2~20% ~9% ~17%
PRODUCTIVITY PARTNER DRIVING GROWTH THROUGH EXPANDING CUSTOMER VALUE PROPOSITION
67
3
Currently NXT Currently NXT
NXT strategy focusing on becoming leading partner for services
Core services more efficiently offered to all customers Scale and professionalise
Leading provider of construction logistics in Sweden, Finland, Norway and Germany Customers’ partner of choice through differentiated services
NXT strategy focusing on becoming industrial leader in the Nordics
Target new industrial segments More tailored packages to target customers Salesforce skill building towards industrial Adjustments to machinery range targeting industrial
Growth in services revenue
Target ~30%
~22%
Growth in industrials revenue
Target ~30%
~23%
… Proximity to customer & understanding
… Tailored offerings … Higher share of wallet … Stronger incentive to invest in customer relationship … Improved economics for both parties … Driving rental sales … Customer loyalty €
€
INDUSTRY-LEADING DIGITAL INITIATIVES CONTINUE TO ENHANCE FUTURE COMPETITIVENESS
68
4
Data driven fleet optimisation Connected supply chain Seamless customer journey Data transparency Intuitive user experience 24/7 access to equipment rental services and solutions New business opportunities and business models
Path to digital leadership Number of connected Access and Construction equipment
cost
Benefits for the customer
trouble shooting and theft protection
Benefits for Cramo
4,600 5,700 6,600 7,800 9,800 20,000 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2021E 100% of Access and Construction equipment
FOCUSED FLEET MANAGEMENT STRATEGY TO OPTIMISE FLEET ECONOMICS
69
The basics of our fleet management strategy
Optimal procurement decisions Total cost
Growth investments into high performing fleet and OpCos Capex release model Reinvestment model that adjusts for low performing fleet Lift low performing equipment to average Fleet efficiency Scale Grow fleet / operations to leverage inherent economies of scale Imperative to get the basics right to drive improvement in fleet return and time utilisation
5
30% 28% 26% 24% 22% 20% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% (2%) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Illustrative overview of fleet composition considerations
Optimal capital allocation achieved by shifting investments to high return products without compromising on retaining an attractive fleet composition
Operative ROCE Product categories
56 32 43 6 5 105 37 H1 2018 H1 2019
Continuous review and short lead time provides for favourable capex dynamics
DISCRETIONARY CAPEX PROFILE…
Note: Repair & maintenance is part of opex.
Visibility over capex spend Short lead time from procurement to delivery Continuous review of capex need, adjustments made as required Low committed capex
70
6
Fully discretionary capex allowing us to take immediate actions to right-size fleet for demand swings
H1 2018 and 2019 capex €m
M&A Net organic rental capex Fully discretionary capex, i.e. possible to postpone for a time period if there is a need to right-size fleet for changing demand Other capex
172 182 207 219 216 212 87 89 92 100 99 120 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTM 55 200 113 2006-08 2009-10 2011-12
…AND COUNTER-CYCLICAL CASH FLOW GENERATION
Cash generation during 2014 – 2019 LTM(1)
EBITDA & Cash flow (EBITDA – Net capex) development, €m
Our principles Downturn
Recovery
in fleet & growth opportunities
Ability to right-size discretionary capex evidences strong ability to manage cash flow generation through the cycle
Note: (1) EBITDA illustrative for IFRS 16. Capex excluding IFRS 16 assets.
71
6
Cramo’s cash flow during 2006-2012
Cumulative cash flow (EBITDA – net capex), €m EBITDA Illustrative cash flow (EBITDA – net capex)
19.7% 11.9% 9.8% (0.9%) (4.0%) (11.9%) (29.7%)
PROVEN STRATEGY EXECUTION TRACK- RECORD DELIVERING BEST-IN-CLASS SHAREHOLDER RETURNS WITH A CLEAR STRATEGY TO CONTINUE DELIVERING VALUE TO OUR SHAREHOLDERS
Notes: (1) Average excluding Cramo and peer 6. Data 29 Aug 2014 – 31 Aug 2019, including dividends. (2) CAGR. Comparable EPS. (3) Excess capital can be distributed through dividends or share repurchases.
72
7
Profitability and growth
Double-digit EPS growth between 2019 and 2023(2)
Capital efficiency
Operative ROCE >15% by end of 2023
Leverage
Net debt to EBITDA lower than 3.0x
Shareholder return
Dividend payout ratio >50% of EPS(3) Financial targets during the NXT strategy period
Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 4 Peer 5 Peer 6
2.6%(1)
Total shareholder return illustrated
TSR CAGR, L5Y
KEY INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
73
1
Market with long-term structural growth and robust mid-term outlook
3
Productivity partner driving growth through expanding customer value proposition
5
Focused fleet management strategy to optimise fleet economics
7
Proven strategy execution track record delivering best-in-class shareholder returns with a clear strategy to continue delivering value to our shareholders
2
Leading European player with an extensive depot network serving our customers
4
Industry-leading digital initiatives continue to enhance future competitiveness
6
Discretionary capex profile and counter-cyclical cash flow generation
AGENDA
12:30 – 13:00 Introduction and Cramo in brief
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO
13:00 – 14:15 Cramo strategy
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO Martin Holmgren, SVP Fleet Management
14:15 – 14:30 Q&A
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO Martin Holmgren, SVP Fleet Management
14:30 – 14:45 Break 14:45 – 15:15 Financials
Aku Rumpunen, CFO
15:15 – 15:40 Key investment highlights
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO
15:40 – 15:55 Q&A
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO Aku Rumpunen, CFO
15:55 – 16:00 Wrap-up
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO
74
AGENDA
12:30 – 13:00 Introduction and Cramo in brief
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO
13:00 – 14:15 Cramo strategy
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO Martin Holmgren, SVP Fleet Management
14:15 – 14:30 Q&A
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO Martin Holmgren, SVP Fleet Management
14:30 – 14:45 Break 14:45 – 15:15 Financials
Aku Rumpunen, CFO
15:15 – 15:40 Key investment highlights
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO
15:40 – 15:55 Q&A
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO Aku Rumpunen, CFO
15:55 – 16:00 Wrap-up
Leif Gustafsson, President and CEO
75