Brexit - Standing on our own two feet! The shopper and consumer - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

brexit standing on our own two feet
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Brexit - Standing on our own two feet! The shopper and consumer - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Brexit - Standing on our own two feet! The shopper and consumer view Nathan Ward Kantar Worldpanel Take home Unparalleled Consumption grocery continuous understanding of shoppers and 30,000 11,000 consumers households individuals


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Brexit - Standing

  • n our own two feet!

The shopper and consumer view

Nathan Ward Kantar Worldpanel

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Take home grocery

30,000

households

Continuous scanning

Consumption

11,000

individuals

2 x 1 week online diary

Unparalleled continuous understanding of shoppers and consumers

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Brexit means…

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Brexit means…

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…and if Brexit means Breakfast, what do that mean to us?

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+5.6%

*

Average LFL inflation on Bread, Butter, Bacon Rashers, Sausages, Eggs, Baked Beans, Black Pudding, Coffee, Tea and Fruit Juice

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So what does Brexit mean so far?

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….but only one thing has a direct impact on how people shop FMCG

What people feel at the Till matters!

GDP growth Consumer confidence Disposable income Inflation

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We make choices to mitigate the impact price rises Downtrading is prevalent in inflationary times

  • 4%
  • 2%
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 29-Jun-08 14-Dec-08 31-May-09 15-Nov-09 02-May-10 17-Oct-10 03-Apr-11 18-Sep-11 04-Mar-12 19-Aug-12 03-Feb-13 21-Jul-13 05-Jan-14 22-Jun-14 07-Dec-14 24-May-15 08-Nov-15 24-Apr-16 09-Oct-16 26-Mar-17 % change on a year earlier Inflation Household Spend Change Total RST 12WE 13-Aug-17(KWP P04)
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…with shoppers coping with inflation in different ways

This can help us predict how things may pan out…

Volume HH Store Choice Promotion Choice Product Choice RECESSION INFLATION SLOWS FRAGILITY & THREAT OF DOUBLE DIP contribution to change %pts POST BREXIT

TRADING DOWN TRADING UP TRADING DOWN TRADING DOWN

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Will people return to trading up in 2018?

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How can we stand on our own two feet?

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Inflation hasn’t really hit our categories in the UK…

…but we are winning from other areas where inflation has risen

  • 1.2%

LFL inflation latest 12 weeks

+0.8%

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Consumer choices drive shopping

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Average evening meal takes 33 minutes to prepare

Effort is key

Quicker items usually not the issue but convenience is…

Making food easy rather than just quick

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Evening meals are changing

  • 9%

Meat & 2 Veg

O c c a s i o n s g r o w t h L a s t 3 Ye a r s

+6%

Dishes

O c c a s i o n s g r o w t h L a s t 3 Ye a r s

48:52

Versatile and easy to use in dishes Wins in Traditional Roasts and occasions

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Poultry under performs for “Enjoyment” compared to the

  • ther protein categories
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The rise of protein

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14m

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2m Protein is essential for the body, forming one

  • f the three macronutrients, and contributes

largely to your daily calorie needs. These three macronutrients all play a vital role in helping us stay healthy, strong and lean

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Protein-named brands have grown by

+158% over

the last 2 years.

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…but health works well in these markets

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…but inspiration and tying to trends is vital Leverage the great credentials we have here!

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How can we stand on our own two feet?

  • 1. Consumers are worried and feeling the pressure

Well priced high quality British products can capitalise on these uncertain times

  • 2. Win whilst inflation is low in Eggs & Poultry

Lock people in with great versatile products

  • 3. Quick, easy and tasty products will always win

Feed Masterchef expectations from minimal skills

  • 4. Focus on the future with dishes

Where can you fit in, what can you leverage?

  • 5. Health is important, but inspiration as well

Leverage health, with protein a great story for our category