Background Growth in wind energy production Mortality via. - - PDF document

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Background Growth in wind energy production Mortality via. - - PDF document

10/1/2018 Managing bird and bat turbine strikes using weather radar Robb Diehl & Todd Preston US Geological Survey Northern Rocky Mountain Science Center Bozeman, MT Bethany Straw, Simon Thao, & Elise DeGeorge National Renewable


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Managing bird and bat turbine strikes using weather radar

Robb Diehl & Todd Preston

US Geological Survey Northern Rocky Mountain Science Center Bozeman, MT

Bethany Straw, Simon Thao, & Elise DeGeorge

National Renewable Energy Lab National Wind Technology Center Golden, CO

  • Growth in wind energy production
  • Mortality via….
  • Attraction, turbines likely become so‐called

‘ecological or evolutionary traps’

  • Incidental contact
  • Options
  • Alter the environmental cue, i.e., change how

turbines are perceived ….or….

  • Alter the environment, i.e., curtailment

Background

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Habitat quality Perception

High Low High Low <<< Curtailment, siting <<< <<< Alter perception <<<

Background

  • Best solutions
  • Effective at minimizing impacts to wildlife
  • Simple to deploy
  • Inexpensive to operate
  • Highly reliable, require little maintenance
  • Minimize operational energy loss

Background

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10/1/2018 3 NEXRAD

NEXt generation weather RADar

TDWR

Terminal Doppler Weather Radar

KLOT, Romeoville, IL Las Vegas, NV (credit Simpson)

Can NEXRAD be used as a real‐time platform for informing curtailment?

e.g., Van Doren and Horton 2018

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NEXRAD metrics

  • >140 stations in continental US
  • Six measures
  • Reflectivity, radial velocity, spectrum width,

differential reflectivity, correlation coefficient, differential phase

  • Updates nationally every 6‐10 minutes
  • Range limited by altitude of birds and bats, not

sensitivity

Forecasting v. Real‐time

  • What is the time horizon for a potential NEXRAD‐based

curtailment scheme?

  • Forecasting
  • Van Doren and Horton (2018) Science
  • Weather‐based model that can forecast a day in advance with

80% accuracy

  • Real‐time
  • More accurate, requires constant vigilance
  • Hybrid scheme
  • Shifting accuracy as the movement event approaches
  • Integrates planning (forecasting) with realization (real‐time)
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Advantages and disadvantages of using NEXRAD

Advantages

  • Existing embedded radar network requires no support
  • Highly reliable
  • Data is free and centrally archived
  • Considerable advances in data processing in recent years

Disadvantages

  • Discriminating among target types
  • Measuring low‐height targets at range
  • Radars do not co‐occur with turbines
  • Manage by strategic curtailment

Goals

  • Are NEXRAD target identities corroborated by those on

portable radar?

  • Do vertebrate target densities identified by NEXRAD index

bat activity?

  • Are NEXRAD vertical profiles corroborated by those

measured by portable radar?

  • At what range are NEXRAD profiles still operational?
  • What proportion of turbines fall within this range?
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Six weather radar parameters

Reflectivity Radial Velocity Spectrum Width Differential Reflectivity Correlation Coefficient Differential Phase

Purple Martin roost ring Precipitation Insects?

Probability of classification ≥95% Probability of classification ≥50%

Biological Precipitation

Biological v. non‐biological discrimination

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Insects Vertebrates Weather

Reflectivity (Z) Classified (p>0.5)

Purple Martin roost ring Precipitation Insects?

Corroborate via portable radar, thermal imaging

Parabolic antenna

  • Good data on speed and direction
  • Good data on height
  • Longer range
  • Less comprehensive
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Goals

  • Are NEXRAD target identities corroborated by those on

portable radar?

  • Do vertebrate target densities identified by NEXRAD index

bat activity?

  • Are NEXRAD vertical profiles corroborated by those

measured by portable radar?

  • At what range are NEXRAD profiles still operational?
  • What proportion of turbines fall within this range?

NEXRAD density profile

see Buler and Diehl 2009

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Portable radar density profile

Goals

  • Are NEXRAD target identities corroborated by those on

portable radar?

  • Do vertebrate target densities identified by NEXRAD index

bat activity?

  • Are NEXRAD vertical profiles corroborated by those

measured by portable radar?

  • At what range are NEXRAD profiles still operational?
  • What proportion of turbines fall within this range?
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Limited range of overlap

Region of

  • verlap
  • NEXRAD installed base offers

limited potential to directly monitor airspace at the height

  • f rotor swept areas
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e.g., Denver radar

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