INTERNATIONAL TRADE & BREXIT Chris Bryant, London Megan - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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INTERNATIONAL TRADE & BREXIT Chris Bryant, London Megan - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

INTERNATIONAL TRADE & BREXIT Chris Bryant, London Megan Barnhill, Washington DC BREXIT Chris Bryant, London Overview How we got where we are Election outcomes & what they mean for Brexit What it means for the US/UK


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SLIDE 1

INTERNATIONAL TRADE & BREXIT

Chris Bryant, London Megan Barnhill, Washington DC

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SLIDE 2

BREXIT

Chris Bryant, London

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SLIDE 3

Overview

  • How we got where we are
  • Election outcomes & what they mean for Brexit
  • What it means for the US/UK relationship
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SLIDE 4

How we got here (1)

January 2020

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SLIDE 5

How we got here (2)

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SLIDE 6

Commons motion

Under EU (Withdrawal) Act 2018

Withdrawal Agreement Bill Lords debate

Up to 5 sitting days

How we got here (3)

European Council

Qualified Majority

European Parliament

Simple majority

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SLIDE 7

How we got here (4)

Stalemate!

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SLIDE 8

And here we are…

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SLIDE 9

General Election

  • v-

BUT

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SLIDE 10

Potential outcomes

majority majority 324 seats (approx*)

Hung Parliament

(no overall majority)

minority OR minority

+ others

OR

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SLIDE 11

What does it mean for Brexit? (1)

Withdrawal Agreement approved

Conservative Majority

BREXIT

31 Jan 2020 END OF TRANSITION 31 Dec 2020

?

Transition Period

Extension Decision Date 1 July 2020

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SLIDE 12

What does it mean for Brexit? (2)

Labour Minority Government

Renegotiate Withdrawal Agreement

REFERENDUM

Leave

(on terms of Withdrawal Agreement)

Remain

(revoke Art. 50)

N.B. Will require further extension from EU

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SLIDE 13

US/UK Trade Deal? (1)

? ?

  • Alignment with standards
  • “Level Playing Field”
  • Protected Designations of Origin
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SLIDE 14

US/UK Trade Deal? (2)

Other Contentious Issues

  • Drug pricing / patents
  • Healthcare services / NHS
  • Investor State Dispute Settlement
  • Big Tech / Data
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SLIDE 15

US SANCTIONS, EXPORT CONTROLS IN 2019

Megan Barnhill, Washington, DC

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Year In Review

  • Implemented withdrawal from JCPOA and expansion of sanctions

against Iran

  • Continued focus on Russia
  • Expansion of sanctions against Venezuela
  • Syria, North Korea programs continue apace, including new

designations

  • Further restrictions on certain authorizations related to Cuba
  • New sanctions related to Nicaragua, Mali
  • Revised Reporting, Procedures and Penalties Regulations
  • Issuance of “Framework for OFAC Compliance Commitments”
  • Addition of Huawei to Entity List and Issuance of General License
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Iran: US Withdrawal from JCPOA

  • Implementation of US withdrawal from Joint

Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA)

  • May 8, 2018: Pres Trump announces US withdrawal

from JCPOA

  • Wind down periods expired on August 6 and November

4, 2018.

  • Removal of EO 13599 List; persons on the list moved to

SDN List

  • Iranian Transactions and Sanctions Regulations (ITSR)

updated

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SLIDE 18

Iran: Expanded Sanctions

  • Further sanctions against Iranian government
  • April 15, 2019: IRGC designated as Foreign Terrorist

Organization

  • June 24, 2019: EO 13876 –Supreme Leader of Iran and

the Iranian Supreme Leader’s Office blocked, additional designation criteria

  • Additional secondary sanctions triggers
  • May 8, 2019: EO 13871 – secondary sanctions related to

Iran’s iron, steel, aluminum, and copper sectors

  • Attention warranted for civil aviation, shipping sectors
  • Over 150 new SDN designations in 2019, including

designations of non-Iranian entities involved in certain transactions involving Iran

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SLIDE 19

Russia

  • Sanctions under Chemical and Biological

Weapons Control and Warfare Elimination Act of 1991 (CBW Act)

  • August 2018: Determination by US State Dept of use of

chemical weapons by Russia

  • August 1, 2019: EO 13883 and subsequent OFAC

Russia-Related Directive

  • August 26, 2019: Additional State Dept sanctions
  • Over 75 new designations since July 2018
  • Under Russia/Ukraine, Magnitsky, Cyber, and Election

Interference sanctions programs

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Venezuela

  • Expanded restrictions applicable to Maduro regime and

associated persons

  • November 11, 2018: EO 13850 – sanctions on gold sector, corrupt

actors

  • January 25, 2019: EO 13857 - updated definition of “Government of

Venezuela”

  • August 5, 2019: EO 13884 - Government of Venezuela is blocked
  • Over 100 individuals and entities added to the SDN List

under the Venezuela program, along with a number of vessels

  • Sanctions are not comprehensive (i.e., no embargo)
  • A number of general licenses exist that authorize certain

types of activities with specified persons

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Reporting, Procedures and Penalties Regulations

  • Interim final rule effective June 21, 2019.
  • Additional detail regarding information required in reports
  • f blocked property.
  • New form for annual reports of blocked property.
  • Expanded requirement for reporting rejected transactions.
  • Reporting required for any U.S. person (or person subject to U.S.

jurisdiction) that rejects a transaction where processing or engaging in the transaction would violate US sanctions.

  • Transaction broadly defined - includes “transactions related to wire

transfers, trade finance, securities, checks, foreign exchange, and goods or services.”

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Framework for OFAC Compliance Commitments

  • Published May 2019
  • Sets out 5 essential components of a compliance

program:

  • Management commitment
  • Risk assessment
  • Internal Controls
  • Testing and Auditing
  • Training
  • Provides summary of some of the root causes of

violations that OFAC has identified during its investigative process

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SLIDE 23

Entity List Designations

  • May 16, 2019: Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd. and 68 of

its non-U.S. affiliates added to Entity List.

  • August 19, 2019: Additional 46 non-U.S. affiliates of

Huawei added to Entity List.

  • License required for the export, reexport, or transfer (in-

country) of any item subject to the EAR to any of the listed

  • entities. Presumption of denial.
  • Temporary General License authorizes certain

transactions involving the export, reexport, or transfer of items subject to the EAR to the listed entities.

  • November 20, 2019: expiration date of TGL extended until

February 16, 2020.