Blending Database Systems to Prepare for Predictive Modeling - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Blending Database Systems to Prepare for Predictive Modeling - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Blending Database Systems to Prepare for Predictive Modeling Kristen Salomonson Dean of Enrollment Services Ferris State University Jon MacMillan Senior Data Analyst Rapid Insight June 11 th , 2019 Agenda About Rapid Insight The Data


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Blending Database Systems to Prepare for Predictive Modeling

Kristen Salomonson Dean of Enrollment Services Ferris State University Jon MacMillan Senior Data Analyst Rapid Insight June 11th, 2019

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Agenda

  • About Rapid Insight
  • The Data Imperative
  • Putting Data Into Action
  • Demonstrating Success
  • What’s Next?
  • Software Demonstration
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About Rapid Insight

Founded in 2002 and headquartered in Conway, NH Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable insights Serving thousands of users worldwide, ranging from healthcare to higher education The Veera platform enables users to easily build predictive models, perform advanced data analysis, and share insights Code free (but code friendly) self-service analytics platform

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Veera Construct enables everyone from citizen data scientists to PhD statisticians to turn any data into actionable information Veera Predict enables users of any skill level to analyze data and build predictive models in a fraction of time required by other tools Veera Bridge empowers organizations by democratizing data with its cloud-based collaboration platform

The Veera Platform

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Data Sources Data Destinations Data Preparation Predictive Modeling

The Veera Platform

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Upcoming Events

Rapid Insight User Conference - June 23-25th

North Conway, NH

An opportunity for users, old and new, to learn about the benefits and pitfalls of bringing real data analysis to their organization More information at: rapidinsight.com/riconf/

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Blending Database Systems to Prepare for Predictive Modeling

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About Ferris State University

  • Located in Big Rapids,

Michigan

  • Mid-sized four-year

public university

  • Offers Associate to

Doctoral Degrees

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The Data Imperative

Percent Change High School Graduates, 2013-2032

Source: WICHE

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Hard Demographic Truths

In 2013 From 2013 to 2025 From 2025 to 2032 CA 456,000

  • 25,000
  • 5%
  • 37,000
  • 9%

TX 314,000 61,000 19%

  • 6,000
  • 2%

NY 212,000 2,000 1%

  • 14,000
  • 7%

FL 176,000 17,000 10%

  • 16,000
  • 8%

IL 153,000

  • 10,000
  • 7%
  • 18,000
  • 13%

PA 146,000

  • 6,000
  • 4%
  • 8,000
  • 6%

OH 135,000

  • 16,000
  • 12%
  • 9,000
  • 8%

MI 111,000

  • 14,000
  • 13%
  • 10,000
  • 10%

NJ 109,000

  • 6,000
  • 6%
  • 12,000
  • 12%

NC 101,000 9,000 9%

  • 8,000
  • 7%
  • Predicted decrease in the number of high school graduates
  • Michigan on a percentage will experience the largest decline

Source: WICHE

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How do we do what we know we have to do?

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Challenges to Making Data More Agile

Multiple systems generating data about a greater number of recruitment and retention activities than ever before. Many existing analytic tools use only a small fraction of available data for predictions with wider error margins. Limits on in-house staff with the time and knowledge to do the work.

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You Want Data We’ve Got Data

  • NRCCUA, ACT & SAT
  • Salesforce
  • Ellucian Banner
  • Target X Events
  • Orientation Registration (Homegrown)
  • Advantage Design Orientation Module
  • SMS Magic Text
  • Marketing Cloud
  • Pardot
  • Ten Fold Call Management
  • Google analytics
  • Consumer databases
  • Blackboard
  • Adirondack
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Connect the Data, Solve the Problem

Manage institutional data silos Perform sophisticated and broad analytics Answer strategic enrollment questions

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So, About those Silos…

The Veera platform enables us to create automatic linkages with our multiple data sources. It’s flexible so we can add and remove what we include. The data delineation process is surprisingly enjoyable and extremely useful.

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example Rapid Insight into Action

Initial Apply to Enroll Model

  • Using the Quick Start Banner got us
  • ff to a fast start.
  • We wanted to include more data

from our CRM.

  • Discovered a hidden data gem with

the first model. *Greater # of people brought to event – higher likelihood of enrolling

New Data Source & Instant Connection

  • Residence Life implemented

Yada this year for roommate match.

  • New source was seamlessly

connected so we could integrate the data into our Apply to Enroll model.

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Analytics With…

Breadth. Sophistication. Why Not Both?

Rapid Insight tools help us to take advantage of our multiple data sources and use them to create the best possible models to enhance predictive utility. Our Apply to Enroll model analysis included

  • ver 150 variables. We are squeezing out

every last drop of predictive utility. An earlier off-the-shelf model gave us 6. The results enable us to target individual applicants, segments, colleges and institution-wide performance.

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example Rapid Insight into Real-Time Impact

Model Output

Rapid Insight predictive model developed

Likelihood to Enroll Score Generated

Daily Scores loaded into Salesforce for Recruitment Staff

Tailored Action Paths Deployed Select applicants targeted with robust

  • utreach to increase

enrollment probability Impact on FTIAC Enrollment

Fall 17: +24 (1.5%) Fall 18: +70 (4%)

Not Just Higher Student Counts

  • 1. Higher Net Tuition Revenue
  • 2. Reduced Recruiting Costs per Student
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Individual – A sought-after student in one of your top programs hasn’t signed up for Orientation. Q: What is the likelihood that Applicant K will enroll in the Fall? Action: Score in range where a personal call is warranted. Group – A recruiter wonders how to make time management decisions to optimize their yield. Q: How many Applicants in my territory are at least 70% likely to enroll? Action: Reaches out via text to these students and asks if there are follow-up questions. Institution – A budget director asks for assistance in estimating tuition revenue next year. Q: What is the predicted enrollment of new and returning students? Action: Fuse results from Admissions and Retention Models to develop an estimate. 2018/19 estimate was off by .2%.

Assists with Answering Questions in Real Time

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What Comes Next?

  • Expand data integration with digital advertising metrics
  • Roll out model outputs deeper into the academic colleges

and departments

  • Explore using discrete models for admission and retention
  • f our Test Optional pathway
  • Utilize model results to inform and assess enrollment goals

in the new strategic plan

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Software Demonstration

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Questions?

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Thank You!

Jon MacMillan

Rapid Insight Senior Data Analyst Jon.MacMillan@rapidinsight.com

Kristen Salomonson

Ferris State University Dean of Enrollment Services KristenSalomonson@ferris.edu

To get a free trial of the Veera platform, visit www.rapidinsight.com/free-trial