Barclays CEO Energy-Power Conference September 12, 2013 Cautionary - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Barclays CEO Energy-Power Conference September 12, 2013 Cautionary - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Barclays CEO Energy-Power Conference September 12, 2013 Cautionary Language This presentation contains statements, estimates and projections which are forward-looking statements (as defined in Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934,
Cautionary Language
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This presentation contains statements, estimates and projections which are forward-looking statements (as defined in Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended). Such statements include estimates of reserves and resources, projections and estimates concerning the timing and rates of return of future projects, and our future production, revenues, income and capital spending. These forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those statements, estimates and projections. Accordingly, investors should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements as a prediction of future actual results. Factors that could cause future actual results to differ from the forward-looking statements are described in detail under the captions "Forward Looking Statements" and "Risk Factors" in CONSOL Energy Inc.’s annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2012 filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), as updated by any subsequent quarterly reports on Form 10-Qs. The forward-looking statements in this presentation speak only as of the date of this presentation; we disclaim any
- bligation to update the statements, and we caution you not to rely on them unduly.
The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved, probable and possible oil and gas reserves that a company anticipates as of a given date to be economically and legally producible and deliverable by application of development projects to known accumulations. We may use certain terms in this press release, such as EUR (estimated ultimate recovery), unproved reserves and total resource potential, that the SEC's rules strictly prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC. These measures are by their nature more speculative than estimates of reserves prepared in accordance with SEC definitions and guidelines and accordingly are less certain. We also note that the SEC strictly prohibits us from aggregating proved, probable and possible reserves in filings with the SEC due to the different levels of certainty associated with each reserve category. Except for proved reserve data, the information included in this presentation is based on a summary review of the title to the gas rights we hold, as well as a summary review of the title to the coal from which many of our coalbed methane rights
- derive. As is customary in the gas industry, prior to the commencement of gas drilling operations on our properties, we
conduct a thorough title examination and perform curative work with respect to significant defects. We are typically responsible for curing any title defects at our expense. This curative work may include the acquisition of additional property rights in order to perfect our ownership for development and production of the gas estate. This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of offers to buy securities of CONSOL Energy Inc.
3 Ticker: CNX Headquartered in
Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Company Founded in 1860 Approx. 9,000 Employees Market Cap = $7.3 billion(1) 2012 Revenue = $5.4 billion
The Leading Diversified Fuel Producer in the Eastern United States
CONSOL Energy Overview
(1) As of September 3, 2013.
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CONSOL Energy Overview
- Safety
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In 2012, CONSOL’s Coal Division saw safety exceptions drop 10%, from 150 to 134
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In 2012, CONSOL’s Gas Division worked the entire year without having recorded a lost-time incident
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CONSOL has invested approximately $1.2 billion since 2006 on coal-related safety projects
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Commitment to ―Absolute Zero‖
- Compliance
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Coal and Gas Divisions saw an improvement in compliance of 11% and 53%, respectively, in 2012 when compared to 2011
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2012 Corporate Responsibility Report: http://www.consolenergy.com/CorporateResponsibilityReport/2012New/index.html
- Continuous Improvement
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Rebalancing portfolio: $350 million in asset sales for 2012
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Average drilling lateral length increase and average cost per stage decrease
Core Values
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CONSOL Energy Investment Thesis
Ramping coal production:
- BMX Mine longwall mine (5 mm tons) will start on April 1, 2014
Ramping gas/liquids production:
2014 guidance of 210 – 225 Bcfe represents growth of 22 – 30% from 2013
Liquids increasing to about10% of total mix
CONSOL has executed at a high and consistent level in both good and challenging times
- Low cost operations; cost controls remains a high focus
High quality Tier 1 energy assets
- Coal: a) High quality low-vol coal; b) versatile high-vol /high-Btu thermal coal
- Gas: a) Coalbed methane, b) Marcellus and c) Utica shale positions
CONSOL’s financial strength remains solid
- $2.4 billion in liquidity
Asset monetization to bring value forward
CONSOL should be a core holding for every energy investor
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Strategic Overview – Our Four Main Investment Views
CONSOL Energy Overview
1.
Once the BMX mine opens, we revert to a $5-$6 per ton maintenance spending levels. We will continue to organically grow our gas business through the drillbit.
2.
We do not intend to pursue ―transformational‖ M&A deals in either coal or gas. We may continue to pursue bolt-on opportunities in the Marcellus and Utica shales.
3.
We will continue to monetize our non-core assets and regularly evaluate our core assets to make sure full value is recognized.
4.
We are examining the optimal corporate structure to house our Tier-One assets. We expect to provide an update during our next earnings call.
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- CONSOL Ships To Four Continents
- Export Forecast For 2013: 5-10 MTs
- Capture Growth and Existing Markets
Strength in Market Diversity
Operations Overview – Coal
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Coal Contracted Position1
CONSOL Energy Overview
Q3 2013 2013 2014 2015 Estimated Coal Sales (millions of tons) 13.4 - 13.9 55.5 - 57.5 60.4 61.7
- Est. Low-Vol Met Sales
0.7 -0.9 4.0-4.2 4.7 5.2 Tonnage: Firm 0.2 2.8 — —
- Avg. Price: Sold (Firm)
$ 113.81 $ 103.34 $ — $ —
- Est. High-Vol Met Sales
0.6+ 2.6+ 4.8 6.4 Tonnage: Firm 0.4 2.4 0.2 0.2
- Avg. Price: Sold (Firm)
$ 60.55 $ 63.67 $ 75.53 $ 74.74
- Est. Thermal Sales
12.3+ 49.9+ 50.9 50.1 Tonnage: Firm 12.3 49.8 28.1 14.8
- Avg. Price: Sold (Firm)
$ 59.02 $ 58.93 $ 60.45 $ 60.99
(1) As of July 28, 2013.
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PJM Coal Inventory
Source: EIA, PIRA, and CONSOL analysis.
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10 15 20 25 30 Sep 12 Dec 12 Mar 13 Jun 13 Tons (MM)
PJM Coal Inventory
Trailing 12 Months 5 Year Average Our Domestic Coal Market Remains Solid
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Why CNX Coal?
Operations Overview – Coal
CONSOL is participating in the growth of world coal markets Low-cost mines Dual rail service from Pittsburgh seam mines to Baltimore 100%-owned Baltimore terminal, with capacity of 16 million tons ―Boots on the ground‖ globally, through marketing partner X-Coal CONSOL ships to four continents In-house R&D lab with sensor-equipped coke oven Shipping coal to 53 different customers in 13 countries
Gas Reserves of 4.0 Tcfe as of 12/31/12
11 Source: Company filings.
3,480 3,993 954 242 (527) (156) 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 YE 2011 Extensions & Discoveries Performance Revisions Price Revisions & Plan Changes Production YE 2012
(in Bcfe)
15% increase in proved reserves
105% increase in Marcellus Shale proved reserves
611% reserve replacement
Gas prices declined to $2.76 per mcfe
Reserve Replacement – Gas
12 Source: Howard Weil – 2012 Reserve and Finding Costs Study of the Oil & Gas Independents. (1) Other Companies consists of 40 additional peer companies.
(1)
CONSOL Energy is in top quartile across peer group for all sources reserve replacement
Average: 364%
0% 500% 1,000% 1,500% 2,000% 2,500% 3,000%
2012 All Sources Reserve Replacement: 5-yr Average
5-Year Average F&D Costs – Gas
13 Source: Howard Weil – 2012 Reserve and Finding Costs Study of the Oil & Gas Independents. (1) Other Companies consists of 39 additional peer companies.
(1)
CONSOL Energy is in top quartile across peer group for all sources F&D Costs
Average: $25.80
(in $/BOE) $0 $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 $35
2012 All Sources F&D Costs: 5-yr Average
Production Ramp – Gas
14 Source: Company filings. (1) Production growth in 2013 is expected to be more back-end weighted.
(in Bcfe)
(1)
In 2010, acquired ~23 Bcfe in Conventional gas production, primarily through the Dominion transaction. In 2011, divested ~11 Bcfe through the Marcellus JV (with Noble Energy) and Antero Royalty Interest transactions.
58.2 76.6 94.4 127.9 153.5 156.3 170 - 175 210 - 225 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 250 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E
Gas Production
Large Acreage Position within Marcellus Fairway 87% of Acreage HBP Allowing for Development Flexibility
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50% of approximately 600,000 gross acres Average NRI of ~88%
VA OH PA WV MD
Dry Gas Wet Gas
CONSOL Operated 430,000 Gross Acres NBL Operated 170,000 Gross Acres
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CONSOL Wells Drilled: Dry Gas
2012 2013E Southwest PA 45 22 Central PA 13 10 Northern W.VA 6 10 CONSOL Marcellus Total 64 42
Noble Wells Drilled: Wet Gas
2012 2013E W.VA 25 75
2013 Marcellus Shale Drilling Program: 117 wells
2012 Marcellus Shale Results, by Area
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Central Pa. 2012 Average EUR/Well (Bcfe) 5.9 2012 Average Lateral Length (ft) 6,867 2013E Expected Wells Drilled 10 Northern W.Va. 2012 Average EUR/Well (Bcfe) 4.6 2012 Average Lateral Length (ft) 6,394 2013E Expected Wells Drilled 10
Southwest Pa. 2012 Average EUR/Well (Bcfe) 6.4 2012 Average Lateral Length (ft) 5,006 2013E Expected Wells Drilled 22
Approximately 8,700 contiguous acres. 6 pads with up to 49 Marcellus and a potentially similar number of Upper Devonian Wells to be drilled. Spud first well before February 2015
Marcellus Shale Acreage Tract: Pittsburgh Airport
On a pad with 5 underlying Marcellus wells
Upper Devonian Exploration Well – NV39F
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CONSOL Nineveh Core Area VA OH PA WV MD
Dry Gas Wet Gas
Washington County, PA
- Drilled lateral length of 4889’
- Frac’d 17 stages in Burkett Shale
- Tested 3.0 MMcfd, TIL 6/21/13
- Currently producing 2.7 MMcfd
- Great impact on underlying
Marcellus wells that tested 10.0 MMcfd and 9.0 MMcfd
- Planning Rhinestreet Shale Tests
- Hess operates in four
county area of Jefferson, Harrison, Belmont, and Guernsey
- CONSOL operates in
surrounding areas
30,000 Core Acres, net to CONSOL
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Ohio Utica Shale
Operations Overview – Gas
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The Utica Sweet Spot…..a.k.a “The Pickle”
Publically reported IP data with all hydrocarbons converted to BOED per foot of lateral
CHK Brown GPOR Wagner GPOR Shugerts Rex Guernsey U GPOR Stutzman CNX Noble 16A Antero Rubel CNX Noble 1A Antero Miley PDC Onega Comm GPOR Groh GPOR Stephens GPOR Boy Scouts CHK Henderson CHK Buell
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