Brookfield Infrastructure Partners
Investor Meeting September 29, 2016
Brookfield Infrastructure Partners Investor Meeting September 29, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Brookfield Infrastructure Partners Investor Meeting September 29, 2016 In an unpredictable world Brookfield Infrastructure is an investment that provides Security and Growth 2 How have we done since last year? FFO/unit is up 12% Same
Brookfield Infrastructure Partners
Investor Meeting September 29, 2016
In an unpredictable world…
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Brookfield Infrastructure is an investment that provides
How have we done since last year?
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FFO/unit is up 12% ‘Same store’ FFO growth of 11% Distributions per unit increased by 11% ~$1 billion of capital deployed
Last year we highlighted why it was a good time to invest in Brookfield Infrastructure
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1.
High quality transportation assets
2.
Our global business development initiatives with a focus on Brazil
3.
Predictable and stable cash flows
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Building value through diversification
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Invested $350 million in Australian port business (Asciano) Deployed over $200 million to expand our toll roads, rail and ports New investment of $170 million, adding over 350 km of toll roads
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Building a large-scale electrical transmission utility Acquiring a leading natural gas transmission system
Investing over $1 billion
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$117 $197 $392 $462 $682 $724 $808 $928
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
34%
CAGR
FFO (in $US millions)
15%
1) Reflects annualized Q2’16 YTD results
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And exceeding distribution targets
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1) Represents total quarterly increase of distribution per unit, including the recently announced distribution increase 2) Annualized 2016 quarterly distribution per unit
$0.71 $0.73 $0.88 $1.00 $1.15 $1.28 $1.41 $1.55
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
12%
CAGR
11%1
2
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India North America South America Australia Europe Airports Water Utilities Transport Energy Comm Infra Peru
We also had a number of other wins
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Increased ownership in NGPL and repositioned for growth Increased our capital backlog by 54% Recycled $1 billion of capital Raised $10 billion of third party capital to invest alongside BIP
Further reasons to invest in Brookfield Infrastructure
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Infrastructure
Brian Baker, Managing Partner, Energy
Ben Vaughan, Chief Operating Officer
Bahir Manios, Chief Financial Officer
Sam Pollock, Chief Executive Officer
AGENDA
High Quality Assets: Spotlight on Energy and Communications Infrastructure
Brian Baker, Managing Partner, Energy September 2016
We own a diverse portfolio of core infrastructure assets across five continents
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Ports ● Railroads ● Utilities ● Toll roads ● Natural gas transmission ● Telecom towers
Provision of essential services
Uniquely positioned and difficult to replicate
High quality cash flows
Significant organic growth potential
Today we will focus on our Energy and Communications Infrastructure operating segments…
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…and their attractive investment attributes
Energy: Diversified portfolio of high quality assets
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Systems that provide energy transmission, distribution and storage services
~15,000 km of natural gas transmission lines > 600 bcf of natural gas storage 23 district energy plants servicing ~14,500 customers U.S., Canada and Australia
Gas sector transformation underway…
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Uniquely positioned assets to capture upside from evolving demand flows
Northwest Pipeline Alliance Northern Border Piceance San Juan Marcellus / Utica REX Illinois Barnett & Bossier DJ Basin Louisiana South Texas Permian Offshore Anadarko Arkoma East Texas
U.S. Gas Storage CDN Gas Storage NGPL
…driving significant organic growth opportunities
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$80 million Chicago Market Expansion $210 million Gulf Coast Reversal Permian and South Texas opportunities Gulf Coast Storage Expansion
Our district energy business is a core utility-like asset…
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Operating in 10 N. American and Australian CBDs through 23 facilities Average contract duration of ~20 years Inflation indexation and full cost pass-through Irreplaceable assets with captive customers
…and our business is heating up
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Fragmented market with over 1,000 systems across our core markets Currently evaluating 12 opportunities representing ~$2 billion in capital Expanding outside N. America
Energy assets continue to trade at strong multiples
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Source: Company announcements, Press releases, Equity research
Acquirer Asset Seller EV EV/EBITDA
Colonial Coriance KKR €480 M 15.2x AMP/Infracapital Adven EQT €500 M 16.5x Wolf Infrastructure 50% Access Pipeline Devon $2.2 B 11.0x Southern Company 50% Southern NG Pipeline Kinder Morgan $4.2 B 10.5x Trans Canada Columbia Gas/Gulf Columbia Pipeline Group $13.0 B 18.0x Consolidated Edison 50% NE Gas Storage Crestwood $2.0 B 13.4x CheungKong/ Power 65% Husky Midstream Husky Energy $1.3 B 13.0x District Energy Transmission, Distribution & Storage
Our energy assets should be highly valued based on their strong investment characteristics and growth profile
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Enterprise value: $3.2 – $3.7 billion
EBITDA1 Characteristics Multiple District Energy 18%
15x – 17x Transmission, Distribution & Storage 82%
by 2020 12x – 14x Total 100% ($255 M) 12.5x – 14.5x
1) Represents annualized YTD Q2 2016 results adjusted for the sale of our European gas distribution business and the recently completed acquisition of Niska Gas Storage
Communications Infrastructure: Leading portfolio of assets
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Provides essential services and critical infrastructure to the broadcasting and telecom sectors
> 7,000 active tower sites > 26,000 points of presence 5,000 km high speed fibre network Largest independent operator in France
Recent developments continue to highlight the essential role of telecom infrastructure…
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Renewed customer contracts – average life of 9.5 years High customer retention in broadcast tenders Over 1,400 new points of presence since March 2014 MNO tower disposals and densification will drive growth
…with our Fibre-to-the-Home business under development
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Potential €13-14 billion of investment required over next 10 years Focus on medium to low-density regions Neutral carrier operating model over a 25-year exclusive concession period Leveraging TDF’s operating expertise, MNO relationships and existing 5,000 km fibre backbone Significant opportunity to build out a fibre network in France
TowerCos have been transacting in a range of 16x – 18x EBITDA
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Source: Company announcements, Press releases, Equity research, Infranews 1) Market Cap at IPO
Acquirer Tower Asset EV EV/EBITDA 3i Wireless Infrastructure Group ~£300 M ~16.0x Spin Off Telesites ~$2,500 M1 ~18.0x Macquarie (MIRA) Crown Castle Australia ~A$2,000 M ~16.0x Initial Public Offering INWIT €2,200 M1 16.6x Initial Public Offering Cellnex €3,200 M1 15.7x Abertis Wind Towers (Galata) €770 M 16.0x
Our telecom assets should be valued based on their high quality cash flows and growth potential
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Enterprise value: $1.4 – $1.6 billion
EBITDA1 Characteristics Multiple Communications Infrastructure $88 M
16x – 18x
1) Represents annualized YTD Q2 2016 results
We estimate a net asset value to BIP of ~$3 billion for our existing Energy and Communications Infrastructure assets
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1) Consensus street NAV for BIP’s energy and communications businesses is currently a combined $2.3 billion based on most recent reports 2) Calculated with reference to the mid-point EVs on prior pages being $5.0 billion in aggregate ($3.5 billion and $1.5 billion for energy and communications, respectively) less combined debt of $2.0 billion
~$2.3B1 ~$3.0B2 Street consensus NAV Implied NAV
~$700 M ~$2.00 per unit
~$6.70 per unit ~$8.70 per unit
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Execution of a Contrarian Investment Strategy
Ben Vaughan, Chief Operating Officer September 2016
We consistently look for opportunities to invest with a contrarian mindset
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Recognize that superior returns often require contrarian thinking Acquire on a value basis with a goal of maximizing results Does not mean just ‘doing the opposite’
Need to have conviction and well-informed, long-term views
Why is this important?
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Core element of our approach to value investing that helps us earn 12-15% returns on a lower risk basis Surfaces opportunities to transact on a bi-lateral basis Seek to recycle capital when valuations are high
Our approach
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analysis and replacement economics
Capital constraints in sectors/geographies Global footprint Long-term cyclical trends Experience as owner-operators Asset repositioning opportunities Active across capital markets
Tools Signals
We have been focused on…
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Out of favour geographies Energy Sector “Filling up”
Reprioritizing utility investments
Reprioritizing utilities from North America to Brazil…
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While at the same time…
Drivers
…to earn outsized returns on a lower risk basis
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Sold Cross Sound Cable and Ontario Transmission
@ mid-single digit real returns
Investing in lower risk natural gas and electric utilities in S. America
@ 12-14% conservative real returns
Our Focus
high quality assets in Brazil
Brazilian Natural Gas Transmission Utility (NTS)
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MG SP RJ
Belo Horizonte São Paulo Bolivia Rio de Janeiro
Offshore/ LNG
Why did this trade make sense?
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We gave up:
In exchange for:
Investing in out-of-favour geographies
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Our Focus Drivers
Secured bi-lateral discussions and acquired attractive portfolios of toll road assets
39 Gammon, India Rutas de Lima, Peru
“Filling up” on NGPL
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Drivers Our Focus
Execution
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Brazil
Peru/India
NGPL
− Deep experience in our Energy group − Presence in Mexico
A contrarian mindset is key to investing for value
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“Excuse me…. Excuse me”
BIP – A Simple Business with High Quality Cash Flows
Bahir Manios, Chief Financial Officer September 2016
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Leverage Metrics
Investment grade metrics that are improving over time
Impact of rising rates on business
Not significant
Impact of a strengthening US$
Well-hedged from an FFO and net-equity perspective
Last year we highlighted the resiliency and strength
We had an active year on the financing front
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Refinanced $2.7 billion of 2016/2017 maturities Raised C$375 million in Canadian preferred share market Began deleveraging at NGPL
Our business is substantially insulated from rising rates
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Debt is fixed with long-dated maturities
A significant portion of EBITDA grows with inflation and/or GDP growth
Our diversification and FX hedging strategy minimizes our currency exposure
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Last year we ran scenarios on the impact of currency depreciating
One year later, currencies have stabilized and the R$ has appreciated by more than 25% Investor focus currently on GBP (Brexit)
Brookfield Infrastructure has many strengths
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A simple to understand business
Strong balance sheet Generates high quality earnings
Our business generates high quality earnings
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Low volatility
High margins
Strong cash conversion
Over 90%1 of BIP’s cash flows are regulated or contracted
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Strong regulatory frameworks
Long-term contracts
– Resulting in high re-contracting rates
1) Cash flow profile based on Q2 2016 YTD pre-corporate FFO
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Utilities
Transport
Energy
Comm Infra
Predominantly fixed cost structure with minimal on-going maintenance Significant up-front capital requirements to build or replace Margins across all segments trending upwards
Factors contributing to our low maintenance capital requirements
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A number of our systems are recently constructed Our assets are mostly comprised of concrete and steel structures that experience limited wear and tear Several of our businesses recover capital expenditures through their regulated frameworks
Our high quality earnings are demonstrated by the cash we generate
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1) Reflects annualized Q2’16 YTD results
Cumulative 2010-2015 Net income attributable to partnership $ 1,147 Add back or deduct the following: Deferred income taxes 57 Mark-to-market gains and losses 39 Depreciation and amortization 2,022 FFO 3,265 Maintenance capital expenditures (644) AFFO $ 2,621
AFFO and net income are similar but for one key item
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(in US$ millions, unless otherwise noted)
Depreciation and amortization expense is different than maintenance capital
Several factors account for these differences…
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Elected to revalue PP&E annually under IFRS Generally ascribe purchase price adjustments to PP&E vs. goodwill Accounting useful life is not always reflective of economic useful life
policy
PPA
Accounting Useful Life
$570 $100 $190 $100 $180
IFRS Depreciation Annual Maintenance Capex
...and the impact is significant
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(US$ millions)
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IFRS using a DCF approach
reflect higher IFRS values − Driven by inflation indexation, growth in rate base and lower discount rates − Greater PP&E values → higher depreciation charges
For the 12 months ended June 30, 2016
INCREMENTAL DEPRECIATION
Case Study: South American Transmission
accounting methodology
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For the 12 months ended June 30, 2016
using DCF approach
INCREMENTAL DEPRECIATION
Case Study: European Telecom
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For the 12 months ended June 30, 2016
average accounting useful lives
INCREMENTAL DEPRECIATION
Case Study: UK Regulated Distribution
How do we think about finite life concessions?
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~$40 million (5%) of our LTM AFFO reflects a return of capital
Return
capital Acquisition cost
=
Cumulative AFFO expected over concession term AFFO (current year)
x
Our track record of cash flow conversion is strong and consistent
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2012 2013 2014 2015 20161 Adjusted EBITDA $ 841 $ 1,110 $ 1,142 $ 1,177 $ 1,304 Maintenance Capital (107) (129) (131) (136) (132) Unlevered net cash flow 734 981 1,011 1,041 1,172 % 87% 88% 89% 88% 90% Interest, taxes and other (379) (428) (418) (369) (376) AFFO $ 355 $ 553 $ 593 $ 672 $ 796
1) Reflects annualized Q2’16 YTD results
(in US$ millions, unless otherwise noted)
A Stock for all Seasons
Sam Pollock, Chief Executive Officer September 2016
Our strategy is to build a business for all investment cycles
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predictability of cash flows
growth and inflation protection
Let’s do a recap of BIP’s utility-like cash flow characteristics
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Regulated and contracted cash flows Minimal volume exposure Tariff certainty Risk mitigation through diversification
Here is an illustration of how solid our cash flows are
$- $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Utilities Transport Energy Comm Infra
‘Same-store’ constant currency EBITDA
($ millions)
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Let’s recap how BIP generates attractive growth
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Inflation indexation embedded in tariffs Organic growth projects Strong capability to source new investments
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70% of EBITDA is indexed to inflation Contributes on average ~3% annual growth to our results
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We’ve consistently expanded our businesses by re-investing capital into growth initiatives
2010 2016 ‒ 2017
% of invested capital 5% 15% ‒ 20%
$200M $900M
We have high visibility on future organic growth
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Today, we have $2 billion of approved, ongoing projects in our backlog Doesn’t include almost $2 billion of initiatives currently in our pipeline:
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We’ve built our business through strategic acquisitions…
2 4 6 8 10 12 14
2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 1 2 3 4 5
6 13 10 8 1 Number of transactions
2008 2009 – 2010 2011 – 2012 2013 – 2014 2015 – 2016
BIP spin out
Total Equity Capital Deployed
$0.1B $2.0B $1.6B $1.2B $1.7B
Office locations Regions with operations
…and by applying BIP’s international market presence and access to capital
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Over 160 professionals
Many reasons to invest in BIP now
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Compelling relative value Discount to intrinsic value Entering period of significant growth
Great value relative to peers
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Distribution Yield
4.1% 3.4% 2011 2016
Distribution Growth Distribution Yield
$0.71 $1.55 2009 2016E 12%
CAGR
4.8% 4.6% 2011 2016
Distribution Growth
$6.91 $8.78 2009 2016E 4%
CAGR
S&P 500 Utilities Index BIP
BIP is trading below our historic multiples
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(in US$ millions, unless otherwise noted)
2012 2013 2014 2015 20161 AFFO $ 355 $ 553 $ 593 $ 672 $ 796 Return of Capital (9) (35) (36) (40) (45) $ 346 $ 518 $ 557 $ 632 $ 751 Units Issued 287.3 310.0 315.2 337.4 345.3 Per share $1.20 $1.67 $1.77 $1.87 $2.17 Price-to-AFFO Volume weighted average price 17.9x 14.9x 14.8x 15.0x 12.3x Period end 19.5x 15.7x 15.8x 13.5x 14.7x
1) Reflects annualized Q2’16 YTD results
~30% discount to intrinsic value
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Street Consensus NAV Implied NAV
Utilities (2014) Transport (2015) Energy and Comm Infra (2016)
$0.7B $1.0B $2.1B
Entering period of significant growth
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Organic projects
Commissioning
Recent acquisitions
Closed
~$1 billion of pending investments (2017)
The opportunity for capital appreciation is two-fold
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1) Based on closing price on NYSE on Sept 23, 2016 and 2016 annualized distribution 2) Based on projected annualized 2016 quarterly dividend 3) Assumptions constitute forward-looking statements and information. 4) Assuming no change in current dividend yield
Current unit price1 $34 Yield1 4.6% BIP Re-rating Infrastructure Returns 8.0% – 9.0% Less: Organic growth 5.0% Cash yield range 3.0% – 4.0% 5-year Roll-forward Reflecting Growth Rates Target3 Actual3 Distribution increase 5.0% - 9.0% 12.0% Current Yield1 4.6% Trading yields 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% Implied unit price2,3 $52
$45
$39 Dividend Growth Rates 5.0% 7.0% 9.0% 12.0% 5-yr Projected Price3,4 $43 $48
$52
$60
BIP: A Stock for all Seasons
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Security of cash flows Generates growth and provides inflation protection Considerable
appreciation
TODAY $34 2008* $11
*Closing price at Brookfield Investor Day
Disclaimer
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FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS This presentation contains forward-looking information within the meaning of Canadian provincial securities laws and other “forward looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, Section 21E of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, “safe harbor” provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and applicable Canadian securities regulations. The words “growing”, “target”, “growth”, “expect”, “will”, “strategy”, “return”, “backlog”, “appreciation”, “potential”, “expand”, “believe”, “continue”, “increase”, “may”, “should”, “opportunity”, derivations thereof and other expressions which are predictions of or indicate future events, trends or prospects and which do not relate to historical matters identify the above mentioned and other forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements in this presentation include statements regarding participation in a growing asset class, targeting of dividend yield and growth in FFO and distributions, our ability to identify, acquire and integrate new acquisition opportunities, completion of and performance of new investments, return objectives, potential demand for additional capacity at our operations, further investment in each of our business segments, volume increases in certain of our businesses due to customer demands and economic recovery, growth in the sectors in which we operate, targeted equity returns, upside potential from development projects, availability of funding for growth projects with debt and internally generated cash flow, future growth prospects including large-scale development and expansion projects, distribution payout ratio, ability to finance our backlog of growth projects, future capital appreciation, distribution policy and objectives and other statements with respect to our beliefs, outlooks, plans, expectations and intentions. Although Brookfield Infrastructure believes that these forward-looking statements and information are based upon reasonable assumptions and expectations, the reader should not place undue reliance on them, or any other forward looking statements or information in this presentation. The future performance and prospects of Brookfield Infrastructure are subject to a number of known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Factors that could cause actual results of Brookfield Infrastructure to differ materially from those contemplated or implied by the statements in this presentation include general economic and market conditions in the jurisdictions in which we
demand for an infrastructure company, which is unknown, the availability of equity and debt financing, foreign currency risk, the outcome and timing of various regulatory, legal and contractual issues, the competitive business environment in the industries in which we operate, the competitive market for acquisitions and
presentation), our ability to integrate acquisitions into existing operations and the future performance of those acquisitions, our ability to complete large capital expansion projects on time and within budget, favourable commodity prices, weakening of demand for products and services in the markets for the commodities that underpin demand for our infrastructure, ability to negotiate favourable take-or-pay contractual terms, the continued operation of large capital projects by mining and industrial customers of our businesses which themselves rely on access to capital and continued favourable commodity prices and other risks and factors described in the documents filed by Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. with the securities regulators in Canada and the United States including under “Risk Factors” in its most recent Annual Report on Form 20-F. Except as required by law, Brookfield Infrastructure Partners undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements or information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. IMPORTANT NOTE REGARDING NON-IFRS FINANCIAL MEASURES To measure performance we focus on net income as well as funds from operations (“FFO”) and invested capital, which we refer to throughout this presentation. We define FFO as net income plus depreciation, depletion and amortization, deferred taxes and certain other items. We define invested capital as partnership capital, adding back non-cash income statement items net of maintenance capital expenditures, accumulated other comprehensive income and certain other items. FFO and invested capital are not calculated in accordance with, and do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”). FFO and invested capital are therefore unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers. FFO and invested capital have limitations as analytical tools. See the Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Financial Measures section of the most recent Annual Report on Form 20-F and the Partnership’s Supplemental Information report for a more fulsome discussion including a reconciliation to the most directly comparable IFRS measures.