| C A P P 2 0 1 2 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

c a p p 2 0 1 2
SMART_READER_LITE
LIVE PREVIEW

| C A P P 2 0 1 2 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

| C A P P 2 0 1 2


slide-1
SLIDE 1

| C A P P 2 0 1 2

slide-2
SLIDE 2

1

  • ! "" "" "#" "" "" "" "" "" ""

"" "" "" "" "" "$%&$ $%&'" ( ) # ( *+ # , # - # - #- $%&$- # ( $%&$ $%&' ( ( ( . ( / ( 0 ( ( # 1 ( ) ( 0 ( #( 0 #

# ( -

  • ( #( # # #-

( - # 0( - ( - #( (- # - (

  • ( # ( - #(

#( # - (- # - ( #( - 0( ( # 0 # # #( (- 0 # -

  • # ( -

#- # ( ( # - # ##- # ( #

  • ( 23 ( -

# - , # (( - ( , # - ( 1 2 4513 / # #

slide-3
SLIDE 3

4(6)7

2

  • 8/29+39!8/2939438/291
slide-4
SLIDE 4

7: 6)7

;%<2=$%&$53(

>

&?@ ;

7

$' $<

A'(#B

C& $%

7,

C&@'

>#A7 58 5-7 58 4B

C&D% C&'%

*

CE%

4#

C'@'

;%(#(#F$%'%%%G(

3

slide-5
SLIDE 5

5#

!""!# $

  • 41H#(9
  • 403! +

!""!# $

  • 41H#(9
  • 403! +

%&'(')%$*!#

  • >#+
  • !+

%&'(')%$*!#

  • >#+
  • !+

+ '(')%,,%-

  • 4 7( +
  • IG>+
  • 8

( 8( 7H> >

  • 9J+4
  • +98

+ '(')%,,%-

  • 4 7( +
  • IG>+
  • 8

( 8( 7H> >

  • 9J+4
  • +98
  • .

.

4

41I>

slide-6
SLIDE 6

1J5A*#$%&$B $;%%%894G * +AK$<B E%77G *+L9A&K<B ;;'%G +#85A&B $' $77G M3#A;B ?K'8 3# 3AMBA32B E @. >3 47(A$B &;D8 >3: ( 8A$B $&;77 !+!+>(ABA?B &@8

A&B >N% 'OA#% K%BA13 C% ;@E&G+=BP A$B 1#(75 A;B 1#(75($%&& A?B &%<?%<

9

Q ! '!%*$%**!#% Q %'**%/'* Q '0'12!*!"%,!$%**!#$%*% Q ' 3(4 %/*30/5%"-!*,6*!#7 Q ' 3(4 %" '**5%"-!*,6*!#7 Q ' 3(4 '1%"8!% 5$"(%*7 Q %"#'-0% !"%1 Q ! '!%*$%**!#% Q %'**%/'* Q '0'12!*!"%,!$%**!#$%*% Q ' 3(4 %/*30/5%"-!*,6*!#7 Q ' 3(4 %" '**5%"-!*,6*!#7 Q ' 3(4 '1%"8!% 5$"(%*7 Q %"#'-0% !"%1

% "*8" %

Q "%*3* '9!':3','-$% Q ,!'*"'-$ Q *(#!" $! / Q "%*3* '9!':3','-$% Q ,!'*"'-$ Q *(#!" $! /

+%'

5

slide-7
SLIDE 7

6

18

K23(+1

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 30,000 60,000 90,000 120,000 150,000 180,000 210,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012F

% Diversifying Growth vs Legacy Annual Average Production (Mcfe/d)

Growth vs Legacy Assets

Legacy Shallow Gas Production GOB Deemed Production Diversifying Growth Assets 2007 Dispositions 2008 Dispositions 2009 Dispositions 2010 Dispositions 2011 Dispositions 2012 Dispositions % Diversifying Growth Assets (Excluding Deemed)

slide-8
SLIDE 8

7

>(5# 90

$'%<290+

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 Q110 Q210 Q310 Q410 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412E Q113E Q213E Q313E Q413E BOE/d Oil Production NGL Production % Oil and NGLs

slide-9
SLIDE 9

8

>5# 903#

$%%<2903#+

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 5 10 15 20 25 30

Q110 Q210 Q310 Q410 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412E Q113E Q213E Q313E Q413E

$MM Oil and NGL Revenue Oil and NGL % of Total Revenue

slide-10
SLIDE 10

9

;< "!6' %8*-%+' %*' ( '-$!,'"'6/'1 1"!# $+*%/ !'-"%!'*%,+"!,3- '! =< 8 ",3- '! >< !#',"'0(%%1( ?< ,%-%( !6$'1$'(+%- *!1" "( 1"!# $!++!" 3' '#' $"'0(%%1,' (

#

R(: $%&$

slide-11
SLIDE 11

=@;=/"'!"' / '"'6/'1"!# $ "% 1'

slide-12
SLIDE 12

2#(9#&?%I(53

Geographically synergistic with shallow

gas assets

&$

7#

6 Lloyd, 5 Sparky, 1 Basal Quartz > 200 MMbbl Original Oil in Place(1) > 10 MMbbl @ 5% recovery factory(1) Current Production ~ 3,000 bbl/d Low cost HZ development HZ ~ $1,050 K /well No stimulations required Average initial rate over 100 bbl/d Evaluating downspacing, waterflood

and other enhanced recovery

Additional exploration ongoing 4#;5J$5 &$;%%%

11

A>-!"%1

41 >#H#(9

%'**

(1) Internal Estimate

slide-13
SLIDE 13

48

45(9

12 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500

Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Jan-12 Apr-12 Jul-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 OIL bbl/d

Actual Daily from Field Revised Budget

slide-14
SLIDE 14

/7#S1L: (>

!44 481E%%77.4A'<3#(B

13

2012 DRILLS

00/11-35 00/09-36 02/08-36 02/01-36 02/14-25 03/14-25

00/15-27

R9 R8W4 T50

LLOYD CHANNEL TYPE LOG 100/04-36-050-09W4/00

> 24% DENSITY POROSITY 12 m OIL PAY

OOIP = 33 MMbbls Cumulative to date 282 Mbbls ( < 1% recovery) Booked Ultimate Recoverable Reserves 735 MBBL (2% RF) 7 wells drilled in 2012 (4 to date; 3 planned for Sept) 4 additional locations in inventory based on 100 m spacing Evaluating 50m infill spacing

50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000

Oil Prod (bbl/d) Cum Oil (bbl)

INDIVIDUAL PROD VS TYPE CURVE

00/08-36-050-09W4 00/01-36-050-09W4 Blofled Type curve 02/08-36-050-09W4 02/01-36-050-09W4 02/14-25-050-09W4 03/14-25-050-09W4

slide-15
SLIDE 15

/7#S2$2L: 3(

.43#14

14

SPARKY MID TYPE LOG 100/09-32-050-08W4/00

> 24 % DENSITY POROSITY

6 m OIL PAY

Mid Sand

OOIP = 29 MMbbls Cumulative to date 252 Mbbls Recovery Factor to date < 1% - Expect 5-8% on Primary 2 wells drilled in 2012 (late August) 11 locations remaining to be drilled based on 100 m spacing Preparing for implementation of enhanced recovery scheme

00/01-04 00/08-32 2012 DRILL

50 100 150 200 250 15,000 30,000 45,000 60,000 75,000

Oil Prod (bbl/day) Cum Oil (bbl)

INDIVIDUAL PROD VS TYPE CURVE

00/13-33-050-08W4 02/13-33-050-08W4 00/14-33-050-08W4 00/15-33-050-08W4 Type Curve 00/01-28-050-08W4 00/02-28-050-08W4 03-28-050-08W4 00/16-32-050-08W4 02/16-32-050-08W4 02/04-04-051-08W4 03/04-04-051-08W4

slide-16
SLIDE 16

(*5#

;&*55$%%

15

Regional Sparky Pool OOIP = 34.4 MMbbl Cumulative to date 12 Mbbl 5 wells drilled in 2012 to date (4 in Q3) 26 locations in inventory based on 200m spacing Evaluating secondary and EOR recovery

2012 DRILL

00/08-14 00/01-14 00/14-29 00/03-20 00/12-16

> 24 % DENSITY POROSITY

4 m OIL PAY

Mid Sand

SPARKY MID TYPE LOG 100/02-14-049-07W4/00

slide-17
SLIDE 17

Assumptions

Pricing $90/bbl WTI; $20/bbl differential = $70 Lloydminster heavy blend Operating Costs $10.50/BOE (first year), $29/BOE (lifetime) Type Curve IP 70 bbl/d, 1 year exit rate 37 bbl/d Reserves 75 Mbbl per well Royalties 5% for first 18 months; 10% thereafter

H(>9

7#H#(9I

16

Projected Economics per Drilling Location

Capital (D,C & T) $1.05 MM NPV @ 10 % $1.05 MM BT ROR 95% BT F&D $14.00/BOE Capital Efficiency ~$21,950 BOE/d Recycle Ratio 3.9

'*!"$%0"#$'*,"'**'1 9#**' +%"0/,*!+( +%,

slide-18
SLIDE 18

493 /7#S2$2L

43#(23#(&%: &'<

  • 17

Working Interest 66.7% OOIP = 29 MMbbl Primary Recovery 5% - 8% 1.5 - 2.3 MMbbl Secondary Recovery 10% - 15% 2.9 - 4.4 MMbbl Current reserves booked(1)

  • 0.475 MMbbl Proven
  • 0.675 MMbbl P+P

(1) McDaniel Year End 2011 Reserve Report

SECONDARY AND EOR POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT AREA

100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 Jun-15 Jun-16 Jun-17 Jun-18 Jun-19 Jun-20

Oil Production (bbl/d)

Oil Production (Sales - Field Estimates) McDaniels P+PDP Decline 4 New Drills Secondary Recovery Wedge

Lost production due to shutting in producers to implement secondary recovery. Gained production due to secondary recovery

Possible Infill Drilling and Secondary Recovery Scenario

slide-19
SLIDE 19

493#(

23#I !G(

18

!!*%( 5;7 588*7 3(3*% ' +"!,3- '! !,% 588*7 . " 8!!0,% ;=2>;2;; 588*7 &+- , "'(%"/

  • !"/

588*7 &+- ,-!"%8* #' $ -!,%"/

  • !"/%,

588*7

(2$2 $E % $D % DK & ': $ ; $ E: ? ? /7#1A$B $E % $? % ' & ': $ ; $ E: ? ? /7#8A$B &? % %@ % $@ % @: & & & ?: $ & * 5# ;? % %& % & @ $ @ ; ? ' & ! %* ;@B @<CD ;<?C C<>4 D<C ;@<B4 ;C<E

(1) Internal estimate (2) Portion of entire pool

slide-20
SLIDE 20

4! 0: 3+

Exploration

'+*'!,! +3 *% >B88*2-6

Edson

;>?!(+"!" %+%-' /;@-62, =@;> >@-62,

;B;@!(+"!" %+%-' />@-62,

19

West Edson

7I! $%&$H,! $%&$H,! $%&$T?H,! $%&;H,! $%&;1L H,!

E%&%%! ;DG77*+

!!3 $!%"*% 5;CF7

slide-21
SLIDE 21

Assumptions

Pricing $4/Mcf; $95/bbl WTI = $66.30/bbl NGLs ($3/Mcf; $105/bbl WTI = $76.50/bbl NGLs) Operating Costs $6.45/BOE Well Depth 3,900 M HZ; 2,400 TVD Type Curve IP 3.5 MMcf/d, 1 year exit rate 1.85 MMcf/d 36 bbls/MMcf NGL’s/condensate Reserves 3 Bcfe per well Royalties 5% new well royalty rate for 500 MMcf Risk Unrisked

Projected Economics per Drilling Location

Capital (D,C & T) $4.9 MM NPV @ 10 %

$3.6 MM BT ($2.3 MM BT)

ROR

53% BT (37% BT)

F&D $10.47/ BOE Capital Efficiency <$12,000 BOE/d Recycle Ratio 2.5 (2.2) *%"#$'*,"'**'1;>C'*"'-$9

!4!4(># HH2343#84

"+%"'1 !"%-;>C'*"'-$9

!I

%,-!(+* '!'- '!C 20

slide-22
SLIDE 22

21

$%&$.>8

;=@;= **%+' %* ==@;= **%+' %* ! %*=@;= **%+' %*

%'**%/'* $$ A$$ %B C$@ &77 &$ A&& ;B C&' @77 >?1"! 5>><> 7 G?=<D ,!2'*"'-$ $ A& 'B CD '77 ' A; %B C&$ @77 H1"! 5?<C 7 G;E<= $" $ A& ;B C& %77 ; A% @B C; %77 C1"! 5=<@ 7 G?<@ %,'('-%, $" CD &77 C$ E77 GE<@ ! %* G?@<H G>?<> GHC

! %*%+' %*IGHC5-"%,6"!(GBC7

I7(>57#H#(9 ! 2T?45!4

slide-23
SLIDE 23

=@;=/"'!"' / 8 ,3- '!

slide-24
SLIDE 24

23

15#

*#$%&&)

1#GHC G;C@('**'!

=(

T?$%&&JT&$%&$)

GBB<D('**'! K K77G'KKG*+A$%''G @$<B

1'$%&$)

>E%<!GD?<>('**'! * 3$%&$(C$: ;

T;$%&$)

G;B<=('**'!

  • **41
  • +#83#
  • #7#(#(

T?$%&$GT&$%&;)

(4 7(

5UC&D@77*#$%&& *53C&;$77.4

slide-25
SLIDE 25

Commercial ‘Park and Loan’ business +3+5# 4 ‘Test Cycle’ Injection: Q2/Q3 2010 Facility Construction Q2-Q4 2010

  • > 200 MMcf/d withdrawal capacity

‘Test Cycle’ Withdrawal: Q1 2011

  • 7.8 Bcf

Cycle 2: Q2 2011 – Q1 2012

  • 17 Bcf

>>()&@8 !+ $%&$

C&&77

4$

T?$%&$

;%'%(

!+

24

*5#(1

%"#'-0 *%3-!' '-'03 !!* !"%1 %

  • ?@-6 !"%1"!'"

− &%8# − '&&8 − /$'8(

  • ;<= !;<C-/-*6%-'*' /

;('

!+2 ! >(

  • H,!

H&$%&&H,! H$$%&&H,!

?;D C;D =;E

slide-26
SLIDE 26

!=I91

E%<!+1$%&$ 9(;%<0(1$'$%&; FC;%77 9

  • 9()
  • *
  • 3#
  • 4
  • 8
  • 9#

$'

$'

Perpetual Operates Asset and Manages WGS LP for Annual Fee

slide-27
SLIDE 27

8

26

FK%<*5F;.+

  • > * 8 5) FCE%

3# ( C&?% * ( *# ;% $%&$

  • / *) C&'%

> 3 K @'<- 7( 7 $%&K

  • ># 5) C&D%

3 C@' 7 58 > = ;% $%&$ 3( 0( C&D% #( $%&'

/(8!* (!3 3 %,'1 !3+! % !"'! "'- % 3"' / % C%/ '1$ , 1<"%,'1 "'- << C&%% % @ $'< C@ '% =(;&$%&' CE' %% << CD% % @ %%< C@ %% 5;&$%&' CE% %%

  • >*5)FC?%%
slide-28
SLIDE 28

C% C&%% C$%% C;%% C?%% C'%% CD%% C% C&%% C$%% C;%% C?%% C'%% CD%%

J=@H J>@H J?@H J;@D J=@D J>@D J?@D J;@E J=@E J>@E J?@E J;;@ J=;@ J>;@ J?;@ J;;; J=;; J>;; J?;; J;;= J=;= J>;= J?;=

85*!> >#5 52 8510 * 8#( 10 C&;%77 IG > 10 CK&77 98 C;D 77 410 C@&77 ! 4 7( C&E77 $%&$5 C&?@77 C@'775 3( >4 C'%77 !G7# +9823# C?%77

53

27

5

slide-29
SLIDE 29

=@;=/"'!"' / %%1!#','0

slide-30
SLIDE 30

>(37(

4 40 4 >,#

29

89+7

slide-31
SLIDE 31

>(37

>(4+3#($%&; 7(G5I>(

30

Gas

2013:

10,000 GJ/d fixed @ $3.84/GJ (9% of forecast 2013 gas production (1)

)

Oil and NGLs

2013: 2,000 bbl/d

WTI collars with an average floor price @ $88/bbl & ceiling price @ $102/bbl (49% of forecast

  • il and NGL production(2))

2014: 1,000 bbl/d

WTI collars with floor protection @ $85/bbl & ceiling price @ $91.15/bbl

(1) 2013: 107,780 GJ/d estimated actual plus deemed gas production (2) 2013: 4,090 bbls/d estimated oil and NGL production

slide-32
SLIDE 32

=@;=/"'!"' / + '(')%,,%- ,'3( !!1"( ++!" 3' '

  • *(#!" $! /
  • '0'12!*!"%,!$%**!#$%*%
  • ' 3(
slide-33
SLIDE 33

32

>?+3

  • 7(
  • E="!- '!!6! /&+!3"
  • '%G'%=I
  • "%,! '1 !3"-
  • >?9+2AB
  • U&9+27(8(75
  • ?$8M#
  • &;D8
  • ;?A&@B(#A!!

8B

  • $'-%*'%8'*' /!6*%/!6'"(,
  • 9#$%J
  • 4#
  • 2A&BHV;D77G
  • ;DK77GG
  • 30*+F$%G77

$'?'G77*+A: B

  • $<H$

47(

slide-34
SLIDE 34

47(5#

33

15#(2*>

  • 5J

5J 25#95

' '%**!+(

'%77G95

"! %" 3+- '' '+"*!+( !,

&$/7( >

  • 5(

1G+( +/> C&%%: &$% ;=#**,"'**,+*36%-'*' ''%"; "'** !6'**A?B1"!#**2/%" $"%6 " ! %*!6AC@#**+" 5J 95$ 95;

slide-35
SLIDE 35

IG>+

34

% '1$ $%**!#%!3"-*%/ !!0,"5'0'1*/7

  • EK8M(#
  • E%;#5>
  • 1#&;K77G

"!+- !"/

  • 9#?@'

I>

  • *!+'0'1 '1$ %,%,!*!"%,!

"!3+$%* !1 $" !",3--! %,$%--!!('-

8(3#(( >G>!

  • I#/#

I/# I#* 2#('.

slide-36
SLIDE 36

35

>++2

3( 2(((I>0#

Bcf/Sec

9+2#

&D8G

##(

>, ,#

D,

$E% =@;;

1#A;+B

(

+

  • &

#

  • =@;=

$

#

  • 2
slide-37
SLIDE 37

8

36

  • '$@A;;'E@E

B

I

#(

@

#(

U;8982

(, (

"+ 3%*% '"6*!!,"!K- "!K- "'(%"/"!K- '*'+*' "!K- *- "'-% "

slide-38
SLIDE 38

37

8: (8(

&-** ""!'":3%*' /' *30/$!(!1!3$!"6%- %,6%-'

=@;@2;;" '-%*!-% '! =@;@2;;!"')! %*!-% '! =@;@2;;" '-%*!-% '! =@;@2;;!"')! %*!-% '! D(' 3( ;@(' 3(

3 *+ 9!4 + 93 9

J;=@;;

4

#

1#(&& #( ~15,000 cp @ 25C Panny Bluesky Resource

Assessment (McDaniel P50)

755 MMbbl Discovered OBIP 132 MMbbl Contingent Resource

  • 17.5% recovery factor applied

utilizing horizontal cyclic steam

Submitted application for pilot test LEAD – electrical heat with water

and solvent

slide-39
SLIDE 39

8: >

T&$%&&9I! 9 3

  • ;@ =@(

=@4 >@( L>@( T95 T94 T93 T92 T91 T90 R19 W4 R 20 R 21 R 22 T89

  • ;+G

T&$%&&#

  • ;+ U;%(
  • (
  • P50 Resource Assessment (McDaniel)
  • 2,327 MMbbl bitumen in place

(Undiscovered plus discovered)

  • 66 MMbbl Contingent Resource assigned
  • ?%%77#3
  • $%<#(1+5

S(#L

&-** ""!'":3%*' / 311/+!"!' /'"!(!

38

slide-40
SLIDE 40
  • $%&;'

;< %%1!#','0 =< %&'(')%*3!6%'** %/'* >< !' '!6!""!# $!6,!':3','-$% ?< ,%-%,"!%,!" 6!*'!!6'1$(+%- ++!" 3' '#' $ '0%%1, ( C< %&'(')%*36"!($%**!#%% '%"'--!"/

slide-41
SLIDE 41

$%&;.>8

;=@;> **%+' %* ==@;> **%+' %* ! %*=@;> **%+' %*

%'** %/'* $' A$'B C;; D77 &? A&$ ;B C&' @77 >E1"! 5>H<> 7 G?E<> "%*'*"'-$ ;W A$B CK &77 $ A& 'B CE ;77 C1"!M 5><C 7 G;H<? 8%,!( %, "-*%(% '! C& %77 C& $77 G=<= %,'('-%, $" C' '77 C% ?77 GC<E ! %* G?D<= G=B<C GH?<H

! %*%+' %*IGHC

7(>157# H#(9 7! $%&$(JH$$%&;

W!0$%&$T?

slide-42
SLIDE 42

2#

41

8%"+!' '!'1(03--63* 7##(#(#( 4!0#(# "!&-3 '!&-**-'-$! "% 1'

  • "%'1!'*%,*':3','-!((!,' /('&1"!#'163,6*!#

D@F!6,8 $% "(($%&?#6*&'8'*' / +#('(+"!'1,8 !-%$6*!#"% '! 3* '+*N*"O# *"%1 !%/1%+"'--/-*"-!"/'=@;>%,8/!, 4#(C% '%7NC&' '1$'(+%- %*3+! '%*6"!(*!1 "("!3"- /*+*%/ >( "%,'1% PQO!6N8*!#,!#O %*3% "'++"'-'1

(2+

slide-43
SLIDE 43

42

221

! %3" ( ( A""B 3 # +11 "*+11 7" ( "% 2 2 ( # #( 2 ; ( ( # #( '%-'%* 3 *!!0 2 # # # ( ( # ( 1 $%&$ # ( " !3"- %, '-*!3" / # # ( 75 1 > * 2 '&&%& A" C;;@;"B 75 1 ( # "" # > # ( # ( ( ( # ( "* 3 8 > 3" ( K $%&$ 1 2 # J5 # 0 # " 5# 10 A5J1B >" ( K $%&$ J5 # ( # ( # # ( "!K- , -!!('- # 7# #( ! 4 ! 0 4 " " "*IX&%<" "393" "J5" " (" "( " # ( ( *2 '&&%& # # # ( # 7# #( ! 4 ! 0 # # , ( *2 '&&%& >9+4 H >1 * '&;$? ( ( ( # " 2" #

  • 6 :3'%* 5-67

7 0# A7B ( ( 2 *2 '&&%& 7 # & 8) D 7 ( 0#( # ( ( # 0#( 1 # ( ( 0#( D)& , # D)& ( # %*3 2 # A""B *1I ( "" *1I # # ( " " # ( # # ( #( # 2 *1I the fair market value of Perpetual.

slide-44
SLIDE 44

3200, 605 – 5 Avenue SW Calgary, Alberta CANADA T2P 3H5 800.811.5522 TOLL FREE 403.269.4400 PHONE 403.269.4444 FAX info@perpetualenergyinc.com EMAIL www.perpetualenergyinc.com WEB

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION:

Susan L. Riddell Rose President & CEO Cameron R. Sebastian Vice President, Finance & CFO Claire Rosehill Business and Investor Relations Analyst